Monthly Archives: June 2016

Saudi Barbarian, Syriac-Aramaic, Gawker, Minority Rule, RIP Mohammed Ali, Amioun, Omidyar, Peter Thiel | Twitter

@nntaleb In a Saudi Barbarian air lounge (no food as they would poison me): C prince to discuss killing minorities in Permalink 5:36 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Press has conflict of interest w/public. NYT eulogy Gawker’s General Counsel when it is a Scum job in Scum company.   Permalink 5:15 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@Tubbyturkey Wrote in big letters on my office wall: “Statistics: failure to reject null hypothesis” @nntaleb #asymmetry #RWRI Permalink 3:32 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb People who get married many times do so because they like the transaction more than the state (& don’t understand their own preferences). Permalink 1:09 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb I realize that people who get married often do so because they like the transaction more than the state. Permalink 12:40 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Is this reaaaaaaaaally true?   Permalink 11:12 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@burtkanez I was pro-GMO ’til I read the precautionary principle by @nntaleb   Permalink 9:39 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Petition for Syriac-Aramaic on Google Translate  \ Permalink 6:58 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Other words like zbl (garbage) also in Greek σκύβαλα Permalink 5:44 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Some Syriac words like “zinnar” also exist in Greek, ζώνη, unclear which way influence went. Permalink 5:42 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb When we look at the letter “zayin” it is even more striking how much more Aramaic our language Permalink 5:40 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb More evidence that Levantine has Aramaic roots: 2500 words in our Permalink 4:50 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@JohnCleese Do please read Taleb and Tetlock on people’s forecasting abilities. You might become a little less sure of yourself   Permalink 1:28 PM – 12 Jun 2016

@mimisheraton Followers please also follow me at   where I am now a columnist. Search “Kale” then “Why I Am Not A Locavore” Permalink 11:05 AM – 12 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Randomness does not look random: how to not be fooled by historical “trends” Permalink 5:15 AM – 12 Jun 2016

@ashokatluri Intense, exhilarating and a very rewarding 5-day session on risk management by @nntaleb, R Douady and @financequant   Permalink 4:50 PM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb The central information abt people: what is the worse thing they’ve done in their lives. #RWRI Extreme Value Theory Permalink 3:49 PM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Dopo @sothisispietro @ashokatluri No more squid ink! Permalink 11:19 AM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Squid ink with @sothisispietro and @ashokatluri recovering from week long Permalink 11:00 AM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Tighten the band to 7<= f <= Sqrt(51)? Permalink 8:13 AM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Anyone who associates Gawker with freedom of expression is a fraud.   Permalink 5:57 PM – 10 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Trying to translate Procrustes into Permalink 7:24 AM – 10 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Decentralization is the nightmare of lobbyists.   Permalink 6:34 AM – 10 Jun 2016

@cfshoo “Weak men act to satisfy their needs, stronger men their duties.” @nntaleb Permalink 3:59 AM – 10 Jun 2016

@Frank_S_David “If I had to relive my life I’d be even more stubborn & uncompromising.”- @nntaleb, via @farnamstreet   Permalink 3:44 PM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Day 4 RWRI. Raphael showing funds that blew up in the 2008 crisis had the highest Sharpe ratio. Most brilliant! Permalink 1:22 PM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb “I will retake every inch”, translated from Classical Arabic into English, means “Let’s talk and settle”.   Permalink 10:10 AM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Colquhoun is the one who incited web-social media mob in the Tim Hunt affair. A despicable man.   Permalink 4:05 AM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb RWRI Day 3 Robert Frey @financequant explaining cellular automata with high praise for Permalink 12:56 PM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb RWRI day 3 Aaron classifying tail models and time Permalink 12:31 PM – 8 Jun 2016

@DrCirillo According to @sapinker, @nntaleb and I have not read his “The Better Angels of Our Nature”. Unfortunately we did, and that’s the problem. Permalink 9:58 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Our next seminar is the advanced quant one, Aug 15-19, Stony Brook   The present one (reg) is full >60 pple Permalink 8:31 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb “You don’t build a house based on a weather report”, Robert Frey @financequant Third day of Permalink 8:26 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb How Pinker treats Permalink 4:37 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@ninarosenwald A #Turkish professor was just suspended. His heinous crime? Tweeting critically about the conquest of Constantinople   Permalink 4:33 AM – 7 Jun 2016

@dottorpax Ci trovate anche il mio articolo con @nntaleb sul rischio di guerre e conflitti armati.   Permalink 9:36 AM – 7 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Hirshberg’s beneficial ignorance theory is … sociobullshit, @BentFlyvbjerg shows Permalink 3:24 AM – 7 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Intellectuals & talking-class (journos) are posing as representatives of the public. But they represent what the public doesn’t want to be. Permalink 7:14 AM – 5 Jun 2016

@SandroDemaio #WorldEnvironmentDay ’16. Fires in #California #Floods in Paris Drought in Malawi Storms in Sydney #WED2016 Permalink 2:12 AM – 5 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Minority rule: the world is a better place because of very few intolerant people.   Permalink 3:16 AM – 5 Jun 2016

@nntaleb RIP Mohammed Ali. A great man, not because of boxing, but because he walked the walk when he talked the talk. Respect. Permalink 1:57 PM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb By policy, block anyone who commits sophistry. And, typically, block or mute their friends. Life gets much better.   Permalink 1:35 PM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb N N Taleb’s AUB Commencement Address 2016 (Excerpts)   via @YouTube Permalink 12:56 PM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Where we find out journos are NOT representative of the public. Only 7% of interpret 1st amend incorrectly #Gawker   Permalink 11:41 AM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb For comments: translation of our work on violence. No, violence didn’t drop.@DrCirillo Permalink 5:58 AM – 4 Jun 2016

@GuruAnaerobic The hidden rationality of Homeopathy – reduction of harm. My piece in the Daily Mail.   Permalink 2:49 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb The point is to test people’s understanding of Freedom of Expression. @StingMccoy Permalink 1:45 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Does the First Amendment (freedom of speech) cover Gawker posting spy camera sexual scenes of you against your will? Permalink 1:37 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@EHSANI22 Erdogan hands down worst strategic player in Syrian crisis. Failed to remove Assad. Helped the Kurds dream big. Permalink 1:03 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb I read the book. I have trouble with his definition of “belief” without revelation of preferences.   Permalink 11:50 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Two pages setting Quantitative historiography applied to Violence presented to the Nobel Foundation Permalink 9:38 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Casualty of Gawker’s support by journos: idiots conflating 1st amndmnt for arguments & publishing revenge sex scenes   Permalink 6:23 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Deficiency in logic: Complain that Peter Thiel is bullying legal systm as he is richer than Gawker. But Gawker is richer than its victims! Permalink 5:29 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Indeed, Atheism is a sect of Protestantism. (For one to be an atheist, religious “belief” has to be epistemic.) @holland_tom Permalink 4:45 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@holland_tom If Hinduism is a single religion, consistency requires Judaism, Xianity & Islam be categorised as sects of a single religion – Stietencron Permalink 4:19 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Removed some typos Permalink 4:16 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Finishing paper for the Nobel Foundation debunking Pinker’ theory of drop in violence, w/ Permalink 3:59 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@enzolamberti Heuristic a la @nntaleb:if uncertain where common people’re heading,ask commentators for directions then go opposite   Permalink 2:49 PM – 2 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Antifragility & Medicine, finally a clean first draft for @markomanka ‘s Springer Handbook Permalink 2:00 PM – 2 Jun 2016

@nntaleb 2nd ed paperback coming soon with 50% more aphorisms   Permalink 12:37 PM – 2 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Medical Article almost done,   Looking for Non-Medieval necessary a priori truths in Medicine! Permalink 2:32 PM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Which explains why p-values don’t work at all for risk management.   Permalink 1:22 PM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Typical journos combine low IQ, low practical sense, low erudition, buzzword driven grasp,& a high sense of entitlement. An explosive combo! Permalink 12:31 AM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Added: Gawker bullies citizens, strong citizens bully Gawker. Asymmetry meets asymmetry! Permalink 12:04 AM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Explain.   Permalink 5:27 PM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Intuitive presentation of Girsanov’s Theorem in Dynamic Hedging Permalink 5:00 PM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb CITIZENS vs JOURNALISTS & CITIZENS vs GAWKER. Citizens usually end up winning.   Permalink 9:50 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Finally found the Peshitta in bilingual Syriac-Arabic much easier to read : ” Breshit bro Aloho” Permalink 7:21 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Gawker or why Journos cannot escape having Skin in the Permalink 5:43 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Many “irrational” behavior comes from unsophisticated academics.   @george_cooper__ @rorysutherland @jasonacollins Permalink 12:12 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb If 1 knows Arabic & Sharia &argue FROM it they hide/can’t say Islamophobe. 6 ancestors were Jurists @pootsie121165 @Noahpinion @holland_tom Permalink 11:48 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Photius! He had the largest library.   Permalink 11:19 PM – 30 May 2016

@sankrant Insightful comment by @nntaleb applicable to the “sophisticated, liberal, urban English Class” in India. Permalink 1:44 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Since my debunking of BSvendor Noah @noahpinion (still going) pple leave me alone, so I am now defending my friends.   Permalink 1:32 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb (desert port) Permalink 1:25 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Just as Alexandria was a Greek port while rest was Egyptian, Damascus was an Arab port even during Omayad while rest was Byzantine-Aramaic. Permalink 1:24 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, false accusations (such as ag @holland_tom) are criminal under Islamic law. You are not a lawyer. Permalink 12:39 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb La scienza cresce mostrando ciò che è sbagliato, non dichiarando ciò che è giusto [scienza Popperiana] @ThManfredi @dottorpax Permalink 10:06 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Almost complete documents on Antifragility in Medicine. For comments Permalink 9:57 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Want to keep your intelligence intact through life? Simply do not utter intellectually & logically offensive tweets.   Permalink 9:41 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, lying is mu7arram by Sharia. So why are you lying about Mr Holland? @holland_tom Permalink 5:21 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, I doubt you know Arabic (given your reputation as a charlatan). Just in case حبل الكذب قصير @holland_tom @MoAnsar Permalink 3:15 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Excellent! Political studies, or pol philosophy! Problem is people use “science” for scientism & BS regressions.   Permalink 2:43 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb The “science” in pol science, like the “democratic” in “Democratic Pple’s Rep of Korea”, is used to hide the scam.   Permalink 1:36 AM – 30 May 2016

@kcfaul Long tail risks. Seems safe today (gmo for example) until the problem is uncovered in the future @nntaleb   Permalink 12:11 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb In Byzantium the Orthodox Patriach was often a man of deeds, not necessarily cleric. And didn’t wear ties.   Permalink 1:00 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb 2) Mr Hanretty your formation as a charlatan consists in bullshitting abt things you are clueless about. I am a scientist. @chrishanretty Permalink 12:58 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb 1) Mr Hanretty, are you suggesting that one should bullshit like astrologers abt opaque things in order to bust astrologers? @chrishanretty Permalink 12:57 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, why are you disseminating lies about Tom Holland to your followers?Does your status allow special exemption? @holland_tom @MoAnsar Permalink 11:43 PM – 29 May 2016

@nntaleb Congratulating my cousin Rene Shammas for his election as a member of the municipality of Permalink 1:27 PM – 29 May 2016

@nntaleb Problem moved away from Gawker (bus now risky): journos’ *sense of entitlement* to harm citizens, promotion of fallacies abt 1st amendment. Permalink 8:35 AM – 29 May 2016

@nntaleb How many of these “600 economists” saw the risks that caused the 2008 crisis? Economists are clueless. Kapish?   Permalink 7:58 AM – 29 May 2016

@InjuredThales @czwalsh @nntaleb I guarantee that 99.9% of those defending Gawker now would be outraged if they released a Michelle and Barack sex tape. Permalink 4:37 PM – 28 May 2016

@WalterWhiteBC @nntaleb Mr.Taleb thanks for standing up to lunatics confusing free speech w/ porno voyerism anarchy and personal asymmetric destruction Permalink 2:29 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Even for public figures, there is information and there is porno voyeurism. Spy cameras in bathrooms of public figs?   Permalink 2:35 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Ben, societies have been shown to have had over history a clear idea of what is moral or not. @bhorowitz @kaimac @lkoturner @MichialFarmer Permalink 2:32 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Theil help make the voyeuristic business model very costly. It’s the “mahket” for risk. @John_Hempton @amoselberg @Gawker Permalink 2:27 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb The nub: journos being low IQ, impractical & logically deficient, think judges are also stupid & low IQ. They’re not   Permalink 2:23 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Journos like Gawker exploiting freedom of speech by equating it to videos of your sex life on web. #Logicalfallacy   Permalink 1:50 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Fucking moron, Gawker has ruined the lives of college students! @gammatrader09 Permalink 1:26 PM – 28 May 2016

@kluslim This is a serious issue. All your snap stories could be used by your “friends” as “journalism”   Permalink 1:17 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb If Gawker wins higher court appeal then NECESSARILY anyone can post your PRIVATE activity videos ag. your will. It is Citizens vs “Journos”. Permalink 1:13 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb What will kill Gawker & #pseudo1stamendment fake journalism isn’t HulkHog but 21 y.o ruined w/o “newsworthy” Permalink 12:49 PM – 28 May 2016

@abhi2point0 “A journalist defending Gawker is like a certified public accountant defending Enron.” Word   Permalink 10:41 AM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb I see no difference betw spending 20 years of researching the tomb of Aristotle & the 10th C. morbid worship of ecclesiastical relics. Permalink 7:46 AM – 28 May 2016

@balajis “Gawker manufactured a story that accused someone of rapeapparently for clicks and giggles” Permalink 11:18 PM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Aristotle’s tomb may be good for local hotels, but conflating fetishism and contribution to knowledge is v. offensive to the philosopher. Permalink 5:00 AM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Commencement Address at the American University in Beirut   Permalink 12:13 AM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb If Omidyar wants to fight for freedom of sp, back reals journos fighting power, not scum Gawker prying on 21 y.o.!!!   Permalink 11:47 PM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Bankrupting immoral journalists is good for journalism.   Permalink 7:42 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb I find it a very honorable use of one’s money to bankrupt sites like Gawker. Thank you Peter Theil.   Permalink 7:40 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb It appears that the Thiel vs Gawker is about skin in the game for journos. Sorry journos, but you won’t escape SITG   Permalink 7:02 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Compendaria res improbitas: Shortcuts lead to vice, long road to virtue. The Artisan’s life Permalink 6:54 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb My experience: journos label as “thin skinned” those who make them accountable/responsible for their actions.   Permalink 6:42 AM – 27 May 2016

@MichialFarmer @lkoturner @nntaleb Do you think posting sex tapes of private citizens qualifies as “good journalism,” then? Permalink 3:16 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Enlightnment heroes, when framed sanctiness of “freedom of expression”,did not have Gawker & Engligh Tabloidism in mind. Delenda Gawker Permalink 1:45 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb As @RyanHoliday shows,defending Gawker that drives 21 yo to contemplate suicide in the name of 1rst amnd is Permalink 1:38 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb 2) The purpose of the freedom of speech/1st amendment is not to favor sellers of voyeurism/gawkerism. Voyeurism hijacks freedom of speech. Permalink 1:14 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb 1)Don’t believe the “Gawker goes after the poweful” scam. They punish the weak. Voyeurism is not journalism. Kapish? Permalink 1:11 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb Squid in and Lebanese rose in Beirut. Pasta >> Permalink 10:28 AM – 26 May 2016

@jc8136 @oiwoods You should rather be appalled that only a rich guy can afford such a case! @nntaleb @POLITICOMag Permalink 4:43 AM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb Gawer has destroyed lives of college students by posting videos ag their will. &they bullied them using their power. @oiwoods @POLITICOMag Permalink 4:33 AM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb 2/ In other words, voyeurism should not be the province of the press. Permalink 4:26 AM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb Calling Gawker a “digital publisher” is equivalent to calling the mafia a “social club” or manure a”natural perfume”   Permalink 4:05 AM – 26 May 2016