Tag Archives: nassim taleb

Benoit Mandelbrot, 1924-2010

Dave Lull just wrote to inform me that NNT has updated his homepage as an homage to Benoit Mandelbrot. Looking around the net I see no news of Mandelbrot’s passing so must assume that NNT was very close to the situation.

In May, NNT Tweeted, “Mandelbrot’s genius is in achieving aesthetic simplicity without having recourse to smoothness; producing harmony in highly jagged surfaces”

Taleb referred to Mandelbrot as his mentor.
The two were interviewed by NPR in 2008.

Benoit Mandelbrot and Nassim Taleb NPR Interview, Audio Only.

Paul Solman NPR Interview 2008 10 21

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLFkQdiXPbo

with Spanish captions:

Blame Nobel for crisis, says author of Black Swan | Reuters

Shared by JohnH

Note: From the Globe and Mail (Check comments, Mark informs us that NNT was aware of this in TBS, so in fact, it’s the Globe and Mail author who got it wrong).
http://goo.gl/Sd61

The next prize winner will be revealed to great public acclaim or, more typically, puzzlement on Oct. 11. But what neither Mr. Taleb nor most other people realize is that none of the above actually won a Nobel Prize — at least not the official one set up in the name of the late dynamite mogul.

What the gaggle of economic theorists have actually scored is the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences, which is paid for by the Swedish central bank “in memory of Alfred Nobel,” who set aside nothing from his vast fortune to honour economists.

Nassim Taleb speaks to reporters at the Reuters Finance Summit in New York November 16, 2005.

 

 

 

Credit: Reuters By Adam Cox

STOCKHOLM |
Tue Sep 28, 2010 9:40am EDT

STOCKHOLM (Reuters) – Did the Nobel prize help trigger the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression?

Nassim Taleb, who shot to fame with his ideas about risk in the book “The Black Swan,” believes the economics award and the theories it celebrates deserve their share of blame.

“I want to remove the harm from these economic models. And the Nobel is not helping. They should be held partly responsible, if not largely responsible, for the crisis,” Taleb told Reuters by telephone.

The first of the Nobel awards will be announced next Monday, with the economics prize due a week later on Oct 11.

According to Taleb, there are a number of mistaken ideas about forecasting and measuring risk, which all contribute to events like the 2008 global crisis. The Nobel prize, he says, has given them a stamp of approval, allowing them to propagate.

Nassim Taleb: Don’t Listen to Geithner or Krugman – Nicole Allan – Business – The Atlantic

Taleb took issue with Krugman’s support of deficit spending. “This transformation of private debt, with all the moral hazard it entails, into public debt is, number one, from a risk standpoint, bad,” he said. “And from an ethical standpoint, I find it immoral. The grandchildren should not bear the debts of the grandparents.”

Taleb called Friedman’s book The World is Flat “very bad for society,” arguing that it did not adequately assess risk. 

One person who did see the crash coming? Nassim Taleb. “In 2008, when the crisis happened, a lot of heads of state were interested in my message,” Taleb said. “Including David Cameron.”

Asked where the economy would be in 25 years, Taleb gave the vague response that “everything fragile will break.” Oh, and that the Fed won’t exist anymore. It will be replaced by something “I think more organic and that makes more sense.”

nntaleb: Why did the CRISIS Happen? http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1666042

nntaleb: Why did the CRISIS Happen?
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1666042

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Abstract:
This paper —while a standalone invited essay written for a special crisis issue of New Political Economy — synthesizes the various technical documents by the author as related to the financial crisis. It can also be used as a technical companion to The Black Swan(2007-2010).

Keywords: Black Swan, Risk Management, Finance, Markets, Crisis