Tag Archives: IYIs

Neocons, Saudi Barbaria, IYIs, Localism, David Reich, Holy Week | Twitter


via @trishankkarthik

@nntaleb The mental defects of the neo-cons, from Skin In The Game pic.twitter.com/NUEug0xVqP Permalink 7:34 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@sayed_ridha Patriarchates of Antioch and all the East for the Greek Orthodox, Syrian Orthodox and Greek-Melkite Catholic condemn aggression on Syria. pic.twitter.com/OQGvziHa4J Permalink 7:21 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Some background: among other things, IYI @DAaronovitch was a stauch advocate of the Iraq war (&WMDs). This imbecile is still making pronoucements instead of working as an Uber driver in the London suburbs. Permalink 6:52 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can tell low-intellect NEOCONS: remarks out of a script, randomly selected from “99 negative things to say” In #SkinInTheGame: if neocon babblers can’t think in dynamics (only 1st order thought), it’s bc they are rejects selected to be unimaginative, & incompetent at doing.https://twitter.com/DAaronovitch/status/985135769902899205   Permalink 6:31 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Last night the regime of Saudi Barbaria struck Syria, using its three most faithful agents. Permalink 5:31 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@rory_yeomans This is Britain. This is the new McCarthyite reality. pic.twitter.com/LpyRnL07xh Permalink 3:21 PM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb My 2016 comment on the Syrian war. NOTHING has changed.https://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d   Permalink 11:51 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You cannot be both soldier and judge. Permalink 7:48 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A serious problem in the way IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) frame Syria. They talk about Assad w/o comparing his to the rebels -or as if the rebels were Mother Theresa. They also fail to think in dynamics (what happens after?). #Idiots Permalink 5:48 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb When you define yourself as “localist”, nobody frames you in the “partisan” box; both the “left” & the “right” take you for one of them. The only people in favor of centralization are lobbyists, bureaucrats, & DC parasites. Yet the world is centralizing. Permalink 3:17 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@wikileaks POLL: Should the United States military be used to conduct a bombing campaign against the state of Syria? Please retweet for the widest possible poll. Permalink 2:04 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@karthikshaz @RandPaul one of the few sensible rational people left in Washington https://youtu.be/Q4itcE1RBDY   @nntaleb @MaxAbrahms Permalink 1:40 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Historians are victims of framing. Malta, Sicily, & Lampedusa, Med islands, are part of “Europe” not “Africa” because…they are Christian. Had they stayed w/Arabs a bit longer, they would now be “African”. Had Tunisia/Algeria stayed Christian, “North Africa” wd be “South Med”. Permalink 1:19 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Before taking a break, Problem 1 from the APMO 2000: https://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/APMO2000-1.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Xu4xXiQDOu”>  pic.twitter.com/Xu4xXiQDOu Permalink 9:11 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@jeitoapp Reports from a friend of mine who attended today’s @nntaleb tawk pic.twitter.com/Rascqbi1Rg Permalink 8:54 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It is lacking in critical thinking to think that *studying* philosophy will improve your critical thinking.https://twitter.com/grurray/status/984455020451115010   Permalink 8:47 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@financequant Science is built on falsification, not proof. When you lose that insight, the humility of the genuine skeptic is replaced by the arrogance of scientism. Permalink 7:35 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@MikeTek “If you want to help the world, start a business…we need more risk takers.” @nntaleb dropping the mic (and a few f-bombs) in NYC this morning. Much better than coffee. Permalink 7:07 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@trishankkarthik Popcorn time! pic.twitter.com/8qBbdybwny Permalink 4:35 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I have never seen a clown publish a book, Mr @KarlreMarks.https://twitter.com/karlremarks/status/984381537666904066   Permalink 4:06 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@Cernovich Which country has sponsored the most terrorist attacks on American soil? Permalink 4:54 PM – 11 Apr 2018

@artofmanliness New Podcast: Skin in the Game, with @nntaleb https://buff.ly/2HrdvUG   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/HP3gBcp2Rj”>  pic.twitter.com/HP3gBcp2Rj Permalink 9:54 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@TMFStoffel A Practical Approach to a Political Divide: This is a brilliant OpEd in the New York Times about the practicality of localism — combinging the efforts of @StrongTowns and it’s anointed patron saint, @nntaleb https://mobile.nytimes.com/2018/04/11/opinion/localism-partisanship-local-politics.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fopinion&action=click&contentCollection=opinion&region=stream&module=stream_unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=1&pgtype=sectionfront   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/5fhRzAZNtu”>  pic.twitter.com/5fhRzAZNtu Permalink 9:41 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb But the nickname for Vladimir Vladimirovich is “Volodya”.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/984076665440669697   Permalink 7:53 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@RandPaul Promising war by tweet, insults not only the Constitution but every soldier who puts their life on the line. Permalink 6:52 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@WRatHsChilD_ish pic.twitter.com/l2p8tXoaZm Permalink 5:06 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@dpinsen You just signed an omnibus bill that authorized military spending that’s more than double what Russia and China spend on their militaries combined.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/984032798821568513   Permalink 4:42 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Antifragile. The press overused its weapon against Trump. Aphorism: “ A weapon is something you only use once. Or, preferably, never”https://twitter.com/davidbcollum/status/984020236444848128   Permalink 3:57 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb In other words, The SouthMed is an extension of Western Eurasia. The naming of continents is arbitrary “Africa” meant Tunisia in Latin. From the magisteria Reich (2018) pic.twitter.com/3DqvTnPuKm Permalink 2:52 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Such a narrative/framing would collapse if it were reframed as “First Southern Mediterranean Emperor”. People are suckers for labels.https://twitter.com/britishmuseum/status/983995988464594944   Permalink 2:33 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Bruno Tertrais is a propagandist. Why is that junk published in L’Orient Le Jour? https://www.lorientlejour.com/article/1109551/bruno-tertrais-emmanuel-macron-sest-engage-assez-loin-il-ne-peut-pas-ne-pas-reagir.html   via @LorientLeJour Permalink 2:18 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@BruceGodfrey Enjoying @nntaleb in Incerto: “Skin in the Game.” Book is serious but feels like an indulgent vice. You get both Rav Safra at prayer and Taleb’s barber. Makes me want to visit Phoenicia and drink Ksara with the neo-Canaanites. Permalink 7:28 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Prostitutes!https://twitter.com/lemondefr/status/983822178163544066   Permalink 2:54 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@iraqschristians Yes, we are asking fellow Americans to please ask @POTUS @VP to not attack Syria. Attacking Syria only emboldens terrorists who aim to destroy Christianity in Syria. These terrorists have crucified Syrian Christians, kidnapped nuns & bishops, & raped Christian women & girls. Permalink 12:46 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Here is the graph of Maximum/Sum showing the imprint of an infinite mean. pic.twitter.com/M3vwVPeaOG Permalink 9:56 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@DanielLMcAdams Hey @realDonaldTrump — have a look at this instead of listening to your idiotic neocons. It’s all fake!https://twitter.com/ClubBayern/status/983460513865781248   Permalink 8:06 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@normonics @nntaleb did you watch this? proposes SITG for all pundits calling for war at the end. Permalink 5:49 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@deadly_onion Most people are focused on “winning” some contrived competition among their peers. Freedom is making the competition irrelevant. @nntaleb (resurfaced by @readwiseio) pic.twitter.com/p5Pn5lyIA6 Permalink 9:37 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The mechanism, in the U.S., @realDonaldTrump, is still that a person is innocent until proven guilty. It’s a degradation of Western Civilization when the machinery of justice is discharged through the media, the BBC, & “think tanks” funded by Saudi Barbaria. Remember Iraq & WMDhttps://twitter.com/JustinRaimondo/status/982989319123054592   Permalink 6:10 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Or use Max to Sum plot for p^th moment cc: @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com/H0zodZSh90 Permalink 5:43 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb An overview in the right direction (anti-abstract universalism, without naming it), though very polite (soft on BS vendors Pinker & Brooks) @yhazonyhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/the-dark-side-of-the-enlightenment-1523050206   Permalink 3:33 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You know something has an infinite mean (or variance) from Monte Carlo simulations when different runs give different results, no matter how large the generated sample.https://twitter.com/mikeandallie/status/983083021036392448   Permalink 8:50 PM – 8 Apr 2018

@oldlevantine @nntaleb shouldn’t apologize for speaking Phoenician during @GadSaad ‘s chat with the author of Incertohttps://youtu.be/ezhjumayRsg   Permalink 10:26 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@Sophiam1973 The bystander effect – the more people the less moral. Paradoxical cos morality is allegedly designed to make society work. Maybe @nntaleb is right – morality doesn’t scale well. Permalink 3:42 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You want to get your enemies to call you “arrogant”. I’ve never called someone I disrespect “arrogant”, even if they were; I’d say “ignorant” or “fool” or “psychologist”.https://twitter.com/Mangan150/status/982748424771481601   Permalink 1:54 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb And in Arabic, the “Arabian Sea” was called the Green Sea. Compatible with: Black=North Green=East White=West Red=South pic.twitter.com/ImaEdhHsef Permalink 1:49 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Philology du jour, chromonaming: In Turkish, the Med is Akdeniz (Ottoman: Bahr-i-Sefid) (WHITE Sea), BLACK & RED Seas are Kara Deniz& Kızıl Deniz. Old Arabic name was “Ba7r El Abyad”( White sea), then “ba7r erRum” now “Mutawassit”). How did the color designations come abt? Permalink 1:36 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb ERRATUM (Skin in the Game) Copyeditors can change the meaning of your text “to make it better”, and in a way that escapes your notice. pic.twitter.com/YH7oGe4WHz Permalink 11:00 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@MaxAbrahms Students of international relations are taught that even adversaries can generally be understood as essentially rational actors. Not so for #Assad, though.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/959231236404367360?s=21   Permalink 5:06 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Happy Resurrection! pic.twitter.com/cCo9361xeG Permalink 12:05 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@john_f_hamer @nntaleb : The single best review of Skin In the Game (2018) to come out thus far:https://committingsociology.com/2018/04/07/a-celebration-of-what-works-nassim-nicholas-talebs-skin-in-the-game-2018/   Permalink 7:26 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Roman temple (another) 3.9 miles from Amioun on Google Maps. (3ayn 3ikrin) pic.twitter.com/HkKJc88Y4e Permalink 7:19 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It would be interesting to look at this in connection with the volume paradox. https://www.dropbox.com/s/tgfs0u5sj9y1nie/GordianProbabilityApril7.tex?dl=0   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/yli6XgbQzy”>  pic.twitter.com/yli6XgbQzy Permalink 12:54 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Orthodoxy is alive in Phoenicia. Greek Orthodox Good Friday: I had to stand outside as all churches in Amioun were full, with crowds outside. pic.twitter.com/JFzB3qCn73 Permalink 1:28 PM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Everyone likes the “he is an a*****le”https://twitter.com/Doug_Caldwell/status/982239944448946178   Permalink 6:54 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb On the way back, discovered a narrow road behind my house; never knew it existed. pic.twitter.com/gs53OYtdGo Permalink 6:33 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Motley Fool Interview: Nassim Nicholas Taleb @themotleyfool #stockshttps://www.fool.com/investing/2018/04/03/motley-fool-interview-nassim-nicholas-taleb.aspx   Permalink 6:27 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb From Reich’s book: there are advantages to being of short height in an agricultural society, & tall in a hunting one. pic.twitter.com/8ifPnroG0k Permalink 4:19 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb So that height privilege needs more testing to see if it applies to Northern Eurasia, not the Mediterranean. Permalink 3:33 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Strange: N. W-Eurasians have genes that makes them taller, S. W-Eurasians (Meds) that make them shorter. And negative sayings about height by Meds: “Homo longus rare sapiens” “Tawil habil” “En un corps grand bien rarement, Sagesse prend son ébergement” “Uomo lungo, testa corta”https://twitter.com/clairlemon/status/982042633416523776   Permalink 3:31 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can tell a field is BS when different methods give different solutions. In real science, you get the SAME result NO MATTER what method is used. Observe probability pbms by Maestro Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath: numerous solutions -some drawing on separate branches of math.https://twitter.com/CutTheKnotMath/status/981884569514381312   Permalink 2:06 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) So according to Arabists, HL Gates is “racist” for being interested in ancestry. pic.twitter.com/b1Pri0bs8F Permalink 1:25 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 1) Low-IQ-Arabists trying to smear as “racist” minorities who don’t identify w/Arabism Clueless: +Not being an Arab doesn’t mean superior or inferior +Arabists started the narrative of descent from Arab tribes + African-Americans interested in their roots are now…racist? Permalink 1:07 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@johndurant This should be good: @tylercowen requests questions he should ask @nntalebhttp://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2018/04/ask-nassim-taleb.html   Permalink 10:58 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Vegan kebbe made with herbs for Orthodox holy week. pic.twitter.com/tVQnX7Idty Permalink 10:14 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Life is much, much easier when you treat all humans as flawed and imperfect, but flawed in quite different ways. Permalink 9:01 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Ixsir (sorry I had wine) Permalink 7:02 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Izair Winery in Northern Canaan, 14.1 miles from Amioun on Google Maps. pic.twitter.com/jfltrKSp39 Permalink 6:51 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@yvessmith Economists’ Dubious Relationship with Trade Policy: Comparative Advantage is a System that Works for the Wealthy http://dlvr.it/QNVpn4   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/NX6VXYeCcn”>  pic.twitter.com/NX6VXYeCcn Permalink 2:51 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Mr Greaves, I systematically block people who use labels not reasoning, false analogies and exhibit defects in thinking and empirical representation –in other words babbling idiots — even if they do not interact with me. Gabish? Permalink 12:47 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Correction: it wasn’t Vox but Aeon magazine. Note 1: “France” is a nation with 17 languages because it was the territory of the king, not Phoenicia because they were city-states. Note 2: Phoenician writings have been destroyed; historians don’t get SAMPLING BIAS. #Klueless Permalink 12:33 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A lot of idiots-Arabists are citing a Vox article saying “Phoenicians didn’t exist” because… they weren’t organized as a nation 1-They had a clear genetic differentiation (@PZalloua) on PCA (+language) 2-Argument cancels every “nation” that didn’t share a common rulerhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/915593393232900097   Permalink 12:09 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Whatever you say about Trump, nonbureaucrats & people who spent time w/skininthegame like to *close* deals. Bureaucrats let situations rot for decades. Decades. Decades. Next: *close* deal with Iran, please.https://wapo.st/2GAsRJm?tid=ss_tw&utm_term=.70c5d196bbf2   Permalink 11:52 PM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Antifragile, nonlinearity of iatrogenicshttps://twitter.com/Mangan150/status/981626686511853568   Permalink 2:24 PM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb David Reich’s book: buy two copies, just in case you lose one. https://www.amazon.com/gp/customer-reviews/ROTGHVIPIOV4C/ref=cm_cr_arp_d_rvw_ttl?ie=UTF8&ASIN=110187032X   Permalink 12:09 AM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Holy week in Greek Orthodox Phoenicia: vegan food, arak, and rose wine. pic.twitter.com/z2i3NKRfeg Permalink 10:57 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@nntaleb OK, OK, there is a second lecktchur in NY.https://twitter.com/randomhouse/status/981205065577967618   Permalink 9:30 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@nntaleb If Fat Tony got on some diet (say w/beeds & Brus sprouts/miso soup, thatkindofstuff), & became the “Formerly Fat Tony” (or Formerly Horizontally Challenged Tony), would he lose his charm, persona, etc.? In other words would the thin, “Formerly Fat Tony” still be “Fat Tony”? Permalink 9:05 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid M4 Competition: http://m4.unic.ac.cy   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/KAt1BRd7Gk”>  pic.twitter.com/KAt1BRd7Gk Permalink 12:40 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@SylviaNetwork “Nunca digas ‘No’ dos veces si lo dices en serio” y otros aforismos de @nntaleb:http://www.elmundo.es/papel/cultura/2018/04/01/5ac0a99de5fdea620d8b45ab.html   Permalink 5:54 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid The major finding is: ”The forecasting accuracy of ML forecasting methods is lower than the worst of statistical ones while the accuracy of more than half the ML methods is lower than a random walk”. M4 Competition: http://www.m4.univ.ac.cy   will solve the accuracy issue. Permalink 5:11 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@REXvsDeji The yardstick for measuring rationality is survival, not intellectual constructs that are only relevant to…..intellectuals. So mocking lay people for using crude heuristics to navigate the world is just signalling. Remember the segment he posted online. Permalink 4:52 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@Cholagio It would be a biggest understatement to say that I was excited to meet @nntaleb Meeting people that have inspired you is tricky, as you never know who they turn out to be. pic.twitter.com/mB997rDBDm Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Interventionistas Outraged Over Trump’s Syria Withdrawal: “We Took The Oil. We’ve Got To Keep The Oil” | Zero Hedgehttps://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-04-01/interventionistas-outraged-over-trumps-syria-withdrawal-we-took-oil-weve-got-keep   Permalink 12:13 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@phl43 En France on appelle ça des fonctionnaires.https://twitter.com/kjhealy/status/980537311774593030   Permalink 2:01 PM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Like Orthodox Chanting pic.twitter.com/LAw8Bua91A Permalink 9:55 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb With 4 Armenians. Permalink 9:31 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Khachapuri in Tbilisi pic.twitter.com/0ipmhY7lSz Permalink 9:25 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Georgia was part of Antioch, then Moscow. And happy Palm Sunday! pic.twitter.com/1mkH99JvRa Permalink 10:25 PM – 31 Mar 2018

@alexandersquats .@nntalebhttps://www.chonday.com/25879/palaramic5/   Permalink 4:47 PM – 31 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Actually, not Zoroastrian. Must be Nestorian or ancient Pagan. Permalink 2:46 PM – 30 Mar 2018

@mikeandallie After a day of running the kids all over the place, a glass of wine and @nntaleb book recommendation pic.twitter.com/hbDAvsXCgA Permalink 2:07 PM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Ashoura rites come from the same ancient Christian source. Same with some aspects of ancient Soufism, & some Zoroastrianism.https://twitter.com/DRUDGE_REPORT/status/979739546186166273   Permalink 8:23 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Tbilisi: Signs in Georgian and English; people speak Georgian and Russian. Permalink 7:26 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@JYuter “If you give an opinion, and someone follows it, you are morally obligated to be, yourself, exposed to its consequences.” – @nntaleb Skin in the Game There’s some aspect of this in Torah regarding halakhic decision making Permalink 6:27 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb First book review by an academic (a political scientist no less) who did not get offended. https://shar.es/1LEJpp   Permalink 3:31 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I mean you can detect who feels rich based on how much they talk about money. Permalink 10:58 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The definition of wealth is thought to be relative, proportional to neighbors, or one’s aims, etc. No: Is wealthy he or she who doesn’t talk about money. Permalink 10:42 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Taking Turns to Toss a Die https://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/DiceInSequence.shtml   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/JjxF3SpNIZ”>  pic.twitter.com/JjxF3SpNIZ Permalink 8:03 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Chartwell Speakers, can you IMMEDIATELY remove me as a speaker from your page? This is despicable, putting people’s bio as if you represented them. I am not a lecture bureau commodity. @Chartwell_Ideas Permalink 7:23 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@navydish Jobs on consulting. Is this what @nntaleb’s skin in the game is about? “Coming in and making recommendations but not owning the implementation results in a fraction of the value and opportunity to learn and get better. You do get a broad cut at companies but it is very thin.” pic.twitter.com/Uj5jyjPDtF Permalink 2:44 AM – 29 Mar 2018

Nocera, GMOs, IYIs, MSM, Flaneuring, Tamar Haspel, Clarissa Ward, “Nudge” | Twitter

@nntaleb One of the “failures” sold a company for billions. There exists no business in which people can be as clueless as journos, yet survive. Permalink 1:47 PM – 15 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A tragedy. Could not just “like” ithttps://twitter.com/republicofmath/status/886261006007242752   Permalink 12:49 PM – 15 Jul 2017

@theenviousleft 97% of media professionals donated to Clinton. Learn about skin in the game and stop lying you obfuscating dunce. @nntaleb Permalink 10:18 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Bullshitters like you, indeed. Permalink 9:24 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is Sophistry 101 by a BSTimes journo. Typical BSTimes. We are talking abt threat to the West, not threat to Russia. (fake use of SITG)https://twitter.com/GlennThrush/status/886251135144800257   Permalink 9:18 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Cyclic Inequality In Three Variables with Constraints http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/SimplifiedSitaru2.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/gpaRsyYypU”>  pic.twitter.com/gpaRsyYypU Permalink 6:48 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) Cont Election Paper pic.twitter.com/TFVgDvBA3S Permalink 5:48 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 1) Submitted this version of the Election paper to a journal. pic.twitter.com/EGHkyIZe0F Permalink 5:47 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Three hours.https://twitter.com/StoolPoop/status/885986219405918208   Permalink 7:20 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb BSTimes journo looks at failed AynRanders. He didn’t realize they WERE already successful. No cohort comparison.https://nyti.ms/2vgJeR5   Permalink 1:14 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/885948326163689472   Permalink 1:00 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb So we now can quantify by how much books on “RISK” using “empiricism” like Fischhoff’s & oth. nonrisktaking academics are clueless. pic.twitter.com/A0Q4vNP9NY Permalink 11:32 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Finally found a closed-form for by how much we underestimate the true extreme using a “empirical distribution” (Reason: rainy Friday in NY.) pic.twitter.com/GxShlFKTuV Permalink 11:16 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@ebruenner just concluded v. long twitter debate w/ pro gmo. 100% arguments based on: -credentialism -unquestionable NECESSITY of novel foods Permalink 11:08 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@MastaKace Haplogroup J2 is generally associated with the Romans, it’s also found in high frequencies in area around Dardanelles & Constantinople (1) pic.twitter.com/uMo0iGUCSL Permalink 9:58 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb Another attempt at the Alan Blinder Problem with your helpful ideas hopefully I’m getting it right this time. #rentseeking pic.twitter.com/WhvHtCj71B Permalink 9:44 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb There is NO EVIDENCE whatsoever abt safety of GMOs. Not ONE risk study. Nor does hiding stuff abt Glyphosate help much Keep trying Monsanto! pic.twitter.com/aVWv2rfqa9 Permalink 5:01 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Charlatan invoke such things as “potential to feed pple” in place of PROOF it won’t cause disaster for same pple. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  https://twitter.com/potatodoctor/status/885814957211832322   Permalink 4:52 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@fortierfinance NNT thread one of few places throughout my day I can reliably find justice being authentically served-world seems bit more sane as a result Permalink 11:59 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb IYI Steil, don’t flatter yourself, I am not messing with you bec I am angry; I just take immense pleasure in busting BS vendors. Kapish? Permalink 11:55 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb As I said, media commentators & former Gawker journalists seem have a contagious overpowering concern with… substance.https://twitter.com/AdamWeinstein/status/885567669273059328   Permalink 11:39 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb By definition IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) provide responses that are independent of the question. Permalink 11:34 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Do you have a remark that’s not some asinine platitudinous reply lifted from “Response Manual for low IQ Thinkers for All Circumstances?” Permalink 11:31 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Petty, obsessive, substance-free criticism of Trump by petit-intellectuals (IYIs) has been fueling him, & destroying “intellectualism”.https://twitter.com/BennSteil/status/885562728282304512   Permalink 11:22 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb NonFiction bestsellers are NOT correlated w/MSM: Books against bloated gov, Milo, Gingrich, etc. People vote with their wallet. MSM is dead.https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/885504822643834883   Permalink 9:34 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Proved that the so-called “Empirical Distribution” is not empirical, the “robust” is not robust. This is a scratchpad pic.twitter.com/TZBDsvEaKW Permalink 9:28 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The daily quizzes by maestro @CutTheKnotMath are like finding a parking spot in NYC: Never easy, never impossible.https://twitter.com/cuttheknotmath/status/884853542451892224   Permalink 7:18 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@GuruAnaerobic A fat-tailed process can masquerade as a thin-tailed one bt not the reverse @nntaleb If more experts knew this they wouldn’t talk so much BS Permalink 7:13 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb It isn’t natural to know when your vacation/week end terminates. Modern life creates Sunday night blues. Flaneuring removes such a specter Permalink 4:31 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@eldivyn In every undertaking, the more humans try to be demi-gods, the more they become half-monsters.”- @nntaleb Permalink 1:46 PM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb To paraphrase Feynman, math like s*x, is something you do for the fun, with potential side effects. Permalink 10:28 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb But @TamarHaspel is a Monsanto shill! Permalink 9:58 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Applied math is math + skin in the game.https://twitter.com/johndcook/status/885164373743980545   Permalink 8:59 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@DanielLMcAdams More photos the MSM is desperate to hide…can’t let middle America know the truth about Syria…https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/884443152278532103   Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Free markets eventually lead to free speech. Censorship by social media not compatible w/ free enterprise! Markets => Ideas, not reverse.https://twitter.com/Imamofpeace/status/885111752098070530   Permalink 5:23 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anyone who listens to an economist has some incurable condition. As to economists…https://twitter.com/Michael_Heaver/status/885059554869997574   Permalink 5:01 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb My enemies give me the reputation of a total as***le. The bonus is that people are always surprised when I am nice to them.https://twitter.com/wileecoyotewec/status/884881383776296960   Permalink 2:40 PM – 11 Jul 2017

@gfriend “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood” by @nntaleb (and why the Arabs are fighting to the last Palestinian)https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 2:37 PM – 11 Jul 2017

@Theodore8 as close as I will ever get to @nntaleb #cuttlefish #ink #greece #kalokéri pic.twitter.com/lgqha7G3sm Permalink 11:53 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@garyruskin How the #GMO industry gets journalists to buy its messages, by @marionnestlehttp://bit.ly/2v8Pdrg   Permalink 9:17 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb [Thread on Pyrrhic Victories] “If we win one more victory, we are doomed!” Si alteram talem victoriam reporta, vero mea erit pernicies Permalink 7:37 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@dannyhakim Key part of agrochem PR strategy is claiming that serious reporting on GMO’s/pesticides akin to being anti-vax or a climate change denier. Permalink 7:26 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The most serious error in statistics is taking properties out of a textbook and applying it mechanistically (a la Pinker boy). pic.twitter.com/bVuLOfwXRK Permalink 6:54 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Wondering why journos love GMOs? I am witness to a bit of this.http://progressive.org/magazine/how-the-biotech-industry-cultivates-positive-media/#.WWSwwM170Ds.twitter   Permalink 4:04 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb What should I discuss? Permalink 1:31 PM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In about 9 minutes will start my econtalk with@EconTalker pic.twitter.com/nf7WdcviSJ Permalink 1:19 PM – 10 Jul 2017

@rpodgornik ..or possibly: Si Athenas et Spartam, quod aiunt, ne clamor ridentem. Permalink 10:05 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Heuristic: when picking a restaurant in an unfamiliar city, don’t look at the menu, look at the clients. Permalink 9:53 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Same as fake entrepreneurs only interested in packaging and selling companies: fake scholars only interested in credentials/local status. Permalink 9:27 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The vanquished cries, but the victor doesn’t laugh. Roman proverbhttps://twitter.com/johnrobb/status/884416954693505024   Permalink 7:26 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Wrong. Data shows that once settled, people tend to stay… like an occupied spot. “Invasions” overstated. Languages move faster than geneshttps://twitter.com/vrints_annemie/status/884399982073315328   Permalink 6:28 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@RealDHilburn Btw, this Chesterton quote reminds me of the Taleb test to detect ISIS sympathizers among refugees: pic.twitter.com/TPHWJ0BNKR Permalink 8:38 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A good database of ALL payments frm Qatar & oth Gulf sources to @Charles_Lister & employers for promoting Al-Qaeda? Same for @MiddleEastInsthttps://twitter.com/Desertlady11/status/883227758675058688   Permalink 7:42 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4 hours lefthttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/883766265524965379   Permalink 7:31 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Getting to *prove* how tail risk estimation methods are flawed in the econ & behavioral econ literature. pic.twitter.com/XRiEzihhDW Permalink 5:22 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@mikeandallie We are having similar mornings. I just spent 2 hrs with Nassim Taleb’s latest paper pic.twitter.com/KoA1m4Vpl4 Permalink 4:57 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Strangely, @clarissaward from CNN posts nothing but fraudulous news/Jihadi propaganda that spreads & never retracts. Why it keep going? Permalink 12:14 PM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Visit to Kazakstan last mont. No tie, of course. Lost 6 lbs on a zero-carb (no squid ink) diet since. pic.twitter.com/irhCTMHMrf Permalink 11:24 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Exercise: Is uncertainty purely epistemic limitation? Think about it: destroys free will, requires teleology, unescapable preordained fatehttps://twitter.com/ProbFact/status/883743278008553472   Permalink 10:53 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb And I am going to ask a “consultant” to tawk about Real Life? Permalink 10:14 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Typos pic.twitter.com/DwmFOhTebf Permalink 7:19 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Why” Nudge” and much of Behavioral Econ is bullshit science. pic.twitter.com/QFGQBUXnxN Permalink 7:10 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The reason Cyprus is at a stalemate: negociators are …bureaucrats. Clueless bureaucrats & political “scientists”. https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac  https://twitter.com/financecyprus/status/883670265586167812   Permalink 5:55 AM – 8 Jul 2017