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Tag Archives: Real World Risk

Antifragile Medicine, Las Vegas, Real World Risk, Status, Beirut Madinati, Commons, Ethics | Facebook

Sunday, May 22, 2016

Friends, this is technical but it maps the ideas of Antifragile to medicine in a formal way. : It is still a draft 5/22/16 https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/medicine.pdf —————————————- In Las Vegas at a conference, I explained fragility as nonlinearity: mix a $2,000 bottle of wine with a $10 one. The 2 bottles will be worth less than […]

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SOUL IN THE GAME, Real World Risk, Rebellion, Voting to Destroy the Establishment | Facebook

Monday, March 14, 2016

Reader: “Dear N., I have read all your books and have a question. How do you recommend an average young man navigate the modern world? “. Me: “Never ask a vague question“. (3/13/16) —————- SOUL IN THE GAME & THE RISE OF PROTECTIONISM The rise of protectionism may have a strong rationale. One fundamental flaw […]

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Violence Under Fat Tails, Enemies of the Good, Real World Risk, Umberto Eco | Facebook

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

We finally summarized both our violence paper and our methodology for “Fooled by Randomness” under fat tails. We explain in the simplest possible terms what is noise and what is “significant” and why journos such as Pinker are fooled by “drops in violence”. (3/2/16) The file is at: www.fooledbyrandomness.com/significance.pdf Background: one economist, Michael Spagat, commented […]

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