Skip to content

Tag Archives: Pinker

Tetlock, Propagandists, Lebanon, #IndiaEconomicConclave, Villages, Pinker, TENURE, J’ACCUSE, #RiadPonzi, Bret Weinstein, #Localism, GMOs, Arabists, Aramco, Lebanon

On the Statistical Differences between BinaryForecasts and Real World Payoffs (pdf) STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS [TECHNICAL INCERTO COLLECTION] Real World Risk Institute, LLC – HOW TO MAKE DECISIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY EPISTEMOLOGY of PROBABILITY (pdf) The Beirut Banyan EPISODE 81: Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Local Solutions for Lebanon (audio, Soundcloud) @nntaleb BS Busting Showing how […]

Evolutionary Biologists, Ayn Rand, Dawkins, Quilettebeciles, Nate Silver, Mosquitos, Bolton, Pinker, Nudgeboy, Pencilwits, Brasil | Twitter

  Absence of Evidence Is Not Evidence of Absence (Hattip Dave Lull) @nntaleb We had DNA evidence that the ancient Egyptian ruling class came from the North. Socks-with-scandals places them somewhere around what is now Central Germany.   Permalink 2:55 PM – 23 Sep 2019 @nntaleb 3) People have no problem getting Nietzsche, Le […]

Pinker, Old Twitter, Epstein, @AlanDersh, LTCM, Option Pricing, GENETICS, Nudging, Eddie Hall, #Corporatism, IQ, Dawkins, #RWRI, Psychologists, Principia Politica, @TulsiGabbard | Twitter

@nntaleb Ms @Rania_Masri I wonder if they subjected you to some middle-school elementary reasoning test before you became “professor”? The Lebanese ministry is NOT preventing foreigners taking jobs that the Lebanese don’t wants to perform. @RaniaKhalek   Permalink 10:16 AM – 19 Jul 2019 @nntaleb Ms @RaniaKhalek, there are 7 severe logical fallacies in […]

Bill Gates, Psychologists, Academics, Baalbeck, Revenge, Amsterdam , Quillette, Pinker, Napoleon, Kashkari, Bayer | Twitter

@nntaleb We should move the bulk of civil servants to Alaska.   Permalink 6:55 AM – 15 Jun 2019 @nntaleb Permalink 3:10 PM – 14 Jun 2019 @nntaleb Thanks to @NonMeek, an explanation of the point. Permalink 1:56 PM – 14 Jun 2019 @nntaleb I managed to fool 6000 people yesterday. […]

Tetlock, Payoffs, Urbanism, Arbitrage, Estonia, IQ, LOCALISM, Assange, Psychology, Christakis, Belgrade, Nate Silver, Pinker, @AOC , Peterson | Twitter

@nntaleb 15 years ago, I went into psychology trying to figure out how humans misunderstand probability. All I figured out is how psychologists don’t understand probability. Permalink 9:39 AM – 23 Apr 2019 @Jaffer22915438 Our great ally…   Permalink 9:37 AM – 23 Apr 2019 @nntaleb More precise & accurate representation of the mistake; […]