Syria, Kiev, Gary Johnson, Kosterlitz-Thouless | Twitter

@nntaleb Feeding children w/fallacious stat reasoning: 75% of all inmates are dropouts ⇏ 75% of all dropouts become inmates.   Permalink 3:10 PM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Like Gadhafi, like Saddam. Presidential candidate Clinton says removing Assad in Syria is No. 1 priority   Permalink 11:01 AM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Where are the IYI “politically correct” warriors?   Permalink 7:05 AM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb In Kiev, preparing to get drunk with Ukranians. Permalink 5:46 AM – 9 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Good point, but NYT has economists writing columns. That is far worse in BS than astrology.   Permalink 5:25 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Imbecile Economist. Outing author who wants to stay private not the same as protecting citizens ag corporates/states   Permalink 5:14 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@RaniaKhalek My favorite is Hillary Clinton calling anti-fracking environmental groups a Russian conspiracy Permalink 12:11 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb There is no possible way on earth I will have an intellectual exchange w/man in sandals w/socks. My right to be closed minded. @VernonGlobal Permalink 4:06 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb RWRI 3 went great! Dense & humorous, w/ @yaneerbaryam @financequant RWRI 4 for Feb 6-10 Permalink 4:03 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb How I feel about IYIs: imagine nerdy professors in birkenstocks (with socks) playing mafiosi roles in a movie.   Permalink 3:55 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Who is the most representative of the Intellectual Yet Idiot Class? Name names!   Permalink 12:56 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb “When she shouts that what you did is *unforgivable*,she has already started to forgive you”. Bed of Procrustes, p18   Permalink 12:29 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb You forget Fannie Mae. There has never been more incompetent (decorated) person in history than IYI @JosephEStiglitz . Never. @GreekAnalyst Permalink 12:25 PM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb A generalized functions approach for distribution of sample correlations, Part 1. (Saturday relaxation after RWRI 3) Permalink 10:22 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Thank you Saudi apologist neo-cons.   Permalink 10:15 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb An option trader can easily understand the nonsense in @FiveThirtyEight’s: he prices options without time value.   Permalink 4:35 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Gary Johnson.   Permalink 4:28 AM – 8 Oct 2016

@alphabetsuccess Resist trying to impress your enemies. – NNTaleb #quote #wisdom Permalink 1:47 PM – 6 Oct 2016

@GarthGodsman @byzantinepower Not every day you see the word theosis in a tweet Permalink 2:09 AM – 7 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Cardano Permalink 5:03 PM – 6 Oct 2016

@VergilDen “Statistics isn’t about discovering correlations, it’s about eliminating coincidence.” @nntaleb @financequant #RWRI Permalink 9:10 AM – 6 Oct 2016

@nntaleb RWRI 3, day 4: Data can be used for DIS-confirmation. Power laws can be seen as the REJECTION of all other classes of models. @financequant Permalink 9:05 AM – 6 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Profs of pol “sience” are so dumb (e.g. @dandrezner) that their argument ag. dumb people voting applies to them   Permalink 6:08 AM – 6 Oct 2016

@gravity_levity My attempt to illustrate the main idea behind the Kosterlitz-Thouless transition, central to today’s Nobel prize Permalink 11:17 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb RWRI 3, Yaneer Bar Yam explaining how things don’t average in complex systems Permalink 12:57 PM – 5 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I meant Julius Bassianus. Permalink 7:29 AM – 5 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Domna is from the Emesian aristocracy (now Homs), like Steve Job’s ancestors. Jacobus Barnaus.   Permalink 7:23 AM – 5 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I just published “Foreword to Ed Thorp’s Memoirs (A Man for All Markets)”   Permalink 5:47 PM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The “independence” of the media:   Permalink 5:03 PM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb As Cato (elder) said, better be asked why there is no statue honoring you than the reverse   Permalink 5:27 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb I wish a Nobel Prize to one of my economist enemies so he feels the insecurity of a pedestal. Permalink 3:23 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower You will be civilised on the day you can spend a long period doing nothing without feeling the slightest amount of guilt NN Taleb Permalink 3:00 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower Over the long term, you are more likely to fool yourself than others. NN Taleb Permalink 3:04 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower For a classicist, a competitive athlete is painful to look at; trying too hard to become an animal NN Taleb Permalink 3:08 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@byzantinepower Mental clarity is the child of courage NN Taleb Permalink 3:17 AM – 4 Oct 2016

@nntaleb REWRI 3, Day 1 in our new space. Raphael lecturing (  ) Permalink 11:02 AM – 3 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Rederived from scratch distrib of correlation function for windows @WLTSchirano @DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink 6:19 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The Megali Doxologia (Great Doxology) in Greco-Syrian. المَجْدَلَة الكُبْرَى / يوناني ـ عربي   Permalink 5:56 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The reason is that no charlatan would willingly do anything that harms his reputation. Marker is costly signaling.   Permalink 4:01 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Point is: NO charlatan would do anything that harms his reputation. It is a marker, what’s called costly signaling. Kapish? @BrianePagel Permalink 3:56 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@IrritatedNimby @lord9h @nntaleb Hayek on Permalink 2:31 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Simple heuristic: treat public intellectuals as BSvendors except those who hold unpopular opinions,expose frauds, take risks, curse publicly Permalink 12:06 PM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Forward for Ed Thorp’s memoir. Comments/Corrections welcome.   Permalink 11:16 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Actually problem w/@sapinker is worse:paper shows that,if anything,we underestimated violence.   @alxpr1c3 @DrCirillo Permalink 8:29 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb LATEST: Prof Spagat has retracted his claim that F14a was wrong; he said he made an error. Pinker shd learn from him. @DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink 8:13 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Getting arithmetic wrong. Tax loss carryover means one has paid taxes in past for profits later lost/or reverse.   Permalink 6:20 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Very inefficient. Can’t believe liberals could be pro-Saudi Arabia, pro-Wahabis, pro large corps/globabilization, anti artisans! @neilchriss Permalink 6:16 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Pasquale, the point is not about theories/data, but elementary stats. What would you w/someone who can’t read an…ACF?@DrCirillo @sapinker Permalink 6:14 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@Nour_Samaha Dear @katieforster, I’m assuming this is your first foray in the #Syria issue. I suggest you do some research Permalink 5:52 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Keep trying Pinker boy, keep trying! Permalink 5:05 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Get off twitter.   Permalink 4:18 AM – 2 Oct 2016

@nntaleb John Durant has an explanation. Also explain Halal against eating pigs! @bitstein Permalink 1:46 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb (for mammals) Permalink 1:31 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Is there a rule that we humans eat almost exclusively herbivores? Is it the reason we domesticate cats, dogs, things we don’t eat? Curious. Permalink 1:30 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Much more colorful than my approach to bankers/economists.   Permalink 12:41 PM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Why laws in societies come from the minority rule: A probabilistic Permalink 7:04 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Another way to see it: Mix white w/dark blue. The result in any combination>2-5% is never light blue, but dark blue.   Permalink 6:04 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb Neocons. More to come.   Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb If someone showed you articles abt Trump, you would have estimated that polls ~0% (just wife & butler voting for him). The press is dying. Permalink 5:56 AM – 1 Oct 2016

@nntaleb The cluelessness of @anneapplebaum: like a detail-oriented assistant-plumber expounding on statistical mechanics.   Permalink 5:21 AM – 1 Oct 2016

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