Tag Archives: Shillary

Psycholophasters, social “science”, Tokyo, Graphical Representation, Shillary, Atheism, Flaneurmobile, Wahhabism, Mossul, Aleppo, Na zdorovie!

@RussianCarousel An economist is a mixture of 1) a businessman without common sense, 2) a physicist without brain, and 3) a speculator without balls @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/TheBehaviourGuy/status/792430653472202753   Permalink 11:26 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@TheBehaviourGuy @DanielJHannan I would forward anyone who thinks economists matter to @nntalebhttp://read.bi/2eTEXPf   Permalink 11:19 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb GMOs: Returnless Risk,case closed. Even NYT admits no ↑yield/↓pesticides. Next preys: +Saudi Barbaria +neocons +Pinkerisms (BS artists) Permalink 10:36 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Incidentally Procopius is one of the 100s of Greek Syrian authors not taught in Syria (Arabism brainwashing). @peterfrankopan @BrankoMilan Permalink 9:25 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb the 3 integrals (2 bounds) @CutTheKnotMath Errata: Sn IS the Gen Harmonic Number.pic.twitter.com/28EcPBAJIo Permalink 9:07 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Route 2: comparing to 3 integrals @CutTheKnotMath (On a long plane ride back for Tokyo, your quizzes kill time!)pic.twitter.com/iDR6lTL9MG Permalink 8:27 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Am I cheating somewhere here? @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/VgEMFQfNGj Permalink 7:39 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I’ve stopped trusting scholarship by most pple on a salary, or deriving bulk of income from it. Scholarship is for the free (“Liberal” arts) Permalink 7:00 AM – 29 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Byzantinism du jour: The Orthodox church allows divorce in order to prevent excessive cases of poisoning. (Justinian code) Permalink 9:37 PM – 28 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Psycholophasters don’t get optionality of p-value. https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.07532v3.pdf   Plus @DanTGilbert is an imbecile.https://twitter.com/BrianNosek/status/791790886841495552   Permalink 5:07 PM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Does anyone of Twitter-Byzantinist friends & proto-friends recommend Kazhdan’s book? Eucharist! https://www.amazon.com/Oxford-Dictionary-Byzantium-3-Set/dp/0195046528/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1477606098&sr=8-1&keywords=kazhdan+oxford+dictionary   @byzantinepower Permalink 3:12 PM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Revival of Greek Identity in Syria: Interview with Operation Antiochhttp://katehon.com/article/revival-greek-identity-syria-interview-operation-antioch   Permalink 2:05 PM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The more literary version of #DrainTheSwamp or F***you elections is Hercules cleaning the Augean stables. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Augeas  https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/791648893725450240   Permalink 11:59 AM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb People have trouble understanding that sample mean != true mean, as we saw with BS artist Pinker. @DrCirillo @DCosmology Permalink 7:22 AM – 27 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The reasons to shut down social “science”: 1) It is largely BS, 2) Academics firmly believe their job is to *think* for the rest of us. Permalink 7:17 AM – 27 Oct 2016

@tparsi The neocons are salivating… Clinton Adviser: Let’s Attack Iran to Aid Saudis in Yemen http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/10/clinton-adviser-lets-attack-iran-to-aid-saudis-in-yemen.html?mid=twitter-share-di   @mehdirhasan @rezaaslan Permalink 8:45 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Invitation to my #Antifragile lecture tomorrow in Tokyo. So far >3000 rgstrd. #東京国際フォーラム http://bit.ly/2dyNu8P  pic.twitter.com/3vgpUsgW37 Permalink 7:23 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I see people focusing on the task not just the fruit of the task. This is refreshing. (Tokyo) Permalink 3:49 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My brief impression of Japan: life is a sequence of elegantly executed rituals. Permalink 3:40 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Japan: life is a sequence of skillfully executed rituals. Permalink 3:36 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The New Testament was written in the capital of Syria, Antioch, in (bad) Greek. @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:24 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Beirut school of law kept Latin because Imperial law remained in Latin. @i_contemplate_ @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:13 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb People know that most influential Greek city >3rd C was Alexandria… in Egypt. They don’t extend to other cities on the Med. Permalink 2:12 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Beirut was diglossic in the sense that it was the only Eastern city was Latin was used, to the horror of Libanius. @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:06 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 2) Too OBVIOUS:It is practically impossible to physically distinguish an urban Western Syrian (Sunni or Christian) from a Greek. Impossible. Permalink 2:04 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Levant was diglossic except in coastal cities where it was all Greek. @FullTiltonic Permalink 2:00 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb We have 2 stories of Syria, Greco-Roman v/s Arab. Salibi fell for the Arab fabrication. Maps are both preIslamicpic.twitter.com/5vCH62Irv3 Permalink 1:55 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb More complete copy explaining steps in red. Full integral is just extra. @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/JKbbNkECzn Permalink 12:38 PM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Many are virtuous for lack of opportunity. [Revised] Permalink 7:53 AM – 26 Oct 2016

@nntaleb So many people think of themselves as honest simply because they can’t manage to steal. Permalink 10:50 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Problem: as a probabilist I focus on what’s missing from “evidence”. @DrCirillo & I have started foundations of statistical historiography.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/790892396892610564   Permalink 3:43 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb “If my enemies knew me better, they would hate me even more; If my friends knew me better, they would like me even more” Bed of Procrusteshttps://twitter.com/neelakandan1212/status/791032201752129536   Permalink 2:59 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Do you accept this proof? (On a 14h plane ride to Tokyo) @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/H7A1AUAd9R Permalink 1:58 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Is it me, or there is something profoundly, profoundly unphilosophical about ranking philosophers?https://twitter.com/davidpapineau/status/790989024785641472   Permalink 1:00 PM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You are welcome @Scaramuccihttps://twitter.com/scaramucci/status/790982370774118400   Permalink 11:40 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb But I got a lot of pple trying to “bully” me: GMO shills, IYIs, Saudi lobbyists, economists & only when I care I bully the sh$t out of them Permalink 9:42 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The very idea of deadlifting is that you don’t feel “bullied” except of course when done by (some) large animals. @CoachRippetoehttps://twitter.com/scottadamssays/status/790948569293336577   Permalink 9:22 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb .@Barkinka1 You need to 1) read Arabic script, 2) understand old Turkish. The intersection is very very rare. Permalink 8:38 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Turks have wonderful archives nobody can read because in Arabic script. Some in Syriac script. @trscbrs @peterfrankopan Permalink 8:22 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Bingo! Arab is called Tayyaye (Tayyoyo), apparently from Bani Tayy, or Tayyoun or Tyan or closer to Babylon: Sarqaya! @BlackWhiteKnite Permalink 8:21 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Kamal Salibi is an amateur at best, blinded by protestant-fueled Arab nationalism @GhassanDahhan @peterfrankopanpic.twitter.com/Mr39wnA6sL Permalink 8:14 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Aramaic du jour. Quiz: what is the designation for Arab (i.e. from Arab tribes) in Syriac? Permalink 8:00 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The minority rule in action. Money tawks and BS walks https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.vmhfiqpww  https://twitter.com/GMWatch/status/790922366989643777   Permalink 7:27 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Because when you put historical fabrications on social media, you are bound to account for it. @Abunass3r @GhassanDahhan @peterfrankopan Permalink 7:24 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Gaps: historians tend to mistake absence of evidence for evidence of absence. Historiographical approach in The Black Swan @peterfrankopan Permalink 5:47 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Tempted to write a Brief History of Syria using Aramaic/Greek/Armenian/Persian/Turkic sources instead of Arab propaganda. @peterfrankopan Permalink 5:26 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Fat Tonys do not debate Dr Johns. When they do, they do it for entertainment, not to win. They prefer the moneyhttps://twitter.com/marcushewitson/status/790876747608707072   Permalink 4:28 AM – 25 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The @EmanuelDerman approach visualized. The combination lies inside the sphere @financequant @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/aURW4SKFaB Permalink 12:10 PM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb While US & Russia bicker over bones, China is slowly swallowing the Pacific. Just as in 1208->1230s before Ghengis.https://twitter.com/GennadySimanovs/status/790625087359778818   Permalink 11:50 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb .@financequant @EmanuelDerman @CutTheKnotMath 4) What makes math unique & diverse is that approaches are *duals* to one another. Permalink 11:40 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb With some geometry @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/VC12s2bpnz Permalink 10:10 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Real World Risk Certificate, 4th class, Feb 6-10 2017 RWRI-4 http://www.realworldrisk.com   Permalink 9:11 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Resting is valuable only if you are resting *from* something. Permalink 7:49 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Finally, as we converge to equality from below @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/Fg3m8uOiui Permalink 7:02 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Graphical representation: ridge a=b for different values of c. Can’t get a clean RegionPlot3D. @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/Vo5RYHRPvS Permalink 6:53 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My kind of response (except more polite). Journalism is the last refuge of the rejects of the information age.https://twitter.com/MilenaRodban/status/790538546184544256   Permalink 6:06 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 3) So all you got is failed scholars with Ivy League degrees living hand to mouth. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink 5:08 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 2) I never ran into a smart person whose ambition was to become a propagandist. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink 5:03 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 1) At the risk of being offensive, Mr Itani, pbm w/shills is lack of intelligence. @faysalitani @MiddleEastInst @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister Permalink 5:02 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Mr Itani, you think we do not know about the EXACT sources of funds of @MiddleEastInst ? @faysalitani @nabihbulos @Charles_Lister @EHSANI22 Permalink 4:56 AM – 24 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Something strange with correlation distributions under fat tails; althought they don’t technically “exist”:pic.twitter.com/MTBZssPo9H Permalink 4:01 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb No leftist should EVER consider Shillary, warmonger, cronyist, corrupt, shill. Pick any other candidate, to taste.https://twitter.com/maxbsawicky/status/790293484204920832   Permalink 1:50 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Force @TheEconomist to live in Syria under an ISIS regime. Add to that the pseudoleftists who support Shillary.https://twitter.com/OnatMansur/status/790280073148522497   Permalink 1:38 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Foretaste: thanks to pseudoleftist IYIs, neighborhoods in Paris, Brussels & London will be modelled after E Aleppo.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/790239391276994560   Permalink 12:36 PM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Nobel itself is impolite, arrogant, arbitrary, hierarchical… It is not arrogant to ignore unsollicited calls.http://www.telegraph.co.uk/music/news/nobel-academy-member-calls–bob-dylan-impolite-and-arrogant/   Permalink 5:58 AM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb This BS picture was retweeted >11k. Yet the picture was made in 2013 in Dubai.https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/789852854227984384   Permalink 4:16 AM – 23 Oct 2016

@nntaleb It is neither cheap nor easy. It is called conflict of interest & @Charles_Lister is a prostitute. @faysalitani @EHSANI22 @MiddleEastInst Permalink 1:00 PM – 22 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Fooled by Correlations, a MiniMooc tutorial.https://youtu.be/yUooqL47akM   Permalink 6:50 AM – 22 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Atheism is not part of Paganism. Atheism is an extreme version of Protestantism.https://twitter.com/ektrit/status/789774672091029504   Permalink 4:38 AM – 22 Oct 2016

@GhassanDahhan Compare the coverage of Mosul and East Aleppo and it tells you a lot about the propaganda we consumehttp://www.independent.co.uk/voices/iraq-syria-aleppo-mosul-patrick-cockburn-propaganda-we-consume-a7373951.html   Permalink 2:19 AM – 22 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Truth is in the extremes. There is no noise in the far tails. Permalink 5:12 PM – 21 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In flaneurmobile with coach Rippetoe; he promised a one rep max of 500 lbs within 1-2 years.pic.twitter.com/LXHQezPN1q Permalink 5:45 AM – 21 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I do presses. No bench. @debabyatskiy @chaslutz @CoachRippetoe Permalink 12:18 PM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Squid Ink … Got @CoachRippetoe addicted!pic.twitter.com/LeGwlOq0U7 Permalink 12:17 PM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb With @CoachRippetoe in New York heating to the squid ink place.pic.twitter.com/kM9BCvBeI0 Permalink 9:51 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb in·tel·lec·tu·alˌ in(t)əˈlek(t)SH(əw)əl/ noun: intellectual 1.an idiot deprived of clarity of mind trying to hide it under complication. Permalink 6:30 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb For the list of typical IYI you,@dandrezner, weren’t suggested. Is it because you carry no influence? [Watch Drezner’s frenetic responses] Permalink 5:24 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You can expect in return to see Germany supporting the Syrian “rebels”.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/789075781762834432   Permalink 5:15 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb If math-economics has failed, it isn’tn because math failed; since Samuelson social science has been bullshitting us with the WRONG math. Permalink 5:02 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb …another example of complication without rigor busted with higher math. Economists’ GMM is dressed up BS. @NessimAitKacimi Permalink 4:58 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I agree with results but this is TOTAL statistical BS: method of moments fails under fat tails. @NessimAitKacimipic.twitter.com/oUNtqcsG3S Permalink 4:50 AM – 20 Oct 2016

@nntaleb We cherish bards like Bob Dylan for the combination of depth and simplicity in comparison to intellectuals both shallow and complicated. Permalink 5:26 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Sounds familiar! @nichnachnoch @peterfrankopanpic.twitter.com/VBTknzCKCN Permalink 3:52 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Put these investors through psychiatric evaluation. Except that they are not investing their OWN money. SITG.https://twitter.com/mhmalek/status/788868445349838848   Permalink 3:31 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The US supported “rebels” are not allowing civilians to exit E #Aleppo. We get different stories talking to locals!https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/788789130109001728   Permalink 3:07 PM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Total BS. Who are they fooling? Blame Wahhabism for terrorism.https://twitter.com/Confusezeus/status/788779801838514176   Permalink 9:40 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb For happiness, avoid social life w/ those who place others in a hierarchy, across activities: “best writer”, “best plumber”, “richest”, etc. Permalink 5:16 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Voila! Young Bob Dylan calling out a journo for his BS profession. Bob Dylan Interview with Time Magazinehttps://youtu.be/mnl5X5MQKTg   Permalink 4:13 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The allies did break up Germany into small statelings. It worked. https://twitter.com/otootsmcgroots/status/788685646470733824   Permalink 3:36 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Federations like pre-WWII US don’t like wars. @hrishio @dav33241 Permalink 3:29 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Italy, in 500 years of city states had many many tiny wars and tiny casualties. Post unification, WW1: 680,000 killed. @dav33241 Permalink 3:22 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Next week in Tokyo, invitaion to my lecture http://hsiftokyo.hitachi/invitation/hsif2016_invitation_en_001.pdf   Permalink 3:20 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Centralized systems make wars inevitable.https://twitter.com/spectator/status/788665513266257920   Permalink 3:15 AM – 19 Oct 2016

@nntaleb This adds to @yaneerbaryam ‘s argument.https://twitter.com/plektix/status/788470570669207552   Permalink 2:23 PM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Did Trump read the MS Skin-in-the-game? Trump to propose 5y lobbying ban on executive branch officials http://reut.rs/2ep5MIl   via @Reuters Permalink 1:27 PM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb So finance people are free to follow, but they should stay quiet. @LadyFOHF Permalink 7:03 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I block financiaphasters who put my handle, such as @LadyFOHF & friends just to escape the vulgarity of financiaphasters. Permalink 7:01 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The extended version #Nobel and the sanctified aspect of literature.pic.twitter.com/FkSAqyG9Mz Permalink 6:52 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Don’t look for pleasure in convents, love in bordellos,intellect on campuses, wisdom in senates,nobility in law firms, & literature in Vegas Permalink 6:14 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I never ax Fat Tony for aesthetic advice @d_ramsden Permalink 6:07 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Finito: Fooled by the Randomness of Correlation! https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/CorrelationDistribution.nb.pdf  pic.twitter.com/vpg0flgywE Permalink 4:22 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 5/What is bothering me isn’t Dylan, but exalting as “Literature” somthng highly commercial performed in Vegas! As if books with ads in them! Permalink 3:26 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@DrCirillo How can we characterize tail risk in loss distributions? Can inequality measures help? Comments are very welcome. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2850949   Permalink 2:44 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 2- So they were nonSemitic tribes from North who took the Accadian language. Look at Assyrians, Ezidis, Kurds: similarities. Permalink 2:24 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 1-Specultn du Jour: Mossul (Nineveh)≉pop frm Babylon wch they conquered,Assyrians more (to this day) Euro/Mediterranean looking than Iraqis. Permalink 2:23 AM – 18 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Jihadi rebels (Saudi financed) are ALSO bombing Aleppo. Why is it that the media in 2016 is worse than 1516?https://twitter.com/nfergus/status/788106138797694976   Permalink 4:59 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Thank you twitter. Other than a few personal friends/acquaintances, I am followed by NO journalist, NO economist, & no psycholophaster. Permalink 2:30 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Skin in the game.https://twitter.com/a_lesniewski/status/788125778076692480   Permalink 2:23 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My enemies are vastly more predictable than my friends. Permalink 1:50 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb My respect goes to Bob Dylan.https://www.theguardian.com/music/2016/oct/17/nobel-prize-bob-dylan-unable-to-reach?CMP=share_btn_tw   Permalink 12:18 PM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I cannot believe that the US is siding with AlQaeda in Syria just to spite Russia. I just cannot.https://twitter.com/RonPaulInstitut/status/788083699485204480   Permalink 11:34 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb There is a neuroscience of why people believe bullshit like this as science when it has “neuro” in it. Really.https://twitter.com/thescienceofus/status/788059882691895296   Permalink 10:06 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 5) Worse than p-values. Academics tend to severely misunderstand correlation. The most used statistical metric!pic.twitter.com/t8xCHUrNo1 Permalink 9:09 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 1) Define castrati. 2) How do they overlap with IYI? @GadSaadhttps://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.dl2xbnojw   Permalink 8:03 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb And flow of funds ro lobbyists in DChttps://twitter.com/newsweekme/status/787979470124773376   Permalink 6:46 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@Shaunaob Looking forward to #kilkenomics More events added @kilkenomics @davidmcw @nntaleb @stephenkinsella @GuerillaEcon #kilkenny @LiamHalliganpic.twitter.com/8h2z5Iesch Permalink 5:31 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Randomness in correlation: Extracting the exact bias from “data hacking” for d variables with n points per variable.pic.twitter.com/LgewzHuN5u Permalink 5:00 AM – 17 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Emanuel, the Podesta fraud has been caught/humiliated so he is trying to win argument with “best revenge is to live well”.@EmanuelDerman Permalink 3:08 PM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb An excellent book!https://twitter.com/drjasonfung/status/787723289183608832   Permalink 11:49 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower Always the Lebanese isn’t it? Dismantling our finest propaganda…https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/787716493110808576   Permalink 11:35 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Randomness in correlations. An exact derivation for n small. Started in a Moscow café and completed on plane back.pic.twitter.com/cQdWUHrkxB Permalink 10:59 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Mr @johnpodesta, honorable pple would rather starve than eat lobster risotto paid w/ shilling/lobbying immoral fundshttps://twitter.com/johnpodesta/status/786988264985100288   Permalink 9:34 AM – 16 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Some realizations are delayed, particularly when they entail denial. They don’t go away. #SaudiBarbaria et al.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/787355884880007169   Permalink 11:47 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Russia is a place where doing mathematics in a café in a central district is very, very normal.pic.twitter.com/JYVzgl1vTz Permalink 1:47 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Some Russian historians are revising some accounts of his temperamental reactions… shaky sources. @ramsay_randall Permalink 1:13 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Boyars write history. Common folks plow the fields. @Bernd__Neuner Permalink 1:10 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I wonder if Shillary Clinton/MSM/SaudiLobbyists did not do a smear campaign against Ivan the Terrible. “Terrible?” https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivan_the_Terrible_in_Russian_folklore   Permalink 1:04 PM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Heuristic: never trust someone’s historical analogies if (as is common with policymakers) his historical knowledge starts in 1934. Permalink 7:48 AM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb School destroys the aura and appeal of real literature.https://twitter.com/stan_yurin/status/786834419097210880   Permalink 1:11 AM – 15 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Na zdorovie!pic.twitter.com/EF2Ra87prX Permalink 12:41 PM – 14 Oct 2016

@LegInsurrection .@washingtonpost WH bureau chief @eilperin tips off Podesta abt upcoming story — this is y ppl don’t trust media https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/9149  pic.twitter.com/a1jColKu5e Permalink 7:55 AM – 14 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In Moscow nobody (in lit circles) knows Dostoyeski’s Crocodile in which he shows the absurdity of ppls of economics!pic.twitter.com/6jHFN5CirV Permalink 4:09 PM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb 4/ Literature, so far, is the only intellectual discipline that escaped academia. Don’t let the pol-correct profs debase it! #NobelDylan Permalink 12:09 PM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Why on earth should you pay attention to a prize that was never granted to JL Borges, but given to Bob Dylan? Permalink 7:25 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb That you like Bob Dylan’s songs &listen to them while driving to work doesn’t make them literature. Literature is something deeper. Kapish? Permalink 7:21 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Would you be surprised if Kim Kardashian won a Nobel Prize “for bringing mundane concepts into public discussions?” Permalink 7:13 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb As expected idiotic lobbyists managed to butcher the Black Swan idea. @zerohedgepic.twitter.com/fLul5rB5dR Permalink 6:59 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Prizes are so absurd they end up debasing themselves, like currencies. -Bob Dylan -Barak Obama -Economistshttps://twitter.com/NobelPrize/status/786522083111030784   Permalink 6:13 AM – 13 Oct 2016

@SenWarren A bank CEO should not be able to oversee a massive fraud & simply walk away to enjoy his millions in retirement. Permalink 4:13 PM – 12 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Skin in the game!https://twitter.com/TheNostromoDos/status/786295846400733184   Permalink 4:14 PM – 12 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In his response,@FiveThirtyEight, proved he really did not understand 1)probability, 2)time series,3)how to respond.https://twitter.com/jasonawe83/status/785857965345701888   Permalink 8:34 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Best tasting sandwiches, with Ukrainian tomatoes & bread, before I devoured the whole plate. @cdipaola62pic.twitter.com/sOjzR3nYEA Permalink 5:03 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Voila. Saudi Barbaria’s cover aid to Jihadis.https://twitter.com/ghassandahhan/status/785786864628211712   Permalink 5:00 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb On my way to Moscow (for, among other things, drinking) via Minsk as one can’t fly to Russia from The Ukraine. Permalink 1:53 AM – 11 Oct 2016

@nntaleb What @peterfrankopan reveals is something few realized before owing to overestimation of Mongolian wars: was followed by a Pax Mongoliana! Permalink 7:16 AM – 10 Oct 2016

@nntaleb All day seminar lekchur in Kyiv.pic.twitter.com/ZjSqnG4GKY Permalink 3:01 AM – 10 Oct 2016

Nice/Nasty, Inequality, SITG, P-Hacking, Easter, Syria, Palmyra, Shillary, Trump, Saunders | Twitter

@nntaleb My rule: when people are nice, I am twice as nice to them. When nasty, a thousand times nastier. @lakens @sothisispietro Permalink 11:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Friends, need to find errors in this paper before posting on ArXiv. Busts current measurement of inequality https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/GINI-1.pdf   Permalink 7:49 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb DC pundits stick to minor variations around a (false) narrative, owing to lack of 1)courage,2) #skininthegame, 3) IQ https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/714422281372639232   Permalink 5:10 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb You start by gratuitously trolling me saying you taught undergrads my meta-dist (you didn’t) & now you think you could be “helpful”? @lakens Permalink 4:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Donaldo, minor detail: this is not quite ISIS; nevertheless you will do better than Shillary. https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/714264864575922177   Permalink 6:49 PM – 27 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Pulled out the explicit “p-hacking” formula. New version of paper. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/pvalues.pdf   pic.twitter.com/0gRwP7jhQw Permalink 4:12 PM – 27 Mar 2016

@adolfont The wise approach to markets is to consider them smarter than governments yet profoundly stupid… @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/IUBOFaN0dO Permalink 12:26 PM – 27 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms .@octavianasr The media did even worse job covering Syria conflict than the decision to remove Saddam; on Syria, it had access to more info. Permalink 7:53 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Happy Easter for those who celebrate now. The Orthodox Church will celebrate in 5 weeks. pic.twitter.com/x2VQl1layy Permalink 7:35 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms It’s been so lonely over Twitter the past few years getting accused of being a troll for stating the basic facts on Syria. Thanks #Palmyra. Permalink 6:20 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms Which pundits get the most (dis)credit for convincing Western media the Syrian & Russian militaries are in cahoots with IS & don’t fight IS? Permalink 5:53 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@PieterDuboisFI @nntaleb-isation of software development https://twitter.com/BetaList/status/714047126892843009   Permalink 5:15 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@aarondwarwick @nntaleb thanks for pointing us to @MaxAbrahms a couple months ago. Top notch! Permalink 4:55 PM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Nobody is talking about the exciting news of ISIS thrown out of Palmyra. Why? Alas easy to figure out. Permalink 4:53 PM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb ”Sometimes your best investments are the ones you don’t make.” Donald Trump, The Art of the Deal Permalink 3:15 PM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb And instead of playing smart ass as a scientist you could have answer led my quest for the search of antecedents @lakens Permalink 9:46 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Where is the probability distribution? An equation is usually an equation with derivations. @lakens Permalink 9:33 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb And I am taking about rigorous probability theory not handwaving looping psychological discourse. @lakens Permalink 9:24 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Mr lakens i am talking about exact metadistibution of p-val. @lakens This is clear and precise. Show me. Permalink 9:22 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb You still need to back up your accusation of claiming to “reinvent” pval dist before asking more questions.@lakens https://twitter.com/lakens/status/713758346973679616   Permalink 9:15 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb The US president cannot change much except foreign interventionism. Incl taxes. Kapish? @sleuthstock @BernieSanders Permalink 8:14 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb This said I far prefer @BernieSanders to Trump but absolutely no Hillary. No Hillary, no SHillary. Permalink 7:44 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Reading Trump all I see is protect your downside (unknown) risks. What’s behind the bluster is Fat Tony compatible. pic.twitter.com/6OyroXQ8qc Permalink 7:35 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms Loving the spin to minimize Syrian/Russian military achievements against ISIS: https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/713709476830797825  . Permalink 7:13 AM – 26 Mar 2016