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Monthly Archives: February 2017

Naive empiricism, terrorism & Ebola

Published on Feb 14, 2017 How “evidence” about the risk of terrorism as shown in the NYT and by BS vending journos makes no sense statistically. Explains the difference between classes using principles of Extreme Value Theory EVT without any math.

Lindy, Noah Smith, Sufis, Trump, Greenwald, Pinker, France, Tversky | Twitter

@CCavafy We the Alexandrians, the Antiochians, the Selefkians, the countless other Greeks of Egypt & Syria, & those in Media, Persia, & all the rest. Permalink 5:23 PM – 19 Feb 2017 @nntaleb The smell of mathematical inequality on Sunday evening. @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/pKbrczGMII Permalink 5:05 PM – 19 Feb 2017 @nntaleb Other elementary thing *Former […]

Trump makes sense to a grocery store owner | The Hindu

Full article: Trump makes sense to a grocery store owner Where do you see the world moving now? Further right, or will it revert to the centre? I don’t think it will go left or right, and I don’t know about the short term. But I think in the long term, the world can only […]

The Bed of Procrustes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Animated By illacertus

Cowen, Thaler, Deadlift, SaudiBarbaria, “think tanks”, Salafism | Twitter

@nntaleb 3825 years later, economists haven’t yet figured out what Babylonians did: debt has systemic effects (hence on others), self-harm doesn’t.https://twitter.com/tylercowen/status/826613009132969984   Permalink 3:14 PM – 2 Feb 2017 @jnyangena Something @nntaleb has been saying for years nowhttps://twitter.com/BrentBeshore/status/827237359074684928   Permalink 1:17 PM – 2 Feb 2017 @nntaleb Do IYI economists & social “scientists” realize they […]