Tag Archives: Nocera

Scaramucci, Dimensionality, Salafinazis, Keith Kloor, Nick Kristof, McCain, Donaldo, Nocera | Twitter

@nntaleb Bullshit is not Lindy-compatible, unless it serves a risk management/survival purpose.https://medium.com/incerto/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf   Permalink 8:50 AM – 25 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The Bullshit Asymmetry Principle happens to be …bullshit. #metahttps://twitter.com/republicofmath/status/889864052935192576   Permalink 8:21 AM – 25 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The imbeciles who wrote the article would rank LOWER in the Olympiad than the person they are making fun of Shabby journalism,@ForeignPolicyhttps://twitter.com/ForeignPolicy/status/889588526387539969   Permalink 6:49 AM – 25 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The Syrian “rebels” helped reduce Syrian Christians by 60%. They destroyed the fabric of Ancient Syria. Thank you Donaldo.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/889672374458646528   Permalink 3:06 AM – 25 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Which produces another inequality pic.twitter.com/WkIqNimfbN Permalink 2:17 AM – 25 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Yeshttps://medium.com/incerto/no-worship-without-skin-in-the-game-70b4aa341092   Permalink 3:52 PM – 24 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Some BSer just tried to frame me as an authoritarianist. If you say “No, I am not” they prey on you by 000s. If you say “fuckoff”, they do. Permalink 3:05 PM – 23 Jul 2017

@nntaleb If you are afraid for your reputation in ANY circle, you should NOT be in academia. Or at least you should not be a scholar. Permalink 2:53 PM – 23 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Recap:Honor means that, for *some* transactions, no price & no threat will ever be high enough for you. Can’t find honor in “intelligentzia” Permalink 2:44 PM – 23 Jul 2017

@LieraMarco L’antifragilita’ di chi fa lavori artigianali: sono più felici di molti colletti bianchi e non rischiano licenziamenti e robotizzazionehttps://twitter.com/kopapacafe/status/889046978985951232   Permalink 1:38 PM – 23 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I know Anthony Scaramucci. He is a doer. He does what he says he will do.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/889126070053728256   Permalink 11:13 AM – 23 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Those semi-intellectuals considered “intellectuals” get furious when shown the same disrespect as they have towards nonintellectuals. Permalink 5:31 AM – 23 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 11867 from the American Mathematical Monthly http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/11867.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/7hAKk21exo”>  pic.twitter.com/7hAKk21exo Permalink 4:49 AM – 23 Jul 2017

@nntaleb They finally got the point. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.07532.pdf  https://twitter.com/khazar_milkers/status/888916761755750401   Permalink 10:42 PM – 22 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Ha! Claim on *future* assessment of *present* positions by surveying *present* beliefs as proxy for *future* consensus by *future* pple.https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/888906963815366657   Permalink 5:12 PM – 22 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Loss of dimensionality! #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/888895943365545984   Permalink 4:09 PM – 22 Jul 2017

@catoletters For facts on Syria follow independent British Journalist Vanessa Beeley @VanessaBeeleyhttps://thewallwillfall.org/author/farashah77/   Permalink 2:57 PM – 22 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The only thing I wrote about Julian that is vaguely negative: he thought that paganism could be a centralized religion! pic.twitter.com/7RYnM5rk6g Permalink 12:10 PM – 22 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath An Inequality with Inradius and Side Lengths http://www.cut-the-knot.org/triangle/InequalityWithInradiusAndSides.shtml   #FigureThat #math #geometry #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/jo2IpBpMQ5″>  pic.twitter.com/jo2IpBpMQ5 Permalink 9:25 AM – 22 Jul 2017

@Sebastopol94 Im sure many people think Nassim Taleb is mean in public and nice in private Permalink 8:50 AM – 22 Jul 2017

@PZalloua Mitochondrial DNA shows Lebanese closer to Europe than Cyprus @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/hiYJsVWOZi Permalink 7:33 AM – 22 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Ha! As predicted, @keithkloor posts a piece saying he is not a Monsanto shill that is spread by… identified Monsanto shills. @thackerpd Permalink 7:16 AM – 22 Jul 2017

@food_democracy Breaking: Science Fraud 101 or how Monsanto pays fake journalists and dishonest scientists 2 mislead public on GMOs http://bit.ly/2to2bAN   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/oiTu4vsMTA”>  pic.twitter.com/oiTu4vsMTA Permalink 1:55 PM – 21 Jul 2017

@nntaleb No, sorry, you will NOT stop the madness. Education will migrate from univ. into technical schools. Markets are more rational than humans.https://twitter.com/DavidBCollum/status/888392494127427584   Permalink 7:32 AM – 21 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Interesting misconduct: @keithkloor can only defend himself by using Monsanto resources! Truth is like gold; can’t bury it for long. Permalink 1:55 AM – 21 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The reason we use IF-THEN (see paper) is because NONLINEARITY (convex of concave) <=> gains (loses) of variability by theorem. Permalink 6:00 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This comment on the State Dept is excerpted from thishttps://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 5:48 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Second thing done in the six month by Donaldo: Tillerson is purging the State Department of IYIs and “faux experts”. Thank you. pic.twitter.com/rgLpiqeLft Permalink 5:42 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In fairness to Pinker, was told he strongly favors free speech incontrasttomanyofhispeers Note that freespeech is a mechanism,unlike “Truth” Permalink 5:09 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “Truth” used to reflect the opposite. Soviet “Pravda” means “Truth”. Those committed to the truth don’t say they are committed to the truth.https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/887492602181939202   Permalink 4:21 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@PrisonPlanet Linda Sarsour is vile and a complete disgrace. Retweet if you agree. It’s that simple.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z8FknvfSInU   Permalink 2:23 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath An Inequality in Two Or More Variables II http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/InequalityInTwoOrMoreVariables2.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/HdLrvnSgQz”>  pic.twitter.com/HdLrvnSgQz Permalink 1:36 PM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb We have known that Keith Kloor is an unethical shill for a while. But will Nature post a retraction?http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/keith-kloors-endearing-love-affair-with-gmos_us_596fc0c8e4b062ea5f8eea33   Permalink 10:52 AM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Squalid imbeciles like Nick Kristof don’t pay for their mistakes & risk transfer on regular Syrians. Skininthegame.https://medium.com/incerto/on-neo-cons-and-their-mental-defects-d12685585b11   Permalink 2:45 AM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I think TEXTURE is better than MATRIX. Permalink 1:50 AM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb IF McCain’s glioblastoma responds to Keto or episodic fasting, THEN cause ~ steady feeding. Few protocols for data. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/medicine.pdf   Permalink 1:48 AM – 20 Jul 2017

@nntaleb So @NickKristof doesn’t want us to stop funding Alqaeda head-cutters to spite the Russkis? You can’t be that stupid & not work for BSTimeshttps://twitter.com/ghassandahhan/status/887768177517764609   Permalink 4:47 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule. Agaib.https://twitter.com/memewarnow/status/887485100023328772   Permalink 4:37 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb More harmful for free speech? Jihadis shooting Charlie Hebdo journos Salafinazis like @Lsarsour using SJW for cover to ostracize dissent Permalink 2:21 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb More harmful for free speech? Jihadis shooting Charlie Hebdo journos Salafinazis like @Lsarsour using SJW for cover to ostracize dissent Permalink 2:21 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anyway, that’s the first thing I was hoping Donaldo would do. And he did it. Thank you @realDonaldTrumphttps://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/887752217448632320   Permalink 12:51 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@GuruAnaerobic We add some inverted arrows from perf, exercise, food… Coach -> athlete Program -> elite athlete Drills -> agility Hunger -> carbshttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/887724992397549570   Permalink 12:14 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Correction: handle for the Salafinazi is @lsarsour Permalink 12:13 PM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Quick explanation why Salafinazis s.a. @lindasarsour are more than dangerous to America. https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Nq77eg2zLa”>  pic.twitter.com/Nq77eg2zLa Permalink 11:57 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Inverted arrows: Science -> technology Govt -> rights Education -> wealth Institutions -> peacehttps://twitter.com/catoletters/status/887674726872752129   Permalink 10:25 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Forgot to Add the Red Sea: Yemen, Hijaz/Ethiopia, Egypt Permalink 8:29 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Speculation from Genetics: If people eat the same they look the same, and they probably share water. Migrations have stopping time. pic.twitter.com/8ULJtqXQGO Permalink 8:14 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game A The Invisible Matrix of Daily Life B The Hidden Symmetry in Daily Life C Silent asymmetries in Daily Life Permalink 7:26 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game: Silent asymmetries in Daily Life Permalink 7:16 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game: The Invisible Symmetry in Daily Life Permalink 7:00 AM – 19 Jul 2017

@CHSommers Dear Women’s March, Ms. Assata Shakur executed New Jersey state trooper. You are extending birthday greetings to a cold-blooded murderess.https://twitter.com/womensmarch/status/886652647582859264   Permalink 6:35 PM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Playing with the most representative title Permalink 4:54 PM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game: The Invisible Matrix of Daily Life Permalink 4:50 PM – 18 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A refinement of an inequality in three variables http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/SimplifiedSitaru2Improvement.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/vyagFJL2WW”>  pic.twitter.com/vyagFJL2WW Permalink 11:54 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Nocera, more pple will mistake Newark, N.J. for the Grand Canal of Venice than mistake you for an arbiter of anything related to intellecthttps://twitter.com/NoceraBV/status/887365805683486722   Permalink 10:50 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Not as much as my confidence that you are an idiot. Permalink 10:33 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@ArmandDAngour Makes excellent sense. A Greek and Syriac speaker from a place anciently known as Amia –> Ammianus. Permalink 10:01 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Things like Ayn Rand, D. Trump, Antifragile, Ergodicity, Probablty, SquidInk, IYI, Pseudo-rationality that either you get or will never get Permalink 8:38 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb When you dig into them, most of what is called “rational argument” is highly disguized but extremely articulate BS. Permalink 8:10 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@nntaleb No. People realize that “intellectuals” are mostly stupid actors and see through them.https://twitter.com/dartek/status/887266876258222081   Permalink 4:53 AM – 18 Jul 2017

@turlevnon جدّي و ستّي بالسّرياني #learn_syriac #tur_levnon pic.twitter.com/5dLyYVZAPy Permalink 9:44 PM – 17 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Easy way to get rid of the Monsanto-hired trolls is to block all those harrassing @MaywaMontenegro, @dannyhakim @thackerpd & their friends.https://twitter.com/MaywaMontenegro/status/885698943744696322   Permalink 7:16 PM – 17 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A hall of shame.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/887038901952499716   Permalink 1:12 PM – 17 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Where a problem leads to another problem pic.twitter.com/HAkLd3f0Zb Permalink 7:48 AM – 17 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Evidence that Monsanto has penetrated @Slate @geneticliteracy is a platform to smear critics of GMOs under cover of “science education”. Ha!https://twitter.com/dannyhakim/status/884778347993214976   Permalink 6:39 AM – 17 Jul 2017

@RonPaulInstitut Photos Of Aleppo Rising: Swimsuits, Concerts And Rebuilding In First Jihadi-Free Summer http://ronpaulinstitute.org/archives/featured-articles/2017/july/17/photos-of-aleppo-rising-swimsuits-concerts-and-rebuilding-in-first-jihadi-free-summer/   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/vm0sbY18l7″>  pic.twitter.com/vm0sbY18l7 Permalink 6:11 AM – 17 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Society is increasingly run by those who are better at explaining than understanding. Forced skin in the game filters these out. (Intro) Permalink 10:24 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The higher the PE the lower future variance…this is an illusion caused by reduced sample size for higher PE.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/886618115399929856   Permalink 9:13 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@SPORTBETTINGMAN .@nntaleb is more like the howl from a distant alpha wolf. Other wolves understand, but no sheep can grasp the message. MSM is garbage. Permalink 7:58 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Where the press has a CONFLICT of interest with the public. (CHapter in SITG)https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 7:29 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@nntaleb BS vendors like Nocera in the self-serving attempt to hide that the press does NOT represent truth. BS vendors. https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2  https://twitter.com/NoceraBV/status/886443921303359489   Permalink 7:28 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The colors are so attractive hope @DrCirillo and I can do the same. pic.twitter.com/bvYnihd6X4 Permalink 5:37 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Dense pocket book w/a map of math in great detail. Great for travel & mathematical flaneuring. French trans. from German. No English equiv. pic.twitter.com/TFBwXDismd Permalink 5:26 AM – 16 Jul 2017

@normonics People are getting better at sniffing bullshit as they have the more opportunity to smell sweet truth.https://twitter.com/amusechimp/status/886380222521724933   Permalink 5:39 PM – 15 Jul 2017

Nocera, GMOs, IYIs, MSM, Flaneuring, Tamar Haspel, Clarissa Ward, “Nudge” | Twitter

@nntaleb One of the “failures” sold a company for billions. There exists no business in which people can be as clueless as journos, yet survive. Permalink 1:47 PM – 15 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A tragedy. Could not just “like” ithttps://twitter.com/republicofmath/status/886261006007242752   Permalink 12:49 PM – 15 Jul 2017

@theenviousleft 97% of media professionals donated to Clinton. Learn about skin in the game and stop lying you obfuscating dunce. @nntaleb Permalink 10:18 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Bullshitters like you, indeed. Permalink 9:24 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is Sophistry 101 by a BSTimes journo. Typical BSTimes. We are talking abt threat to the West, not threat to Russia. (fake use of SITG)https://twitter.com/GlennThrush/status/886251135144800257   Permalink 9:18 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Cyclic Inequality In Three Variables with Constraints http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/SimplifiedSitaru2.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/gpaRsyYypU”>  pic.twitter.com/gpaRsyYypU Permalink 6:48 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) Cont Election Paper pic.twitter.com/TFVgDvBA3S Permalink 5:48 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 1) Submitted this version of the Election paper to a journal. pic.twitter.com/EGHkyIZe0F Permalink 5:47 AM – 15 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Three hours.https://twitter.com/StoolPoop/status/885986219405918208   Permalink 7:20 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb BSTimes journo looks at failed AynRanders. He didn’t realize they WERE already successful. No cohort comparison.https://nyti.ms/2vgJeR5   Permalink 1:14 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/885948326163689472   Permalink 1:00 PM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb So we now can quantify by how much books on “RISK” using “empiricism” like Fischhoff’s & oth. nonrisktaking academics are clueless. pic.twitter.com/A0Q4vNP9NY Permalink 11:32 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Finally found a closed-form for by how much we underestimate the true extreme using a “empirical distribution” (Reason: rainy Friday in NY.) pic.twitter.com/GxShlFKTuV Permalink 11:16 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@ebruenner just concluded v. long twitter debate w/ pro gmo. 100% arguments based on: -credentialism -unquestionable NECESSITY of novel foods Permalink 11:08 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@MastaKace Haplogroup J2 is generally associated with the Romans, it’s also found in high frequencies in area around Dardanelles & Constantinople (1) pic.twitter.com/uMo0iGUCSL Permalink 9:58 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb Another attempt at the Alan Blinder Problem with your helpful ideas hopefully I’m getting it right this time. #rentseeking pic.twitter.com/WhvHtCj71B Permalink 9:44 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb There is NO EVIDENCE whatsoever abt safety of GMOs. Not ONE risk study. Nor does hiding stuff abt Glyphosate help much Keep trying Monsanto! pic.twitter.com/aVWv2rfqa9 Permalink 5:01 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Charlatan invoke such things as “potential to feed pple” in place of PROOF it won’t cause disaster for same pple. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  https://twitter.com/potatodoctor/status/885814957211832322   Permalink 4:52 AM – 14 Jul 2017

@fortierfinance NNT thread one of few places throughout my day I can reliably find justice being authentically served-world seems bit more sane as a result Permalink 11:59 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb IYI Steil, don’t flatter yourself, I am not messing with you bec I am angry; I just take immense pleasure in busting BS vendors. Kapish? Permalink 11:55 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb As I said, media commentators & former Gawker journalists seem have a contagious overpowering concern with… substance.https://twitter.com/AdamWeinstein/status/885567669273059328   Permalink 11:39 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb By definition IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) provide responses that are independent of the question. Permalink 11:34 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Do you have a remark that’s not some asinine platitudinous reply lifted from “Response Manual for low IQ Thinkers for All Circumstances?” Permalink 11:31 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Petty, obsessive, substance-free criticism of Trump by petit-intellectuals (IYIs) has been fueling him, & destroying “intellectualism”.https://twitter.com/BennSteil/status/885562728282304512   Permalink 11:22 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb NonFiction bestsellers are NOT correlated w/MSM: Books against bloated gov, Milo, Gingrich, etc. People vote with their wallet. MSM is dead.https://twitter.com/Cernovich/status/885504822643834883   Permalink 9:34 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Proved that the so-called “Empirical Distribution” is not empirical, the “robust” is not robust. This is a scratchpad pic.twitter.com/TZBDsvEaKW Permalink 9:28 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The daily quizzes by maestro @CutTheKnotMath are like finding a parking spot in NYC: Never easy, never impossible.https://twitter.com/cuttheknotmath/status/884853542451892224   Permalink 7:18 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@GuruAnaerobic A fat-tailed process can masquerade as a thin-tailed one bt not the reverse @nntaleb If more experts knew this they wouldn’t talk so much BS Permalink 7:13 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@nntaleb It isn’t natural to know when your vacation/week end terminates. Modern life creates Sunday night blues. Flaneuring removes such a specter Permalink 4:31 AM – 13 Jul 2017

@eldivyn In every undertaking, the more humans try to be demi-gods, the more they become half-monsters.”- @nntaleb Permalink 1:46 PM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb To paraphrase Feynman, math like s*x, is something you do for the fun, with potential side effects. Permalink 10:28 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb But @TamarHaspel is a Monsanto shill! Permalink 9:58 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Applied math is math + skin in the game.https://twitter.com/johndcook/status/885164373743980545   Permalink 8:59 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@DanielLMcAdams More photos the MSM is desperate to hide…can’t let middle America know the truth about Syria…https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/884443152278532103   Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Free markets eventually lead to free speech. Censorship by social media not compatible w/ free enterprise! Markets => Ideas, not reverse.https://twitter.com/Imamofpeace/status/885111752098070530   Permalink 5:23 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anyone who listens to an economist has some incurable condition. As to economists…https://twitter.com/Michael_Heaver/status/885059554869997574   Permalink 5:01 AM – 12 Jul 2017

@nntaleb My enemies give me the reputation of a total as***le. The bonus is that people are always surprised when I am nice to them.https://twitter.com/wileecoyotewec/status/884881383776296960   Permalink 2:40 PM – 11 Jul 2017

@gfriend “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood” by @nntaleb (and why the Arabs are fighting to the last Palestinian)https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 2:37 PM – 11 Jul 2017

@Theodore8 as close as I will ever get to @nntaleb #cuttlefish #ink #greece #kalokéri pic.twitter.com/lgqha7G3sm Permalink 11:53 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@garyruskin How the #GMO industry gets journalists to buy its messages, by @marionnestlehttp://bit.ly/2v8Pdrg   Permalink 9:17 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb [Thread on Pyrrhic Victories] “If we win one more victory, we are doomed!” Si alteram talem victoriam reporta, vero mea erit pernicies Permalink 7:37 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@dannyhakim Key part of agrochem PR strategy is claiming that serious reporting on GMO’s/pesticides akin to being anti-vax or a climate change denier. Permalink 7:26 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The most serious error in statistics is taking properties out of a textbook and applying it mechanistically (a la Pinker boy). pic.twitter.com/bVuLOfwXRK Permalink 6:54 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Wondering why journos love GMOs? I am witness to a bit of this.http://progressive.org/magazine/how-the-biotech-industry-cultivates-positive-media/#.WWSwwM170Ds.twitter   Permalink 4:04 AM – 11 Jul 2017

@nntaleb What should I discuss? Permalink 1:31 PM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In about 9 minutes will start my econtalk with@EconTalker pic.twitter.com/nf7WdcviSJ Permalink 1:19 PM – 10 Jul 2017

@rpodgornik ..or possibly: Si Athenas et Spartam, quod aiunt, ne clamor ridentem. Permalink 10:05 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Heuristic: when picking a restaurant in an unfamiliar city, don’t look at the menu, look at the clients. Permalink 9:53 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Same as fake entrepreneurs only interested in packaging and selling companies: fake scholars only interested in credentials/local status. Permalink 9:27 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The vanquished cries, but the victor doesn’t laugh. Roman proverbhttps://twitter.com/johnrobb/status/884416954693505024   Permalink 7:26 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Wrong. Data shows that once settled, people tend to stay… like an occupied spot. “Invasions” overstated. Languages move faster than geneshttps://twitter.com/vrints_annemie/status/884399982073315328   Permalink 6:28 AM – 10 Jul 2017

@RealDHilburn Btw, this Chesterton quote reminds me of the Taleb test to detect ISIS sympathizers among refugees: pic.twitter.com/TPHWJ0BNKR Permalink 8:38 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A good database of ALL payments frm Qatar & oth Gulf sources to @Charles_Lister & employers for promoting Al-Qaeda? Same for @MiddleEastInsthttps://twitter.com/Desertlady11/status/883227758675058688   Permalink 7:42 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4 hours lefthttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/883766265524965379   Permalink 7:31 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Getting to *prove* how tail risk estimation methods are flawed in the econ & behavioral econ literature. pic.twitter.com/XRiEzihhDW Permalink 5:22 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@mikeandallie We are having similar mornings. I just spent 2 hrs with Nassim Taleb’s latest paper pic.twitter.com/KoA1m4Vpl4 Permalink 4:57 AM – 9 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Strangely, @clarissaward from CNN posts nothing but fraudulous news/Jihadi propaganda that spreads & never retracts. Why it keep going? Permalink 12:14 PM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Visit to Kazakstan last mont. No tie, of course. Lost 6 lbs on a zero-carb (no squid ink) diet since. pic.twitter.com/irhCTMHMrf Permalink 11:24 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Exercise: Is uncertainty purely epistemic limitation? Think about it: destroys free will, requires teleology, unescapable preordained fatehttps://twitter.com/ProbFact/status/883743278008553472   Permalink 10:53 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb And I am going to ask a “consultant” to tawk about Real Life? Permalink 10:14 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Typos pic.twitter.com/DwmFOhTebf Permalink 7:19 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Why” Nudge” and much of Behavioral Econ is bullshit science. pic.twitter.com/QFGQBUXnxN Permalink 7:10 AM – 8 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The reason Cyprus is at a stalemate: negociators are …bureaucrats. Clueless bureaucrats & political “scientists”. https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac  https://twitter.com/financecyprus/status/883670265586167812   Permalink 5:55 AM – 8 Jul 2017

Propagandists, Justin Wolfers, FiveThirtyEight, Michiko Kakutani, Nocera, Aleppo, Krugman | Twitter

@nntaleb The work by scientific entertainer Steven Pinker on violence.https://twitter.com/peterfranklin_/status/796448677380452357   Permalink 12:33 PM – 9 Nov 2016

@mdvex @orestistsinalis @nntaleb in my officepic.twitter.com/pPwsRMcoxH Permalink 9:23 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb There is no “animosity” with Harris. I just consider him an intellectual fraud. @GuzziNba @SamHarrisOrg Permalink 9:21 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb I know I saw his papers on forecasting and noticed mathematical probability was not … for him. @HenryMyers7 @JustinWolfers Permalink 8:57 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@themightypuck Something @nntaleb pointed out a year ago.https://twitter.com/conor64/status/796265774440542208   Permalink 8:54 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb That’s @JustinWolfers who should stop teaching economics, just drive an uber outside populated areas.https://twitter.com/carney/status/796390341997920256   Permalink 8:47 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@GuruAnaerobic “Fuck You” vs bought Hilary.pic.twitter.com/fkxXOhWKA5 Permalink 8:06 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The Middle East Institute @MiddleEastInst is funded by the Wahabis. Lister should mention it in every utterance @nadeemhaque @Charles_Lister Permalink 7:48 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Note that people like @Charles_Lister are paid by foreign governments/terrorist sponsors to spread their agendas. Permalink 7:39 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Should we classify propagandists like @Charles_Lister who advocate the interests of al Qaeda/Wahabis as terrorists? Permalink 7:36 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@yaobviously @nntaleb for a long while I thought you overstated your case against intellectuals. I was wrong. Permalink 6:52 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The reason I expected a Trump election would not affect the market is from noticing that ignorant IYI @JustinWolfers made Tump=lower SP. Permalink 6:49 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb How do you forecast an election (cluelessness of @FiveThirtyEight ) PRELIM DRAFT https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/binary%20forecasting%20538.nb.pdf  pic.twitter.com/MdKI0ecrfZ Permalink 6:21 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@EHSANI22 Clearly Americans value a job more than buying a cheap pack of 6 T.shirts made in Bangladesh for $6.99. Kudos to @nntaleb Permalink 4:35 AM – 9 Nov 2016

@nntaleb I forgot the big losers: the neocons. We have at least 4-8 years of watching them drive uber cars / taxis in DC. Permalink 10:09 PM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Who got burried? Saudi Barbaria Goldman Sacks Syrian Jihadis aka “rebels” Academic Economists w/PseudoNobel NYT & other bullshit venues. Permalink 9:59 PM – 8 Nov 2016

@MaxAbrahms What’s the best explanation for why pollsters seem to have failed so badly? To his credit, @nntaleb predicted this orange swan event. Permalink 9:42 PM – 8 Nov 2016

@SadStatueOfLib Just want to point out that @nntaleb has been calling @NateSilver538’s flaws (bullshit) in his models since… hmm, June? Earlier? Permalink 8:36 PM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Time to laugh at “Intellectuals”.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.x3pmha81c   Permalink 9:25 PM – 8 Nov 2016

@john_f_hamer @nntaleb You’ve arrived, Nassim; you’ve arrived.pic.twitter.com/FX8cUQ997E Permalink 3:05 PM – 8 Nov 2016

@ghchammas 4 cousins in amioun lebanon @nntalebpic.twitter.com/ljAxOjYYkk Permalink 10:48 AM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb An example of forecaster A better than B regardless of finalpic.twitter.com/2zeH1hJ5he Permalink 8:52 AM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Correction: Solent it turned out is not yet out of business. Not yet. @EmanuelDerman @zzbar @motherboard Permalink 7:23 AM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb New edition of Procrustes. No more than 4 aphorisms per day. https://www.amazon.com/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms/dp/0812982401/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=  pic.twitter.com/FErRAAxzFa Permalink 6:37 AM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb We got a great vindication w/ Soylent going out of business. Keep neomania out of food.@EmanuelDerman @zzbar @motherboard Permalink 6:20 AM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Some probability musings from North Lebanon: how to compare forecasters BEFORE final outcome.pic.twitter.com/57ShuNvVVH Permalink 6:02 AM – 8 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Any human being who reads anything from @michikokakutani is at war with reason.https://twitter.com/michikokakutani/status/795752769420492800   Permalink 4:09 PM – 7 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Trump is just a symptom not a disease. Message: establishment is so bad that a random Bronx Zoo animal less harmful.pic.twitter.com/xcZLVKFuPs Permalink 3:35 PM – 7 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Levantine for “this”: hayda, haydi,pl. hol. comes frm Syro-Aramaic: hod, hodo. Now hano/hathe in Turoyo @SahinChrispic.twitter.com/WALhu4nJki Permalink 3:08 PM – 7 Nov 2016

@nntaleb John Gray is the real thing.https://twitter.com/orestistsinalis/status/795655586998325248   Permalink 8:23 AM – 7 Nov 2016

@joshua_landis Syrian rebels think it is OK to use civilians as Human Shields but not when Asad or ISIS do it. All powers are guilty when holding civilianshttps://twitter.com/RevolutionSyria/status/792891242581487616   Permalink 2:47 PM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb “Strength Training is Learning from Tail Events” by @nntalebhttps://medium.com/@nntaleb/strength-training-is-learning-from-tail-events-7aa2c074569d?source=twitterShare-f138bf5466fe-1478475236   Permalink 3:34 PM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Nocera, you’re a BS vendor. But everything you do to cover-up your BS vending entails more BS-vending. Keep quiet & non nocere, @NoceraNYT Permalink 11:56 AM – 6 Nov 2016

@RiskMinds “Your grandmother’s intuitions about #tailrisk is usually right”. Don’t miss @nntaleb @ #RiskMinds. More here http://spr.ly/60168EODK  pic.twitter.com/BAX0fIHKdv Permalink 8:00 AM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Version 2 (cleared typos) @CoachRippetoepic.twitter.com/4i9cF0Yj1r Permalink 7:21 AM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Tail risk management & weightlifting? Draft of the forward for a book published by @CoachRippetoe,for comments.pic.twitter.com/XXCtXSCwRO Permalink 6:58 AM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Syriac is Eastern Aramaic (Western Aramaic ~ Jerusalem/Damascus/Maaloula, Western Syriac ~ Nineveh, Eastern Syriac ~ Babylon) @rennyabraham Permalink 6:06 AM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Aramaic du Jour: “kursh”, slang for “belly” in Levantine, is from Accadian: Gilgamesh, Tablet 10, 222.pic.twitter.com/UOOy0K26De Permalink 5:12 AM – 6 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Yes, “Boy” as a sign of disrespect. You have a problem with displaying my intellectual (& personal) disrespect for you? @NoceraNYT Permalink 2:46 PM – 5 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Nocera boy, @NoceraNYT, let me debate you on “Aleppo” to show you what “Ignorance” is. You can even use Aramaic, W. Syriac or Syrian Arabic. Permalink 8:35 AM – 5 Nov 2016

@DrJillStein Saudi Arabia: -top Clinton Foundation donor -lobbies US via Podesta group -got record arms deals from Obama/Clinton -top terrorism sponsor Permalink 12:26 PM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb A neat way to transform a Wiener process (\-infty,infty) to election probabilities [0,1].pic.twitter.com/zKzhN6DtZv Permalink 7:57 AM – 5 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Nocera, next time you attend my lecture, remind me to teach you “straw man argument” & intel. dishonesty. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Straw_man   @NoceraNYT Permalink 7:15 AM – 5 Nov 2016

@lourou1981 @nntaleb the linguistic map of Syria looks strikingly similar to the sphere of control of diff factions in Syria today. Sheer coincidence? Permalink 5:36 PM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb (actually during the crisis) Permalink 3:20 PM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb With Mandelbrot right before the crisis. Alas, weightlifting makes one gain weight.https://twitter.com/HarriusHaller/status/794662544334057472   Permalink 3:19 PM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb In other words every person should vote according to way he or she expects or prefers others to vote. Be uncompromising with virtue ! Permalink 12:48 PM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb What makes a good election forecaster? Not the Brier metric 538 is a terrible forecaster regardless of final outcomepic.twitter.com/IF39qauxtP Permalink 11:34 AM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb 2) If Nocera were better read he would have suspected there is such a thing as deontic ethics. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deontological_ethics   @NoceraNYT Permalink 6:06 AM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Better NOT know where Aleppo is than BS about it with half knowledge a la Joe Nocera. IYI Joe Nocera. https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577   @NoceraNYT Permalink 5:26 AM – 4 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Dectecting another slip: I said “preferences”. I most probably meant “principles”. Permalink 1:28 PM – 3 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Why my ethics dictate that I vote for the 3rd party regardless of oddshttp://cnb.cx/2eZeyPC   Permalink 1:18 PM – 3 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Even if #GMOs will “feed the world”, you need to look at risks of ruin. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  https://twitter.com/NonGMOProject/status/794262188349210624   Permalink 12:55 PM – 3 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Spent too much time cleaning the data on Mongolian invasions. Permalink 12:32 PM – 3 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Typo on CNBC: Said 1308 then corrected 1208 and said Attila for Genghis. Permalink 12:12 PM – 3 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Civis romanus sum @BlackWhiteKnite Permalink 8:10 PM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Unlike in static forecasting, the best dynamic forecaster (time) is he who every period forecasts HIS OWN next forecast best. (to continue) Permalink 7:48 PM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb You mean one of these deranged fellows ? @EconMBA @egfalken @IllimitableMan http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/smear.html   Permalink 2:36 PM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Mr Krugman, for economists, to “invoke authority”, well … not a good idea, to put it mildly.https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/793813730454888449   Permalink 7:03 AM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Scam alert: @Fidelity offers a credit card via outside Co, designed to charge late fees+ interest to unsuspecting, similar to Wells Fargo. Permalink 6:13 AM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Levantine du Jour: Ammianus Marcellinus was another Syro-Phoenician Greek. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ammianus_Marcellinus#cite_note-Britannica-1   Permalink 5:25 AM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb 2) Today someone w/economics degree has a higher chance of sleeping with Kim Kardashian than getting a job as a trader. Finance = STEM Permalink 5:08 AM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Economics is a fake discipline; attempts to improve it (s.a.”behavioral”,”evo”) made it worse! Finance moved to mathematics, accounting,etc. Permalink 5:04 AM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Psychologists are way behind probability/complexity theory in their “normative” definition of rationality.https://twitter.com/SanguineEmpiric/status/793646879485538304   Permalink 4:44 AM – 2 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Quite insulting to probability when someone “estimates” noise with precision: 24.8%, not 25 or 24. #cluelesshttps://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/793298019693146113   Permalink 1:29 PM – 1 Nov 2016

@nntaleb 2) If you understand nothing about the problem (like DC pundits) then it becomes Iran vs Saudi Arabia, US vs Russia, Mars vs Saturn. Permalink 7:25 AM – 1 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Ignorant pundit (IYIs) see everything w/the magnified prism of geopolitics, not local people trying to make things work. #Lebanon elections Permalink 7:15 AM – 1 Nov 2016

@nntaleb … with HUGE (yuge) practical consequences on model error. @CutTheKnotMath @neilchrisspic.twitter.com/3ezlq1QaSJ Permalink 6:02 AM – 1 Nov 2016

@nntaleb V. counterintuitive useful mathematical result:How higher dimensional areas get SMALLER. @CutTheKnotMath @neilchrisspic.twitter.com/uqGuHzptXx Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Nov 2016

@nntaleb (what they say about Oxford) Permalink 5:50 PM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb What they call engineering is really physics; what they call physics is math, what they call math nobody knows what it is. @PeterVeep Permalink 5:41 PM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The conflict: Engineers, applied-probabilists, physicists think in terms of applications; mathematicians view math as art. @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 12:18 PM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb That poor @NateSilver538 still doesn’t get that the possibility of unexpected ↑ variance & moves probabilities→ 50%https://twitter.com/Thesokorus/status/793125893715685377   Permalink 9:34 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb A relevant lesson from Podesta/Huma: bureaucrats & empty suits spend their time in multiplicative/metastatic low information emailing. Permalink 8:24 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Typo. Range for thega [0, \pi] not [0, 2 \pi ]. Varphi in [ 0, 2 pi] Permalink 8:00 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb ἀπὸ μηχανῆς θεός Permalink 7:50 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Fooled by Correlations (cont), a geometric tutorial. Hard to visualize in dimensions >3.pic.twitter.com/6cmW6Krx2r Permalink 7:22 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb La trahison des clercs! The disgusting pseudoleft support for: Saudi Barbaria/Islamofascism Shillary Megacorps https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/trahison_des_clercs   Permalink 6:13 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You never hear the pseudo-left & neocons say “butcher of Yemen”. Nor alQaeda in Aleppo ever called “butchers”.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/793063579599577088   Permalink 6:08 AM – 31 Oct 2016

@nntaleb (From a few months ago) Permalink 9:12 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My election modelhttps://twitter.com/zzbar/status/792926636098330624   Permalink 8:47 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The amount of short tails in the system in order to generate returns for retirees is mindbogggggling.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/792890807699247104   Permalink 6:09 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@MaxAbrahms Gary Kasparov is on CNN talking about how Russia wants Trump to win. Who will CNN have talk about how Saudi Arabia wants Hillary to win? Permalink 4:55 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Virtue is what you do when nobody is looking. The rest is marketing. #TheBedofProcrustes (but I can’t remember for sure) Permalink 1:51 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb GMOs advocacy reveals charlatanism, proposing solutions w/unseen side effects; scientism for profit. @philipbstarkpic.twitter.com/vL8Qcw8U7m Permalink 1:24 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Being nice counts the most when you are nice to people ignored by others. Permalink 1:21 PM – 30 Oct 2016

@ggreenwald The savage Saudi/US/UK war on Yemen lacks all the typical propaganda options- we’re bombing for freedom, Bad Dictator, etc- so it’s ignored. Permalink 6:34 AM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Journos & soc. “scientists” fail to detect the difference betw science and scientism.https://twitter.com/dmandl/status/792721099662307328   Permalink 6:35 AM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Ironically the computer allows us to do more abstract math as it does the nitty gritty sh*t work & frees us to see deeper @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 5:59 AM – 30 Oct 2016

@nntaleb We should put ellipticality in our book as higher D fat tails while lower D thin tailed @DrCirillo @financequantpic.twitter.com/JnF0CpvbmS Permalink 5:23 AM – 30 Oct 2016

Belgium, P-Values, Nocera, Saudi PR, DARK Act, Monsanto | Twitter

@nntaleb The Saudi origins of Belgium’s Islamist threat http://wpo.st/NMlO1   Permalink 4:59 PM – 23 Mar 2016

@nntaleb There is a video see feed https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qrfSh07rT0   @NathanBiddle Permalink 6:47 AM – 23 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Two works in my mailbox: One Formulation of size and fragility http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2741198&download=yes   One Book on Antifragility http://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-319-30070-2   Permalink 6:13 AM – 23 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Here is the video on the metadistribution of p-values https://youtu.be/8qrfSh07rT0   and the text is here: http://fooledbyrandomness.com/pvalues.pdf   Permalink 7:55 PM – 22 Mar 2016

@davidmoore411 He’s one of few people on the internet who could insult you publicly and you’d still buy his next book. His stuff is that good. @nntaleb Permalink 6:08 PM – 22 Mar 2016

@nntaleb OK, OK, full proof of an exact metadistribution of p-values (covers all hypotheses). Shd I do a video comment? pic.twitter.com/YLuY3UTY1v Permalink 3:21 PM – 22 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Syrian Christians behave as Muslims in the East, Christians in the West, & are viewed as Muslims in the West and Christians in the East. Permalink 5:26 AM – 22 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Walid Phares is a Christian Lebanese @dandrezner Permalink 4:54 AM – 22 Mar 2016

@nntaleb What is slowing me down w #SkinintheGame is Isocrates’ Silver Rule for Nations: Treat other nations the way you want them to treat you. Permalink 3:26 PM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Q: Should we intervene more to “help” countries as we brilliantly did in Lybia, Iraq, Syria, Vietnam, Iran (1953)? https://twitter.com/simon_schama/status/712014036993499137   Permalink 2:37 PM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb “Funding” & “Investments” are the last thing you need. All you need: authenticity & risk. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10153701042473375   pic.twitter.com/lMyA1wTQ56 Permalink 2:34 PM – 21 Mar 2016

@cdipaola62 @nntaleb @NoceraNYT Definition of Irony- A writer named “Nocera” finds discussion of Primum non Nocere, unintelligible Permalink 1:47 PM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Actually, from his name John of Damascus was not Syrian/Aramaic, but likely to be an Arab (*Yahya* Ibn Sarjun, not Yuhanan) @iandavidmorris Permalink 1:38 PM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb 9 days is nothing. There is the 2005 pre-crisis discussion of my skepticism of models that will eventually be re-opened. @NoceraNYT Permalink 10:29 AM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb It is called “first do no harm”, avoid “policies with side effects” (primum non nocere) translated: “no nocere, Nocera” @robert_cookson Permalink 10:09 AM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb If you have trouble understanding this, you really have problems. @robert_cookson http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-03-12/nassim-taleb-sums-americas-election-17-black-swan-words   Permalink 9:57 AM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb A journo who says “unintelligible” reveals more about his intellect than the intelligibility of the subject matter https://twitter.com/noceranyt/status/708650770380546049   Permalink 9:36 AM – 21 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Thanks to Scott Robeson, this is the expected pseudo-significant results <5% for true p-value @indianaclimate pic.twitter.com/sZ1863QyzA Permalink 8:05 AM – 20 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Friends, the metadistribution of p-values: rewrote, looking for mistakes bef publ on ArXiv. http://fooledbyrandomness.com/pvalues.pdf   pic.twitter.com/hn25LnI37C Permalink 6:08 AM – 20 Mar 2016

@nntaleb For all his defects, more pple would like to become Trump (yacht/American dream) rather than some reasonable-sounding hack criticizing him. Permalink 3:05 PM – 19 Mar 2016

@nntaleb The more efficient you try to be at a given task, the more you will hate it. Permalink 3:51 PM – 17 Mar 2016

@lhfang New Saudi PR effort SAPRAC led by guy who recently helped regime smear Nimr al-Nimr, gov critic they executed. pic.twitter.com/9IbCNKDxFz Permalink 2:08 PM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb A 3% significance is really 16% @pehr_bjornbom @antitrustly @ReneMaric pic.twitter.com/ZcQdCggnmf Permalink 12:31 PM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Real-world rigor (Feynman-like): bring mathematics to deeply understood problems, don’t take deeply understood mathematics to problems. Permalink 12:00 PM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb To get a real p-val of 5% you need 1.1%; 5% is ~ 26% https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/p-val.pdf   @antitrustly @ReneMaric @BrianNosek pic.twitter.com/EHXHV4xVvZ Permalink 11:33 AM – 17 Mar 2016

@yaneerbaryam Military strategy in a complex world — how antifragility undermines traditional military strategies http://www.necsi.edu/research/military/strategy.html   @nntaleb Permalink 10:08 AM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Why didn’t anyone pull out the “p-value” of the “p-value” before? @ReneMaric @BrianNosek Permalink 5:46 AM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Only solution: it you “really” want a p-value of .05, require .0125! @BrianNosek @ReneMaric Permalink 5:35 AM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb I mean p-values are random variables that do not necessarily reflect statistical significance. I can’t find in lit. @ReneMaric @BrianNosek Permalink 5:26 AM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Why aren’t psychologists (@BrianNosek) aware that p-values have HUGE sampling error? #replicationcrisis https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/p-val.pdf   Permalink 5:19 AM – 17 Mar 2016

@nntaleb typos pic.twitter.com/z9BQiLlsQp Permalink 6:41 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb On plane proof p-values are extremely random/volatile & explicit variance as function of n. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/p-val.pdf   pic.twitter.com/IYIN215S3a Permalink 6:34 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Evidence based? That is ignorant BS. Anti-GMO is scientific scrutiny. https://twitter.com/NinjaEconomics/status/710263345153093632   Permalink 6:08 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Experiment: Farro w/ squid ink. pic.twitter.com/Qzzkxud18w Permalink 5:18 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb People are so concerned about my age. pic.twitter.com/JHXlNBinkr Permalink 3:57 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Victory! Senate Rejects the DARK Act http://ecowatch.com/2016/03/16/senate-rejects-dark-act-gmo-labeling/   via ecowatch Permalink 2:19 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb This is the kind of BS people clueless about tail risk utter. Farmers’ modifications belong to a narrow basin. https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/710093894847959040   Permalink 1:45 PM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Heuristic: when in a hotel for the very first time, reject the first room they give you. Permalink 5:49 AM – 16 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Monsanto forces farmers to bear all the liability for its seeds, making itself immune to adverse consequences. pic.twitter.com/khRh3Sff1J Permalink 1:48 AM – 15 Mar 2016