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@RussianCarousel An economist is a mixture of 1) a businessman without common sense, 2) a physicist without brain, and 3) a speculator without balls @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/TheBehaviourGuy/status/792430653472202753   Permalink 11:26 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@TheBehaviourGuy @DanielJHannan I would forward anyone who thinks economists matter to @nntalebhttp://read.bi/2eTEXPf   Permalink 11:19 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb GMOs: Returnless Risk,case closed. Even NYT admits no ↑yield/↓pesticides. Next preys: +Saudi Barbaria +neocons +Pinkerisms (BS artists) Permalink 10:36 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Incidentally Procopius is one of the 100s of Greek Syrian authors not taught in Syria (Arabism brainwashing). @peterfrankopan @BrankoMilan Permalink 9:25 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb the 3 integrals (2 bounds) @CutTheKnotMath Errata: Sn IS the Gen Harmonic Number.pic.twitter.com/28EcPBAJIo Permalink 9:07 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Route 2: comparing to 3 integrals @CutTheKnotMath (On a long plane ride back for Tokyo, your quizzes kill time!)pic.twitter.com/iDR6lTL9MG Permalink 8:27 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Am I cheating somewhere here? @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/VgEMFQfNGj Permalink 7:39 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I’ve stopped trusting scholarship by most pple on a salary, or deriving bulk of income from it. Scholarship is for the free (“Liberal” arts) Permalink 7:00 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Byzantinism du jour: The Orthodox church allows divorce in order to prevent excessive cases of poisoning. (Justinian code) Permalink 9:37 PM – 28 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Psycholophasters don’t get optionality of p-value. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.07532v3.pdf   Plus @DanTGilbert is an imbecile.https://twitter.com/BrianNosek/status/791790886841495552   Permalink 5:07 PM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Does anyone of Twitter-Byzantinist friends & proto-friends recommend Kazhdan’s book? Eucharist! https://www.amazon.com/Oxford-Dictionary-Byzantium-3-Set/dp/0195046528/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1477606098&sr=8-1&keywords=kazhdan+oxford+dictionary   @byzantinepower Permalink 3:12 PM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Revival of Greek Identity in Syria: Interview with Operation Antiochhttp://katehon.com/article/revival-greek-identity-syria-interview-operation-antioch   Permalink 2:05 PM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The more literary version of #DrainTheSwamp or F***you elections is Hercules cleaning the Augean stables. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augeas  https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/791648893725450240   Permalink 11:59 AM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb People have trouble understanding that sample mean != true mean, as we saw with BS artist Pinker. @DrCirillo @DCosmology Permalink 7:22 AM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The reasons to shut down social “science”: 1) It is largely BS, 2) Academics firmly believe their job is to *think* for the rest of us. Permalink 7:17 AM – 27 Oct 2016

@tparsi The neocons are salivating… Clinton Adviser: Let’s Attack Iran to Aid Saudis in Yemen http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/10/clinton-adviser-lets-attack-iran-to-aid-saudis-in-yemen.html?mid=twitter-share-di   @mehdirhasan @rezaaslan Permalink 8:45 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Invitation to my #Antifragile lecture tomorrow in Tokyo. So far >3000 rgstrd. #東京国際フォーラム http://bit.ly/2dyNu8P  pic.twitter.com/3vgpUsgW37 Permalink 7:23 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I see people focusing on the task not just the fruit of the task. This is refreshing. (Tokyo) Permalink 3:49 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My brief impression of Japan: life is a sequence of elegantly executed rituals. Permalink 3:40 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Japan: life is a sequence of skillfully executed rituals. Permalink 3:36 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The New Testament was written in the capital of Syria, Antioch, in (bad) Greek. @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:24 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Beirut school of law kept Latin because Imperial law remained in Latin. @i_contemplate_ @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:13 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb People know that most influential Greek city >3rd C was Alexandria… in Egypt. They don’t extend to other cities on the Med. Permalink 2:12 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Beirut was diglossic in the sense that it was the only Eastern city was Latin was used, to the horror of Libanius. @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:06 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 2) Too OBVIOUS:It is practically impossible to physically distinguish an urban Western Syrian (Sunni or Christian) from a Greek. Impossible. Permalink 2:04 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Levant was diglossic except in coastal cities where it was all Greek. @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:00 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb We have 2 stories of Syria, Greco-Roman v/s Arab. Salibi fell for the Arab fabrication. Maps are both preIslamicpic.twitter.com/5vCH62Irv3 Permalink 1:55 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb More complete copy explaining steps in red. Full integral is just extra. @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/JKbbNkECzn Permalink 12:38 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Many are virtuous for lack of opportunity. [Revised] Permalink 7:53 AM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb So many people think of themselves as honest simply because they can’t manage to steal. Permalink 10:50 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Problem: as a probabilist I focus on what’s missing from “evidence”. @DrCirillo & I have started foundations of statistical historiography.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/790892396892610564   Permalink 3:43 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb “If my enemies knew me better, they would hate me even more; If my friends knew me better, they would like me even more” Bed of Procrusteshttps://twitter.com/neelakandan1212/status/791032201752129536   Permalink 2:59 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Do you accept this proof? (On a 14h plane ride to Tokyo) @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/H7A1AUAd9R Permalink 1:58 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Is it me, or there is something profoundly, profoundly unphilosophical about ranking philosophers?https://twitter.com/davidpapineau/status/790989024785641472   Permalink 1:00 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You are welcome @Scaramuccihttps://twitter.com/scaramucci/status/790982370774118400   Permalink 11:40 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb But I got a lot of pple trying to “bully” me: GMO shills, IYIs, Saudi lobbyists, economists & only when I care I bully the sh$t out of them Permalink 9:42 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The very idea of deadlifting is that you don’t feel “bullied” except of course when done by (some) large animals. @CoachRippetoehttps://twitter.com/scottadamssays/status/790948569293336577   Permalink 9:22 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb .@Barkinka1 You need to 1) read Arabic script, 2) understand old Turkish. The intersection is very very rare. Permalink 8:38 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Turks have wonderful archives nobody can read because in Arabic script. Some in Syriac script. @trscbrs @peterfrankopan Permalink 8:22 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Bingo! Arab is called Tayyaye (Tayyoyo), apparently from Bani Tayy, or Tayyoun or Tyan or closer to Babylon: Sarqaya! @BlackWhiteKnite Permalink 8:21 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Kamal Salibi is an amateur at best, blinded by protestant-fueled Arab nationalism @GhassanDahhan @peterfrankopanpic.twitter.com/Mr39wnA6sL Permalink 8:14 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Aramaic du jour. Quiz: what is the designation for Arab (i.e. from Arab tribes) in Syriac? Permalink 8:00 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The minority rule in action. Money tawks and BS walks https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.vmhfiqpww  https://twitter.com/GMWatch/status/790922366989643777   Permalink 7:27 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Because when you put historical fabrications on social media, you are bound to account for it. @Abunass3r @GhassanDahhan @peterfrankopan Permalink 7:24 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Gaps: historians tend to mistake absence of evidence for evidence of absence. Historiographical approach in The Black Swan @peterfrankopan Permalink 5:47 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Tempted to write a Brief History of Syria using Aramaic/Greek/Armenian/Persian/Turkic sources instead of Arab propaganda. @peterfrankopan Permalink 5:26 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Fat Tonys do not debate Dr Johns. When they do, they do it for entertainment, not to win. They prefer the moneyhttps://twitter.com/marcushewitson/status/790876747608707072   Permalink 4:28 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The @EmanuelDerman approach visualized. The combination lies inside the sphere @financequant @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/aURW4SKFaB Permalink 12:10 PM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb While US & Russia bicker over bones, China is slowly swallowing the Pacific. Just as in 1208->1230s before Ghengis.https://twitter.com/GennadySimanovs/status/790625087359778818   Permalink 11:50 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb .@financequant @EmanuelDerman @CutTheKnotMath 4) What makes math unique & diverse is that approaches are *duals* to one another. Permalink 11:40 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb With some geometry @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/VC12s2bpnz Permalink 10:10 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Real World Risk Certificate, 4th class, Feb 6-10 2017 RWRI-4 http://www.realworldrisk.com   Permalink 9:11 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Resting is valuable only if you are resting *from* something. Permalink 7:49 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Finally, as we converge to equality from below @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/Fg3m8uOiui Permalink 7:02 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Graphical representation: ridge a=b for different values of c. Can’t get a clean RegionPlot3D. @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/Vo5RYHRPvS Permalink 6:53 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My kind of response (except more polite). Journalism is the last refuge of the rejects of the information age.https://twitter.com/MilenaRodban/status/790538546184544256   Permalink 6:06 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 3) So all you got is failed scholars with Ivy League degrees living hand to mouth. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink 5:08 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 2) I never ran into a smart person whose ambition was to become a propagandist. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink 5:03 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 1) At the risk of being offensive, Mr Itani, pbm w/shills is lack of intelligence. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink 5:02 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Mr Itani, you think we do not know about the EXACT sources of funds of @MiddleEastInst ? @faysalitani @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister @EHSANI22 Permalink 4:56 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Something strange with correlation distributions under fat tails; althought they don’t technically “exist”:pic.twitter.com/MTBZssPo9H Permalink 4:01 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb No leftist should EVER consider Shillary, warmonger, cronyist, corrupt, shill. Pick any other candidate, to taste.https://twitter.com/maxbsawicky/status/790293484204920832   Permalink 1:50 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Force @TheEconomist to live in Syria under an ISIS regime. Add to that the pseudoleftists who support Shillary.https://twitter.com/OnatMansur/status/790280073148522497   Permalink 1:38 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Foretaste: thanks to pseudoleftist IYIs, neighborhoods in Paris, Brussels & London will be modelled after E Aleppo.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/790239391276994560   Permalink 12:36 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Nobel itself is impolite, arrogant, arbitrary, hierarchical… It is not arrogant to ignore unsollicited calls.http://www.telegraph.co.uk/music/news/nobel-academy-member-calls–bob-dylan-impolite-and-arrogant/   Permalink 5:58 AM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb This BS picture was retweeted >11k. Yet the picture was made in 2013 in Dubai.https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/789852854227984384   Permalink 4:16 AM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb It is neither cheap nor easy. It is called conflict of interest & @Charles_Lister is a prostitute. @faysalitani @EHSANI22 @MiddleEastInst Permalink 1:00 PM – 22 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Fooled by Correlations, a MiniMooc tutorial.https://youtu.be/yUooqL47akM   Permalink 6:50 AM – 22 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Atheism is not part of Paganism. Atheism is an extreme version of Protestantism.https://twitter.com/ektrit/status/789774672091029504   Permalink 4:38 AM – 22 Oct 2016

@GhassanDahhan Compare the coverage of Mosul and East Aleppo and it tells you a lot about the propaganda we consumehttp://www.independent.co.uk/voices/iraq-syria-aleppo-mosul-patrick-cockburn-propaganda-we-consume-a7373951.html   Permalink 2:19 AM – 22 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Truth is in the extremes. There is no noise in the far tails. Permalink 5:12 PM – 21 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In flaneurmobile with coach Rippetoe; he promised a one rep max of 500 lbs within 1-2 years.pic.twitter.com/LXHQezPN1q Permalink 5:45 AM – 21 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I do presses. No bench. @debabyatskiy @chaslutz @CoachRippetoe Permalink 12:18 PM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Squid Ink … Got @CoachRippetoe addicted!pic.twitter.com/LeGwlOq0U7 Permalink 12:17 PM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb With @CoachRippetoe in New York heating to the squid ink place.pic.twitter.com/kM9BCvBeI0 Permalink 9:51 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb in·tel·lec·tu·alˌ in(t)əˈlek(t)SH(əw)əl/ noun: intellectual 1.an idiot deprived of clarity of mind trying to hide it under complication. Permalink 6:30 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb For the list of typical IYI you,@dandrezner, weren’t suggested. Is it because you carry no influence? [Watch Drezner’s frenetic responses] Permalink 5:24 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You can expect in return to see Germany supporting the Syrian “rebels”.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/789075781762834432   Permalink 5:15 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb If math-economics has failed, it isn’tn because math failed; since Samuelson social science has been bullshitting us with the WRONG math. Permalink 5:02 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb …another example of complication without rigor busted with higher math. Economists’ GMM is dressed up BS. @NessimAitKacimi Permalink 4:58 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I agree with results but this is TOTAL statistical BS: method of moments fails under fat tails. @NessimAitKacimipic.twitter.com/oUNtqcsG3S Permalink 4:50 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb We cherish bards like Bob Dylan for the combination of depth and simplicity in comparison to intellectuals both shallow and complicated. Permalink 5:26 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Sounds familiar! @nichnachnoch @peterfrankopanpic.twitter.com/VBTknzCKCN Permalink 3:52 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Put these investors through psychiatric evaluation. Except that they are not investing their OWN money. SITG.https://twitter.com/mhmalek/status/788868445349838848   Permalink 3:31 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The US supported “rebels” are not allowing civilians to exit E #Aleppo. We get different stories talking to locals!https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/788789130109001728   Permalink 3:07 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Total BS. Who are they fooling? Blame Wahhabism for terrorism.https://twitter.com/Confusezeus/status/788779801838514176   Permalink 9:40 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb For happiness, avoid social life w/ those who place others in a hierarchy, across activities: “best writer”, “best plumber”, “richest”, etc. Permalink 5:16 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Voila! Young Bob Dylan calling out a journo for his BS profession. Bob Dylan Interview with Time Magazinehttps://youtu.be/mnl5X5MQKTg   Permalink 4:13 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The allies did break up Germany into small statelings. It worked. https://twitter.com/otootsmcgroots/status/788685646470733824   Permalink 3:36 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Federations like pre-WWII US don’t like wars. @hrishio @dav33241 Permalink 3:29 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Italy, in 500 years of city states had many many tiny wars and tiny casualties. Post unification, WW1: 680,000 killed. @dav33241 Permalink 3:22 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Next week in Tokyo, invitaion to my lecture http://hsiftokyo.hitachi/invitation/hsif2016_invitation_en_001.pdf   Permalink 3:20 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Centralized systems make wars inevitable.https://twitter.com/spectator/status/788665513266257920   Permalink 3:15 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb This adds to @yaneerbaryam ‘s argument.https://twitter.com/plektix/status/788470570669207552   Permalink 2:23 PM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Did Trump read the MS Skin-in-the-game? Trump to propose 5y lobbying ban on executive branch officials http://reut.rs/2ep5MIl   via @Reuters Permalink 1:27 PM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb So finance people are free to follow, but they should stay quiet. @LadyFOHF Permalink 7:03 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I block financiaphasters who put my handle, such as @LadyFOHF & friends just to escape the vulgarity of financiaphasters. Permalink 7:01 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The extended version #Nobel and the sanctified aspect of literature.pic.twitter.com/FkSAqyG9Mz Permalink 6:52 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Don’t look for pleasure in convents, love in bordellos,intellect on campuses, wisdom in senates,nobility in law firms, & literature in Vegas Permalink 6:14 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I never ax Fat Tony for aesthetic advice @d_ramsden Permalink 6:07 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Finito: Fooled by the Randomness of Correlation! https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/CorrelationDistribution.nb.pdf  pic.twitter.com/vpg0flgywE Permalink 4:22 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 5/What is bothering me isn’t Dylan, but exalting as “Literature” somthng highly commercial performed in Vegas! As if books with ads in them! Permalink 3:26 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@DrCirillo How can we characterize tail risk in loss distributions? Can inequality measures help? Comments are very welcome. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2850949   Permalink 2:44 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 2- So they were nonSemitic tribes from North who took the Accadian language. Look at Assyrians, Ezidis, Kurds: similarities. Permalink 2:24 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 1-Specultn du Jour: Mossul (Nineveh)≉pop frm Babylon wch they conquered,Assyrians more (to this day) Euro/Mediterranean looking than Iraqis. Permalink 2:23 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Jihadi rebels (Saudi financed) are ALSO bombing Aleppo. Why is it that the media in 2016 is worse than 1516?https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/788106138797694976   Permalink 4:59 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Thank you twitter. Other than a few personal friends/acquaintances, I am followed by NO journalist, NO economist, & no psycholophaster. Permalink 2:30 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Skin in the game.https://twitter.com/a_lesniewski/status/788125778076692480   Permalink 2:23 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My enemies are vastly more predictable than my friends. Permalink 1:50 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My respect goes to Bob Dylan.https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/oct/17/nobel-prize-bob-dylan-unable-to-reach?CMP=share_btn_tw   Permalink 12:18 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I cannot believe that the US is siding with AlQaeda in Syria just to spite Russia. I just cannot.https://twitter.com/RonPaulInstitut/status/788083699485204480   Permalink 11:34 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb There is a neuroscience of why people believe bullshit like this as science when it has “neuro” in it. Really.https://twitter.com/thescienceofus/status/788059882691895296   Permalink 10:06 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 5) Worse than p-values. Academics tend to severely misunderstand correlation. The most used statistical metric!pic.twitter.com/t8xCHUrNo1 Permalink 9:09 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 1) Define castrati. 2) How do they overlap with IYI? @GadSaadhttps://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.dl2xbnojw   Permalink 8:03 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb And flow of funds ro lobbyists in DChttps://twitter.com/newsweekme/status/787979470124773376   Permalink 6:46 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@Shaunaob Looking forward to #kilkenomics More events added @kilkenomics @davidmcw @nntaleb @stephenkinsella @GuerillaEcon #kilkenny @LiamHalliganpic.twitter.com/8h2z5Iesch Permalink 5:31 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Randomness in correlation: Extracting the exact bias from “data hacking” for d variables with n points per variable.pic.twitter.com/LgewzHuN5u Permalink 5:00 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Emanuel, the Podesta fraud has been caught/humiliated so he is trying to win argument with “best revenge is to live well”.@EmanuelDerman Permalink 3:08 PM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb An excellent book!https://twitter.com/drjasonfung/status/787723289183608832   Permalink 11:49 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower Always the Lebanese isn’t it? Dismantling our finest propaganda…https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/787716493110808576   Permalink 11:35 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Randomness in correlations. An exact derivation for n small. Started in a Moscow café and completed on plane back.pic.twitter.com/cQdWUHrkxB Permalink 10:59 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Mr @johnpodesta, honorable pple would rather starve than eat lobster risotto paid w/ shilling/lobbying immoral fundshttps://twitter.com/johnpodesta/status/786988264985100288   Permalink 9:34 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Some realizations are delayed, particularly when they entail denial. They don’t go away. #SaudiBarbaria et al.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/787355884880007169   Permalink 11:47 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Russia is a place where doing mathematics in a café in a central district is very, very normal.pic.twitter.com/JYVzgl1vTz Permalink 1:47 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Some Russian historians are revising some accounts of his temperamental reactions… shaky sources. @ramsay_randall Permalink 1:13 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Boyars write history. Common folks plow the fields. @Bernd__Neuner Permalink 1:10 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I wonder if Shillary Clinton/MSM/SaudiLobbyists did not do a smear campaign against Ivan the Terrible. “Terrible?” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivan_the_Terrible_in_Russian_folklore   Permalink 1:04 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Heuristic: never trust someone’s historical analogies if (as is common with policymakers) his historical knowledge starts in 1934. Permalink 7:48 AM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb School destroys the aura and appeal of real literature.https://twitter.com/stan_yurin/status/786834419097210880   Permalink 1:11 AM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Na zdorovie!pic.twitter.com/EF2Ra87prX Permalink 12:41 PM – 14 Oct 2016

@LegInsurrection .@washingtonpost WH bureau chief @eilperin tips off Podesta abt upcoming story — this is y ppl don’t trust media https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/9149  pic.twitter.com/a1jColKu5e Permalink 7:55 AM – 14 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In Moscow nobody (in lit circles) knows Dostoyeski’s Crocodile in which he shows the absurdity of ppls of economics!pic.twitter.com/6jHFN5CirV Permalink 4:09 PM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 4/ Literature, so far, is the only intellectual discipline that escaped academia. Don’t let the pol-correct profs debase it! #NobelDylan Permalink 12:09 PM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Why on earth should you pay attention to a prize that was never granted to JL Borges, but given to Bob Dylan? Permalink 7:25 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb That you like Bob Dylan’s songs &listen to them while driving to work doesn’t make them literature. Literature is something deeper. Kapish? Permalink 7:21 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Would you be surprised if Kim Kardashian won a Nobel Prize “for bringing mundane concepts into public discussions?” Permalink 7:13 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb As expected idiotic lobbyists managed to butcher the Black Swan idea. @zerohedgepic.twitter.com/fLul5rB5dR Permalink 6:59 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Prizes are so absurd they end up debasing themselves, like currencies. -Bob Dylan -Barak Obama -Economistshttps://twitter.com/NobelPrize/status/786522083111030784   Permalink 6:13 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@SenWarren A bank CEO should not be able to oversee a massive fraud & simply walk away to enjoy his millions in retirement. Permalink 4:13 PM – 12 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Skin in the game!https://twitter.com/TheNostromoDos/status/786295846400733184   Permalink 4:14 PM – 12 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In his response,@FiveThirtyEight, proved he really did not understand 1)probability, 2)time series,3)how to respond.https://twitter.com/jasonawe83/status/785857965345701888   Permalink 8:34 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Best tasting sandwiches, with Ukrainian tomatoes & bread, before I devoured the whole plate. @cdipaola62pic.twitter.com/sOjzR3nYEA Permalink 5:03 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Voila. Saudi Barbaria’s cover aid to Jihadis.https://twitter.com/ghassandahhan/status/785786864628211712   Permalink 5:00 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb On my way to Moscow (for, among other things, drinking) via Minsk as one can’t fly to Russia from The Ukraine. Permalink 1:53 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb What @peterfrankopan reveals is something few realized before owing to overestimation of Mongolian wars: was followed by a Pax Mongoliana! Permalink 7:16 AM – 10 Oct 2016

@nntaleb All day seminar lekchur in Kyiv.pic.twitter.com/ZjSqnG4GKY Permalink 3:01 AM – 10 Oct 2016

Syria, Kiev, Gary Johnson, Kosterlitz-Thouless | Twitter

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@nntaleb Feeding children w/fallacious stat reasoning: 75% of all inmates are dropouts ⇏ 75% of all dropouts become inmates.https://twitter.com/Brilliant_Ads/status/785236664721473536   Permalink 3:10 PM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Like Gadhafi, like Saddam. Presidential candidate Clinton says removing Assad in Syria is No. 1 priorityhttp://reut.rs/1MaTg7s   Permalink 11:01 AM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Where are the IYI “politically correct” warriors?https://twitter.com/holland_tom/status/785115749484494849   Permalink 7:05 AM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In Kiev, preparing to get drunk with Ukranians. Permalink 5:46 AM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Good point, but NYT has economists writing columns. That is far worse in BS than astrology.https://twitter.com/johnallenpaulos/status/784906881697316865   Permalink 5:25 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Imbecile Economist. Outing author who wants to stay private not the same as protecting citizens ag corporates/stateshttps://twitter.com/theeconomist/status/784648869640568832   Permalink 5:14 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@RaniaKhalek My favorite is Hillary Clinton calling anti-fracking environmental groups a Russian conspiracy #PodestaMailspic.twitter.com/FJaWauL7IH Permalink 12:11 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb There is no possible way on earth I will have an intellectual exchange w/man in sandals w/socks. My right to be closed minded. @VernonGlobal Permalink 4:06 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb RWRI 3 went great! Dense & humorous, w/ @yaneerbaryam @financequant RWRI 4 for Feb 6-10 http://www.realworldrisk.com  pic.twitter.com/crdUFRxODk Permalink 4:03 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb How I feel about IYIs: imagine nerdy professors in birkenstocks (with socks) playing mafiosi roles in a movie.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/784844960726130688   Permalink 3:55 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Who is the most representative of the Intellectual Yet Idiot Class? Name names!https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.bmlfge57z   Permalink 12:56 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb “When she shouts that what you did is *unforgivable*,she has already started to forgive you”. Bed of Procrustes, p18https://twitter.com/asymmetricinfo/status/784805613922508800   Permalink 12:29 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You forget Fannie Mae. There has never been more incompetent (decorated) person in history than IYI @JosephEStiglitz . Never. @GreekAnalyst Permalink 12:25 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb A generalized functions approach for distribution of sample correlations, Part 1. (Saturday relaxation after RWRI 3)pic.twitter.com/nWm5ByBf5O Permalink 10:22 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Thank you Saudi apologist neo-cons.https://twitter.com/BBCBreaking/status/784801357383499776   Permalink 10:15 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb An option trader can easily understand the nonsense in @FiveThirtyEight’s: he prices options without time value.https://twitter.com/Chris_arnade/status/782242957940391936   Permalink 4:35 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Gary Johnson.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/784705827110289408   Permalink 4:28 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@alphabetsuccess Resist trying to impress your enemies. – NNTaleb #quote #wisdom #ThursdayThoughtspic.twitter.com/c22XBBI4Wr Permalink 1:47 PM – 6 Oct 2016

@GarthGodsman @byzantinepower Not every day you see the word theosis in a tweet Permalink 2:09 AM – 7 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Cardano @davidliebersonpic.twitter.com/TUHoPnmxS6 Permalink 5:03 PM – 6 Oct 2016

@VergilDen “Statistics isn’t about discovering correlations, it’s about eliminating coincidence.” @nntaleb @financequant #RWRI Permalink 9:10 AM – 6 Oct 2016

@nntaleb RWRI 3, day 4: Data can be used for DIS-confirmation. Power laws can be seen as the REJECTION of all other classes of models. @financequant Permalink 9:05 AM – 6 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Profs of pol “sience” are so dumb (e.g. @dandrezner) that their argument ag. dumb people voting applies to themhttp://nymag.com/scienceofus/2016/10/dissecting-a-professors-argument-against-dumb-people-voting.html?mid=twitter-share-scienceofus   Permalink 6:08 AM – 6 Oct 2016

@gravity_levity My attempt to illustrate the main idea behind the Kosterlitz-Thouless transition, central to today’s Nobel prize http://www.ribbonfarm.com/2015/09/24/samuel-becketts-guide-to-particles-and-antiparticles/  pic.twitter.com/fP3Ji4BZmy Permalink 11:17 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb RWRI 3, Yaneer Bar Yam explaining how things don’t average in complex systems #Antifragilepic.twitter.com/pJdJ9Fg87N Permalink 12:57 PM – 5 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I meant Julius Bassianus. Permalink 7:29 AM – 5 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Domna is from the Emesian aristocracy (now Homs), like Steve Job’s ancestors. Jacobus Barnaus.https://twitter.com/ticiaverveer/status/783664099695656960   Permalink 7:23 AM – 5 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I just published “Foreword to Ed Thorp’s Memoirs (A Man for All Markets)”https://medium.com/p/foreword-to-ed-thorps-memoirs-a-man-for-all-markets-6beba78cd2b   Permalink 5:47 PM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The “independence” of the media:https://youtu.be/E96lAHygeIU   Permalink 5:03 PM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb As Cato (elder) said, better be asked why there is no statue honoring you than the reversehttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/783251194915454976   Permalink 5:27 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I wish a Nobel Prize to one of my economist enemies so he feels the insecurity of a pedestal. Permalink 3:23 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower You will be civilised on the day you can spend a long period doing nothing without feeling the slightest amount of guilt NN Taleb Permalink 3:00 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower Over the long term, you are more likely to fool yourself than others. NN Taleb Permalink 3:04 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower For a classicist, a competitive athlete is painful to look at; trying too hard to become an animal NN Taleb Permalink 3:08 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower Mental clarity is the child of courage NN Taleb Permalink 3:17 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb REWRI 3, Day 1 in our new space. Raphael lecturing (http://Www.realworldrisk.com  )pic.twitter.com/7pUQYmxwNl Permalink 11:02 AM – 3 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Rederived from scratch distrib of correlation function for windows @WLTSchirano @DrCirillo @sapinker @alxpr1c3pic.twitter.com/2iDoBUW44i Permalink 6:19 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Megali Doxologia (Great Doxology) in Greco-Syrian. المَجْدَلَة الكُبْرَى / يوناني ـ عربيhttps://youtu.be/znL0c5C0-jo   Permalink 5:56 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The reason is that no charlatan would willingly do anything that harms his reputation. Marker is costly signaling.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/782658001668870149   Permalink 4:01 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Point is: NO charlatan would do anything that harms his reputation. It is a marker, what’s called costly signaling. Kapish? @BrianePagel Permalink 3:56 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@IrritatedNimby @lord9h @nntaleb Hayek on Talebpic.twitter.com/FKkkMRwUUW Permalink 2:31 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Simple heuristic: treat public intellectuals as BSvendors except those who hold unpopular opinions,expose frauds, take risks, curse publicly Permalink 12:06 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Forward for Ed Thorp’s memoir. Comments/Corrections welcome. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/Foreword%20Thorp.pdf   Permalink 11:16 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Actually problem w/@sapinker is worse:paper shows that,if anything,we underestimated violence. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1609.02369.pdf   @alxpr1c3 @DrCirillo Permalink 8:29 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb LATEST: Prof Spagat has retracted his claim that F14a was wrong; he said he made an error. Pinker shd learn from him. @DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink 8:13 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Getting arithmetic wrong. Tax loss carryover means one has paid taxes in past for profits later lost/or reverse.https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/782569967933853696   Permalink 6:20 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Very inefficient. Can’t believe liberals could be pro-Saudi Arabia, pro-Wahabis, pro large corps/globabilization, anti artisans! @neilchriss Permalink 6:16 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Pasquale, the point is not about theories/data, but elementary stats. What would you w/someone who can’t read an…ACF?@DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink 6:14 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@Nour_Samaha Dear @katieforster, I’m assuming this is your first foray in the #Syria issue. I suggest you do some research firstpic.twitter.com/T45JhOjXOb Permalink 5:52 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Keep trying Pinker boy, keep trying! @sapinkerpic.twitter.com/cw4HslcED0 Permalink 5:05 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Get off twitter.https://twitter.com/Hanifkureishi/status/779951411538919424   Permalink 4:18 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb John Durant has an explanation. Also explain Halal against eating pigs! @bitstein @johndurantpic.twitter.com/CShb8o6MXG Permalink 1:46 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb (for mammals) Permalink 1:31 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Is there a rule that we humans eat almost exclusively herbivores? Is it the reason we domesticate cats, dogs, things we don’t eat? Curious. Permalink 1:30 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Much more colorful than my approach to bankers/economists.https://twitter.com/byzantinepower/status/782303266797330432   Permalink 12:41 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Why laws in societies come from the minority rule: A probabilistic argument.pic.twitter.com/nh3yALVZzu Permalink 7:04 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Another way to see it: Mix white w/dark blue. The result in any combination>2-5% is never light blue, but dark blue.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.o50wvemav   Permalink 6:04 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Neocons. More to come.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/782202283849285632   Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb If someone showed you articles abt Trump, you would have estimated that polls ~0% (just wife & butler voting for him). The press is dying. Permalink 5:56 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The cluelessness of @anneapplebaum: like a detail-oriented assistant-plumber expounding on statistical mechanics.https://twitter.com/BryanAppleyard/status/782182348498604032   Permalink 5:21 AM – 1 Oct 2016

India-Pakistan, Nudging, Meat, The Incerto, Richard Thaler, The Intellectual Yet Idiot | Twitter

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@nntaleb Any cardiologist in the room? Is a *simple* test of volatility of heart rate powerful enough? Thanks! #Antifragilepic.twitter.com/ZdW7ojvfAq Permalink 11:36 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb السلاح ب ايد الخرا بيجرح Permalink 10:25 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 2/Trump n’est qu’un marchand de pacotille; Hilarante une interventioniste belliqueuse Permalink 10:23 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Pas du tout vrai. Hilarante est avide de guerre, prete a déstabiliser le systeme, a causer des cygnes noirs.https://twitter.com/lemondefr/status/781086600549830656   Permalink 10:19 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@RonPaulInstitut Syria – The US Propaganda Shams Now Openly Fail http://bit.ly/2dx2nuO   Permalink 9:05 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 3/ You cannot expect @Grurray points out a sect with suicide bombers to play tit-for-tat as in your textbooks! *Nuclear* suicide bombers… Permalink 6:00 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 2/ Something in Pakistan has been strange, as we know from the Bin Laden episode. In time, about every inconsistency becomes apparent. Permalink 5:51 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Is it me? This India-Pakistan thingy is a very serious. Countries just don’t have direct “skirmishes”. Permalink 5:36 AM – 30 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Skin in the game.https://twitter.com/byzantinepower/status/779901599170736128   Permalink 6:52 PM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Procrustes 2nd Edition, UK (Penguin)pic.twitter.com/E7f4XGaM4v Permalink 1:05 PM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I was not worried about the European banking system until a European finance minister said to not worry.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/781545314347954176   Permalink 10:36 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The Reverse! Logistic is most elegant natural distribution, Normal is an adjustment to it. @ProbFactpic.twitter.com/00OKWbauMP Permalink 9:53 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@robertwrighter Enjoyed chatting w @MaxAbrahms on @bloggingheads about whether Hillary’s or Trump’s foreign policy is scarier: http://bloggingheads.tv/videos/43967?in=02:15&out=65:45   Permalink 6:20 PM – 28 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This is the real problem, compounded by an increase in age-conditional life expectancy.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/781467564396449793   Permalink 5:20 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Huge step in @WolframResearch Mathematica 11: Expression of functions in terms of MeijerG https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Meijer_G-function   pic.twitter.com/L5eIFmRSh0 Permalink 4:29 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb BTW, evidence that @michikokakutani is pathologically crazy.Not just incompetent; crazy. @MarkHarrisNYC @holland_tompic.twitter.com/WJmYRdxILz Permalink 4:01 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb My point is that a nudger would make your “choice architecture” into helmets. Wrong norms. @han0z @paulmarsha @gaijinrage Permalink 3:24 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 2) In Lebanon the absence of president has been a great thing, shifting a bit of power to the municipalities. Permalink 3:19 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Another reason “nudging” is dangerous.https://twitter.com/gaijinrage/status/781389651886088192   Permalink 3:13 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Lesson from the 2016 election: an evolved decentralized country w/adults in it & developed legal machinery shouldn’t need a president. Permalink 3:09 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb It is precisely because there is money that vultures will destroy Saudi Barbaria. @Jamal_A_Salem Permalink 2:49 AM – 29 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Thank you, the democratic system worked. Obama can be pre-bought by Saudi Barbaria, but we got enough.https://twitter.com/wadewire/status/781236629444894720   Permalink 2:46 PM – 28 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Paternalistic IYI: “Av citizen doesn’t know where Syria is”. To be compatible w/democracy don’t drag them into smthg thy aren’t curious abt. Permalink 5:59 AM – 28 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Also to test regress, n low, do residuals on beta dist since error bounded [(x,(1-x))-, +] @sbelak @DrCirillo @Petronas865 @NateSilver538 Permalink 5:15 AM – 28 Sep 2016

@nntaleb If @DrCirillo says data looks “funny”, then consider that data looks funny. @Petronas865 @NateSilver538 Permalink 3:58 AM – 28 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Yes the graph shows too much noise. From this & other stuff Silver patently fails to refine signal from noise.https://twitter.com/petronas865/status/780979459797217280   Permalink 3:32 AM – 28 Sep 2016

@nntaleb You can’t make this up. IYI ambassador to UNhttps://twitter.com/linaarabii/status/780937412419678212   Permalink 7:00 PM – 27 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Boris wants to swap UK for Turkey in EU.https://twitter.com/henrycporter/status/780890293520531457   Permalink 3:12 PM – 27 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Some results (with possible errors) for the Leiden paper. [Jet Lag, of course]pic.twitter.com/bokuv4iYPP Permalink 2:11 PM – 27 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Delenda Monsantohttps://twitter.com/FarmFairyCrafts/status/780682206171766784   Permalink 1:22 AM – 27 Sep 2016

@nntaleb *Most* Ancient Greeks ate meet only on festivals, after sacrificing to the gods, adding “most” for imbecile @davidgraeber nitpicking tweets Permalink 1:00 AM – 27 Sep 2016

@nntaleb My point is:limitation on meat eating in Greek Orthodoxy has *some* ancient origin, hence *some* forced variations.pic.twitter.com/P1IX4NbsWI Permalink 12:24 AM – 27 Sep 2016

@nntaleb David Graeber, if I call you imbecile, it is not without a reason. @davidgraeberpic.twitter.com/b7rfhnxcQa Permalink 11:55 PM – 26 Sep 2016

@night_review La dittatura delle minoranze: contro gli intolleranti ci vuole intolleranza, dice @nntalebhttp://bit.ly/2du123y   Permalink 11:47 PM – 26 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Turned out @AmbassadorPower is wife of idiot @CassSunstein, protagonist of my piece on IYIs https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.xr2afnzeh  https://twitter.com/snarwani/status/780145813573996544   Permalink 8:28 AM – 26 Sep 2016

@nntaleb History du jour: Shiism in Iran much earlier than Savafides, the 8th C. Khurramites mixed Shiism & Zoroastrianism. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khurramiyyah   Permalink 4:46 AM – 26 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Graeber is a LIAR. My point is that, empirically, an ACADEMIC job is not necessary to do research.cf #Antifragile @davidgraeber @Fedaykin98 Permalink 3:18 AM – 26 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Cor nitpickers, yes there were 4 male nonwaiters; ~10% Permalink 12:06 AM – 26 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Beirut restaurant: the only males are the waiters.pic.twitter.com/0kemqipHXJ Permalink 12:26 PM – 25 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Peter, @peterfrankopan beware: Al Arabiya is Saudi funded propaganda.https://twitter.com/alarabiya_eng/status/779969792266670080   Permalink 2:59 AM – 25 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Indeed Obama is protecting al Qaeda in Syria. This & the veto are unexplainable… his sympathy for Jihadis…https://twitter.com/28Pages/status/779822635009970176   Permalink 4:25 PM – 24 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Fat Tony attending a lecture.https://twitter.com/edefazio/status/779807743276359680   Permalink 4:18 PM – 24 Sep 2016

@nntaleb A business school professor lecturing on finance is like Hillary Clinton lecturing on deadlifting. Permalink 3:07 PM – 24 Sep 2016

@MaxAbrahms Coincidentally, earlier today I taught a whole class on realism by contrasting it with Hillary’s foreign policies:https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/779756341204320256   Permalink 12:04 PM – 24 Sep 2016

@nntaleb And the Companion Volume will be “Technical Incerto”. Permalink 7:09 AM – 24 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The Incerto finally became a single book. Don’t know when it will be sold.pic.twitter.com/1YUJrb4kFu Permalink 6:53 AM – 24 Sep 2016

@nntaleb La dittatura delle minoranze: Taleb mette in guardia dai rischi… contro gli intolleranti ci vuole intolleranza.http://www.pagina99.it/2016/09/24/perche-il-politicamente-corretto-e-una-minaccia-alla-liberta/   Permalink 3:27 AM – 24 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 10 old books feel very aged, out of place, out of sync. 200 year old books feel contemporary. 2000 year old bks feel fresh. #LindyEffect Permalink 6:02 PM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Mark, not complaining about the smear… I proved immune. I am complaining about showing me in an old picture! @CoachRippetoe @PennyKilkenny Permalink 5:46 PM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I don’t mind Monsanto’s smear campaign bt they show weightligting pics from 2015, before coaching by @CoachRippetoe!https://twitter.com/PennyKilkenny/status/779426138112360448   Permalink 5:24 PM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I blocked @MehreenKhn who is both a Jihadi advocate & ….appears to works for the FT! BTW never engage Salafis. Just jail them. Permalink 4:55 PM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb On way to Lebanon for a few days. I insist I feel safer than in Europe, as there is ZERO tolerance of Salafis. Zero. Permalink 1:55 PM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Me too.https://twitter.com/thekrissharma/status/779342902421917696   Permalink 8:57 AM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb “Airport Reading” you liar. Why are you lying, little parasite? http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTails.html   https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIR1o1dnk5ZmRaaGs/view   @florianederer @WGoetzmann Permalink 6:47 AM – 23 Sep 2016

@nntaleb He doesn’t pronounce 3ayn & 7et like natives & exaggerate diff Syriac-Aramaic. Hear the diff https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRwzJJmt1A8  pic.twitter.com/0ezVvCSqLR Permalink 7:18 PM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Small correction: Wstrn Syria spoke close to Galilean Aramaic; Syriac is Eastern. “Our Father” in Jewish Aramaic.https://youtu.be/i8IJOgMVE1Q   Permalink 6:37 PM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Shame. Shame.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/779010868583497728   Permalink 2:19 PM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I view science as a ruthless collision of originality & rigor; social science as the meeting of imitation & sloppiness. Permalink 9:39 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I view science as a ruthless collision of originality & rigor; (Much of social science fails on, not one, but both counts). Permalink 9:36 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I meant meat @drjasonfung @IDMProgram Permalink 9:32 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Ancient Greeks ate meet only on festivals, after sacrificing portion to the gods. Same for Semites. @drjasonfung @IDMProgram Permalink 7:23 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Just consider that carnivores have very stochastic intake compared to herbivores. @drjasonfung @IDMProgrampic.twitter.com/VblQKwJDMX Permalink 5:57 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I suspect that under variability in protein intake, the required quantities drop https://www.academia.edu/26660005/_Anti_Fragility_and_Convex_Responses_in_Medicine   @drjasonfung @IDMProgram Permalink 5:54 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Imbecile, ALL my tweets autodelete every 5 months. @davidgraeber Permalink 4:58 AM – 22 Sep 2016

@nntaleb David Graeber @davidgraeber tries to disqualify me from discussion because I had wealthy ancestors. Institutionalized envy. @Fedaykin98 Permalink 3:12 PM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb إذا أتتك مذمتي من ناقص فهي الشهادة لي بأني كامل: Mutanabbi @funtime_bobby Permalink 2:08 PM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Doorman calls you arrogant: you are an a**hole. Academic IYI calls you arrogant: certifies he can’t debunk your workhttps://twitter.com/davidgraeber/status/773598438915276800   Permalink 2:04 PM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Indeed. There are 650 pages (including this) in Antifragile, its topic. @funtime_bobby @EmanuelDerman @R_Thaler @cdipaola62 @CassSunstein Permalink 1:14 PM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb To put it in their terms,on top of other pbms, we are showing their “normative” (benchmarks) are fundamentally wronghttps://twitter.com/EmanuelDerman/status/777507246116855808   Permalink 12:38 PM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Is it me or Monsanto is trading as if the deal had ~20% chances of failing? Permalink 10:37 AM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb … Which explains the bias-variance problem: 538 is noisy (and biased) the other is less noisy but more biased. Permalink 10:13 AM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Predictwise is high for H but his updating is consistent & seems >rigorous vs statisticophaster @FIveTHirtyEighthttps://twitter.com/DavMicRot/status/778543535545053184   Permalink 8:17 AM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Our paper “Expected Shortfall Estimation for Apparently Infinite-Mean Models of Operational Risk” now in print.https://twitter.com/DrCirillo/status/778538693334368256   Permalink 4:44 AM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The @FiveThirtyEight unrigorous dynamic updating & how it should be: the outer blue line is how not to change proba.pic.twitter.com/RHTMsK1EDc Permalink 4:41 AM – 21 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This is why Silver is ignorant of probability.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/771372006914846720   Permalink 7:08 PM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Ha! Round turn. Trump 48%? @FiveThirtyEight proved again a few weeks later CLUELESS abt dynamics of probability.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/762032883414556674   Permalink 7:05 PM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This is pure nonsense, statistically.https://twitter.com/ByRosenberg/status/778084204881940480   Permalink 1:06 PM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb New edition of Procrustes, 50% longer. But, for Baal’s sake, shd only be read by pple who know what an aphorism is.https://www.amazon.com/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms/dp/0812982401/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=   Permalink 6:25 AM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Cheap tawk: Apologies never exist. You pay: money tawks and BS walks.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/778193424877060097   Permalink 5:58 AM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb A page frm @peterfrankopan that justifies my doubts w/@dottorpax about historical casualties, exaggerated for impactpic.twitter.com/uXWHTVw4tP Permalink 5:09 AM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Could the Maaloula Aramaic “Baddak” come from same root as “David” DWD (B-widdak => “You would like?”) ?pic.twitter.com/keTfIgWY7H Permalink 5:01 AM – 20 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 2/”Doesn’t even know the difference between Hecate and Hecuba”:Search for “Hecuba” jumps every pub of my piece(3 x)pic.twitter.com/O31CUZAeei Permalink 11:33 AM – 19 Sep 2016

@nntaleb From reactions to piece, discovered the IYI can’t tell the satirical from the literal. https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.6bjx10lta  pic.twitter.com/rJCOKTpyxX Permalink 11:15 AM – 19 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Lobbying is much, much cheaper than advertising or R&D to improve product, & has great payoff. Lobbying is immoral.https://twitter.com/GMWatch/status/777168168951382017   Permalink 8:30 AM – 19 Sep 2016

@nntaleb From my scratchpad: Beware of Richard Thaler’s results. Beware. @EmanuelDerman @R_Thaler @cdipaola62 @CassSunsteinpic.twitter.com/ajo7mjZl6b Permalink 3:02 PM – 18 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Nestlé Just Suffered a Major Defeat as Community Blocks Water Privatizationhttp://usuncut.com/resistance/nestle-fails-in-kunkletown/   Permalink 11:24 AM – 18 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Aramaic du jour: Baddak in Levantine doesn’t seem to come from Arabic but Aramaic; Ma3loula Western Aramaic.pic.twitter.com/TVLzW6dMwo Permalink 9:37 AM – 18 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Via negativahttps://twitter.com/TolstoySays/status/777525509445914624   Permalink 9:24 AM – 18 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Like prevent GMO labeling & steer choices? How long can these psychosophasters manage to fool us?https://twitter.com/R_Thaler/status/777273108927508482   Permalink 4:54 AM – 18 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I grew up w/Jesuits & @R_Thaler is amateur in casuistry.(Changed txt to “=deviation frm desired/prescribed protocol)https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/777216119761428480   Permalink 2:08 PM – 17 Sep 2016

@bparispoker @nntaleb my belated apologies to @SenSanders and @TimReillyPoker for being an IYI on GMO’s a couple months back Permalink 7:42 AM – 17 Sep 2016

@nntaleb “The Intellectual Yet Idiot” Added The IYI has been wrong on Stalinism, GMOs, Iraq, Libya, Syria, lobotomies,https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577?source=twitterShare-f138bf5466fe-1474115652   Permalink 5:35 AM – 17 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Problem du jour: find general form from sequence for \alpha ={1,2,…,n}pic.twitter.com/Bcn65yvGRE Permalink 3:48 AM – 17 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Max is good. Very good.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/776896248200724480   Permalink 2:38 PM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I thank @DrCirillo & others for 4-d depth into Extreme Tails w/ pioneers: de Haan,Balkema,Huesler,Eimahl, & chance to discuss my 2 papers. Permalink 2:05 PM – 16 Sep 2016

@alexcmeyer The best technology is the one you don’t even know is there. @nntaleb hits it on the headpic.twitter.com/17IO9g76YC Permalink 10:51 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I am on a plane deriving guilty pleasure reading comments by IYIs (Intellectual Yet Idiots) on the piece abt IYIs.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/776791885155332096   Permalink 10:54 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I just published “The Intellectual Yet Idiot”https://medium.com/p/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577   Permalink 7:36 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The ideological and financial roots of Jihadi terrorism are in Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/Dave_Hardwick/status/776758010332839936   Permalink 5:34 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The agro lobby is explicitly targeting researchers. Destroy the lives of lobbyists!https://twitter.com/jeanguisnel/status/776722914037080064   Permalink 3:27 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb ימח שמו וזכרו @GhassanDahhan يمحي اسموا و زكروا Permalink 3:23 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb You should only hit terrorism when the aim is eradication, not mitigation; otherwise they get stronger.https://twitter.com/space_nosleep/status/776663510881296384   Permalink 12:59 AM – 16 Sep 2016

@nntaleb If I know something about mergers, it is that they kill the companies, both the acquirer and the acquired.https://twitter.com/NonGMOProject/status/776427291635093504   Permalink 7:30 AM – 15 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Our turn to make them pay,@thackerpd, w/dividend. Revenge is to be eaten cold. Will help you get shill @keithkloor for the rest of his life. Permalink 2:06 PM – 14 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Voila: The beginning of the end for GMOs. If you have to shill so much, something is wrong.http://on.wsj.com/2cVUhLI   Permalink 1:55 PM – 14 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Put on 15lbs weightlifting .https://twitter.com/drcirillo/status/775971925642313728   Permalink 7:43 AM – 14 Sep 2016

@DrCirillo #ERHD Workshop Day 3. Einmahl, Taleb @nntaleb and the statistics of extremes. Permalink 11:46 PM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb It is as irrational to reject all conspiracy theories as it is to accept them. Permalink 2:13 PM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Better picture as @DrCirillo the organizer was hidden in the previous one.pic.twitter.com/DKmdCs8vVE Permalink 1:57 PM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Trappist “blond” beer Affligem, something else, 1000 years experience.pic.twitter.com/uOFxEAr3Af Permalink 10:45 AM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 70% of the Extreme Value mathematics flaneuring in Leiden by a canal. De Haan asked: “who are the other 30%?”pic.twitter.com/n9xgjY8ggW Permalink 10:12 AM – 13 Sep 2016

@BowenBBC Father Elias Adass, Maronite priest in Aleppo Old City stands in ruins of his church, destroyed by rebel fire.pic.twitter.com/95aLWmoOTR Permalink 8:27 AM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Balkema and de Haan, pillars of Extreme Value Theory, chatting at the Leiden workshop. https://www.google.nl/search?client=safari&rls=en&q=balkema+de+haan&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&gfe_rd=cr&ei=tc_XV4H2L-uGwAL8266QAw#q=pickands+balkema+de+haan  pic.twitter.com/Lar1lG9jCR Permalink 3:13 AM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This explains why I call her Hillary Monsanto-Malmaison, now AlSaud-Malmaison. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Château_de_Malmaison  https://twitter.com/pallaviwrites/status/775589402974224384   Permalink 2:43 AM – 13 Sep 2016

@singularityunl Borrowing a concept from @nntaleb, @carlovdweijer tells us about the #futureofmobility at #SUNLsummitpic.twitter.com/Pp47pkBiot Permalink 1:20 AM – 13 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The dirtiest man: @henryimiller a failed scientist you can hire to defame scientists. http://usrtk.org/hall-of-shame/why-you-cant-trust-henry-miller-on-gmos/  https://twitter.com/GMWatch/status/774880861137297408   Permalink 5:08 PM – 12 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The classical idea is to build mental, physical & moral fortitude to face the world #Antifragile Modern one is to change it technologically. Permalink 4:05 PM – 12 Sep 2016

Saudi Barbaria, Sunstein, B Quant Seminar, Erdogan, Salafism, FiveThirtyEight, Pareto 80/20 | Twitter

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Papers/articles by NNT  linked to in this tweet batch.
Where You Cannot Generalize from Knowledge of Parts (continuation of the Minority Rule)Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws (pdf)
MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE PREC PPLE (pdf)
PRE-ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOR AND FAT TAILEDNESS (pdf)

@nntaleb .@Nvania You are welcome to go follow and lecture someone else. There are a lot of journos on twitter. Permalink 3:27 PM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Coordinator for the defamation of Seralini, Henry I Miller,in charge of smearing me.4 articles. F**you money workshttps://twitter.com/madgeaustralia/status/774889523603845120   Permalink 2:42 PM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The right way to look at probability: how many 70 yo people w/heat strokes in % in East Coast today?https://twitter.com/pauld1981/status/775080526528978945   Permalink 2:19 PM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 2/ The other piece of evidence is that the bodyguards who caught Hillary Monsanto-AlSaud did not deadlift, or if they did, < 180 combined. Permalink 2:17 PM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The 3-5 daily prayers are Semitic: Judaism, Islam & early Christianity. Sa7ar both Hebrew 7 Arabic https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jewish_prayer   @vyoman @trscbrs Permalink 2:10 PM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This additional “nonhealth event” for Hillary Monsanto-Malmaison makes the probability that “nothing is wrong” less than 1/10,000. Finito. Permalink 2:06 PM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Thank you, Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/HaraldDoornbos/status/774876068306092032   Permalink 3:27 AM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb “Empirical” analyses = naive interpolation, Pinker-style, exactly what is not empirical.https://twitter.com/DrCirillo/status/774912361954209793   Permalink 3:24 AM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Just published “Where You Cannot Generalize from Knowledge of Parts (continuation of the Minority Rule)”https://medium.com/@nntaleb/where-you-cannot-generalize-from-knowledge-of-parts-continuation-to-the-minority-rule-ce96ca3c5739#.x8w2t93wk   Permalink 2:52 AM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Cialdini put me off w “scientific” abt psychology results to dress up #marketing. Psych not solid. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.07532.pdf   @ScottAdamsSays Permalink 1:45 AM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Lebanon: Discrimination against veils (later denied which in Lebanese means “confirmed”).pic.twitter.com/b8rLtTYvio Permalink 1:33 AM – 11 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Serendipitous Theology du Jour: the Zoroastrians had 101 names for Ahura Mazda, the Arabs 99 names of God. Similar. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101_Names_of_God   Permalink 3:48 PM – 10 Sep 2016

@nntaleb We have to do something about Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/hkx07/status/774735492415823872   Permalink 3:26 PM – 10 Sep 2016

@zerohedge The War Economy: CNN’s Wolf Blitzer Warns About Job Loss If US Stops Arming Saudi Arabiahttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-09-09/war-economy-cnns-wolf-blitzer-warns-about-job-loss-if-us-stops-arming-saudi-arabia   Permalink 5:01 PM – 9 Sep 2016

@leenur @nntaleb come to visit #Kazan. Our Islam allows churches next to mosques.pic.twitter.com/op7jXwIaB1 Permalink 1:27 PM – 9 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This article explains AntiFragility & problem of Syria http://www.michigansthumb.com/news/article/Defeating-terrorism-through-design-Think-souks-9211921.php   @gjbejjani @EHSANI22 Permalink 6:22 AM – 9 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Twitter, Did the agreement to streamline Russian visas for US citizens get stalled? Permalink 5:38 AM – 9 Sep 2016

@nntaleb On my way to Leiden (via Leb) to present 3 papers on tails at @DrCirillo ‘s conference on extremes. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1609.02369.pdf   Permalink 6:58 PM – 8 Sep 2016

@nntaleb IYI (Intellectual Yet Idiots) treat rest of population as idiots needing their supervision, upset when revealed as idiots! @swensn @PTetlock Permalink 10:31 AM – 7 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Levantine du jour: duplication, marriage, husb JawZe (from Aramaic) not Zawje (Arabic) from ‘Gawz =nut, duplication.pic.twitter.com/35ATW63srg Permalink 6:38 AM – 7 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Easy to understand the Putin-Erdogan connection when one is 1) Orthodox, 2) have Ottoman citizens ancestors (incl grandparents) for 439 y. Permalink 5:53 PM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Up until around Lepanto the Ottoman Empire was a weak continuation of the Byzantine/Eastern Roman Empire. Agree?https://twitter.com/peterfrankopan/status/773290424765124609   Permalink 5:25 PM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb You ned to realize that municipal decentralization is compatible with centralized military: Switzerland, USA,Roman/Ottoman Empires@EHSANI22 Permalink 3:42 PM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Should I follow instructions (oranges) or treat it as some legal disclaimer?pic.twitter.com/b67jVvig6Y Permalink 1:59 PM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Thanks, made the statement more precise: Infinity Shminfinity @canpeyanpic.twitter.com/Fl5Hgf5Hty Permalink 11:17 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb While I gladly take corrections on dentistry by dentists, out of disrespect, I pay no attention to psychologists. Kapish? @MurphPsych Permalink 11:05 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Sunstein is a BS vendor & psychologists too cluless to tell. Sadder fact to tell Tetlock to lay low on twitter. @Pseudoplotinus @PTetlock Permalink 10:20 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb My 2 talks. One more technical, one more central for life: (debunking idiots like Sunstein) https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/BloombergQuantSeminar1.pdf   https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/BloombergQuantSeminar2.pdf   Permalink 8:12 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb “Reductionist” often used by people (IYI) incapable by separating the necessary from the reduced. @SimaDiab @EHSANI22 Permalink 6:43 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Practicing Calabrez for 23 years.pic.twitter.com/W0spH32Wst Permalink 6:33 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Syria’s old problem has been Baathist centralization (#Antifragile). Simple re-municipalization removes the pressure. @SimaDiab @EHSANI22 Permalink 5:30 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb My first talk today at the B Quant Seminar: “There is no such thing as infinity in the Real World”. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/BloombergQuantSeminar1.pdf   Permalink 4:36 AM – 6 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The presidential debate will be …. interestinghttps://twitter.com/spectreforever/status/772963084906270720   Permalink 7:12 PM – 5 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Erdogan has the dream of every boss: loved by a majority, feared by the unanimity. Permalink 10:20 AM – 5 Sep 2016

@nntaleb What strikes me abt academics is that they keep comparing themselves to others. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10154116285273375  pic.twitter.com/zj45h9FJ95 Permalink 6:45 AM – 5 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The reality is that, while “analysts” & tawkingheads are barking, Erdogan is extremely popular in Turkey. So far.https://twitter.com/thevocaleurope/status/771632208171798529   Permalink 11:40 AM – 4 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Quants are invited to my Tuesday talk “Mathematical Foundations of Precaution”, BBG, with reception (wine). https://go.bloomberg.com/promo/invite/bloomberg-quant-seminar-series/   Permalink 10:42 AM – 4 Sep 2016

@nntaleb I am not writing Italian, but 1920s Kalabrez (Galabrez), a language some people call Calabrese, & Cavour assumed was Arabic. @jacopogio Permalink 11:47 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb 2) and we can observe the volatility much more than the underlying. @rroyji @FiveThirtyEight Permalink 11:32 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb For an option volatility often matters much, much more than underlying. @rroyji @FiveThirtyEight Permalink 11:26 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Posted paper on SSRN http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2834165   Permalink 11:17 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Simply an option has “time value” function of vol. For a binary, TV pushes it away from 1 or 0, closer to .5 Kapish?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/771372006914846720   Permalink 11:00 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Who are you trying to fool? Saudi Barbaria recently beheaded a Shiite cleric. @luhidan7777 @Leb12er Permalink 7:05 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Western Govs realize A) Salafis are bad & B)Saudi Barbaria is Salafi; but these idiots proved unable to connect A&B.https://twitter.com/Defenestrator13/status/772065953311883264   Permalink 6:43 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb This is Goooooooold. The prayer in Mecca to eradicate Shiites, Christians, and Jews. Who is Saudi Barbaria fooling?https://twitter.com/Leb12er/status/771916411388235776   Permalink 6:20 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb There was never many Christians in “Middle East”, almost only in Near-East (Eastern Med) and Northern Mesopotamia.https://twitter.com/mMeyer62/status/772058063733792768   Permalink 6:16 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Talmud Bavli in… Arabic 20- volume translation.pic.twitter.com/Rgsu7h1MjE Permalink 5:01 AM – 3 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Damascenes (and other Urban Syrians) look Greek.https://twitter.com/RanaHarbi/status/767459238914453505   Permalink 2:08 PM – 2 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The odometer was broken, so he refrained from riding his bicycle. His cycling didn’t count towards his “goal”. “Modernized” systems metrify. Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Actually, just realized, *pirated* version in Italian! Permalink 4:41 AM – 2 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Minority Rule in Italiano I più intolleranti vincono sempre: la dittatura della minoranzahttps://it.insider.pro/opinion/2016-08-29/the_most_intolerant_wins-_the_dictatorship_of_the_small_minority_part_i_9154/   Permalink 4:40 AM – 2 Sep 2016

@nntaleb The ratio male/female hurricanes is monstrously random, Maestro Marco, @MAvellaneda55pic.twitter.com/SSviVczJO3 Permalink 6:32 PM – 1 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Mediocristan, sub-Mediocristan because bounded. @nalinmoniz @FiveThirtyEight Permalink 6:23 PM – 1 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Maestro Marco @MAvellaneda55 This is BS, Pinker Style,(i.e. BS a la @sapinker). Affaire close.pic.twitter.com/HGi99138pk Permalink 6:15 PM – 1 Sep 2016

@MaxAbrahms Al Qaeda Is Gaining Strength in Syria http://sports.yahoo.com/news/al-qaeda-gaining-strength-syria-213320031.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw   I’ve predicted this outcome from Day 1 because a semblance of moderation pays. Permalink 5:06 PM – 1 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Point is “how common is it to have both?” in % of 2nd condition not just if possible.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/771426553725087748   Permalink 12:21 PM – 1 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Medical Quandaries: Can one have both low resting heart beat & hypertension low RHB & CVD? low RHB & insulin resist L RHB & metabolic s? Permalink 12:16 PM – 1 Sep 2016

@nntaleb How to price an election [DRAFT]; why @FiveThirtyEight should engage in some other business than prediction.pic.twitter.com/QfHYqE0DR5 Permalink 8:39 AM – 1 Sep 2016

@nntaleb Whaaaaaaat? Donald Trump went to Mexico?https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/771146302134423552   Permalink 5:44 PM – 31 Aug 2016

@GhassanDahhan Sometimes I miss the good old days when neo-conservative think tanks were called ‘neo-conservative think tanks’ instead of ‘non-partisan’. Permalink 12:52 PM – 31 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Our GMO discussion is here (updated) http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 6:04 AM – 31 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Llewelyn, @Charles_Lister is a fraud. @llewelyn_morgan Permalink 5:49 AM – 31 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Went from: IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) support GMOs to Those who support GMOs are IYIs. Why? IYIs can’t tell scientism from science. Permalink 5:47 AM – 31 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Christians in Syria. Those Shillary wants to ethnically cleanse for the benefit of Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/LinaArabii/status/770270385254363138   Permalink 4:41 AM – 31 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Lindy effecthttps://twitter.com/peterfrankopan/status/770920349944938496   Permalink 4:37 AM – 31 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 6:30 but never before.pic.twitter.com/2evbvTGO5B Permalink 3:43 PM – 30 Aug 2016

@RonPaulInstitut The Real US Syria Scandal: Supporting Sectarian War http://bit.ly/2c9eLMO   Permalink 12:38 PM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Redoing: What fits best for an IYI? Permalink 12:40 PM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Worth learning Arabic just to read comment by Wahabis upset w/Putin’s conference promoting tolerant CentAsian/Ottoman Sunnism #مؤتمر_الشيشان Permalink 11:35 AM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb What fits best for an IYI? Permalink 11:20 AM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb The IYI (intellectual yet idiot) class are like English or psych majors arguing with speaker in advanced mathematics seminar. #Notevenwrong Permalink 7:08 AM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Bingo! @han0z @zerohedge Here is the derivation:pic.twitter.com/MQ9KH0tZLM Permalink 6:15 AM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Just published thanks to comments by Maestro @MAvellaneda55 “Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws”https://www.academia.edu/28120847/Stochastic_Tail_Exponent_For_Asymmetric_Power_Laws?s=t   Permalink 5:56 AM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb ANNONCE: Je cherche a publier mon article sur la dictature des minorités en France. Merci d’avance.https://medium.com/@nntaled/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.nppetsqzg   Permalink 3:31 AM – 30 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Half of America owns 1% of America’s wealth => Pareto 80/20 (same inequality Pareto found in land ownership in Italy late 19th C) @zerohedge Permalink 7:30 PM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Quiz du jour: What is the tail exponent of the distribution, assuming it is power law (it is)?https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/770418048738164736   Permalink 5:52 PM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb If one 1) is a libertarian & 2) Believes SHillary is ill Then shouldn’t one voting for someone incapacitated?https://twitter.com/segal_scott/status/770413381350064128   Permalink 5:25 PM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Obvious thing: to remove Salafis from Sunnism & revert to 1950s tolerant Sunnism. With #مؤتمر_الشيشان that’s what Putin is doing! Brilliant! Permalink 5:16 PM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Working with @DrCirillo on stats of violence we discovered media reports to be unreliable& pple unaware of it.https://twitter.com/alitahmizian/status/770268937024135168   Permalink 3:16 PM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb It is *precisely* because companies fit products to weirdest buyers that we have the rule. https://medium.com/@nntaled/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.fzsnj85i4  https://twitter.com/grumpyinnovator/status/770329758429220864   Permalink 1:16 PM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Why you can never trust employees to make the ethical decisions.https://medium.com/@nntaled/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6#.7ytrbrb2o   Permalink 8:19 AM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Is it me or … nobody is noticing that the movement for nonSalafi Sunnism #مؤتمر_الشيشان is happening in… Russia! @aboabid @trscbrs Permalink 6:35 AM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 5/ Further difference betw academia and real life: Others will envy you for your knowledge less than they would for your credentials. Permalink 6:32 AM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb So if Ashaari is the “real” Sunni Islam, we go back to the Ottoman brand, much much more tolerant @aboabid @trscbrs https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maturidi   Permalink 5:54 AM – 29 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Torn My focus shoud be for 2017 + Finishing Skin in the Game or + Deadlifting 440 lbs (slowed by 2 lifting injuries) Permalink 1:47 PM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Salafism Isn’t Really a Religion https://committingsociology.com/2016/08/28/salafism-isnt-really-a-religion/   via @CommittingSociology Permalink 12:37 PM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Bethlehem was in Judea the idea of linking Jesus to Nazareth (INRI on the cross) was to emphasize his non Judean side @MrNathanRollins Permalink 11:23 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 4/ Tweets triggered by draft of bio of math/trader Ed Thorp who said his most difficult job ever was head of math department at UC Irvine. Permalink 8:03 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@naval Politics, academia and social status are all zero-sum games. Positive-sum games create positive people.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/769867793214865408   Permalink 7:32 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Eastern Med was part of Rome as world was Med/nonMed and separation Europe came later post Islamhttps://twitter.com/_crackerfactory/status/769898374464151552   Permalink 7:10 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb I tend to block pple who fail to get “~” (approx) means “not always true” and corrupt the conversation on twitter.https://twitter.com/guinerez/status/769892028004130816   Permalink 7:00 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 3/ The probability of getting a “tenure track” position for a new PhD has been getting closer & closer to 0. Permalink 6:01 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 2/ You can tell people who come from countries w/rent seeking; they think that business is zero-sum: wealth is money taken from others. Permalink 5:23 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Academia is ~ zero-sum: every position/honor/promotion/rank/reward is taken from someone else. Business on the other hand creates business. Permalink 5:02 AM – 28 Aug 2016

@QuintusCurtius Clinton ally Saudi Arabia deports 27 Lebanese Christians just for owning books. Is western media reporting this? No https://twitter.com/Nour_Samaha/status/769474275367645185   Permalink 4:17 PM – 27 Aug 2016

@seanrateck1 @beachvetlbc @cecilbadlands @wizardQi @RyEichler @YouTube @NYDailyNewspic.twitter.com/WbEcrRcy9G Permalink 12:46 PM – 27 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Improved on my paper on power laws thanks to the great maestro @MAvellaneda55pic.twitter.com/GSOR3CpgUx Permalink 1:10 PM – 27 Aug 2016

@jelo1317 The #GMO debate. One student’s experience of pro-GMO #Propaganda @Cornell University http://www.thelibertybeacon.com/gmo-debate-one-students-experience-pro-gmo-propaganda-cornell-university/   @GMOWTFpic.twitter.com/yNHmZJON5L Permalink 12:51 PM – 23 Aug 2016

Bsharreh, Titus Livius, Salafis, Dumb Enemies | Twitter

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@CutTheKnotMath @nntaleb Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable http://astore.amazon.com/ctksoftwareinc/detail/081297381X  pic.twitter.com/qrVInxp1Sr Permalink 8:41 AM – 27 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Speculationdujour: Is Levant/Canaan Semitic by language not population? (Turkey mostly Turkic by language nt origin)pic.twitter.com/MADwI8VjQF Permalink 7:16 AM – 27 Aug 2016

@GhassanDahhan @nntaleb yes; no. Let’s apply this to Saudi Arabia: to act ethically is to act illegally. To act legally is to act unethically. Permalink 10:19 AM – 26 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Bien sur!https://twitter.com/tparsi/status/769191442740903937   Permalink 8:15 AM – 26 Aug 2016

@DrCirillo Extremes and Risks in Higher Dimensions Leiden, Sept. 12-16 http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2016/837/program.php3?wsid=837&venue=Oort   with @nntaleb, L. de Haan, J. Huesler and many more… Permalink 3:48 AM – 26 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Adding: unethical here is also harmful to society. Permalink 3:33 PM – 25 Aug 2016

@nntaleb If someone is doing something legal but very unethical, is it ethical to stop him by doing something illegal? Is it ethical to not stop him? Permalink 2:49 PM – 25 Aug 2016

@nntaleb This guy is good.https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/767826014353362944   Permalink 11:08 AM – 25 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Just published “We Don’t Know What We Are Talking About When We talk about Religion”https://medium.com/@nntaled/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.k0u1glrz5   Permalink 9:55 AM – 25 Aug 2016

@nntaleb My favorite village in North Leb Bsharreh. Mispelled Bsharri in Arabic as Arabic doesn’t have the “eh” sound.https://twitter.com/syriac_maronite/status/768811894459273216   Permalink 7:13 AM – 25 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Modernity turned Olympic athletes into Roman gladiators, captives. The Greek ideal was to never do activities that reduce one’s humanity. Permalink 7:27 AM – 24 Aug 2016

@kissingsky “What matters isn’t what a person has or doesn’t have; it is what he or she are afraid of losing” @nntaleb Permalink 6:24 AM – 24 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Expanding into a chapter: Nassim Taleb Slams The World’s “Intellectual-Yet-Idiot” Class | Zero Hedge http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-06-26/nassim-taleb-slams-worlds-intellectual-yet-idiot-class   Permalink 1:08 PM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 2) But they started diminishing the role of women before Islam, by killing (not tophet-style) female newborn. Permalink 1:06 PM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Pre-Islamic Arabia very likely to be matriarchal: The 3 chief deities, Manat, Al-Lat & Al-Uzza were female.https://twitter.com/LebaneseinNYC/status/768174097499099136   Permalink 1:05 PM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Much of Semitic dietary laws kept people from socializing outside group. @5n20_Blackbirds Permalink 12:34 PM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Rule: Never plagiarize in 2016 w/o an internet search. (@mattstat) https://www.edge.org/q2008/q08_17.html   http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/dobelli.htm  https://twitter.com/JohnDCook/status/768142651665285120   Permalink 11:10 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Anger is privilege for the strong, duty for the righteous, and self-harm for the weak. Permalink 7:05 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb I am citing Titus Livius, & you are bringing… Hannity? Watch out: You are one of the few economists I haven’t blocked. @ModeledBehavior Permalink 6:54 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Anger is not for the weak, the vain, the scheming, the fake, and the insecure. “Vana est sine viribus ira” Permalink 6:51 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Anger/outrage have a purpose: use them to act! Ira quae tegitur nocet:Contained anger harms,Seneca. Also: Courroux est vain sans forte mains Permalink 6:48 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@SYRIAC_MARONITE #كلّ_يوم_ضيعة #أميونpic.twitter.com/BHTqK506Yg Permalink 6:33 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Wrong. Emotions might harm sometimes, but authenticity is what makes us humans: Living humans, not dead bureaucrats.https://twitter.com/RobertGreene/status/768073438904913920   Permalink 6:36 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 2/For Dionysian/extatic cults in AsiaMinor/Levant:see Tmpl of Bacchus in Baalbeck. RESIDUE: Sufis & others (Gnostics) partook of sim cults. Permalink 6:14 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Indeed in #SkinintheGame we show it cannot be literal; requires equivalence. What if a one eyed blinds someone?https://twitter.com/TalmudTweets/status/768070322109100032   Permalink 6:02 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Speculation: Islam “discouraged” alcohol as fence ag. paganism linked to Bacchic ( Iobacchi) & Dionysian societies prevalent in Asia Minor. Permalink 6:00 AM – 23 Aug 2016

@nntaleb A nightmare.https://twitter.com/nytpolitics/status/767790988043640834   Permalink 5:00 PM – 22 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Reuploaded ‘Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws’ http://www.academia.edu/27944415/Stochastic_Tail_Exponent_For_Asymmetric_Power_Laws   Permalink 1:32 PM – 22 Aug 2016

@nntaleb The path to mediocrity is paved with platitudes.https://twitter.com/calestous/status/767757114991411200   Permalink 12:19 PM – 22 Aug 2016

@MSResConsulting I think you would enjoy this, @nntalebpic.twitter.com/KMjlrhK1DY Permalink 8:12 AM – 22 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Published draft of Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws. Looking for errors. https://www.academia.edu/27938449/Stochastic_Tail_Exponent_For_Asymmetric_Power_Laws?s=t   Permalink 5:09 AM – 22 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Just published “How To Legally Own Another Person”https://medium.com/@nntaled/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6#.2724jwn32   Permalink 1:44 PM – 21 Aug 2016

@sustain05 Happy Birthday @RonPaul ! Thank you !pic.twitter.com/Jls4BQunG1 Permalink 6:12 PM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb (This was a comment about the counters to the Minority Rule)https://medium.com/@nntaled/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.syq8yk2kv   Permalink 2:02 PM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Christians refused to eat sacrificial meat in reaction ag. pagans; Al Akhtal’s reaction ag. halal:pic.twitter.com/5nQ9DhQBPa Permalink 1:59 PM – 20 Aug 2016

@joshua_landis Civilians: How each side sought to exploit them. More smart reporting by @EHSANI22https://twitter.com/ehsani22/status/767078780628242433   Permalink 12:38 PM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Armenians, a founding pillar of the Lebanese society http://bit.ly/2b7ZWen   via @dailystarleb Permalink 5:01 AM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb We are discussing rebels not rulers. “martyr” for “martyr”. Kapish? @rizikaoikonomik Permalink 4:50 AM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb On the difference betw Christian & Salafi “martyrs”. Christians did not attack their pagan enemies. Delenda Salafispic.twitter.com/aQwVfkJadr Permalink 4:28 AM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb If you want squid ink, make Sicilian friends. Good stuff not on the market. To make Sicilian friends you need the right attitude. @clennox Permalink 3:08 AM – 20 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Squid ink. Friday, of course.pic.twitter.com/zh2FHmC1dw Permalink 5:16 PM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Salafis have the nerve to argue about “discrimination” in the West.https://twitter.com/AssalehAmer/status/766643545746710529   Permalink 9:49 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb People I block:”you are bigger than this” when having a pol disagreement (here neocon), guileful despicable approachhttps://twitter.com/Coffman_Law/status/766663321974108160   Permalink 9:48 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Real World Risk Institue, 3rd Ed. of the Certificate, New York, Oct 3-7. We give scholarships to those who need them http://realworldrisk.com/mini-certificate_in_detail   Permalink 6:55 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb For a Shiite reason supercedes tradition, for a Wahabi only tradition counts, “reason” does not exist; Iran is modernizing not Saudi Arabia. Permalink 6:13 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb This is REAL squid ink Beiruti style. 5200 years of squid ink tinkering. @humblegrape @dipiqib @ModernStoic00pic.twitter.com/7eVv2nzmrD Permalink 5:39 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 2) Authentic squid ink is runny, served w/the squid itself, ironically less tasky than the bottled one. @humblegrape @dipiqib @ModernStoic00 Permalink 5:35 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 1) The viscosity of the ink (& use of calamari) shows that it comes from a bottle, flavored w/ dry fish.@humblegrape @dipiqib @ModernStoic00 Permalink 5:34 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb A dumb enemy will harm himself, which is very dangerous to both of you.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/766604769188311040   Permalink 5:22 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Dumb enemies are a problem as they can be very hard to predict. Permalink 4:56 AM – 19 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Proud of wrecking the lives of teenage girls? of turning journalism into voyeurism? Gooood riddance! #SkinintheGame.https://twitter.com/nicknotned/status/766355993588559872   Permalink 1:01 PM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Bien voila! Sorry for the shift. @freakonometrics @ValuabilityNYpic.twitter.com/G8LZbN1QNK Permalink 12:43 PM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Close! Can do double gamma or, simply piecewise gamma! Calibration can lower peak! @ValuabilityNY @freakonometricspic.twitter.com/pOy12zPl6o Permalink 12:26 PM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Quiz du jour: Guess the distribution.https://twitter.com/freakonometrics/status/766313615796436992   Permalink 9:51 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb For a finite variance Student T, convergences … @ProbFact We can get explicit dist for sumspic.twitter.com/HrT9VU77Of Permalink 9:46 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb We treat people who go to Vegas to “predict” cards as victims of mental disorder; not those who predict elections !https://twitter.com/pauld1981/status/766301370299265026   Permalink 8:54 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb and BTW Hayek was trained in law and politics. Permalink 8:13 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb I speculate that nothing smart, useful, or just nonlethal ever came out of an “economist” (i.e. trained to be one).https://twitter.com/laochoaruiz/status/766289953655521281   Permalink 8:12 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb 2/ It is a category mistake to compare a Catholic nun to a Jihadi. One is religion, the other is LAW. Kapish?pic.twitter.com/OZvzWS0mPj Permalink 6:09 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb False equivalence. Catholicism separates church/state; Salafism is a criminal all-encompassing political mvt.Kapish?pic.twitter.com/GsuCM97Xpt Permalink 6:03 AM – 18 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Economists are like soldiers selected and trained for only rituals and parades. But they are very good with rituals and parades. Permalink 9:21 AM – 17 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Those who say “I feel sorry for you” mean “I feel envy”. Those who really feel sorry for you don’t say anything. Permalink 6:06 AM – 17 Aug 2016

@nntaleb . @SanguineEmpiric Moralists discuss mores (moeurs) not morals. Permalink 2:20 AM – 17 Aug 2016

@nntaleb I don’t play basketball. But I will need to start: someone wrote “Antifragile Basketball” in Italian.https://www.amazon.it/Pallacanestro-antifragile-allenarsi-allimprevedibilità-sportiva/dp/8860284694   Permalink 5:47 PM – 16 Aug 2016

@CaesarIpse Some times we are not even able to teach birds how to fly @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/newscientist/status/765699552640983040   Permalink 5:03 PM – 16 Aug 2016

@nntaleb Math du jour: (for my book with @DrCirillo) uncovered oddity of Levy-Stable distribution around alpha =1pic.twitter.com/FXIswBYFQp Permalink 1:37 PM – 16 Aug 2016