We finally summarized both our violence paper and our methodology for “Fooled by Randomness” under fat tails. We explain in the simplest possible terms what is noise and what is “significant” and why journos such as Pinker are fooled by “drops in violence”. (3/2/16) The file is at: www.fooledbyrandomness.com/significance.pdf Background: one economist, Michael Spagat, commented […]
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