Tag Archives: Easter

CNN, Fatty Lamb, Easter, Minsk, UAL, Palm Sunday, Donaldo, Facta Non Verba, Peter Hitchens | Twitter

@nntaleb I speculate that no gym machine can raise one’s BPM (beats per minute) more than sprinting outside, particularly uphill. True? Permalink 6:31 AM – 18 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb My humble attempt of conveying the concepts “iatrogenics” and “negative convexity effect” from #Antifragile in one strip. pic.twitter.com/hBXeESTlvI Permalink 10:40 AM – 17 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Today, The Black Swan turns 10 years old. (Fooled by Randomness is ~16 y.o., Procrustes ~7, and Antifragile ~5) Permalink 9:11 AM – 17 Apr 2017

@MaxAbrahms Trump only cares about Sunni, not Shiite children (I’d expand that claim beyond Trump to most media & think tanks).http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syria-suicide-attack-refugee-buses-trump-only-cares-sunni-children-a7687066.html   Permalink 5:44 AM – 17 Apr 2017

@nntaleb We need to help CNN go out of business. I involuntarily get their propaganda in lounges as they blast the #fakenewshttps://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 5:36 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Was this week in 4 airline lounges” Warsaw, Vienna, Minsk, NY. ALL were blasting CNN How do we get airport lounges to stop having #fakenews?https://twitter.com/dancohen3000/status/853352680336523265   Permalink 5:27 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Rule I’ve learned today. After 47 vegan days (with v. few exceptions), do not overeat fatty lamb. Permalink 5:15 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@JulianAssange After the massacre of shiite refugee families in Syria yesterday let’s recall the Western media’s original CIA backed “moderate rebel” pic.twitter.com/K8ZiF1Fjmn Permalink 3:53 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Lamb after 47 days pic.twitter.com/JW7FzETLqA Permalink 12:14 PM – 16 Apr 2017

@nntaleb #LindyEffecthttps://twitter.com/litteracarolina/status/852950922196131841   Permalink 8:28 AM – 16 Apr 2017

@MaxAbrahms Do a thought experiment: Imagine how much more & intense media coverage would be if Assad had massacred all those civilians yesterday. Permalink 6:13 AM – 16 Apr 2017

@MaxAbrahms That’s totally nuts if you’ve at all been following the media coverage disparity. Shia lives simply don’t matter.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/853450526834511872   Permalink 8:33 PM – 15 Apr 2017

@since33 Christ is Risen! Khristós Anésti! Hristos voskrese! لمسيح قام! حقا قام! ܫܪܝܪܐܝܬ ܩܡ! Photo: Holy Sepulchre #Easter pic.twitter.com/AbZ8NaYXM7 Permalink 12:12 PM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Intellectual elite”= people selected ability to get: 1 statics, not dynamics 2 actions, not interactions 3 low, not high dimensionality. Permalink 11:34 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The main result of “improvement” by US regime changists (Obama/Hillary) & backing rebels is depletion of original Christians in Syria.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/853285539981787137   Permalink 10:31 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb IYIs are good at “removing” w/o grasping 2nd step/complex systems Removing “dictators” & replacing w… Removing “religion” & replacing w…https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/853292130252582912   Permalink 10:29 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@BrankoMilan This is a good news!https://twitter.com/DeanBaker13/status/853295617787006976   Permalink 10:20 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@thogge Very good. as you elude to, nothing angered Jesus more than virtue-signaling empty-sepulcher Pharisees. saved his toughest rebukes for them Permalink 8:58 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb You cannot truly celebrate Easter if you didn’t pay a price for it: lent & fasting.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/no-worship-without-skin-in-the-game-70b4aa341092   Permalink 5:02 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Borin Johnson has all the shortcomings attributed to Trump by his detractors & none of the qualities assumed by his followers. Permalink 3:59 AM – 15 Apr 2017

@sahouraxo Hundreds of Syrian Christians attended their very first #GoodFriday mass in #Aleppo’s St. Elijah Cathedral in nearly five years. #Syria pic.twitter.com/wVkYT1WysE Permalink 5:18 PM – 14 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb #Antifragile’s chapter 21 provides the framework for today’s @Offshorecomic (books V & VI are just marvelous) #IYI #Academics pic.twitter.com/hyqN5QYla8 Permalink 10:30 AM – 14 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Donald coverging on Isocrates Golden Rule for Foreign Affairs: Treat other nations the way you want yours to be treated #SkinIntheGamehttps://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/852510810287075329   Permalink 6:57 AM – 14 Apr 2017

@KenMcCarthy The idiot news media is STILL confusing denying boarding w VIOLENTLY removing a BOARDED passenger. The latter is literally a criminal act Permalink 6:51 AM – 14 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Question: one has two thin green horizontal stripes, the other a thick longitudinal smear. Permalink 2:19 PM – 13 Apr 2017

@Alexa__Bella The lack of journalistic integrity here is astounding @EliLake~2nd story in 2wks you’ve stolen frm @Cernovich & claimed it as your own~C’mon Permalink 2:07 PM – 13 Apr 2017

@schmittpaula “Washington Post Doesn’t Disclose Writer Supporting Syria Strike Is a Lobbyist for Tomahawk Missile Manufacturer”http://www.alternet.org/grayzone-project/wash-post-writer-supporting-syria-strike-lobbyist#.WO69XR4sew8.twitter   Permalink 8:55 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Minsk pic.twitter.com/fPKrpowi97 Permalink 5:50 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Max has a thread on how “Aleppo” side casualties were much less than Mosul; Salafi PR/think tanks promoted “butcher of Aleppo”.https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/852469578080956416   Permalink 4:24 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@nntaleb If someone pays you for anything other than a specific transaction, you are a slave.https://medium.com/incerto/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6   Permalink 3:54 AM – 13 Apr 2017

@wikileaks “[al-Quada] is on our side in Syria”–email from policy advisor to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (Feb 2012) https://wikileaks.org/clinton-emails/emailid/23225#efmAGIAHu   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/k6hIk68nvC”>  pic.twitter.com/k6hIk68nvC Permalink 2:04 PM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Paula have you seen many children without… mothers? And that was Nusra. Permalink 11:49 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb She is good. Very good. That’s how statisticians and detectives think.https://twitter.com/partisangirl/status/852219568818802688   Permalink 11:26 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The world is a better place today than it was over the weekend. Now I can go back to working on my Fat Tails papers.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/852183092420857856   Permalink 8:39 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@EHSANI22 Leading CW expert Theodor Postol of MIT just published a 14-page document questioning WH claims that Sarin was dropped from #Syrian AF plane pic.twitter.com/kMJgxwsN8Z Permalink 8:36 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@0ma6e lots of charlatans revealing themselves with this spicer story @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/UTuKZGujX3 Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@13125x lots of charlatans revealing themselves with this spicer story @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/UTuKZGujX3 Permalink 7:10 AM – 12 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The NYT is for and by IYIs like Haberman, insecure philistines & fake intellectuals. The Post is to the point & vastly less pretentious.https://twitter.com/maggienyt/status/852028786358984705   Permalink 10:38 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Great news; looks like we have the answerhttp://nypost.com/2017/04/11/trump-were-not-going-into-syria/   Permalink 9:58 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The worst part of the story is the ongoing smear campaign against the UAL victim, to attenuate their mistreatment. Permalink 8:30 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Think tankers & journos are usually low IQ, intell. insecure & living in financial insecurity. They only attack those who cannot harm them. Permalink 6:08 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My idea of writing essays is to make sure the reader has ABSOLUTELY no idea what will be discussed on the next page. Otherwise textbookish.https://twitter.com/Maximilian_H1/status/851806211179675648   Permalink 5:28 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb To those who aren’t traders YET discuss UAL’s “billions in losses” in valuation. The market move today is TOTALLY within noise. pic.twitter.com/LUZXX7KnQ9 Permalink 2:49 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb God bless you if true, @Cernovichhttps://twitter.com/cernovich/status/851897652711104512   Permalink 1:52 PM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb So this fellow speaks for a group claiming an evidence-based study of the Syrian problem?https://twitter.com/BraddJaffy/status/851861056385417219   Permalink 11:32 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) To those IYI idiots w/cost-free virtue signaling, I have 6 Syrian refugees on my property in Lebanon. Without #Skininthegame, shut up. Permalink 9:23 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Assad family blew up my house. But I forcefully OPPOSE his removal. Better have a Franco than Gadhafi transitionhttps://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d   Permalink 8:52 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@EHSANI22 This type of media-induced policy shift — once called the CNN effect — is not newhttps://www.google.ca/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/04/10/did-media-images-just-change-u-s-policy-in-syria-three-lessons-from-kosovo/   Permalink 7:21 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@DanielLMcAdams With no shame…https://twitter.com/JustinRaimondo/status/851801487285952512   Permalink 7:20 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb At a Seder last night was asked to read a fragment in Aramaic in the original accent.Unprepared for the diacriticals https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/Seder.m4a   Permalink 6:57 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Did @realDonaldTrump betray his constituency by taking a neocon fragilista interventionist approach to regime change, or is it just noise? Permalink 5:44 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Real Life is Risk Taking”https://medium.com/p/real-life-is-risk-taking-ac424efd5fcc   Permalink 4:58 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Without #skininthegame people keep repeating the same mistakes.https://twitter.com/adamjohnsonNYC/status/851217595957211137   Permalink 4:32 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Sawiris (a Copt, Severus) is saying that states are attacking terrorists, but ignoring the Sheikhs preaching terror, real source.https://twitter.com/NaguibSawiris/status/851005866165895168   Permalink 4:10 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Instead of increasing the $$, United opted to forcibly remove a passenger. They fughotaboud markets. Do they deserve punishment by markets? Permalink 3:56 AM – 11 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My best profile except that, to retaliate [see story], the angry photographer whom I insulted made my face swell.https://twitter.com/lucknow_leopard/status/851449213028364288   Permalink 8:32 AM – 10 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Conspiracy theorists in the opposite direction: I will transit in Warsaw instead. Note: you need a Russian visa to transit in Moscow-> Minskhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/850389220241924099   Permalink 7:11 AM – 10 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Scott Ritter’s account is very rational. Something in this CW story seems strange: forensic evidence coming from …AlQaeda.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/851190584752656386   Permalink 2:55 PM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I was actually stuck in ATL for 7 hours. Benefit: Started model of tail risk from flights scheduled too close to one another.https://twitter.com/mikephillips1/status/850842831774154753   Permalink 12:21 PM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Unlike Copts: Shiites, Leb Christians, Alawites & Druze are armed to the teeth They know NO Sunni gov can really protect them #SkinintheGame Permalink 8:53 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@dkbissinger @nntaleb how reading news reduces one’s knowledgehttps://twitter.com/rypauley/status/851034975717687296   Permalink 7:48 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Adding a section to The Intellectual Yet Idiot https://medium.com/incerto/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/cLdJyKhakf”>  pic.twitter.com/cLdJyKhakf Permalink 7:23 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@GennadySimanovs since now every economist tried to convince me that opposite is true and 1% of Top doesw not pay taxes at all cc @stevesi @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/5MsFhMdVD0 Permalink 7:21 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Happy Palm Sunday to all. Permalink 6:06 AM – 9 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Now, a strike against the originating Saudi Arabian airfield is needed for consistency. I am certain that pics of children are on the way.https://twitter.com/YemenPostNews/status/850700849424855041   Permalink 2:23 PM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb From reactions of “libertarians” to Syrian strikes: they view + The state as the main agent of war + War as main pretense for state powers. Permalink 1:02 PM – 8 Apr 2017

@Cernovich Entire air strike may be been kayfabe, which was predicted by @ScottAdamsSays, deemed likely by @nntaleb.http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4390942/Syria-claims-KNEW-launch-airstrikes.html   Permalink 9:51 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb So I too fell for the Tophet baby-killermsmear campaign ag Phoenicians! Children cemeteries were because of … simple children mortality pic.twitter.com/jRzSC1RxfR Permalink 8:35 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The most ancient smear campaign is the “baby killer”, used against Punic & Canaanites (only partly justifiable w/the tophet). #LindyEffect Permalink 8:07 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The most ancient smear campaign is the “baby killer”, used against Punic & Canaanites (only partly justifiable w/the tophet). #LindyEffect Permalink 8:07 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@catoletters Nikki Haley begins each UN speech with the Used Car Salesman pitch “Let tell you the truth”, “Let me be honest with you” Permalink 7:17 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) Note: Social media: a) distributes images of children b) unlike MSM doesn’t filter WHICH children to show. This may help peace. Maybe. Permalink 7:16 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2nd order effects: Once you make policy based on PICTURES of children victims, ALL parties will now produce pictures of children. Kapish? Permalink 6:40 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@CamilleOtrakji When the US+UK were working on toppling Iran’s popular prime minister in 1953, the lovely BBC was part of regime change, just like today pic.twitter.com/OMqlfBOQKl Permalink 4:34 AM – 8 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Convexity effect # Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/fermatslibrary/status/850448409777520640   Permalink 7:00 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Not so fast… Something to consider. Egyptians are saying 4 children,5 adults died. Retaliate for death of children by…killing children? pic.twitter.com/dVBLqhpqZ7 Permalink 6:38 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Apparently they spared the runway (2 fighter jets took off today). “Drole de guerre” (phony war). Donaldo playing MSM & libs like a violin. pic.twitter.com/SfvD819J6p Permalink 6:06 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@tlhote A french teacher at the officer academy of St Cyr is explaining in more details in your direction.http://conscientia.fr/2017/04/07/frappe-us-en-syrie-la-nuit-des-dupes-masquait-un-joli-de-coup-de-billard/#more-838   Permalink 2:28 PM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink in a diluted sauce w/ tomato pic.twitter.com/HrFotSMdGd Permalink 9:47 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Conspiracy theorists: For the record, I will transit in Moscow airport new week on way to a conference in a neighboring country. Permalink 9:46 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@gt_carter Hey @nntaleb how does it feel to always be right? ;-) Permalink 7:30 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The strike has ~0 military impact. Russians were informed & Syrians could clear area. All it says: no Chem Weapons even if it wasn’t you. Permalink 6:42 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Did Prez Trump do a “Facta Non Verba” on Assad? So he could control him? Yes, he did on Assad, N Korea, China…https://medium.com/incerto/facta-non-verba-how-to-own-your-enemies-ea79a34c9c49   Permalink 5:39 AM – 7 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Media pple of 2017 In Hammurabi’s code, ~3750 y. ago, a false accusation was punished as if the accuser committed the crime. Be careful. Permalink 2:39 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 5) Bravo! While MSM & policymakers are childlishly driven by images, this man is starting a v. rigorous process!!!https://www.rootclaim.com/claims/what-caused-the-chemical-calamity-in-khan-sheikhoun-syria-on-april-4-2017-18448   Permalink 1:28 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Worrisome: IF Assad has all to lose from such an act AND it happened, THEN he may have lost control of some of his troups. Permalink 12:49 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Worrisome: IF Assad has all to lose from such an act AND it happened, THEN he may have lost control of some of his troups. Permalink 12:49 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb As a researcher I cannot possibly support a given party or person 100%. Never unconditional support. I support policies, never factions. Permalink 12:26 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb As a researcher I cannot possibly support a given party or person 100%. Never unconditional support. I support policies, never factions. Permalink 12:26 PM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) On the other hand, IF the story is true, THEN some action is needed. Permalink 11:51 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) On the other hand, IF the story is true, THEN some action is needed. Permalink 11:51 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) Historically blood libels against Jews have taken same shape: generalized hysteria on stories of children kidnapped & drained of blood Permalink 11:06 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb He pronounced “Kabish?”https://twitter.com/udaberg/status/850016348268843008   Permalink 9:15 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Investigate, don’t be blinded by emo-pictures. Can be true but 3750 years of justice system shouldn’t be wiped out by Qatari PR !https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/849797885357109249   Permalink 7:50 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Very very unorthodox but it works pic.twitter.com/QVrRhxCTom Permalink 7:26 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am not yet certain that it’s a lie, but I am not certain it is truth. We need more rigorous investigation BEFORE policy statements.https://twitter.com/DanielLMcAdams/status/849871224494804992   Permalink 6:36 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Susan Rice Affair: 1) Today, unlike in 1970, EVERYTHING government officials do leaves indelible traces 2) They are likely to forget it Permalink 6:05 AM – 6 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Slight mistake thta dpesn’t matter for m=0: mad should be \int \sqrt{(x-m)^2} dx Permalink 8:27 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb How BS vendors BS, a sample.https://twitter.com/quinnovator/status/849801913755353088   Permalink 8:19 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@Darius1296 One should do the opposite. A good heuristic would be: the more potent the pictures, the more you question the evidence. Permalink 2:25 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Syria: Are people reacting to the pictures of children or from EVIDENCE? The more potent the pictures, the less you question the evidence. Permalink 2:20 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb As you can see, I got this from HIS feed. pic.twitter.com/s7lvHNE638 Permalink 12:14 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Note that 2/4 is 4/2 in US. Kapish? Permalink 12:11 PM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) The only person I know who is both famous & technically superior is Mathematica’s Stephen @Wolfram Not an academic. Never met Gell-Mann Permalink 11:50 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) The only person I know who is both famous & technically superior is Mathematica’s Stephen @Wolfram Not an academic. Never met Gell-Mann Permalink 11:50 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The plot thickens.https://twitter.com/HKX07/status/849460664376709120   Permalink 11:43 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Probability Du Jour: The border between thin tails & fat tails resides in exponential distribution. Maximum entropy under MAD constraint. pic.twitter.com/cAXWRqVzS9 Permalink 11:38 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Peter Hitchens, the smart brother http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2017/04/its-wmd-all-over-again-why-dont-you-see-it-.html   Permalink 9:38 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This is how the Fat Tails book looks like pic.twitter.com/7ybHj56YFX Permalink 8:24 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Interesting.https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/849635794994286592   Permalink 8:08 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb These MBA charts are repelling, they stand ag. everything classical & rigorous.https://twitter.com/hjarche/status/849626971269189632   Permalink 7:21 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Wildcard criticism: sentences that can apply to anything, s.a. “narcissistic”, “he thinks he knows everything”,… https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10154746535088375   Permalink 6:30 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) I understand Tillerson was not a risk-taking entrepreneur, but executive is better, much better than bureaucrat. Kapish? Permalink 5:54 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Paranoia has a statistical analog: Akaike & similar, the ratio of complexity/overparametrization of the fitted function to # data points. Permalink 5:29 AM – 5 Apr 2017

@nntaleb BS vendors are not used to people like Tillerson who don’t like to spend their lives crafting statements, talk, talk and talk.https://twitter.com/kjhealy/status/849420383753261060   Permalink 3:56 AM – 5 Apr 2017

Nice/Nasty, Inequality, SITG, P-Hacking, Easter, Syria, Palmyra, Shillary, Trump, Saunders | Twitter

@nntaleb My rule: when people are nice, I am twice as nice to them. When nasty, a thousand times nastier. @lakens @sothisispietro Permalink 11:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Friends, need to find errors in this paper before posting on ArXiv. Busts current measurement of inequality https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/GINI-1.pdf   Permalink 7:49 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb DC pundits stick to minor variations around a (false) narrative, owing to lack of 1)courage,2) #skininthegame, 3) IQ https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/714422281372639232   Permalink 5:10 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb You start by gratuitously trolling me saying you taught undergrads my meta-dist (you didn’t) & now you think you could be “helpful”? @lakens Permalink 4:44 AM – 28 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Donaldo, minor detail: this is not quite ISIS; nevertheless you will do better than Shillary. https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/714264864575922177   Permalink 6:49 PM – 27 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Pulled out the explicit “p-hacking” formula. New version of paper. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/pvalues.pdf   pic.twitter.com/0gRwP7jhQw Permalink 4:12 PM – 27 Mar 2016

@adolfont The wise approach to markets is to consider them smarter than governments yet profoundly stupid… @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/IUBOFaN0dO Permalink 12:26 PM – 27 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms .@octavianasr The media did even worse job covering Syria conflict than the decision to remove Saddam; on Syria, it had access to more info. Permalink 7:53 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Happy Easter for those who celebrate now. The Orthodox Church will celebrate in 5 weeks. pic.twitter.com/x2VQl1layy Permalink 7:35 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms It’s been so lonely over Twitter the past few years getting accused of being a troll for stating the basic facts on Syria. Thanks #Palmyra. Permalink 6:20 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms Which pundits get the most (dis)credit for convincing Western media the Syrian & Russian militaries are in cahoots with IS & don’t fight IS? Permalink 5:53 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@PieterDuboisFI @nntaleb-isation of software development https://twitter.com/BetaList/status/714047126892843009   Permalink 5:15 AM – 27 Mar 2016

@aarondwarwick @nntaleb thanks for pointing us to @MaxAbrahms a couple months ago. Top notch! Permalink 4:55 PM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Nobody is talking about the exciting news of ISIS thrown out of Palmyra. Why? Alas easy to figure out. Permalink 4:53 PM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb ”Sometimes your best investments are the ones you don’t make.” Donald Trump, The Art of the Deal Permalink 3:15 PM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb And instead of playing smart ass as a scientist you could have answer led my quest for the search of antecedents @lakens Permalink 9:46 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Where is the probability distribution? An equation is usually an equation with derivations. @lakens Permalink 9:33 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb And I am taking about rigorous probability theory not handwaving looping psychological discourse. @lakens Permalink 9:24 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Mr lakens i am talking about exact metadistibution of p-val. @lakens This is clear and precise. Show me. Permalink 9:22 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb You still need to back up your accusation of claiming to “reinvent” pval dist before asking more questions.@lakens https://twitter.com/lakens/status/713758346973679616   Permalink 9:15 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb The US president cannot change much except foreign interventionism. Incl taxes. Kapish? @sleuthstock @BernieSanders Permalink 8:14 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb This said I far prefer @BernieSanders to Trump but absolutely no Hillary. No Hillary, no SHillary. Permalink 7:44 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Reading Trump all I see is protect your downside (unknown) risks. What’s behind the bluster is Fat Tony compatible. pic.twitter.com/6OyroXQ8qc Permalink 7:35 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@MaxAbrahms Loving the spin to minimize Syrian/Russian military achievements against ISIS: https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/713709476830797825  . Permalink 7:13 AM – 26 Mar 2016

For my friends who are either 1 Orthodox Christians or…

For my friends who are either 1 Orthodox Christians or 2 Ancient Mediterranean Pagans, I wish a happy 1 Easter, or 2 the festival celebrating the resurrection of nature and life from the long dark winter, such as the rite of Adonis or whatever local god you favor over others in the Pantheon.
I for myself feel as if I were reborn, after close to 40 days of the Orthodox fast, deprived of ~ all animal products.
Note 1: For those who are wondering, today is Easter on the Orthodox calendar.Note 2: During my 40 day fast I read nothing that was not math outside the web. It makes some modern texts appear weird and nonsensical, but enhaces the beauty of good ancient literature.

via For my friends who… | Facebook.