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Category Archives: Twitter

COVID, Lindy, Correlation

Lindy as a Distance from an Absorbing Barrier (Chapter from SILENT RISK) (You may need to log in or create an account). Fooled by Correlation: Common Misinterpretations in Social “Science” More from NNT at Academia  

#RWRI, Michael Levitt, Pinker, Kucharski, JACOBINISM, Diab | Twitter

COVID-19 brought socialism to America – Nassim Taleb | SophieCo. Visionaries The COVID-19 pandemic came as an external shock, almost unprecedented. How can we navigate the uncertainty of the post-pandemic future? We talked to the author of bestselling books ‘The Black Swan’, ‘Antifragile’, and ‘Skin in the Game’, risk analyst Nassim Nicholas Taleb. @nntaleb 4/ […]

LOCALISM, “libertarians”, ADAPTATION, Justin Amash, @Reason, Marshmallowbrained Psychopaths, Ioannidis

Never use single point estimates for pandemics 5/13/20 @Monsantobuster Prof Taleb @PTetlock does not know what a probability distribution means. pic.twitter.com/YAXNpVst4s Permalink 8:10 AM – 14 May 2020 @bohemianGunjan “Panic is good only if you panic early, and as a trader the first thing you learn is to panic early”. – Nassim Nicholas Taleb. @nntaleb […]

Ioannidis, Tetlock, Summers, Masks, Oil, Russian Roulette, Astrology

From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben | Youtube Published on Apr 24, 2020 + Why the crisiss was not a Black Swan. + Masks compound (even if primitive) + Convexity Ben misleads with his “hedges” Tail Risk of Contagious Diseases (pdf 4/18/2020) (Anti)Fragility and Convex Responses in Medicine (pdf 7/31/2018) The Pandemic Isn’t […]

Sue, @WHO, NYT, LOCALISM, Chloroquine, Asymmetry, Masks, Branson, @CassSunstein, Superforecasters, De Blasio

The Corona Crisis is Not a Black Swan: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Universa Inv. & NYU Tandon) Corporate Socialism: The Government is Bailing Out Investors & Managers Not You (With Mark Spitznagel) Why should we spend taxpayer money to bailout companies who spent their cash (and often even borrowed to generate that cash) to buy their […]