Tag Archives: SaudiBarbaria

Cowen, Thaler, Deadlift, SaudiBarbaria, “think tanks”, Salafism | Twitter

@nntaleb 3825 years later, economists haven’t yet figured out what Babylonians did: debt has systemic effects (hence on others), self-harm doesn’t.https://twitter.com/tylercowen/status/826613009132969984   Permalink 3:14 PM – 2 Feb 2017

@jnyangena Something @nntaleb has been saying for years nowhttps://twitter.com/BrentBeshore/status/827237359074684928   Permalink 1:17 PM – 2 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Do IYI economists & social “scientists” realize they will soon be cut from taxpayer money? The pseudo-research $$ scam is bound to end. Permalink 9:59 AM – 2 Feb 2017

@nntaleb New York Museum of Mathematics, @MoMath1 Matthew Richey pic.twitter.com/rC0hWazww1 Permalink 4:15 PM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Outside your shit papers, in the real world, risk-takers work with thresholds to simplify life. @R_Thaler @JamesMarsh79 Permalink 9:53 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Rodrik, like cheap Starbucks, engages in cheap virtue signaling, at the expense of sophistry. Bullshit is free. @CliffordAsness @rodrikdani Permalink 6:20 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb We’ve know Syria news were fake almost from the beginning. Why did it take that long? Herding/lack of courage by journos fearful to deviate.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/826582270777683968   Permalink 5:00 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb (cont) Last time I set foot in Starbucks they were selling something called “ethical water”; with millennials falling for that scam. Permalink 2:29 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Nothing wrong in the classics in the elevation of your status. But you need to take risks for that, signal courage. @PrometheusAM Permalink 2:18 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Great Ed Thorpe’s memoir. @JamesMarsh79 alerted me that smokevendor @R_Thaler finds Kelly/Thorpe criterion a mistakehttps://medium.com/@nntaleb/foreword-to-ed-thorps-memoirs-a-man-for-all-markets-6beba78cd2b#.eo4b8yt9s   Permalink 2:17 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb 4) “Bullshit vending” was present in the classics, as more politely “Smoke vending” “Vendere fumum” Compiled in Erasmus (Adagia, I, 3, 41 ) Permalink 2:06 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Blaming Starbucks for fake virtue signaling, hypocrisy, exploitation of the immigration ban, @kaveh_h I boycott Starbucks since GMO darkact Permalink 1:58 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@nntaleb 3) I am procrastinating w/ *Skin in the Game* as I can’t find *virtue signaling* in classics (#Lindy),nothing beyond hypocrisy. Is it new? Permalink 1:56 AM – 1 Feb 2017

@illacertus Just uploaded my animation of The Bed of Procrustes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) – https://youtu.be/lRN_KT17mNo   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/2z9AyjC8MJ”>  pic.twitter.com/2z9AyjC8MJ Permalink 10:35 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Results are lift specific. Deadlift 5max rep dropped from weaknening of wrist. Rest between unchanged (squat) and slighly down (press). Thx!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/825684555407511552   Permalink 9:26 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Voila @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/GQbASsQwII Permalink 4:51 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb It takes courage to stand up to Saudi Arabia, none to virtue signal here. There is no virtue without risktaking & sacrifice #skininthegamehttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/826386249992830978   Permalink 3:41 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb I boycott SaudiBarbaria. They should. @MrSeras @AlexJacksonKerr @Konstant_V Permalink 3:19 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Virtue signaling here and there! Pseudo left here, extreme right there. https://twitter.com/konstant_v/status/826251002592559109   Permalink 3:06 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@GreenRupertRead https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jan/29/barcelona-residents-protest-high-rents-fuelled-by-tourism?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other   – An encouraging development!: Barcelona marches against the harmfulness of tourism on the city. @g_kallis Pse RT Permalink 2:27 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb The IYI pseudo-left is disgusting.https://twitter.com/rupasubramanya/status/823410948589416448   Permalink 1:11 AM – 31 Jan 2017

@nntaleb We Christians have been made uncomfortable & not at home in the Levant; we feel at home with Western values & want to keep it as such. Permalink 11:15 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Mr Abdulla I came here running away from intolerant Salafis like you & separation of ch & state. No chasing me here.https://twitter.com/saloul/status/826143889161613312   Permalink 11:06 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb 3/People are not getting that it is under Obama that minorities fleeing Sunni persecution were not allowed !!! pic.twitter.com/pLcAooTXly Permalink 11:03 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Here is the answer to Mr Greene @bgreene: don’t use your “scientific” status to give policy advice about risk. pic.twitter.com/B0Cp7HfTCk Permalink 8:07 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Can someone answer the fellow abt comparing random variables? Thanks.https://twitter.com/bgreene/status/826080516256436224   Permalink 7:23 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Greene is CLUELESS abt risk/probblty.”Odds” are NOT past frequencies for fat tailed distributions ! Only thintailedhttps://twitter.com/bgreene/status/826066350619652098   Permalink 6:20 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb A better link for the paper: https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/elections.pdf   Permalink 4:53 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Finally, first draft of my paper on how to forecast an election: forecast includes more volatility than success pr.https://www.dropbox.com/s/wfhm4q3w3k964y2/elections1.pdf?dl=0   Permalink 4:31 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb No, retweets. I unfollowed those who retweeted this. @shootersix Permalink 3:42 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Alas, statistics w/o reasoning. P(hit by bus) < 10^-20 probability of quadrupling. Not terror. #FooledByRandomness !https://twitter.com/KimKardashian/status/825580660337283073   Permalink 3:39 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb 1) Reasoning: if a Moroccan terrorist (hence Muslim) killed Muslim people in #QuebecCity, very high probability the victims are Shiites. Permalink 2:20 AM – 30 Jan 2017

@nntaleb For Baal’s sake, note that I am against the ban for Iran, Iraq & Yemen, but REQUIRING restrictions for Salafis .Kapish? @mtsw @rodrikdani Permalink 10:35 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb And Salafism isn’t quite promoting the tolerant “diversity” that Mr Rodrik is looking for… @rodrikdani Permalink 10:30 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Had @rodrikdani made an effort to get the point instead of bullshitting: American value is not accepting assymmetric *intolerant* religion. Permalink 10:28 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rodrik, hope you understand that you are some BS-writing hack living on American charity. Not quite the American dream. @rodrikdani Permalink 9:32 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Asymmetric separation between church and state is leading to Halal public shools in France. @schmittpaula @zak_pullen Permalink 9:22 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb A friend you lose was never a friend. @TheDefenderA Permalink 9:02 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@BBassem7 Christianity is under attack by ISIS & AlQaeda in the Middle East. This is no secret. This is a video of what ISIS did to churches in N Iraq pic.twitter.com/MpQshEct25 Permalink 9:01 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@schmittpaula @nntaleb Case in point:Somali taxi drivers in Minneapolis airport refusing to pick up passengers w alcohol, sending them to back of the line Permalink 8:36 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb For those still confused about Salafi Islam & the Popper-Godel principle, let me again invoke the minority rule.https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.iyxs6hpdm   Permalink 8:24 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb I came as refugee from the Lebanese war, embraced American values,& vowed to defend them. I refuse immigrants who don’t embrace our values. Permalink 8:02 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb 3) Shiites are also victims. In Saudi Arabia they are treated worse than dhimmis. Permalink 7:23 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb 2) Iran is the only Islamic country that is truly robust in its tolerance towards Christians and Jews. Permalink 7:21 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Those railing abt temp ban are silent abt dhimmification & extermination by Sunnis Salafis in Near & Middle-East.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/825721153142521858   Permalink 7:18 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@GreenRupertRead St Thomas Aquinas – ‘It is better that a blind horse is slow’. #PrecautionaryPrinciple pic.twitter.com/0K1Wz882VE Permalink 6:54 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Back to New York after ~4 weeks weightlifting hiatus, to let the body heal from injuries. What will happen to the maximum press/deadlift? Permalink 4:38 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Proper legal mechanism is to de-label Salafism as religion, treat it like a political party (say Nazis) then ban!https://medium.com/@nntaleb/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.8olh056n6   Permalink 12:43 AM – 29 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Bingo! It is fallacious to treat Salafis as religion or race, but as a violent viciously intolerant political party.https://twitter.com/kringelikrok/status/825600544559362048   Permalink 11:25 PM – 28 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Just as “political science” doesn’t have any science, “think tanks” are for people who don’t and can’t think. Permalink 3:21 PM – 28 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Salafism is CRIMINAL @singhponline @Medium Permalink 2:13 PM – 28 Jan 2017

@nntaleb A potent border test for Salafis: crack a joke and check their sense of humor. Salafis & literalists can’t get humor.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/825430237643149315   Permalink 1:05 PM – 28 Jan 2017

@nntaleb We should ban indiv. Salafascists from entering U.S., not countries, not Yemenis & Shiite Iranians. (Popper-Godel)https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.moo05xksc   Permalink 11:47 AM – 28 Jan 2017

@nntaleb No-nonsense Book on Fat Tails with @DrCirillo, looking increasingly like Dynamic Hedging in style. pic.twitter.com/SZFzKNiP8C Permalink 11:13 AM – 28 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Probability du Jour: Why correlation always finite and bounded in (-1, 1), when covariances are undefined. (final) pic.twitter.com/fgj3itJzEB Permalink 11:16 PM – 27 Jan 2017

@nntaleb While Trump’s”enemies take him literally not seriously & friends seriously not literally”, the wise looks at his acts & acts only. No words. Permalink 6:40 AM – 27 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Actually title is “Extreme Events and How to Live with Them” Permalink 6:26 AM – 27 Jan 2017

@nntaleb They aren’t aware that I will lecture on something related to the Ancient Mediterranean without anyone noticing.https://twitter.com/DarwinLectures/status/824985891840151552   Permalink 6:24 AM – 27 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Pedagogical slides explaining Fat Tails for my talk in Cambridge questa sera: Why under fat tails single events>sum pic.twitter.com/oXNzOUp9m6 Permalink 3:05 AM – 27 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Cambridge pic.twitter.com/UasiBmiIlK Permalink 11:26 PM – 26 Jan 2017

@nntaleb From discussion w/ @DrCirillo abt the mystery of why correlation exists but not covariance for very Fat Tailed dist pic.twitter.com/rz6cp0UDUc Permalink 10:45 PM – 26 Jan 2017

@nntaleb The problem with demonizing people instead of criticizing them is that truth eventually comes out in full force & the devil becomes a saint.https://twitter.com/daniellmcadams/status/824769366046732288   Permalink 10:24 PM – 26 Jan 2017

@nntaleb Bravo! There has never been a crowd that creates as much harm thinking they are doing good as pple in US State Dept.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/824655496854564864   Permalink 9:05 AM – 26 Jan 2017

@nntaleb You cannot do statistics without logic. Otherwise you become a data fraud, or, worse, an economist.https://twitter.com/DrCirillo/status/824328271814868992   Permalink 3:07 AM – 26 Jan 2017

Gad Saad, SITG, SaudiBarbaria, Michael Flynn, Christmas in Aleppo, Salafascists, Linda Problem, Arthur De Vany | Twitter

@nntaleb Barack Hussain Obama: Created 10 Tr debt for ~11 m jobs Left us w/0000 more terrorists; he FUNDED AlQaeda. All talk. pic.twitter.com/gOMxDHAEsV Permalink 6:43 PM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb One of the 2 papers debunking measures of inequality https://arxiv.org/pdf/1405.1791.pdf   Permalink 2:52 PM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I just published “Inequality and Skin in the Game”https://medium.com/p/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46   Permalink 1:11 PM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Here he is @GadSaad pic.twitter.com/1SlpPpES1G Permalink 12:09 PM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Lengthy deliberation; picked @GadSaad, Lebanese Jew, as representative of the looks of Jesus, well known Galilean.https://medium.com/opacity/no-jesus-was-not-a-nonwhite-refugee-who-would-have-voted-for-43779209eea4#.ytdawnhcd   Permalink 12:07 PM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@PetarLalovic Commission is NOT SITG Permalink 9:54 AM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Never use “contrarian” for this as it indicates an undiscriminating bias ag. prevailing wisdom,not focus on mistakeshttps://twitter.com/PurviRajani/status/813760625084076033   Permalink 7:01 AM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Inequality & #SkinintheGame, Ergodicity or why Trump’s financial difficulties helped election. Fixed Typos. Thanks! pic.twitter.com/V38h3XtXwi Permalink 6:48 AM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Inequality and #SkinintheGame, or why Trump’s financial difficulties helped election. For comments. Thanks! pic.twitter.com/5qIqSJUFNJ Permalink 6:33 AM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You mean there was a smear campaign agst Flynn because of his moral stand against AlQaeda by anonymous pple like you? @outsh1ned @GenFlynn Permalink 4:17 AM – 27 Dec 2016

@JSuchJ Wealthy is meaningless; use Unwealth: the difference, at any point in time, between what you have and what you would like to have (NNTaleb) Permalink 2:01 AM – 27 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The problem of the “opposition” is that Salafis always take over @CamilleOtrakji (Minority rule)https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.37yn9ribm   Permalink 7:12 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb My motto is “Never give crap and never take crap”. Version of the Golden/Silver rules to treat others the way you want to be treated. #SITG Permalink 4:07 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This assumes I am offended. Permalink 3:19 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Whenever someone offends me, I try to push his soul so low that he remembers me forever.https://twitter.com/descartesquotes/status/813511350685007872   Permalink 2:55 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I deleted a retweet bec. 1 of the 2 pictures was suspicious. Everyone here with self respect as a scholar or researcher shd do the same. Permalink 2:20 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@BenDiFrancesco @SEmpiricus @MaxCRoser Pasquale and I are putting a chapter on fake empiricism under fat tails @DrCirillo Permalink 1:45 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This means (as we expected) that SaudiBarbaria ran out of funds to finance AlQaeda & other rebels.https://twitter.com/ReutersWorld/status/813493411449896960   Permalink 1:20 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb BShttps://twitter.com/rodrikdani/status/813485991117914113   Permalink 1:04 PM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb More precisely: every 1/10^-5 rise in crime lowers LE by .0065 of a STD (since STD ~10y). In other words, effect is *invisible* @MaxCRoser Permalink 11:35 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb God Bless You, Michael Flynn @GenFlynn. Turned out that he paid for his opposition to Obama’s support for AlQaeda! pic.twitter.com/vbExFLS8Ko Permalink 11:16 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Christmas in Aleppo: the will to live by a community Obama tried to eradicate. (Removed suspicious earlier pic) pic.twitter.com/nENwYLqVQo Permalink 10:47 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@financequant @nntaleb I have unilaterally established Saint Longinquus as the patron of the clueless #IYI. Permalink 10:36 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb To be polite, Daniel Dennet is not a good person to consult abt what is and what is not science, rigor,& probabilistic inference @Pianomover Permalink 8:50 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Scientism is to science what a Ponzi scheme is to an investment. Permalink 7:33 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb It is 6.5% of a year of LE, Permalink 6:09 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Why I spent 2 years reading 7 lines per month of legal books. Intro to #skininthegame pic.twitter.com/IC1EvIoqWu Permalink 5:27 AM – 26 Dec 2016

@DeadLiftCapital when a moron tries to “explain” Trump’s election with psychobabble. Great fodder for a @nntaleb eviscerationhttp://www.newyorker.com/science/maria-konnikova/the-psychological-research-that-helps-explain-the-election   Permalink 4:54 PM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb My attempt at the solution. pic.twitter.com/HKphFYrbXc Permalink 12:35 PM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr AlHethail, do you think that because some lowIQ Wahhabi heaps primitive abuse on twitter, I will immediately duck,or convert?@AlhethailMs Permalink 11:42 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The Aleppo victims that the MSM doesn’t discuss. They are tenacious. Respect!https://twitter.com/Nour_Samaha/status/813089678714867712   Permalink 11:38 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb QUIZ DU JOUR: Compute the life expectancy lost between low (1 in 100K ) and high (20 in 100K). Will see through thishttps://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/811580087502045184   Permalink 8:51 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb So publisher sending contract for technical book with @DrCirillo (pending subtitle). We need to start working. pic.twitter.com/nJEvoX051p Permalink 8:43 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb How to NEVER engage Salafascists or AlQaeda covert promoters, as they will try to label you so you get ostracized. pic.twitter.com/ba8r5W4NMc Permalink 7:40 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@maxkeiser Christmas in Saudi Arabia? pic.twitter.com/eEWHYib04P Permalink 7:05 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Bullshitter. Where Xtians were minority, there were frequent pogroms. Only Ottomans protected them. See Damascus 1860! @NasserIbnHamad Permalink 6:53 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr Hamad, you need to explain logically why being agst Salafascists is “racist”& “hatred” @NasserIbnHamad not random negative words from dic Permalink 6:32 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ibn Hamad you need to go to some civilized place to take a class in logic before tweeting further incoherence. @NasserIbnHamad Permalink 6:25 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Explain *rationally* what is “racist” in exposing Salafis, a religious sect that DISCRIMINATES agt “infidels” & kills them @NasserIbnHamad Permalink 6:20 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb BS: Religious Sunnis are the ones who are biased against the rest of us “kafir”. Shiites sing Christmas carols in churches! @BIZRIOmar Permalink 6:08 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Added the heuristic that people who eat the same food in the Med look alike/have same body language.https://medium.com/opacity/no-jesus-was-not-a-nonwhite-refugee-who-would-have-voted-for-43779209eea4#.atcgrpxc7   Permalink 5:44 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Who are you BSing? He respects Issa of the Quran yet calls Christians “infidels” (kuffars) & bans you from exchanging greetings. @BIZRIOmar Permalink 5:17 AM – 25 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Thanks, blushing, but no compliment counts as much as those related to deadlifting/risk taking.https://twitter.com/BulgakovsPilot/status/812856491229188096   Permalink 7:07 PM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Series of instructions by Sunni authority banning Muslims in West from Xmas wishes/symbols. Why not keep them home?https://twitter.com/MohamadAlarefe/status/811265514056060930   Permalink 6:46 PM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I tend to block pple who post BS on twitter. @ArthurShuey @FriedrichHayek Permalink 6:12 PM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I just published “No, Jesus Was not a ‘NonWhite’ Refugee who Would Have Voted for ”https://medium.com/p/no-jesus-was-not-a-nonwhite-refugee-who-would-have-voted-for-43779209eea4   Permalink 3:11 PM – 24 Dec 2016

@michaelmitsakos Lebanese wine, the Incerto, and the impact of highly valuable gifts. Merry Christmas! @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/ZvmaG87D0y Permalink 12:21 PM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Josephus (correction prev was not Ammianus Marc.) pic.twitter.com/J9HWLR0CB9 Permalink 8:07 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Julia Domna, Julia Maesa, Ealagabalus again (Homs) pic.twitter.com/I3l9HpwMgv Permalink 7:41 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb And Zeno, Posidonius, and Ammianus Marcellinus who were Syro-Phoenicians pic.twitter.com/HiImS6rYnb Permalink 7:24 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Here are: Lucian (Syrian), Philip the Arab (who was Syrian, not Arab), Elagabalus (Syrian). BBC=BS @karimbitar pic.twitter.com/0gt4WeNp8R Permalink 7:08 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This is Septimus Severus who was W Semitic. Clearly these imbeciles on BBC don’t know nothing @karimbitar pic.twitter.com/HSK8iOtfAM Permalink 7:03 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This is Caracalla, 100% “Semitic” blood, Father Phoenician mother Syrian from Homs. @karimbitar pic.twitter.com/AeiApv4Rt6 Permalink 6:47 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This is how Hannibal, of W. Semitic stock ~ Jews, 2 c before Jesus looked like @karimbitar (conf by contemp coins) pic.twitter.com/IgdQpRScWx Permalink 6:38 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Centrally, Jesus separated holy from profane. https://medium.com/@nntaleb/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.rioj1qdpb   @Mcgrooooots @karimbitar Permalink 6:24 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Jesus would not have voted for neocon hawks, Salafi regimes, rent seeking “educated” bureaucrats & state-worshipping IYIs @karimbitar Permalink 5:47 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This is total BS, mixed with Identity Politics Jews were Mediterraneans, looked like Southern Europeans.https://twitter.com/karimbitar/status/812646558164516864   Permalink 5:29 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I meant psycholophasters @JamesPsychol @AndrewPMunro Permalink 5:25 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The philosophasters “proved” that high IQ kids “succeed” by getting PhDs & tenure: a circular def of success. @JamesPsychol @AndrewPMunro Permalink 5:24 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb It didn’t hit the IYI author that if success not “tied to IQ”, that this “IQ” is a wrong measure of intelligence.https://twitter.com/business/status/812487192211755008   Permalink 3:20 AM – 24 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Truths stated to come out of Aleppo. (Syrians speaking in front of camera mix Levantine w/Cl. Ar. Not the Lebanese).https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/812297239729160192   Permalink 7:18 PM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 2) Mr Sezgin, in addition to refs & genetics, can’t tell diff betw Turks & Armenians, Kurds,W. Syrian, or Ionian Greeks by looks @MhmtEminS Permalink 2:10 PM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 1) Mr Sezgin, Cavalli-Sforza et al. The History and Geography of Human Genes. Do you have better ref? @MhmtEminS @ektrit @vicmandrake Permalink 2:08 PM – 23 Dec 2016

@MIG29_ Aleppo’s small Catholic minority are preparing the Saint Elias Cathedral for its first Christmas mass in five years By @AFP pic.twitter.com/jnXOyv2RR4 Permalink 1:55 PM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mainstream Media @gpbfinance Permalink 10:19 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb MSM are low IQ to argue ag US-Russian normalization on grounds Putin is”autocratic”. Because China, SaudiBarbaria… pic.twitter.com/ouL4H2EHEt Permalink 10:16 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Copts/Maronites/Armenians bought into a theology because they didn’t want to be Greco-Romans; Iranians didn’t want to be Arabs. @mgpolitis Permalink 10:09 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Dear @KetchumPR, why did you stop smear campaign agst me/posting fakenews/mailing fake letters to NYU [on behalf of Monsanto] early in 2016? Permalink 8:58 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb How dumb do policywonks (this guy & friends) have to be to miss that aphorism is abt Cincinnatus not abt love/hate?https://twitter.com/HumanomicsMap/status/812284206042742784   Permalink 8:11 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb In Ireland, it is ethnic. I suspect the Irish wd have switched to restoration if the English stayed Catholic. @vicmandrake Permalink 8:05 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Many don’t get schisms are ETHNIC: Alawi, Shiite vs Sunni; Coptic, Maronite, Armenian, Syriac vs Greek Orth. The theology is epiphenomenal. Permalink 8:01 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Hilarious: @rcallimachi google translates “Agency” as “port” & “News Agency” as “depth” https://twitter.com/rcallimachi/status/812284387630977024   Permalink 6:41 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Shiites singing christmas carols in a Lebanese church http://go.shr.lc/2hVWwNq   Permalink 6:31 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The rule applies to businesses with skin in the game problems. @jhackIV Permalink 4:55 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@republicofmath #FF for great mathematics @CutTheKnotMath http://www.cut-the-knot.org   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/pHeFpPcM73″>  pic.twitter.com/pHeFpPcM73 Permalink 3:44 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@clairlemon It’s almost like the @washingtonpost want us to believe this guy is the victim pic.twitter.com/KCqms66dZS Permalink 1:23 AM – 23 Dec 2016

@BBassem7 The fact that Ken thinks Saudi is pressing for secular and free Syria is quite amusing https://twitter.com/kenroth/status/660721995810779136   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/qXzHnynKYW”>  pic.twitter.com/qXzHnynKYW Permalink 5:17 PM – 22 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Squid ink pic.twitter.com/749z8LaMma Permalink 5:13 PM – 22 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I give my students in quant-risk class the option to deadlift …https://twitter.com/trishankkarthik/status/812075349043531777   Permalink 3:21 PM – 22 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The best researcher is the one who hates academia, the best politician the one who hates politics, best bureaucrat one who hates bureaucracy Permalink 1:55 PM – 22 Dec 2016

@BBassem7 I will be dedicating this thread to show you how most commentators on Syria have no clue what they are talking about. We start with @KenRoth pic.twitter.com/COlAxDcCK9 Permalink 8:23 AM – 22 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Remember! Terrorist is of same broad Salafi as: AlQaeda aided in Syria by Obama, UK, & MSM SaudiBarbaria Kapish?https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/811919538820411393   Permalink 5:47 AM – 22 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Linda problem means here that the statement doesn’t reveal TheDonald’s preferences rather the distribution of facial hair in population. Permalink 4:44 AM – 22 Dec 2016

@JamesMarsh79 Trump needs to get rates back to 3% and fire every PHD economist on the fed Permalink 7:29 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The answer is 5- Information Theory Permalink 7:19 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb In other words,if among pple Trump likes, there aren’t that many pple w/facial hair, it’s because there aren’t many w/facial hair in biz/gov Permalink 7:11 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Reminder: I block journos who use my handle/clutter my feed @thebamoor @mbaram @_SidVerma @TheStalwart @MarcHochstein @ejenk @MazMHussain Permalink 6:45 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Bingo! Information Theoretic view of things. Permalink 6:33 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This idiot just fell for the Linda Problem. There are not many people in biz & gov with a mustache/beard.https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/811723039113183232   Permalink 5:40 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb INCERTO 1- FBR Noise/Signal 2- TBS Tail events 3- Procrustes – Aphorisms 4- Antifragile – Convexity/Asymmetry 4b- Skin in the Game 5- Guess Permalink 4:28 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Randomhttps://twitter.com/gmax1mum/status/811728929123729408   Permalink 4:25 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The great Arthur De Vany is back; discusses the mechanism of robustness, fragility & aging. https://youtu.be/G92kHgieiKk   via @YouTube Permalink 1:17 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Isn’t the other side also abt dictatorship? @andresbejar3 Permalink 1:12 PM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Imbecile, go give your unsollicited advice to someone else. @VernonGlobal Permalink 10:12 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You cannot hide some facts for too long. Syria, Aleppo: why did the MSM support Al Qaeda side of the story?https://twitter.com/BenSwann_/status/811413611625283586   Permalink 10:09 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@Tubbyturkey Christmas presents for my credit team @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/aWuYQQMTuu Permalink 9:36 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb That was before deadlifts. Today I would have broken the table. Permalink 9:26 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb How I exploded at economists & Rogoff in 2008https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R-Km9qo5JyA   Permalink 9:17 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@NIRPUmbrella WATCH: #wednesdaywisdom – @nntaleb He even takes a jab at the #IYI @krogoff to boot. “Tie wearing Harvard economist.” pic.twitter.com/27ULarMksf Permalink 8:13 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Was taught that heuristic 33 ago by FatTonies. “Never hire a well dressed option trader”, DH 1996 #LindyEffecthttps://twitter.com/EmanuelDerman/status/811574580661944320   Permalink 6:54 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Statistics is NOT counting past events; sample mean != true mean. That applies even more to terrorism. @DrCirillo @TedGnuchev Permalink 6:47 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@ynotez @random_walker I think @nntaleb would agree with you :) pic.twitter.com/vUoEfdMZDo Permalink 6:30 AM – 21 Dec 2016

@dannyhakim “The Syngenta statement is not correct.” A look at an agchem company’s reinterpretation of a damaging study.http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/20/business/fact-check-paraquat-weed-killer-parkinsons.html?action=click&contentCollection=Business%20Day&module=RelatedCoverage&region=Marginalia&pgtype=article   Permalink 4:25 AM – 21 Dec 2016

#Salafascists, Bureaucrats, AlQaeda, #SaudiBarbaria, TRADING, John Gray, Chinese Censorship | Twitter

@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria (who had an experience w/them) stands against the Salifis, while France supports them in Syria.https://twitter.com/GhassanDahhan/status/811216923644100608   Permalink 6:28 PM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 2) The biggest mistake with fat tails is that people (even statisticians) conflate “infinite variance” & “infinite variations” @DrCirillo Permalink 2:55 PM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@stampede331 @Ayan_Dutta1981 Why don’t you fuck off and go read some author to satisfy your agenda. Permalink 2:49 PM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb By writing… history books @byzantinepower Permalink 2:10 PM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@jmaron9 ~ALL is never ALL, which IS the Black Swan idea. Permalink 2:08 PM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Starting to work with @DrCirillo on the Fat Tails book. Reverse engineered to help answer my exam questions. pic.twitter.com/uxkgyJF8yL Permalink 12:53 PM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb #FooledbyRandomness is abt how many successful businessmen are not as skilled as we think. But I hold that ~all bureaucrats are unskilled. Permalink 11:59 AM – 20 Dec 2016

@kapitalust This seems like the type of chart that @nntaleb would make to show Skin in the Game vs. IYI (via Ray Dalio: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reflections-trump-presidency-one-month-after-election-ray-dalio  ) ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/P3MTryNuVG”>  pic.twitter.com/P3MTryNuVG Permalink 9:25 AM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 5) Statistical inference using background information/conditional probability, alas, cannot be made to be politically correct. Live with it. Permalink 5:45 AM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 4) Point of risktaking: had the perpetrator been a German librarian, the pseudoleft police would have kept using it for the rest of my life Permalink 4:47 AM – 20 Dec 2016

@ban_kanj 5 people arrested in Egypt for using children to stage fake news, on Aleppo.https://twitter.com/Independent/status/811186103172681728   Permalink 4:29 AM – 20 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Only vice versa @MCasiyo Permalink 6:55 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb At least they have skills in the real world: not IYIs & academics whose only skill is to write papers for academics.https://twitter.com/SenSanders/status/809874861736816644   Permalink 4:36 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 3)Turned out that I was right about the “religion”. I like to stick my neck before info is public, just for existential riskloving reasons. Permalink 3:22 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Watch @Charles_Lister trying to demonize @TulsiGabbard as her bill against AlQaeda cooperation will put him in jail. pic.twitter.com/mmZKaNzkCd Permalink 2:36 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Voila the promoter of Salafasism @Charles_Lister. I was, once again, right about my target.https://twitter.com/Gjoene/status/810955806220881921   Permalink 1:16 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The only terrorrist act in West by a Shiite in past few years was a German-Iranian NeoNazi Arian supremacist @ignaziano @RUFl0 Permalink 1:12 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@RUFl0 @ReutersWorld How many Levantine Christians,Armenians/ Ezidis/oth minorities have committed such acts in recent history? Exactly 0? Permalink 1:08 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@cjdelisle Given Taleb’s record for successfully picking unstable Goliaths to topple, things are not looking good for Saudi Arabia…https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/810650211282485248   Permalink 1:04 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb A drunken driver would have had his problem before the market. Eastern Europeans… rare but outlier @robert_we Permalink 12:57 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Simply 99% of such acts are by Salafascists. A deranged German yoga instructor is possible, but very low probability. Permalink 12:53 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb As a trader and probabilist, let me guess. Odds that he is not a middle aged German baker. I venture: Jihadi 20-40.https://twitter.com/ReutersWorld/status/810947844387573760   Permalink 12:43 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Le Monde in headline doesn’t dare say “killed by a Jihadi” but “Killed by a bullet”. France MSM needs revamping!http://www.lemonde.fr/europe/article/2016/12/19/turquie-l-ambassadeur-russe-grievement-blesse-apres-une-attaque-armee-a-ankara_5051340_3214.html   Permalink 12:06 PM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Juan Cole is mandatory reading. Regular Syrians in Syria are fed up w/Rebels.https://twitter.com/jricole/status/810916791639740416   Permalink 11:31 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@WeAreLebanon The rain pouring down the streets of #Beirut By @julianasfarah #WeAreLebanon pic.twitter.com/1aPf7weJHz Permalink 11:14 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr Kessler, your reasoning abilities do not seem developed @OrenKessler Search for evidence/trail is NOT a conspiracy theory, even reverse. Permalink 10:10 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This is the murder of an emissary. Best example in 491BC Spartans executing/throwing down Persian embassy down the well. @holland_tom Permalink 9:41 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr Kessler you were not discussing my scholarship (you can’t) but my listing AQaeda operatives in Think Tanks. #incoherent @OrenKessler Permalink 9:40 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr @OrenKessler, had you done scholarship instead of journalistic balderdash, you wd have known abt academic freedomhttps://twitter.com/OrenKessler/status/810889689255256064   Permalink 9:34 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 6) “Intellectuals” are still under severe emotional distress; it’s not just Trump.The anxiety of seeing their map of reality upside down. Permalink 9:22 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Fat Tony to N: Vilify *harmful* assholes for pleasure, to keep your training. But when you strike for revenge, wait, then do it only once. Permalink 8:03 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I got a “journo” who spreads fake news about Syria @borzou to defend himself by spreading #fakenews about me! @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 Permalink 6:55 AM – 19 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Thanks! Signed in. Those who want to register, mail address: Remember911@fooledbyrandomness.com @dellajoNYC Permalink 5:22 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Thanks! Signed up! @MakeAusGr8Again Permalink 5:21 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@AssalehAmer nassim is the kind of fucking courageous people humanity needshttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/810653392603348993   Permalink 5:14 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The model is below; I have noproblem hiring investigators to get AlQaeda operatives in DC think tanks #skininthegamehttps://usrtk.org/our-investigations/   Permalink 5:10 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Fundamentalism starts with being literal about beliefs. @JAnthonyWare Permalink 5:03 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Starting a register/tracking AlQaeda think tank & journos agents 1) Sources of funds 2) Positions on Yemen/Syria… Volunteers. Funded by ME Permalink 4:57 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Nicene Creed: from Credere (or in Greek Pisteuo) doesn’t mean epistemic belief but doxastic, commitment to trust. @JAnthonyWare Permalink 4:25 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Ryan, the dogma of atheism is thinking beliefs *of others* are epistemic & LITERAL, like e=mc^2, not allegorical & functional @funtime_bobby Permalink 4:15 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb C’est la trahison des clercs! Resume de la guerre en Syrie. http://www.agoravox.fr/actualites/international/article/un-resume-de-la-guerre-civile-en-187595   Permalink 3:07 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Well kept secret: for selfowned people, unlike the rest, the ability to make money (hence make decisions) does not really decline with age. Permalink 1:11 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb OK, #Salafascism it is. Thanks everyone for voting.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/810101882559537152   Permalink 12:44 PM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The paper pic.twitter.com/I4tQKiPOe2 Permalink 7:28 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Finally, paper done. Found the exact bound for price of binary estimate & volatility of electoral vote! 538 klueless pic.twitter.com/utxXoe4T6A Permalink 7:26 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The #Salafascist cancer will stop w/the impending bankruptcy of #SaudiBarbaria. Good News: Solar has gamma (convex)https://twitter.com/business/status/809288801570983936   Permalink 5:57 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@alxpr1c3 @yaneerbaryam intelligence is rigorously described by @nntaleb (photo from @mdvex ) pic.twitter.com/QCS626hgqU Permalink 5:17 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 3/Trading and real science (not science journalism/college scientism) are same. Feynman:”Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.” Permalink 5:05 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb “Bulls make money Bears make money Sheep get slaughtered.” Fat Tony, in #Skininthegame Permalink 4:42 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Best training ever for rigor & critical reasoning is…TRADING. You can ONLY survive long term by going against wrong CONSENSUS by “experts” Permalink 4:29 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Best training ever for rigor & critical reasoning is…TRADING. You can ONLY survive long term by going against wrong CONSENSUS by experts Permalink 4:29 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb PETER HITCHENS: Amid the bombs of Aleppo, all you can hear are the lies http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2016/12/peter-hitchens-amid-the-bombs-of-aleppo-all-you-can-hear-are-the-lies.html   Permalink 4:23 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb No, imbecile, it is how religions interact w/non Moslems (takfiris), not their eschatology. @ericswerdlin Permalink 4:12 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The Romans treated harshly religions that *rejected* other rituals (s.a. Christianity). For the rest, everything goes. @crd37 Permalink 4:09 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The East Aleppo Rebels ARE Al Qaeda. American elites are either idiots or influenced by PR shills for Saudi Barbaria. @JohnGeard Permalink 3:51 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Iran/Shiites vs West is geopolitics, w/social-religious tolerance. Salafis vs West is social-religious incompatibility (hidden by oil $)! Permalink 3:37 AM – 18 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Only allowed homeopathy in place of placebo for restricted circumstance. Rationalwiki is fake news! @borzou @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 Permalink 4:54 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Fabricator @borzou is using fake news rationalwiki. This is what I WROTE abt Homeopathy @GuruAnaerobic @EHSANI22 pic.twitter.com/J4NeSpfRqs Permalink 4:53 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 5) Gray discussed 19th C Russian writers who were like me, both Orthodox & classical pagans, e.g. Merezhkovsky Permalink 3:56 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 4) Pagans unlike monotheists and atheists don’t have heresies. Permalink 3:27 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 3) A long, 4 hour conversation with Isiah Berlin would consist in 3 hours and 50 minutes of gossip. Permalink 3:26 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 2/ Michael Oakeshot the philosopher of small “c” conservatism had at some point six mistresses, all wives of leftist professors. Permalink 3:21 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 1/ Conversation with John Gray. Any “thinker” who strays from the allowed script experiences something similar to leprosy. Permalink 3:19 PM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb John Gray in New York for some flaneuring in spite of the weather. pic.twitter.com/LRj4FiGod0 Permalink 10:52 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The Fox/Hedgehog split has turned into big BS. It works on narrow local separable noncomplex system related issues.https://twitter.com/PrometheusAM/status/810162845912440832   Permalink 8:43 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The #Lindyeffect what they learned is still valid today; what your children learn outside math survives a few yearshttps://twitter.com/vadiboom/status/810152264719618052   Permalink 8:08 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb *By definition* a Salafi is *not allowed* to think in a way that strays an inch from the 7 C. “ancestors” Generations not allowed to think! Permalink 6:20 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Note the point that Salafism is NOT a “religion”. It is a criminal party.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/we-dont-know-what-we-are-talking-about-when-we-talk-about-religion-3e65e6a3c44e#.n8co2bl59   Permalink 5:54 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Reason the Salafis didn’t kill more pple in history is low IQ, sheer military incompetence & lack of weapons. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wahhabi_sack_of_Karbala   Permalink 5:41 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb “In the box GMOs” yes works very very well as no tail risk/complexity effects. @MellowOchre Permalink 5:23 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb My problem is that as bad as Hitler’s Nazis were, Salafism is one order of magnitude worse, e.g. ISIS. @XFaure Permalink 4:43 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Jihad is positive; in Arabic means the exact opposite: effort for improvement => Ijtihad = improve religion. @InternetHindus Permalink 4:42 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The “left”s infatuation w/AlQaeda can be broken by a LABEL Islamofascism is unfair (incl Shiites & secular Sunnis) Permalink 4:38 AM – 17 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Meeting the anonymous @EHSANI22 for a conversation about the IYIs we have been fighting on twitter. pic.twitter.com/sL8fU29L9d Permalink 6:18 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Techne episteme. We messed up the balance! @TheMainstand Permalink 3:55 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Our precautionary principle page / busting GMOs http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   @PaesurBiey Permalink 3:48 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Educated in 1860 was educated Today educated is starting to be overeducated & brainwashed, just like overfed, overprotected, & overmedicated Permalink 3:47 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Fake journalists/Al-Qaeda apologists s.a. @borzou call pple “sectarian” and “racist” when exposed, use identity politics to hide @EHSANI22 Permalink 3:03 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb ~40% of GMO studies have financial conflicts of interesthttps://www.yahoo.com/news/many-gmo-studies-financial-conflicts-interest-201413164.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw   Permalink 2:43 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb It all started that because pseudolefts are swayed by terms, to use Islamofascism, unfair for Islam. Now Salafifascism works. @Priapus_D Permalink 12:54 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb We need a sect/designation “Sunni nonWahabi” to simplify. @Priapus_D Permalink 12:30 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb My point is to narrow down the designation “Islam” to specific sects that include Wahabis and Salafis, exclude Shiites who have none of that Permalink 12:01 PM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@holland_tom @Super_ayatollah @RussianCarousel @JingDoc Tom this one can download from Univ. pic.twitter.com/kMgXhlBjIb Permalink 11:42 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Shiites are very, very tolerant w/Christians. Time for the MSM to substitute “Islamic Jihad” w/ “Sunni Jihad”https://twitter.com/holland_tom/status/809820099909742593   Permalink 10:08 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Friends, does anyone knows well Popper’s explicit discussion of “causality”? Well enough to summarize in a tweet? Permalink 9:33 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb In @newtgingrich IYI mvt, identify operatives giving cover to Al Qaeda/Jihad: @shadihamid @MiddleEastInst @borzou pic.twitter.com/hmvMKww70K Permalink 8:48 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Most IYIs who are pro-mass immigration never went drinking with an immigrant cab driver. #Skininthegame.https://twitter.com/foxjust/status/809778255914037248   Permalink 7:22 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Looks like the Syrian War summary is spreading…https://twitter.com/newtgingrich/status/809759045330542594   Permalink 7:13 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Added this detail to the summary of the Syrian war https://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d#.wwwpzah0r   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/y4P1ymXkXl”>  pic.twitter.com/y4P1ymXkXl Permalink 5:56 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@HappyRussians I was being censored IN NEW YORK for a US book! Permalink 5:37 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@alejand06640904 @PVanderHallen Marsalia Marsa-El comes from port of God in Phoenicien. Ramatuelle: Ramat El, Hill of God Permalink 5:31 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I forgot that Syria was in The Black Swan. I need to add my warning about the collapse to the Medium piece.https://twitter.com/xkape/status/809743816521580544   Permalink 5:29 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I forgot: Fight with Chinese censorship. Vastly more sophisticated than the low IQ stooges of Saudi Barbariahttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/809591402699038720   Permalink 4:48 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The only compliments I care about relate to courage. Intellect is a cheap currency.https://twitter.com/rwthewayIseeit/status/809602800921415680   Permalink 4:46 AM – 16 Dec 2016

@nntaleb My 2016 fights: GMOs, DONE (biz is busting) IYI academobureaucrats, DONE (in mourning/hiding) Islamofascist shills, IN PROGRESS Good year! Permalink 6:50 PM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb My friend @Ehsani22 is Aleppine, being lectured by busted Al Qaeda promoter Borzou Daraghi abt his own city.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/809155940746489857   Permalink 5:10 PM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Shadi Hamid’s positions shows that he wants the U.S. to send help to ALQAEDA of Sept 11. He is a cryptoIslamist. Shame! @KS1729 @shadihamid Permalink 2:05 PM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Great: *Intellectual Yet Idiot* piece making it to policy, leading to purges! https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.33vi3omtv   @Scaramucci ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/VrN93LovGV”>  pic.twitter.com/VrN93LovGV Permalink 11:52 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I name names elsewhere & uncover think tank fabricators. Check twitter feed @falameufilho Permalink 10:17 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Marseilles (Marsa) and Ramatuelle are Phoenician names @ekinilvalentino Permalink 7:32 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb There were Phoenician settlements among the Ionians, such as Miletus. There were also (I suspect) in Crete @alejand06640904 @PVanderHallen Permalink 7:31 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Read tweet as: Greeks mostly East, Phoenicians mostly West. @InjuredThales @PVanderHallen Permalink 6:23 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Plus Ibiza, Cadix, Catalunia, etc. It is an overall tendency. The Phoenicians were pushed West by the Greeks. @PVanderHallen Permalink 6:12 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Greek settls: Lybia, Syria, Alexandria, E Sicily, S Italy. Phoenicians: N. Africa, Spain, Malta, Sardinia, Corsica, W Sicily @PVanderHallen Permalink 6:06 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The absurdity is that Hannibal, a Phoenician from the West, took refuge in Syria, which was then Greek. Permalink 6:04 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mediterranean du Jour: The Phoenicians had a tendency to build settlements West and North. The Greeks went South and East. Permalink 5:50 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@Kaushal_75 Ah the lucid prose this man @nntaleb can write and what atrocious obscure tweets!!https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.croixxv1o   Permalink 5:31 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I just published “The Syrian War Condensed: A more Rigorous Way to Look at the Conflict”https://medium.com/p/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d   Permalink 3:41 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@ibrahimshahed2 “final messages” in #Aleppo (@Mr_Alhamdo @Linashamy @BilalKareem @AlabedBana) From @IntheNow_tweet by @AnissaNow pic.twitter.com/Lc85RkdxvD Permalink 2:08 AM – 15 Dec 2016

@kyleschen a while ago i collected 44 of my favorite @nntaleb tidbits, here they are:http://thoughtcatalog.com/kyle-eschenroeder/2014/03/44-thought-provoking-aphorisms-we-should-all-live-by/   Permalink 5:05 PM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Application of the minority rule: all it takes is a ~3% minority for “Merry Christmas” to become “Happy Holidays”https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.h7vafrmnd   Permalink 3:11 PM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb For many brain tumors, there is statistical significance. But no clear result for others yet because very few trials. @saifedean @ascarbs Permalink 2:50 PM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Les journalistes francais ne savent pas faire la difference entre affaires et rentes de situation etatique. Permalink 12:02 PM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb C’est faux. Trump s’entourre de gens d’affaires, pas de bureaucrates, comme promis- ceux qui font tourner le monde.http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2016/12/14/l-equipe-trump-attachez-vos-ceintures_5048768_3232.html   Permalink 11:59 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Should I change the website for the Real World Risk Certificate? “Temporary” lasted 1y! http://www.realworldrisk.com   Permalink 11:35 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@letwit @nntaleb I linked to your Syria war table on a pro-gov & a pro-rebel reddit: got banned on both! I think it’s a good sign. Permalink 8:34 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You may not get rich by being honorable; but you will probably stay rich by being upright. Permalink 7:11 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb It was not the 2012 edition but the 2016 reprint. @guardianhttps://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/dec/14/nassim-nicholas-taleb-hits-out-at-chinese-printers-censorship-of-his-book?CMP=twt_a-world_b-gdnworld   Permalink 6:57 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The reason Islamists took over the rebels in Syria: Minority rule. Add an Islamist to a nonIslamist group and…https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.4tt8tqes1   Permalink 6:41 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb Explains Syrian Conflict In One Propaganda Free Chart http://swarajyamag.com/insta/nassim-nicholas-taleb-explains-syrian-conflict-in-one-propaganda-free-chart   via @swarajyamag Permalink 6:02 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb .@IsikOzturkeri This was corrected in V2. My spellchecker defauts to SaudiBarbaria Permalink 6:00 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb A more rigorous look at the Syrian conflict (Version 2, corrected thanks to comments) pic.twitter.com/1aPbYM4Psi Permalink 5:39 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Table is comparative: As bad as left column (Assad) can be, there’s nothing on right col (rebels) that is not worse pic.twitter.com/o4VaMwOM5I Permalink 5:23 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb RIP Tom Schelling. You were deeply right about the world. And you were a true scholar.https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/808871100335669248   Permalink 5:06 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Draft of a table to make the Syrian conflict clear & remove propaganda financed by SaudiBarbaria pic.twitter.com/Dvf7AJ59lN Permalink 4:41 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Robert Fist has the courage to debunk the MSM bullshit. Your rebels “heroes” slaughtered civilians pic.twitter.com/KnGBJAtdtU Permalink 4:28 AM – 14 Dec 2016

@illacertus If your anger decreases with time, you did injustice; if it increases, you suffered injustice. Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) Permalink 5:29 PM – 13 Dec 2016

@IntheNow_tweet Independent Canadian journo totally crushes MSM reporter on what’s actually going on in Syria pic.twitter.com/DVbd1LxEzD Permalink 11:00 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Robert Fisk has it right. There is more than one truth to tell in the terrible story of Aleppohttp://www.independent.co.uk/voices/aleppo-falls-to-syrian-regime-bashar-al-assad-rebels-uk-government-more-than-one-story-robert-fisk-a7471576.html   Permalink 9:39 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@yaneerbaryam Looking forward to the winter school, a chance to talk about important global developments with great speakers http://necsi.edu/education/school.html   Permalink 5:48 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Ancient Philology Du jour: دفتر from Greek for “second”, or “to repeat”.https://twitter.com/mMeyer62/status/808656481583333376   Permalink 4:57 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb U.S. author rejects Chinese censorship over Taiwan | Taiwan News http://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3050598   Permalink 4:36 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I added a comment to the Syria piece. Salafism is too dangerous to let my grudge rule https://medium.com/opacity/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.fc4knfg4w   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/tRXZcVLtXp”>  pic.twitter.com/tRXZcVLtXp Permalink 4:05 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Assad the father blew up our house in Amioun in 1982. Yet I will not use this to stand w/the Jihadis. @DalrympleWill Permalink 3:59 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Putting the Syrian conflict under some serious auditing / shedding Saudi PR firms https://medium.com/opacity/syria-and-the-statistics-of-war-910eb1a00bbd#.fc4knfg4w   @DalrympleWill Permalink 3:51 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Even my friend the great & insightful William Darlymple fell for alQaeda propaganda. These are Qaeda fighters. @DalrympleWill Permalink 3:40 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Most authors I was told complied. I assume hundreds kept their mouth shut. Not me. @yangfulei Permalink 2:58 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Thank you @SAlhir for exploring the concept furtherhttps://twitter.com/_Antifragility_/status/808617994276536321   Permalink 2:56 AM – 13 Dec 2016

@nntaleb A simpler solution a precision brain surgery on @LouiseMensch to improve her reasoning abilities.https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/808466941434359808   Permalink 4:50 PM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This has nothing to do with Taiwan, but with censoring a US writer in the US!https://twitter.com/lilith289/status/808454534129446912   Permalink 3:42 PM – 12 Dec 2016

@ceydak Must read.. via @EHSANI22 pic.twitter.com/wdsEiJSPj9 Permalink 12:47 PM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Lindy Effect: if you make it 1000 years you have >95% chance proba to make it 2000 @holland_tom Permalink 10:15 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The outrage is that a *US* author has his books *sold in the US* censored by the government of China because the book is printed there! Permalink 10:02 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Someone said that I am intransigent because I have F*** You money. No no no I have F*** You money because I have always been intransigent. Permalink 9:56 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@StephenFleming PSA: @nntaleb ’s superb “Antifragile” is on sale for two bucks in the Kindle store today. No excuses now.https://read.amazon.com/kp/embed?asin=B0083DJWGO&preview=newtab&linkCode=kpe&ref_=cm_sw_r_kb_dp_6aTtyb3E8A4PM&tag=techsquare-20   Permalink 8:29 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb … εἰ γὰρ αὐτῆς πειρήσαιο, οὐκ ἂν δόρασι συμβουλεύοις ἡμῖν περὶ αὐτῆς μάχεσθαι, ἀλλὰ καὶ πελέκεσι.”@jgmahoney @saifedean Permalink 6:42 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Any human who decides to voluntarily become a slave for enhanced lifestyle will *always* stay a slave, regardless of wealth. @saifedean Permalink 6:03 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Newt’s position repeatedly is that Trump should avoid hiring IYIs. @GadSaad @newtgingrich @seanhannity Permalink 5:53 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@ashokatluri @realDonaldTrump, you have company!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/808297983246823426   Permalink 5:42 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Random House was supportive and we changed printer!https://twitter.com/Newyorkez/status/808299597579816961   Permalink 5:17 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This was the printer *in China* for US edition of #AntiFragile doing censorship of works published *in the U.S.*!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/808297983246823426   Permalink 5:14 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Printer of #Antifragile in China asked me to replace “Taiwan” w/”China, Taiwan”. I (angrily) said “No censorship!” pic.twitter.com/CDqcBV4fnW Permalink 5:10 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Yes, #skininthegame, but not necessarily everywhere pic.twitter.com/nPcuCJmWda Permalink 4:24 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb There is something shabby and frankly pathological in the “left”‘s romance with Sunni Islamists.https://twitter.com/salamamoussa/status/808267859969318914   Permalink 3:34 AM – 12 Dec 2016

@nntaleb I much prefer Andy Bolton to John Bolton. Sorry, but I do.https://twitter.com/andybolton1008/status/789138860055728129   Permalink 6:11 PM – 11 Dec 2016

@thackerpd Why do you polling guys still have jobs? And if you still have jobs, why are you tweeting with such confidence?https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/807960202821648384   Permalink 12:12 PM – 11 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Evidence that @sapinker is a charlatan. He wrote this AFTER our papers Nontechnical paper: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/K6kmjqDIgx”>  pic.twitter.com/K6kmjqDIgx Permalink 8:52 AM – 11 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Reviewers/BSvendors have trouble getting real life & why I will not let them review my next book @Scaramucci pic.twitter.com/yCcv1DdB4G Permalink 7:23 AM – 11 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Fat Tony!https://twitter.com/gabrielmgst/status/807924860135632896   Permalink 5:22 AM – 11 Dec 2016

@DavidBCollum And not reading @nntaleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”…https://twitter.com/Independent/status/807927917120393216   Permalink 4:43 AM – 11 Dec 2016

@nntaleb About anyone who knows anything in finance spent time w/Wall Street firms. I worked for 5 (UBS,CSFB) yet fiercely independent @Scaramucci Permalink 1:22 PM – 10 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Respect is fragile & path dependent; regaining respect is much harder than gaining it.https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/807591808448466945   Permalink 10:58 AM – 10 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Never expected guiltless Schadenfreude: Krugman *defines* the IYI Intellectual Yet Idiot https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.u40oqpe53  https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/807591808448466945   Permalink 9:51 AM – 10 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 5 additional books I recommended pic.twitter.com/hhRW6Kabtg Permalink 4:16 AM – 10 Dec 2016

@nntaleb THE GORDIAN KNOT: Why Donaldo should never hire an academic economist except to take exams. pic.twitter.com/ucfbDqe863 Permalink 3:22 AM – 10 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This has been going on since Antiochus Epiphanes! Random harassing raids by desert fighters on Syrian border towns.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/807370864387887104   Permalink 4:07 PM – 9 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Hiring academics for economic advice is equivalent to hiring Trappist monks for special military operations.https://twitter.com/econhedge/status/807251823182704640   Permalink 2:14 PM – 9 Dec 2016

@GhassanDahhan I think the history of the Syrian uprising needs a lot of revision. Read this incredible story.http://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/article/syria-civil-war   Permalink 8:13 AM – 9 Dec 2016

@MaxAbrahms The truth is Aleppo citizens were never as anti-Assad as mainstream media tried so hard to get people to believe.https://twitter.com/maytham956/status/807178471600431104   Permalink 6:13 AM – 9 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Even the wise Simon Schama fell for Qatari financed lies by the fraudster Charles Lister.https://twitter.com/simon_schama/status/805481780216299521   Permalink 4:48 AM – 9 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You can manipulate the uncorruptible by giving him the chance to refuse a bribe. Permalink 4:02 AM – 9 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You can grease the palm of the uncorruptible by giving him the chance to refuse a bribe. Permalink 4:00 AM – 9 Dec 2016

Horace, Frauds, SaudiBarbaria, Syria, Salafi, Jihadis, Monsanto, Mr Bradford, Gulenists, Turkey, Drezner | Twitter

@nntaleb Horace translated by Fat Tony: “Those you meet on the way up, you will also meet on the way down.” @ArmandDAngour @TijlDeconynck Permalink 9:56 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb This Epistle is Gold. @ArmandDAngourpic.twitter.com/tslgg8xuWs Permalink 9:39 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Federal Reserve: Stultorum incurata pudor malus ulcera celat [Horace] The fool through excess modesty hides his wound instead of healing it. Permalink 9:15 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2/You don’t become economist by accident but genetic mutation: low curiosity/erudition, inability to be bored by boring stuff, colorlessness Permalink 8:37 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Who would you avoid in a street fight? A young economist who looks like an economist A 75 y.o. who deadlift >405 lbs Permalink 8:07 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Incorporating 3ashura in Skin in the Game: “qorban” @ban_kanj @faleflixpic.twitter.com/EGjszWuo24 Permalink 7:50 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Friends are easy I need interesting enemies. @Spfannenschmidt Permalink 5:33 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Pesticide (herbicide, insecticide,etc.) is systematically giving nature antibiotics followed by chemotherapy, & claim “no evidence” of harm. Permalink 5:30 AM – 30 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Ok, more squid ink (it’s Friday)pic.twitter.com/UPsch6QjGr Permalink 6:20 PM – 29 Jul 2016

@Trader_Moe Only Taleb can uncover the connection btwn GMO & Soviet utopianism–both the product of idiot intellectuals.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/759080918392901632   Permalink 11:50 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb One should call IYI people just what they are: Intellectuals Yet Idiots. @AdamThierer @hbkazemi33 @calestouspic.twitter.com/ciiTgLio2l Permalink 10:39 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb السرج المدهّب ما بيعمل من الحمار حصانhttps://twitter.com/dottorpax/status/759068152546390016   Permalink 10:34 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Barba no facit philosophumhttps://twitter.com/dottorpax/status/759068152546390016   Permalink 10:05 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Fat Tony on Michael Bloomberg: “The man has never been self-owned; he is one of those who get more dependent as they get richer”. Permalink 9:13 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2/ When you have skin in the game, boring things like checking the safety of the aircraft cease to be boring. @nntaleb Permalink 9:03 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Exactly the point!!!https://twitter.com/tom_nuttall/status/759046438743527426   Permalink 8:33 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Nothing can be both boring and truly important. Permalink 8:21 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Note that Islamic contract law contains terms that are > Latin than Greek; Latin was used in Beirut School of Law. @Nb1769 @ByzantJustice Permalink 7:54 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For fellow funded by Saudi$, investigate U.S.Wahabi preacher Joe Bradford. Hides under Xtian name @joebradfordnet @sylvainlp @GhassanDahhan Permalink 5:50 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Paula, check this (3eli not Eliahu) for similarities. (The sect after death of sons). Hidden religion https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eli_(biblical_figure)   @schmittpaula Permalink 5:46 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The French are starting to grow a mini-brain. But take the idea to its logical consequence: Saudi Barbaria.https://twitter.com/GhassanDahhan/status/758994334033195010   Permalink 5:21 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Low tech solutions (unlike GMOs) have no side effects! How ‘Ugly’ Fruits and Vegetables Can Help Solve World Hungerhttp://on.natgeo.com/1Wemto5   Permalink 4:20 AM – 29 Jul 2016

@nntaleb My review of Wolfram’s book https://www.amazon.com/review/R13FZJNTCNN34Q/ref=cm_cr_rdp_perm?ie=UTF8&ASIN=1579550037   Permalink 5:14 PM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Twitter friends, anyone knows of a Cat Bond ETF? Thanks. Permalink 2:48 PM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Religious Texts are never precise enough–which explains longevity. “The devil can quote the scriptures for his own case” @candela3paz Permalink 2:06 PM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The frauds I am currently exposing: +GMOs +Salafism/SaudiBarbaria +Fallacies by IYI class: Pinker, economists, etc. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 9:56 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Severe error to look at texts; observe social/political behavior. Shiites act like Westerners (Catholicism of 50s) @schmittpaula @mtpollack Permalink 7:55 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (cont) The error by West to classify Salafis as “religion”( #SaudiBarbaria propaganda); shd be criminalized as genocidal political movement. Permalink 7:49 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The regulation of the cults by the state was proposed by Plato in Laws. Nobody cared for 800 y. Salafism an old ideapic.twitter.com/RXoezTkpzS Permalink 7:31 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb More probable that the source had a genetic mutation than the proba being unconditionally low. @John1ODea Permalink 7:00 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Intellectual life is infected w/ignorant BS vendors s.a. @michaelshermer who called Pinker’s book “well documented”.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/758648675203776513   Permalink 6:21 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Armenians of Aleppo among the Christians and minorities extreminated in Syria.https://twitter.com/LinaArabii/status/724705703059972096   Permalink 6:06 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (cont): Where Pinker is “not even wrong”: HIS data do not match HIS statements. BS Vending. https://www.academia.edu/26772813/The_Decline_of_Violent_Conflicts_What_Do_The_Data_Really_Say  pic.twitter.com/63PAfnw6LC Permalink 6:01 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Collecting comments on draft paper on decline of violence (Why Pinker’s thesis is *not even wrong* to be science).https://www.academia.edu/26772813/The_Decline_of_Violent_Conflicts_What_Do_The_Data_Really_Say   Permalink 5:06 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb To perpetuate a lie, you must whisper it, not shout it. Permalink 4:35 AM – 28 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Explain your logical flaw: of course they have missiles pointed at us SINCE we are not allies. @spencer_chen Permalink 3:53 PM – 27 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Iocus Russicae: Si Donaldus ascendit, Hilaria perdiderit Permalink 10:45 AM – 27 Jul 2016

@nntaleb “My friend”: 1) politicians: anybody, 2) pple: friend 2) namedropper: a hotshot, 2) mafia: another member, 3) me: I forgot his first name. Permalink 10:04 AM – 27 Jul 2016

@TheBrowser “Always apologise, except when you have done something wrong” — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Permalink 7:17 AM – 27 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Someone explain in clear logical terms why the US has an alliance w/Saudi Barbaria, but refuses one with Russia on grounds of “democracy”. Permalink 7:04 AM – 27 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (Version 2, longer) People don’t know what they are talking about when they say “religion”.pic.twitter.com/JX4G9OWL9G Permalink 6:12 AM – 27 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Semitic Philology du Jour: Hope Sanchuniathon (in Levantine,Atallah) could exist somewhere in the Syriac stacks. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sanchuniathon   Permalink 6:40 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Was asked w/my anti-Salafi activism to worry about safety. Wahabis can’t do targeted killing. Too low IQ. Only 87 y.o.s & random children. Permalink 4:36 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@DavidBCollum And Hillary’s bribes from sovereign states are not attempts to influence the election?https://twitter.com/Slate/status/758075479458979840   Permalink 4:13 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Just like cancer stop it before the multiplicative effect. Too late otherwise.https://twitter.com/hanscees/status/758060298947424256   Permalink 3:25 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Typo: I meant “by opposition to “superstitio Permalink 2:14 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (Cont) No term for religion in Greek (just cults) & in latin it meant superstitio (fear of gods). 3rd reading!pic.twitter.com/qIUV3DaJiz Permalink 2:02 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2/ Unlike in France, there are only two types of Jihadis in Lebanon. Those who are incarcerated, & those who have been …liquidated. Permalink 12:43 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb About to spend a few days in France & Lebanon. In France my risk detector is always on alert. Never in Lebanon. Permalink 12:38 PM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb NEVER engage Salafis&Co online. Expose then block them. The Jesuits, uberrethoricians, failed to convert a single 1.https://twitter.com/LinaArabii/status/757981820898140160   Permalink 11:24 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Closer to transfats! @trishankkarthik @calestous Permalink 10:33 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Conditional on act of terrorism, what’s the probability of person being Salafi? 99.9% P[A|B] not P[B|A]. Now I can block you. @SaraAssaf Permalink 9:03 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb >99.9% of targeted Euro/US civilians in past 18y by Salafi/Wahabis yet some try equivalence w/Shiism. crypto #ISIS sympathizers @SaraAssaf Permalink 8:47 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb A 60 year program of top-down secularization in Syria& Mesopotamia & 100Y in Turkey has led to worsening. @British_Aladdin @AlMesopotamian Permalink 8:40 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Basically the minority rule doesn’t harm in mixed populations. @yaneerbaryam has shown effects of cantons. @British_Aladdin @AlMesopotamian Permalink 8:36 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Paradoxically, in places like Syria where they are native, I would give them their own municipalities, & isolate the rest. @British_Aladdin Permalink 8:31 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Problem is also “measured” & fake-scholars Qatar-Wahabi funded propagandists s.a. Shadi Hamid @shadihamid invading think tanks s.a Brookings Permalink 8:16 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (cont)Godel-Popper argument: Tolerating the intolerant leads to collapse http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/minority.pdf   To do with Salafis? Permalink 7:37 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb OK, this is the flaneurmobilepic.twitter.com/yLgh4ADsOM Permalink 7:17 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Should I show a picture of my car the flaneurmobile, Yes/No? @WriterPb Permalink 7:00 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The Monsanto Shill Juma produces a perfect illustration of a severe IYI reasoning error @Calestous @trishankkarthikpic.twitter.com/B3efJC9i07 Permalink 6:55 AM – 26 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In 2010, closed Twitter acct to focus on Antifragile. Worked! Reopened 11/2012 to punish BS reviewers For SITG shd I Permalink 1:17 PM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Excellent! Convexity effects contradict mean-field/naive evol.@yaneerbaryam @gwaconstable @Plektix @Corina_tarnitapic.twitter.com/J3jfHOuSW0 Permalink 10:58 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2/ Look at the metaproba! Same BS as Jay Ulfedler’s @dtchimp “mathematical model”. @philipbstark @johndurantpic.twitter.com/5pHyJyLLVw Permalink 10:11 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Which probabilities are decidable? Which ones are balloney? @philipbstark @PhillipsPasha @mtracey @johndurantpic.twitter.com/Gdy8L0wjL1 Permalink 9:54 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Salafism: Imagine religion having intolerant beliefs about the State; the State having intolerant beliefs about religion, together. @fpoling Permalink 9:14 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Sorry, pal, but the Sultans had Qanun laws that were of Byzantine origin & separate from Sharia. @Nb1769 Permalink 8:52 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The idea is: to be “decidable”, error on probability < error on exp. payoff @philipbstark @ReekRend @PhillipsPasha @mtracey @johndurant Permalink 8:51 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@republicofmath I like this message from @nntalebpic.twitter.com/ZzdBxxWyPv Permalink 7:44 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb “Probability” following the path of maestros Freedman and Stark @philipbstark @PhillipsPasha @mtracey @johndurantpic.twitter.com/NTTjyOGNaL Permalink 7:06 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2) so the ignorance is not just with Christianity; it is to the point that Salafizers talk about Shiite thought without the slightest grasp Permalink 6:19 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 1) My experience w/Salafi and Co: could not find one w/erudition outside Islamic studies; they get lost in “meta” discussions of religion. Permalink 6:17 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@philipbstark @PhillipsPasha @mtracey @johndurant @nntaleb Point is “chance Trump wins” meaningless. See https://www.stat.berkeley.edu/~stark/Preprints/611.pdf   re earthquake probability Permalink 1:22 AM – 25 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Meaning absurd to direct “Islamophobia” at Shiites when they act differently. Shd be Salafiphobia. Kapish? @TheBobber Permalink 11:08 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For those of you on a hot summer day want to stroll on a beach, this is the way to do it. Takes some training.https://youtu.be/eTm0X93l8vk   Permalink 10:44 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb No”discussion” w/Salafis & Co: the Jesuits tried for 400 y & Jesuits couldn’t convert *a single one* you won’t change his mind on twitter. Permalink 10:07 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Anyone has some backgrounds on Brookings boy Shadi Hamid @shadihamid? Something smells funny. Permalink 9:50 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Monotheistic (Abrahamic) religions are by definition exclusive hence intolerant; unless they recycle pagan creeds.https://twitter.com/primeargument/status/757240531462127616   Permalink 8:51 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb This is not a zen proverb but an antisemitic qoranic verse. @DPrabhata Permalink 8:13 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (cont) Islamists think their “expertise” allows debating me on religion, as if memorizing multiplication tables made one a mathematician. Permalink 6:23 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Act most probabilistitic inequalities are missing from Ineq books. Wiki has a great list to compile from. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_inequalities#Probability_theory_and_statistics   @alxpr1c3 Permalink 6:09 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Christian Aramaic (Syriac) separates church from law by using the Greek *nomos* in place of the Aramaic “Din”.pic.twitter.com/VCcdcKa6aO Permalink 5:58 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Aramaic meaning of “Din”: all of it = *law*. Remarkably Christian Aramaic uses Nomos for law:separation church/statepic.twitter.com/4uEdKvKcqA Permalink 5:52 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb (cont) Original meaning of “Religion” in Arabic “Din” = law. Hard to explain “secular but religious” to a Salafi.pic.twitter.com/hWpOu9xau5 Permalink 5:44 AM – 24 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In Malta they write a similar language to Shami in latin alphabet. It works! Permalink 5:58 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb So Mr Bradford you have been getting money from Saudi Sources. I have no more use for you. @joebradfordnet Permalink 4:00 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Mr Bradford are you financed by Saudi Arabia, yes/no @joebradfordnet Permalink 3:55 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Mr Bradford 1) Is your Salafi preaching financed in any way by Saudi Arabia? 2) Were you born or converted? @joebradfordnet Permalink 3:00 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ahman Al-Shathry you keep anwering w/incomprehensible tirades. Are you Salafi/Wahabi, Yes/No? @Abunass3r Permalink 2:11 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Is is Yes or No? Just one word in English. @Abunass3r Permalink 2:02 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ahmad Al-shathry, can you give a straight answer: Yes/No are you a Salafi/Wahabi? @Abunass3r Permalink 1:58 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Mr. AlSlathry @Abunass3r are you a Salafi/Wahabi, Yes/No?https://twitter.com/Abunass3r/status/756938621379371008   Permalink 1:50 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb No worship without Skin in the Game. The Gods don’t like Cheap Tawk.pic.twitter.com/0DUQ7EWuIJ Permalink 1:24 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Imbecile, this is meant to show random violence is only Salafis, not Shiite, Sufi or Sunni-secular. @Streitapfel Permalink 12:26 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Le me rephrase: How many Protestant, Shiites, Sufis, that is, nonSalafis have blown up random people in Europe in 2016? @bollywig @raggedtag Permalink 12:22 PM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In 2010 summarized The Black Swan in 2nd ed. as few were getting it & talked without knowing what it was about…https://twitter.com/alxpr1c3/status/756903331474309120   Permalink 11:00 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb How many Buddhists murder for ‘religion” ?@bollywig @raggedtag Permalink 10:36 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb #Turkey: the press is confused; the purge isn’t against securalists but Gulenists, another type of Islamists. Permalink 10:34 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb What is unacademic abt Leibnitz: he was incapable of working on subjects w/o big substance; even when commissioned to do historical work. Permalink 8:23 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb La7azt ma3 murasalete inno el3alam ahyanlon yista3mlo el-latini [cognitive effort] @CatnissEvercute @Priapus_D Permalink 6:02 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Ma fi sha3b bala le’3a Ma fi le’3a bala adab – Hayde ‘3altet Antun s3ade Sha3bna bye7ke sheme biyektob/biye2ra Inglisi msh 3arabe @Priapus_D Permalink 5:23 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Ma fi sha3b bala legha. Hayde ghaltet Antun S3adeh. @Priapus_D Permalink 5:15 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb You cannot talk about antifragile anecdotes without link to the necessary central link to convexity.https://www.academia.edu/26660005/_Anti_Fragility_and_Convex_Responses_in_Medicine   Permalink 5:11 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The Economist rediscovering Antifragile …and poorly.https://twitter.com/theeconomist/status/756802988648361984   Permalink 4:59 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 7ada bi3alle2 3a tarjemte?pic.twitter.com/6bVgAmRyaQ Permalink 4:43 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Bil Shami ma3 el 7arf el latinepic.twitter.com/ezHefPzTSJ Permalink 4:19 AM – 23 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Meaning 100% iatrogenics. Think of a pilot who randomly pilots a plane. 100% crash. @Blacklabellogic Permalink 4:38 PM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 100% for thhttps://twitter.com/blacklabellogic/status/756632506783375360   Permalink 4:32 PM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb An evening (pre-squid) ink with the indispensable Tom Holland @holland_tompic.twitter.com/ZhI39WPKLy Permalink 4:28 PM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb “Malta yok” Fughedaboudit in Turkish, “there is no such thing as Malta”, used in the Levant, partic. my grandparents’ generation. Permalink 3:33 PM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Mr Tashdemir,you mean they did not brutalize Antifragile? @tasdemirm Permalink 12:43 PM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb They likely brutalized the newly published Turkish version of *Antifragile*; we can test if it gets stronger.https://twitter.com/MahirZeynalov/status/756410873955090432   Permalink 12:35 PM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Trump’s nomination proves a rule: *The most flawed of risk takers is more real than the most qualified deadfish.* Find another risk taker! Permalink 11:50 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Three meanings of SHRB in Aramaic. Third is to spread. @menlebenpic.twitter.com/d8w69lmFdR Permalink 11:08 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Discovered Sharbel is not Sharb El = Story of God but Glow of God. @menlebenpic.twitter.com/pNQi1Ld7oz Permalink 11:03 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Answered my own question & derived the Mills ratio for Pearson class of distributions. [could be typos]http://math.stackexchange.com/questions/1864278/inverse-mills-ratio-for-non-normal-distributions/1867758#1867758   Permalink 10:23 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For Fat Tony f*** you money is working a job with downtime room meditation & , s a security guard & doing science on the side @alanklement Permalink 8:38 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The case for f*** you money before doing scienxe.https://twitter.com/barabasi/status/756489176007180288   Permalink 8:14 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@forsaken911 Sadly, the 9/11 victims and survivors need a PR machine. Saudi Arabia’s PR machine… http://interc.pt/29Q1uaj   by @lhfang Permalink 6:16 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Then they should learn to keep their mouth shut. Good discipline when you don’t intend to do anything. @hbkazemi33 @FedericaMog Permalink 6:43 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb No communiqué by empty suits does anything unless accompanied w/sanctions. Not threats, actions. Doesn’t have to be military. @F1Ruaraidh Permalink 6:16 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Talk talk talk. IYI bureaucrats. Better keep silent UNLESS you do something (like Puting, Erdogan). Kapish?https://twitter.com/FedericaMog/status/756174592608272384   Permalink 5:57 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Note that this scene dates 3 years *after* Fat Tony’s advice in Antifragile. Permalink 5:42 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The main advice Fat Tony will give you: from the position of f*** you money (John Goodman in The Gambler)https://youtu.be/xdfeXqHFmPI   Permalink 5:39 AM – 22 Jul 2016

@yaneerbaryam A brief note: Why Silver was tripped up on Trumppic.twitter.com/nwejso8GUG Permalink 7:04 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Note that brko/brkto is corrupted in Levantine: rikbo/rikbto. @menleben @holland_tom Permalink 7:30 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Concluding the Daniel Drezner: @dandrezner is poster boy of the IYI class:totally clueless & no accountability #SITGhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/746879505659207680   Permalink 7:27 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Note afo (face) we use “afa” back [wesh = face] @menleben Permalink 7:24 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb رجعت حليمة لعادتا القديمة! @ArmandDAngour Permalink 6:12 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@ArmandDAngour @nntaleb nice! Cf. Horace (Epist.1.X.24)’naturam expelles furca, tamen usque recurret’, expel nature with a pitchfork, it will always return Permalink 5:58 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Syriachttps://twitter.com/menleben/status/756111974811959297   Permalink 6:03 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Chassez le naturel il revient au gallop. Permalink 5:46 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Likewise when I block someone for trolling, I automatically block all his followers.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/755865542460837888   Permalink 5:05 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Turkey: Failure of secularization from the top (so for Syria and Iraq). Iran: the reverse? Permalink 4:22 AM – 21 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I never compromise, never with ethics. @zayn_300 @farnamstreet Permalink 4:42 PM – 20 Jul 2016

@lukasnaugle “When conflicted between two choices, take neither.” @nntalebpic.twitter.com/TinN9udF0u Permalink 1:17 PM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb No type 2 error: Congress of 1934,minority of 1288 delegates voted anonymously ag Staln. He killed almot all of 1288pic.twitter.com/AM6MYeJqoF Permalink 1:42 PM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb A heuristic method to price American Options, part of my deck of unpublished results @EmanuelDerman @iMetaldogpic.twitter.com/F8Epc6p5F1 Permalink 11:11 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Gave a partial answer with proof for Inverse Mills Ratio. Now need to generalize to ALL dist.http://math.stackexchange.com/q/1864278/88078?stw=2   Permalink 10:56 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 5) Ramanujan’s m.o: intuition + endless trial-and-error. Computers don’t give direct intuition, but accelerate trials, feeding intuition. Permalink 9:29 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Do you think pandits know more? #IYI (Intellectual Yet Idiots) @davidharsanyi @Trader_Moe Permalink 8:59 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 4/Mathematica is bringing back the Babylonian way of doing math. What if Ramanujan had Mathematica? @stephen_wolframpic.twitter.com/oPelrRXaNg Permalink 8:57 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb To evaluate the truthfulness of a statement requires statements of higher universality/abstraction. No “evidence” without probability theory Permalink 7:02 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Venetians were Franj but also Banadiqa (bunduqia), means also bastard or mixed parentage. Bandouq means shrewd.@FullTiltonic @holland_tom Permalink 5:57 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb In Arabic Med is Ba7r Er- Rum so: Rumi= Mediterranean Christian Franji= Northern European Sqalibi= Slav Farisi= Persian @holland_tom Permalink 5:35 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Coalition is *also* killing civilians in Syria. Why don’t we call Hollande a butcher? Because no Qatari PR firm?pic.twitter.com/EsHjLL7sCw Permalink 4:49 AM – 20 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Delenda Monsanto est.pic.twitter.com/x0lDhvBnr8 Permalink 4:14 PM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Agamemnon entering battle in state of madness. In the Iliad, both sides, Hector & Achilles are heroes.pic.twitter.com/awDPXD9Zgc Permalink 1:19 PM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb And here the wrath of Recep, not counting the death penaltyhttps://twitter.com/Conflicts/status/755416999451320320   Permalink 10:07 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb To listen to the Wrath of Achilles son of Peleus against Agammemnon son of Atrides in Attic Greekhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_F7ZBqptugI   Permalink 9:59 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Three thousand years ago, in the same location, the wrath of Achilleos … Μῆνιν ἄειδε, θεά, Πηληιάδεω Ἀχιλῆοςpic.twitter.com/weLBURfVLH Permalink 9:56 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Unsure: Some are ethnically Greek, most are mixed Phoenician-Greek-Ghassanids; same blood as Cypriots https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antiochian_Greek_Christians   @tri_moreta Permalink 8:40 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb [Silver rule/Ethics] I am a minority (Greek Orthdx) & as such I don’t support Erdogan. If I were Sunni, would I support him? I can’t answer. Permalink 7:49 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The war agnst ISIS showed that an airforce is almost only useful against enemy with an airforce. Even less for coups. #Turkey @yaneerbaryam Permalink 6:41 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb A probability question (for those into probability)http://math.stackexchange.com/q/1864278/88078?stw=2   Permalink 6:31 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb It takes a diamond to cut a diamond @EmanuelDerman @carmi797 Permalink 6:07 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Italiano du jour: “chiodo schiaccia chiodo” @EmanuelDerman Permalink 5:05 AM – 19 Jul 2016

@RachelsNews All hands on deck ! please sign and RThttps://twitter.com/vtrighttoknow/status/755145245755580416   Permalink 7:58 PM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Policy pple @dandrezner et al. don’t realize “BS” isn’t expression of disagreement, but contempt, as w/astrologists.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/755051465719283712   Permalink 3:22 PM – 18 Jul 2016

@TalebBot We tend to define “rude” less by the words used (what is said) than by the status of the recipient (to whom it is addressed). Permalink 2:33 PM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Working with the nastiest of all probability distributions: Pearson family IV. Science is never closed.pic.twitter.com/GYSN5XVOot Permalink 11:52 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb No, people are sensitive when they feel an ever so slight loss of privilege because of ethnicity, as in Leb/Syria. @LudWitt @joshua_landis Permalink 11:27 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For those interested in knowing why I am allergic to pol science BS entailing probabilitypic.twitter.com/YOOqh8ndlF Permalink 11:25 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb These are NOT generalizations. Disproportional power brings instability. Kapish? Only decentralization works. @joshua_landis @LudWitt Permalink 11:12 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Cycle: IRAQ: Sunni opprss Shias=>2004,Shias oprss Sunnis=>ISIS SYRIA: Sunni oprss Alawis=>Alws oprss Sunnis=>war.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/755091776738766851   Permalink 10:48 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Silver rule: I ask myself: if I were Sunni, what would make me a Salafi? 1) humiliation 2) intrusion 3) patronizing IYI. All these soluble. Permalink 8:42 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb That is not repentance. If Drezner were repentant, he would not be spewing geopolitical BS w/o #SITG. Kapish? @EmilArchambault @dandrezner Permalink 8:11 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb BS vendor Dan Drezner @dandrezner promoted Iraq war & still unrepentant. To protect society (#SITG) such pple shd Permalink 7:47 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The principle لك دينك و لي دينيhttps://twitter.com/HyperDupont/status/755036362198360064   Permalink 7:04 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 3) Hence proposed local autonomy for Islamists to be as Islamists as they want *in* their neighborhood, decentralization; they shd Amishify Permalink 6:19 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 2) My impression talking to Islamists is that feel misunderstood by IYI bureaucrats, want to be left autonomous. Brcrts,talk to them. #SITG Permalink 6:11 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb 1) When ISIS was still occupying parts of Tripoli, spent a day (hiding my accent) there, talking to sympathizers.pic.twitter.com/sITCpMvamY Permalink 6:09 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb One thing about Erdogan: those who like him *love* him. Like Brexiters, Islamists are those tired of the 100y patronizing secular IYI class Permalink 5:35 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The Sultan played the situation like a violin Turkey government seemed to have list of arrests prepared http://reut.rs/2a4GKwA   via @Reuters Permalink 5:27 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb When “short” treasuries, I had MY money on the line.Daniel Drezner the sickening man called Iraq war &paid no price for the dead @dandrezner Permalink 4:49 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@bee_starship You rock for RT this @rob_swire my family is Iraqi Shia and we cop so much crap. Know the difference people ️https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/753940487829086209   Permalink 3:50 AM – 18 Jul 2016

@nntaleb For the amnesiacs: in 1826 Mahmud II incited the Janissaries to revolt, to terminate them (execute & imprison them).pic.twitter.com/RSowGdkA9T Permalink 6:51 PM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Drezner boy: not possible to explain to bullshit vendors what is and what is not bullshit, what’s rigorous &what’s crap. Kapish? @dandrezner Permalink 3:06 PM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The only other explanation is that the F16 pilots were economists/social scientists, all show no go.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/754750077311352833   Permalink 12:03 PM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb This is very, very strange: 2 rebel F16s had a lock on Erdogan’s plane but didn’t fire! Yet they bombed Parliament.https://twitter.com/ziadaboujamra/status/754730470001283073   Permalink 11:50 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Which (almost) ends a month-long tweet storm for the n-summed lognormal! It works!pic.twitter.com/SkRQb94yhg Permalink 8:09 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Respect! @Pete_Spence Permalink 7:56 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb كان لازم سعيد عقل يسميا “اللغة الشامية” مش بس اللبنانية و يتعلم السريايا http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm  https://twitter.com/menleben/status/754682479051673600   Permalink 7:30 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Corrected1 Life is trial and error. @wolframpic.twitter.com/7KraMtcHPs Permalink 6:58 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Warning: there may be a problem in conversion table t2: “n” shd be inside not outside moments. @wolframpic.twitter.com/jZYlXx4ehs Permalink 6:37 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Student T is much much more civilized than the Lognormal @hbkazemi33pic.twitter.com/UetGm5tXf7 Permalink 6:32 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Paper: “preasymptotics of sums of random variables in the subexponential class”, first presented at @DrCirillo’s conference @John1ODea Permalink 6:15 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Et voila! The Lognormal is very very stubborn but the solution was simple: here it gave-in thanks to @wolframpic.twitter.com/5lv269XEB1 Permalink 6:11 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Sums of “weird” r. variables that converge slowly [LogNormal] can be ONLY be treated preasymptotically as Pearson IVpic.twitter.com/W4YpdHlAR2 Permalink 5:58 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb A remark: Jay Ulfedler’s @dtchimp “mathematical model” to predict exudes, smells, reeks, of bullshit.https://twitter.com/dtchimp/status/754621708812902400   Permalink 5:32 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Leibnitz who (co)invented calculus knew only basic math bef. age of 26. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gottfried_Wilhelm_Leibniz   @stephen_wolframpic.twitter.com/1gfKJkXqYZ Permalink 4:32 AM – 17 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The weird thing about #Turkey: pro-democracy pple worldwide against coup; all Salafis pro-Isis pro-Jihad worldwide also cheering. NonKapish! Permalink 4:06 PM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Chap 1: In a dialogue with Fat Tony, he asks me: – Why did you kill me? – Just business, your FatToniness. Only bizness, nothing personal. Permalink 1:28 PM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb They want to hide something. Or they look like they are hiding something. And insult the intelligence of the publichttps://twitter.com/NonGMOProject/status/754388911921790976   Permalink 11:58 AM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Yesterday tried to work on SkinInTheGame. But Nice in the AM 28 Pages in PM Turkey in Eve. Only wrote chapter title: “Republic of Tawk”. Permalink 10:55 AM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The great sucker problem: blame the people in Soviet Russia for not being up to par, do not blame the regime.https://twitter.com/Sanelino/status/754330440056659968   Permalink 8:08 AM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The moral: When doing a coup in 2016 anywhere on the planet, fughedaboud local TV, occupy Twitter and Facebook headquarters in San Francisco Permalink 7:47 AM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb These EU empty suits just tawk. Words words words they never had a real job & think their job is a real job.https://twitter.com/eevriviades/status/754287863680929792   Permalink 5:28 AM – 16 Jul 2016

@TalebBot Most mistakes get worse when you try to correct them. Permalink 8:33 PM – 14 Jul 2016

@TalebBot The main reason to go to school is to learn *how not* to think like a professor. Permalink 8:33 PM – 15 Jul 2016

@TalebBot It is a very powerful manipulation to let others win the small battles. Permalink 2:33 AM – 16 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Articles with words but no information have sentences s.a.”but whoever comes out on top, democracy is sure to lose”https://twitter.com/ForeignPolicy/status/754121094844612608   Permalink 6:31 PM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Spreading this warning. This is common with the Syrian war.https://twitter.com/ekrispin/status/754085153778139137   Permalink 4:23 PM – 15 Jul 2016

@karimbitar The correct Lenin quote is: “There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen”https://twitter.com/gerardaraud/status/754047290583683072   Permalink 1:45 PM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb On my list of things to crumble: + Saudi Barbaria [STARTED] + Bureaucristan/econ “elites” IYIs [STARTED] + Monsantohttps://twitter.com/LongShortTrader/status/754030858596646912   Permalink 12:23 PM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb My impression reading the #28pages is that had the info been public, we would have heard calls to invade Saudi Barbaria instead of Iraq. Permalink 11:44 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb How about those who love *either* logic or *both* mathematics *and* deadlifting?https://twitter.com/thatsoftwareguy/status/754010345551847425   Permalink 11:00 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb I deleted the tweet about Paris torture because the info was denied by the “Procureur General.”(chief prosecutor) Permalink 10:49 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb How PsychoBS Hedgehog-fox fails: @Ptetlock “Pilot of the plane is hedgehog he is too focused on preventing crash”.https://twitter.com/PTetlock/status/691647327178719233   Permalink 7:11 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb People don’t know what they are talking about when they say “religion”.pic.twitter.com/dLdL6FTYnr Permalink 6:31 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb The danger of Salafism is in its treatment of religion as LAW & political system. Violence is the result.https://twitter.com/yzilber/status/753942564428976128   Permalink 6:24 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Designation “Islam” is absurd; there are 3 religions. -Shia -Sunni secular, Ottoman, Sufi, urban… -Salafi/Wahabi (ISIS, Saudi Barbaria) Permalink 6:13 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb As predicted from minority rule: GMOs going extinct, sales contracting. Paying Farmers to Go Organic Inhttp://nyti.ms/29HXafa   Permalink 6:05 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Problem is religions are not banned. If Nazism is banned, Salafism/Wahabism must be banned. Shut down Saudi Arabia.https://twitter.com/swensn/status/753933839521558528   Permalink 5:48 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Anyone proGMOs on “scientific” grounds is 50y behind,ignorant of complexity, or just stupid https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/photos/a.10150109720973375.279515.13012333374/10153978116453375/?type=3&theater  pic.twitter.com/GFLabc93af Permalink 5:43 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@Konstant_V @nntaleb next time anyone asks why #Nice happened I will show him this:http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/07/15/saudi-funded-mosque-opened-nice-two-weeks-attack/?utm_source=facebook&utm_medium=social   Permalink 5:36 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Salafi Mosques are the root. Since 2001 the idiotic West let Saudi “allies” keep spreading Salafism. Destroy Riad.https://twitter.com/hbkazemi33/status/753920423557992448   Permalink 4:56 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Revisiting Popper’s (Goedel’s) paradox: Why Salafis should be confined just for being Salafis. Delenda Saudi Arabia.pic.twitter.com/aqCmLxet5c Permalink 4:50 AM – 15 Jul 2016

@nntaleb Salafi is Salafi is Salafi, no nuance. Salafi is inherently violent terrorism. Those who promote Salafism are guiltyhttps://twitter.com/JustinRaimondo/status/753780246055268352   Permalink 4:20 AM – 15 Jul 2016