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Category Archives: Video

Ioannidis, Tetlock, Summers, Masks, Oil, Russian Roulette, Astrology

From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben | Youtube Published on Apr 24, 2020 + Why the crisiss was not a Black Swan. + Masks compound (even if primitive) + Convexity Ben misleads with his “hedges” Tail Risk of Contagious Diseases (pdf 4/18/2020) (Anti)Fragility and Convex Responses in Medicine (pdf 7/31/2018) The Pandemic Isn’t […]

#Moralhazard, @SamHarrisOrg, @PTetlock, Ioannidis, India, UBI, @R_Thaler & @CassSunstein, LUNACY IN THE UK,

Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens–Coronavirus: A Note (pdf) T H E  T E C H N I C A L  I N C E R T O  C O L L E C T I O N (460 pg pdf) Ethics of Precaution: Individual and Systemic Risk (Sign up to download pdf) Review […]

Tetlock, Propagandists, Lebanon, #IndiaEconomicConclave, Villages, Pinker, TENURE, J’ACCUSE, #RiadPonzi, Bret Weinstein, #Localism, GMOs, Arabists, Aramco, Lebanon

On the Statistical Differences between BinaryForecasts and Real World Payoffs (pdf) STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS [TECHNICAL INCERTO COLLECTION] Real World Risk Institute, LLC – HOW TO MAKE DECISIONS UNDER UNCERTAINTY EPISTEMOLOGY of PROBABILITY (pdf) The Beirut Banyan EPISODE 81: Nassim Nicholas Taleb & Local Solutions for Lebanon (audio, Soundcloud) @nntaleb BS Busting Showing how […]

NNT Brazil, Russia 2019 | Youtube

 Published on Sep 6, 2019 Nassim Taleb: “O Brasil é o país do futuro. Não precisa de boas pessoas, mas de um bom sistema.” NNT audio only:    Published on Aug 26, 2019 The WorldSkills Conference 2019 started at important debate between Nassim Taleb and Dmitry Peskov, Special Representative of the President of […]

Keynes, AOC, Bezos, Saudi Barbaria, Nat. Enquirer, Ghosn, IQ, alarm clocks, tawking, Peterson-Golden Rice, Lebanon, Nationalism, Pinker, Kelton,

 @LaikiEksixroni1 What about her?!: https://youtu.be/9uj1mD0w7Ww   Permalink 9:51 AM – 10 Feb 2019 @nntaleb Imbecilic Keynesianisticists find *ad hoc* arguments to argue deficits don’t cause inflation. The focus is on “foreign debt”. There are tons of counteramples, including close to me the Lebanese devaluation (rate frm 3/$ -> 1500) that ruined my grandfather https://twitter.com/msilva12000/status/1094644393854844929 […]