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Monthly Archives: August 2014

The N=1 Fallacy, Nassim Taleb – Seth Roberts Tribute

Thursday, August 28, 2014

This video was recorded at UC Berkeley on August 10, 2014 as part of a series of talks to honor Seth Roberts. HatTip to K Kalidasan  

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Fat Tail Mag Number 1 Volume 1: Edvin Lemus

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

John, I reviewed Taleb’s Antifragile on Fat Tail Mag. Here is a quote: “Now close to seven years later we have Antifragile Taleb’s newest book that leaves the black swan or the rare event as something beyond mystical and returns to the process itself—to the random distribution and how to take the upside payoff and […]

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Alas, I know very few thin people who know how…

Monday, August 25, 2014

Alas, I know very few thin people who know how to enjoy life & with whom it is fun to eat. via Alas, I know very few thin people who know how… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

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Complexity is about the scale.Some systems are very intelligent…

Monday, August 25, 2014

Complexity is about the scale.Some systems are very intelligent in the aggregate while composed of unintelligent units Ant colonies.Some systems are very unintelligent while composed of very intelligent units certain countries on the Mediterranean.Some systems are intelligent while composed of intelligent units 19th C science, legal systems throughout history.And some systems are very unintelligent while […]

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An introduction for Silent Risk…

Friday, August 22, 2014

An introduction for Silent Risk. Presenting the difference between verbalistic description of probabilistic events and the true rigorous (contractual or mathematical) one. We really don’t know what we are talking about when we talk about probability. Except, of course, firefighters. Adding (p 55) a definition of a Charlatan. Why verbalistic “predictions” (and prediction markets) are […]

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