Tag Archives: Nikki Haley

Lindy, Globalism, Nikki Haley, Stiglitz, Pinker, Bitcoin, Futures, Daou, COVFEFE, Olives – Twitter

@Spfannenschmidt Nassim Taleb eyeing an IYI @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/planetepics/status/941767377540263936   Permalink 3:36 PM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule in action!https://twitter.com/VergilDen/status/941798620159909888   Permalink 3:27 PM – 15 Dec 2017

@oldlevantine Lebanese philology du jour: I want to suggest (based on folk etymology) that the Lebanese “tofshiita” (a bunch of malarkey) has its origins in the Aramaic ܦܫܝܛܬܐ/פשיטה for “simple,” whence the Peshitta 4 gospels come. Thoughts @nntaleb @turlevnon?? Permalink 3:20 PM – 15 Dec 2017

@financequant Globalism fosters points of centralized power which can (seemingly) “optimize” their outputs, creating conditions which work well when they work but which fail catastrophically when they don’t. Optimized systems, in a narrow sense, do not fail gracefully. 1/2https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/941637040235597824   Permalink 9:45 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The 8 different meanings of BR in Aramaic, 2) (and more) pic.twitter.com/va9VrqlmBY Permalink 7:58 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The 8 different meanings of BR in Aramaic, 1) pic.twitter.com/ewdEneUthF Permalink 7:57 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Never met a classicist who understands 1) Semitic philology 2) that times has an arrow that flows in one direction 3) that genetics like paternity tests >> oral history 4) that East-Med (Greek, Anatolian, Armenian & Canaanite) genetics are similar Permalink 7:00 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb SEMITIC PHILOLOGY DUJOUR: Bar-ra in Leb (=outside) from B-ra (Aramaic) actually Akkadian. Barbar-Ru dog (outside wolf). Quest: any connection to βάρβαρος (i.e. outsider ) rather than onomatopeia for incomprehensible sounds? Hint: initially applied to Semitic-speaking Maltese.https://twitter.com/cooleiform/status/941578574666125312   Permalink 6:49 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Yes, expected. pic.twitter.com/nWaL4JECw9 Permalink 6:02 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Lindy is closing.https://medium.com/incerto/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf   Permalink 5:59 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Lindy is not “Lindy” (i.e., prone to the Lindy effect).https://twitter.com/mimisheraton/status/941668302597906433   Permalink 5:58 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb People have the illusion that “globalism” is good for commerce. It is mainly good for commerce by large crony corporations, creating fragility & winner-take-all effects. Permalink 3:52 AM – 15 Dec 2017

@nntaleb A “bubble” becomes a bubble when you run out nonbankrupt people calling it a bubble. Permalink 3:52 PM – 14 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Nikki Haley is a shameless, flagrant, uninformed, clueless, low-IQ BS vendor. We need her out of the UN. Saudi Barbaria has been killing THOUSANDS of Yemeni civilians. Yemen has killed NO Saudi Civilians.https://twitter.com/nikkihaley/status/941405858407305217   Permalink 3:31 PM – 14 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The sad part is that it is true. As demonstrated, a “Nobel” in economics correlates with negative knowledge.https://twitter.com/bopercival/status/941441694951546880   Permalink 3:06 PM – 14 Dec 2017

@JamesMarsh79 Robert Taft was firmly against @R_Thaler and #sunstein pic.twitter.com/UepCX6C3t3 Permalink 11:18 AM – 14 Dec 2017

@CutTheKnotMath To continue the odyssey #FigureThat #math #probability pic.twitter.com/p8WmwnAF3U Permalink 10:23 AM – 14 Dec 2017

@nntaleb For 10 seconds, I was scared: I thought I wrote the article. That solution is sooooooooo simple. pic.twitter.com/Tkg0xVqH6i Permalink 7:36 AM – 14 Dec 2017

@nntaleb I have not seen anybody provide an argument for why Joseph Stiglitz is socially useful.https://twitter.com/business/status/940577170182696960   Permalink 2:28 AM – 14 Dec 2017

@AStratelates Reminder. pic.twitter.com/G3VlHAQmYo Permalink 8:30 PM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Deriving the distribution of Bitcoin assuming Log Returns Student-T as specified by @financequant . (There is no PDF for corresponding Stable Dist. For Cauchy set alpha=1) pic.twitter.com/X3ipzfMf6M Permalink 3:04 PM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb In other words, IYI Pinker @sapinker promotes an article by journo @mark_lynas making pro-GMO “scientific”, when there is NO SINGLE tail risk analysis for GMOs & no single study on consumers, & nothing that’s not Monsanto cooked. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 2:34 PM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Pinker is clueless about anything that has a 2nd order effect. In other words, about practically everything.https://twitter.com/sapinker/status/940978015147823104   Permalink 9:37 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The right link http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html  https://twitter.com/greenrupertread/status/940927860499460096   Permalink 9:21 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@phl43 The Financial Times (https://www.ft.com/content/cd2ac073-a6c7-330b-ba9d-af858ccd4bb3  ) just gave a lesson on how to write a headline that is both intentionally misleading and strictly speaking true. ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/OyJshigjxb”>  pic.twitter.com/OyJshigjxb Permalink 7:58 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Comment “sent” la traduction? pic.twitter.com/lci7BqRfmY Permalink 6:29 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Probability of a big quotient #FigureThat #math #probability This is step one towards a harder problem pic.twitter.com/zcu8smEFBe Permalink 5:47 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb I am fighting for the rest of the world, particularly the US, to have the fractal, bottom-up properties & the governance of CHF.https://twitter.com/iwangulenko/status/940917836083539968   Permalink 4:17 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Antifragility for CHF is because they used to benefit from turmoil elsewhere –and will hopefully do so in the future. My model country.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/940884210801348608   Permalink 3:43 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Bitcoin seems to fit a Stable Distr, cannot rule out Cauchy! (Collaboration w/ @financequant ) Note that this makes practically any price level possible: whether 100K or 100. pic.twitter.com/IuFxv6D8wO Permalink 3:34 AM – 13 Dec 2017

@nntaleb My Christmas Class party at NYU Tandon for my fat tails class. pic.twitter.com/E8N9ejGAac Permalink 4:35 PM – 12 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Chers amis, quelle est la traduction francaise la plus claire de “bullshit”? (c’est pour mon livre) Permalink 11:02 AM – 12 Dec 2017

@trueThorLund When @nntaleb writes abt taxi driver brother free to have own opinion, I imagine this…https://twitter.com/fredrubinogtfoh/status/940450630904287232   Permalink 10:09 AM – 12 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Is that idiot is representative of a new generation of investors who don’t get that one can make claims about volatility & tails without committing to a direction?https://twitter.com/filip_martinka/status/940510638023069696   Permalink 7:07 AM – 12 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Is it 1) stupid people become financial journalists or 2) financial journalism makes people stupid?https://twitter.com/Williamw1/status/940252203805233153   Permalink 8:13 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@nntaleb J2 Haplogroup, of course. Permalink 7:36 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Announcement by my Calabrez teachers: Antonio’s is open on Sunday Dec 24. Traduzione: Antonio’s abarberia aperto Domeni(c)ga diciembre 24. pic.twitter.com/5Olht0Syqd Permalink 6:35 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@Confusezeus The reaction to Trump’s declaration of #Jerusalem as a capital of Israel is more a reaction against #Trump himself than against the declaration. Here are three former presidents saying the same thing with no fuss to follow.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jg-bxpZWj3I&sns=fb   Permalink 5:57 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Dorin Marghidanu’s Permuted Inequality https://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Algebra/PermutedInequality.shtml   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/0K4xZGGvSb”>  pic.twitter.com/0K4xZGGvSb Permalink 5:05 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Shorting a future creates an unbounded liability: you are responsible for all your personal assets. Unlike futures, options have natural sellers: covered calls (hence spreadable into synthetic puts), & they should have been introduced AT THE SAME TIME as the future. Permalink 4:35 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@Yarimatahari @RBReich note @nntaleb call for decentralization as a tool against corporate lobbyists https://blogs.economictimes.indiatimes.com/et-commentary/34273/   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Q43LeFZN3N”>  pic.twitter.com/Q43LeFZN3N Permalink 4:29 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The fellow @harrynwilson is actually owning that their headline is a clickbait that doesn’t match the content –treated as fine print. In other words, what charlatans do.https://twitter.com/harrynwilson/status/940181571914657795   Permalink 3:45 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@mikeandallie The most interesting piece of math I learned in 2017 was thanks to @octonion and @nntaleb -> the COVFEFE problem: https://mikesmathpage.wordpress.com/2017/12/11/the-most-interesting-piece-of-math-i-learned-in-2017-the-covfefe-problem/   #math #mathchat Permalink 2:53 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@ido87 @nntaleb Had to smile when I saw this. Antifragility and the development of urban water infrastructure:http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/07900627.2017.1369866?journalCode=cijw20   Permalink 1:36 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@John07331405 How India Economic Times reported this tweet: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/shorting-bitcoin-a-challenge-prices-likely-to-top-100000-nassim-nicholas-taleb/articleshow/62019468.cms   Apparently you think it’s LIKELY bitcoin will hit $100k. Permalink 1:12 AM – 11 Dec 2017

@Cernovich Schiff was source of the fake CNN story and they have the guy on the very next day. Very Fake Jake!https://twitter.com/repadamschiff/status/939891387130105856   Permalink 3:16 PM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Note that Bitcoin has a limited number of natural sellers. The entire concept is very concave supply (it costs more and more to extract). The number of producers shrinks with time. Permalink 3:03 PM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb As usual, fake news. “Properly” is key. Fools “can” short.https://twitter.com/ardavanh/status/939981596865699840   Permalink 2:36 PM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb This form of entrepreneurship [flipping companies] is the equivalent of bringing great looking and marketable children to this world with the sole aim to sell them at age 4. pic.twitter.com/e1mkYsq2Cv Permalink 12:52 PM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb A heuristic for happiness/contentment/good disposition: You are not upset to hear that someone you know has been owning bitcoin since 2011. Permalink 8:51 AM – 10 Dec 2017

@MaxAbrahms So, it turns out the pundits were wrong about Assad and the Islamic State as I’ve been saying forever.http://www.latimes.com/opinion/op-ed/la-oe-abrahms-glaser-isis-assad-20171210-story.html   Permalink 6:09 AM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Very big point. Futures that don’t have deliverables require a very, very deep market. Otherwise someone long the future can push prices higher at settlement time with impunity, by “locking” profits (never having to resell a deliverable).https://twitter.com/MittCapital/status/939851175435931648   Permalink 5:41 AM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Generalization of a problem by Maestro Alexander B @CutTheKnotMath (tex file https://www.dropbox.com/s/1m1raueam87sigj/GordianDec9-MarkovChain.tex?dl=0   ) ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/uaL5aeuCfA”>  pic.twitter.com/uaL5aeuCfA Permalink 4:49 AM – 10 Dec 2017

@nntaleb We can ignore Daou (as he doesn’t have the basic reasoning abilities to know what a fallacy means); but here is a good puzzle: Daou a Lebanese word (meaning illumination), doesn’t exist in Syro-Aramaic. I cannot find an Ugaritic/Western Semitic root. pic.twitter.com/SMVBDdi3DW Permalink 4:05 PM – 9 Dec 2017

@nntaleb A Kafkaesque World. With the inquisition spirit & the criminalization of politics, you will soon wake up every morning with the question: “Which rule I didn’t know existed did I violate yesterday?” Permalink 2:24 PM – 9 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Bitcoin: my answer to the repeated questions. No, there is NO way to properly short the bitcoin “bubble”. Any strategy that doesn’t entail options is nonergodic (subjected to blowup). Just as one couldn’t rule out 5K, then 10K, one can’t rule out 100K. Gabish? Permalink 8:05 AM – 9 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Mr Peter Daou, I exposed a major fallacy in your argument. You respond with two elementary fallacies. Will you respond next with four even more elementary fallacies? Permalink 6:34 AM – 9 Dec 2017

@jeorgen @nntaleb’s fundamental notion: We live in a non-linear world, or else it wouldn’t exist. pic.twitter.com/Ho9e5MiQg1 Permalink 6:22 AM – 9 Dec 2017

@GuruAnaerobic Think of sugar/carbohydrate as a ‘pollutant’. Both Zero-carbers and High-carbers miss this, as well as the difference between acute and chronic.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/939452355505946626   Permalink 3:41 AM – 9 Dec 2017

@nntaleb For those who do NOT understand nonlinearity of dose-response with respect to pollutants: pic.twitter.com/IdhptxbuZ3 Permalink 3:11 AM – 9 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Here, in 2017, we have to watch legal scholar @AlanDersh explain to one (very) intellectually challenged @peterdaou that legal expertise doesn’t equate with supporting Hillary. This is not 2017 BC. This is 2017 AD.https://twitter.com/AlanDersh/status/938774864542031873   Permalink 4:20 PM – 8 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Sorry, this is the one pic.twitter.com/Kr7nKls5Jr Permalink 3:24 PM – 8 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The COVFEFE solution with code. pic.twitter.com/VbtbflpEAh Permalink 3:07 PM – 8 Dec 2017

@oldlevantine The Aramaic lo ta`lan l-nesyuno (with the verb “alel” standing for “enter into” or “lead into”) means precisely “do not let us enter into” temptation: ולא תעלנא לנסיונאhttps://twitter.com/FoxNews/status/939109628847239168   Permalink 4:43 AM – 8 Dec 2017

@nntaleb More details about precaution w/respect to climate. pic.twitter.com/kHEMyUV522 Permalink 9:50 AM – 7 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The author of the manual, Bernard Gui, is the villain in the Name of the Rose. He has a lot to teach the repressive autocratic pseudo-left. pic.twitter.com/5I555sBXfK Permalink 9:12 AM – 7 Dec 2017

@nntaleb My French publisher has a time-tested manual for those who want to engage in the modern pseudo-leftist inquisition. pic.twitter.com/r7JtQgeiaO Permalink 8:26 AM – 7 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Tartare (Paris) “Jouer sa peau” is the new title. pic.twitter.com/VNs7qNDUTA Permalink 4:47 AM – 7 Dec 2017

@GeertNoels We have only one planet. Even a risk with a very low probability becomes unacceptable when it affects all of us Ergo, we should build down CO2 emissions, even regardless of what climate-models tell us. – @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/DxsEScu9oX Permalink 11:23 PM – 6 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Lshaghlé lwa7idé lmfakkrin jéyé minl3arabé hiyye’l “al” (wl jam3 lmaksur). Tel3et Kin3aniyyé. Home run. Permalink 2:14 AM – 6 Dec 2017

@nntaleb “Jouer sa Peau” “Risquer sa Peau” Permalink 2:12 AM – 6 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Semitic Philology du jour: only supposedly “certain” import from Arabic “al” into Lebanese actually from later Canaanite: “hal”, a form still in use, or even “l”. So “l-bét/hal-bét” (the house) it is NOT “al-bayt” (Arabic) or “beyto/a”(Syriac/Aramaic), but EXACTLY Phoenician. pic.twitter.com/1aGLpzbf9P Permalink 12:52 AM – 6 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Les épreuves de mon livre. pic.twitter.com/Mv0uyYaGQh Permalink 12:19 AM – 6 Dec 2017

@byzantinepower Exceptionally erudite article by @DrMichaelBonner on the hybridity of the Classics (inc a war-cry for Aramaic) & a settlement of scores re: @nntaleb & @wmarybeard. A brilliant way to kick off the morning…https://www.academia.edu/35335526/Crisis_in_the_Classics   Permalink 12:08 AM – 6 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Someone in the classics understood me in my bone with Mary Beard! And yes, Aramaic is the West. https://www.academia.edu/35335526/Crisis_in_the_Classics?s=t   via @academia Permalink 1:35 PM – 5 Dec 2017

@elalterego01 @nntaleb . Look what is happening to the people you have uncoveredhttps://twitter.com/mercola/status/938081833765482496   Permalink 8:27 AM – 5 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Henry Corbin’s 4 volume treatise on Shiism. pic.twitter.com/KKpBdc4BX1 Permalink 2:55 AM – 5 Dec 2017

@nntaleb I am now in the Beirut Armenian. Permalink 11:26 AM – 4 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Comparing Beirut(Aleppo) Armenian to Moscow Armenian pic.twitter.com/SOpcKvz2t9 Permalink 11:21 AM – 4 Dec 2017

@nntaleb People get The Minority Rule.https://twitter.com/Bagemin/status/937448013190090753   Permalink 3:05 PM – 3 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Tripes Phoenician-style with a Georges Brassens lookalike remote cousin (whose name is also Georges). pic.twitter.com/OzipiTS3ng Permalink 12:05 PM – 3 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Orthodox priest in Amioun blessing a meal at a luncheon party. pic.twitter.com/tr3N15QuFQ Permalink 3:18 AM – 3 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Respect.https://twitter.com/dpinsen/status/936797826591293440   Permalink 2:06 PM – 2 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Expected time to COVFEFE: part of the exam at the Indian Statistical Institute. cc:@CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/jTpxan518r Permalink 11:09 AM – 2 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Between the Carybde of pseudo-empiricism and the Scylla of postmodernism.https://twitter.com/michaelshermer/status/936983969744089088   Permalink 10:33 AM – 2 Dec 2017

@primalpoly Are you for or against the @nntaleb poll about whether you’re for or against Twitter polls? Permalink 5:20 PM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb We can see that somewhere between 1% and 65% of my Twitter followers don’t understand the Godel-Popper paradox, or meta-problem that is, that you can’t use electoral system to vote against democracy or that you can’t let Salafis vote in democratic societies. pic.twitter.com/ky6YKh4fqk Permalink 5:09 PM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Thread opens a BS detection prog: take claim”Arabic/Islamic science INVENTED x”, debunk & show historian misappropriates stuff by Persians/Chaldeans/GrecoPhoenicians/Syriacs. I’ve discussed in ThBlackSwan the lack of evidential rigor among historians. (& note funding by KSA)https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/936573372779106304   Permalink 3:16 PM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Four hours left to vote, particularly for those against twitter polls.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/936388948338860036   Permalink 11:49 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Probability with Factorials https://www.cut-the-knot.org/Probability/ProbabilityWithFactorials.shtml   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/tQZRZC9tun”>  pic.twitter.com/tQZRZC9tun Permalink 11:13 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Mediterranean vodka. pic.twitter.com/qbuGVqfuQG Permalink 9:33 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The reason crusaders used fat is because olive oil cultivation was not widespread and local to narrow Med strips. Northern Europeans were not representative of Western civilization. They still aren’t fully so. Permalink 7:09 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Mr Fafinski, it is simple. There were between 60-180 Arab tribes. Banu Ghassan was one of them. Can you generalize to Arabs? More significant, do you know how few the Ghassanids were then? I can’t make you rigorous, I can just prevent you from bullshitting on Twitter. Permalink 6:57 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@EatTheDormouse Prof. Mulder, crediting Arab/Islamic society with ancient Mediterranean or Persian practices is saying we owe the cultivation of maize to American settlers. Highly insulting and anachronistic Permalink 6:34 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The claim by Prof Mulder is even weirder that the word for “soap” in Classical Arabic صابون comes from the Greek σαπούνι (Latin sapo). Permalink 6:15 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The claim by Prof Mulder is even weirder that the word for “soap” in Classical Arabic صابون comes from the Greek σαπούνι (Latin sapo). Permalink 6:15 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Here is the distribution of olives. A Mediterranean thing. The Western cultivation came mostly later. Twitter is not a good place for confabulatory and anachronistic statements. pic.twitter.com/GEKMI2S9jK Permalink 5:56 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb and Byzantines are now Islamic? Permalink 5:44 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb You made a false claim and are now justifying it with …colonialism? Your bogus definition of Islamic covers pre-Islamic cultures, including Jews. Permalink 5:41 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb We are discussing an INVENTION after the 7th Century, so please, please, no anachronism. You are a historian. Permalink 5:18 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb To call this an “invention” of the Islamic world one needs evidence it did not predate the Arab invasion of the Levant. Permalink 4:39 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb This comes is from a Levantine practice of annointing with oil (Messiach from “wipe”). And do not confuse “shemen” in Aramaic (oil) w/Samen (fat). cc:@stephenniem Permalink 4:38 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb This is likely to be wrong. Arabs had no olives. This may be a pre-Islamic Syriac tradition. The usual “appropriation” by Arabs of Persian, Chaldean and Levantine sciences.https://twitter.com/stephenniem/status/936364734235934722   Permalink 4:31 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb 2nd version (first was 2015). Permalink 3:54 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb The expected P-Value Hacking derivations. Fooled by Randomness. pic.twitter.com/ikpaK8u7Nj Permalink 3:53 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Philology du Jour: Historically Lebanon refers to the White Mountain, not the coastal cities, collectively called Phoenicia up to Byzantine times. Permalink 2:17 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Snow slowly covering The White Mountain above Northern Phoenicia. pic.twitter.com/8NWeh1H4zE Permalink 2:13 AM – 1 Dec 2017

@nntaleb Are you for or against Twitter polls? Permalink 4:18 PM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The median academic paper is read by ~ 2 pple. Some economists like Stiglitz have 10^5 citations with negative contribution to society (advice on FNMA/Venzuela is worse than silence). Same with econometrics. Do the math. Permalink 12:24 PM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Not quite the same origins. Levantine is inherited from much older languages than Arabic. I did a statistical analysis of words. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/notebook.htm   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/QHgwHF902s”>  pic.twitter.com/QHgwHF902s Permalink 9:17 AM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 3) For instance one may invoke justice and equality to completely open borders between Eu & Africa (or US & Mexico) & call anyone who disagree “racist”. The definition of freedom is more robust. Permalink 6:05 AM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 2) freedom of speech is a robust definition, scale invariant, and rigid across time and situations. Justice and other concepts are relative and vary with time, place, and scale. Permalink 5:53 AM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb As much as I fight Shermer’s bad empiricism & pseudo-rationalism, I support him in his endeavor to promote freedom of expression as the pivotal element of intellectual life.https://twitter.com/michaelshermer/status/936034793317220353   Permalink 5:35 AM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb It all starts with writing in the vernacular. And the understanding that the “Arabs” in Algeria are predominantly of Beber origin. Permalink 4:23 AM – 30 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Algeria will probably be the first Arab League “Member” to de-Arabize, renew with its West-Med historical roots. https://algeriepart.com/2017/11/29/conflits-regionaux-lalgerie-dit-non-a-larabie-saoudite/   via @Algérie Part Permalink 1:08 AM – 30 Nov 2017

@_skininthegame Met Nassim “No-BS” Taleb at Kusturica concert in Moscow. Partying with the Russians. Thanks for everything @nntaleb pic.twitter.com/MVzY2lDagg Permalink 7:37 PM – 29 Nov 2017

Joseph Justus Scaliger, Nate Silver, Palestinian-Israeli, Macron, Algeria, Nikki Haley, Scientism, Monsanto, Neo-Cons, Patriots | Twitter

@nntaleb His translation https://books.google.com/books?id=I3UTAAAAQAAJ&pg=PA19&dq=scaliger+arabicorum&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjQs_26mM3TAhVDLyYKHf59CXUQ6AEIODAD#v=onepage&q&f=false   Permalink 3:08 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Joseph Justus Scaliger remains the most erudite man in history. He knew mathematics, Aramaic, Hebrew… He even translated Arabic proverbshttps://twitter.com/SanguineEmpiric/status/858802597783773184   Permalink 3:05 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One thing I can certify: Nate Silver doesn’t know “his” subject. Not probability or “wvidence”.https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/858741398694187012   Permalink 12:58 PM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I confirm. GMO operatives tried a smear campaign on yours truly. So far, failed. Some journos like @doctorow were complicit w/fake newshttps://twitter.com/peterdoodes/status/858745682282385408   Permalink 11:54 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Cretan diet is fiction. @GuruAnaerobic @drjasonfung pic.twitter.com/FJmBR8BAJC Permalink 10:29 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb There are v. few Algerian Jihadis in ISIS, many from France. Tunisia is a country in trouble. pic.twitter.com/ZuIKwmh4sR Permalink 7:40 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Do these photos match those of the propagandists?https://twitter.com/Rajarajan941/status/858361038495928320   Permalink 7:36 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb How the Israeli-Palestine problem comes from too many cooks with no skin-in-the-gamehttps://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 6:58 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood”https://medium.com/p/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac   Permalink 6:55 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb @saifedean a Libertarian Palestinian, has similar comments. Permalink 6:13 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The Palestinian-Israeli conflict perpetuated by people “who are trying to help”. #SkinintheGame pic.twitter.com/SAyzKaZ3wt Permalink 6:01 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb 3) If Macron is elected, we will need to protect Algeria from France and its French-grown Jihadis. Permalink 5:46 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb And Macron needs a good lesson about the Minority Rule.https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15   Permalink 5:00 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Ironically, Algeria got rid of the bulk of its Jihadis after their civil war. Active Algerian Jihadis are more likely to be in France.https://twitter.com/_Stalker_69_/status/858605396075962368   Permalink 4:58 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Never explain why something important is important. Permalink 2:01 AM – 30 Apr 2017

@nntaleb When a principle is strong and (you feel) imperative, everything you do to justify it or rationalize it makes it weaker. Everything. Permalink 2:58 PM – 29 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I meant lifting your maximum load requires a great deal of concentration (particularly if you live in New York). Permalink 10:21 AM – 29 Apr 2017

@nntaleb To echo Yogi Berra, almost all of weightlifting is mental. Only the other half is physical. Permalink 8:59 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Please, replace her. With anything. Even an animal from the New York zoo would be safer. Perhaps even an economist.http://thehill.com/homenews/administration/330247-trump-haley-could-easily-be-replaced#.WQO2J77djPQ.twitter   Permalink 2:40 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb My theory is that companies don’t die for external causes. They just commit suicide.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/858065371164626944   Permalink 2:22 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb More squid ink. pic.twitter.com/U1zsQhuvF1 Permalink 1:11 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb He changed his name to Pinker Boy as penitence after losing a math bet.https://twitter.com/loglog_vc/status/858036487727849473   Permalink 12:38 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@niall_gooch How have I never seen this story before? The last Byzantine Emperor went out like a man. pic.twitter.com/7dEJH4e37L Permalink 12:07 PM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our study explaining the BS in studies of “drop in violence”. https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2876315 Permalink 10:34 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb El libro de mi amigo Tom Holand @holland_tom pic.twitter.com/U1pzG6iekb Permalink 8:31 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This BS graph doesn’t have *intensity* of wars. More people died in a tiny segment in 20th C than all before.https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/857638539554693121   Permalink 7:39 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Travel Heuristic: In a v. touristy town, if a rstrant is overbooked, show up in nice jacket & Italian-looking shoes & you will get a table. Permalink 7:32 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Travel Heuristic: In a scenic place, the best restaurant is most likely to be the most crowded one with no view.https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52   Permalink 6:33 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Mission: Defend science against obscurantism & Defend science against scientismhttps://twitter.com/TheCharlieton/status/857938763749748736   Permalink 6:21 AM – 28 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Globalistidiots assume that pple are only paid in money, not the pride & belonging seeing the community consume their products & vice versa. Permalink 2:35 PM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Thanks Ron Paul, once again. Scientism is our disease.https://twitter.com/RonPaul/status/857644784604909568   Permalink 10:31 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philology du jour: Motto of Emir of Granada, on all walls of Alhambra, “Only victor is G” equivalent of memento homo https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Auriga_(slave)   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/MOYJhtaR4R”>  pic.twitter.com/MOYJhtaR4R Permalink 10:16 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@primalpoly When SJWs demand we ignore 70 million years of mammalian maternal behavior, to conform to this season’s PC fad.https://heatst.com/culture-wars/study-describing-breastfeeding-as-natural-is-unethical-because-it-reinforces-gender-roles/   Permalink 8:18 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@NC_CyberLaw This entire thread. And read @nntaleb books. You’ll never look at any client matter or news story the same way again.https://twitter.com/isamuel/status/857586263720906753   Permalink 6:47 AM – 27 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Globalism has the effect of separating some people a step too far from the fruits of their actions. #skininthegame pic.twitter.com/5jQktncGj9 Permalink 4:24 AM – 26 Apr 2017

@RyanMaue Worthwhile read on scientism –>https://mises.org/blog/neil-ty-scientism-guy   Permalink 6:55 PM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am surprised nobody recognized Doyne Farmer & his types from Antifragile. They made Fat Tony rich pic.twitter.com/grCI8XTZa2 Permalink 11:17 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philip II to the Spartans: You should submit because IF my armies invade you I will destroy, slay your pple, & raze your city Spartans: “If” Permalink 11:14 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philip II to the Spartans: You should submit because IF my armies invade you I will destroy, slay your pple, & raze your city Spartans: “If” Permalink 11:14 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Could”.https://twitter.com/sfiscience/status/856907470907863041   Permalink 11:01 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One of those low-IQ shills disguized as journalist is keith kloor @keithkloor. Shame. Permalink 5:25 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb One of those low-IQ shills disguized as journalist is keith kloor @keithkloor. Shame. Permalink 5:25 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The victim of Monsanto is not just the agricultural structure; it is SCIENCE.https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/856677879601545216   Permalink 5:19 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game does not imply unlimited liability. Just means SOME punishment. Permalink 2:23 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game in place of regulations.https://twitter.com/pmansfield678/status/856751898019475456   Permalink 12:48 AM – 25 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I am now about where Halevy wrote this. Permalink 4:33 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Halevy לִבִּי בְמִזְרָח וְאָנֹכִי בְּסוֹף מַעֲרָב Permalink 4:23 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Debunking Trump’s Casus Belli | The American Conservative http://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/debunking-trumps-casus-belli/   via @amconmag Permalink 4:01 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb “Mr Taleb,I don’t always agree w/you,but..” Me:”Can you 1st tell me what you disagree with,sthing concrete?” “I’ll get back to you on that” Permalink 3:43 PM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb More mysteries: almodovar, frm Medawar (round), does not come frm Arabic (mustadir), bt Aramaic, cd predate Arabs w/ Phoen or Jewish root. Permalink 8:22 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The reason there is an unconditional freedom of speech is because no one can define the limitations without some special interest kicking inhttps://twitter.com/ggreenwald/status/856504350692315137   Permalink 8:09 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I used option language because this is exactly an Iron butterfly. pic.twitter.com/7UErfodMjS Permalink 7:39 AM – 24 Apr 2017

@zerohedge Taleb Trashes The “Interventionistas” & Their Mental Defectshttp://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-23/taleb-trashes-interventionistas-their-mental-defects   Permalink 3:15 PM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Mystery almost solved! May have to do with Aljamiado! (transcription by Mozarabs) Discovered the ج is “ch”, the غ “gue”. pic.twitter.com/j5jiutcWOp Permalink 2:50 PM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb And the GDP of France correlates with the number of crimes by suffocation in Panama… Fooled by Randomness? http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations   https://twitter.com/MaxCRoser/status/855868745927053319   Permalink 11:24 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Galopar with g. But “a ghalopar” with ghayn. Mysteriously, also the “r” in Portuguese when in beginning as in Rua or Rio. Permalink 10:48 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Philology du jour: “A galopar” pronounced w/a “gh” not g sound, frm Semitic غghayn Alberti https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ghayn  https://youtu.be/15JfnrqBqSI   Permalink 10:42 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The lawsuit ag. Monsanto has released TONS of documents, which will help us clean up & make some shills accountable. Permalink 10:02 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Some interesting docs betw Monsanto shills including fake journo @keithkloor & Folta on how to discredit dissenting scientists @schmittpaula Permalink 9:48 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The “ad hominem fallacy” is a fallacy. Science is CREDIBILITY & reliability, as in court. Once, like Folta, you lose it, you NEVER recover. Permalink 3:38 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Remember that there is NO study showing the tail risks of GMOs & safety. Just as no real one for glyphosate. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 3:30 AM – 23 Apr 2017

@nntaleb French elections: My arbitrage model would work in a two-candidate contest. But shouldn’t it for 4? https://arxiv.org/pdf/1703.06351.pdf   Permalink 7:56 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb All my life I’ve never held someone to be a fraud then found out he was legit; but I’ve made the opposite mistake (Nate Silver,Pinker boy..) Permalink 7:20 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Finally pic.twitter.com/DZWzu381rv Permalink 1:03 PM – 22 Apr 2017

@NonMeek .@nntaleb This #Offshorecomic commemorates the 10-year anniversary of The Black Swan. Spectacular book indeed. #BlackSwan pic.twitter.com/P7np56yUF1 Permalink 11:01 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The results of my exploration. Madrid is a good city for squid inkers ! pic.twitter.com/nxnNT9ozpk Permalink 9:38 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The results of my exploration. Madrid is a good city for squid inkers ! pic.twitter.com/nxnNT9ozpk Permalink 9:38 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Max is a clear thinker, intellectually honest and logically consistent. Follow this thread.https://twitter.com/maxabrahms/status/855819794540634112   Permalink 9:30 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Any restaurant in central Madrid that does both squid ink and tapsas? Permalink 6:06 AM – 22 Apr 2017

@nntaleb In Hammurabi’s code, authors of false accusations were to be punished as if they committed the crime. But Louise Mensch is mentally unstablehttps://twitter.com/SethAbramson/status/855564990249611265   Permalink 6:46 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I don’t discuss anything with liars, Mr Folta. Permalink 6:19 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our case against Monsanto is here http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 5:05 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Our case against Monsanto is here http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/PrecautionaryPrinciple.html   Permalink 5:05 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Dear friends, what are the best squid ink restaurants in Madrid Seville Granada? Thanks! Permalink 3:42 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Friends, what was Fareed Zakaria’s approach to interventionism? Libya, Iraq, etc.? I saw him congratulating Prez Trump on the tomahawks Permalink 1:13 PM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Why can’t Monsanto afford more intelligent shills than @kevinfolta? Is it the price? Or that smarter scientists are more honorable?https://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/855487367775256576   Permalink 11:36 AM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb I just published “On Neo-Cons and their Mental Defects”https://medium.com/p/on-neo-cons-and-their-mental-defects-d12685585b11   Permalink 7:00 AM – 21 Apr 2017

@nntaleb This largely explains the medicare induced deficit. #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/drjasonfung/status/855179500782538753   Permalink 3:03 PM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Beware false analogies: A politician can engage in propaganda/advocacy; newspapers that do so are no longer in the news business. Kapish? Permalink 11:38 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@garykmrivers Perhaps time for another read. Note: each tab relates to a charlatan shredding, myth busting wonder. @nntaleb #Antifragile pic.twitter.com/pm2sYXmR32 Permalink 10:37 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Effectively, the @nytimes was caught red handed engaging in a shoddy deceptive practice.https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/855055509455593472   Permalink 9:01 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Me:”Would you like red or white wine?” Rippetoe: “White wine is for salad dressing”. I drink only white wine. Permalink 7:47 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Historical enigma du jour: Golden Calf. Phoenicians & Assyrians were J2 Haplogroup, IndoEuropeans w/bull worship. Israelites were partly J2. pic.twitter.com/txRrShqvBU Permalink 4:45 AM – 20 Apr 2017

@johndurant Damn. The Patriots call out the New York Times for fake news. NYT spreading rumors about a photo like it’s high school.https://twitter.com/Patriots/status/854858415012806656   Permalink 6:53 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Me: Are there many people who look thin? Rip: Thin people aren’t fit. Permalink 4:31 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@aceloew 24 Big Reasons Why Trust in Corporate Media Has Reached All-Time Lows: A Visual Guide https://aceloewgold.com/2017/04/19/why-trust-in-corporate-media-has-reached-all-time-lows-a-visual-guide/   @nntaleb @Judgenap Permalink 3:39 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Rippetoe @CoachRippetoe menacing, extremely critical of my form and my lack of lifting shoes. pic.twitter.com/4mWHxbzx3G Permalink 2:40 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Looks like what works is obvious…https://twitter.com/ericozkan1/status/854786130432208898   Permalink 1:24 PM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb The full introduction pic.twitter.com/6TBG5mGn6n Permalink 7:11 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb Finally got to the introduction of Skin in the Game: how does the same Silver rule bust bullshit & install justice? pic.twitter.com/XbWMfSKySt Permalink 6:51 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb There is a flaw in the logical wiring of pseudo-left & neocons #IYIs; they miss that their logic leads to: pro-regime change = pro-slaveryhttps://twitter.com/sahouraxo/status/852263398712774657   Permalink 6:04 AM – 19 Apr 2017

@nntaleb High probability of Le Pen winning: attacked by 25 PseudoNobel economists, including the always wrong Stiglitz.http://www.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2017/04/18/25-nobel-d-economie-denoncent-les-programmes-anti-europeens_5112711_3232.html   Permalink 5:16 AM – 19 Apr 2017