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Tag Archives: Localism

#RWRI13, Connectivity, endcoronavirus.org, Contact Between People, virucide, Quillettists, #RiadPonzi, John Gray, Conferences, Sunstein, Superspreader, TRUE JUSTICE, Harari, Dawkins, Hanson, Thaler, George Steiner, Bureaucracy, Localism

@Pascallisch Same is true for animals/evolved cognitive systems. Most false positives for predator detection in foliage are without consequence. A single false negative can be fatal. Raw accuracy is not the point. Permalink 9:11 AM – 7 Mar 2020 @nntaleb If the word “panic” means “exaggerated” reaction, could be so at the individual level but […]

Tetlock, Propagandists, Lebanon, #IndiaEconomicConclave, Villages, Pinker, TENURE, J’ACCUSE, #RiadPonzi, Bret Weinstein, #Localism, GMOs, Arabists, Aramco, Lebanon

On the Statistical Differences between BinaryForecasts and Real World Payoffs (pdf) STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS [TECHNICAL INCERTO COLLECTION] Real World Risk Institute, LLC – HOW TO MAKE DECISIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY EPISTEMOLOGY of PROBABILITY (pdf) The Beirut Banyan EPISODE 81: Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Local Solutions for Lebanon (audio, Soundcloud) @nntaleb BS Busting Showing how […]

Silver Rule, Charles Murray, Localism, LEBANON, Mariana Mazzucato, UBI, REITS, I MADE A MISTAKE, Corruption, Peterson, IQ, Stefan Molyneux, Aquavit, Swedes | Twitter

I deposited my last business tie in the garbage can at the corner of 48th St and Park avenue in December 1993, only kept ones for funerals. Since then wore no tie at 10 Downing, White House, etc. Below with 12 (former) heads of state-cum-tie guests of Nursultan Nazarbaev.  @TalebWisdom “Complaints don’t deliver complaints, […]

Wolfram, Thaler, Monsanto, Gabbard, Localism, SALARYPEOPLE, Acroparasite, RENT SEEKERS | Twitter

1) Never insult fallen entrepreneurs2) Governement debt is worse than private debt because absence of skin in the game @nntaleb Typos and explained the inequality pic.twitter.com/uMIqGjehWd Permalink 11:20 AM – 15 May 2019 @nntaleb A familiar argument https://twitter.com/noamchomskyt/status/1128700073611792384   Permalink 10:10 AM – 15 May 2019 @nntaleb QUESTION This friend of mine is writing a […]

Tetlock, Payoffs, Urbanism, Arbitrage, Estonia, IQ, LOCALISM, Assange, Psychology, Christakis, Belgrade, Nate Silver, Pinker, @AOC , Peterson | Twitter

@nntaleb 15 years ago, I went into psychology trying to figure out how humans misunderstand probability. All I figured out is how psychologists don’t understand probability. Permalink 9:39 AM – 23 Apr 2019 @Jaffer22915438 Our great ally… https://twitter.com/marwa__osman/status/1120712087255252993   Permalink 9:37 AM – 23 Apr 2019 @nntaleb More precise & accurate representation of the mistake; […]