Tag Archives: Monsanto

Homeopathy, Monsanto, Tesla, Mary Beard, Haplogroup, GMOs, Middle East Institute, Damore, Pigliucci, Mike Duncan | Twitter

@Helsingor Happy Rûm day to @byzantium1200, @byzantinepower, @byzyeileen, @nntaleb, @CryForByzantium and all of Byzantine twitter.https://twitter.com/AHMalcolm/status/897926213477347329 Permalink 2:06 PM – 16 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Homeopathy is useful PRECISELY because it doesn’t work. Can homeopathy can HELP the NHS? http://dailym.ai/1srK3Fo via @MailOnline Permalink 12:32 PM – 16 Aug 2017

@mjd1735 BBC News – Awamiya: Inside the devastated Saudi Shia town http://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-middle-east-40950353/awamiya-inside-the-devastated-saudi-shia-town @nntaleb @lionelbarber Permalink 8:45 AM – 16 Aug 2017

@KevorkAlmassian Says the guy who funded & armed religious fascists in my country, #Syria. @BarackObama pic.twitter.com/aCPq8cZNbn Permalink 4:58 AM – 16 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If journos talk about a risk, say Nuclear, ignore it.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7V7W46sOt38 Permalink 4:35 AM – 16 Aug 2017

@byzantinepower pic.twitter.com/vftDoELvTY Permalink 4:24 AM – 16 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A convincing illustration of what happens when you put nerds (IYIs) in charge of regulation. pic.twitter.com/4xu1eZfpXo Permalink 3:48 PM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Fat Tony explaining how “f*** you” money works in case Monsanto & Cambridge University are after you.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xdfeXqHFmPI Permalink 2:27 PM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Monsanto’s St Op Procedure: an online army demonizes GMO-skeptics. They also contact institutions & ask for removal, as they did w/Ceralini.https://twitter.com/luciansusanu/status/897459026975436800 Permalink 7:16 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@theQSLman .@nntaleb on procrastination. Superb insight. pic.twitter.com/RdRc7Y2RDh Permalink 7:06 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@theQSLmind .@nntaleb on procrastination. Superb insight. pic.twitter.com/RdRc7Y2RDh Permalink 7:06 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So the British IYI pseudodiversity police were instantly turned into a Monsanto smear campaigning agent Union of 2 idiots is much more idiot Permalink 5:19 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb British IYI class is after me. Monsanto shills (@kevinFolta) join the smear campaign (since 2015, 2300 emails to NYU). Impotent #Antifragile pic.twitter.com/RMZ7oVd2pl Permalink 5:03 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The exquisite precision & instant response (for both acceleration and deceleration) of the EV makes the non-electric car feel like a boat. Permalink 4:07 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This picture is more representative https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/rlvb14HnUB”> pic.twitter.com/rlvb14HnUB Permalink 3:34 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “The insidious racism of Mary Beard and the ‘diversity’ operators”https://medium.com/@nntaleb/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 Permalink 3:32 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb First day driving a @TeslaMotors. Something else! I hope I will never ever have to drive a nonelectric car. Permalink 3:22 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@SimonMoores I really don’t think people are grasping what @nntaleb argument is. It’s really about the anc. population of http://N.Africa Permalink 3:07 AM – 15 Aug 2017

@nntaleb US Army embraces Antifragility http://smallwarsjournal.com/jrnl/art/security-force-assistance-brigades-the-us-army-embraces-antifragility Permalink 5:52 PM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Work, Slavery, the Minority Rule, and Skin in the Game | EconTalk |http://bit.ly/2vDpWqR Permalink 3:36 PM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Nobody is seeing what I am seeing? This piece of info,hapl of Ancient Greeks v. close to Canaanites? While linear b nonsemitic! Huge if truehttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/897031793240625152 Permalink 2:15 PM – 14 Aug 2017

@careygillam “Monsanto’s message is clear – stay out of its way,” say cancer victim lawyers @MonsantoCo wants sanctioned https://usrtk.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/Andrus-Wagstaff-response-on-release-of-Monsanto-dox.pdf ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/p6duzdL9Wk”> pic.twitter.com/p6duzdL9Wk Permalink 1:18 PM – 14 Aug 2017

@RanaHarbi What the f did I just read pic.twitter.com/92cos5rvZj Permalink 11:50 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@normonics The sample space of reality is enormous. Therefore every narrative can be supported by ‘facts’ so long as they are selectively amplified. Permalink 9:39 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@asadabukhalil Look at this language:when he talks about Russian and Syrian repression he uses the world “slaughter”. For Saudis, he uses “excessive” forcehttps://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/896688115892486144 Permalink 9:36 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@Cyberlibris We used to be fooled by randomness, the truth is we are fooled by ergodicity! https://arxiv.org/pdf/1706.07773.pdf @nntaleb @ole_b_peters #BigData #data Permalink 7:37 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@JegErAlan This, thanks to a @JacobWinski tweet, is the link that made me realize I should be skeptical about GMOs: http://fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/897009908276703232 Permalink 6:33 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Perfect! ABSENCE of haplogroup DOES NOT indicate absence of ancestry, but presence does! Permalink 4:28 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “The insidious racism of Mary Beard et al.”https://medium.com/p/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 Permalink 4:20 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb From the recent papers abt modern Greeks ~Mycenians, Minoans: G and J2 (even J1) haplogroups. pic.twitter.com/vMOz281dPe Permalink 2:47 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Jordan My data has no ethnicities (Tribal North Arabian, West Bank Palestinian, Circasn, etc.) But again, J1e, 10 times more than Lebanon. pic.twitter.com/aTme3UNIsS Permalink 1:40 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Syria as whole v. different from Leb, owing to high presence of J1e (Peninsula genes) from Arab conquest/trade. No granularity on West. Syr pic.twitter.com/difEdbiGVa Permalink 1:23 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@nntaleb He was also converted to skepticism about GMOs. Thank you, Twitter .https://twitter.com/JegErAlan/status/896932546193346561 Permalink 1:20 AM – 14 Aug 2017

@TheDuran_com Assange NAILS IS!http://theduran.com/julian-assange-asks-us-said-nothing-obama-supported-ukrainian-neo-nazis/ Permalink 2:57 PM – 13 Aug 2017

@nntaleb On plane back to NY tried to play with a messier probabilistic structure in genetics. @PZalloua pic.twitter.com/qD14r5Uu4I Permalink 1:10 PM – 13 Aug 2017

@nntaleb History Jumps! An aids for my discussion of probabilistic reasoning for history in my comment on the tirade of Klueless Massimohttps://twitter.com/normonics/status/896820612659912704 Permalink 12:54 PM – 13 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The GMO deception was over the day AMZN bought Whole Foods. AMZN is one order of magnitude bigger than Monsanto, typ. tactics won’t work. Permalink 11:39 AM – 13 Aug 2017

@spikedonline Brendan O’Neill on the poison of racial thinking pic.twitter.com/Cy3JC7Vfql Permalink 11:19 AM – 13 Aug 2017

@RamdasSunder @nntaleb This is Probability, not Stats. Closely related, but a good statistician is not automatically a good probabilist. Permalink 5:09 AM – 13 Aug 2017

@GuruAnaerobic Next time someone criticises Paleo diet cos they only lived til 35yrs, ask them if early death was “diet related” or disease, childbirth,etchttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/896614771973382145 Permalink 12:06 AM – 13 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If you are trying to figure out diet, genetics, and lifestyle, uncon LE is not the right measure. Permalink 11:27 PM – 12 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Flawed analysis: You shd only measure longevity by taking life expectancy conditional on being >50-60, not at birthhttp://www.bbc.com/travel/story/20170807-living-in-places-where-people-live-the-longest?ocid=ww.social.link.twitter Permalink 11:09 PM – 12 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Antifragility World’s oldest man, a Holocaust survivor, dies at 113http://www.wpxi.com/news/world/media-worlds-oldest-man-a-holocaust-survivor-dies-at-113/589276130 Permalink 2:45 PM – 12 Aug 2017

@nntaleb My PhD thesis advisor/coauthor is a French woman mathematician. The committee had 2 women mathematicians. Nobody asked for a quota then.https://twitter.com/clairlemon/status/895493873094414336 Permalink 10:26 AM – 12 Aug 2017

@PaleoPhil And here is an example: History Channel’s “Barbarians Rising” portraying Hannibal as a black West African. pic.twitter.com/oY6CXNwTjZ Permalink 9:17 AM – 12 Aug 2017

@Christo59093308 @nntaleb Amazing!! The Black Swan in 2007, 1 yr before financial crisis! And now pg. 205 with mention of potential Syria crisis! #mustread Permalink 6:56 AM – 12 Aug 2017

@nntaleb BTW what Romans used to call “Arabs” were Nabateans, Northern Arabians, close to Jordanians & Hawranis Permalink 2:38 AM – 12 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Romans looked like other Meds at Ancient times: It was the Celts who were ethnic. @holland_tom citing Petronius. pic.twitter.com/aFgXunJ94D Permalink 12:44 AM – 12 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Ran into 2 Amioun-born New Yorkers Trump supporters at a party in Amioun. “If Amioun voted in the US elections, Trump would get 99%” #MAGA pic.twitter.com/gTCiNKvavf Permalink 4:07 PM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Who is @gchoran99 ? Not only he got the point about subsaharan genes but also that “historians are full of crap”.https://twitter.com/hbdchick/status/896139383371317248 Permalink 3:58 PM – 11 Aug 2017

@alxpr1c3 6 pictorials exposing what A LOT, if not MOST, academic text-books are missing: #RIGOUR!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/896005183993294848 Permalink 2:44 PM – 11 Aug 2017

@robertwjordway People say @nntaleb is nice in person but I disagree. He made me split a mini cannoli with him at @NECSI #diabetes Permalink 1:15 PM – 11 Aug 2017

@ghchammas Lebanese steak tartare. @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/uqmoGqIBTR Permalink 12:06 PM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Syria most probably comes from the Phoenician name for Anti-Lebanon. So, yes the name “Syria” correponds to 3 geographical areas in history. pic.twitter.com/ZTk3SzPI1s Permalink 10:03 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Also in Bible “Aram” is mentioned by which translations say Syria. But “Syria” doesn’t map to “Aram” & Syrion is ambiguous! Permalink 9:52 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Terms “Syria”, Blad eSham, & Syrion != Greek: Syria coela (Bekaa)+Antioch Syrion in Bible is AntiLebanon (Syrion ve Lvanon) Libanensis pbm Permalink 9:46 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb How to look at history using probabilistic reasoning: Pinned Brownian Bridges. Conditional on present and past, what can midpoints be? pic.twitter.com/NlGZYpEKps Permalink 7:33 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Real World Risk Pictorial Next Session Oct 2-6 http://realworldrisk.com/pictorial_view_of_the_program_by_dhaval Permalink 6:47 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The problem is not just financial dependence. Wusses fear losing friends & not being invited to the parties if they defy the thoughtpolice. Permalink 6:15 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Amioun for the weekend, 1900 years. pic.twitter.com/aZEJzELsfC Permalink 5:33 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@AntifragileACC @nntaleb Working at a university and trying to shake up academia world! Thank you for all you do to push us! pic.twitter.com/3y6MYcsCxF Permalink 5:14 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb It was also for me a way to show the UK establishment they can’t play with independent people like me without eventually getting burned. Permalink 3:25 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@paulorrj No, basically it started with @wmarybeard being wrong & called out. So, she accused Taleb of sexism because of it.https://medium.com/@nntaleb/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a Permalink 3:22 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb More precise: Nubians somewhere there. pic.twitter.com/VMc7tNmAfM Permalink 3:20 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Don’t tell me my friend Tom Holland is falling into the Insidious Racism of the UK establishment! pic.twitter.com/rJJyaHkbdx Permalink 3:12 AM – 11 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Precautionary approach to climate. pic.twitter.com/FxW7wAE1u4 Permalink 4:36 PM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Faced that junk in the Air France lounge, JFK. Manager who spoke w/thick Marseilles accent promised to replace w/documentaries on animals. pic.twitter.com/pEB9YnEjgS Permalink 4:33 PM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This is more granularity about Lebanese (all religions) and Armenians pic.twitter.com/aqfwoF0YrI Permalink 1:28 PM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Gulf government gave SECRET $20 million gift to D.C. think tank https://interc.pt/2vQNz1K by @ryangrim Permalink 1:15 PM – 10 Aug 2017

@JacobWinski Just received The VNR Concise Encyclopedia of Mathematics and it’s wonderful. Thank you @nntaleb for the tip, really appreciate it. pic.twitter.com/C6IgqsVi1F Permalink 10:55 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Thus guy is an intellectual fraud. Nonlinear domains like climate & markets!= mechanics like solar eclipses. If it were true he wd be rich.https://twitter.com/neiltyson/status/895634473425014785 Permalink 10:55 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So we can start the great East Med Peace Project by convincing Turks Cypriots, Greeks (etc.) they are 1st cousins. Permalink 4:42 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Fat Tony is J2b. So my prediction: Mafia dons are predominantly J2. We can try to test it. Permalink 4:28 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This map confirms my grandmother’s heurisitc: if people eat the same they look the same… and have similar genetic makeup Permalink 4:24 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And note that the Arab J1e (invaders) subclade is practically non existent in Leb, high in Palestine. Permalink 4:13 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@alexdelprete Giustamente Nassim ci ricorda che il sud italia è Magna Grecia: aplogruppo J2 (18-30%) ed E1b1b (15-25%) http://www.eupedia.com/genetics/italian_dna.shtml https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/895599465381339137 Permalink 4:10 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Also note that Sunnis have about as much J2 as the rest. Permalink 3:58 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This chart will cause a shock to Lebanese national identity. And perhaps Turkish. Note that Southern Italy is also blue (Magna Grecia) pic.twitter.com/J9fsWp8f8E Permalink 3:55 AM – 10 Aug 2017

@nntaleb What SJW don’t get is the implied racism of “white” & “colored”: if you mix white & colored you get colored. That implies purity not race. Permalink 5:30 PM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I was told that traditionally royals shd never say “thank you”, “please”, “sorry”, etc. because you don’t say it to subjects. True? Refs? Permalink 4:00 PM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Turned out in England politeness is something for the middle class. Aristocrats are exempt. Any literature on that? Permalink 2:39 PM – 9 Aug 2017

@MaxAbrahms The problem was meeting him for coffee. Everyone knows you must meet for squid ink or frog legs. Permalink 1:11 PM – 9 Aug 2017

@MaxAbrahms If Twitter teaches you anything…it’s unwise to try to publicly outwit @nntaleb. Permalink 12:38 PM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I am very direct. I asked the doctor; he said can’t do anything about it. So you need to live with it. Permalink 11:57 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Here is 90% of the words used in N Levantine ordinary conv. Most are Ugaritic/Canaanite Also see grammar https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/semitic-3.pdf Permalink 11:31 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Real estate, like fish, starts rotting from the top.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/895113331488567296 Permalink 9:58 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The bigger problem is that Google is a utility. Yet it does not fall under the 1st amendement. This is what worries me the deepest.https://twitter.com/TehNormster/status/895320753268183040 Permalink 9:30 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK, I will say it publicly. I viscerally don’t like S. Pinker, but I will take every RISK to help him fight insidious censorship. Permalink 9:15 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Where is the real “left”? Those who wd say: “I detest what you write, bt I wd give my life to make it possible for you to continue to write” Permalink 8:41 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb OK Ok Damore is a hero. He knowingly took risk. Permalink 7:55 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This entire idea of bicolorism categorization destroys the notion that humans are humans, and once you classify you destroy something. Permalink 7:44 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Which is why the word “white” shd never be used for race as it means nothing. The only “white” pple may be albino.s. Permalink 7:30 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This guy @adammerberg has been helping Monsanto trolls attacking our work on the prec. pple by lying about the mathematical “mistakes”. Permalink 7:24 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Thanks for correcting me. Damore is not a hero. He is a victim. I honor pple who correct my mistakes w/o trolling.https://twitter.com/tinylessons/status/895287275864694784 Permalink 7:18 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So Italy shd be divided in two races, the “whites” and the “xxxx” (actually there is a word in Italian)? For Rome it depends on the suburb? Permalink 7:16 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If you did ethnicities in Roman England, I think most Mediterranean Romans would be considered “Ethnic” by today’s metric. Permalink 7:06 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb “N N Taleb does not suffer fools gladly.” I want it on my epitaph.https://mises.org/blog/what-nassim-taleb-can-teach-us#.WYrzxxjskjo.twitter Permalink 4:37 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb It is thanks to regulators that Monsanto managed to ghostwrite its own safety reviews.https://twitter.com/Masoninblue/status/895239660020092928 Permalink 4:07 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Monsanto was its own ghostwriter for safety reviews https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-08-09/monsanto-was-its-own-ghostwriter-for-some-safety-reviews via @BW Permalink 3:37 AM – 9 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I got 2 citations from Damore today: Individual variations vs categories. The Universal destroys the particular pic.twitter.com/UQCN44xzAx Permalink 7:11 PM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Comment on ‘Klueless Massimo’s Comments (Massimo Pigliucci) of the Mary Beard (Twitter) debate”https://medium.com/p/comment-on-klueless-massimo-s-comments-massimo-pigliucci-of-the-mary-beard-twitter-debate-4c99a36de40 Permalink 6:18 PM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The only way to prevent institutions from rotting is by automatic dissolution, to have the same life expectancy as free-market companies. Permalink 5:12 PM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I wrote an entire book on Mathematics of History since EVERY path is a historical “Brownian Bridge” from Fooled by Randomness pic.twitter.com/1H8oI5mV21 Permalink 11:52 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Academia/journos are nice housebroken submissive dogs. By collectivelly going against me they didn’t realize they need to fight a wolf. Permalink 10:16 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 8) I did not read the article in full, just random glances, each time I find a mistake. Permalink 9:08 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 7) Klueless Massimo @mpigliucci (how can one make so many mistakes in a single article? Doesn’t know abt TIME SERIES ? pic.twitter.com/dH5kdXqbcl Permalink 9:07 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb (I exchanged comments with him on twitter.) Permalink 8:26 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Did not read @NickCohen4’s blog based on heuristic: Never read anything by someone abt you if you would never read him abt anything else. Permalink 8:18 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Nassim Taleb Warns “Something Is Broken In The UK Intellectual Sphere” | Zero Hedge http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-08-07/nassim-taleb-warns-something-broken-uk-intellectual-sphere Permalink 7:59 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Klueless Massimo “expert” in Stoic virtues s.a. courage. Like nuns “experts” in sexual positions. If you don’t take risk, STFU abt courage.https://twitter.com/mpigliucci/status/894765199726477312 Permalink 7:55 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 6) Klueless Massimo @mpigliucci, department of bullshit. He talks about STATISTICS by referring to STAT 101. pic.twitter.com/IMIq4BlzV0 Permalink 6:57 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Here is a more technical way to view the “otherness” in terms of distance, differential entropy. pic.twitter.com/vv9A0WXMwJ Permalink 5:22 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And, BTW, @mpigliucci ‘s account has nothing to do w/my argument, outlined in my Medium post. https://medium.com/incerto/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a @davidpapineau Permalink 4:40 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I am sure @kateantiquity and @caitlinrgreen would agree with my message that ethnicities shd not be binarized/lumped as “other”. pic.twitter.com/CmgE5n5CU0 Permalink 4:26 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Independently an Italian fellow nails it! Same point as mine about the insidious racism of Mary Beardhttps://twitter.com/SiamolaGente/status/894856398806409216 Permalink 4:07 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb To actually understand what Mary Beard and the UK PolNazis are getting wrong. (h/t Google hero) pic.twitter.com/cUqyZsNNb2 Permalink 3:40 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@primalpoly The original #googlememo, including all its links to research, which @Gizmodo deleted before criticizing it as lacking empirical support.https://twitter.com/SteveStuWill/status/894816981521772545 Permalink 2:34 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Pple are surprised that Turkey speaks Turkish w/little Turkic genes, Lebanon has no Arab genes, not that India speaks English w/o Engl genes Permalink 2:13 AM – 8 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A great description of how ritual defamation is done. Problem: #antifragility of some.https://twitter.com/__ice9/status/894757155437297665 Permalink 8:14 PM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If they can. Only if they can.https://twitter.com/prestonjbyrne/status/894272812751499265 Permalink 8:07 PM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb That has been my point all my life. Western Civilization is Med. Diversity should be olive oil vs butter, not Euro vs “other”. Idiots.https://twitter.com/francisalonso86/status/894616311086686212 Permalink 11:02 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Something torturing me. I receive a Tesla this week & something abt state subsidies troubles my conscience as a localist-libertarian. Permalink 10:30 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Actually, I can guesstimate from the decline in rate of blocking by bot of UK SWJ trolls and journos over past 12h that it has to be <1%. Permalink 10:10 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This man gets it.https://twitter.com/Billare/status/894589364625428480 Permalink 9:31 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The big question: How much do the Political Correct Universalist Nazis represent of the UK pple: 3%? Less? More?https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15 Permalink 7:36 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Mike Duncan @mikeduncan concluded abt my exchange w/Mary Beard not veifying if she did not falsify the nature of encounter. ShoddyHistorianhttps://twitter.com/mikeduncan/status/894531394814259203 Permalink 6:35 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@primalpoly Google HR: ‘There are no sex differences’ Google AdWords: ‘You bought books on programming? Here are ads for GQ magazine and Cialis’ pic.twitter.com/Dtn2vvNfoI Permalink 6:09 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I actually followed @mikeduncan on twitter until I listened in podcast to a subject I know well, Seneca, & saw he was a bullshitter. Permalink 5:23 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb How can you trust a “historian” like @mikeduncan if he doesn’t have the instinct to look for other side of story? https://medium.com/incerto/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a https://twitter.com/mikeduncan/status/893189129638490119 Permalink 4:42 AM – 7 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I can feel in my bones, from the #googlememo (and my UK story) that something is starting to crumble. I mean, to crumble. Permalink 6:39 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@LorenzoWVilla (I believe that) This statement is extremely accurate and extremely funny. Permalink 6:03 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb But, fundamentally, saying “I am a woman hence I have a license to call everyone who bothers me a misogynist” infuriates me. Permalink 2:59 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Beard said “accurate” which got me going. Then backtracked Then misrepresented the exchange abt credentials. Then used the feminist cover. pic.twitter.com/FOKqWJ6JXm Permalink 2:57 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@karoumy I screencapped it in time. pic.twitter.com/KfN64aYJlr Permalink 2:28 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@RBeisert Taleb called a UK “historian” out for revisionism. People stamped their feet impotently while antifragile Taleb laughed. Permalink 2:10 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Please ban all my “pop risk” books. Enact rules to make them illegal on campus. Please put the burning on youtube, please!https://twitter.com/soniarothwell/status/894299329715941378 Permalink 1:52 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I knew there was something wrong with the Green Party’s support of war in Syria. But they extend their “environmental” to Roman Britain.https://twitter.com/WhyToVoteGreen/status/894283635662127104 Permalink 1:12 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I get tons of that crap, now w/a bot blocking them. Basically it is very OK to be a bullshitter if “good manners”. The UK self-destructing?https://twitter.com/janeknappster/status/894278567995088900 Permalink 12:30 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Salibi claims Lebanon had wave of settlements byYemenis. No trace of J1e among Sunnis. Historian texts= hearsay + fabrication + some truth pic.twitter.com/KuTtE4p3OQ Permalink 12:07 PM – 6 Aug 2017

@Chateaubriand__ This raises the important point that, by inserting implausible contemporary diversity, the BBC ignored the real diversity of Roman Britain.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/893456839375032322 Permalink 10:34 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@Cernovich Intelligence bureaucrats disdain @nntaleb risk management. Firing Flynn robbed America of one of our greatest minds. http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/02/27/michael-flynn-general-chaos ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/X2JCVBI2LA”> pic.twitter.com/X2JCVBI2LA Permalink 10:22 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In UK, It is misogynist to not deal w/a woman as one would w/a man. But if you deal w/a woman as you would w/a man, you are also mysogynist. Permalink 9:53 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This is how Syrians looked. Like Romans. And the Berbers. Diversity was Mediter vs U.K. Mary Beard keeps her BS going. pic.twitter.com/nP8hYafBVK Permalink 9:31 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb More bullshit by Mary Beard: Berbers and Syrians were Mediterraneans, close to Romans in looks, the “diversity” doesn’t work there. pic.twitter.com/p9sudkvG38 Permalink 9:09 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb PLEDGE: If I ever, over my lifetime make a BS nondisconfirmatory historical statement, you are allowed to abuse me! @alexapostolideshttps://twitter.com/alexapostolides/status/894214800913428480 Permalink 8:40 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb All I can say so far: very roughly, Palestinians are Meds on their mother’s side, Arabs on their father’s. Exhilarating to read history Permalink 7:59 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb pic.twitter.com/ZCQpzG45Ix Permalink 7:53 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Palestinian genetic distance using cross-entropy on Mito DNA, female lineage pic.twitter.com/ixCepwzz5G Permalink 7:46 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Mr (bullshitter Johnson, here is what we know about the “African” Punicshttp://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/archaeology/dna-sequencing-of-ancient-phoenician-remains-could-make-us-reconsider-the-history-of-human-movement-a7048046.html Permalink 6:35 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@eamonn @nntaleb is not “alt-right”, but he did call Mary Beard a “bullshitter.” Here’s why:https://medium.com/incerto/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a Permalink 6:05 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The J1e pic.twitter.com/x8usv8tCTF Permalink 6:01 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Jim Pickard @PickardJE of the FT engaged in same w/me but, 8 years later, is PROUD of it. When journos are despicable, they are despicable.https://twitter.com/juliagalef/status/894092020494381056 Permalink 5:21 AM – 6 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The Palestinians appear to be ~one third/half Mediterranean, one third/half Arabs. 8 times more traces of Peninsula Arabs than Lebanon. pic.twitter.com/1lBUSe8VVA Permalink 4:38 AM – 6 Aug 2017

Wusses, UK IYIs, Pickard, Mary Beard, Scaramucci, Monsanto, JK Rowling, a Tesla, DNA, Calabrese Barbers, CNN | Twitter

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@nntaleb Imbecile, these are the people from the Hama area that UK “scholars” want you to believe are “Africans” (J2 haplogroup is the Med gene). pic.twitter.com/KGycAtl7y1 Permalink 6:28 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Did Hama (Emesa) people have the SubSaharan phenotype? Do you know how they look? Have you seen their DNA? Hahahaha. Only in the UK Permalink 6:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Trying to figure out using @PZalloua ‘s database if Venitians left much imprint… pic.twitter.com/nk7KMPgnJc Permalink 2:22 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@GeorgeJNasr https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/778702519518187520 Permalink 12:32 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Writing shd be a form of risk taking. Permalink 12:23 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Aramaic du Jour: Qornet as-Sawda is not “Black Corner” from Arabic, but from Aramaic “Mount of Martyrs” Qarno d’Sohdeh.https://twitter.com/turlevnon/status/893862311475150849 Permalink 12:03 PM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I bet you the Facebook “Fake News” marker will be interpreted as “true uncensored news”. #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/StefanMolyneux/status/893906875359604736 Permalink 11:52 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Quand les chrétiens du Liban ont-ils commencé à parler français ?”https://medium.com/p/quand-les-chr%C3%A9tiens-du-liban-ont-ils-commenc%C3%A9-%C3%A0-parler-fran%C3%A7ais-faedb960cbdb Permalink 10:26 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb (this is fun… a lot of fun) pic.twitter.com/nxRQEcyr4m Permalink 10:15 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@ektrit Taleb is the ultimate practitioner of Fuckoffism. Two parameters needed: 1) Be empirically knowledgeable. 2) Be financially independenthttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/893820093896982528 Permalink 10:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb About the wusses in UK (and other) universities. pic.twitter.com/yeDd7lpVke Permalink 9:57 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@emiliodib J’ai pu l’améliorer un peu grâce à quelques commentaires. Êtes-vous à l’origine de la remarque concernant François 1er ? Permalink 8:17 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Wusses in UK intelligentsia who hate the Pol.Cor.Gestapo yet are afraid to speak. They study in detail Ceasar, Hanbl, but they are wusses. Permalink 6:31 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@amyalkon What was done to Tim Hunt was terrible, & people (inc me) defended. @BoraZ never guilty of still-ruinous accusation http://www.advicegoddess.com/archives/2015/07/03/bora_zivkovic_r.html ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/AYEXtGEZh5″> pic.twitter.com/AYEXtGEZh5 Permalink 6:10 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb UK pol. cor. Gestapo managed to destroy EVERY researcher they went after, including Tim Hunt (Nobel) They can’t do NOTHING to me Actually… Permalink 6:04 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You don’t fucking understand that “looking good” and *what people think of me* has NEVER been part of my agenda? Permalink 5:51 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I got >1000 insults hurled at me by the Brit IYI mob, posts on hist newsletters, etc. I am still around (haha) What wd break me? 10^5? 10^6? Permalink 5:49 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@heyjohnnyross keep up the great work NNT, their superficial walls are beginning to crumble Permalink 5:23 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The general kills the particular! pic.twitter.com/cE88fZ6w1P Permalink 5:11 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Chers amis, quelqu’un peut etre interesse a traduire en francais?https://medium.com/@nntaleb/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932 Permalink 5:03 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb From the Bed of Procrustes. (Why the Brits don’t like my calling Mary Beard who is a bullshitter, bullshitter): https://www.amazon.com/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms/dp/1400069971/ref=bxgy_cc_b_img_a ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/0RN2OX3dB2″> pic.twitter.com/0RN2OX3dB2 Permalink 5:02 AM – 5 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “When did Lebanese Christians Start Speaking French?”https://medium.com/p/when-did-lebanese-christians-start-speaking-french-771603969932 Permalink 1:55 PM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Thought experiment: If the child does not have his father’s DNA, who will you trust, the social narrative, i.e., “history”, or the DNA? Permalink 1:03 PM – 4 Aug 2017

@BlackSwanReport #Monsanto Secret Documents @nntalebhttps://www.baumhedlundlaw.com/toxic-tort-law/monsanto-roundup-lawsuit/monsanto-secret-documents/ Permalink 11:02 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@tlitb Is it lying when getting a TLS forum to report a twitter spat while distorting the tweets? @nntaleb @wmarybeardhttps://twitter.com/tlitb/status/893493193538326529 Permalink 10:38 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb These UK IYIs think that just picking random insults from “manual of platitutes for low IQ historians” will stop the spread of my argument.https://twitter.com/MikeStuchbery_/status/893510188011048960 Permalink 9:37 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Pickard, you are confirming that you have absolutely no regards for journalistic ethics? Permalink 8:47 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@tlitb Hmm, swapping the chron. order and hiding the clear cause of the citation retort seems pretty dodgy from a historian @nntaleb @wmarybeard pic.twitter.com/5yBer0iaeD Permalink 8:25 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You can shout “injustice” if someone is taller than you, require compensation for hurt feelings. Freedom of expression is ROBUST. Kapish? Permalink 7:57 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@JulianAssange Between Trump’s directness & leaks the Trump admin is the most transparent in living memory–despite its policies. Good or bad? Permalink 7:41 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@christophermah3 We’ve only had troops in Afghanistan for 16 years. Give the strategy time to work.https://twitter.com/JewhadiTM/status/893473470415343617 Permalink 7:08 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb You need to do something about Grand Inquisitors such as @david_colquhounhttps://medium.com/incerto/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a Permalink 6:53 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Something is Broken in the UK Intellectual Sphere.”https://medium.com/p/something-is-broken-in-the-uk-intellectual-sphere-7efc9a1f154a Permalink 6:01 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@JulianAssange Why WikiLeaks is the best friend of the American peoplehttps://fighting15th.com/2017/04/16/wikileaks-is-not-our-enemy/ Permalink 4:49 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Mr. Jim Pickard @PickardJE, I understand you like fake news… but why are you proud of being unethical?https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 Permalink 4:20 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This confirms our genetic distance based on mitocondria between Leb & further north w/@PZalloua Canaanites were not “Semitic”https://twitter.com/ancientorigins/status/893418759989456896 Permalink 4:13 AM – 4 Aug 2017

@nntaleb OK, finalized the subtitle: Skin in the Game The Underlying Matrix of Daily Life Permalink 3:47 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The exercise allows us to understand Fat Tails. From my book with @DrCirillo (my class notes at NYU) pic.twitter.com/XF2EeSR3vM Permalink 2:33 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 1) Heuristic to get fat tails: Conditional of an event killing 1 billion in 2018, what is most likely? Pandemic Cancer Nuclear accident? Permalink 2:25 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Once I catch someone like Mary Beard in the act of bullshitting, I cease to read additional comments/posts by her & her friends. Kapish? Permalink 1:52 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Indeed, nuclear is thin-tailed & not under Precautionary P, just vigilance. Very dangerous but no systemic effects, unlike GMOs/epidemics Permalink 1:39 PM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Ad Hominem was started by Mary Beard. I turned it on her. She subsequently misrepresented the exchange. 1 designation: bullshitter. Kapish? Permalink 7:49 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If that’s how Mary Beard bullshits about her exchange with me, how can anyone trust her historical reports? No more use for her. Permalink 7:29 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Evidence that Ms Beard is a bullshitter. She tried to degrade me to “pop risk” until I compated the “pop” to HERs. Her report. Bullshitter! pic.twitter.com/XuaYt7eLCi Permalink 7:27 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Deeper problem in the UK: the PolCorrect police terrorizes academics wusses & few dare speak up ag. the BS. UK Academics are too insecure. Permalink 7:18 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Kate Cooper and Kaitlin Green are taking the scholarly approach; it is a matter of S Med phenotype & worth engagin.Beard is useless; ignore Permalink 6:53 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The royal way is to quietly study quizzes on @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 6:37 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Some ignorance on the part of Ms Beard: classifying Pple of Tiddis, Roman times “nonwhite” equiv. to classifying London Italians as such Permalink 6:13 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb For those interested in our program w/ @DrCirillo to introduce statistical/probabilistic rigor into historiography. https://scholar.google.com/citations?view_op=view_citation&hl=en&user=64BtMdsAAAAJ&sortby=pubdate&citation_for_view=64BtMdsAAAAJ:mZB2-lCpWbQC Permalink 5:33 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I am sure that you agree: history shd be accurate representation of past empirical reality not cherry-picked saliency/ availability biases. Permalink 5:16 AM – 3 Aug 2017

@careygillam After release of dox showing ghostwriting, paying of scientists, @MonsantoCo seeks harsh sanctions on plaintiffs’ attorneys. Gloves are off.https://twitter.com/careygillam/status/892914920517496832 Permalink 6:25 PM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This time I am off the hook! Figured out a proof for this case by brute force rather than thinking. pic.twitter.com/x55GhtC0wv Permalink 4:31 PM – 2 Aug 2017

@CutTheKnotMath The nature’s greatest artist: pufferfish http://1funny.com/pufferfish-courtship/ #math #mathphoto HT Lyonya Medvedovsky ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/IprpwPHcxE”> pic.twitter.com/IprpwPHcxE Permalink 9:57 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac Permalink 9:03 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A potential explanation is that Aliens abducted all of them. Hey, I am not an expert on Alien history. Permalink 7:09 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Sorry the answer is NOT there. Try again: where did the genes evaporate? Permalink 6:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb There is ONE & only ONE question that @wmarybeard needs to answer, & it is: “Where did the diversity genes evaporate?” All the rest is tawk. Permalink 6:34 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So,”Astrology fails to work on data”. @wmarybeard “How many books on Astrology have you read? You don’t see the nuances” This is 2017! Permalink 6:25 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Pbm vastly more general than @wmarybeard: there is this absence of intellectual rigor in humanities, ANECDOTAL is mistaken for STATISTICAL. pic.twitter.com/gkczkA2MvZ Permalink 5:44 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This is what people say when the data contradicts all their beliefs.https://twitter.com/wmarybeard/status/892709792468393985 Permalink 5:17 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Friends, can you find antecedents to the “availability heuristic” in the literature? Permalink 5:14 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Genetic data =>Ms Beard:”dont think you have many qualifications in nuanced historical analysis”. This is what is commonly known as bullshit Permalink 4:54 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I apologize if you perceived it as an “insult” (and BTW I’ve offered your last book as Xmas present), but I need to compress. Permalink 4:41 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The term “unsurprising” is now used as a substitute for *representative* population and “diversity”? Who are you fooling? “Scholarship?” Permalink 4:37 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Sorry Ms Beard if you are insulted by data, but here is some more. BTW Mr Morley’s blog is not “evidence”, just anecdotal reasoning. pic.twitter.com/KQ3BTEY0c5 Permalink 4:06 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The ONLY other possible explanation is that ALL the “diversity” women had no girls, ALL “diversity” men had no boys, proba ~ 1 in trillions. Permalink 3:58 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Well, Ms Beard… Scientific evidence IS available. Where did the Subsaharan genes evaporate? (w/interMed trading for 25 C.) Stop the BS. pic.twitter.com/bRfgFfNdiW Permalink 3:31 AM – 2 Aug 2017

@nntaleb When @wmarybeard says “firm evidence”, god knows what this means. In science evidence is statistical, != backed up historical anecdote. Permalink 7:32 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb We have a clear idea of genetic distributions hence backward composition; genes better statisticians than historian hearsay bullshit. Permalink 7:09 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Historians believe their own BS. Where did the subsaharan genes evaporate? NorthAfricans were lightskinned. Only “Aethiopians”, even thenhttps://twitter.com/wmarybeard/status/889925415032299520 Permalink 7:08 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Answer in here with real world application. I did a bootstrap for variance reasons. pic.twitter.com/UDCPZJxWRE Permalink 6:12 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb A probability Quiz. pic.twitter.com/AIofc0udvQ Permalink 5:57 PM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Courage is the only virtue you can’t fake. Permalink 9:20 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Using quotes by modern psychologists is the bullshitter’s imitation of depth. #LindyEffecthttps://twitter.com/dmichaelsnyder/status/892412903357394944 Permalink 8:56 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb So how many of the articles by @HenryiMiller on @ProSyn are written by Monsanto? Or those he wrote against our PP http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html ?https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/892385165376278528 Permalink 7:12 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Why cursing signals independence, even aristocracy (same chapter in Skin in the Game) pic.twitter.com/hO2Zl3cPfJ Permalink 6:03 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The tragedy of Anthony @Scaramucci is that one cannot be both alpha, free, direct and … have a supervisor.https://medium.com/incerto/how-to-legally-own-another-person-4145a1802bf6 Permalink 5:36 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb And talking about regulators being servants to industry, say Monsanto:http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/597fc800e4b0d187a5968fbf Permalink 4:55 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The problem is IYIs not understanding inequality https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/892143453215346689 Permalink 4:47 AM – 1 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 11) For the Tesla, the put option embedded in lease ~ %15 of initial price. Breakeven is a 35% drop in used-car mkt. Price for uncertainty! Permalink 7:50 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@JasonL3d Yeah something snapped inside of me the other day when I finally understood this idea I got from Nassim Taleb’s bookhttps://twitter.com/jasonl3d/status/891015399847993346 Permalink 6:30 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 10) On the optimality of buying vs leasing (& optionality of lease), how much does a Tesla currently lose in % after 3 y &/or 36000 miles? Permalink 3:34 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath My apologies and appreciation to every one who noticed and point out the typo pic.twitter.com/qc43Y9TAUt Permalink 1:11 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Time to refresh the smear artists http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/smear.html Permalink 12:29 PM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb People want to buy the argument by Pinker, via shoddy statistics, that the state LOWERED violence. It did not.https://twitter.com/catoletters/status/892024628755017728 Permalink 9:35 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: The SP500 negative extremes follow the standard Extreme Value Distribution, not the positive extremes pic.twitter.com/HG0MOKBSHS Permalink 8:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb JK Rowling should write fiction in her books not in her tweets using Virtue Signaling with children. The liar did not remove tweet. Liar. pic.twitter.com/wirfcNNRYD Permalink 7:51 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb From genetics w @Zalloua, Church founders in Levant & AsiaMinor looked as Lebanese,same they did 3800 years ago, SAME as Southern Europeans. pic.twitter.com/OTLL9ycLPc Permalink 7:18 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Attempt to make church leaders look nonEuropean is a fraud. Genes show they looked like S. Europeans/Meds @PZallouahttps://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/no-jesus-was-not-a-nonwhite-refugee-who-would-have-voted-for-43779209eea4 Permalink 6:57 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb From #SkinintheGame You get more results, more peace reducing the State Dept staff & interventionistas. pic.twitter.com/BN8tw80TVq Permalink 4:59 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 9) It remains that the most subsidized industries (via taxpayer stop) have been Auto & Banking. Turned both into living carcasses. #Tesla Permalink 4:16 AM – 31 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Never ask a barber if you need a haircut.https://twitter.com/brhodes/status/891770632337227776 Permalink 6:38 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 8) I understand the EV costs energy to make. How about other cars: do they grow on trees? Permalink 4:03 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 7) +Battery depletion [V. small for 50k miles] +Fragility of car [have WARRANTY] I plug at home… I fail to see a compelling arg. ag Tesla. Permalink 2:08 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 6) Rational arguments ag. electric: +Electric =fossil [NOT in NY] +Range anxiety [99% of my driving<80m] +Refill [Plug v.convenient for me] Permalink 2:04 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today: Extremes for SP500 are independent for negative, dependent for >0. Gumbel test @DrCirillo pic.twitter.com/sKMHf60CWK Permalink 1:45 PM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb In SiculoCalabrese, “Capisci” not quite pronounced “Kapish”, more like “Gabish”, w/the G almost a Semitic Qof. What shd I use in my books? Permalink 10:12 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Then why don’t you use petrol/diesel cell phones and laptops? Permalink 8:30 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb (cont) Honor is necessary, but not sufficient. Tired of the sophistry w/ counterexamples from Mafia, etc. Permalink 7:51 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Honor and Soul in the Game pic.twitter.com/fl8Vydx2Bm Permalink 5:49 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@primalpoly Which journalists should we trust? Whoever risks assassination or ostracism by reporting on civilization’s real enemies. #skininthegame Permalink 12:27 AM – 30 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 5) Skin in the game: I waited to buy a Tesla before commenting… Permalink 11:32 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4) Yesterday, I replaced my lemon MiniCooper Flaneurmobile with a Tesla, wondering why I didn’t do it before. Permalink 11:28 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 3) We wasted 120 years not focusing on the battery… Permalink 11:22 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 2) The Tesla needs no oil change, no regular visits to the dealer so he could overcharge you for maintenance, no nothing. Permalink 11:21 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 1) Is it me or is it that when you see a Tesla you realize there has been a conspiracy to make us drive complicated crap for 50 years? Permalink 11:15 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is true. I have been unfollowing/blocking every p who spread & did not retract. @jk_rowling is personally & intellectually despicable.https://twitter.com/PrisonPlanet/status/891340518206177286 Permalink 10:00 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Centrally, unlike genetics-based medicine (huge dimensionality problems), DNA is very robust to parentage. You know your origin at ~10^-10 Permalink 8:47 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Volatility clustering, roughly seen. If we dig, we can see that: 1) It is NOT self-exciting Poisson 2) It is NOT stochastic vol. “Rough Vol” pic.twitter.com/J1HEZGJJGa Permalink 8:24 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb #somethingIlearnedtoday People on the “left” have higher school scores People on the “left” can’t figure out complex systems Problem=school Permalink 8:05 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Something I learned today: The SP500 is Fat Tailed because of serial dependence. pic.twitter.com/zJFZLEdgma Permalink 6:56 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Uncomfortable for some that, in spite of claims by some of “Arab descent”, no imprint in the genes/culture. “Arab nationalism” is dead. Permalink 6:17 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb We need to rewrite history. History belongs to scientists, not historians. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10155103605033375 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/YFJSK159g6″> pic.twitter.com/YFJSK159g6 Permalink 6:10 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This 99% chimp theory is TOTAL BS. DNA is based on genetic distance or rigorous divergence metrics, not raw comparisons. Permalink 5:51 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Canaanite discovery by @PZalloua et al supports the idea that history was LESS VIOLENT than reported by historianshttps://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac Permalink 5:25 AM – 29 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Bravo. This is the paper to read.https://twitter.com/MuhammedKambal/status/891062446433210372 Permalink 4:10 PM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Both Lister and his boss shd be in Guantanamohttps://twitter.com/ehsani22/status/891058067508535301 Permalink 3:13 PM – 28 Jul 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 2 from the 2017 IMO http://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/IMO2017_Problem2.shtml #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Ib3QjkW9dB”> pic.twitter.com/Ib3QjkW9dB Permalink 10:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Calabrese barbers, my friends for 25 y pic.twitter.com/MjowvaUuSQ Permalink 8:14 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are from the minorities that the “rebels” want to ethnically cleanse. Permalink 6:35 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb An interesting style math problem from the 2017 Olympiad. (2nd most difficult) Also #FF @CutTheKnotMath who keeps us sharp with these. pic.twitter.com/lkLtOqbkUT Permalink 6:32 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Incidentally, 4 out of the 6 Syrian kids in the Olympiad are minorities. https://www.imo-official.org/team_r.aspx?code=SYR&year=2017 Permalink 6:28 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The problem is never the problem. It is how @ForeignPolicy deals with it that is the main problem. Permalink 6:13 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Tried to portray son of Syria’s Assad as a loser who “flucked” math test. Turned out math test was Olympiad & he got Honor. Men. DESPICABLE. Permalink 6:12 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The editor of @ForeignPolicy doesn’t know what a mathematics Olympiad is. Worse: he doesn’t want to know.https://twitter.com/benpauker/status/890916557332807680 Permalink 5:53 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb I mean right under the bronze. Permalink 5:41 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “Never trust a journalist, except if she is your mother”, Bed of Procrusteshttps://twitter.com/Scaramucci/status/890736308498378753 Permalink 5:20 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This needs a retraction, @benpauker. Young Hafez got an Honorable Mention, 1 rank under the silver medal. Is @ForeignPolicy so bad?https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/889845014133649410 Permalink 4:45 AM – 28 Jul 2017

@GreenRupertRead Watch/share, on climate/precaution: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pmcokyx6Tbk&feature=youtu.be & See also my jt piece on exactly this with @nntaleb: http://www.blackswanreport.com/blog/2015/05/our-statement-on-climate-models/ Permalink 11:45 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A diagnosis for a mental disease that is 100% nonimaginary is working for CNNhttps://twitter.com/fridaghitis/status/890748661109596161 Permalink 6:46 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb There are fit-all words such as ‘narcissistic’ that God created for idiots without a precise argument. Permalink 6:38 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci is being direct, natural, and nononsense. Get used to people who say it the way it is.https://twitter.com/EvanRFrost/status/890729509573586944 Permalink 5:25 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Finally, someone is using my language.https://twitter.com/Chris_arnade/status/890691079217065985 Permalink 3:54 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb No self respecting Squid Ink eater will EVER put cheese on a fish pasta. Kapish? Permalink 3:23 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink with farro grain, Tbone steak and a lot of probability with statistician @philipbstark pic.twitter.com/i7G4uwUOno Permalink 3:19 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb This is actually true. Women under “rebel” areas are treated like 2nd hand furniture.https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/890684001492631552 Permalink 2:33 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Confirmation of the theory that populations, once they settle in an empty spot, stay there. http://phy.so/420375602 via @physorg_com Permalink 2:10 PM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb “malignant alliance betw powerful bureaucracies & MidEast allies” agst Amer interests, => terrorism” http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/how-cia-and-allies-trapped-obama-in-syrian-arms-debacle/ via @amconmag Permalink 6:37 AM – 27 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Anthony @Scaramucci understands health care is centrally a scaling problem! Grrrrrrrrreat news.https://twitter.com/newday/status/890181198940696576 Permalink 3:02 PM – 26 Jul 2017

@ScottAdamsSays Show me a person who has followed this sort of reading path and I’ll show you someone I want to work with.https://twitter.com/realwesmyers/status/890301665454305280 Permalink 2:54 PM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb The minority rule failed to work! Why? It imposes too much costs on others.http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-40729996 Permalink 10:05 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb CAN YOU TAKE MY NAME OFF THAT CRAP? Permalink 9:38 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb One day.https://twitter.com/romanletters/status/890226409163063301 Permalink 8:13 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A Copt (Egyptian Christian, pre-Arab invasion) moves to France, away from persecution, & vows to preserve France from the same invasion.https://twitter.com/JeanMessiha/status/889569976704749568 Permalink 8:11 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@DShaywitz Also – those noting serendipity relevant to drug discovery – I discussed this in @FT in 2008 w/@nntaleb https://www.ft.com/content/b735787c-5d9b-11dd-8129-000077b07658 Permalink 7:59 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb Some pple criticizing economists because they “use math”. But they can’t even use math: they VIOLATE elementary probability theory. pic.twitter.com/6oiaoWEIkt Permalink 4:32 AM – 26 Jul 2017

@nntaleb A lesson for SaudiBarbaria Tsar Alexsndr II who freed the serfs,made reforms was assassinated You suddenly give rights, they want much more Permalink 3:44 PM – 25 Jul 2017

Joseph Justus Scaliger, Nate Silver, Palestinian-Israeli, Macron, Algeria, Nikki Haley, Scientism, Monsanto, Neo-Cons, Patriots | Twitter

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@nntaleb His translation https://books.google.com/books?id=I3UTAAAAQAAJ&pg=PA19&dq=scaliger+arabicorum&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjQs_26mM3TAhVDLyYKHf59CXUQ6AEIODAD#v=onepage&q&f=false Permalink 3:08 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Joseph Justus Scaliger remains the most erudite man in history. He knew mathematics, Aramaic, Hebrew… He even translated Arabic proverbshttps://twitter.com/SanguineEmpiric/status/858802597783773184 Permalink 3:05 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One thing I can certify: Nate Silver doesn’t know “his” subject. Not probability or “wvidence”.https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/858741398694187012 Permalink 12:58 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I confirm. GMO operatives tried a smear campaign on yours truly. So far, failed. Some journos like @doctorow were complicit w/fake newshttps://twitter.com/peterdoodes/status/858745682282385408 Permalink 11:54 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Cretan diet is fiction. @GuruAnaerobic @drjasonfung pic.twitter.com/FJmBR8BAJC Permalink 10:29 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb There are v. few Algerian Jihadis in ISIS, many from France. Tunisia is a country in trouble. pic.twitter.com/ZuIKwmh4sR Permalink 7:40 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Do these photos match those of the propagandists?https://twitter.com/Rajarajan941/status/858361038495928320 Permalink 7:36 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb How the Israeli-Palestine problem comes from too many cooks with no skin-in-the-gamehttps://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac Permalink 6:58 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood”https://medium.com/p/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac Permalink 6:55 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb @saifedean a Libertarian Palestinian, has similar comments. Permalink 6:13 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Palestinian-Israeli conflict perpetuated by people “who are trying to help”. #SkinintheGame pic.twitter.com/SAyzKaZ3wt Permalink 6:01 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) If Macron is elected, we will need to protect Algeria from France and its French-grown Jihadis. Permalink 5:46 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb And Macron needs a good lesson about the Minority Rule.https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15 Permalink 5:00 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria got rid of the bulk of its Jihadis after their civil war. Active Algerian Jihadis are more likely to be in France.https://twitter.com/_Stalker_69_/status/858605396075962368 Permalink 4:58 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Never explain why something important is important. Permalink 2:01 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb When a principle is strong and (you feel) imperative, everything you do to justify it or rationalize it makes it weaker. Everything. Permalink 2:58 PM – 29 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I meant lifting your maximum load requires a great deal of concentration (particularly if you live in New York). Permalink 10:21 AM – 29 Apr 2017

@nntaleb To echo Yogi Berra, almost all of weightlifting is mental. Only the other half is physical. Permalink 8:59 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Please, replace her. With anything. Even an animal from the New York zoo would be safer. Perhaps even an economist.http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/330247-trump-haley-could-easily-be-replaced#.WQO2J77djPQ.twitter Permalink 2:40 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My theory is that companies don’t die for external causes. They just commit suicide.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/858065371164626944 Permalink 2:22 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb More squid ink. pic.twitter.com/U1zsQhuvF1 Permalink 1:11 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb He changed his name to Pinker Boy as penitence after losing a math bet.https://twitter.com/loglog_vc/status/858036487727849473 Permalink 12:38 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@niall_gooch How have I never seen this story before? The last Byzantine Emperor went out like a man. pic.twitter.com/7dEJH4e37L Permalink 12:07 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our study explaining the BS in studies of “drop in violence”. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315 Permalink 10:34 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb El libro de mi amigo Tom Holand @holland_tom pic.twitter.com/U1pzG6iekb Permalink 8:31 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This BS graph doesn’t have *intensity* of wars. More people died in a tiny segment in 20th C than all before.https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/857638539554693121 Permalink 7:39 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Travel Heuristic: In a v. touristy town, if a rstrant is overbooked, show up in nice jacket & Italian-looking shoes & you will get a table. Permalink 7:32 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Travel Heuristic: In a scenic place, the best restaurant is most likely to be the most crowded one with no view.https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52 Permalink 6:33 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Mission: Defend science against obscurantism & Defend science against scientismhttps://twitter.com/TheCharlieton/status/857938763749748736 Permalink 6:21 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Globalistidiots assume that pple are only paid in money, not the pride & belonging seeing the community consume their products & vice versa. Permalink 2:35 PM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Thanks Ron Paul, once again. Scientism is our disease.https://twitter.com/RonPaul/status/857644784604909568 Permalink 10:31 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philology du jour: Motto of Emir of Granada, on all walls of Alhambra, “Only victor is G” equivalent of memento homo https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auriga_(slave) ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/MOYJhtaR4R”> pic.twitter.com/MOYJhtaR4R Permalink 10:16 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@primalpoly When SJWs demand we ignore 70 million years of mammalian maternal behavior, to conform to this season’s PC fad.https://heatst.com/culture-wars/study-describing-breastfeeding-as-natural-is-unethical-because-it-reinforces-gender-roles/ Permalink 8:18 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@NC_CyberLaw This entire thread. And read @nntaleb books. You’ll never look at any client matter or news story the same way again.https://twitter.com/isamuel/status/857586263720906753 Permalink 6:47 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Globalism has the effect of separating some people a step too far from the fruits of their actions. #skininthegame pic.twitter.com/5jQktncGj9 Permalink 4:24 AM – 26 Apr 2017

@RyanMaue Worthwhile read on scientism –>https://mises.org/blog/neil-ty-scientism-guy Permalink 6:55 PM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am surprised nobody recognized Doyne Farmer & his types from Antifragile. They made Fat Tony rich pic.twitter.com/grCI8XTZa2 Permalink 11:17 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philip II to the Spartans: You should submit because IF my armies invade you I will destroy, slay your pple, & raze your city Spartans: “If” Permalink 11:14 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Could”.https://twitter.com/sfiscience/status/856907470907863041 Permalink 11:01 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One of those low-IQ shills disguized as journalist is keith kloor @keithkloor. Shame. Permalink 5:25 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The victim of Monsanto is not just the agricultural structure; it is SCIENCE.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/856677879601545216 Permalink 5:19 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game does not imply unlimited liability. Just means SOME punishment. Permalink 2:23 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game in place of regulations.https://twitter.com/pmansfield678/status/856751898019475456 Permalink 12:48 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am now about where Halevy wrote this. Permalink 4:33 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Halevy לִבִּי בְמִזְרָח וְאָנֹכִי בְּסוֹף מַעֲרָב Permalink 4:23 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Debunking Trump’s Casus Belli | The American Conservative http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/debunking-trumps-casus-belli/ via @amconmag Permalink 4:01 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Mr Taleb,I don’t always agree w/you,but..” Me:”Can you 1st tell me what you disagree with,sthing concrete?” “I’ll get back to you on that” Permalink 3:43 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb More mysteries: almodovar, frm Medawar (round), does not come frm Arabic (mustadir), bt Aramaic, cd predate Arabs w/ Phoen or Jewish root. Permalink 8:22 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The reason there is an unconditional freedom of speech is because no one can define the limitations without some special interest kicking inhttps://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/856504350692315137 Permalink 8:09 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I used option language because this is exactly an Iron butterfly. pic.twitter.com/7UErfodMjS Permalink 7:39 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@zerohedge Taleb Trashes The “Interventionistas” & Their Mental Defectshttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-23/taleb-trashes-interventionistas-their-mental-defects Permalink 3:15 PM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Mystery almost solved! May have to do with Aljamiado! (transcription by Mozarabs) Discovered the ج is “ch”, the غ “gue”. pic.twitter.com/j5jiutcWOp Permalink 2:50 PM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb And the GDP of France correlates with the number of crimes by suffocation in Panama… Fooled by Randomness? http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/855868745927053319 Permalink 11:24 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Galopar with g. But “a ghalopar” with ghayn. Mysteriously, also the “r” in Portuguese when in beginning as in Rua or Rio. Permalink 10:48 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philology du jour: “A galopar” pronounced w/a “gh” not g sound, frm Semitic غghayn Alberti https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghayn https://youtu.be/15JfnrqBqSI Permalink 10:42 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The lawsuit ag. Monsanto has released TONS of documents, which will help us clean up & make some shills accountable. Permalink 10:02 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Some interesting docs betw Monsanto shills including fake journo @keithkloor & Folta on how to discredit dissenting scientists @schmittpaula Permalink 9:48 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The “ad hominem fallacy” is a fallacy. Science is CREDIBILITY & reliability, as in court. Once, like Folta, you lose it, you NEVER recover. Permalink 3:38 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Remember that there is NO study showing the tail risks of GMOs & safety. Just as no real one for glyphosate. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html Permalink 3:30 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb French elections: My arbitrage model would work in a two-candidate contest. But shouldn’t it for 4? https://arxiv.org/pdf/1703.06351.pdf Permalink 7:56 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb All my life I’ve never held someone to be a fraud then found out he was legit; but I’ve made the opposite mistake (Nate Silver,Pinker boy..) Permalink 7:20 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Finally pic.twitter.com/DZWzu381rv Permalink 1:03 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb This #Offshorecomic commemorates the 10-year anniversary of The Black Swan. Spectacular book indeed. #BlackSwan pic.twitter.com/P7np56yUF1 Permalink 11:01 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The results of my exploration. Madrid is a good city for squid inkers ! pic.twitter.com/nxnNT9ozpk Permalink 9:38 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Max is a clear thinker, intellectually honest and logically consistent. Follow this thread.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/855819794540634112 Permalink 9:30 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Any restaurant in central Madrid that does both squid ink and tapsas? Permalink 6:06 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb In Hammurabi’s code, authors of false accusations were to be punished as if they committed the crime. But Louise Mensch is mentally unstablehttps://twitter.com/SethAbramson/status/855564990249611265 Permalink 6:46 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I don’t discuss anything with liars, Mr Folta. Permalink 6:19 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our case against Monsanto is here http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html Permalink 5:05 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Dear friends, what are the best squid ink restaurants in Madrid Seville Granada? Thanks! Permalink 3:42 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Friends, what was Fareed Zakaria’s approach to interventionism? Libya, Iraq, etc.? I saw him congratulating Prez Trump on the tomahawks Permalink 1:13 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Why can’t Monsanto afford more intelligent shills than @kevinfolta? Is it the price? Or that smarter scientists are more honorable?https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/855487367775256576 Permalink 11:36 AM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “On Neo-Cons and their Mental Defects”https://medium.com/p/on-neo-cons-and-their-mental-defects-d12685585b11 Permalink 7:00 AM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This largely explains the medicare induced deficit. #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/drjasonfung/status/855179500782538753 Permalink 3:03 PM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Beware false analogies: A politician can engage in propaganda/advocacy; newspapers that do so are no longer in the news business. Kapish? Permalink 11:38 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@garykmrivers Perhaps time for another read. Note: each tab relates to a charlatan shredding, myth busting wonder. @nntaleb #Antifragile pic.twitter.com/pm2sYXmR32 Permalink 10:37 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Effectively, the @nytimes was caught red handed engaging in a shoddy deceptive practice.https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/855055509455593472 Permalink 9:01 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Me:”Would you like red or white wine?” Rippetoe: “White wine is for salad dressing”. I drink only white wine. Permalink 7:47 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Historical enigma du jour: Golden Calf. Phoenicians & Assyrians were J2 Haplogroup, IndoEuropeans w/bull worship. Israelites were partly J2. pic.twitter.com/txRrShqvBU Permalink 4:45 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@johndurant Damn. The Patriots call out the New York Times for fake news. NYT spreading rumors about a photo like it’s high school.https://twitter.com/Patriots/status/854858415012806656 Permalink 6:53 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Me: Are there many people who look thin? Rip: Thin people aren’t fit. Permalink 4:31 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@aceloew 24 Big Reasons Why Trust in Corporate Media Has Reached All-Time Lows: A Visual Guide https://aceloewgold.com/2017/04/19/why-trust-in-corporate-media-has-reached-all-time-lows-a-visual-guide/ @nntaleb @Judgenap Permalink 3:39 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Rippetoe @CoachRippetoe menacing, extremely critical of my form and my lack of lifting shoes. pic.twitter.com/4mWHxbzx3G Permalink 2:40 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Looks like what works is obvious…https://twitter.com/ericozkan1/status/854786130432208898 Permalink 1:24 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The full introduction pic.twitter.com/6TBG5mGn6n Permalink 7:11 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Finally got to the introduction of Skin in the Game: how does the same Silver rule bust bullshit & install justice? pic.twitter.com/XbWMfSKySt Permalink 6:51 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb There is a flaw in the logical wiring of pseudo-left & neocons #IYIs; they miss that their logic leads to: pro-regime change = pro-slaveryhttps://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/852263398712774657 Permalink 6:04 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb High probability of Le Pen winning: attacked by 25 PseudoNobel economists, including the always wrong Stiglitz.http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2017/04/18/25-nobel-d-economie-denoncent-les-programmes-anti-europeens_5112711_3232.html Permalink 5:16 AM – 19 Apr 2017

Kasparov, Gingrich, Monsanto, IQ, Fat Tony, Genius, An Inconsiderate Man | Twitter

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@nntaleb New version of my paper on power laws with stochastic exponent https://arxiv.org/abs/1609.02369 Permalink 5:14 PM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) Actually there is a heuristic, my days: “A good chess player makes a sharp trader. An excellent chess player makes a dumb trader.” Permalink 7:13 AM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Garry Boy @Kasparov63 I agree for removing Assad if you settle in Syria & deal w/effects. #SkinInTheGame #SecondOrderEffects #LudicFallacyhttps://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/848989093803552768 Permalink 6:58 AM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) As @ArmandDAngour can confirm, “Be antifragile or die” is “Vale” in Latin, means also “hello” or “goodbye” @goc9000 Permalink 6:01 AM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) And #SkinintheGame has not been even completed yet! Permalink 4:57 AM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Watching #SkinintheGame & #Antifragile leading to firm policy, the dismantlement of the Soviet-Harvard/Thaler-Sunstein IYI machinery in DC. pic.twitter.com/eqoKoh5sq9 Permalink 4:54 AM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “As Taleb says “become #Antifragile, or die””. I don’t recall said that but it’s good enough.https://twitter.com/andyben/status/849008384233918467 Permalink 3:32 AM – 4 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) Wrote inThe Black Swan (Narrative Fallacy chapter)how paranoid people could concoct the most elaborate narrative from minimum facts. Permalink 3:16 PM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) There is a vast logical gap between suspicion based on specific fact & accusation from ZERO information. Permalink 3:13 PM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Years of covering up lack of proof of safety of Glyphosate made the cases accumulate, and Monsanto more & more vulnerable. ByeBye Monsantohttps://twitter.com/GMOFreeUSA/status/849018447782707200 Permalink 3:07 PM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Not only is @Kasparov63 in extemely bad taste & insensitive to victims; but he needs psychiatric evaluation for paranoia/hallucinations.https://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/848982714212634627 Permalink 12:48 PM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Antifragile = 2nd order effecthttps://twitter.com/adviceforbernie/status/848953979111452672 Permalink 11:01 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Current critique of IQ is that it doesn’t measure socio-emotional, dancing intelligence… Nonsense. IQ doesn’t capture 2nd order reasoning. Permalink 10:30 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb He also protects Copts from the Salafis and the previous government who dhimmified them (treated them as 3rd rate citizens).https://twitter.com/EHSANI22/status/848940653308514304 Permalink 10:11 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb When I see the NYT blame people who made their money BEFORE office, not AFTER office, I cringe. I cringe.https://medium.com/incerto/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 Permalink 9:59 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@MattheWrite Hey losers, as @nntaleb pointed out, it’s better they made their money BEFORE taking office than afterhttps://twitter.com/nytimes/status/848892884791287809 Permalink 9:36 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Academic measures of IQ are bogus (too 1st order) But one’s output on Russian conspiracy/Trump is an excellent measure of intelligence. #IYI Permalink 8:42 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb They don’t speak Arabic, but (moderately) Arabized Aramaic. Note 164 http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm https://twitter.com/Partisangirl/status/848856606288748546 Permalink 4:22 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Trying to read a paper. Which is LESS guilty of fake news (WMD-Iraq, Russo-showers), etc.? Ignore pol orientation, just record w/fake-news. Permalink 3:54 AM – 3 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This is BS: problem is not absence of causation, but spurious/accidental correlation (cherry picked), one that will not hold next 10 years.https://twitter.com/AmirSariaslan/status/848664012707549185 Permalink 3:34 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 6) Even coherence is loosely defined in decision theory: You are NOT incoherent if your preferences change when information not identical. Permalink 3:24 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 5) Antifragile: how intransitivity of preferences (Prefer A to B, B to C, C to A): randomization protects from depletion of resources Permalink 3:17 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 4) Word “rationality” is not Lindy Proof. It was born with probal/decision theory. Ancients had “wisdom”,”prudence”, sophrosyne, phronesis. Permalink 3:02 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) Many people misinterpret “rationality” in economic theory. It means just coherence. Permalink 2:59 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 2) If a cognitive “bias” is helpful, it is not a bias. There is NO theory of rationality that makes superstitions & religion irrational. Permalink 2:58 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 1)Result from 3 d discussing rationality in Bielefeld: no theory of rationality cares about decisions, only consequences Gigerenzer, Binmore pic.twitter.com/Hpf2yJiPYw Permalink 2:55 PM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Brilliant and ruthlessly impeccable logic: @DineshDSouza explaining #skininthegame to a “leftist” student at Amherst.https://twitter.com/DavidBCollum/status/848577884931235840 Permalink 10:11 AM – 2 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Government shouldn’t be into dietary guidelines. Once they get a mistake in (as with carbs, HF corn sugar & salt), they cannot get it out. Permalink 8:33 AM – 2 Apr 2017

@SantiagoAuFund When follow supposedly deep thinkers on twitter & all they discuss is 1st level Russia Trump thinking u come to embrace @nntaleb IYI mantra. Permalink 7:03 PM – 1 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Now we pathologize success in America? Wealth BEFORE gov. much better than AFTER. Imbecile journos http://nbcnews.to/2ojMknA via @nbcnews Permalink 3:30 PM – 1 Apr 2017

@nntaleb .@ArmandDAngour Suis la elle te fuit Fuis la elle te suit (Version moderne) Permalink 10:02 AM – 1 Apr 2017

@zaoyang If you’re using more than two reasons in a pro and con column you are likely trying to convince yourself. Via @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/y9G8HTDvgw Permalink 8:28 AM – 1 Apr 2017

@nntaleb (Cont) pic.twitter.com/iG3csbYaFJ Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Fat Tony vs Socrates, a Platonic dialogue pic.twitter.com/XipZZtaJZr Permalink 5:57 AM – 1 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Fat Tony debates Socrates in Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/__aesthete__/status/848001162217259008 Permalink 2:51 AM – 1 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Another problem with economists: their sense of humor is so… economist; you get what I mean.https://twitter.com/JustinWolfers/status/847930504448020484 Permalink 4:25 PM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb .@nntaleb (testing) It is like drama that amplifies through transmission. Permalink 4:20 PM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Number of war casualties tends to drift upwards w/o information, bias coming from pple afraid to err on downside. Same as inflation.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/847507095414906880 Permalink 1:45 PM – 31 Mar 2017

@ClimateAudit Bronze Age Hittites were Indo-European. In Iron Age, descendant neo-Hittites localized in north Syria, SE Turkey. IE attributes unsurprising pic.twitter.com/ZsaF19PuXK Permalink 1:38 PM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb From @PZalloua’s genetic evidence, story emerges Assyrians & Phoenicians were “Indo-Europeans” w/Semitic lang (but not Babylnns/Chaldeans). Permalink 1:21 PM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Western Syrians (Lattaqia->Homs) are actually cross betw Greeks & Anatolians, related to Kurds, w/less Semitic J1 than other parts of Med.https://twitter.com/Partisangirl/status/847899807305711616 Permalink 1:17 PM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb One proof a day keeps the philosophasters away. pic.twitter.com/GyrNuvJPZp Permalink 10:06 AM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb An example of news is fake, and facts are false Washington Post Botches The Bible, Lies About Lawmaker’s Bible Quotehttp://thefederalist.com/2017/03/31/washington-post-lies-about-lawmakers-biblical-reference-then-refuses-to-quote-him/#.WN5_yLt3uPM.twitter Permalink 9:12 AM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Fake experts, s.a. economists & political “scientists”, genuinely believe that when they are wrong, they are wrong in very smart ways. Permalink 8:27 AM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Statistics works better when seen as a branch of logic.https://twitter.com/philipbstark/status/847722147103481856 Permalink 3:44 AM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “Experts don’t mind being told they are wrong, provided they are shown to be wrong for complex reasons.” Bielefeld Festschrift, Ken Bilmore. Permalink 2:55 AM – 31 Mar 2017

@nntaleb One reason we think the past was more violent than reality is because historians like to discuss wars, not peace. Permalink 10:53 AM – 30 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 10) EPILOG, part 1 Nobody noticed that the mere fact of taking the fellow’s picture means he will refrain in future?https://medium.com/incerto/facta-non-verba-how-to-own-your-enemies-ea79a34c9c49 Permalink 5:52 AM – 30 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Why Each One Should Eat His Own Turtles: Equality in Uncertainty”https://medium.com/p/why-each-one-should-eat-his-own-turtles-equality-in-uncertainty-e2b2ee3bcddf Permalink 5:17 AM – 30 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 9) footnote: If you are outraged by a behavior, never tolerate IYIs who reduce such things to personal fights. Outrage has a social purpose. Permalink 5:44 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 8) Some precedent & philosophical background. We live in large anonymous communities, brought back to natural conditions by the web. pic.twitter.com/PuuviNrFXS Permalink 3:16 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “Inside the Academic Journal That Corporations Love” by @PacificStandhttps://psmag.com/inside-the-academic-journal-that-corporations-love-a1dbe48cca1c Permalink 2:29 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 7) So the idea is to find the moral balance between not exposing him & exposing him, like type 1 and 2 errors in statistics. Permalink 2:26 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Great point. Symmetry (skin in the game) means you accept to be equally penalized if you committed the same violation @JosephJayMFG Permalink 2:04 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 6) On the other hand there is a moral obligation to protect weak people riding home after a long day from assholes like him. Permalink 1:45 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 5) The only moral problem I have to clarify: he didn’t know who I was, the # of followers, that he could be identified & mobbed & shamed. Permalink 1:43 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 4) When I threatened to take his photo he said: “go ahead”. Permalink 1:38 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 3) When I asked him to be quiet “& considerate” for the sake of the rest of passengers he said it was “not forbidden” to use cell. Permalink 1:36 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb More info: 1)He was chatting for 30min, no emergency 2) People who use cell phones usually go to the side by the exit door & are brief. Permalink 1:34 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb There is an inconsiderate man on Metro North is loud on his cell phone in some Scandinavian language & refuses to stop. Took photo. Permalink 1:12 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The difference between private and public is a matter of scale as much as it is a matter of incentive. Permalink 1:02 PM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Back to New York: Lindy Effect. pic.twitter.com/BBVw4WBtJF Permalink 9:08 AM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Except for categorical imperatives @primalpoly Permalink 7:53 AM – 29 Mar 2017

@HasHafidh A thread on understanding why “Islamic” extremism’s biggest problem isn’t with the West or even Israel, but rather with Muslim minorities.https://twitter.com/hashafidh/status/749944340848443392 Permalink 7:31 AM – 29 Mar 2017

@Isikoff KSA has “targeted U.S. veterans through a campaign of deception,” says letter to DOJ from 9/11 families.https://www.yahoo.com/news/911-families-seek-justice-department-probe-of-saudi-lobbying-that-enlisted-u-s-veterans-130740119.html Permalink 6:37 AM – 29 Mar 2017

@sustain05 Convexity effects of rereading ~ via @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/uYGysO6tfP Permalink 6:26 AM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Genius is the side effect of madness, rather than the reverse. Permalink 3:09 AM – 29 Mar 2017

@nntaleb No Saudi and Qatari propaganda, CNN ignores them.https://twitter.com/MaxBlumenthal/status/846808864624447488 Permalink 12:41 PM – 28 Mar 2017

@nntaleb My final tweet for #IRMA2017. I thank Indian friends for the warm hospitality and their appetite for rigor in risk management. pic.twitter.com/4vGu7fprGr Permalink 6:59 AM – 28 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Du Jour #SkinintheGame συγκινδυνεύω= to share danger together. In Plato, thanks to @faleflix. Found in Lucian’s Ass. Latin: simul pericleo? pic.twitter.com/zu5YPtwGUF Permalink 4:34 AM – 28 Mar 2017

#IRMA2017, Michael Spagat, Bielefeld, Monsanto, Nowruz, Nudging Class, #StopArmingTerrorists Act | Twitter

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@nntaleb I bought your book BECAUSE of the fierceness of his negative review. @holland_tom Permalink 12:25 AM – 28 Mar 2017

@nntaleb .@holland_tom If true, this confirms he is an ethical asshole. He trashed you BECAUSE you preempted his thesis, not because you were wrong. Permalink 12:22 AM – 28 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “Der Intoleranteste gewinnt: Die Tyrannei der kleinen Minderheit” by Maximilian Hirnerhttps://medium.com/@Maximilian_H1/der-intoleranteste-gewinnt-die-tyrannei-der-kleinen-minderheit-22a738d56770 Permalink 12:05 AM – 28 Mar 2017

@DanielLMcAdams More truth you will never hear from US “fake news” MSM…https://twitter.com/TerrinaMajnoona/status/846588439797514242 Permalink 10:28 PM – 27 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Solution via Gruss’ inequality @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/3hl0nI9RdN Permalink 4:11 PM – 27 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Antifragile … in flipflops? No.https://twitter.com/npoler/status/846467958788501504 Permalink 2:16 PM – 27 Mar 2017

@nntaleb .@_khaaan Harassment with random comments is NOT scientific criticism. Permalink 11:49 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@PriancaMohan Such a good time at #IRMA2017 with @nntaleb.. Wonderful meeting you! pic.twitter.com/afmcsOywYp Permalink 11:45 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@nntaleb My response to Michael Spagat, Pinker’s sidekick who doesn’t know how to read Q-Q plots or correlation lags. https://mikespagat.wordpress.com/2016/09/30/a-new-graphical-manoeuvre-not-recommended/ ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Hrj6uMNI9k”> pic.twitter.com/Hrj6uMNI9k Permalink 11:12 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@blitzkreigm This Happened @nntaleb sang a Punjabi Song too! #IRMA2017 pic.twitter.com/YHey5KFKtO Permalink 8:24 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@Navin_Shetty1 #IRMA2017 @nntaleb helathiest Europe will be one which is handled by least amount of people from Brussels Permalink 7:35 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@_anujsinghal Nassim Taleb has the audience in complete awe as he starts giving examples of risk management in trading and finance #IRMA2017 pic.twitter.com/0q36R6KTho Permalink 6:57 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@anandmmedar At #IRMA2017 @CNBCTV18News @CNBCTV18Live pic.twitter.com/P1J4l3WBu5 Permalink 6:53 AM – 27 Mar 2017

@CNBCTV18News Do you have any questions for @nntaleb? Tweet them to us using #IRMA2017 and get answers LIVE on Facebook at 8 PM.https://twitter.com/CNBCTV18News/status/845908501423706112 Permalink 11:33 PM – 26 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I fatti sono veri, le notizie sono false http://www.ilpost.it/2017/03/26/fatti-veri-notizie-false/ via @ilpost Permalink 3:47 AM – 26 Mar 2017

@nntaleb My coauthor Espen Haug, former trader, antiacademic quant, just published a paper in… Acta Astronautica.http://www.forbes.com/sites/brucedorminey/2017/03/25/photon-rockets-might-make-mars-a-three-minute-trip/#1754a13e34fa Permalink 3:26 AM – 26 Mar 2017

@CNBCTV18News Meet the man who changed the way the world looks at Risks. @nntaleb speaks to @Latha_Venkatesh tomorrow LIVE on FB at 8 PM #IRMA2017 pic.twitter.com/aTEZeiJNc0 Permalink 1:01 AM – 26 Mar 2017

@nntaleb A book is something that can be read ten years after publication. A real book, twenty. Otherwise it is a magazine report with bookbinding. Permalink 9:11 PM – 25 Mar 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb …here’s the final #Offshorecomic to the “lecturing-birds-on-flying” -series inspired by #Antifragile. #Consulting (part 2 of 2) pic.twitter.com/1KAtYfGUu2 Permalink 11:35 AM – 25 Mar 2017

@normonics This is 1 reason ‘more regulation’ is often not a solution. As long as there is regulatory capture, it will not serve its intended function.https://twitter.com/USRightToKnow/status/845018577841405952 Permalink 2:07 PM – 23 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The EPA being owned by Monsanto, the libertarian dream is reduced corrupt agencies & let markets forces provide information.https://twitter.com/robin_mesnage/status/844203488351571968 Permalink 9:12 AM – 21 Mar 2017

@nntaleb If you do not take risks for your ideas you are nothing. Nothing. pic.twitter.com/9htuSEageI Permalink 8:33 AM – 21 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I just posted my election forecasting methodology on ArXiv https://arxiv.org/pdf/1703.06351.pdf Permalink 4:26 AM – 21 Mar 2017

@nntaleb When you win an argument…https://twitter.com/confusezeus/status/843988816146894848 Permalink 5:58 PM – 20 Mar 2017

@nntaleb And fighting with pro-Salafi Nadim in, of all places, an Iranian restaurant @Confusezeus @yaneerbaryam @IbrahimWarde Permalink 5:10 PM – 20 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The case for blocking journos.https://twitter.com/ABeschloss/status/843927920636772353 Permalink 3:09 PM – 20 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The Merket Handshake was Fake News. He shook hands 2x same day. How to read the news.https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2#.ckb3mxhm1 Permalink 11:46 AM – 20 Mar 2017

@nntaleb OK, of those who who don’t get it I will block journos & mute the rest. I will also block every journo whowritesfor Huff Post, regardless.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/843508644415225856 Permalink 9:31 AM – 20 Mar 2017

@nntaleb To my Iranian friends, happy Nowruz and best wishes on this rebirth, regeneration, and renewal, of nature. Permalink 6:01 AM – 20 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Cheating with Lagrange manual KKT @vejaocentro @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/Hq8n2jNtNy Permalink 7:01 PM – 19 Mar 2017

@adamjohnsonNYC on the 14th anniversary of Iraq War remember not just how the media sold it, but how fucking smug they were doing so https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/2003/02/06/irrefutable/e598b1be-a78a-4a42-8e1a-c336f7a217f4/?utm_term=.41b0b375bbe1 ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/RdJp6WQtF6″> pic.twitter.com/RdJp6WQtF6 Permalink 3:49 PM – 19 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Many respond w/o knowing what aphorism/paradox/YogiBerrism/Sarcasm mean. I usually auto-Mute bt is it fair for them to Block so they know? Permalink 10:05 AM – 19 Mar 2017

@nntaleb New Version of “Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons”: Never hire someone from Harvard; Gyms shd not be fancy… https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52#.o6cxtzo1a ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/y9ZP6IMSnC”> pic.twitter.com/y9ZP6IMSnC Permalink 5:55 AM – 19 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Thanks for the survey, ~4k votes. 91% of my followers believe furloughing State Department pple would have a positive impact on the world.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/842725131613065218 Permalink 5:04 AM – 19 Mar 2017

@nntaleb From comments I am getting for (2), the notion of *paradox* appears to be foreign to IYIs. So is that of the application of *aphorisms*. Permalink 6:24 PM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The problem is not Louise Mensch. The problem is the NYT. They have recourse to Conspiracy theories by someone patently mentally ill.https://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/843148409511002112 Permalink 12:49 PM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Thanks everyone for the generosity & answers. So looks like 3 days in Seville, 2 in Granada, 1 in Cordoba (this trip) Permalink 10:58 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I fail to understand the press.They forget that WE know that THEY are stupid.https://twitter.com/alxpr1c3/status/843129784561532929 Permalink 9:27 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb (Note to those IYIs who can’t get it: things you wouldn’t read as a book you can read as articles, or, better, summaries). Permalink 8:11 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 9) Never read a book if you don’t expect to be surprised by something in it, while reading it. Permalink 8:07 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 8) Never read a book if you know what you are getting out of it. Permalink 7:57 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 6) Never read a textbook as if you were reading a book 7) Never read a textbook in the sequence prescribed by the author(s) Permalink 7:47 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 4) Never read a book written by a journalist 5) Never read a book if you understand the table of contents Permalink 7:42 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 1) Never read a book that can be adequately summarized 2) Never read a book you would not reread 3) No book that can be shortened survives Permalink 7:01 AM – 18 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Friends what is the best 6-day allocation in Andalucia better than 33% Cordoba, 33% Granada, 33% Seville? Permalink 8:01 PM – 17 Mar 2017

@nntaleb My accent in Akkadian is better! https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/hammurabi.mp3 @fitzmorrissey Permalink 12:32 PM – 17 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Someone asked me to find a Lebanese IYI. @peterdaou would be an excellent representative. @sahouraxohttps://medium.com/incerto/the-intellectual-yet-idiot-13211e2d0577#.zt851y6am Permalink 9:08 AM – 17 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Finally my paper on election forecasting is finished. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/elections1.pdf Permalink 7:59 AM – 17 Mar 2017

@p_sfitz Here @nntaleb is wrong for once. Need EU to also take the same year off!https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/842726365925466112 Permalink 6:17 AM – 17 Mar 2017

@nntaleb . @saifedean Hence my following tweet about the State department. If they take a year off, Israel-Palestine is solved by itself. Permalink 6:16 AM – 17 Mar 2017

@nntaleb If we forced policymakers of the State Department to take a year off (take painting & pottery classes), the effect on worldwide peace: Permalink 6:11 AM – 17 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Government in Lebanon is mostly political patronage. Municipalities are the future. (Saif is the first Libertarian Palestinian on planet.)https://twitter.com/saifedean/status/842720363062747137 Permalink 6:02 AM – 17 Mar 2017

@garyruskin The @EPA May Have Been in Bed with Big Pesticide for Years. http://bit.ly/2nsuUVO A nice summary of recent #glyphosate events by @esquire Permalink 1:07 PM – 16 Mar 2017

@nntaleb No, I don’t. I don’t usually have “new” “cool” ideas.https://twitter.com/random_coco/status/842196194390626305 Permalink 12:06 PM – 16 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Dismantle the metastatic administrative state. Defang the Obamist bureaucrato-academic-nudging class. Make America #Antifragile Again! Permalink 9:24 AM – 16 Mar 2017

@FamCapital Viewpoint: Family Businesses and the Lindy Effect #fambiz #businessowner @nntaleb http://www.famcap.com/articles/2017/3/16/viewpoint-family-businesses-and-the-lindy-effect ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/OPOtZN6Lqv”> pic.twitter.com/OPOtZN6Lqv Permalink 8:03 AM – 16 Mar 2017

@nntaleb @nickgiIlepsie was just pulling Nick’s leg. He probably meant economic thinking. Permalink 7:59 AM – 16 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “Non-Anglo-American erudition”? Like saying “non-Anglo-American Medieval History”, “non-Anglo-American cuisine”, “non-Anglo-American opera”https://twitter.com/nickgillespie/status/842357726650986496 Permalink 6:06 AM – 16 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Stop reading about Holland and read this.https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/842352522325032961 Permalink 6:01 AM – 16 Mar 2017

@VergilDen If @nntaleb has ever called you an imbecile (or a fucking idiot), this is why pic.twitter.com/2RJkHHQFKf Permalink 5:37 AM – 16 Mar 2017

@nntaleb In other words, culturally more integrated areas, a better way to name region.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/842212268121161730 Permalink 8:17 PM – 15 Mar 2017

@nntaleb We name areas by land mass: Africa, Europe… More natural to name by water mass: North-Atlantic, Mediterranean, Red Sea,Arabian Sea, Baltic Permalink 8:13 PM – 15 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I contradicted an economist on his BS models. He replied that I was working for Putin. http://thebea.st/2mtENxE via @thedailybeast Permalink 2:23 PM – 15 Mar 2017

@NewtTrump John McCain accuses Rand Paul of working for Vladimir Putin. RETWEET if you think McCain needs to retire already! pic.twitter.com/EImWcg97Gu Permalink 2:00 PM – 15 Mar 2017

@seanmdav Trump’s effective rate in 2005 wasn’t 25%. Using the same formula for Obama’s 2016 rate (taxes / AGI), Trump’s effective rate was 79%. Permalink 1:48 PM – 15 Mar 2017

@pierpont_morgan “Monsanto had ghostwritten research that was later attributed to academics…” You’d be surprised how often this happens. pic.twitter.com/amdwNa1f6n Permalink 10:54 AM – 15 Mar 2017

@TulsiPress Dems & Republicans can agree on this: it’s time to pass the #StopArmingTerrorists Acthttps://gabbard.house.gov/news/press-releases/gabbards-stop-arming-terrorists-act-introduced-senate Permalink 9:00 AM – 15 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Thanks for the votes. Another option: calling wconomics &other unsocial science “The Empty Profession”? & econ books “Empty Science”? Permalink 8:48 AM – 15 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Funded by Obama and promoted by lobbyists/think tank agents such as @MiddleEastInst @BrookingsDoha. The same AlQaeda.https://twitter.com/joshua_landis/status/842035595983626240 Permalink 8:35 AM – 15 Mar 2017

@DavidBCollum Hey @nntaleb: Kinda looking like your hatred of Monsanto is well founded. Sure you know this but…http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-14/court-docs-prove-monsanto-collusion-epa-kill-cancer-study-admits-cant-say-roundup-do Permalink 7:06 PM – 14 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game & Symmetry. If a reporter does it to me, I should do it to him/her.https://twitter.com/a_lesniewski/status/841822447905181696 Permalink 6:36 PM – 14 Mar 2017

@nntaleb h/t @BBassem7 See also myhttps://medium.com/opacity/the-syrian-war-condensed-a-more-rigorous-way-to-look-at-the-conflict-f841404c3b1d#.pcatnf2yf Permalink 6:18 PM – 14 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I keep saying many of the pictures from the Syrian war were fake, supplied by Qatari PR firms. This one wen a bit far. pic.twitter.com/OCuN4M8Ojw Permalink 6:01 PM – 14 Mar 2017

@financequant When people ask me what they ought to study in economics, I tell them (1) Learn what the Lindy Efect is and (2) study history instead. Permalink 3:50 PM – 14 Mar 2017

@nntaleb How should be calling the economics “profession”? Permalink 8:32 AM – 14 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Are you in a sick business (journos)? If you worry about the opinion of your peers, not your clients, you are doomedhttps://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2#.19le9cum6 Permalink 8:15 AM – 14 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Will attend & hopefully deliver a brief lecturehttps://twitter.com/SYRIAC_MARONITE/status/841636582260146176 Permalink 6:11 AM – 14 Mar 2017

@lukasnaugle True intellect should not appear to be intellectual. @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/9PDNpMA39a Permalink 5:22 AM – 14 Mar 2017

The Black Swan Report

Keeping Tabs on Nassim Taleb and the Highly Improbable.

Tag Archives: Monsanto

Homeopathy, Monsanto, Tesla, Mary Beard, Haplogroup, GMOs, Middle East Institute, Damore, Pigliucci, Mike Duncan | Twitter

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Kasparov, Gingrich, Monsanto, IQ, Fat Tony, Genius, An Inconsiderate Man | Twitter

#IRMA2017, Michael Spagat, Bielefeld, Monsanto, Nowruz, Nudging Class, #StopArmingTerrorists Act | Twitter