Monthly Archives: April 2018

Jordan Peterson, Blitzer, Gabish, EDUCATION, Monsanto, Daniel Dennet, Cannibalism, Rowling, Romer, Fisk, Douma | Twitter

@davidboxenhorn Skin in the game   Permalink 3:07 PM – 27 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Basically those who don’t know anything about Syria, like @jordanbpeterson, shd STFU Permalink 2:54 PM – 27 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I think I am completely done with @jordanbpeterson. Gave him the benefit of the doubt with Monsanto and other nonsense. This does it. Meanwhile let’s see what we get from @Rootclaim’s rigorous hypothesis testing.   Permalink 2:46 PM – 27 Apr 2018

@VergilDen #Bigoteering and #Pedophrasty in one tweet   Permalink 2:05 PM – 27 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Wolf Blitzer, a despicable man. Very despicable. To him we need to worry that stopping the shelling in Yemen would lead to a loss of jobs in weapons manufacturing.   Permalink 1:37 PM – 27 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Thanks to Hillarists, the “left” now likes militarism, interventionism, censorship, a police state, and mccarthyism.   Permalink 10:40 AM – 27 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Now, in a modern framework, there is no justification for the asymmetry. Except one needs to stay vigilant abt obsessive weirdos. Permalink 8:35 AM – 27 Apr 2018

@nntaleb DECISION THEORY DUJOUR Very rational to react more to negative than positive comments,for the same reason one shd react more to losses than profits: RUIN AVERSION Someone who hates you can kill you, so in a physical environment the emotiononal asymmetry is good risk management Permalink 8:14 AM – 27 Apr 2018

@KarenSweet9 “When a town holds the remnants of an ancient language, one needs to look for vestiges of an ancient practice.” Wow. @nntaleb nails it #insight #SITG #VCBookClub Permalink 8:12 AM – 27 Apr 2018

@Chad_Urban Those of us @ACBACharleston are trying to change the higher ed paradigm. Thankfully, we’re getting some press recognition too on outlets like @gardenandgun and @ThisOldHouse   Permalink 6:39 AM – 27 Apr 2018

@jordantpine Great insight from @nntaleb’s #SkinInTheGame: “Reading a history book, without putting its events in perspective, offers a similar bias to reading an account of life in New York seen from an emergency room at Bellevue Hospital.” Permalink 4:52 PM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I have changed the spelling to Gabish, pronounced halfway between a Semitic qof & a Greek hard “g”. Gabish?   Permalink 3:40 PM – 26 Apr 2018

@MicheKilloran “You can define a free person precisely as someone whose fate is not centrally or directly dependent on peer assessment” #SkinInTheGame #SITG #VCBookClub @nntaleb Permalink 2:46 PM – 26 Apr 2018

@thalesians Deeply saddened and shocked by the arrest in Iran of @thalesians founder Paul @bilokon’s @imperialcollege PhD supervisor the prominent computer scientist and mathematician Abbas Edalat. #FreeAbbasEdalat Permalink 12:36 PM – 26 Apr 2018

@financequant If you come to the Real World Risk Institute, this is one if the insights you will learn. That and why talking about volatility often makes no sense at all.   Permalink 9:53 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Random arithmetic progressions #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 8:33 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 10 In #Antifragile I document the confusion Business =>Technology => Science, far far far far more frequent than the reverse. Problem is that academic, not practitioners, write the books. Permalink 8:07 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 9) Remember that the “University” system for this “liberal education” (trivium/quadrivium) was historically closely associated with, and supervised by, the Church. Technical education was left to free thinkers. Permalink 7:00 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 8) The idea that liberal education makes free thinkers is about the greatest myth: empirically, liberal education creates the exact opposite of “thinkers” and “free”: indoctrinated and slaves.   Permalink 6:27 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 7) Finally, we can split education: + Taught by nonskininthegame people (math, poetry, etc.) + Taught by skininthegame people (engineering, medicine, belly dancing, plumbing, finance, law, burglarizing, computer “science”, accounting, …) In SEPARATE institutions. Permalink 6:06 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 6) The educational model is now imploding as the only thing people seem to learn at colleges is ideology by losers who became professors because they aren’t good enough to create things & got together to BS in a citation ring #RentSeekers (not just in economics, but everywhere) Permalink 5:47 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 5b) The French solved the problem with knowledge exams for educators (“aggregation”); you never end up having people judged solely by peers (See #SkininTheGame ). (Same problems: “know economics” is interpreted as knowing theories by economists, not economic facts). Permalink 5:42 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 5a) The problem of the peer review system is selecting professors on theories abt subject never checked for basic knowledge of subject. It is common for people to know the “post colonial gender theory” of Levant, teach it, but never the actual facts. Permalink 5:39 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 4) So we need to separate “things to learn to be civilized” and “things you learn to do things” with separate institutions. The only overlap I could find was mathematics, though not a strong argument since applied math is a v. different animal. Permalink 5:37 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 3) The Anglo-Saxon world conflated the two, with aristocrat-envy: + Education to be civilized. (Literature, philosophy, poetry, abstract math, history, stamp collecting, etc.) + Education to learn to do things. (Engineering, medicine, accounting, law, belly dancing, plumbing) Permalink 5:33 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) For instance, mathematics as taught for “liberal” education, was theoretical mind exercise. Euclid’s theorem was never used in building. Meanwhile builders (parts of guilds with trade secrets) were using their own heuristic, richer, geometry. (see #Antifragile) Permalink 5:30 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb EDUCATION. Distilling the conversation with @bryan_caplan hosted by @tylercowen 1) There has been a traditional separation between: + “liberal education” for free men, (liber), who didn’t work for a living, & +”technical education”, for those who labor. Permalink 5:28 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb But @HooverInst has low ethical standarda; it kept @henryimiller who was fired from Forbes for putting articles written by Monsanto— he “wrote” 5 articles smearing me.   Permalink 4:49 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A think tank fellow had the discipline to overcome my insults to his profession while reviewing my book.   Permalink 4:25 AM – 26 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Can someone explain what’s going on? Thanks.   Permalink 1:53 PM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Mark Lynas’ typical charlatan responses. His friend Henry I. Miller was fired from Forbes as his comments were written by Monsanto (including attacks on yours truly). Monsanto papers… tons of documents:   Permalink 10:37 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@financequant If this doesn’t help you understand p-hacking then you’re beyond hope.   Permalink 10:20 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb If there is such as thing as Monsanto derangement, why did Monsanto send 1200 letters after my PP paper? Why does Monsanto fund smear campaigns? Why did Monsanto pay “scientists” to write articles abt Glyphosate? Have you seen the Monsanto papers?   Permalink 9:23 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb KELLY CRITERION My lecktchur notes to students. Thanks to @ole_b_peters who showed how stoooooopid decision theorists have been not getting time vs/ ensemble returns. Permalink 8:20 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb CLUSTERING You can detect a shill (such as the charlatan @mark_lynas) using the following method: there is a cluster of people who are both GMO & glyphosate advocates, when the distribution of advocacy shld be somewhat random. What do the 2 have in common? Monsanto.   Permalink 7:35 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb “Taboo fatigue”   Permalink 6:01 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@PaleoPhil And here is Nassim on the past interchangeability of blue and green:   Permalink 5:06 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb This is from Reich(2018): something about splicing I don’t get. Does it mean one only inherits clusters of DNA? Otherwise to exclude an ancestor would be very low probability. Is this 47+71 an average or a stochastic quantity? cc: @trishankkarthik also noticed. Permalink 4:59 AM – 25 Apr 2018

@nntaleb @danieldennett reminds me of the IYI Arabists secularists in Syria & Iraq who, in 1934, predicted that religion (particularly Islam) would be a thing of the past by 1960; then in 1960, predicted that it would be gone by 1990, then again before Sept 11, predicted… Permalink 3:18 PM – 24 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Finally, after all these years, a compliment.   Permalink 2:51 PM – 24 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Trying to speak Turkish in preparation for my visit to Dunya Guzeli   Permalink 1:30 PM – 24 Apr 2018

@alxpr1c3 it was only a matter of time –   @nntaleb Permalink 12:42 PM – 24 Apr 2018

@nntaleb IYI @danieldennet’s remark is the best advertising for John Gray’s new book.   Permalink 9:23 AM – 24 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Margaritas ante porcos*. *Pearls before swine.   Permalink 8:33 AM – 24 Apr 2018

@MaxBlumenthal The author of this desperate smear job is so malicious he cited a literal blacklist by a neocon think tank accusing every public figure who has ever given an interview to RT — all 2326 of them — of being “useful idiots”   Permalink 7:40 AM – 24 Apr 2018

@ole_b_peters What will happen in this experiment?   Will people switch between the specific utility functions EE predicts or won’t they, as EUT predicts? What would be a fair interpretation? @rorysutherland @nntaleb @R_Thaler please guess, comment, retweet. Permalink 7:05 AM – 24 Apr 2018

@ToryAnarchist Don’t miss @DrGeneCallahan’s review of @nntaleb.   Permalink 5:57 AM – 24 Apr 2018

@thackerpd I love how #FOIA emails keep uncovering more and more “independent” #GMO scientists who, oddly enough, are working with #monsanto @hiltzikm   Permalink 5:55 AM – 24 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 3) Knowledge entails seeing signal from noise. You don’t get that with promiscuous reading. Permalink 5:05 AM – 23 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The Indians get the idea of rigor!   Permalink 4:38 AM – 23 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 1) Today is #BookDay. Remember The opposite of reading is not not reading, but reading something like @NewYorker (& books in its style) 2) Critical reasoning, the ability to spot logical inconsistencies, degrades w/promiscuous reading. Choose carefully and read little. Permalink 4:33 AM – 23 Apr 2018

@ggreenwald In Yemen today, the Saudis bombed a wedding, killing at least 20 people, including the bride. They killed “mostly women and children.” The US & UK – who some believe do humanitarian interventions – both play vital roles in the Saudi destruction of Yemen   Permalink 4:22 AM – 23 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid 1/ Our paper   has surpassed 12,425 views/downloads in PLOS ONE. Its finding “the most accurate ML method was worse than then least accurate statistical one” was not contested expect by only one of the several hundred tweets/retweets received. Permalink 12:59 AM – 23 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Always apologize, except when you’ve done something wrong.   Permalink 6:47 PM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) Unless the person is a risk taker, the higher up in any organization, the more you can dispense with him/her. If the nonentrepreneur CEO of [name your company] did not exist, the world would be the same. Or better. Permalink 3:24 PM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I woke with this conclusion from Skin in the Game: 1) Things work thanks to a handful of people; the rest operates by situational imitation, narrow mimicry, and semi-conscious role-playing. Permalink 3:19 PM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Things are easier if you call it Western Eurasia, as the scientific name in genetics.   Permalink 11:45 AM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Actually sub-imbecile @booksandbooze_ doesn’t get that defending grandmother ag Sunstein-style psycholophasters is not because “conservative” but because one prefers nonBS to BS., or prefers what works (w/high STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE) to what fails. This is called SCIENTIFIC. Permalink 9:11 AM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Imbecile, who is attacking “science” and “experts”?   Permalink 6:52 AM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Under the glorious Third Republic, the French gov’s share was 9% of GDP. Today it is ~60% 1 in 12 workers are now civil servants. Permalink 5:19 AM – 22 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Correction: I said somewhere that the French National Assembly was today mostly composed of professional politicians/bureaucrats’lawyers (the usual IYIs). The rate is about 40%.   Permalink 3:50 PM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Do you think the Russians interfered in the elections in Saudi Arabia? Permalink 1:51 PM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Reciting Hammurabi in Akkadian while writing Skin in the Game   Permalink 9:30 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It takes bet 45 minutes & a week to convince a smart person that GMOs are an intellectual fraud, not science but scientism, that supporters are not “skeptics” but shills, etc. Takes only 30 seconds to convince a computer scientist. Just mention P/NP and they get it instantly. Permalink 7:30 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb REAL WORLD RISK SCHOLARSHIPS Friends, scholarships are available for the 8th program May 28-June 1st. Full scholarships are available for women, Syrian students, & unemployed people -please mail a (short) CV   Permalink 7:13 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb In fact I tend to block people who give unsollicited advice, make logical mistakes, or represent Monsanto/Saudi Barbaria, rarely those who attack me. Permalink 6:22 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The thing is, I enjoy Twitter fights & other public brawls. I always open Twitter with the anticipation one has facing a box of Christmas goodies. If you are scared of opening Twitter, you are doing something wrong.   Permalink 5:42 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@ggreenwald Things that are *not* press freedom attacks: — Trump tweeting juvenile insults about TV stars. Things that *are* press freedom attacks: — Obama & Trump DOJ prosecuting sources under Espionage Act — DNC suing WikiLeaks for *publishing* docs:   Permalink 5:17 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) People using such services as @23andMe me for autosomal DNA get percentages (23% this, 10% that, etc.) This is BS: you need to look at INDEPENDENT categories, as in the map above, and look at distance from clusters. Permalink 4:51 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Speculation Du Jour: Genetic distance on PCA Distance on PCA, when small, does not reflect difference in traits, only the rate of inbreeding from period >the Bronze age. When large, disproportional difference in traits. A better measure is differential entropy. @PZalloua Permalink 4:46 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) In a rational society, pedophrasty should be a powerful tag, at par with “racism” and “sexism” Permalink 4:38 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 1) Pedophrasty is a great way to get people to suspend judgment. So powerful it has to be used by scammers.   Permalink 4:37 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@surreallyno After 236 pages of thought-provoking chapters, the Epilogue is remarkably simple. And powerful. Great book, Nassim Taleb @nntaleb Permalink 1:04 AM – 21 Apr 2018

@howisthewater The Northern and Western European tradition needed to absorb Rome into their linear classics narrative as otherwise they would need to accept that their progenitors were defeated, butchered, and enslaved by the war machine of the Roman Republic en masse. Permalink 12:10 PM – 20 Apr 2018

@oldlevantine L-ligga l-qurayciyye ma jtééxit minna laxaala. L-muçassassét l-Maruniyyé qilla, min l-qniisé lal-batraqiyyé larr-rahbanéét lal-madééris bi-rimmita, hinné lli ÿawrabo c-caÿb. ss-suusé minna w fiina. The barbarians aren’t at the gate; they ARE the gatekeepers, from the Patriarch on Permalink 12:02 PM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Why anything (like academia) that escapes evolutionary selection (survival) will rot. Like economics and this charlatan @kaushikcbasu.   Permalink 11:51 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Charlatans & economists use logical flaw: because a pilot is expert, they are experts. But Pilots are selected via skin-in-the-game mechanisms. Plumbers, dancers, dentists, mathematicians, snipers, pastry chefs are experts. Not this @kaushikcbasu. Economists BS for a living.   Permalink 11:48 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb “Mr. Wegert and Mr. Landmesser: People, Numbers and the Tipping Point” by Predrag Brajovic   Permalink 9:49 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Map is wrong. Berytus spoke Latin (not just Greek), the coastal towns were Hellenic.   Permalink 9:12 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Where I discover that Benjamin Ferensz and I have been sharing the same Calabrese barbers for 25 years. He is about to turn 100 and speaks Italian! He actually jokes in Italian. Permalink 8:31 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb What the Mary Beards anachronistic BS vendors are confused abt: the genetic distance SouthMed-Roman was a fraction of Brit-Roman. So, if anything, the Brits would have been the “ethnics”. Reich: North Africans (S. Meds) are ecologically WestEurasians.   Permalink 7:37 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) You do not build political systems based on wishful thinking (s.a. lets “eliminate” corruption). You build systems ROBUST to the assumption that humans are flawed, self-serving, & prone to suckerdom (let’s make sure corruption/lobbying/thinkthanking don’t have a big payoff).   Permalink 6:59 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb For those who don’t get it, our precautionary principle page & the computational class for GMOs.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 5:16 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@ektrit HISTORY Being a history buff, and a practicing Christian Orthodox, I could not match the history of the Church and the official European histories. I owe it to @nntaleb to finally understand that 19th-20th century historians simply made RETROACTIVE decisions about 10th century. Permalink 4:24 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb If you want an elementary class on HOW TO NOT THINK CRITICALLY: A GUIDE ON CIRCULAR REASONING & BS VENDING, read this fellow @ChrisDYork Why this degradation of reasoning abilities in 2018, not 218? Adverse selection: only rejects become journalists, a recent profession.   Permalink 4:21 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can see Monsanto bribing educators to promote their “science” on social media. By some coincidence the same ones who tried a character assassination on yours truly. Monsanto worked hard to make people believe that SCIENTISM = SCIENCE   Permalink 4:00 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid 1/ There were a lot of tweets, retweets, likes and criticisms for our PLOS ONE paper   with three major ones: 1. The time series were too short 2. They were too noisy 3. There were no explanatory variables to support forecasting Permalink 12:59 AM – 20 Apr 2018

@nntaleb This is called cannibalism. Managers of the bank get bonuses, but bank pays fine to the government… and banks are stopped out by the government. The managers should be paying the fines. #skininthegame #RobertRubinTrade   Permalink 5:13 PM – 19 Apr 2018

@robertwjordway “…the vast majority of the exercise “science” that is being conducted in universities is complete BS” -@CoachRippetoe, @SS_strength. I think @nntaleb would extend this to several other domains… #startingstrength Permalink 4:46 PM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb In a centralized system, it takes very, very little money to control government. I am not surprised to see how little money lobbyists make compared to the control they exert over Yuuuge decisions. #localism Permalink 1:22 PM – 19 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Inheriting inequality   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 10:16 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A year and a half later, nobody has yet provided data about Syrian casualties and “genocide”.   Permalink 9:59 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A monoculture (such as the one we have in Saudi Barbaria financed lobbies) will produce logical inconsistencies. Permalink 9:37 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Indeed JK Rowling is an insult to logical inference. Permalink 9:34 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb   Permalink 8:12 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb My friend Guru is half subsaharan African. Like many SSA he doesn’t like the notion of racism to be diluted by selfserving virtue merchants to the point of lack of effectiveness: its true victims will be first to pay the price.   Permalink 8:03 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb “ In 2015, I asked where to get the style and never got a reply from Wolfram. “ Who are you bullsh**ing? Permalink 7:38 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The Heuristics and Biases tradition does not need this loss aversion stuff (complicated for tail events/dynamics). Its main subject is errors of judgment facing uncertain events: their catalogue works well for non-tails. Permalink 5:44 AM – 19 Apr 2018

@RandPaul I ran for office to put a stop to Washington’s out-of-control spending! Today, I introduced my “Penny Plan” federal budget that will balance within five years.   Permalink 5:34 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb @CutTheKnotMath Maestro, do you known where/if this Norm inequality has been proved? Permalink 3:17 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb DISCUSSION THREAD: Heart Attack Rate for Sprinters Friends, looking for data/papers/other on heart attacks by sprinters vs Marathon runners. Needs to be age-adjusted, properly controlled, etc. cc:@GuruAnaerobic @drjasonfung @trishankkarthik Permalink 2:31 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The type of thing we watch for when we write papers and articles. Ms @juliamacfarlane make sure you read the ethics guidelines before discussing @KarlreMarks Permalink 2:19 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Notice plagiarist @KarlreMarks uses “he is so eager for intellectual validation”, a sentence that applies everywhere: a nonplagiarist would not have tried something of the sort, rather: sorry I didn’t notice, it is coincidental, etc. Step 2: they downplay plagiarism… Permalink 2:13 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb How every plagiarist responds   Permalink 2:03 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Turns out clown @KarlreMarks is also a plagiarist.   Permalink 1:22 PM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) Further, @paulmromer, answers on both sides could have been lost in spam folders; it is unrigorous to generalize from 1 piece of correspondence. (I for my part have never had an inquiry w/ them that went unanswered). But using it part of rant over private vs public… Permalink 7:38 AM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Mr @paulmromer, your rant bashing Mathematica is BS: +You misrepresent the reaction of @WolframResearch (they replied) +Offensive to users like myself +Strange for an economist to diss for profit closed systems (incentives?) +You don’t get mathematical tinkering/exploration   Permalink 7:10 AM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Meanwhile, to be constructive, I recommend @confusezeus and @janinedigi & others in the verbalistic business enroll in a class of critical thinking where the empirical methods of evidence weighting by @Rootclaim are taught.   Permalink 6:17 AM – 18 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Training Bicyclists on a Mountain Road   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 5:18 AM – 18 Apr 2018

@nntaleb This systematic approach by @Rootclaim (or something of the type) is the only chance we have to use rigor in analysis. As a probabilist I am proud to see my field lead to some clarity. Here is the analysis of the previous chemical event.   Permalink 4:22 AM – 18 Apr 2018

@rory_yeomans Syria is the end point of a journalistic process which began during the Yugoslav conflicts of the 1990s. Make the complex simple and imply any journalist/academic or analyst who has a different insight is an apologist or acting in bad faith. Repeat. Rinse. Permalink 3:53 PM – 17 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Information gains from attempts to repress it. I was neutral to info by Robert Fisk but not neutral to attempts to smear him. The more hyperactivity & anger against him, the more likely his info to be true… #Antifragile Permalink 2:18 PM – 17 Apr 2018

@LHMMacKenzie Truth really is stranger than fiction. Accusing an acclaimed journalist of assisting in a war crime based on the premise of him reporting a contrasting perspective. 2018 feels more like 1984. Permalink 2:17 PM – 17 Apr 2018

@nntaleb So @janinedigi, you want Robert Fisk to be judged for war crimes for reporting on events, in a way that contradicts your priors? Stalinism enforced by people disguized as journalists?   Permalink 1:25 PM – 17 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath A Simple Integral of a Peculiar Functrion. Practically no integration   #FigureThat #math #algebra #calculus ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:33 AM – 17 Apr 2018

@nntaleb In Skin in the Game: …risk aversion, or something even more foolish, “loss aversion” Permalink 3:46 AM – 17 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Ha!!!   Permalink 3:23 AM – 17 Apr 2018

@nntaleb “The Corruption of Evidence Based Medicine — Killing for Profit” by @drjasonfung   Permalink 2:52 PM – 16 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Enmity can flip twice; friendship only once. Permalink 2:17 PM – 16 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Enmity can reverse twice, friendship only once. Permalink 2:05 PM – 16 Apr 2018

@nntaleb هيدا منوا الحرف العبري بس الحرف الارامي-كنعاني. اهين الواحد يكتببوا من الحرف العربي Permalink 12:02 PM – 16 Apr 2018

@nntaleb דלאלת אל חאירינ כתב בל–ערבי, בלכצ אלעברי   Permalink 11:53 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@widespreadhaze Robert Fisk reporting from the clinic in Douma at which the victims of an alleged CW attack were filmed. There was no CW attack, the victims were suffering from hypoxia due dust inhalation. Please RT:   Permalink 11:25 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@Wilkmaster I trust Fisk 100x more than Boris and May on this (Beware though: The jihadis gas captives so you do/will have some Sarin-affected kiddos. Poor little things) Permalink 9:16 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A preliminary glossary of counteraccusations, to fend of accusatory propaganda such as “racist” in situations where it is not warranted, and similar matters. Permalink 8:06 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Given the probability of two balls being of the same color. How many are there of each color?   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 6:11 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@WeAreLebanon A sunny fresh day from #Beirut By @hasnafrangieh #WeAreLebanon Permalink 2:32 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid Hype Vs Reality: How accurate are AI/ML methods beyond image, sound and text recognition? It all depends on the type of application and the four factors shown in the photo taken from   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 1:15 AM – 16 Apr 2018

@nntaleb My paper on p value hacking was accepted in a journal. I was told the math was peer-reviewed to be OK but that it has to have an explanatory section simple enough that “even a statistitian” can understand. Any comment?   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 3:40 PM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Espen is the most Independent Yet Rigorous (IYR) thinker I’ve had the privilege to work with. He moved from option trading to math finance to quantum mechanics/statistical physics.   Permalink 3:33 PM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb One byproduct of inequality: socially confident scholars who didn’t care abt their reputation: Wittgenstein, B. Russell, Darwin (mostly Erasmus), Galton, De Broglie, etc. I’ve never met any scholar who, like Wittgenstein, didn’t give a flying f**ck abt his/her standing. Permalink 1:10 PM – 15 Apr 2018

@SimnaniIqbals Jeffry D Sachs said in two minutes all that is to say about Syria. Trump’s initial instincts were right, but then he listened to the establishment. Worth clicking.   Permalink 11:52 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 4) A powerful one would be “Nabothizing”, as Naboth was the victim of false accusation by Jezebel, or something of the sort. (Incidentally my real family name is Naboth; Taleb Nabout was my gr-gr-gr-gr-gr-grndfather) but the Leb state cut off Nabout in 1923 to simplifity.) Permalink 9:50 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@_benoux_ 1) Some notes on the issue The meaning of words evolve by those who control the narrative, but they can’t control Lindy effect of time. A sophist used to mean “wise” payed by powerful people. Now it’s the opposite. Pharisee was a title of superior sanctity. Now it’s an insult. Permalink 8:42 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 3) If you devalue words like “racism” or “chauvinism” you will end up harming the true victims. Calling someone “Hitler” for trivial reasons is an insult to the real victims of Hitler.   Permalink 8:17 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) The idea is that if someone accuses you of something, you spend your time explaining why you are not what you are being accused of. Instead, fire back with a worse accusation, so it is the accuser who now has to defend himself… Permalink 8:09 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) We BADLY need such word and make it as SEVERE as the accusation itself -a first step towards penalty. Recall that in Babylon a false accusation was punished as if the accuser committed the crime. Permalink 7:29 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb We need a word to summarize such INTERVENTIONISTA BS, the fallacy of looking at “dictators” without looking at the OTHER SIDE.   Permalink 7:22 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath For the very beginners   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:21 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb We need a word for the misuse of the accusation of “racism” or “chauvinism” to exploit the power of such label in situations where the accusation is not warranted. Accuser: “This is racist” Answer: “This is the xxxxxx fallacy (or fraud)” GraecoLatin Words are powerful. Permalink 7:20 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@onlmaps Demographics of the Aegean Sea and its Surroundings around 1919,…   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 4:06 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Delenda Goldman Sachs   Permalink 2:15 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@medialens From the School of Liberal Humanitarian Intervention, Andrew Rawnsley bemoans that the West is ‘guilty of failing to act’ in Syria. No mention of the CIA spending $1 billion per year, arming and training ‘rebels’.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:26 AM – 15 Apr 2018

@thebeatthatmy @nntaleb circa 2015. Rereading old knowledge in times of stress. Спасибо. Permalink 7:56 PM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb How about Epipedidexation? A single word you can use in a debate to fend off an accusation with another one. “You are supporting a baby-killer” Answer: “This is shoddy epipedidexation!” Any better word? Permalink 1:47 PM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb We are maximally vulnerable to pictures of suffering children. Hence manipulation: beggars who rent children, PR firms who stage Syria things, etc. An accusation of “supporting baby killers” is defenseless. Unless we find a name for this shoddy manipulation. Pueri…? Ideas?   Permalink 12:39 PM – 14 Apr 2018

@catoletters Father Daniel in Syria: “There Never Was a Popular Uprising in Syria”   Permalink 12:15 PM – 14 Apr 2018

Neocons, Saudi Barbaria, IYIs, Localism, David Reich, Holy Week | Twitter


via @trishankkarthik

@nntaleb The mental defects of the neo-cons, from Skin In The Game Permalink 7:34 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@sayed_ridha Patriarchates of Antioch and all the East for the Greek Orthodox, Syrian Orthodox and Greek-Melkite Catholic condemn aggression on Syria. Permalink 7:21 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Some background: among other things, IYI @DAaronovitch was a stauch advocate of the Iraq war (&WMDs). This imbecile is still making pronoucements instead of working as an Uber driver in the London suburbs. Permalink 6:52 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can tell low-intellect NEOCONS: remarks out of a script, randomly selected from “99 negative things to say” In #SkinInTheGame: if neocon babblers can’t think in dynamics (only 1st order thought), it’s bc they are rejects selected to be unimaginative, & incompetent at doing.   Permalink 6:31 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Last night the regime of Saudi Barbaria struck Syria, using its three most faithful agents. Permalink 5:31 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@rory_yeomans This is Britain. This is the new McCarthyite reality. Permalink 3:21 PM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb My 2016 comment on the Syrian war. NOTHING has changed.   Permalink 11:51 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You cannot be both soldier and judge. Permalink 7:48 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A serious problem in the way IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) frame Syria. They talk about Assad w/o comparing his to the rebels -or as if the rebels were Mother Theresa. They also fail to think in dynamics (what happens after?). #Idiots Permalink 5:48 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb When you define yourself as “localist”, nobody frames you in the “partisan” box; both the “left” & the “right” take you for one of them. The only people in favor of centralization are lobbyists, bureaucrats, & DC parasites. Yet the world is centralizing. Permalink 3:17 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@wikileaks POLL: Should the United States military be used to conduct a bombing campaign against the state of Syria? Please retweet for the widest possible poll. Permalink 2:04 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@karthikshaz @RandPaul one of the few sensible rational people left in Washington   @nntaleb @MaxAbrahms Permalink 1:40 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Historians are victims of framing. Malta, Sicily, & Lampedusa, Med islands, are part of “Europe” not “Africa” because…they are Christian. Had they stayed w/Arabs a bit longer, they would now be “African”. Had Tunisia/Algeria stayed Christian, “North Africa” wd be “South Med”. Permalink 1:19 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Before taking a break, Problem 1 from the APMO 2000:   #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:11 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@jeitoapp Reports from a friend of mine who attended today’s @nntaleb tawk Permalink 8:54 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It is lacking in critical thinking to think that *studying* philosophy will improve your critical thinking.   Permalink 8:47 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@financequant Science is built on falsification, not proof. When you lose that insight, the humility of the genuine skeptic is replaced by the arrogance of scientism. Permalink 7:35 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@MikeTek “If you want to help the world, start a business…we need more risk takers.” @nntaleb dropping the mic (and a few f-bombs) in NYC this morning. Much better than coffee. Permalink 7:07 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@trishankkarthik Popcorn time! Permalink 4:35 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I have never seen a clown publish a book, Mr @KarlreMarks.   Permalink 4:06 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@Cernovich Which country has sponsored the most terrorist attacks on American soil? Permalink 4:54 PM – 11 Apr 2018

@artofmanliness New Podcast: Skin in the Game, with @nntaleb   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:54 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@TMFStoffel A Practical Approach to a Political Divide: This is a brilliant OpEd in the New York Times about the practicality of localism — combinging the efforts of @StrongTowns and it’s anointed patron saint, @nntaleb   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:41 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb But the nickname for Vladimir Vladimirovich is “Volodya”.   Permalink 7:53 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@RandPaul Promising war by tweet, insults not only the Constitution but every soldier who puts their life on the line. Permalink 6:52 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@WRatHsChilD_ish Permalink 5:06 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@dpinsen You just signed an omnibus bill that authorized military spending that’s more than double what Russia and China spend on their militaries combined.   Permalink 4:42 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Antifragile. The press overused its weapon against Trump. Aphorism: “ A weapon is something you only use once. Or, preferably, never”   Permalink 3:57 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb In other words, The SouthMed is an extension of Western Eurasia. The naming of continents is arbitrary “Africa” meant Tunisia in Latin. From the magisteria Reich (2018) Permalink 2:52 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Such a narrative/framing would collapse if it were reframed as “First Southern Mediterranean Emperor”. People are suckers for labels.   Permalink 2:33 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Bruno Tertrais is a propagandist. Why is that junk published in L’Orient Le Jour?   via @LorientLeJour Permalink 2:18 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@BruceGodfrey Enjoying @nntaleb in Incerto: “Skin in the Game.” Book is serious but feels like an indulgent vice. You get both Rav Safra at prayer and Taleb’s barber. Makes me want to visit Phoenicia and drink Ksara with the neo-Canaanites. Permalink 7:28 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Prostitutes!   Permalink 2:54 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@iraqschristians Yes, we are asking fellow Americans to please ask @POTUS @VP to not attack Syria. Attacking Syria only emboldens terrorists who aim to destroy Christianity in Syria. These terrorists have crucified Syrian Christians, kidnapped nuns & bishops, & raped Christian women & girls. Permalink 12:46 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Here is the graph of Maximum/Sum showing the imprint of an infinite mean. Permalink 9:56 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@DanielLMcAdams Hey @realDonaldTrump — have a look at this instead of listening to your idiotic neocons. It’s all fake!   Permalink 8:06 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@normonics @nntaleb did you watch this? proposes SITG for all pundits calling for war at the end. Permalink 5:49 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@deadly_onion Most people are focused on “winning” some contrived competition among their peers. Freedom is making the competition irrelevant. @nntaleb (resurfaced by @readwiseio) Permalink 9:37 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The mechanism, in the U.S., @realDonaldTrump, is still that a person is innocent until proven guilty. It’s a degradation of Western Civilization when the machinery of justice is discharged through the media, the BBC, & “think tanks” funded by Saudi Barbaria. Remember Iraq & WMD   Permalink 6:10 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Or use Max to Sum plot for p^th moment cc: @DrCirillo Permalink 5:43 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb An overview in the right direction (anti-abstract universalism, without naming it), though very polite (soft on BS vendors Pinker & Brooks) @yhazony   Permalink 3:33 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You know something has an infinite mean (or variance) from Monte Carlo simulations when different runs give different results, no matter how large the generated sample.   Permalink 8:50 PM – 8 Apr 2018

@oldlevantine @nntaleb shouldn’t apologize for speaking Phoenician during @GadSaad ‘s chat with the author of Incerto   Permalink 10:26 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@Sophiam1973 The bystander effect – the more people the less moral. Paradoxical cos morality is allegedly designed to make society work. Maybe @nntaleb is right – morality doesn’t scale well. Permalink 3:42 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You want to get your enemies to call you “arrogant”. I’ve never called someone I disrespect “arrogant”, even if they were; I’d say “ignorant” or “fool” or “psychologist”.   Permalink 1:54 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb And in Arabic, the “Arabian Sea” was called the Green Sea. Compatible with: Black=North Green=East White=West Red=South Permalink 1:49 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Philology du jour, chromonaming: In Turkish, the Med is Akdeniz (Ottoman: Bahr-i-Sefid) (WHITE Sea), BLACK & RED Seas are Kara Deniz& Kızıl Deniz. Old Arabic name was “Ba7r El Abyad”( White sea), then “ba7r erRum” now “Mutawassit”). How did the color designations come abt? Permalink 1:36 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb ERRATUM (Skin in the Game) Copyeditors can change the meaning of your text “to make it better”, and in a way that escapes your notice. Permalink 11:00 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@MaxAbrahms Students of international relations are taught that even adversaries can generally be understood as essentially rational actors. Not so for #Assad, though.   Permalink 5:06 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Happy Resurrection! Permalink 12:05 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@john_f_hamer @nntaleb : The single best review of Skin In the Game (2018) to come out thus far:   Permalink 7:26 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Roman temple (another) 3.9 miles from Amioun on Google Maps. (3ayn 3ikrin) Permalink 7:19 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It would be interesting to look at this in connection with the volume paradox.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:54 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Orthodoxy is alive in Phoenicia. Greek Orthodox Good Friday: I had to stand outside as all churches in Amioun were full, with crowds outside. Permalink 1:28 PM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Everyone likes the “he is an a*****le”   Permalink 6:54 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb On the way back, discovered a narrow road behind my house; never knew it existed. Permalink 6:33 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Motley Fool Interview: Nassim Nicholas Taleb @themotleyfool #stocks   Permalink 6:27 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb From Reich’s book: there are advantages to being of short height in an agricultural society, & tall in a hunting one. Permalink 4:19 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb So that height privilege needs more testing to see if it applies to Northern Eurasia, not the Mediterranean. Permalink 3:33 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Strange: N. W-Eurasians have genes that makes them taller, S. W-Eurasians (Meds) that make them shorter. And negative sayings about height by Meds: “Homo longus rare sapiens” “Tawil habil” “En un corps grand bien rarement, Sagesse prend son ébergement” “Uomo lungo, testa corta”   Permalink 3:31 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can tell a field is BS when different methods give different solutions. In real science, you get the SAME result NO MATTER what method is used. Observe probability pbms by Maestro Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath: numerous solutions -some drawing on separate branches of math.   Permalink 2:06 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) So according to Arabists, HL Gates is “racist” for being interested in ancestry. Permalink 1:25 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 1) Low-IQ-Arabists trying to smear as “racist” minorities who don’t identify w/Arabism Clueless: +Not being an Arab doesn’t mean superior or inferior +Arabists started the narrative of descent from Arab tribes + African-Americans interested in their roots are now…racist? Permalink 1:07 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@johndurant This should be good: @tylercowen requests questions he should ask @nntaleb   Permalink 10:58 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Vegan kebbe made with herbs for Orthodox holy week. Permalink 10:14 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Life is much, much easier when you treat all humans as flawed and imperfect, but flawed in quite different ways. Permalink 9:01 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Ixsir (sorry I had wine) Permalink 7:02 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Izair Winery in Northern Canaan, 14.1 miles from Amioun on Google Maps. Permalink 6:51 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@yvessmith Economists’ Dubious Relationship with Trade Policy: Comparative Advantage is a System that Works for the Wealthy   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 2:51 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Mr Greaves, I systematically block people who use labels not reasoning, false analogies and exhibit defects in thinking and empirical representation –in other words babbling idiots — even if they do not interact with me. Gabish? Permalink 12:47 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Correction: it wasn’t Vox but Aeon magazine. Note 1: “France” is a nation with 17 languages because it was the territory of the king, not Phoenicia because they were city-states. Note 2: Phoenician writings have been destroyed; historians don’t get SAMPLING BIAS. #Klueless Permalink 12:33 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A lot of idiots-Arabists are citing a Vox article saying “Phoenicians didn’t exist” because… they weren’t organized as a nation 1-They had a clear genetic differentiation (@PZalloua) on PCA (+language) 2-Argument cancels every “nation” that didn’t share a common ruler   Permalink 12:09 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Whatever you say about Trump, nonbureaucrats & people who spent time w/skininthegame like to *close* deals. Bureaucrats let situations rot for decades. Decades. Decades. Next: *close* deal with Iran, please.   Permalink 11:52 PM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Antifragile, nonlinearity of iatrogenics   Permalink 2:24 PM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb David Reich’s book: buy two copies, just in case you lose one.   Permalink 12:09 AM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Holy week in Greek Orthodox Phoenicia: vegan food, arak, and rose wine. Permalink 10:57 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@nntaleb OK, OK, there is a second lecktchur in NY.   Permalink 9:30 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@nntaleb If Fat Tony got on some diet (say w/beeds & Brus sprouts/miso soup, thatkindofstuff), & became the “Formerly Fat Tony” (or Formerly Horizontally Challenged Tony), would he lose his charm, persona, etc.? In other words would the thin, “Formerly Fat Tony” still be “Fat Tony”? Permalink 9:05 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid M4 Competition:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:40 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@SylviaNetwork “Nunca digas ‘No’ dos veces si lo dices en serio” y otros aforismos de @nntaleb:   Permalink 5:54 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid The major finding is: ”The forecasting accuracy of ML forecasting methods is lower than the worst of statistical ones while the accuracy of more than half the ML methods is lower than a random walk”. M4 Competition:   will solve the accuracy issue. Permalink 5:11 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@REXvsDeji The yardstick for measuring rationality is survival, not intellectual constructs that are only relevant to…..intellectuals. So mocking lay people for using crude heuristics to navigate the world is just signalling. Remember the segment he posted online. Permalink 4:52 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@Cholagio It would be a biggest understatement to say that I was excited to meet @nntaleb Meeting people that have inspired you is tricky, as you never know who they turn out to be. Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Interventionistas Outraged Over Trump’s Syria Withdrawal: “We Took The Oil. We’ve Got To Keep The Oil” | Zero Hedge   Permalink 12:13 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@phl43 En France on appelle ça des fonctionnaires.   Permalink 2:01 PM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Like Orthodox Chanting Permalink 9:55 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb With 4 Armenians. Permalink 9:31 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Khachapuri in Tbilisi Permalink 9:25 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Georgia was part of Antioch, then Moscow. And happy Palm Sunday! Permalink 10:25 PM – 31 Mar 2018

@alexandersquats .@nntaleb   Permalink 4:47 PM – 31 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Actually, not Zoroastrian. Must be Nestorian or ancient Pagan. Permalink 2:46 PM – 30 Mar 2018

@mikeandallie After a day of running the kids all over the place, a glass of wine and @nntaleb book recommendation Permalink 2:07 PM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Ashoura rites come from the same ancient Christian source. Same with some aspects of ancient Soufism, & some Zoroastrianism.   Permalink 8:23 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Tbilisi: Signs in Georgian and English; people speak Georgian and Russian. Permalink 7:26 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@JYuter “If you give an opinion, and someone follows it, you are morally obligated to be, yourself, exposed to its consequences.” – @nntaleb Skin in the Game There’s some aspect of this in Torah regarding halakhic decision making Permalink 6:27 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb First book review by an academic (a political scientist no less) who did not get offended.   Permalink 3:31 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I mean you can detect who feels rich based on how much they talk about money. Permalink 10:58 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The definition of wealth is thought to be relative, proportional to neighbors, or one’s aims, etc. No: Is wealthy he or she who doesn’t talk about money. Permalink 10:42 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Taking Turns to Toss a Die   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 8:03 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Chartwell Speakers, can you IMMEDIATELY remove me as a speaker from your page? This is despicable, putting people’s bio as if you represented them. I am not a lecture bureau commodity. @Chartwell_Ideas Permalink 7:23 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@navydish Jobs on consulting. Is this what @nntaleb’s skin in the game is about? “Coming in and making recommendations but not owning the implementation results in a fraction of the value and opportunity to learn and get better. You do get a broad cut at companies but it is very thin.” Permalink 2:44 AM – 29 Mar 2018