Tag Archives: academics

Bill Gates, Psychologists, Academics, Baalbeck, Revenge, Amsterdam , Quillette, Pinker, Napoleon, Kashkari, Bayer | Twitter

@nntaleb We should move the bulk of civil servants to Alaska. https://twitter.com/thehill/status/1139349756017143808   Permalink 6:55 AM – 15 Jun 2019

@nntaleb pic.twitter.com/E9SW6hmxy8 Permalink 3:10 PM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Thanks to @NonMeek, an explanation of the point. pic.twitter.com/03aWOhj6kO Permalink 1:56 PM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb I managed to fool 6000 people yesterday. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1139184456856678400   Permalink 8:05 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Even more think that psychology is scientific. https://twitter.com/Mangan150/status/1139545553992183809   Permalink 8:03 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 2) Elsewhere, I discuss the same point within ergodicity. Worrying about homicide & terrorism is extremely rational. Same with GMOs. Permalink 6:45 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Beware naive empiricism funded by @BillGates. An insult to risk and probability. pic.twitter.com/qXXIV28rUE Permalink 6:29 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb The Arabs took locals as slaves. They use same word for “slave” ( عبد) and “subsaharan African” … even in classical poetry! (هجاء كافور) The pseudoliberal propaganda works well… for now. pic.twitter.com/xTJ8KbYdqH Permalink 5:04 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb (Except it misses that Ethiopia uses Amharic not Arabic) Permalink 4:51 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb This is a better map showing the severity of Arab colonialism in Africa. pic.twitter.com/nbVKcraPZj Permalink 4:41 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb When you look at the national languages of Africa as colonialism, you can see that it is split into French, English, and Arabic colonialism (plus residues s.a. Portuguese). For the “liberals” in academia, IYIs, & BS vendors a la Edward Said, Arabic isn’t colonialism. https://twitter.com/simongerman600/status/1139486646049656835   Permalink 4:04 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb The price of fighting with more than one state without clear offers to settle: all your enemies become natural friends. The coalition: Russia-China-Iran so far created by these imbecile saber-rattling neo-cons Next, naturally, Turkey Even Israel is flirting with China. https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/1139481466847600640   Permalink 3:41 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb So far 100% of the psychologists I have examined appear to be clueless about the meaning of something as elementary as correlation. It is all helped by that idiot @primalpoly supplying papers with “evidence” for the noncircularity of “IQ”. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1136526793811402752   Permalink 3:32 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Figured out why 99% of academics have to be misfit, 3rd rate intellectually, by construction. You observe, say in probabilistic matters, yuuge inconsistencies. When you point it out to them, they require a “reference”. OK: write the fucking “reference”. https://www.academia.edu/37221402/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_   Permalink 3:07 AM – 14 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Yuuge vindication for Ole Peters @ole_b_peters and people who doubt psycholophasters of “utility”. https://twitter.com/ole_b_peters/status/1139155625961820162   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/JuGII9xMRF”>  pic.twitter.com/JuGII9xMRF Permalink 1:29 PM – 13 Jun 2019

@TalebWisdom “In any profession, 90% of people are clueless but work by situational imitation, narrow mimicry & semi-conscious role-playing. Except social “science” and journalism where it is 99% and 100%, respectively.” – @nntaleb Permalink 8:03 AM – 13 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Friends, a question. Do verbal surveys (in the form of multiple answers) work? Permalink 7:55 AM – 13 Jun 2019

@nntaleb He forgot French: “clebs” or “clébard” https://twitter.com/HebreWords/status/1138784220439109632   Permalink 5:46 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@lizzie363 THIS IS WHY CASH IS SO IMPORTANT!! Economists singing the praises of a cashless society are actually arguing for authoritarianism!!! https://twitter.com/jchristychoi/status/1138769437723570176   Permalink 5:04 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@nntaleb My video explaining why @BillGates should do more thinking, less naive empiricism a la Pinker. https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=13&v=9dKiLclupUM   Permalink 4:15 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@TalebWisdom “Another marker for charlatans: they don’t voice opinions that can get them in trouble.” – @nntaleb Permalink 3:59 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Here is the approach showing the relatedness of Levantines with Persans and Anatolians vs Arabs. Four Population Tests. pic.twitter.com/FmrN30BInU Permalink 3:18 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@nntaleb You cannot shill without being eventually discovered. Thank you Monsanto papers & the U.S. legal system. pic.twitter.com/oSrhclNhuA Permalink 3:15 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@nntaleb David Ropeik @dropeik is one of the Monsanto shills who went after our precautionary principle. https://twitter.com/thackerpd/status/1138749281269981184   Permalink 3:13 AM – 12 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 4) The Bill Gates who follows his instinct & grandmother’s paranoia is smarter that the @BillGates who tries to use statistics a la Pinker and reads stuff written by psycholophasters. https://twitter.com/EllJohnny1/status/1138541410980978689   Permalink 1:23 PM – 11 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 3) Deeper discussions with proofs here. https://www.academia.edu/37221402/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_   Permalink 1:04 PM – 11 Jun 2019

@nntaleb My solution pic.twitter.com/CeRcgdvnsx Permalink 1:00 PM – 11 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 2) Never compare risks with fat tails to regular ones. The law of large numbers works differently. Plus ergodicity. We survived hundreds of millions of risks thanks to paranoia. We don’t need to be lectured by pseudostatisticians. @BillGates pic.twitter.com/4pQPQcGYjM Permalink 12:56 PM – 11 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 1) Actually people’s fears line up to tail risks much better than naive empiricists. This is monstrously ignorant a la Steven Pinker. https://twitter.com/BillGates/status/1138520780042465280   Permalink 12:49 PM – 11 Jun 2019

@nntaleb QUIZ DU JOUR (Air travel recreation). Acrtually the bound is tighter. Prove it is >= 27. pic.twitter.com/jl2E5spyXY Permalink 11:53 AM – 11 Jun 2019

@black_swan_man Part 3 of 3 #blackswanman #theblackswanman @dan_aykroyd #TradingPlaces #CBOT #riskmitigation #longgamma #squeezer pic.twitter.com/7EkUSCtVjY Permalink 11:21 AM – 11 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Lebanese are much more related to Iranians than to “Arabs”. Some people may hate the news. https://twitter.com/officialarti/status/1138445121119277057   Permalink 6:59 AM – 11 Jun 2019

@TalebWisdom “So knowledge grows by subtraction much more than by addition—given that what we know today might turn out to be wrong but what we know to be wrong cannot turn out to be right, at least not easily.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb Permalink 8:08 PM – 10 Jun 2019

@ronportnoir @nntaleb This Chomsky quote about cockroaches reminds me of what you say about psychiatry. https://twitter.com/chomsky_quotes/status/1138200548862119937   Permalink 2:50 PM – 10 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Turks and Greeks should be made aware of this. And the Lebanese, of course. [Note this is by country borders: Southern Italy and Northern Iran should be blue] https://twitter.com/onlmaps/status/1138096007059632128   Permalink 9:34 AM – 10 Jun 2019

@nntaleb The monks may be confused linguistically, but the views are breathtaking… Note the monastery (red roof top) on the right, hugging the slope, impenetrable, out of the reach of the Ottomans & other invaders. pic.twitter.com/4RoDhSRVGI Permalink 4:53 AM – 10 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Surprise: entirely home farmed mushrooms, mozzarella, vegetables for a pizza joint in Byblos & Amioun. (“Una Pizza”) pic.twitter.com/sL9PecoX6P Permalink 4:43 AM – 10 Jun 2019

@nntaleb “Chemphobia”: while the term was coined by industry shills, is entirely rational. Scientifically so. Some chemicals are safe but we never really know before the #LindyEffect takes its course. Elementary statistical significance. Very elementary. https://twitter.com/thackerpd/status/1138041466935304194   Permalink 4:25 AM – 10 Jun 2019

@TalebWisdom “If someone is making an effort to ignore you, he is not ignoring you.” – @nntaleb Permalink 4:11 AM – 10 Jun 2019

@nntaleb This thread a summary of PRINCIPIA POLITICA. https://twitter.com/vtchakarova/status/1137742800487927809   Permalink 12:03 AM – 10 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 2- Added section on xenophobia/discrimimation at some scale, not others. https://www.academia.edu/38433249/Principia_Politica   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/nyBAGgWVje”>  pic.twitter.com/nyBAGgWVje Permalink 11:06 PM – 9 Jun 2019

@nntaleb IF levels of lipids are ~ in 2 pop., but not *something else*, AND there are yuuge CVD differences, then the something else is necessary for CVD, perhaps in conjunction with lipids, which requires a joint probability distribution. Precautionarily, avoid that *something else*. Permalink 10:10 PM – 9 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Statistically, by exclusion, we are zooming in on a different story for CVD: it supports the 1-2 meals a day, feast/fasting ancient heuristics & traditions. Minimize exposure time to insulin, especially under Med genetics. @Mangan150 https://twitter.com/mangan150/status/1137731523661127680   Permalink 9:54 PM – 9 Jun 2019

@Juan_indaliano @nntaleb this genetic research on southern Spaniards seems to support your “languages travel; genes less so” assertion. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-41580-9   Permalink 11:18 AM – 9 Jun 2019

@nntaleb “Linear” correlation is a misnomer: it does indeed measure a linear relationship between variables, BUT it is nonlinear. https://twitter.com/VirendrasinghP/status/1137584275153276928   Permalink 10:15 PM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Answer: .87! See equation 13. pic.twitter.com/iJCJ8lULTj Permalink 10:07 PM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb SUNDAY QUIZ For a correlation number between X and Y, what is the “half point” correlation between 0 and 1, that is, the correlation for which you have half the uncertainty about X if you observed Y ( or vice-versa) compared to not having observed Y? Permalink 9:50 PM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 2) SJL (#SocialJusticeLunatics), grievance studies windbags and other imbeciles may dominate the universities, but… they are underepresented in the jury system. This and the Monsanto destruction should restore our faith in the system. https://twitter.com/normonics/status/1137429172333289473   Permalink 12:22 PM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 1) In America, we may have universities run by SJL (#SocialJusticeLunatics), we may have bad government, controled by lobbyists, but we have a well functioning legal system. If someone tries to mess w/you and your small business, call a lawyer. https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/jun/7/ohio-jury-awards-11-million-to-bakery-owners-targe/?utm_campaign=shareaholic&utm_medium=facebook&utm_source=socialnetwork&fbclid=IwAR3OKRmYtC-r3ORzkyiuJWngOu4xTpBcyuI-c0TI7azPf_4l_i3q3hdpjMg   Permalink 11:35 AM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Yuuuuuge mystery https://twitter.com/CapitalParadox/status/1137398724668338176   Permalink 9:46 AM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb https://twitter.com/LouisLebbos/status/1137338419380703232   Permalink 9:28 AM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Baalbeck contains these gigantic stones, 1650 tons! It dwarfs pretty much anything I’ve seen elsewhere in the ancient world, makes the acropolis look like a Las Vegas version. pic.twitter.com/13JJMyrsnA Permalink 9:27 AM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb And the road through Mt Lebanon cuts through walls of snow. pic.twitter.com/D8mJJ4AygF Permalink 7:03 AM – 8 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Baalbeck, behind the temple of Dionysos with archeologist @DrWissam and @PZalloua No Graeco-Roman ruin comes close in size. pic.twitter.com/I63lFWi6DU Permalink 5:10 AM – 8 Jun 2019

@DegenRolf Everything that psychologists have told us about the detection of deception may just be a big fat lie. https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/1745691619838258   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/bJLyByWUrd”>  pic.twitter.com/bJLyByWUrd Permalink 12:09 PM – 7 Jun 2019

@nntaleb OK, OK, Correction: I granted on twitter the Persian language rights because I can’t transact. Permalink 8:17 AM – 7 Jun 2019

@imleslahdin Honored & Happy to announce that I will attend (as a learner) #RWRI this June 24th on a very generous scholarship by @nntaleb. Thank you Ostedhna! Now back to reading, programming and sharpening my math and probability. @trishank see you in NY! #risk #sitg #math #proba pic.twitter.com/mORMofk9Mw Permalink 7:58 AM – 7 Jun 2019

@nntaleb The highest honor: a pirated trnslation of Skin in the Game in Persian. https://twitter.com/skininthegameir/status/1136903480768172032   Permalink 7:12 AM – 7 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Convent Mar Antonios Qozachia ܩܘܙܚܝܐ: Boasting the first printing press in the “Arab world” in 1610, except that the press was in… Aramaic (Syriac)! Arabists are imbeciles. (Note the red color in the books) pic.twitter.com/6yycxYzQUD Permalink 7:07 AM – 7 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Ergodicity rephrased by @naval https://twitter.com/naval/status/1002103908947263488   Permalink 11:19 PM – 6 Jun 2019

@nntaleb footnote: The Latin alphabet is ALSO Phoenician. Permalink 10:37 AM – 6 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Friends, my PRINCIPIA POLITICA for comments https://www.academia.edu/38433249/Principia_Politica   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/wS89f0EtZi”>  pic.twitter.com/wS89f0EtZi Permalink 6:56 AM – 6 Jun 2019

@rorysutherland A lot of this is debatable. Unless you are a journalist – ie one of the hand-loom operators of the 21st Century – in which case it chimes with your own dismal experience. Instrumental inequality has never been lower. Take out property and education and everything is cheaper. https://twitter.com/herdmeister/status/1136548869544656896   Permalink 1:39 AM – 6 Jun 2019

@nntaleb For those who celebrate, Happy Eid! Permalink 1:32 AM – 6 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 13 A correlation of 50% reduces uncertainty by 6-13% not more. Meaning psychology is a citation ring/political agenda. pic.twitter.com/D3whiWeM97 Permalink 11:54 PM – 5 Jun 2019

@chemblette https://www.wsj.com/articles/rahm-emanuel-ex-chicago-mayor-is-going-to-wall-street-11559760420   Time to ban rent-seeking? What kind of value can this former politician create for society in his newfound capacity? @nntaleb @FrazerAnderson Permalink 9:46 PM – 5 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Erratum: economist -> social scientist (mainly psychologists) https://twitter.com/nntalebbot/status/1136339451154784256   Permalink 12:08 PM – 5 Jun 2019

@nntaleb For psychologists who are not blind, a correlation of 3/4 is visually much closer to 0 than to 1. That’s the logic of the scaling. My metrics look at the total surface (in the square) divided by the one inside the circle (sort of). pic.twitter.com/MEQ3Pzk1oe Permalink 10:46 AM – 5 Jun 2019

@TalebWisdom “People tend to whisper when they say the truth and raise their voice when they lie.” – @nntaleb Permalink 8:09 AM – 5 Jun 2019

@hugowiz «… it seems to me that people flood their stories with numbers and graphs in the absence of solid or logical arguments.» Skin in the game @nntaleb @AllenLaneBooks #data #risk img. @thefredyjacob pic.twitter.com/uRPY6op6vx Permalink 6:19 AM – 5 Jun 2019

@nntaleb People starting to write Lebanese in Lebanon… pic.twitter.com/YEo7WqOovh Permalink 6:13 AM – 5 Jun 2019

@black_swan_man Part 2 of 3 #blackswanman #theblackswanman @dan_aykroyd #TradingPlaces #CBOT #crash #robots #CTA #fooledbyrandomness pic.twitter.com/XMcCqqklQ2 Permalink 5:37 AM – 5 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Revenge is a moral obligation. https://twitter.com/RobRastapop/status/1136136216829546496   Permalink 10:18 PM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb RESCALING CORRELATION to its own informational importance pic.twitter.com/1tuHKCKah3 Permalink 9:13 PM – 4 Jun 2019

@RobRastapop Yes. Funny how most don’t get this. 1. True Revenge is not petty. 2. Revenge is not about justice. It’s about preempting future injustice. Permalink 5:12 PM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb These are the two ways you should interpret correlation. The third method, entropy based mutual information gives similar results. pic.twitter.com/9C4Ps3uh4h Permalink 11:58 AM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 12 “Europe” is not a real continent (at best the daughter of a Phoenician king). Its definition is political, now affected by a religious separation. If “Europe” were to be rationally defined, it should start in the Zagros/Caucasus. pic.twitter.com/7atZQ5zupR Permalink 11:45 AM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Time spent on revenge is never wasted. Permalink 11:00 AM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb People have a hard time with via negativa. But your grandmother gets that you get to truth by removing the crap. https://twitter.com/Gbh89423811/status/1135942686400290816   Permalink 9:16 AM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Question: What is the difference between my function \phi[\rho,k] and Var[X|Y]? Yuuge differences, as \phi takes into account the fact that E[X|Y]=\rho Y (simplifying for normalized variables) which loses tractability in the tails. Both stories makes psychologists look v. bad. Permalink 9:03 AM – 4 Jun 2019

@nntaleb TUTORIAL: Where we show what correlation means under VERY standard Gaussian assumptions (breaks down under fat tails). You need a correlation of .87 to reduce half the uncertainty! pic.twitter.com/YZPJlbcWD0 Permalink 10:31 PM – 3 Jun 2019

@NicuMihalache @nntaleb surprise, surprise … https://twitter.com/kaibaumgartner/status/1135575151049879552   Permalink 11:09 AM – 3 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Refined the metric on the way back to Phoenica. We are interested in the range around K. How much does correlation(X,Y) reduce your uncertainty about Y given X? pic.twitter.com/EeKeaqUa00 Permalink 8:50 AM – 3 Jun 2019

@dwnhogendoorn @nntaleb Napoleon eroded SITG Permalink 11:32 PM – 2 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Part II to come. Flaneuring in Amsterdam with a notebook and… cannot resist doing probability. pic.twitter.com/w5RCXrS8h9 Permalink 2:59 AM – 2 Jun 2019

@nntaleb PROBABILITY DU JOUR A correlation of .5 (assuming it is rigorously obtained) carries practically NO information for the tails, cannot explain OUTPERFORMANCE. (Or why psychologists are toooooooootal idiots). #Scienceishard pic.twitter.com/YHhWnjmvCy Permalink 2:31 AM – 2 Jun 2019

@nntaleb Thank you twitter Macedonian origin FOR THE PLANT. https://twitter.com/Firsou/status/1134827953869807616   Permalink 7:51 AM – 1 Jun 2019

@nntaleb I mildly disagree with my two erudite friends @turlevnon & Hareth. Many, many Italian and French terms came via 1) Sabir (the maritime Lingua Franca), and 2) Turkish. https://twitter.com/turlevnon/status/1134819777682317322   Permalink 7:17 AM – 1 Jun 2019

@nntaleb SATURDAY PHILOLOGICAL SPECULATIONS Parsley in Greek Μαϊντανός, N.Macedonian “magdonos”, Levantine ba2dunés, Kurdish “bekdenus”, Turkish “maydanoz”. Yet it is most prevalent in the N. Levant (taboulé). What is, if any, the Semitic correspondent? Is it Macedonian in origin? Permalink 7:12 AM – 1 Jun 2019

@TalebWisdom “The first one who uses “but”, has lost the argument.” – @nntaleb Permalink 11:50 PM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb What the fuck does causality have to do with this? Permalink 9:34 PM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Yes, is Quillete about freedom of speech or support for a certain type of “science”. https://twitter.com/horacejuvenal/status/1134460991196917770   Permalink 7:34 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb 8 (Final)- Napoleon Carrying a 4lb 870-page UK hardcover book across airports and cafés made me enjoy it better. Something @rorysutherland can understand. You don’t know what you really like until you actually try it. Was not expecting to prefer the heaviest possible version! pic.twitter.com/rp9U8DRMLn Permalink 7:17 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Here is my “why correlation is not usually correlation”, another problem that the one in the original post. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D6CxfBMUf1o&t=53s   Permalink 6:56 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Suspicion @Quillette/@clairlemon aren’t abt freedom of speech but cover for agenda: I’m AGAINST muzzling @NoahCarl90 w/program abt “cognitive differences” for “groups” (euphemism for racism) BUT find him a charlatan They’re upset about “charlatan” NOT happy w/support for freedom https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1134020269100666880   Permalink 6:41 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb The verbal explanation. https://youtu.be/p76bQlnVuBM   Permalink 6:23 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Part 2 of the paper; why entropy methods are vastly more robust. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1113566110367002624   Permalink 6:15 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Nothing to do with “causation”, I will block anyone who brings down the subject to that mantra. Correlation does not imply correlation. Permalink 6:04 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Why almost all social scientists are clueeeeeeless about what correlation means. pic.twitter.com/zp7rLoVP1e Permalink 5:59 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb The Greco-Phoenician research fraternity GPRF: with @spyrosmakrid and Cypriots at the Univ. of Nicosia. pic.twitter.com/ZDs6dDGY02 Permalink 5:32 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb Neurobiology is the most effective of pseudosciences because something derived in a lab fools you into thinking it’s hard science. Luckily we can tell it as it has the statistical rigor of S. Pinker crossed with the Marx Brothers. https://twitter.com/emanuelderman/status/1134428813759320064   Permalink 5:09 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb After requests to have predictions of “sign” for random variables, settled w/@spyrosmakrid for tracking of buy/sell P/L (one in real life does not buy or sell “signs” but buys something at a price, and sells at another price). The compromise should please @mikeharrisNY Permalink 2:29 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb (cont) Unless you ignore them, of course. Permalink 1:49 AM – 31 May 2019

@nntaleb You’ll end up resembling your worst enemies. Permalink 1:46 AM – 31 May 2019

@mdvex None of the successful people I know take notes. https://twitter.com/sacca/status/1134128910004772869   Permalink 11:19 PM – 30 May 2019

@TalebWisdom “If you want to teach someone a real skill, teach him how to fail. He will never learn it in school.” – @nntaleb Permalink 3:48 PM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb The gym at the Republic of Amioun in Northern Phoenicia. The church in the bakground (circle) is where 8 of my ancestors have been resting for 2 centuries. The rest are in another church to the right. pic.twitter.com/0osYEwzsU9 Permalink 1:51 PM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb Fixed a few typos pic.twitter.com/xHHkQDg9L7 Permalink 1:21 PM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb 7-Napoleon He had a strong Italian accent but then almost every provincial French person had an accent. People in Burgundy rolled the “r”s. His biographers are using today’s norms retrospectively. 8- Napoleon III was not related to him, DNA shows. Someone cheated. Permalink 8:33 AM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb My nightmare, SCIENTISM promoted by @clairlemon et al: +Genes determine something <=> We know which genes +Traits are heritable <=> performance is heritable +Simple domains (running) = high dim complex domains +Mean = extrema (no minority rule) pic.twitter.com/YWDsLMTL6S Permalink 5:57 AM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb 6- Napoleon His central flaw: viewed the world (including socioeconomic life) as a top-down streamlined military structure. Could not grasp selforganization and complexity. Permalink 4:29 AM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb 5- Napoleon Post Russia, he was no longer Napoleon. “Napoleon did something completely out of character. He vacillated”. Permalink 3:29 AM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb I stand against the termination of @NoahCarl90, for a simple reason: he is a charlatan. + He is a technically unsophisticated race obsessed “researcher” with a SINISTER agenda, + His research is so unrigorous it needs to be published so people can LAUGH at his project. https://twitter.com/NoahCarl90/status/1128396149004611588   Permalink 1:54 AM – 30 May 2019

@nntaleb Discussion with Spyros: why for fat tailed variables we need to use Mean Deviation NOT standard deviation, even when variance is finite. pic.twitter.com/JE8gsfnUZs Permalink 1:24 AM – 30 May 2019

@black_swan_man Part 1 of 3 #blackswanman #theblackswanman @dan_aykroyd #TradingPlaces #CBOT #crash #Sikh #Nihang #Gatka pic.twitter.com/lZ0rh105lZ Permalink 4:24 PM – 29 May 2019

@nntaleb My experience of IQ psychologists is that they are very dumb to do science & probability, yet never realize how dumb they are because they only talk to dumb psychologists. Yet they want to be arbiters of intelligence & PUT DOWN entire races & groups. Like this @GarettJones https://twitter.com/GarettJones/status/1131297892629659649   Permalink 1:43 PM – 29 May 2019

@NonMeek “There is no significant #correlation (or any robust statistical association) between #IQ and hard measures such as wealth.” -@nntaleb …and here’s the comic strip to accompany that pic.twitter.com/ZV8D7vNrtM Permalink 10:46 AM – 29 May 2019

@nntaleb General Scholarships are open for RWRI 11 June 24-28 (Real World Risk Institute) http://www.realworldrisk.com   Permalink 6:18 AM – 29 May 2019

@nntaleb Mystery? pic.twitter.com/XG2Mz7sIiK Permalink 3:40 AM – 29 May 2019

@nntaleb Friends, please help w/design for the @spyrosmakrid M5 competition. 1)Choise of variables 2) (more important) WHAT to forecast. X after 5 days, 1m, Min(X), Max(X), Max(X-Y). Important for decisions to get Min & uncertainty since “never cross a river 4 feet deep on average” pic.twitter.com/dP5shVLc5D Permalink 3:09 AM – 29 May 2019

@nntaleb 4- Napoleon Although the author tries to avoid spoilers when progressing through the ~45 battles, there is no suspense in the book: outcome is known. If something in Paris is named after it, (Jena, Austerlitz, Rivoli, Wagram, Castiglione), Napoleon won. Otherwise, he lost. Permalink 2:37 PM – 28 May 2019

@nntaleb Happiness is not defined by how people say they “feel” but by what they do. (Revelation of preferences) #Skininthegame @rorysutherland https://twitter.com/guardian/status/1132288942034833409   Permalink 2:10 PM – 28 May 2019

@nntaleb Squid ink; Cypriot squid ink. pic.twitter.com/nMvCx5gRz7 Permalink 11:41 AM – 28 May 2019

@nntaleb Taleb = φιλόλογος (Philologos ) pic.twitter.com/hvpJE43tCo Permalink 7:19 AM – 28 May 2019

@nntaleb Σήμερα είμαι στη Λευκωσία με τον @spyrosmakrid για να συζητήσουμε τον διαγωνισμό M5 Competition. Permalink 9:19 PM – 27 May 2019

@VergilDen “Don’t cross a river if it is four feet deep on average” The Black Swan, Taleb https://twitter.com/xkcdcomic/status/1133052055763820545   Permalink 9:56 AM – 27 May 2019

@TalebWisdom “Sometimes people ask you a question with their eyes begging you to not tell them the truth.” – @nntaleb Permalink 8:41 AM – 27 May 2019

@nntaleb 3- My instinct tells me that most of these “correlations” used by psychologists become very weak associations if one uses more rigorous entropy methods. Permalink 6:07 AM – 27 May 2019

@nntaleb One sub-explanation. The other is nonlinearity: nonlinear correlation means .5 is almost 0. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1110279033890267136   Permalink 6:02 AM – 27 May 2019

@nntaleb 1- Once you look into these correlations, you see that below .8 they can be meaningless. https://twitter.com/AmirSariaslan/status/1132694130553950211   Permalink 6:01 AM – 27 May 2019

@NilsPetersen80 @nntaleb inspiring speech. Trials and error are “our” successstory. Could listen for hours. https://twitter.com/EL2019Antwerp/status/1132952193580052480   Permalink 3:38 AM – 27 May 2019

@nntaleb Do not conflate nationalism and decentralization. Both voters and politicians can be fooled by labels. Permalink 2:31 AM – 27 May 2019

@dwnhogendoorn There’s a clear self-affinity between autophagy and a regenerative urban waste disposal. Looking for good, category crossing resources on autophagy. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Autophagy   Permalink 12:38 AM – 27 May 2019

@nntaleb Borges’ post in @bill_easterly https://twitter.com/bill_easterly/status/1132383150724661248   Permalink 6:30 AM – 26 May 2019

@nntaleb Words and languages are created by people with #Skininthegame: farmers, hunters, traders, prostitutes, carpenters, dancers, & builders. Not by linguists, academics, scribes, bureaucrats, librarians, grammarians, & other acroparasites. [Inspired by Borges & @bill_easterly] Permalink 11:48 PM – 25 May 2019

@Mangan150 Some people objected when I said that the establishment doesn’t want you healthy, saying that it’s not a conspiracy – though I didn’t say it was. But the actions of Facebook in deleting a low-carb group, likely at the behest of Big Food, make it look like – what? Permalink 5:05 PM – 25 May 2019

@PaulSkallas “Meditation is a way to be narcissistic without hurting anyone” – @nntaleb https://twitter.com/pkerin/status/1132356621169057792   Permalink 2:16 PM – 25 May 2019

@nntaleb Although, after a wet lunch pic.twitter.com/xXIdLKG812 Permalink 6:34 AM – 25 May 2019

@nntaleb Mykonos: a destination for people who have way too many trees at home AND want to go to the beach. Permalink 5:19 AM – 25 May 2019

@nntaleb Mykonos: reminiscent of the Lebanese deforestation of 1917 during the Ottoman blocade. pic.twitter.com/jdAHSZ410L Permalink 1:43 AM – 25 May 2019

@semacks “It is always suspicious when a person’s ideas line up perfectly to a specified party….” I only wish this didn’t describe 90%+ of people who comment on public policy https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1131674858658639895   Permalink 9:48 AM – 24 May 2019

@dougalpollux https://www.theamericanconservative.com/urbs/traditional-cities-are-more-resilient-than-modern-buildings/   #antifragility Permalink 7:22 AM – 24 May 2019

@nntaleb Closer pic.twitter.com/x2FuTtsJZV Permalink 10:26 PM – 23 May 2019

@nntaleb 3- I do not hide that I am writing a political code. My own. No explanations, no arguments. No attempts at convincing. Take it or leave it. pic.twitter.com/4JJEw9myCX Permalink 2:34 PM – 23 May 2019

@nntaleb 2- People have a hard time shedding their legal system. Napoleon lost; his code stayed, even spread to countries Napoleon never invaded! (Rather, the code of Cambaceres). Lesson: write a tight, coherent code. We are codifying the #PrecautionaryPrinciple Make it indispensable. Permalink 1:42 PM – 23 May 2019

@nntaleb THREAD 1-Christianity couldn’t spread like Islam into Central Asia, Africa. It offered no law for traders. Rome (&Berytus) had the law. So Christianity stayed limited to around the Roman empire. The Savafids could not convert out w/o losing the legal system. So they adapted. Permalink 1:35 PM – 23 May 2019

@BrankoMilan Trump (so far) likes to talk military, but not to use it–which is a major improvement upon W and most likely upon what Hillary would have done. https://twitter.com/m_orenstein/status/1131245499892338690   Permalink 8:01 AM – 23 May 2019

@RalphNader Still waiting. -R https://twitter.com/RalphNader/status/1129456063537926144   Permalink 7:50 AM – 23 May 2019

@TMFStoffel It’s funny how once people have skin in the game, virtue signaling ceases and true colors shine through. @nntaleb https://twitter.com/freakonometrics/status/1131564431257886727   Permalink 7:45 AM – 23 May 2019

@nntaleb Northern Phoenicia: the best gym in the world in my ancestral village. Convinced the owners to try teaching ⁦@SS_strength⁩ ⁦cc:@CoachRippetoe⁩ pic.twitter.com/eoHuw6VezT Permalink 7:32 AM – 23 May 2019

@OndPr Toute la campagne des européennes du Rassemblement National peut se resumer à un seul mot: Localisme. Au RN on s’inspire des idées de @nntaleb. https://twitter.com/MLP_officiel/status/1131283712203792384   Permalink 7:19 AM – 23 May 2019

@nntaleb We need to put an upper limit for RWRI returns. https://twitter.com/jaffer22915438/status/1131525923277295616   Permalink 5:00 AM – 23 May 2019

@TalebWisdom Thursday Wisdom: “If someone’s insults’ bother you; it is evidence that you respect him.” – @nntaleb Permalink 4:20 AM – 23 May 2019

@nntaleb It doesn’t mean banning free speech, but banning nonpublic contact with elected officials and government decision makers. All discussions between paid advocates and goverment pple should be made public AND easily accessible. Permalink 6:14 PM – 22 May 2019

@nntaleb Unpaid advocacy is NOT professional lobbying. Permalink 5:46 PM – 22 May 2019

@nntaleb In the light of the Monsanto scandal(s), should we ban paid professional lobbying (as a form of asymmetric tampering with democracy and governance)? Remember there are 30,000 lobbyists in Brussels. Permalink 5:39 PM – 22 May 2019

@nntaleb In the light of the Monsanto scandal(s), should we ban paid professional lobbying (as a form of asymmetric tampering with democracy and governance)? Remember there are 30,000 lobbyists in Brussels. Permalink 5:39 PM – 22 May 2019

@apgox No. As @nntaleb wrote, “When I don’t have skin in the game, I am usually dumb”. For example, if I took out contents insurance, I’d probably be less vigilant to secure my property. If I took out robot replacement insurance, I’d probably be more prone to being replaced by robots. Permalink 4:34 PM – 22 May 2019

@nntaleb Liver is #Lindy. Not so much muscle meat. https://twitter.com/LIHF_Living/status/1131069023385464837   Permalink 10:53 PM – 21 May 2019

@nntaleb 3- Napoleon + Ate his meals in 10 min. He was also rushed in other activities where it is not recommended + Liked to “punish infrequently, but severely”. Reminds me to deliver & continue my ~4Y long dumping on that despicable @Noahpinion http://fooledbyrandomness.com/SmithBSVendor.html   Permalink 9:58 PM – 21 May 2019

@nntaleb Friends, if anyone is interested to help with a fundraiser for @TulsiGabbard next July in Westchester county, NY, please notify here. We need to help put her on the map before the arms merchants get to her. Permalink 9:26 AM – 21 May 2019

@nntaleb Mongolian here is written in Syriac https://twitter.com/incunabula/status/1130408407406587904   Permalink 3:21 PM – 20 May 2019

@nntaleb “No rumor is true until officially denied.” https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1130526242531364864   Permalink 10:37 AM – 20 May 2019

@ole_b_peters Expected utility theory tries to compute the future psychological consequences of the actions of your clones in parallel universes. Ergodicity economics tries to compute the future physical consequences of the actions of your younger self. What’s more relevant to you? Permalink 4:38 AM – 20 May 2019

@nntaleb Translation: a famous “businessman” from Naples offered French president Macron to “solve a problem” (or remove a “pebble from his shoes”), an offer Macron could not refuse. https://twitter.com/bruno_amable/status/1129852051494789120   Permalink 3:58 PM – 19 May 2019

@Morunoyo Rise Above Mount Lebanon 1/5 pic.twitter.com/4jAdKYznhg Permalink 8:51 AM – 19 May 2019

@nntaleb Nationalism, the nation state, and Arabism destroyed the best, most sophisticated, most learned, most open-minded city in the Mediterranean. #localism #DeMediterraniation https://twitter.com/CCavafy/status/1130087688680411138   Permalink 5:32 AM – 19 May 2019

@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 11 “Arab” science wasn’t Arab, but Persian (Avicenna, Biruni, AlKhawarizmi (Algorithm), etc.), Syriac, Chaldean, from long traditions that preceded the Arab invasion. They just wrote in Arabic; Newton wrote in Latin but isn’t called “Italian”. Permalink 4:52 AM – 19 May 2019

@nntaleb Obama and Geithner gave banks the largest bonuses in 2010. Acroparasite Geithner later got a $$$ job with the industry. This has nothing to do with capitalism. I want Geithner in JAIL. https://twitter.com/AOC/status/1129752853315227652   Permalink 1:11 PM – 18 May 2019

@nntaleb #Lindy https://twitter.com/kateantiquity/status/1129484824685813762   Permalink 1:02 PM – 18 May 2019

@nntaleb When you sell options, treat the possible as likely. When you buy them, treat the likely as merely possible. https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1129787561252139008   Permalink 11:34 AM – 18 May 2019

@rj7050 According to Taleb, ‘means’ of two distributions cannot be compared if one has fatter tails. In my experience of money management, I have not met a single investor who understands that, but money managers understand that and sell crap.@nntaleb Permalink 11:04 AM – 18 May 2019

@nntaleb When you hedge, treat the possible as likely. When you speculate, treat the likely as merely possible. Permalink 9:35 AM – 18 May 2019

@nntaleb Nice Surprise Incerto now in 41 languages… Just signed the ARMENIAN contract. pic.twitter.com/WtKWUVLaXj Permalink 7:04 AM – 18 May 2019

@nntaleb Please mark my words. Neil Kashkari @neelkashkari is a DANGEROUS imbecile. https://twitter.com/wlwatts/status/1129058255207055360   Permalink 6:48 AM – 18 May 2019

@nntaleb Bayer’s Shady PR Firms: FleishmanHillard and Ketchum via @USRightToKnow https://usrtk.org/food-for-thought/bayers-shady-pr-firms-fleishmanhillard-and-ketchum/   Permalink 6:20 AM – 18 May 2019

@BenjaminNorton This propaganda is embarrassingly bad. Neo-McCarthyite hacks are implying anti-war candidate @TulsiGabbard is a Kremlin shill. Their “evidence”? Donations from renowned scholar Stephen F. Cohen and from a US peace activist who doesn’t want war with Russia https://www.thedailybeast.com/tulsi-gabbards-campaign-is-being-boosted-by-russophiles   Permalink 1:09 PM – 17 May 2019

@sahouraxo Why isn’t this bombshell story about #Syria’s #Douma front page news worldwide? Because it destroys the false narrative of the corporate press—the very same media now manufacturing lies for the latest regime change wars planned for #Iran and #Venezuela. https://medium.com/@caityjohnstone/confirmed-chemical-weapons-assessment-contradicting-official-syria-narrative-is-authentic-fbcbf7ef281a   Permalink 11:25 AM – 17 May 2019

@nntaleb FRIDAY INTERESTING MATH RIDDLE DU JOUR pic.twitter.com/UJwlnITMaC Permalink 11:24 AM – 17 May 2019

@nntaleb Bloomberg Interview N N Taleb May 2019 https://youtu.be/4OfnsOT1ys8   via @YouTube Permalink 9:25 AM – 17 May 2019

@nntaleb IMBECILES w/low comprehension abilities. It’s NOT saying entrepreneurs are “braver than troops”, only that in ALL fields risk takers need to be treated w/ respect by nonrisk takers who leech on them. Clearly there are degrees of risk taking. IMBECILES https://twitter.com/lyta_gold/status/1129406176427499520   Permalink 8:26 AM – 17 May 2019

@nntaleb When people call you intelligent it is almost always because they agree with you. Otherwise, they would call you arrogant. Permalink 7:27 AM – 17 May 2019

@nntaleb Just posted a new paper Option Pricing Under Power Laws: A Robust Heuristic https://www.academia.edu/39149471/Option_Pricing_Under_Power_Laws_A_Robust_Heuristic?source=swp_share   via @academia Permalink 7:48 AM – 16 May 2019

@nntaleb The problem of self employment Permalink 7:10 AM – 16 May 2019

@nntaleb “No probability without ergodicity”. https://twitter.com/ole_b_peters/status/1129023713641238528   Permalink 7:07 AM – 16 May 2019

@TulsiGabbard Trump promised to get the US out of “stupid wars.” But now he and John Bolton are on the brink of launching us into a very stupid and costly war with Iran. Join me in sending a strong message to President Trump: The US must NOT go to war with Iran. #TULSI2020 pic.twitter.com/Q1sHDNwZSy Permalink 6:01 AM – 16 May 2019

@nntaleb PROBABILITY FRIDAY:The Mother of all Fat Tails: the log Pareto distribution Prompted by a discussion with @financequant It is not discussed in textbooks/web but easy to rederive. pic.twitter.com/ZyhLpTHCTC Permalink 4:25 AM – 16 May 2019

@normonics The #PrecautionaryPrinciple is necessary to save us from dangerous idiots with “good intentions” https://twitter.com/cnn/status/1065993396395880448   Permalink 4:20 PM – 15 May 2019

Russians, Old Arbat, Academics, Twitter, Sunstein, Friedman, The “LEFT”, Taxes, “irrationality”, Intolerance – Twitter

@nntaleb It is very dangerous for intelligent people to be paranoid. In The Black Swan, 11 years ago pic.twitter.com/De5Di711my Permalink 5:48 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The Russian pathological fixation is such that in the mind of those afflicted EVERYTHING has to have some Russian angle.https://twitter.com/NickKristof/status/936035649278406658   Permalink 5:39 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Now when it comes to history, this is the real ting.https://twitter.com/ArmandDAngour/status/934752184109027328   Permalink 4:40 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb As proof that the Arabic alphabet not adapted to Lebanese, in Garshuni ܐܶ vs in Arabic ايه which is NEVER the correct sound. The Latin Alphabet remains close to the Phoenician alphabet & much more adapted to our sounds. Permalink 4:24 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@jackrim1 Possibly one of the best book cover quotes ever @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/YaxDIW1sNA Permalink 3:41 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb GQ is the philosopher John Gray. Permalink 3:20 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Thanks friends, instead of having endorsements from hotshots we opted for “Joe from Chicago” style blurbs –real not fake readers. pic.twitter.com/XL5OjIK0sm Permalink 3:17 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The code. Argument that 13 has highest probability to follow. pic.twitter.com/M0nYfUmZzC Permalink 12:03 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The water in Moscow makes you more formal with probability. Solving a @CutTheKnotMath problem https://www.dropbox.com/s/yeursepeln1v8kw/GordianNov29Probability.tex?dl=0   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/zf1AcNFU2W”>  pic.twitter.com/zf1AcNFU2W Permalink 12:00 PM – 29 Nov 2017

@Learn_lebanese The Lebanese É does not exist in Arabic. šÉyef fÉyet LebnÉn #LebaneseVsArabic Permalink 6:19 AM – 29 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Lesson #2: if you are tipsy, there is some elegance you need to maintain. Permalink 1:48 PM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Lesson #1: to get drunk with Russians, train to the following: no shame in being tipsy. It takes some training. Permalink 1:42 PM – 28 Nov 2017

@mdpopescu This. It drives me nuts (one might say it triggers me ) to see scientists take credit for engineers’ work. Scientists tell you that lasers cannot possibly work. Engineers make them work anyway. Scientists come back and claim another victory for science.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/935535056419946496   Permalink 10:10 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb This is the discussion in Antifragile about “academic” discoveries that were in fact made by practitioners. pic.twitter.com/xiLZdPOkzi Permalink 7:45 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Errata: Meant 1 in 100,000. Also note that the net contribution of economics/finance is negative. Permalink 7:35 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb I need some help. I am in Old Arbat trying to buy trinkets and need a more reliable souvenir shop. Permalink 5:37 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Which explains why, in Georgian restaurants in Moscow, I am greeted like a local cousin until I open my mouth. pic.twitter.com/jqhDlVk12j Permalink 5:31 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The odds of an academic “researcher” producing anything eventually used by society is of the order of .00001%. That includes scientists. The odds for a baker: 100% Permalink 5:08 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb People collectively chosen for their misunderstanding of tail risk, both before and after the crisis.https://twitter.com/BarbarianCap/status/935301358227517440   Permalink 2:57 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb We face 3 predators: The State, Near-State Institutions (e.g. academia, media) & Large Corporations. Large corps end up destroying themselves (life expec. <10 y in SP500). Others stick and grow.https://twitter.com/RalphNader/status/935189825229152256   Permalink 2:17 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The problem with Lebanon is rent-seeking (and the inequality coming from it), not inequality per se. Permalink 2:04 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb In other words Krugman falls for the mistake: “For academics there is no difference between academia and the real world. In the real world there is”. pic.twitter.com/BYujVSb0Nu Permalink 12:48 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Inded ideas don’t have skin in the game if the people holding them don’t.https://twitter.com/AustinEinhorn/status/935299974589382657   Permalink 12:17 AM – 28 Nov 2017

@maciejolpinski why a 17 year old altcoin trader might be more ‘rational’ than any Twitter crypto-theorist (including myself), opinion without option < option without opinion pic.twitter.com/QZ35RKH4QR Permalink 11:16 PM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Sloppiness alert: rising “life expectancy” has no effect on social security. It is driven by childhood mortality. You care about conditional life expectancy >65 (or 68). This is very common mistake.https://www.marketwatch.com/story/warning-social-security-faces-a-23-cut-2017-11-27?link=sfmw_tw   Permalink 2:24 PM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Note that neither medicine nor engineering are academia-driven pursuits, rather practice and apprenticeship-based. Permalink 2:14 PM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Erratum 2 Antikhrupkost Permalink 1:03 PM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Footnote: Lektchuring Birds How to Fly in Antifragile discusses the myth that science -> technology, rather than reverse. Permalink 12:48 PM – 27 Nov 2017

@The_Cyrenian But by all means, send hundreds of millions more to terrorists to keep killing Syrian Christians like me and burning our churches to the ground… pic.twitter.com/mR8b8GaJrh Permalink 11:32 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Academics, when they leave academia become at best back-office support staff, not decision-makers. Not like the grocery store owner who owns his own risk. Permalink 10:23 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Erratum: Москва Permalink 9:59 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb If majority of academics vote Democrat, it is not random: they 1) don’t have skin in the game, (others take risks for them) 2) are not productive members of society but want to lecture others on what to do 3) have steady income etc.https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/934863186494459904   Permalink 9:52 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Mockba Many many Russians interested in Antikhtupkim and disorder… Was told there is no Russian recipe for squid ink. pic.twitter.com/gfIIYLjvO4 Permalink 9:43 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The NYT generalizing: because its friends have problems, ALL men are a problem. Shoddy. Same defensive generalization when I accuse someone w/o skin in the game of being a BS vendor/pseudoexpert: Taleb calls “everybody” a BS vendor/pseudoexpert. Permalink 1:02 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb In other words, such a reasoning would lead to preemptively arrest all vegetarians w/mustache. Permalink 12:19 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The logical fallacy of affirming the consequent. If ALL wars are preceded by tensions, NOT ALL tensions lead to war (empirically, most tensions lead to agreements/parties). If ALL members of the Smith family all tall, NOT ALL tall pple from Smith family.https://twitter.com/TheViewFromLL2/status/934596850895777792   Permalink 12:08 AM – 27 Nov 2017

@TMFStoffel When I read things like this — supporting @nntaleb’s theory of the body’s antifragility and the eventual harm of interventionism — it makes me wonder about ever icing a pulled muscle, taking ibuprofen, etc again https://www.thedailybeast.com/let-it-burn-why-you-should-let-fevers-run-their-course   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/ua8SKljKvm”>  pic.twitter.com/ua8SKljKvm Permalink 8:55 PM – 26 Nov 2017

@nntaleb A speculation in Antifragile.https://twitter.com/yzilber/status/934841513787326464   Permalink 10:00 AM – 26 Nov 2017

@romepix A moment in #Naples #Italy pic.twitter.com/9ynFP1a5zn Permalink 5:40 AM – 26 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Finally getting rid of IYIs and Empty Suits.https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/934446997288964097   Permalink 4:21 AM – 26 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Twitter getting a taste of its medicine.https://twitter.com/businessinsider/status/934504253661630465   Permalink 12:38 AM – 26 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Ergodic measures of inequality give a v. different story. Cc: @ole_b_peters Permalink 12:34 AM – 26 Nov 2017

@nntaleb This is class-envy driven BS both statistically & philosophically. Unfortunately it is infecting Lebanon.https://twitter.com/karimbitar/status/934660336761888769   Permalink 12:32 AM – 26 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Presence in South England: You can see how an Anatolian/Syrian gene went NorthWest with Roman soldiers (the “diversity” of that ignorant Mary Beard). Permalink 2:12 PM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 20 years ago…https://twitter.com/murkycwaters/status/934512451617542144   Permalink 1:05 PM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Attention conspiracists: I am on my way to Moscow. Just letting you know, speculate & theorize. (Last trip was cut short for personal reasons.) Permalink 10:43 AM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Fellow is a NYT columnist. Now if you don’t classify this fellow as repressive, authoritarian, insultingly illiberal “liberal”, you have a problem reasoning.https://twitter.com/CharlesMBlow/status/934159382874640386   Permalink 8:57 AM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Fellow is a NYT columnist. Now if you don’t classify this fellow as repressive, authoritarian, insultingly illiberal “liberal”, you have a problem reasoning. https://twitter.com/CharlesMBlow/status/934159382874640386   Permalink 8:57 AM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The point is not so much plagiarism as the fact that readers get offended seeing ethical breaches. Permalink 6:56 AM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Plagiarism alert: by one Luca de Sandro in @StartingFinance. Luckily, readers shout fraud when they see fraud. pic.twitter.com/6s9AG4Kj2y Permalink 6:40 AM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Statists who want to impose topdown solutions on pple agst their will have the NERVE to talk abt “authoritarianism”. “Nudger” @CassSunstein, clueless abt risk/probability, tried to manipulate citizens under Obama, (s.a. prevent them from knowing they were consuming GMOs). pic.twitter.com/KDKGnu0Xr7 Permalink 5:10 AM – 25 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The bankruptcy of the NYT? of Monsanto? The collapse of Saudi Barbaria? pic.twitter.com/UYU4uuWV7j Permalink 5:01 PM – 24 Nov 2017

@GabrielSaidR I agree but religion did matter here – it was a Sufi mosque. https://twitter.com/quixoticnada/status/934108668919992320   Permalink 11:50 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@anhistorian In honor of Thomas Friedman’s latest love letter to Saudi here is 70 years of the NY Times describing #Saudi royals in the language of #reform. Permalink 7:26 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Arabic root same as other Semitic ones. pic.twitter.com/juriVuOw6c Permalink 7:20 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb This is the reasoning defect by which Arabist idiots and Western IYIs deem that if word in Levantine has similar Arabic root, it comes FROM Arabic. On Wikipedia Levantine is called “Levantine Arabic” when Arabic came LATER. Permalink 7:14 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Erratum: I meant גבר in Heb not גָדוֹל. GVR root. Permalink 7:00 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Algebra is NOT necessarily from Arabic. That’s the problem w/ignorant historians of science. 2 roots: AKKADIAN (Babylon): gabaru =>compute(equivalence betw. solar & lunar._ CANNANITE & ARAMAIC: GBR is to “make bigger” (גָדוֹל in Heb = powerful), gabra= man/strong in Aram.https://twitter.com/Acts17/status/933787306766585858   Permalink 6:41 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The J2b1 concentration, while hard to reverse-engineer w/the (elementary) probability used by geneticists, is relatively easy to do via Brownian Bridge. pic.twitter.com/3dBUtWofvo Permalink 5:44 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb New book uses Thomas Friedman @tomfriedman as representative of the criminally stupid no-skin in the game BS vendor/pearshape warmonger who destroys societies. pic.twitter.com/oxXI6a9xfK Permalink 5:08 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Final, with thanks. pic.twitter.com/6LPagRXYUw Permalink 3:47 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb My attempt at solution. pic.twitter.com/YqNFE3kdEh Permalink 2:37 AM – 24 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Dear @ehsani22, relax, NYT’s @tomfriedman is the perfect negative indicator; NEVER been right on anything: Iraq, Lybia, Syria, Leb, Trump, globalization, complexity. Means MBS and Saudi Barbaria are doomed.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/933855871653867520   Permalink 6:05 PM – 23 Nov 2017

@mns Crucial point. Overuse of words we have to describe atrocities not only diminishes victims of those past atrocities, but it blunts the main weapon (language) we have to prevent future atrocitieshttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/933305380544962561   Permalink 3:36 PM – 23 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 3) Monoculturist. Permalink 9:58 AM – 23 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Note that I put “LEFT” in quotes. A lot of people on the left w/discernment abilities or civil libertarians, pacifists, nonstatists, localists, communitarians, etc. do not identify w/such a category. Permalink 8:53 AM – 23 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Thanksgiving Quiz, continuation of @CutTheKnotMath’s random interval problem. https://twitter.com/CutTheKnotMath/status/933024468527611904   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/ShgW12b8XQ”>  pic.twitter.com/ShgW12b8XQ Permalink 6:42 AM – 23 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The “LEFT”: Repressive. Anti-localist, anti-decentralization. Anti freedom of speech. Warmongering, militarist. Interventionist. Manipulation of pple w/nudges. Elitist/IYI. Anti self-determination of minorities worldwide. Race obsessed. Pro-Salafascists. Anti #SkinintheGame Permalink 6:08 AM – 23 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Decisions are not about epistemic beliefs, but operational ones. Religion is often very rational…https://medium.com/incerto/how-to-be-rational-about-rationality-432e96dd4d1a   Permalink 12:16 PM – 22 Nov 2017

@AStratelates Nope. As @nntaleb points out, EVEN IF THE SUPERNATURAL DOESN’T EXIST and prayer doesn’t work, it fulfills our intervention tendency without harm. You’re just a bigoted asshole if you’re denigrating people praying.https://twitter.com/ArtturiArtturi/status/933254493373788160   Permalink 9:58 AM – 22 Nov 2017

@DonTravlos As the son of one of the victims of hitler glad someone with the authority of a Taleb finally said it Permalink 9:47 AM – 22 Nov 2017

@garyruskin “The best virtue requires courage,” writes @nntaleb http://bit.ly/2zr7yq7   “If I were to describe the perfect virtuous acts, it would be to take currently frowned upon positions, those penalized by the common discourse (particularly when funded by lobbyists).” ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/yW0viTtm4a”>  pic.twitter.com/yW0viTtm4a Permalink 6:42 AM – 22 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Blabbering Pseudolib Idiots Took Over Academia: The idea of comparing someone to Hitler: 1) who doesn’t actively conduct genocide, 2) invade neighbors, 3) muzzles speech , 4) etc. is an insult to the true victims of Hitler.https://twitter.com/jordanbpeterson/status/933068639867084800   Permalink 4:05 AM – 22 Nov 2017

@CaesarIpse An inmersive week in philosophy, finance, markets and risk taking from bright practitioners who know their “ting” and awesome peers!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/932985129202520064   Permalink 12:20 PM – 21 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A problem of random intervals https://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/RandomIntervals.shtml   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Nq0X7BVNbp”>  pic.twitter.com/Nq0X7BVNbp Permalink 9:29 AM – 21 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 12) The Scandinavians (and the Swiss) get it that taxation requires a level of TRUST found in municipalities, possibly regions, never large anonymous states. (Scalability & Skin in the Game)https://twitter.com/liberbabian/status/933006238434058240   Permalink 8:57 AM – 21 Nov 2017

@nntaleb We managed with RWRI a technical education that has no BS no pol correctness &no admin fat. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10155395509003375   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/4U4LdCwlmn”>  pic.twitter.com/4U4LdCwlmn Permalink 6:52 AM – 21 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 11) As tribes grow, I can understand paying protection money to warriors: Pax Romana/Ottomana/Habsburgianana even Americana to preserve PROPERTY RIGHTS. Historical rate ~2-10%. It is much harder to understand coercive redistribution & subsidies to rent seeking bureaucrats. Permalink 6:28 AM – 21 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 10) SCALING. A- Imagine you’re a hunter. You give a share (say ⅓) to a pool for invalid members of tribe; for social norms & #SITG symmetry. B- Community grows, someone FORCES you to give ⅓ to an administration managed far away, some of it pays salary of P. Krugman. Permalink 5:45 AM – 21 Nov 2017

@nntaleb You mean this Falkenstein? http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/smear.html   Permalink 4:41 AM – 21 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Mr @_tomazy 1) #Jews went down in Bagdad & Cairo by 100% and 99.99% (not an approximation). If that’s not evidence, I don’t what is. 2) The explicit mission by Qatar/KSA is a Sunni replacement to Alawis. Thank you. Permalink 1:13 PM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 9) CLASS ENVY isn’t from truck driver in South Texas, but from a NY/DC Ivy League educated IYI (Krugman, Stiglitz) w/sense of entitlement upset some “less smart” pple are much richer.https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46   Permalink 11:49 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb That’s the problem with Big Government, not one with taxation. Gabish? Permalink 9:34 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 8) When you disguize CLASS ENVY as an intellectual argument (as Piketty, Krugman, IYIs), it always, always shows. Permalink 7:58 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 7) So we accept tht taxes are collective coersion; we can make it rational by allowing groups to form their own communities w/their own collective rules, as in CHF. This is why the ONLY political orientation I have is LOCALISM. Permalink 7:40 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 6) I only reply to comments that are wrong, not those that are sufficiently stupid to be “not even wrong”. Permalink 7:34 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 5) In that sense taxation can be seen as a Punishment ( جزية) on the wealthy for them to be allowed to stay wealthy. Which is OK, but don’t be fooled. Permalink 6:36 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 4) Islamic law gives insights: taxes are separated as 1) Charity ( زكاة, alms) vs. 2) Punishment ( جزية) (on Dhimmis (like me) to be allowed to stay Christian+ خراج). Charity (~2-3%) goes to the poor, Punishment to state coffers/military. Charity implies *thanking* benefactor. Permalink 6:32 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Accept disproportionate taxation, but be no fool: it is the coercive result of 1man-1vote just as in past it was military force. in LCD, it is patronage. In past, taxation was disguized as “Protection” & small, w/~5-15%. Then became “services”. Now “fairness”. Permalink 6:09 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The reason we have “progressive” taxation is the 1 person-1 vote, with the spin that zero-sum, which applies only to IYI jobs.https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46   Permalink 5:24 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Fake narrative to justify expropriation: 1% of taxpayers pay ~ half of taxes for SAME services. You want them to pay 110%? 200%?https://twitter.com/B_Ehrenreich/status/931934347699073027   Permalink 4:57 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@bthies_watashi Legibility, explained. https://www.ribbonfarm.com/2010/07/26/a-big-little-idea-called-legibility/   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/C38sFtQIPe”>  pic.twitter.com/C38sFtQIPe Permalink 4:23 AM – 20 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Arab League = Sunni League. States that will be outside of it will prosper. Like Malta. Permalink 3:28 PM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 1st step, Arab states delegitimized their Jews (1940s) 2nd, they deligitimized Copts (1950s) 3rd, they deligitimized Maronites (1970s) 4th, they deligitimized Alawis (2011) Final step, they deligitimized Shiites (2017) Which means good luck to the Sunni League. .https://twitter.com/MaxAbrahms/status/932384538239660034   Permalink 3:19 PM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Exactly my argument “surgeons should not look like surgeons”!!!https://twitter.com/DamnPatriot/status/932351341531451392   Permalink 1:12 PM – 19 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 4186 from the Crux Mathematicorum Mathematicorum https://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Calculus/Crux4186.shtml   #FigureThat #math #calculus #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/u76CAdUgyH”>  pic.twitter.com/u76CAdUgyH Permalink 9:15 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Another chapter shows that individual “irrationality” is necessary for collective behavior. Also almost all of Thaler’s work misuses probability distributions.https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3   Permalink 8:48 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Nudging is a mechanism that lead you to act according to Thaler and Sunstein both very ignorant of probability, & increases risk in society.https://twitter.com/timurkuran/status/932285532847124480   Permalink 8:39 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Added this to the final draft: the problem with universalists. pic.twitter.com/tdRAnB829K Permalink 7:03 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Many pseudolibs & other idiots who replied to the Persian Muslim wife point don’t get it that the ONLY evidence of nonracism is one’s private life.https://medium.com/incerto/the-merchandising-of-virtue-b548762658f0   Permalink 6:48 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@BadgerPundit For 99% of us, better to block, not mute. Here’s the classic argument for that: https://www.gadgette.com/2016/05/20/why-its-better-to-mute-your-twitter-trolls-than-block-them  . But Taleb’s in a different situation, as many read his thread, and he needs to block people who ruin them for everyone. A tragedy-of-the-commons problem. Permalink 6:27 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb NITPICKING: Commenting/debating a point of no relevance to the substance of the argument; whether right or wrong, no effect, while distracting pple. Gabish? Permalink 5:47 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb This is a prime example of nitpicking coupled with distortion of my initial statement.https://twitter.com/LouaiWafa/status/932231680240136193   Permalink 5:42 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Should I block this responder?https://twitter.com/PwoodsNY/status/932239710788911104   Permalink 5:33 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Sunday Heuristic: Block nitpickers before trolls as they damage the discourse much more effectively by diverting it (pple engage nitpickers more than trolls). Permalink 4:53 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb They don’t mention that Wahabis in Saudi Barbaria currently ban dogs as impure animals.http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2017/11/these-may-be-world-s-first-images-dogs-and-they-re-wearing-leashes   Permalink 4:28 AM – 19 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Why is it that pple, in 2017, still don’t get the properties of Fat Tails? Is it a reasoning defect or because it is so hard? @DrCirillohttps://twitter.com/ramez/status/916803279362834437   Permalink 5:42 PM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 3) And ha! Zaraqu means both BLUE and GREEN! pic.twitter.com/cxTuXtdgUa Permalink 4:44 PM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 2) In Aramaic, both Green and Yellow <= ירוק pic.twitter.com/QdPw809iFU Permalink 4:34 PM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Tarjamt Taḱt Prokrustes xal kinxané-jdid (Modern Canaanite). pic.twitter.com/2wl4yhstXF Permalink 12:37 PM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Tit for tat game theoretic Popper’s Paradox: the minute you cease to tolerate, I become intolerant.https://twitter.com/normonics/status/931914784035008513   Permalink 8:37 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Semitic Philology Saturday. Recall frm Antifragile that Greeks (and Heb) had no word for color blue. Closest old semitic word for Green is…Erz (->Cedar) or 7ashab (->wood) or ירוק ورق ->paper Permalink 7:31 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@shrykescythe Mike was never even the biggest voice or totally convinced on Pizzagate, yet media decided to do everything to stick the label on him. Brainwashed sheep just parrot “Pizzagate guy” without ever studying the facts. Permalink 6:57 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb When I have drinks w/someone on the left (I do weekly), nobody on the right bothers me. When I have drinks w/someone on the right, the “left” goes wild. (f*** them). #PopperParadox: never, never tolerate intolerance. Permalink 5:45 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb In Brazil, I thought kidnappers settled for 10-20% of the NW of the victim. Saudi Arabia: 70%. Corruption Schmoruption: none shd ever invest in Aramco, stock in a country that expropriates to balance budget. #ضد_آل_سعود Permalink 5:41 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@mikeandallie Finding e by throwing darts: https://mikesmathpage.wordpress.com/2017/11/18/finding-e-by-throwing-darts/   #math #mathchat inspired by @nntaleb @CutTheKnotMath @giohio and @JohnAllenPaulos Permalink 5:17 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@GreenRupertRead Green Brexit push set to continue despite amendments defeat > Yes: we fight on to save the @PrecPrinciple! [Pse RT!]https://www.businessgreen.com/bg/analysis/3021199/green-brexit-push-continues-despite-amendments-defeat   Permalink 4:42 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb How do I know that @Cernovich is not racist? #SkinintheGame: He has a Persian Muslim wife (& a half Persian daughter). Ignore talk (by pple & abt pple), observe what people do. Permalink 3:40 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@hichambh Looks like chef Sébastien Bras has read the work of @nntaleb Acclaimed French chef asks to be stripped of three Michelin starshttps://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/sep/20/sebastien-bras-french-chef-three-michelin-stars-le-suquet-laguiole?CMP=share_btn_tw   Permalink 3:26 AM – 18 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Lecture on Cybercrime at RWRI 6: Our policy now is to hire instructors from 1) past attendees 2) people who practice exactly what they talk about. No academic should teach anything nonacademic. pic.twitter.com/A81t3glD7E Permalink 6:40 PM – 17 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Happy Birthday Mike C @Cernovich pic.twitter.com/ye98U8cCxf Permalink 5:49 PM – 17 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Voila https://www.dropbox.com/s/5n9qosuiqso97cz/GordianNov17.tex?dl=0   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Ij0TsjQTaI”>  pic.twitter.com/Ij0TsjQTaI Permalink 5:16 PM – 17 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Just a reminder that, as a philosopher @mpigliucci has a problem with Truth.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/comment-on-klueless-massimo-s-comments-massimo-pigliucci-of-the-mary-beard-twitter-debate-4c99a36de40   Permalink 4:19 PM – 17 Nov 2017

@mackthefresh Last day of Real World Risk with @nntaleb. It’s been great! Still waiting for the deadlift demonstration though. pic.twitter.com/a3hVo2Y17K Permalink 8:23 AM – 17 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath An inequality in 2+2 variables from SSMA magazine https://www.cut-the-knot.org/arithmetic/algebra/SSMA5454.shtml   #FigureThat #math#algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/qwC7TpSWnG”>  pic.twitter.com/qwC7TpSWnG Permalink 8:03 AM – 17 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Thought of the day: never trust the thought & science of anyone who is not free. Being free means no honors, no position, nothing other than one’s own thought. pic.twitter.com/nUZo5gbB3V Permalink 5:30 AM – 17 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Some people get that universalism & globalism lead to monoculture.https://twitter.com/startupdaemon/status/931241391468023808   Permalink 11:24 AM – 16 Nov 2017

@nntaleb My answer is here: SITG vs CONFLICT OF INTEREST pic.twitter.com/F0NeZ4VnUG Permalink 7:46 AM – 16 Nov 2017

@ProbFact Chaos and the beta distribution https://www.johndcook.com/blog/2017/09/27/quadratic-iteration-distribution/   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/aNeM4LBDcZ”>  pic.twitter.com/aNeM4LBDcZ Permalink 7:12 AM – 16 Nov 2017

@MaxAbrahms Since the start of the Cold War the strategy of U.S. Mideast proxies has been to sell themselves as strategic assets by constantly adjusting their professed utility depending on the latest geopolitical threat.https://twitter.com/tparsi/status/931164578431475712   Permalink 6:22 AM – 16 Nov 2017

@GreenRupertRead The House of Commons has just voted against retaining the @PrecPrinciple into UK law. Good bye protection; hello recklessness and potential devastation of our posterity. A shameful failure of leadership. [Please RT.]https://twitter.com/HouseofCommons/status/930926163735863296   Permalink 11:57 PM – 15 Nov 2017

My point is not just that real humans…

My point is not just that real humans capture the world with less adorned/narrated bullshit than academics. What distinguishes the real human from the academic is not experience, but rather the AntiFragile convex risktaking mindset that led to have experience in the first place.

(Obviously the point doesn’t affect matters that are meant to be theoretical like mathematics or physics.)

via My point is not just that real humans… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Facebook.