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Tag Archives: Tetlock

Ioannidis, Tetlock, Summers, Masks, Oil, Russian Roulette, Astrology

From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben | Youtube Published on Apr 24, 2020 + Why the crisiss was not a Black Swan. + Masks compound (even if primitive) + Convexity Ben misleads with his “hedges” Tail Risk of Contagious Diseases (pdf 4/18/2020) (Anti)Fragility and Convex Responses in Medicine (pdf 7/31/2018) The Pandemic Isn’t […]

Tetlock, Propagandists, Lebanon, #IndiaEconomicConclave, Villages, Pinker, TENURE, J’ACCUSE, #RiadPonzi, Bret Weinstein, #Localism, GMOs, Arabists, Aramco, Lebanon

On the Statistical Differences between BinaryForecasts and Real World Payoffs (pdf) STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS [TECHNICAL INCERTO COLLECTION] Real World Risk Institute, LLC – HOW TO MAKE DECISIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY EPISTEMOLOGY of PROBABILITY (pdf) The Beirut Banyan EPISODE 81: Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Local Solutions for Lebanon (audio, Soundcloud) @nntaleb BS Busting Showing how […]

Tetlock, Payoffs, Urbanism, Arbitrage, Estonia, IQ, LOCALISM, Assange, Psychology, Christakis, Belgrade, Nate Silver, Pinker, @AOC , Peterson | Twitter

@nntaleb 15 years ago, I went into psychology trying to figure out how humans misunderstand probability. All I figured out is how psychologists don’t understand probability. Permalink 9:39 AM – 23 Apr 2019 @Jaffer22915438 Our great ally… https://twitter.com/marwa__osman/status/1120712087255252993   Permalink 9:37 AM – 23 Apr 2019 @nntaleb More precise & accurate representation of the mistake; […]

IQ, Pinker, Jordan Peterson, Statistics, FRACTAL LOCALISM, Psychology, Tetlock, Caplan, Edward Said, Peter Francopan, Julia Galef, Tulsi Gabbard | Twitter

Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Favorite Literature Books @nntaleb N7na ldiaspora min faddél latiné. Bass l3alam juwwa bigakkro gheir shi la2annon t3awwado. Wkamén l Yiddish huwwé Ilmané maktub bil 7arf l 3brané nafsl abjadiyyé. Permalink 6:08 AM – 9 Mar 2019 @Extrachelle pic.twitter.com/gRJ8QYIrxP Permalink 3:20 AM – 9 Mar 2019 @nntaleb 3am fakkér ista3mél l7arf l3arabé lal […]

Economists, Paris, Moscow, Deadlifting, Tetlock, Ghosn, Tesla, Dubai/UAE, Optionsellers, Regulators, Khashoggi | Twitter

Nassim Nicholas Taleb: “you should study risk taking, not risk management” @naniiyer @nntaleb Research is catching up to what you have always said https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/04/well/move/even-a-little-weight-training-may-cut-the-risk-of-heart-attack-and-stroke.html?smid=fb-nytimes   Permalink 3:20 AM – 6 Dec 2018 @nntaleb Rory lexktchring. Employees try to minimize blame. #skininthegame Note the socks. pic.twitter.com/yHtCSs9lOe Permalink 1:59 AM – 6 Dec 2018 @nntaleb You can […]