Tag Archives: Pompeo

Sunstein, Stephens, Christian Trinity, Russians, Dodd Frank, Pompeo, Klueless Massimo, Hagia Sophia | Twitter

@trishankkarthik “In general, we have a lot of uncertainty about the world, but we have very little uncertainty about what to do.” — Another classic from @nntaleb at #RWRI Permalink 9:02 AM – 28 May 2018

@nntaleb Mafik téktob el lughat el Europiyyé bil7arf el 3arabé. L Atrak jarrabo l7arf llatiné zabatét ma3on la2nno fi ktir kilmét Europiyyé 3indon, mitl 3inna. Permalink 8:05 AM – 28 May 2018

@nntaleb The traditional mission of the journalist is to 1) be independent, 2) fight power on behalf of citizens. We are getting, with very few exceptions, cowards who worry about their reputation & are afraid to fight the monoculture. Permalink 4:49 AM – 28 May 2018

@nntaleb Ahamm shi bil legha ma ma3rwf min weyn jéyé bas na3rwf weyn banna nekhda! Permalink 4:23 AM – 28 May 2018

@nntaleb The great Andrew Gelman @StatModeling catches the chronic nudgeboy @CassSunstein in an explosion of BShttp://andrewgelman.com/2018/05/26/click-find-2-top-researchers-hyped-work-nyt-op-ed/   Permalink 3:25 AM – 28 May 2018

@nntaleb Hiyyé lfikra hon latéfhamo ma 3am ni7ké 3arabé bass legha a3ta2 minna ktir.https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c   Permalink 2:53 AM – 28 May 2018

@nntaleb Don’t have the courage. It’s all about courage. https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/1000757154616197121   Permalink 6:06 PM – 27 May 2018

@nntaleb Ma zabatét abl ma3 sa3id 3a2l, halla2 rej3ét lfikra tettabba2, ma3 1) el-social media w 2) mawt mashru3 l 3urubé bi Lebnén (w Suriyya’l gharbiyyé). Wa2ta halla2. “An idea whose time has come”. Permalink 5:11 PM – 27 May 2018

@nntaleb This BS Vendor @BretStephensNYT is so mean & stupid that it makes the case for @elonmusk’s project to force journos to have skin in the game.https://twitter.com/bretstephensnyt/status/1000368955532378112   Permalink 10:57 AM – 27 May 2018

@AndrewNoymer Rachel Carson lead us to reckoning with DDT, a component of the first “green revolution”. I hope the day of reckoning is coming for glyphosate, neonicotinoids, etc., and the agricultural GMOs that drive their demand.https://www.nytimes.com/2018/05/26/opinion/sunday/insects-bugs-naturalists-scientists.html   Permalink 10:19 AM – 27 May 2018

@nntaleb Lfar2 béyn l legha wl lahjé hiyyé bass l kitébé. Ktubo bil lebnéné/Neo-Ken3ané/Neo-Fini2é. Ma tste7o min leghét jdudkon! Ma tste7o! Ana la7 tarjém kitbé 3al Néo-Ken3ané. Permalink 8:59 AM – 27 May 2018

@nntaleb Turned out, I was invited, but the invitation was in my unopened mail folder. Maybe I should start reading my mail.https://twitter.com/KremlinRussia_E/status/1000351347395518464   Permalink 6:09 AM – 27 May 2018

@nntaleb To summarize the central problem addressed in my technical book. pic.twitter.com/DvX5BRM05r Permalink 5:09 AM – 27 May 2018

@DrK_W1984 3/3…and I’m hopeful it provides a way to understand and encourage religious/ atheist tolerance. #Skininthegame pic.twitter.com/zXYL5uDiKc Permalink 4:50 AM – 27 May 2018

@RJMourinha “Don’t waste time trying to get an A because you’re not going to remember all that shit.” @nntaleb speaks with @tylercowen for @cowenconvos (via @farnamstreet)https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler/tyler-cowen-nassim-nicholas-taleb-skin-in-the-game-black-swan-104620da8a57?source=userActivityShare-bd38f1557777-1527418371   Permalink 4:05 AM – 27 May 2018

@KarinLitzcke Speaking of this amazing interview, in it, @nntaleb also clarifies the nature of the tensions underlying a pesky, long-standing and ongoing series of conflicts: pic.twitter.com/PRZtQ1CnTu Permalink 2:27 PM – 26 May 2018

@KarinLitzcke In this wide-ranging interview, @nntaleb explains in a single paragraph what armchair academic critics of @jordanbpeterson miss about why he connects w public & they don’t:https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler/tyler-cowen-nassim-nicholas-taleb-skin-in-the-game-black-swan-104620da8a57   Permalink 2:12 PM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb This seems to be a good summary for those of us who lost interest.https://usa.spectator.co.uk/2018/05/for-your-eyes-only-a-short-history-of-democrat-spy-collusion/   Permalink 10:16 AM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb From Silent Risk pic.twitter.com/pOsJ1UZ3zv Permalink 7:59 AM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb Something they also don’t get about impatience: survivorship bias. Delaying gratification means also taking much, much more hidden risks (“a bird in the hand”). In human nature vs psychologists, ignore psychologists. See Silent Risk.https://twitter.com/SteveStuWill/status/1000161206383009793   Permalink 7:37 AM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb “If you want people to buy a book tell them it’s overrated” [Bed of Procrustes] “Buy houses they call overpriced; read books called overrated; invest in markets called irrational; do things you enjoy that they can’t explain.”https://twitter.com/Samueltadros/status/1000099997097037825   Permalink 7:12 AM – 26 May 2018

@lee_alley You know, I’ve read innumerable philosophers, theologians, religious people, authors, for years & no one has gotten the Christian trinity in a one-er as succinctly as ex-trader & something-or-the-other guru @nntaleb https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler/tyler-cowen-nassim-nicholas-taleb-skin-in-the-game-black-swan-104620da8a57   3 sentences to distill 3 Moltmann books! Permalink 5:54 AM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb Watch out: I block nitpickers, particularly those who nitpick aphorisms. Gabish? Permalink 4:38 AM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb (No, the point is that complaining is what losers do.) Permalink 3:51 AM – 26 May 2018

@nntaleb You want your enemies to complain about you. The more they complain, the better. Permalink 3:44 AM – 26 May 2018

@BrankoMilan And I doubt very much self-reported trust indicators (which these studies use) because I think it is only _behavior_ of people which matters not what people say they believe. (Not original; @nntaleb makes the same point.) Permalink 1:49 PM – 25 May 2018

@nntaleb 1) Pinker doesn’t understand statistical significance, bul**ts about it when caught. 2) Science = statistically significant. Gabish?https://twitter.com/j_jason_bell/status/1000005147660087296   Permalink 7:40 AM – 25 May 2018

@nntaleb Russian Keto: pork fat, unapologetic. Helps with both keto and drinking. pic.twitter.com/KKXlCVYsuh Permalink 11:32 AM – 24 May 2018

@nntaleb A little bit of background on why you need to learn to get drunk with Russianshttps://medium.com/incerto/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577?source=linkShare-f138bf5466fe-1527186538   Permalink 11:29 AM – 24 May 2018

@nntaleb Getting drunk with Russians! pic.twitter.com/Iw8t2Gonp7 Permalink 10:14 AM – 24 May 2018

@nntaleb Paper was accepted by a journal. I accidentally submitted it in place of another file and just got the report. Permalink 8:36 AM – 24 May 2018

@nntaleb Saint Petersburgh, todayhttps://twitter.com/IgnacioYbanez/status/999638587657342976   Permalink 8:09 AM – 24 May 2018

@IgnacioYbanez @nntaleb insiste en la fragilidad de las cosas, pero también en la repetición de las cosas. Ahora las tablets han sustituido a los ordenadores que sustituyeron a los libros, pero las tablets nos recuerdan las tablas que utilizaban los antiguos @SPIEF pic.twitter.com/HADimE5ljS Permalink 6:05 AM – 24 May 2018

@nntaleb Riskiere deine Haut oder schweig https://www.nzz.ch/feuilleton/riskiere-deine-haut-oder-schweig-ld.1387508   via @nzz Permalink 3:11 AM – 24 May 2018

@nntaleb I am game! Under the condition that the public is never anonymous. Skin in the game all the way. Permalink 4:30 PM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb Yuuuuuuge conversation with @tylercowen (but photos don’t show recent 8lbs weight loss!) https://medium.com/conversations-with-tyler/tyler-cowen-nassim-nicholas-taleb-skin-in-the-game-black-swan-104620da8a57   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/jo9YnsElKu”>  pic.twitter.com/jo9YnsElKu Permalink 3:35 PM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb Fi ktir ktir amtél bil-lébnéné ghayra.https://twitter.com/turlevnon/status/999256588396482560   Permalink 3:05 PM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb лучший музей в мире pic.twitter.com/LsiToosq96 Permalink 5:36 AM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb Bye Bye Dodd Frank, good riddance: pages & pages of regulations, nothing about skin in the game. Skin in the game >> all other regulations. pic.twitter.com/b1X90zT2iO Permalink 4:49 AM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb And another truth: linguists use circular definitions. Not science.https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c?source=linkShare-f138bf5466fe-1527061227   Permalink 12:41 AM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb The great truth: in countries whose official language is “Arabic”, Arabic is a 3rd language (except for Peninsula, v. religious pple & scholars): people are triglossic: easier to read/write in English/Turkish/French than in Arabic. Time for countries to use their own language. Permalink 12:22 AM – 23 May 2018

@nntaleb Two GMO campaigners smearing me turned out to be abusers/spouse beaters. I don’t find it ethical to use it against them & their opinions. Likewise if a scientist has crazy ideas on race w/which I disagree, I would excoriate him, but never deny his other contributions. Gabish?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/998957877577568256   Permalink 9:19 AM – 22 May 2018

@nntaleb Aside from klueless Massimo’s usual unrigorous utterances: car mechanics, dentists, & plumbers are checked by users, can’t BS for a living (#skininthegame), BOTH at the level of individual & profession. Philosophers are checked by one another, hence citation ring & BS vending.https://twitter.com/mpigliucci/status/998610671095951360   Permalink 7:27 AM – 22 May 2018

@nntaleb BUREAUCRAT-WARMONGER CLASS WITHOUT SKIN IN THE GAME Mr Pompeo, these ignorant & agressive actions to “promote peace security” have been promoting instability. Bureaucrats like you never learn from past mistakes, are not subjected to evolutionary selection.https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/996876381983268866   Permalink 4:31 AM – 22 May 2018

@jaolavebo As reiterated in @nntaleb literature… Landmark lawsuit claims Monsanto hid cancer danger of weedkiller for decadeshttps://www.theguardian.com/business/2018/may/22/monsanto-trial-cancer-weedkiller-roundup-dewayne-johnson?CMP=share_btn_tw   Permalink 3:40 AM – 22 May 2018

@nntaleb Bone marrow pic.twitter.com/Yk6uh4BBG8 Permalink 5:19 PM – 21 May 2018

@nntaleb As a general rule, most “regrets” after one is caught’s aren’t regrets about having committed the action, but regrets about having been caught. Apologies count only when they are spontaneous, coming out of deep principles. Otherwise they are just an expression of submission. Permalink 3:09 PM – 21 May 2018

@ThomasSieckmann @nntaleb is this Fat Tony’s car?https://twitter.com/covenentlite/status/998663143026020352   Permalink 3:07 PM – 21 May 2018

@nntaleb You need to buy a copy of @davidgraeber’s “Bul***t Jobs”, about jobs that, if they didn’t exist, wouldn’t have to be invented. But there are b***t professions that can be eliminated w/o harm (& w/gains) Which is the most “b***t” profession? Permalink 9:45 AM – 20 May 2018

@nntaleb Reviews that get it are starting to come ‘Skin in the Game’: A Political Treatise for Liberty that Turns the Golden Rule Upside-Down | Arnold Kling https://fee.org/articles/skin-in-the-game-a-political-treatise-for-liberty-that-turns-the-golden-rule-upside-down/   via @feeonline Permalink 8:55 AM – 20 May 2018

@nntaleb Complication w/o insight: Taking gloves off in my new technical but antiacademic book: uncensored thanks to pub house w @TuckerMax. Emergence of ProbabilityTwitter w/ @HarryDCrane, @ole_b_peters RealWldRisk co-founder @financequant & others fighting for clarity over nonsense. pic.twitter.com/MOM6aOIczf Permalink 7:29 AM – 20 May 2018

@KourdaN As a government employee, I have to say that I hate everything I am reading in SITG, mostly because it is painfully true. Permalink 7:07 AM – 20 May 2018

@nntaleb Nerds posting about Skin in the Game: “… but he is very, very rude to academics” do not realize that it actually makes people more interested in the book. Permalink 6:55 AM – 20 May 2018

@Castello_F Los aforismos de @nntalebhttp://www.elmundo.es/papel/cultura/2018/04/01/5ac0a99de5fdea620d8b45ab.html   Permalink 3:35 AM – 20 May 2018

@carlcarrie Excellent empirical paper co-authored by forecasting luminary Makridakis (@spyrosmakrid) on Machine Learning prediction – results suggest #ml is still in its infancy with lower relative performance to statistical & naive methods but with great potential http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0194889   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Mat7JbCWbo”>  pic.twitter.com/Mat7JbCWbo Permalink 5:32 PM – 19 May 2018

@nntaleb By contrast I went 2x on a group offsite w/the Swedish King (who is not considered part of the royal thingy in Europe), to discuss the Precautionary Pple. He flew economy w/us, then took a chartered bus. No instruction list. Permalink 4:26 PM – 19 May 2018

@nntaleb I was invited for “tea” with a certain member of that royal family. I was handed instructions on how to behave, what to say, how to address him, who eats 1st, meaning to signal at all times that I was inferior. I found it unbearable & humiliating, broke the rules. But still. Permalink 4:14 PM – 19 May 2018

@nntaleb I have some trouble figuring out the Brits: they are maximally politically correct & progressive in small things, yet accept to be (nominally) mere subjects of a hereditary royal family. They practically worship their present & future monarch. Permalink 3:28 PM – 19 May 2018

@nntaleb The advantage of writing on your own terms: you can fully control the aesthetics. Writing in Latex resembles painting. New model: publishing under “STEM ACADEMIC PRESS”, an outfit for peer-reviewed texts, w/the business aspect controlled by @TuckerMax’s firm. pic.twitter.com/XMAGeqAsiA Permalink 12:41 PM – 19 May 2018

@CMikaelThompson True; @nntaleb gives best explanation of Christological debates in early centuries of the Church.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/997462528576905216   Permalink 10:38 AM – 19 May 2018

@nntaleb Closing in. Slowly. Like a detective story. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-018-25912-9.pdf   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/olsFGqb5PP”>  pic.twitter.com/olsFGqb5PP Permalink 9:02 AM – 19 May 2018

@ICCS2018 Nassim Nicholas Taleb (Real World Risk Institute) has been confirmed as a speaker for #ICCS2018 @nntaleb #complexity #risk #SpeakerSeries Permalink 8:00 AM – 19 May 2018

@MargoWatroba Still on @nntaleb kick – it will be a while till I move on. One of my favorite quotes… “If you have more than one reason to do something (choose a doctor or veterinarian, hire a gardener or an employee, marry a person, go on a trip), just don’t do it.(…)” pic.twitter.com/zr1flH8RXt Permalink 9:03 PM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb Squid ink pic.twitter.com/DScW7Cv0gf Permalink 5:09 PM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb The genetic prehistory of the Greater Caucasushttps://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2018/05/16/322347   Permalink 11:39 AM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb From Skin In the Gamehttps://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 11:36 AM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb So if you like the NYT’s advocacy because it fits your orientation, you will give them a free pass for now. But you will overcompensate & distrust them heavily once they diverge ever so slightly from your views. Advocacy is not robust for a newspaper. Permalink 10:17 AM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb By explicitly choosing a “mission” & advocacy rather than sticking to journalism, the NYT & others have lost their only asset: public trust.https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/997429518867591170   Permalink 9:50 AM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb Our precautionary principle explained: how to worry ONLY about systemic fat-tails.https://twitter.com/LaurenceScialom/status/997498493458616320   Permalink 8:28 AM – 18 May 2018

@nntaleb Michael Bonner’s review (he is a classical scholar). pic.twitter.com/0crubemWkQ Permalink 6:02 AM – 18 May 2018

@john_f_hamer “The only people who think that real world experience doesn’t matter are those who’ve never had real world experience.”—Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb Permalink 11:17 PM – 17 May 2018

@SamuelGWalters Suppose that g:R -> R is a continuous function on the reals such that g(2x) = 2g(x) for all x. Does it follow that g(3x) = 3g(x) for all x? #math Permalink 8:16 PM – 17 May 2018

@DrMichaelBonner BREAKING NEWS! A draft offprint of my review of @nntaleb’s “Skin in the Game” to appear soon in The Dorchester Review (@DorchesterRev). I always try to take an unusual route into a topic. So I began here w/ the wisdom texts of the Akkadian Empire…https://www.academia.edu/36659057/Aphorisms_from_Antique_Lands   Permalink 6:27 PM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb The PDF will be available for free. Hard cover in color at about $20-30. Permalink 9:39 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb INCERTO’S TECHNICAL COMPANION, Vol 1 is almost complete. Only a matter of fixing the aesthetics, figuring out how to publish. pic.twitter.com/NVJOp583Jh Permalink 8:40 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb Given that @mpigliucci keeps spreading his article, here is the response.https://medium.com/opacity/comment-on-klueless-massimo-s-comments-massimo-pigliucci-of-the-mary-beard-twitter-debate-4c99a36de40   Permalink 7:34 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb 4) In Mount Lebanon, Maronites & Shiites used to share a (Jewish) Neder (ندر, נדר), a pledge: if one child survives a threatening disease, the family performs some rituals or name child according to the other religion, sometimes even convert. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neder   Permalink 6:49 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb 3) Differentiation of religions is new, caused by communication, exploding w/internet. Doura Europos: same room doubled as temple/synagogue/church. It had human representations. Pple could be all 3, or combination. Religion was much more local than global, pre-Saudi Barbaria. Permalink 6:38 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb 2) Some remnants of gnostic religions: Alevis, Alawis, Druze, etc. still maintain the Pagan practice of substituting religions: each individual can syncretize when in a Christian or Muslim environment. Permalink 6:32 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb 1) Problem w/modern monotheism (including a Protestant heresy called atheism) is the increased integrality, the “either/or”: you can’t be ⅓ Jewish, ⅓ Sunni, ⅓ Prostestant & rotate betw rituals. You can take pre-packaged syncretism: Cath/Orthodoxy/Shias but still indivisible. Permalink 6:24 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb Cuisine MAPS to culture, shows a difference betw “East Med” & “Middle East”. Stop mixing the 2: EAST MED (Turkey, Greece, Levant): olive oil, organo/basil/other herbs, wine, bread, hummus, squid ink, semi-f*** you attitude MIDDLE EAST (Arabia, Iraq, etc.): rarely the above.https://twitter.com/_mmgh/status/997058520867528704   Permalink 3:33 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb Friends, how can one consolidate this tweetstorm with all answers? Thankshttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/993144954032619521   Permalink 3:26 AM – 17 May 2018

@nntaleb An interesting result from a problem from @cuttheknot. pic.twitter.com/RJ61FlCvPQ Permalink 5:46 PM – 16 May 2018

@GreenRupertRead BREAKING: The upper house votes by 294 to 244 to preserve the E.U. environmental principles (incl the Precautionary Principle), to legally back animal sentience, and to have a genuinely strong environmental watchdog. >Result!< (Please RT) Permalink 9:24 AM – 16 May 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Amoeba’s survival https://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/AmoebaSurvival.shtml   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/xv1u2JyHf5″>  pic.twitter.com/xv1u2JyHf5 Permalink 8:58 AM – 16 May 2018

@ektrit Correct. European Historiography is still suffering the invention of the word “Byzantine” and its application retroactively of the previous 15 centuries from the 19th and 20th century for political purposes. We owe to Taleb @nntaleb that discovery in general. Permalink 3:31 AM – 16 May 2018

@ektrit Absolutely believable. I endorse this article.https://twitter.com/Medievalists/status/996654483789766656   Permalink 12:41 AM – 16 May 2018

@nntaleb The worst possible thing you can teach someone is standard statistics without the mathematics of probability to rederive estimators. You end up with all the problems of fooled by randomness: few realize that p values are often BS.https://twitter.com/a_lesniewski/status/996493533216477188   Permalink 2:05 PM – 15 May 2018

@trishankkarthik This is the most interesting Twitter thread I’ve read all week. You have no idea how much I’ve learned about the colour blue this week.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/996389272721772545   Permalink 7:34 AM – 15 May 2018

@nntaleb The Levantine word for “dark” (for skin, shades of color, etc.) is ghami2 is the same as “deep” (diff from Arabic), from Semitic root עָמוֹק. The werb ghammi2 = to go deep underwater or underground. ghame2 غامق becomes عميق (3amiq) in Arabic. Permalink 6:02 AM – 15 May 2018

@nntaleb REVISED OK, OK, needs to be a closed form fuction, with a closed form inverse. pic.twitter.com/D2JLvJGOuu Permalink 5:44 AM – 14 May 2018

@nntaleb @EGHaug and I showed how Financial economists were destroying knowledge as we had a far more sophisticated option trading heuristics (that deal with fat tails) before the standardized bad Gaussian statistics of Black Scholes. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268110001927   Permalink 5:07 AM – 14 May 2018

@nntaleb BREAKING THE CHAIN OF TRANSMISSION In the past people in finance used to learn rich heuristics from elders who picked up from elders, etc. These days they learn from an ignorant B School professor who learned from books. The same with medicine.https://twitter.com/mikeharrisNY/status/995959122217517056   Permalink 2:46 AM – 14 May 2018

@nntaleb Math Explorations: Looking for all members of the class of unbounded monotone increasing concave functions. cc:@CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/i2X7w1JNz9 Permalink 1:03 AM – 14 May 2018

@ektrit Or being Taleb @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/SowellDaily/status/995634188186521601   Permalink 4:59 AM – 13 May 2018

@nntaleb To illustrate that the “health benefits” of the Mediterranean diet aren’t in the diet: people spend their lives climbing stairs and doing intermittent fasts. pic.twitter.com/Fn1cydJZaV Permalink 3:47 AM – 13 May 2018

@nntaleb The health benefits of the “Mediterranean diet” aren’t in the food: people spend their lives climbing stairs and steep hills. Permalink 3:45 AM – 13 May 2018

@nntaleb The other problem with @Twhittermarsh is that Greeks had a very primitive color vocabulary to generate reliable spectral conclusions. No color blue until late. Look at family names: in Levant Aswad/Asmar/Ash2ar, or in France Lenoir, Lebrun, Leblanc, Leblond, etc. Permalink 2:10 AM – 13 May 2018

@nntaleb Attention GMO idiots, “scientism” promoters, & Monsantoists: side effects show up late. There is a methodology to figure out if something has a potentially bad systemic effect. There are zillions of way to deal with nature without messing it up. See http://fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/ucEWPxOnrs”>  pic.twitter.com/ucEWPxOnrs Permalink 2:03 AM – 13 May 2018

@normonics Localism. Localism is not superior due to first-order benefits The contrary, Localism is often superior because it is only in local environments that one has the opportunity to detect and respond to n-order effects Permalink 2:03 PM – 12 May 2018

@CutTheKnotMath An Inequality with Two Variables from Awesome Math https://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/InequalityInTwoVariablesFromAwesomeMath.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/712HisYgy6″>  pic.twitter.com/712HisYgy6 Permalink 7:52 AM – 12 May 2018

@Rhiju Hey @livemint , not sure if @nntaleb would agree with you depicting ‘Skin in the Game’ as a men’s fashion item in today’s frontpage. pic.twitter.com/vcFsiXWOYY Permalink 1:45 AM – 12 May 2018

@nntaleb Belated posting of the NYU Tandon class party (students and former students). pic.twitter.com/pHwqT4hTeJ Permalink 10:13 AM – 11 May 2018

@nntaleb Lebanese loan words from Turkish, often Persan, Italian or French (Arabists & postcolonial low-IQ types don’t realize many French words came via Turkish) Professions ending with -ji: bustaji, kindarji. Sofra Oda Dukkan Trabzin Franco-Venitian: Nimra Balkon Assenseur Coiffeur Permalink 11:47 PM – 10 May 2018

@nntaleb What happens when you ovelay the autosomal on the J2 haplogroup? Gives us an idea of East Med. Like a detective story. (Very very preliminary). pic.twitter.com/dkjqEmI7xd Permalink 1:28 PM – 10 May 2018

@nntaleb The busiest museum section I’ve ever visited pic.twitter.com/RJrjVjkLgd Permalink 4:48 AM – 10 May 2018

@normonics Centralized, Industrialized Agriculture as epitomized in GMO industry is truly truly top-down-soviet-harvard-style-fragility Something libertarian-minded folks need to understand. # 8,9https://twitter.com/notwokieleaks/status/994301722884542464   Permalink 8:58 PM – 9 May 2018

@TropicalMBA Forget giving your opinion of @nntaleb ‘s newest book (https://amzn.to/2CHg9Sd  ), simply report how many times you’ve read it. (2, and counting…) #skininthegame Permalink 11:21 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb Given what we starting to know about ancient DNA thanks to Reich, @iosif_lazaridis & colleagues, we should start downgrading these verbose, confused, accounts & fabrications by classicists & historians. Greeks then were very, very similar to Greeks (& Western Turks) todayhttps://twitter.com/Twhittermarsh/status/994190192251633664   Permalink 9:49 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb https://twitter.com/GhassanDahhan/status/994207500214964229   Permalink 8:34 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb The classical world is Western Asia/ Mediterranean. Little to do with “Europe” except for an anachronistic narrative. Permalink 6:13 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb https://twitter.com/drmichaelbonner/status/993884402265534464?s=21   Permalink 6:11 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb https://twitter.com/lekapenos/status/993886833363832832?s=21   Permalink 6:10 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb I am standing next to the Bosphorus. The other side is Asia. So if the BBC wanted to do a Mary Beard style historical film, shd they cat pple from Stockholm for this side & pple from Tokyo on the other? “Europe” is a miscategory. Western Eurasia-Med is the proper ecology. pic.twitter.com/GdCyKxjYel Permalink 6:09 AM – 9 May 2018

@DA_Stockman Iran Wants War—You Can Tell By How Close They Put Their Country To Washington’s Military Bases! http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/iran-wants-war-you-can-tell-by-how-close-they-put-their-country-to-washingtons-military-bases/   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/upfDmKgMkP”>  pic.twitter.com/upfDmKgMkP Permalink 5:31 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb Only bad news on pilgrimage to Hagia Sophia: 8 columns of porphyry — red marble —taken from the temple of Jupiter in Baalbeck Lebanon. pic.twitter.com/PFHzQYrr3T Permalink 5:25 AM – 9 May 2018

@nntaleb You claim you came for the history; the real reason is the loukums: pic.twitter.com/3LsIeB1YMk Permalink 3:10 AM – 9 May 2018

@Lekapenos Exactly! The concept of Europe is a byproduct of the Classical world which was not limited to Europe ffs under any definition ffshttps://twitter.com/DrMichaelBonner/status/993884402265534464   Permalink 9:14 AM – 8 May 2018

@nntaleb Val Giddings @prometheusgreen is documented to be a true evil Monsanto shill. We detected the shoddiness when he poured standard negative comments about our Precautionary paper w/o having read it. Paid to spread msg: “pesticides=science” and smear scientists. Despicable!https://twitter.com/thackerpd/status/993845578823069696   Permalink 8:17 AM – 8 May 2018

@elalterego01 Monsanto’s WMD is showing it’s longterm effects in humans https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/may/08/weedkiller-tests-monsanto-health-dangers-active-ingredient   , thank you @nntaleb for uncover this people Permalink 7:49 AM – 8 May 2018

@nntaleb Lebanese elections: 6 women elected, 2 Christian, 4 Muslim pic.twitter.com/pVzxYuSr5R Permalink 7:45 AM – 8 May 2018

@nntaleb Only 5 lbs! Permalink 7:06 AM – 8 May 2018

@nntaleb Merhaba, Kalamar mürekkebini burada (İstanbul’da) iyi bir lokantada nerede bulabilirim? Teşekkürler Permalink 7:03 AM – 8 May 2018

@nntaleb I lost weight.https://twitter.com/ozge_ozbalaban/status/993740535797112832   Permalink 11:37 PM – 7 May 2018

@zeinshami11 When @nntaleb first started hating the NYT pic.twitter.com/gD71HFe38c Permalink 10:12 AM – 7 May 2018

@nntaleb No, overeducated knuckleheads: If you can’t solve the problem, don’t take tail risks on it. WTF is it so hard to get?https://twitter.com/CodexApulum/status/993402031833575424   Permalink 7:19 AM – 7 May 2018

@nntaleb The nickname for the city Permalink 3:24 AM – 7 May 2018

@nntaleb Dünya güzeli Permalink 3:16 AM – 7 May 2018

@nntaleb 5) The contrast for Wells was betw Michelangelo & the cuckoo clock. Next step: we can contrast grand design (French “enlightenment”) vs something small that works: cuckoo clocks. Permalink 2:51 PM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb 4) CH Cuckoo Clock vs French Terror, starting with: “In CH, they had brotherly love, they had 500y of democracy & peace – and what did that produce? The cuckoo clock.” (O.Welles) Next level: universalism vs fractal particularism. Big ideas vs practical ones. Permalink 2:41 PM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb There are no successful and unsuccessful people. A few ones are just trying to be someone else. Permalink 12:28 PM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb And another one, written by a professionalhttps://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2018/05/14/risk-and-business/   Permalink 10:49 AM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb 3) is there or has there been any country where power is as distributed as CH? (Consider size of political sub-unit). Permalink 9:36 AM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb Sorry, meant CH Permalink 8:09 AM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb Friends, a CHF discussion thread. 1) Is Switzerland the only modern state that was entirely built from the bottom up? What are the main differences with pre-Bismark Germany other than CHF never had a Bismark? Did Napoleon actually DE-Centralize CHF? Permalink 8:06 AM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb Look at this emergence of a lognormal, turning into power law (in progress) pic.twitter.com/KOPLypi5pF Permalink 7:24 AM – 6 May 2018

@dougvk ‘modernity starts with the state monopoly on violence, and ends with the state’s monopoly on fiscal irresponsibility’ – @nntaleb Permalink 7:05 AM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb Another one, written by a professionalhttps://swarajyamag.com/magazine/distrust-the-know-it-all-iyi   Permalink 6:28 AM – 6 May 2018

@nntaleb Had lunch w/a student of Marc Kac. Kac & Von Neumann were driving to the airport. VN who was driving fughot to stop at a light. A fierce cop pulled them over. Cop: Where are you going like this? VN: Istanbul The cop, confused, let them off VN: See, it pays to say the truth! Permalink 2:56 PM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb Remarkably, it is still a Mandelbrot set.https://twitter.com/Rainmaker1973/status/991948733628731392   Permalink 2:16 PM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb As a general rule, whenever your intuition conflicts with that of an economist, bet on your intuition. Economists are reverse indicators: they are ~always wrong. pic.twitter.com/RCEoyT9bv6 Permalink 7:13 AM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb In the process I am discovering that, because of the vowels é and o that don’t exist in Arabic, the Latin (actually Phoenician) script is vastly more effective! We need to set standards that match what pple use on social media. Permalink 6:43 AM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb Translating the Bed of Procrustes into Neo-Phoenician/Canaanite. For comments pic.twitter.com/KRrVgsxjXz Permalink 6:36 AM – 5 May 2018

@Megadogyourmom4 pic.twitter.com/qJaSCgBTsB Permalink 4:49 AM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb https://twitter.com/SecondFoundn/status/992728524241879040   Permalink 4:48 AM – 5 May 2018

@RUGBY_STR_COACH When @Physical_Prep & @RUGBY_STR_COACH meet in argentina to discuss #skininthegame, to deadlift and eat red meat. It can only mean #flanneuringaroundtheworld. Respect to the godfather @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/VlsHdLe1Zg Permalink 4:14 AM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb The evidence…https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/981790838488485888   Permalink 4:09 AM – 5 May 2018

@nntaleb There is no known instance of an [PUT NAME HERE: Italian, etc.] calling themselves an [PUT NAME HERE: Italian, etc.], particularly if their literature isn’t extant. In fact such a claim abt Phoenicians (Canaanites) is false: see thread.https://twitter.com/bintbattuta/status/992406321591877632   Permalink 4:07 AM – 5 May 2018

@TMFStoffel Never seen the bulk of @nntaleb’s work summed up so cleanlyhttps://mises.org/wire/under-skin#.WuzBKwLdPOQ.twitter   Permalink 7:00 PM – 4 May 2018

@nntaleb Now the “organic” book reviews are coming by the load (now that, 3 months later, the press can no longer review the book). Organic book review: written by someone genuinely interested in the topic, not some hack.https://twitter.com/publicsenat/status/992505896902148096   Permalink 2:19 PM – 4 May 2018

@nntaleb Every time you give up on Trump, something surprising happens.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/992439127781072896   Permalink 11:17 AM – 4 May 2018

@nntaleb Why did @republicofmath get so upset over this? Permalink 11:12 AM – 4 May 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Let them be integers too pic.twitter.com/GlmJ0ib6D6 Permalink 11:06 AM – 4 May 2018

@nntaleb #FF Instead of enrolling in a boring math or probability class, follow MathTwitter, particularly Maestro Alexander Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 7:35 AM – 4 May 2018

@nntaleb I treat my friends as temporary pre-enemies, my enemies as temporary pre-friends, and my post-friends as permanent enemies. Permalink 7:18 AM – 4 May 2018

@nntaleb And, by the way, this is our GMO page http://fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 6:03 PM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb Fraud: This low-intellect journo, @MJGerson, devoid of scientific reasoning, claims to speaking in the name of *Science* and arbitrate what is pro or anti-science. Good news: idiots like him bring attention to GMOs: tell someone “nothing to worry about” & see how he reacts.https://twitter.com/MJGerson/status/992196603753754624   Permalink 5:59 PM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb Squid ink pic.twitter.com/leuCdZ5Rtm Permalink 5:00 PM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb No, no, no. The “empirical distribution is NOT empirical. Seehttps://www.academia.edu/36550958/The_Darwin_College_Cambridge_Lecture_Series_on_Extremes   Permalink 1:48 PM – 3 May 2018

@NonMeek Today’s #Offshorecomic with a dash of @nntaleb wisdom sprinkled on top. #academia For more visit http://www.offshorecomic.com   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/KEpFnOCJrl”>  pic.twitter.com/KEpFnOCJrl Permalink 10:09 AM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb On #WorldPressFreedomDay let us stand in solidarity with the journalists murdered, tortured, and imprisoned by the Trump administration. Permalink 9:51 AM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb We didn’t break the mafia by reasoning w/its members. Remember: you’ll never break special intrsts, lobbies, journalistic monoculturists & academic rent seekers by convincing them, but 1) by exposing them, 2) working on their customers. Accountability, put Skin in their game. Permalink 5:59 AM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb Closing in even more. How spoken Lebanese is closer to Syriac in structure. Nerd linguists Arabists s.a. @PhDniX or @lameensouag 1) aren’t even fluent in spoken Lebanese or Syriac (#skininthegame) 2) nor able to understand orthogonality to get it.https://twitter.com/turlevnon/status/991422390679818241   Permalink 4:27 AM – 3 May 2018

@nntaleb 3) Herodian etc. Are Arabists stupid? Most certainly. pic.twitter.com/ZiPw7rRtFP Permalink 3:30 PM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb 2) Berytus was called Laodicea in Phoenice. We had the 2 provinces Phoenicia Maritima /Phoenicia Libanensis Zaharias pic.twitter.com/D7GOj3byl4 Permalink 3:29 PM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb (cont) To see why social scientists are dangerous & make you do the opposite, look at this BS.https://twitter.com/PTetlock/status/955058991662551040   Permalink 2:44 PM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb Added a section to explain that Goldman Sachs survived for 149 years by explicitly avoiding SOME tail risks and taking a lot of other risks. pic.twitter.com/Qk2f7GG6Ai Permalink 2:43 PM – 2 May 2018

@animeshs Sometimes you come across lines that carry so much truth in such less words, that you can’t help but wish put them on a frame! Here is one such from #skininthegame from @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/sEiP5N9DTG Permalink 11:10 AM – 2 May 2018

@tlhote « Le rôle de la Presse est de représenter les citoyens face au pouvoir et non pas d’exercer le pouvoir sur les citoyens. La Presse ne joue plus ce rôle. Twitter permet à des citoyens comme moi d’aller contre les pouvoirs. » Et Macron veut contrôler la parole française sur le Webhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/991660644222021632   Permalink 9:24 AM – 2 May 2018

@Musa_alGharbi @nntaleb Ta-Nehisi Coates’ work empowers academics, media types, social elites to revel in a “dystopian fantasy world under the pretense of ‘keeping it real’ — and get all the perks of religious fundamentalism without ever putting any #skininthegame” :https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/05/social-scientists-liberal-bias-creates-narrow-understanding-of-problems/   Permalink 8:35 AM – 2 May 2018

@trishankkarthik Also, funny how journos defend “freedom of information” when it’s revenge porn targeting weak college girls, but not… speech.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/991655262296690688   Permalink 6:50 AM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb Meanwhile, Social Media allows me to make reviewers accountable by exposing the READING COMPREHENSION problems for some reviewers. Reviews come and go, errors by reviewers stay. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Reviewers.html   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/KFtcSD69pD”>  pic.twitter.com/KFtcSD69pD Permalink 6:09 AM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb Role of the Press: Represent citizens agst power, not exercize power over citizens. Press lost the role. Twitter allows CITIZENS like me to go against powers: Big Ag (Monsanto) Militarism & Saudi lobbies Social science/Academia BS Bankers & The Press!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/991283306233843712   Permalink 5:48 AM – 2 May 2018

@spyrosmakrid I am organizing a big competition (http://www.m4.unic.ac.cy  ) with 100,000 to determine the relative accuracy of ML versus stat methods. If you do not believe the current paper wait until the end of May Permalink 5:38 AM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb More and more details showing Charlatan Lynas (@mark_lynas) to be a shoddy character –from his reaction to any threat to the agri-chemical interests and his techniques to smear people & scientists.https://twitter.com/thackerpd/status/991656050540429313   Permalink 5:35 AM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb Footnote in SKIN IN THE GAME, on how the Press will self-destruct because it is acting against its own public. pic.twitter.com/IG3KPCqWnc Permalink 5:26 AM – 2 May 2018

@nntaleb Take-away from the Gawker episode: Most of the press sided w/Gawker vs citizens; citizens sided ag. Gawker. Severe agency problem: Press working against citizens! Agency Principle: doctor shd never side w/interests of his profession when they conflict w/those of patients. Permalink 5:18 AM – 2 May 2018

@jordantpine As someone who has often compared hundreds of product *surveys* to product *sales,* I can testify that this axiom from @nntaleb’s #skininthegame is unquestionably true. pic.twitter.com/jywd7xtBr1 Permalink 5:20 PM – 1 May 2018

@SeloSlav @nntaleb’s growing popularity online, especially on Twitter, can be partially explained by the fact that he effectively channels the “esprit de NEET” at a God-tier level.https://twitter.com/GoldTelegraph_/status/991286192762249216   Permalink 4:41 PM – 1 May 2018

@naval Twitter is television for intellectuals. Permalink 9:19 PM – 30 Apr 2018

@nntaleb This is skin in the gamehttps://twitter.com/chicaderock/status/990991126097285120   Permalink 10:28 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@MimeticValue He that writeth in blood and proverbs doth not want to be read, but learnt by heart. – Nietzsche If there’s one book from the past 50 years I wish to memorize by heart, it’s The Bed of Procrustes by @nntaleb.https://twitter.com/MimeticValue/status/990974125291327488   Permalink 8:35 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The East Med Project is developing: My Hobby w/@PZallouahttps://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics   Permalink 7:22 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@nntaleb This summarizes my entire message. Reflects what every risk taker with skin in the game will tell you. The exact opposite of the logic of BS vendors such as intrusive nudgeboys @R_Thaler, @CassSunstein & other klueless academic rent seekers. cc:@ole_b_peters pic.twitter.com/eOi92xeaKH Permalink 6:26 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@drjohnm Doctors not yet signed on as employees, please read Book 4 (Wolves Amoung Dogs) in @nntaleb Skin in the Game. It’s damning. Helps explain burnout. Cc @RogueRad Permalink 5:52 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@thackerpd Weedkiller found in granola and crackers, internal FDA emails show by @careygillam https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2018/apr/30/fda-weedkiller-glyphosate-in-food-internal-emails   Someone needs to explain to Tamar Haspel and her editors at @WaPoFood that this is what real journalism looks like. You use documents and interview toxicology experts. Permalink 5:44 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@normonics “the internal documents obtained by the Guardian show the FDA has had trouble finding any food that does not carry traces of the pesticide [glyphosate]”https://twitter.com/DRUDGE_REPORT/status/990930396886982656   Permalink 5:32 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The picture is horrible. But OK interview. https://www.esquire.com/lifestyle/money/a19181300/nassim-nicholas-taleb-money-advice/   via @Esquire Permalink 4:48 AM – 30 Apr 2018

@nksky Money has very little to do with you being rich. Important aspect in your life but not the only one. @nntaleb via @maharasiya pic.twitter.com/q93CGVAmjS Permalink 8:20 PM – 29 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Have enemies; but make sure that they think about you much, much more than you think about them. Permalink 4:10 PM – 29 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It is also the North blindly copying the Mediterranean (olive oil, wine, civilization…)https://twitter.com/trishankkarthik/status/990685510149472256   Permalink 1:33 PM – 29 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A draft of my lecture at Darwin College, Cambridge summarizing all my ideas on Fat Tails without mathematics. http://fooledbyrandomness.com/DarwinCollege.pdf   For comments. cc:@ole_b_peters ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/IZsSNpRyXd”>  pic.twitter.com/IZsSNpRyXd Permalink 11:18 AM – 29 Apr 2018

@WeAreLebanon The colors of sunset in #Beirut By @migeal101 #WeAreLebanon pic.twitter.com/jZkQvw7YCr Permalink 10:59 AM – 29 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Baddna n7ella: Kif bnéktob l-lebnéné (l-Ken3ané jdid)? El 8 amma gh? (ana bfaddél l gh lan khafféf l-nimràt) El š amma sh? (ana bfaddél l sh lan khafféf l-tén2it) Ba3d fi 2enna el “x” mush mista3mlé. Bin 7itta 3al 3, amma kh, amma 7? Badda jalsé!https://twitter.com/turlevnon/status/990234016942051328   Permalink 10:25 AM – 29 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The point, @jordanbpeterson isn’t Syria or nonSyria, it is a general rule: Avoid using twitter influence to spread material about something you know little or nothing about & can cause harm, such as Syria or systemic tail risks of genetic manipulations.https://twitter.com/jordanbpeterson/status/990363784987344897   Permalink 7:15 AM – 29 Apr 2018

@Rainmaker1973 Graphical concept of the definition of sine and cosine http://bit.ly/2qgIoFc   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/H1T6xQ8XVl”>  pic.twitter.com/H1T6xQ8XVl Permalink 6:44 AM – 29 Apr 2018

@SJosephBurns True wealth consists in: Worriless sleeping Clear conscience Reciprocal gratitude Absence of envy Good appetite Muscle strength Physical energy Frequent laughs No meals alone No gym classes Some physical labor No meeting rooms Periodic surprises – @nntaleb #SundayMorning Permalink 4:35 AM – 29 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 4) I do not derive my income from some philantropy or Paltreon where I have to act inspirational & suck up to a crowd of followers cutting me a charity check. I derive my income from financial & business activites in the real world. I don’t owe nothing to nobody. Permalink 7:04 AM – 28 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The imbecile doesn’t get that 1) My judgment of pple has NOTHING to do with whether they like my book 2) Social life, where relationships are nurtured, is for PRIVATE citizens, nothing to do with intellectual life bound to rigor/truth 3) Follow inspirational charlatans not mehttps://twitter.com/Huge_E87/status/990220012802592768   Permalink 6:31 AM – 28 Apr 2018

@ektrit Retweeting this to explain Taleb @nntaleb again, seeing the tweet against Jordan Peterson, but I’m sure only few will understand FREE THINKING.https://twitter.com/ektrit/status/893879793594380289   Permalink 5:59 AM – 28 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Time to upset the Arabists & linguists:https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c   Permalink 5:53 AM – 28 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The wisdom of Salomon: he had to rule between two women both claiming to be the mother of an infant. By offering to split the child in half, he figured out who was the mother: she was the one who cared the most. She had more #SkinintheGame cc: @asymmetricinfohttps://twitter.com/asymmetricinfo/status/989980601653612544   Permalink 5:35 AM – 28 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I was told (but could not verify) that Syrian exports >30% higher than before the war. Factories are busy. If true, people are making things out of necessity. Overcompensation: the reverse of the Saudi disease. The press shows you pictures of war zones, not the rest.https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/990018673845899264   Permalink 5:03 AM – 28 Apr 2018

@pravind_paul @nntaleb ‘s idea of neomania and how architects with no skin in the game design buildings they would never live in, and instead choose classical structures as their residence of choicehttps://twitter.com/wrathofgnon/status/989853160599535616   Permalink 1:30 AM – 28 Apr 2018

Bureaucracy, Cliff Asness, Dictator, Monsanto, Boltan, Wolfram, Tillerson, Genealogy, Pi Day, Pompeo | Twitter

@nntaleb On a long flight to Tbilisi, a new book that opens the new science. pic.twitter.com/BUOcIL2tTA Permalink 12:16 PM – 28 Mar 2018

@LorenzTrader “Bureaucracy is a construction by which a person is conveniently separated from the consequences of his/her actions.” @nntaleb #SkinInTheGame pic.twitter.com/oOp9ZCpY14 Permalink 11:38 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@thackerpd I took exact measures of that depth here: Flacking for #GMOs How the Biotech Industry Cultivates Positive Media—and Discourages Criticism http://progressive.org/magazine/how-the-biotech-industry-cultivates-positive-media/   One of the reporters, @savortooth, has since inserted his nose even further up academic tuchus Permalink 7:14 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@nntaleb L’7ayét wa2fét 3izz Permalink 7:11 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@nntaleb On a scale of 0 to 100, paternity tests count as 99.99 and written/oral history count for .01. Apply that to populations. That’s plain stat/probability. We are seeing science in action. @iosif_lazaridishttps://twitter.com/iosif_lazaridis/status/978982852514770944   Permalink 6:18 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Book reviewers now have skin in the game: they are now unaware that their review can be turned into a test of reading comprehension –SAT style. For instance you can gauge @EasterbrookG’s reading comprehension level from this.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/944284554168291330   Permalink 5:13 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@nntaleb It is the opposite of: religions avoiding to pronounce some holy words spelled out in full on the page. There is a demarcation between the holy and the profane, or the more or less holy and the profane. Permalink 4:33 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Aesthetics. I don’t like to see bulls**t fully spelled on a page, though I don’t mind seeing it on a screen.https://twitter.com/Javermas/status/978866618523639808   Permalink 3:43 AM – 28 Mar 2018

@axgry .@nntaleb is this what you mean by “skin in the game” ?https://twitter.com/BIUK/status/978587443069767680   Permalink 2:26 PM – 27 Mar 2018

@sharbatanu A packed hall listened to Mikhail Gromov quote Nassim Nicholas Taleb as “If you hear a ‘prominent’ economist using the word ‘equilibrium’ or ‘normal distribution’, just put a rat down his shirt” pic.twitter.com/YD4JV3QWts Permalink 10:38 AM – 27 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 5) There is this great theorem by Dubins and Savage, but I owe the much simpler games example to Cliff Asness @CliffordAsness who mentioned it in 1999 at lunch in NYC.https://www.amazon.com/How-Gamble-You-Must-Inequalities/dp/0486780643   Permalink 2:06 PM – 26 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 4) This is another example where pathologizing mental accounting by the Uberklueless and Verbiagiastic Richard Thaler @r_thaler fails: his model considers such path dependent strategies irrational. Permalink 2:01 PM – 26 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 3) The general principle #Antifragile is that when the payoff is bigger or you have your back to the wall you go for maximum variance (convexity). When the downside is bigger you go for minimum variance. Why explains why winning teams mark time and losing teams take risks. Permalink 1:50 PM – 26 Mar 2018

@mgpolitis Could be a variant of the theme “Η ημιμάθεια είναι χειρότερη από την αμάθεια”https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/977895229733916673   Permalink 12:43 PM – 26 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 2) Here is my solution, will generalize showing results across all regimes. Convexity (optionality) beats skills. Any time. #Antifragile @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/C1rBKtmIHW Permalink 12:14 PM – 26 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 1) This is a grrrrreat case study by Maestro Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath showing OPTIONALITY matters more than skills: You can have >53% chance of winning when odds are against you is you have the option of switching between 2 (strategies, both of which have odds against you).https://twitter.com/CutTheKnotMath/status/975844094374285312   Permalink 12:11 PM – 26 Mar 2018

@MaxMakz #incerto change lives. Thank you / Danke / Спасибо @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/ldqEWW0KkD Permalink 11:15 AM – 26 Mar 2018

@ShapsterD the times and @nntaleb on the same page for once? pic.twitter.com/dMH7xvkTkX Permalink 9:57 AM – 26 Mar 2018

@Cernovich Paging @nntaleb for his excellent article, “The Most Intolerant Wins: The Dictatorship of the Small Minority” https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15  https://twitter.com/sainsburys/status/976872173523623936   Permalink 9:32 AM – 26 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The opposite of education isn’t ignorance but miseducation. Permalink 6:09 AM – 25 Mar 2018

@nntaleb That pill has to potential to transforming any regular person into an economist.https://twitter.com/clairlemon/status/977641234192777216   Permalink 5:00 AM – 25 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Soul in the game. He died for the sake of others. RIP, with our prayers and greatest respect.https://twitter.com/Gendarmerie/status/977438206550474754   Permalink 3:50 PM – 24 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Where revealing that you have skin in the game violates the principle that one should not market virtue (except when taking risk, by taking risk).https://twitter.com/NicGeaman/status/977653272835223553   Permalink 2:12 PM – 24 Mar 2018

@CutTheKnotMath A simple (some say “nasty”) integral https://www.cut-the-knot.org/proofs/YetAnotherSimpleIntegral.shtml   #FigureThat #math #calculus ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/TvFl0Ix20P”>  pic.twitter.com/TvFl0Ix20P Permalink 11:14 AM – 24 Mar 2018

@GMWatch Stop #Monsanto’s Secretary of State! Mexican corn products widely contaminated with GMOs & #glyphosate. And other news! https://mailchi.mp/2ee5e230eedd/daily-digest-351849   #gmo ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/kq5cN71V39″>  pic.twitter.com/kq5cN71V39 Permalink 10:45 AM – 24 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I’ve never met a Spanish grammar specialist.https://twitter.com/vinates/status/977569730860142594   Permalink 8:54 AM – 24 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Nothing wrong abt dismissing someone as a fool or a bulls***ter, i.e., not solid, not reliable in reasoning & conversation. But when someone’s viewpoint escapes a psychologist’s logic, he will impart some psychological cause to the divergence. Permalink 8:52 AM – 24 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Someone at dinner just asked me to define a “dictator”. Someone who doesn’t buy weapons from your government. Permalink 6:05 PM – 23 Mar 2018

@greekhistorypod Sicily – Land of the Phoenicians, via @GillianHovellhttps://muddyarchaeologistcouk.wordpress.com/2018/03/21/sicily-land-of-the-phoenicians/   Permalink 2:00 PM – 23 Mar 2018

@LorenzoWVilla In linea con quanto sostiene @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/istbrunoleoni/status/977186224426422272   Permalink 12:02 PM – 23 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I am not involved. BTW the technical SILENT RISK shows the plumbing behind The Black Swan. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTails.html  https://twitter.com/dd_ann_61/status/976885542586667010   Permalink 8:00 AM – 23 Mar 2018

@SyrianLionesss Mothers day mass earlier this week in #Aleppo #Syria pic.twitter.com/ZxCGMV50OZ Permalink 7:54 AM – 23 Mar 2018

@chris_walker_ Inspired by @nntaleb, I tried cuttlefish ink pasta in Venice. I think it was the real thing! pic.twitter.com/zaln6IzAyP Permalink 7:14 AM – 23 Mar 2018

@thackerpd Spinning Science & Silencing Scientists: A Case Study in How the Chemical Industry Attempts to Influence Science https://democrats-science.house.gov/sites/democrats.science.house.gov/files/documents/02.06.18%20-%20Spinning%20Science%20and%20Silencing%20Scientists_0.pdf   Missed this House Report on disinformation created by #Monsanto operatives cc: @MariahCBlake @fastlerner Permalink 5:56 AM – 23 Mar 2018

@BrankoMilan My review of @nntaleb tetralogy http://glineq.blogspot.com/2018/01/the-importance-of-talebs-system-from.html   Permalink 7:13 PM – 22 Mar 2018

@nntaleb One thing that struck me at NASA-JPL: these were scientists, many PhDs, but were not academics. It hit me that they were BS-free: from contact w/real world, w/results in the micro world. It takes a certain mindset to send a robot to Mars AND make it actually get there.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/976577262202966017   Permalink 6:37 PM – 22 Mar 2018

@nntaleb No!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/976948306927607810   Permalink 4:11 PM – 22 Mar 2018

@JulianAssange 811 WikiLeaks files on John Boltan: https://search.wikileaks.org/?query=%22john+bolton%22+-sweep&exact_phrase=&any_of=&exclude_words=&document_date_start=&document_date_end=&released_date_start=&released_date_end=&include_external_sources=True&new_search=True&order_by=most_relevant#results   Permalink 3:58 PM – 22 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Out understanding of history would be much, much improved if “North Africa” was called “South Med” instead. Too many people think in words. Permalink 1:04 PM – 22 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Witness.https://twitter.com/ss_strength/status/976864370973134848   Permalink 9:59 AM – 22 Mar 2018

@noemie_issan Les honnêtes hommes, ça lit Montaigne et le Talmud. Un petit commentaire sur un narratif talmudique dans le dernier livre de @nntaleb “Jouer sa peau” https://twitter.com/noemie_issan/status/976833003837165569   Permalink 9:32 AM – 22 Mar 2018

@Jevaughn_Brown He ties ancient wisdom to modern insights with mathematical/scientific rigor while making it all accessible to the non-technical AND hilarious at the same time. Just incredible. Permalink 8:22 AM – 22 Mar 2018

@nntaleb BS vendors usually write popular science/philosophy books, those that tell people what they want to hear. Non BS vendors write anti-popular science/philosophy, those that disturb the maximum number of people. Permalink 6:14 PM – 21 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Unpopular book here means the book should disturb a certain number of people. Permalink 6:07 PM – 21 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The point is not that Sarkozy took money from Gadhafi. The problem is the ingratitude: he tried to eliminate him right after. Ingratitude is the worst trait in a human being.https://twitter.com/AFP/status/976498827459997696   Permalink 6:04 PM – 21 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Ramp is the generator of konveksity. Permalink 2:56 PM – 21 Mar 2018

@nntaleb BS vendors usually write popular science/philosophy books. Non BS vendors write unpopular science/philosophy. Permalink 2:54 PM – 21 Mar 2018

@nntaleb JPL lecktchur on Antifragility and Konveksity, in 9 min. pic.twitter.com/E9tU0C17iK Permalink 2:52 PM – 21 Mar 2018

@DaliaGlickman Interjecting as his daughter – my father and Nassim were business colleagues and friends. My father just mentioned Nassim last week and cherished their conversations about all things financial and philosophical. Permalink 7:21 AM – 21 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Ended up hiking with @stephen_wolfram (& others at Bezos’ #Mars2018), in the snow on a steep mountain wearing flaneuring shoes (Italian moccasins without socks). pic.twitter.com/6OkwKrS3e2 Permalink 5:47 PM – 20 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 6) look at this idiot @marcgunther who fell for ithttps://twitter.com/marcgunther/status/976174470644805634?s=21   Permalink 1:35 PM – 20 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 2) You cannot get the open butterfly with sum of sigmoidal functions (they are closed at the ends), but you can with ramp functions. In other words, neural nets can now capture tails of distributions! Permalink 8:31 AM – 20 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 1) Some thoughts from the Bezos #MARS2018 conference. Why Machine learning methods are very intuitive for option traders. Captures functions better than sigmoids (binaries). pic.twitter.com/OVUYfLH235 Permalink 7:47 AM – 20 Mar 2018

@embracethetrend Few men who have a handshake worth trusting. I agree with @nntaleb on the importance of honourhttps://twitter.com/voteboudreau/status/975884957993271297   Permalink 7:27 AM – 20 Mar 2018

@The_Cyrenian I am Syrian. In Syria. The “rebels” you and @nikkihaley support have killed many of my friends, and six of my family members – the youngest being two-years-old. Both of you have done nothing but bring death and destruction to us – especially to my community – Syria’s Christians.https://twitter.com/statedeptspox/status/976090852241166336   Permalink 7:26 AM – 20 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Sorely missed. Permalink 6:44 AM – 20 Mar 2018

@nntaleb RIP Rabbi Tony Glickman, who said “life is long gamma”. You will be missed.https://twitter.com/YUNews/status/975913856605310976   Permalink 6:40 AM – 20 Mar 2018

@TheStoicEmperor Steve Jobs had a very good understanding of @nntaleb’s crucial concept of “skin in the game.” pic.twitter.com/gybIDPWEPC Permalink 11:26 PM – 19 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Wolfram is a mathematician with skin in the game!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/975902401382170624   Permalink 6:12 PM – 19 Mar 2018

@lawrennd Very lucky to spend time with @stephen_wolfram and @nntaleb .. we’re talking about you @matthewsyed pic.twitter.com/FJOdg2HCZq Permalink 6:08 PM – 19 Mar 2018

@mvachhar Sadly this won’t be the last time this happens. No #skininthegame (@nntaleb) means that bad actors are not removed from the ecosystem, leading to bad outcomes over and over again. Permalink 11:22 AM – 19 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Advice given to any young person: “I can’t tell you what to do. I can tell who what I’ve done. I’ve instinctively never gotten into a zero-sum business, such as academia, sports, bureaucracy, etc. The mark of a zero-sum business is hierarchy.” (Academia is a quarter position.) Permalink 7:57 AM – 19 Mar 2018

@kunalb11 “Men destroy each other during war, themselves during peacetime.” ― @nntaleb Permalink 3:26 AM – 19 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Trading prices are minority rules, not average of opinions. If there is wisdom, it’s the wisdom of the minority.https://twitter.com/St011M1/status/975449942603988992   Permalink 12:14 PM – 18 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I agree, but social media makes it easy to counter mob with mob. Eventually neutralizes.https://twitter.com/naval/status/975438767283515392   Permalink 11:33 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I know how to select co-authors.https://twitter.com/drcirillo/status/975395548797767686   Permalink 9:45 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@LouisLebbos A few more examples of Beirut architecture from my trip last month pic.twitter.com/Do2HJZ8AOD Permalink 7:40 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Random Numbers And Obtuse Triangle https://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/ObtuseTriangleInSquare.shtml   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/eSNkofIVp1″>  pic.twitter.com/eSNkofIVp1 Permalink 6:42 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@Extrachelle #Beirut balconies. pic.twitter.com/7AqTEUZZzR Permalink 3:26 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@nntaleb For instance, for a linear payoff, if you predict an event priced at 1% probability, you can be wrong 99% of the time. For the same probability w/ a convex payoff, you can be wrong 999 times out of 1000 and still do very well. Permalink 2:47 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 2) In other words, the predictions that matter are those with a large payoff and little costs. If you predict what other people are predicting, you get nothing (but a nice paper track record). Monoculture works for blabbering academics, not traders & people in the real world. Permalink 12:50 AM – 18 Mar 2018

@HarryDCrane Forecasting is anti-fragile among IYIs. Bad forecasts lead to reverse engineering on how forecasts can be improved for next time — most discussion after election focused on improving for next time, instead of stopping w prediction snake oilhttps://medium.com/@HarryCrane/the-modern-day-snake-oil-salesman-2ca934cc2ab   Permalink 8:35 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb A prediction is wrong only if it costs you something. A prediction is right only if it makes you something. The rest is tawk. #skininthegame. Permalink 6:31 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@TimTravis2 Just finished reading the chapter in Skin in the Game about the michelin star restaurant versus just getting a pizza and was laughing hysterically because it is so true. Loving the book by the way. One of your best. Permalink 6:26 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb This was with spelt. Works. Permalink 5:49 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@ArcheRomaion Kinds of Greeks: Alexandrians Cosmopolitan, inquisitive, affluent. At the crossroads of civilizations, the flux only began with the founding of the city in 331 BC. Producing philosophers, scientists, theologians & industrialists, most were expelled to #Greece by Nasser in 1956. pic.twitter.com/fjuyCv1JdZ Permalink 5:04 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Squid ink. pic.twitter.com/dA9Wi9Ii8P Permalink 5:02 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@orestistsinalis Fantastic interview of @nntaleb with @RalphNader on #SkinInTheGame. It’s so good it makes you think deeper about the book. https://shar.es/1Lj8Dj   Permalink 1:08 PM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb No chi vuole la mamma carezza la bambina (sorry for the spelling, z3leni)https://twitter.com/z3leni/status/974999881633947648   Permalink 6:51 AM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 5) Effectively the “Monsanto troll army” is a shadow of its former self; either funding dropped or they got more careful. I am scheduled to talk to the German press abt Monsanto & meeting members of the board of Bayer in conjunction w/SITG pub in German. Permalink 6:34 AM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Debunk fake news, ESPECIALLY if they are on the side of your political opinions. It is the hardest thing to do. And make sure your correction of fake news is as vigorous as the inital annoucement. I dislike Gina Haspel & everything she stands for. But I put TRUTH first. Permalink 6:18 AM – 17 Mar 2018

@Sundaresaganesh @nntaleb a perfect Skin in the game – the last shot pic.twitter.com/h8qKPvzZF4 Permalink 4:07 AM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Armenians running for elections in Beirut. Wherever they go, Armenians give more than they take. pic.twitter.com/G0DnZGzAph Permalink 4:02 AM – 17 Mar 2018

@AlainPannetier pic.twitter.com/PXFfzI0FCR Permalink 1:11 AM – 17 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The man was destroying the IYI den of the state department. For the first time they had adult supervision.https://twitter.com/amconmag/status/974797462157316097   Permalink 5:33 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Here is an example of the Monsanto army.https://twitter.com/normonics/status/974737398277005313   Permalink 1:55 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I am aware of that, which is why I have been waiting before exposing Monsanto shills such as @keithkloor and @tamarhaspel when they are defenseless after the Bayer integration. Permalink 1:51 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 3) So far I’ve made lemonade out of lemons with my problem with Monsanto. The idea is to use their shills to sell more books. Remember it is typically rejects that become smear campaigners for Monsanto .http://gmwatch.org/en/news/latest-news/16581   Permalink 1:07 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 2) Monsanto has a policy of leaving nothing unanswered. There are stuff in the court papers.https://www.rt.com/usa/386858-monsanto-hired-trolls-court/   Permalink 1:00 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 1) As expected, looks like Monsanto Shills are retaliating against my stance ag Monsanto in #SkinIntheGame by gaming Amazon Reviews while claiming they are not shills. https://www.amazon.com/gp/customer-reviews/R2S10CFLW3AP3Y/ref=cm_cr_dp_d_rvw_ttl?ie=UTF8&ASIN=042528462X   Permalink 12:57 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb After the Pompeo disaster, is there a possible way to stop Bolton from getting the White House position? Permalink 12:43 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@vonLichtenfeld At jump school, the guys who folded our parachutes had to take one of them at random each week and use it for their own jump. Given +50 jumps was improbable based on physical req.s, this is the definition of SitG Permalink 12:18 PM – 16 Mar 2018

@MattPirkowski Couldn’t script a clearer example of @nntaleb’s concept of Skin in the Game. In fact, he’s mentioned the architectural responsibility codes of Hammurabi many times. This would mean death for the architects in question. Fewer bridges would collapse.https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/974644470674112512   Permalink 10:41 AM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb It was obvious Assad had NO GAIN from using gas. Now they are getting it with SOME delay.http://www.newsweek.com/now-mattis-admits-there-was-no-evidence-assad-using-poison-gas-his-people-801542   Permalink 5:53 AM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The risk-based skeptical empirical approach to CLIMATE is here. pic.twitter.com/RupOpb3BUY Permalink 5:32 AM – 16 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Indeed, @clairlemon, you are undoing centuries of skeptical empiricism. One can approach our climate tragedy without SCIENTISM See our http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/climateletter.pdf  https://twitter.com/crISIS_mule/status/974617925549199360   Permalink 5:13 AM – 16 Mar 2018

@skiales He @nntaleb either has impecable timing ..! Or is a tails type of a guy..! Bring the engineers at spot where the dead bodies got collapsed by the bridge & well … #hamurabi the SOB’s RITE WHERE THEY committed the. heinous sin of a #skinlessgame #skininthegamehttps://twitter.com/moniqueomadan/status/974478688346693632   Permalink 3:34 AM – 16 Mar 2018

@RonPaul ‘Skin In The Game’ – With Special Guest Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb)https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SIi0eO_oN9U   Permalink 3:00 PM – 15 Mar 2018

@Sapere_vivere Reading the brilliant Skin In The Game by @nntaleb. Four little words that should be in the forefront of your mind when you think about human existence. Permalink 2:49 PM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 6) Mr @ImaraWaTijara, let me say it in one sentence” One single DNA test offsets 12 hours of b***ting. Gabish? Permalink 2:32 PM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 5) We have known since Ruffié and Taleb (1965) [my father’s hobby was scientific genealogy via blood markers] that Koura valley was heavily Macedonian/Western Cypriot & we can see it through DNA. Historians are convinved they can contest paternity tests with tons of verbal BS Permalink 12:05 PM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 4) As an example of how fabrications work: a Low-IQ Arabist below, @ImaraWaTijara is responding by inventing origins FOR ME and the Greek-Orthodox of the Koura Valley using bogus oral history, when DNA shows no Hawran stock in Koura & in MY OWN DNA (J2b).https://twitter.com/ImaraWaTijara/status/974295061683941377   Permalink 11:59 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@TMFStoffel While doing some research into our piece, I found this gem from @nntaleb in the @nytimes Note that it was written…… in 2003! http://www.nytimes.com/2003/08/07/business/fannie-mae-s-loss-risk-is-larger-computer-models-show.html   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/PC1mPY7jP6″>  pic.twitter.com/PC1mPY7jP6 Permalink 11:38 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@TMFStoffel Here’s one for all of us to chew on from @nntaleb: “every time you open your mouth in a public forum and you say something: * that is not risky or * is meant to improve your image and reputation, every time you do that you are COMPROMISING YOUR ETHICS.” Permalink 10:47 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb You can’t be an author without attitude; write on your own terms.https://twitter.com/johndurant/status/974167721045671936   Permalink 9:55 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@RonPaul Grab your seat belts! Today’s Liberty Report is joined by @nntaleb to discuss @nytimes bestselling book #skininthegame — and the “interventionists” braying for war! Live @ noon ET on http://youtube.com/ronpaullibertyreport   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Wdx0mKmVkt”>  pic.twitter.com/Wdx0mKmVkt Permalink 8:20 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 3) The other interesting “hard science” discovery is that a) Modern Greeks are the same as ancient Greeks, b) Greeks are largely Anatolian, c) Canaanites are largely Anatolian. Minority rule chapter in #skininthegame : languages travel, genes not so much. Permalink 6:52 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Never argue with someone with the aim of changing his or her mind; focus instead on changing the much less invested minds of the audience. Permalink 6:47 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb 2) @PZalloua (Reich collab) showed Leb Shiites were of Phoenician ancestry, caused a shock, but now slowing building a Canaanite identity. I found from his databse that there is ~3% Arab genes in Lebanon & West. Syria. Arabist Historians s.a. Salibi are largely fabricators. Permalink 6:02 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb A Lebanese proverb: “If you give a fool a weapon, he will hurt himself”.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/974255026020519936   Permalink 5:13 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@nntaleb THREAD 1) We are facing a complete and *sudden* rewriting of history using DNA, like paternity tests, disturbs linguists, historians, (recall the Mary Beard affair), archeologists, and Arabists.https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2018/03/ancient-dna-history/554798/?utm_source=twb   Permalink 4:40 AM – 15 Mar 2018

@jordanbpeterson Did you notice, @JustinTrudeau, that a law-abiding Canadian citizen has been DENIED ENTRY by the UK? Do you think she’s more dangerous than the former ISIS fighters you rolled out the welcome mat for in Canada?https://youtu.be/odGiYJdFtE0   Permalink 11:07 PM – 14 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Happy Pi day –and, in the bargain, via Euler’s Identity. “The shortest path between two truths in the real domain passes through the complex domain.” ~ Jacques Hadamardhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/974019574088830976   Permalink 5:32 PM – 14 Mar 2018

@EmPee78 @nntaleb thank you for writing books that are meaningful pic.twitter.com/tSmzT7eOnp Permalink 3:01 PM – 14 Mar 2018

@RonPaul We are REALLY looking forward to having @nytimes multiple-time bestselling author @nntaleb joining us tomorrow Thursday live on the Liberty Report @noon ET on http://Youtube.com/RonPaulLibertyReport   Be there!!!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/974029403482189824   Permalink 2:11 PM – 14 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I will be discussing the point and inveighing against these depraved interventionistas w/o #skininthegame with @RonPaul and @DanielLMcAdams on Ron Paul’s channel tomorrow at noon. @RonPaulInstituthttps://twitter.com/RandPaul/status/973955597728088067   Permalink 2:08 PM – 14 Mar 2018

@HarryDCrane Data != information Data = information only if you understand it. Collecting more of something you don’t understand only leads to more confusion. Permalink 12:31 PM – 14 Mar 2018

@CutTheKnotMath A Trigonometric Identity for the Pi Day https://www.cut-the-knot.org/triangle/TrigonometricIdentityForAPiDay.shtml   #FigureThat #math #geometry #algebra ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/1VvPF4rtZk”>  pic.twitter.com/1VvPF4rtZk Permalink 11:30 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@JulianAssange My article on new US Secretary of State nominee Mike Pompeohttps://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/julian-assange-the-cia-director-is-waging-war-on-truth-tellers-like-wikileaks/2017/04/25/b8aa5cfc-29c7-11e7-a616-d7c8a68c1a66_story.html?utm_term=.d32c33ee90fd   Permalink 10:09 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@rjboyle Someone anonymously gifted me a copy of latest book from @nntaleb. Thanks to whomever it may be! pic.twitter.com/UreVQHFIz1 Permalink 9:36 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@nntaleb https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932   Permalink 7:23 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Those in “Colonialism” a la Ed. Said/Arabism studies are Fabricators. The French spent 22 years in Lebanon as military mandate (Italo-French was Christians’ education) The Ottomans spent ~501y The Mamluks spent ~220 y The Arabs spent ~250-350 y WTF is this Euro “colonialism”? Permalink 6:03 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Achrafieh, Taleb Family 1923-1972 pic.twitter.com/Cbx4oqPesh Permalink 5:49 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@nntaleb MACHINE LEARNING & FORECASTING Announcement: the M4 competition (Makridakis) is open. We will finally figure out how the various machine learning methods fare with time series, without the currently prevailing cherry-picking. https://www.m4.unic.ac.cy   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/yjo9MJ987m”>  pic.twitter.com/yjo9MJ987m Permalink 4:09 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@WeAreLebanon Fascinating buildings in #Beirut By @elmaalouf #WeAreLebanon pic.twitter.com/9cRyEYKdGS Permalink 4:02 AM – 14 Mar 2018

@Confusezeus “Foregone Conclusionism” explained – deserves a hashtag: spot the #foregoneconclusionismhttps://twitter.com/neontaster/status/973630518246957056   Permalink 4:37 PM – 13 Mar 2018

@DShaywitz Also from @nntaleb Antifragile: skeptical about Baconian model academia -> applied science&tech ->practice; favors tinkering model, see below (includes contrast w/his take on model 1). cc @JamesBessen pic.twitter.com/uccpgz6MxL Permalink 10:28 AM – 13 Mar 2018

@normonics 2 things about Pompeo evidenced by DARK act I very much DO NOT like 1) D act was about denying states the ability to determine their own law. centralizer. what is the point of electing a republican if a centralizer?might as well be a dem. 2) D act was a favor to MON-corporatist Permalink 9:14 AM – 13 Mar 2018

@nntaleb This is a disaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaster.https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/973540316656623616   Permalink 6:32 AM – 13 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Decorators are not users. #skininthegamehttps://twitter.com/StephenFleming/status/973401515934195712   Permalink 6:23 AM – 13 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Our Page on GMOs http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 4:34 AM – 13 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Monsanto’s fraudulent claims. Show me papers on tail risks of GMOs. Show me.https://twitter.com/Preschel/status/973508207208431616   Permalink 4:17 AM – 13 Mar 2018

@TMFStoffel Love this. @RalphNader ‘s host: “@nntaleb sounds a little…Republican.” @RalphNader: “You CANNOT pigeonhole him!!” Permalink 6:04 PM – 12 Mar 2018