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Tag Archives: Ioannidis

LOCALISM, “libertarians”, ADAPTATION, Justin Amash, @Reason, Marshmallowbrained Psychopaths, Ioannidis

Never use single point estimates for pandemics 5/13/20 @Monsantobuster Prof Taleb @PTetlock does not know what a probability distribution means. pic.twitter.com/YAXNpVst4s Permalink 8:10 AM – 14 May 2020 @bohemianGunjan “Panic is good only if you panic early, and as a trader the first thing you learn is to panic early”. – Nassim Nicholas Taleb. @nntaleb […]

Ioannidis, Tetlock, Summers, Masks, Oil, Russian Roulette, Astrology

From the Convexity of Masks to No-Convexity Ben | Youtube Published on Apr 24, 2020 + Why the crisiss was not a Black Swan. + Masks compound (even if primitive) + Convexity Ben misleads with his “hedges” Tail Risk of Contagious Diseases (pdf 4/18/2020) (Anti)Fragility and Convex Responses in Medicine (pdf 7/31/2018) The Pandemic Isn’t […]

#Moralhazard, @SamHarrisOrg, @PTetlock, Ioannidis, India, UBI, @R_Thaler & @CassSunstein, LUNACY IN THE UK,

Systemic Risk of Pandemic via Novel Pathogens–Coronavirus: A Note (pdf) T H E  T E C H N I C A L  I N C E R T O  C O L L E C T I O N (460 pg pdf) Ethics of Precaution: Individual and Systemic Risk (Sign up to download pdf) Review […]