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Tag Archives: @FiveThirtyEight

Propagandists, Justin Wolfers, FiveThirtyEight, Michiko Kakutani, Nocera, Aleppo, Krugman | Twitter

@nntaleb The work by scientific entertainer Steven Pinker on violence.   Permalink 12:33 PM – 9 Nov 2016 @mdvex @orestistsinalis @nntaleb in my Permalink 9:23 AM – 9 Nov 2016 @nntaleb There is no “animosity” with Harris. I just consider him an intellectual fraud. @GuzziNba @SamHarrisOrg Permalink 9:21 AM – 9 Nov 2016 @nntaleb […]

Saudi Barbaria, Sunstein, B Quant Seminar, Erdogan, Salafism, FiveThirtyEight, Pareto 80/20 | Twitter

Papers/articles by NNT  linked to in this tweet batch. Where You Cannot Generalize from Knowledge of Parts (continuation of the Minority Rule)Stochastic Tail Exponent For Asymmetric Power Laws (pdf) MATHEMATICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE PREC PPLE (pdf) PRE-ASYMPTOTIC BEHAVIOR AND FAT TAILEDNESS (pdf) @nntaleb .@Nvania You are welcome to go follow and lecture someone else. There […]

@FiveThirtyEight, Salafis Jihadists, Amioun, Piketty, Averroes, Kadisha Valley, The Right | Twitter

@nntaleb Bingo! Option traders get it! When probabilities are stochastic, they become ~.50. And they don’t move fast!   Permalink 2:25 PM – 6 Aug 2016 @nntaleb 3) More technically, when the variance of the probability is v. high it converges to 50%. Kapish? (metaprobability). Permalink 2:13 PM – 6 Aug 2016 @nntaleb 2/ So […]