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Ottomans, GMOs, Saudi Barbaria, Macron, Brazil | Twitter

@nntaleb RWRI 7 now open: Feb 5-9 2018   Listening to Robert Fry @financequant lecturing on chaotic systems. Permalink 8:52 AM – 15 Nov 2017

@dhavalpanchal Enterpreunership : Leprechaun’s – playful mischief over purpose. Don’t get imprisioned by ur biz plan. Inspired from #rwri session by @nntaleb. Errors & jumps to conclusions all mine. Permalink 7:06 AM – 15 Nov 2017

@silver_plasmon1 I read Antifragile by Taleb (@nntaleb) 4 times until now. First time I read as a text book to get wisdom to survive. Second time as a memorial statement for Fat Tony. Third time as Das Kapital of Marx with correct mathematics. Fourth time as ethics to know good way to die. Permalink 5:19 AM – 15 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Semitic Philology Du Jour: “I will return in a couple of days” in Lebanese means “I don’t think I can come back any time soon”. Bhal Yawmeyn != in 2 days.   Permalink 10:26 AM – 14 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Ok I need to mend with my Iberic friends: NOTHING is close to the Serrano, etc. Thanks Cesar at the RWRI seminar for the gift Permalink 5:11 AM – 14 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Which explains why in Levantine left is Shmel from Phoenician/Aramaic not Yassar. Permalink 4:18 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Semitic Philology Du Jour: Yamina (right) in Heb/Aram same root as “Yemen” = South; Smola/Shmola(left) same as “Bledel Shem”= North; “Shami“ =Northerner Permalink 4:11 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@nntaleb PATERNITY TEST: These Leb Arabists fed on fabricated theories of migrations from Arabia are in shock, like someone who went through paternity test & realizes his father isn’t his father. Permalink 3:08 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@GreenRupertRead Why are NGOs sceptical of genome editing?   > Useful information… Do share! @nntaleb Permalink 2:03 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@MaxBlumenthal No, you effectively called for the network to be destroyed, then demanded the cast of @RedactedTonight quit and take up work for Teen Vogue, which is guest edited this month by Hillary Clinton. What a joke.   Permalink 7:59 PM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb In fact people like me (Rum millet for Greek Orthodox) were saved by the Ottomans who unlike Arabs allowed Christians a Byzantine or other identity.   Permalink 4:02 PM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb “Geographically, it’s part of the region”: Why do all Arab nationalists bullshit? Athens is MUCH closer than Riyadh. And there is a desert+mountain separating. Permalink 2:55 PM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb People you block feel compelled to read what you post. Permalink 9:52 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Some hope: Collapse of Saudi Barbaria, the most fragile place on the planet. With some compliments about yours truly.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 5:41 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Solution   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 3:37 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@spartanwarriors Objects of precision and aesthetic appeal….a close-up of the Corinthian columns of the Temple of Bacchus, ca. 150 AD in the #Roman Heliopolis (Baalbek, Lebanon) – Photograph: Philip Maaskant Permalink 3:37 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@AlbertoAtreides What are the main applications of @nntaleb’s ideas to Law and Legal Theory in general? Note that he has explicitly shown us that he’s had influence from Contract Theory Scholastics like Olivi. Curious. It’s something to think upon. Permalink 2:29 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@GreenRupertRead Brits! Please act on this: Crucial moment here for defending the @PrecPrinciple and stopping GMOs:   Permalink 2:37 PM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Gigantic Squid Ink plate. Permalink 11:35 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@SamiBarakat1916 Kamal salibi is full of shit and is a pan Arabist funded idiot. Science proves all those shit Arabist theories are wrong Permalink 9:42 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb And gene flow from the Arabian Peninsula is small.   Permalink 3:58 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Being part of the Ottoman Empire (500 y) was being part of East Med (“Near East”) on top of 3000 y of Greco-Phoenician-Byzantine. Leb airline was “Trans Mediterranean Airlines”, successor “Middle East Airlines” when Arabs started having $$. Arabization is recent. Permalink 3:57 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Good News: The resentment of Saudi Barbaria in Lebanon, across all communities, is helping the country come back to the Eastern Mediterranean & its Phoenician/Greco-Roman heritage, away from the Middle East. Permalink 3:23 PM – 10 Nov 2017

@beachvetlbc How about freeing this study from a $42 paywall, #Monsanto, so we can share all the information& limitations u don’t want people to read ? Permalink 10:34 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@Learn_lebanese Matal tene чan l’farq bēỹn l’leğa l’lebnēniyé wel leğa l’чarabiyé. #lebaneseVsArabic Permalink 9:11 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 3) For those who don’t get it “good neighbor” here doesn’t refer to exchange of holiday gifts, only absence of “tit for tat” & tacit understanding of dynamics. Permalink 8:26 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 2) these game theoretic situations of coordination w/speaking (Axelrod) are common in the animal kingdom. Permalink 8:16 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Leb Shiites & Israel seem to have unspoken non-agression “good-neighbor” pact unblemished for >11 y. No real territorial claims/sources of dispute. Don’t expect the Israelis to go to war for low-IQ-yet-Napoleonic Saudi w/no skin in the game. Gabish? Permalink 8:04 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The problem with such systems is that the longer you wait to fix it, the worse the collapse. Permalink 7:14 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 4117 from Crux Mathematicorum #FigureThat #math #algebra Permalink 7:12 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A Followup on Lewis Carroll’s Pillow Problem #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 5:40 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@normonics Insulting anyone anonymously will surely only deepen your personal problems   Permalink 5:34 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The minority rule caused @GadSaad’s article on the minority rule to be hidden from sight.   Permalink 4:46 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Added entries to the glossary Permalink 4:19 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb And remember to NEVER humiliate a bedouin in public. Permalink 3:31 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Saudi Arabia: with so much accumulated fragility, any reform, no matter if positive or negative, will accelerate collapse. Change is v. bad.   Permalink 3:13 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Will Macron be hikacked and forced to resign? Unless he builds Wahabi centers, of course.   Permalink 2:49 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Adding: monoculture (intellektshual) ( at the gym have nothing other than twitter to remember) Permalink 2:35 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Adding: scalability Permalink 2:33 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Adding: merchandizing of virtue. Permalink 2:27 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Last minute addition: The Glossary. Any comments? Permalink 1:49 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Practical Inevitability of Empty Spaces: a collection of tweets in a continued discussion on dart throwing   Permalink 12:58 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Looking for first name and city of residence of TakingHayekSeriously @FriedrichHayek Permalink 11:26 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Publishers put quotes by hotshots on back of books. I hate it. Told them I would get GENUINE quotes from REAL users e.g. “Joe from Denver”. Collecting quotes from readers (and re-readers) of Incerto & drafts of SITG. Please add to this thread. Permalink 11:15 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Nor for us Meds: Bread, olive oil, tapenade/hummus, garlic/herbs, and wine.   Permalink 10:57 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Robert Fisk: Hariri was hijacked by Saudi Arabia. #ClownPrinceofSaudiBarbaria   Permalink 9:46 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb #ClownPrinceofSaudiBarbaria Permalink 7:30 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb My characterization of the Clown Prince of Saudi Barbaria: a low-IQ brat. You can’t be both. Permalink 7:00 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Real mathematics is NOT about solving particular probability riddles. It is about the MOST general solution to a given problem.   Permalink 6:35 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@abdota “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood” — @nntaleb—405-628   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 3:42 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb (revision) I wrote the 2 editions of Bed of Procrustes (Incerto, Vol. 3, a book of aphorisms) as tweets under the PROCRUSTEAN BED of 140 ch. limit. No aphorism should exceed ~140 ch. Permalink 2:41 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb I wrote the 2 editions of Bed of Procrustes (Incerto, Vol. 3, a book of aphorisms) as tweets under the 140 character limit. No aphorism should exceed ~140 ch.   Permalink 2:28 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Q: What are you trying to do with Skin in the Game (& the Incerto)? A: Separating the fake from the true in anything: business, scholarship, academia, history, weightlifting, speeches, literature, war, mathematics of probability, politics, food… Permalink 1:50 PM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Resolved. Thanks all! Permalink 1:34 PM – 8 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Practical Inevitability of Clustering. A collection of excerpts from a discussion that followed @nntaleb’s tweet   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 10:55 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Correction. The “anti-corruption” crown prince RECENTLY bought a $500 million yacht. My problem isn’t so much the use of corruption to grab power. It’s the war mongering. The fellow is destroying Yemen. Permalink 10:33 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@Nigel_Farage #NeverForget Permalink 9:31 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Technical friends: Which browser should I use for that? Thanks   Permalink 5:43 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The “anti-corruption” crown prince owns a $500 million yacht. Did he buy it with his government salary? Who is being fooled? Who?   Permalink 4:45 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath You throw 16 darts uniformly randomly on 2D map with 16 squares. What is the probability of getting at least half the squares empty? Permalink 4:25 PM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK, not as good. But OK. Permalink 1:50 PM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb T Shirt I got in Brazil x nao e f(x) ( x is not f(x) ) Permalink 1:49 PM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Ok Ok almost as good. Permalink 7:25 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The Brazilian version of Jamon Iberico tastes even better. Permalink 6:58 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Antifragile in Brazil! Permalink 4:50 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Is (war obsessed) Saudi Arabia socially, culturally, and intellectually one of the most BACKWARD nations on Planet Earth? Permalink 1:32 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Note that Monte Carlo methods for the problem converge very slowly. Combinatorial issues. Permalink 12:58 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb A country that “confiscates”… Not very comforting investors in an IPO. Anyone thinking of “investing” in Saudi Barbaria is an imbecile.   Permalink 12:38 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Can someone explain why S. Barbaria w/GDP= 20K p capita (only oil), Yuge Youth unemployment, unskilled, Yuge deficit, is involved in wars? Permalink 3:38 PM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb No! No!   Permalink 3:31 PM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Either media is stupid, or Saudi rulers are stupid, or both Lebanon did not formally declare war &no common border   Permalink 1:10 PM – 6 Nov 2017

@snarwani Where is Saad Hariri, and why did his “resignation” as #Lebanon’s PM take even his own party by surprise? Some background: Permalink 11:32 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The square differences. Nonlinearity: it flattens at 405.   Permalink 10:03 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Brazil Permalink 7:40 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Nudging fails in the only place where I thought it could work: medication routines.   Permalink 7:20 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@ggreenwald So much of the vicious, false, coordinated Dem/media attack on Donna Brazile was amazing, illuminating & horrifying. But this took the prize   Permalink 3:44 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Errata: “with d independent trials” @erugli @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 2:41 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS; final solution to the problem   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 2:35 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@mjd1735 Mohammed bin Salman fired him. So much for “sovereignty”.   Permalink 5:05 PM – 5 Nov 2017

S. Arabia, Hariri, SSRN, Copyeditors, Catalans, Monsanto | Twitter

@nntaleb Hariri’s resignation: idiots in Saudi Arabia and the U.S. admin are geopolitizing the Lebanese conflict.   Permalink 3:19 PM – 5 Nov 2017

@nntaleb No difference of opinion shd EVER allow spreading fake memes. But no difference of opinion shd EVER lead to call for censorship. Permalink 1:10 PM – 5 Nov 2017

@nntaleb There is something nonrandom about seemingly unconnected events in the past 36 hours in Saudi Arabia.   Permalink 1:01 PM – 5 Nov 2017

@u_vakalate @nntaleb #Lindy   Permalink 12:50 PM – 5 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Being nice in a non-BS way. Permalink 5:13 AM – 5 Nov 2017

@nntaleb When one suddenly realizes the pun is in … Persian.   Permalink 3:49 AM – 5 Nov 2017

@nntaleb S. Arabia: Could be pre-emptive purge. Could be abortive putsch. Could be just acceleration of reform. Still early for pronouncements.   Permalink 3:09 PM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 2) For the Holy Roman Empire was never Roman: Byzantium was. Nor was it ever Holy. Nor was it an Empire. Permalink 1:34 PM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 1) N. Europe’s usurpation of Ancient Western Civilization (Med) was started w/the Holy Roman Empire usurpation of the Roman Empire. Permalink 1:33 PM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink with @MichaelSagnerMD Permalink 11:11 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@GhassanDahhan Never understood why Liberals like to see an Islamic Reformation. It’s already here: it’s called Salafism. Permalink 9:10 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb You can see the Lindy effect: of the 100 authors that made it ~70 y later, I think ~16% had the Nobel. Permalink 9:00 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Correction. Note that Hariri is a BANKRUPT Saudi lackey living partly in Saudi Arabia. Permalink 6:05 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Note that Hariri is a Saudi lackey living partly in Saudi Arabia. Permalink 5:58 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Practical consequence on BigData BS: Divide a state into 16 counties: 17% probability of 1 county RANDOMLY having 6 times the state average. Permalink 5:51 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The shortest (but not necessarily best) answer, using combinatorics. cc:@erugli Permalink 5:07 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@mikeandallie Sharing @nntaleb ‘s dart probability problem with kids:   #math #mathchat Permalink 4:43 AM – 4 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 98 1/8 (Ulysses) Permalink 12:19 PM – 3 Nov 2017

@JackBMontgomery After France orders cross removal, Hungarians ask: “Is everyone entitled to religious freedom except Christians?”   Permalink 8:39 AM – 3 Nov 2017

@nntaleb OK, literary books. Permalink 8:00 AM – 3 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Le Monde’s 100 novels of the 20th C. (actually, good list, average ~ 50 y after pub). How many have you read?   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 7:55 AM – 3 Nov 2017

@PoliticalShort Hillary last week: I didn’t know anything about the dossier until after it was published Hillary this week: Damn right I paid for dossier! Permalink 3:05 PM – 2 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The problem becomes very, very simple if you reformulate it. That’s the point of the exercise. Permalink 6:31 AM – 2 Nov 2017

@nntaleb PROBABILITY QUIZ: How randomness should almost never look random. (spurious cancer cluster in Fooled by Randomness) @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 3:50 AM – 2 Nov 2017

@nntaleb PROBABILITY QUIZ: How randomness should almost never look random. (spurious cancer cluster in Fooled by Randomness) @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 3:50 AM – 2 Nov 2017

@QuantWolfLine At some point the word “liberal” got hijacked…classical liberalism was free markets, freedom of speech, strength of individual liberty, freedom of religion…”neo-liberalism” is completely opposite beholden to collectivism, more power to centralized state, etc. Quite distorted Permalink 6:25 PM – 1 Nov 2017

@ntferris Yes, Arabism is just a secular form of Islam. We are Rum, the Romans Permalink 1:18 PM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Here is my page on arXiV. For now, of course. Will me adding all papers in a few days.   Permalink 1:06 PM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Closed. No more SSRN. Permalink 12:52 PM – 1 Nov 2017

@DavidDiGiovanni Love when someone tries to refute a popular intuition with statistics and then someone who actually understands statistics calls BS   Permalink 12:39 PM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb In other words, what Brenner can’t get, is that the other car on the highway is not trying to kill you. False comparisons. Sad! Permalink 11:03 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb People don’t discriminate on ethnicity/class as much as on looks/ attractiveness. Are diversitymongers focusing on wrong attributes? Permalink 11:01 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb For those slow in getting it, terrorism is game-theoretic, terrorists get the signal to attack if you reduce vigilance, unlike health. Permalink 10:39 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Why we should NEVER compare terrorism to hear attacks. Gabish?   Permalink 10:09 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb How to use statistics to produce BS. Total BS. 1)Terrorism is fat-tailed 2) Terrorism is low BECAUSE we fight it.   Permalink 9:54 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb There is practically nothing liberal among liberals   via @collegefix Permalink 5:18 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@ccz1 @nntaleb made me aware of this rule of thumb. the less we know the name of the government leader, the more free is that country   Permalink 5:04 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Aramaic (bilingual) du jour   Permalink 5:03 AM – 1 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The skin in the game symmetry does more for social justice than all the communist BS taken together. Permalink 1:03 PM – 31 Oct 2017

@paulportesi @nntaleb As you state Nassim, “The evidence come later”. U.S. moves to revoke that soy protein protects the heart   Permalink 6:21 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Why correlation is not …correlation   Permalink 5:57 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Big data schmig data Permalink 5:56 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@nntaleb My class lecture tonite. Why PCAs are not PCAs: noise. Marcenko-Pastur for tin-tails, Monte Carlo for Fat Tails.   Permalink 5:51 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Nitwit, I do not write SCIENTIFIC papers on Medium. Permalink 3:55 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Science should be science. Permalink 3:54 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@nntaleb I am closing my account with SSRN. My papers will be on ArXiv. Permalink 3:45 AM – 31 Oct 2017

@NAChristakis This is what rule of law looks like. Liberal professor who I’m sure has no love of DT (& neither do I), makes this argument. #respect 1/   Permalink 10:34 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@gbponz if @nntaleb were to be chairman of UK’s FSA, an A4 sheet would contain all necessary rules. double spaced. Permalink 10:14 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Further, wrongly accusing someone of “discrimination” is as odious as discrimination itself. @RogueRad Permalink 8:47 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb decision without asymmetry science without skepticism Permalink 8:40 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb #Asymmetry Permalink 7:59 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Sexism, racism, & other forms of discrimination are odious Some don’t get that discrimination in the opposite direction is equally odious Permalink 7:53 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK. The book is done. Permalink 5:24 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@normonics In the not distant future, GMO peddlers will be widely regarded the way cigarette peddlers are Permalink 5:18 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb I have no trouble paying, it is just the paperwork. Permalink 4:41 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Practically EVERYTHING MSM told us about the Syrian war was bull***t. Bull***t manipulated by Qatar/Saudi Arabia.   Permalink 4:06 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Friends, looking for a public domain picture of Eddie Hall weightlifting. Thanks in advance! Permalink 3:47 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@sazohaib would love to recommend my son INCERTO as Bible to face real life. @nntaleb real thanks and love!! Permalink 1:45 AM – 30 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Coin Tossing Contest   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 11:18 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Quiz du jour as a general solution to A B’s quiz. Permalink 11:01 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@DrKassandraPari Fine principle And it’s prominently enshrined in Art 1 + 3 Permalink 9:51 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Hammurabi’s code: He who falsely accuses someone of a crime is to be penaliized as if he committed it himself Applies to all: right,left,… Permalink 7:31 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Maybe it is not for you. You should go read someone else. Or the @NewYorker Permalink 6:21 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Give a text to a copy editor. He will make 3 changes per page. Accept,then give to another editor. You still get 3 changes per page,& so on.   Permalink 5:41 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@nntaleb There are not two different issues. Never contradict your political stance w/your personal behavior. That’s the idea of #skininthegame   Permalink 2:25 AM – 29 Oct 2017

@MarkDice Hey @Jack, please explain the rationale for suspending Roger Stone, but not Keith Olbermann. — Signed, every conservative on Twitter. Permalink 7:25 PM – 28 Oct 2017

@garyruskin “It’s a situation that is so catastrophic and appalling,” farmer says about the use of #Monsanto’s #dicamba product   Permalink 10:27 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@nntaleb IRS bureaucrats harm citizens. They pay a fine, not paid by bureaucrats, but by the government, that is, citizens. #skininthegame   Permalink 9:36 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@jeitoapp The Lindy Effect exists precisely to discount short term luck Permalink 9:23 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@nntaleb By definition, what works cannot be irrational. #lindy, #skininthegame Permalink 9:19 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@justinno Beginning @nntaleb’s Bed of Procrustes, first two aphorisms get right to why/skin in the game. (Will read more when 2yo gives book back) Permalink 5:39 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Classify Iranians as “Asians”,then you MUST classify ½ classics as “Asians”:Lydians, Bithynians,Ponthians, Cilicians, ~all church founders Permalink 5:09 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@nntaleb How to deal with copyeditors. The more nitpicking a copyeditor, the more likely he is to miss an important mistake. Permalink 4:38 AM – 28 Oct 2017

@nntaleb How many of the people retweeting this actally have courage? 1 in 100? 1 in 1000?   Permalink 5:04 PM – 27 Oct 2017

@nntaleb “Mr T, I like your work but you call too many pple fraudsters” Me: “There are many fraudsters” Permalink 4:47 PM – 27 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Probabilities in powers of 2 Permalink 11:19 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@darwinemkt & only ppl who put their careers on the line, like @jordanbpeterson & @GadSaad do, can claim to having #skininthegame 2/2 Permalink 9:21 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@nntaleb You need to realize that the only thing a career academic can really teach you is how to be a career academic. Gabish? Permalink 8:18 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Sutor, ne ultra crepidam   Permalink 3:18 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@nntaleb There is NEVER (narrow) evidence of Black Swans before event By Hitchen’s logic, someone who never died = immortal, as no evidence of death. Permalink 3:16 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@nntaleb The heroes of history were not virtue-signaling library rats. You can’t learn classical values from career “classicists”. (just added) Permalink 2:45 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@s3og6e .@nntaleb next book >Skin in the Game< is coming out Feb 27. I can’t wait to read it. His announcement on FB.   Permalink 2:32 AM – 27 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Relying on Hitchens on matters of evidence (& limits of it) is no different from relying on a random flight attendant for fixing a rocket.   Permalink 2:51 PM – 26 Oct 2017

@RonPaulInstitut US Allows Saudi Arabia To Plant Wahhabi Seed In Raqqa Rubble   Permalink 1:49 PM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Twitter involuntarily helped Donaldo get elected. This is just to appease the conspirationistas.   Permalink 9:08 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Balls of Two Colors   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:37 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 7:07 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Added to the Logic of Risk Taking:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:07 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Some only find expression as part of mob shaming, when SAFE to do so, & in the bargain, think that they are displaying virtue. Not virtue. Permalink 6:13 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb A modern novel for the Byzantine Ambassador representing the Ottomans as continuation @byzantinepower Permalink 4:02 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Great move. The UN is a machine made to serve its bureaucrats & the journo monoculture.   Permalink 2:10 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Isocrates Silver Rule: Treat weaker states the way you would like stronger states to treat you. Apply to Calalunya. #skininthegame Permalink 1:32 AM – 26 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule.   Permalink 5:04 PM – 25 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Rough Volatility Process (using a Voltera roughness coefficient) Permalink 11:34 AM – 25 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Not moral to tell the Catalans whether they shd be independent, unless you let them decide on your own sovereignty #skininthegame #symmetry Permalink 10:36 AM – 25 Oct 2017

@JulianAssange Democrats spent the last 11 months building a neo-mccarthyite monster. The GOP has now saddled it to run them down. Entirely predictable. Permalink 9:27 AM – 25 Oct 2017

@euronewsfr Happening contre le #glyphosate à Bruxelles #nocomment Permalink 7:25 AM – 25 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Scholarships open for Real World Risk Certificate Nov 13-17   Note that we are 100% uncensored. No thought police. Permalink 7:16 AM – 25 Oct 2017

@alwyn_lau Thanks to @twilliamok for treating me to the best squid ink pasta in Spore! @nntaleb will probably love it too Permalink 6:13 AM – 25 Oct 2017

@garyruskin #Monsanto Faces Blowback Over Cancer Cover-Up   Via @philipbethge @DerSPIEGEL #MonsantoPapers #glyphosate Permalink 5:56 AM – 24 Oct 2017

@SimonDeDeo I’ve written before on the bad stats in election prediction; pleased to see this new preprint from @nntaleb   Permalink 4:43 AM – 24 Oct 2017

@charles_dandolo Voilà qui devrait intéresser @nntaleb   Permalink 2:15 AM – 24 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Probability à la Tristram Shandy #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 7:35 AM – 20 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Given the probability, Find the sample space   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 2:29 PM – 19 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Rothschild, @davmicrot, unlike @AlanDersh is rather clueless about his own profession: election forecasting   Permalink 2:41 AM – 19 Oct 2017

@ShipSystem This is the full interview (22min, youtube)   Absolutely worth it Permalink 8:39 AM – 18 Oct 2017

@AlanDersh My commitment to free speech doesn’t depend on who is president.   Permalink 7:48 AM – 18 Oct 2017

@AStratelates That’s why we should follow the @nntaleb method of finding psychological properties described by the ancients that are validated by moderns.   Permalink 8:27 PM – 17 Oct 2017

@nntaleb One can write books on options & pass for “expert” w/o realizing pple don’t hold positions for 8 y; they change daily. BS vendor.   Permalink 5:45 PM – 17 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Anyone who reads Arabic, Aramaic/Hebr. shd have noticed there is NO aleph (always separate); only resembrance is to Aram. Shin => Russian Ш   Permalink 3:16 PM – 17 Oct 2017

@naderamin The issue is that it’s not ok to say that North Africans look “black” Permalink 2:48 PM – 16 Oct 2017

@mikeharrisNY This is worth watching. @nntaleb reveals how famous traders can be destroyed in a single day.   Permalink 1:58 PM – 16 Oct 2017

@NennaAltiora Meds r useful 4 nordic supremacists to either claim or use as tokens if they come from the wrong side of the Med,replaceable by any ‘ethnic’ Permalink 9:59 AM – 16 Oct 2017

@babolix Getting echoes of @nntaleb ‘s spat with historians from John Grays latest column in the New Statesman:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:29 AM – 16 Oct 2017

@BloombergTV The Black Monday crash was 30 years ago this week. “Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb recounts the experience   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:16 AM – 16 Oct 2017

@GeorgeJNasr …Levantines, Semites, Africans… We all still exist in spite pseudo historians in the West . kudos2 Nassim 4giving us back our voice Permalink 5:42 AM – 16 Oct 2017

@nntaleb For details, this is what Prof Beard did not like. Will her mob harrass Medium now?   Permalink 4:23 AM – 16 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Dear Prof. Beard, I am aware of your attempts (direct & via an overactive mob) at constraining my rights of expression. The answer is no. Permalink 2:52 AM – 16 Oct 2017

@nntaleb 4) Saw BS accounts of Lebanese war from journos talking to other journos at a bar in Beirut now into history books.   Permalink 7:38 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb 3) => fraudsters like a low-IQ Swede who read books abt Levant determining what MY ethno-national identity shd be.   Permalink 7:29 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb 2) The mechanism is historian cite historian cite historian, with a weird chain, as Indians say Salma told Sabrina. All over hist of wars. Permalink 7:17 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Just in case you want more example that historians are bullshitters.   Permalink 7:10 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Querry: Is Ketchum involved in executing the “Let Nothing Go” program by Monsanto (which targeted me & failed)?   Permalink 6:53 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@primalpoly Why can’t students stand free speech? They were raised to be frangible. We need #antifragile parenting & schools.   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 6:13 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb 1/ Many aggressive pseudolibs have smthg highly politically incorrect hidden in them. -Weinstein demeans women -Mary Beard is deeply racist Permalink 5:37 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Fixed typo, shd be >=71 not >1 Tightened equation Permalink 4:52 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath An inequality with integrals and constraints   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 3:16 PM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb So stage works best when it is set by design to be v. different from life. Not, like Hollywood, trying to make life an imitation of itself. Permalink 9:50 AM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Theater works best when actors wear masks, signifying the actor’s idiosyncracies are supplanted by those of the character. Permalink 9:12 AM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Now is CNN aware that misogynist Michael Weiss violates the moral and ethical rules that CNN itself claims having? Permalink 8:48 AM – 15 Oct 2017

@nntaleb So not only do actors not look like other citizens, they don’t behave like other citizens & movies misrepresent lives of citizens. All fake! Permalink 8:43 AM – 15 Oct 2017

Nassim Taleb on Black Monday, Fed, Market Lessons | Bloomberg

Bloomberg TV Markets and Finance
Published on Oct 16, 2017
Oct.16 — The Black Monday crash was 30 years ago this week. “Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb was a trader for First Boston at the time. He made a lot of money while others lost fortunes. He recounts the experience with Bloomberg’s Erik Schatzker.

Weinstein, Thaler, Virtue Signaling, Ottomans, Catalunya, Playboy, Monsanto, Silver Rule – Twitter

@nntaleb On my way to Moscow for a lecture at Moscow State U. Tuesday Permalink 9:27 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb & rape apologist Permalink 8:47 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb There is enough to show that CNN BS vendor journalist Michael Weiss @michaeldweiss is misogynist & has pro-fascist pro-Alqaeda tendencies. Permalink 4:47 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb witchhunts Permalink 4:07 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Acceptable; silence for $$ only so if perpetrator will not harm others.   Permalink 3:01 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Le bouc émissaire   Permalink 2:47 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Using like @dandrezner a strawman to tag someone you don’t like “racist”,”sexist”, “somethingist” to trigger whichhunts is morally repellent Permalink 2:02 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Vile @dandrezner transformed my disaproval of encouraging further rape w/$$ for silence as “sexist”. What do to him?   Permalink 1:17 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Actors represents to us on the screen how other citizens are; but they are too fake to be like other citizens. No #skininthegame, all image Permalink 12:42 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@sicruzado That being said McGowan must admit it wasn’t correct to make a deal on her silence. She traded her integrity for “career”. Permalink 11:12 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@amyalkon Keeping silent as trade for money & fame ultimately means selling out others down to road to be victimized – ugliest self-interest. Permalink 8:15 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb By what logic is accepting payment to perpetuate the system NOT creating future victims? Selling one’s silence is non negociable ethically. Permalink 8:05 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb No, imbecile. It is payment to stay silent! Permalink 7:23 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Or, worse, blackmail. @schmittpaula Permalink 7:14 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Any financial transaction of the sort is just prostitution.   Permalink 6:51 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Paper will be on Archiv next Tue. Permalink 6:43 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@____AGM____ This paper destroys political science BS models.   Permalink 6:10 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@keithwalkiewicz “There exist a kind of people for whom life is some kind of project…” – @nntaleb #Antifragile Permalink 6:10 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Election Predictions as Martingales: An Arbitrage Approach, forthcoming in Quantitative Finance. Permalink 6:07 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A friendly probability question #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 12:04 PM – 13 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Flunked. This leaves no tail on dish, likely to be dyed pasta.   Permalink 1:21 PM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Stupid pple have political “scientist” friends. Blocking them keeps your feed clean of political scientists & other bullshitters. Gabish? Permalink 9:28 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Romans wd despise today’s scholars of Rome, as “tawkers”, nonrisktakers, e.g., a nondoer “expert” on Stoicism s.a.@mpigliucci #skininthegame Permalink 6:40 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Most of all, Romans gave actors a pariah rank in society, because they “faked” by profession. #skininthegame Permalink 6:34 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Romans believed in Lindy. They detested theory, wanted results. They never mistook technology for science. #LindyEffect   Permalink 6:31 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Shin and Waw, obvious. J2a haplogroup. Permalink 6:27 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Comment 1: A few idiots ranting here (now blocked) didn’t get that barbers, technologists & artisans are not included in my hobbyist list. Permalink 5:07 PM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Some pursuits such as 1) love, 2) science, and 3) politics are more genuine when carried out by hobbyists rather than professionals. Permalink 2:16 PM – 11 Oct 2017

@BlueSertorius I think you did not understand his books then. (Taleb on twitter)=(taleb on books)^2 and I fucking love it Permalink 11:19 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb WEINSTEIN Punish him for exploitation of women. But he seeking treatment for libido Not misuse of power/hypocrisy/virtue signaling! Permalink 7:26 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Το oνομα μου είναι *Νίκος* στα Ελληνικα   Permalink 6:27 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A problem of loaded dice   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 6:03 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Every few days, I find myself lamenting U. Eco’s absence. No living figure is that rich: fertile, erudite, playful, charming,& Mediterranean   Permalink 11:30 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Dakhil origin: Aramaic corrupted, not Arb (DKL) Permalink 10:20 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Not of word of Arabic in this Leb. sentence: Dakhil rabb (Fear Lord), Canaanite fann: Greek (pneuma) bi: Aramaic Ligha: Greek (logos)   Permalink 10:17 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@garyruskin Reporting on the World’s Most Controversial Farm Chemical, via @CivilEats @TheBostonWriter   @careygillam Permalink 5:47 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@nntaleb I confess I had someone specific in mind Loss aversion punishes Much harder to be asked “why is there is a statue?” than why there isn’t one   Permalink 3:43 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A second probability problem #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 3:33 PM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Ana méṡé ma3ak. La nġayyer min Faddoul ṡwayy. Bass l”3″ aḣsan min el rusé.   Permalink 2:05 PM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Maltese works because it has minimal switches @turlevnon Permalink 1:30 PM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Na22e 7arf ma7al l ع (bil siryéné ܥ wbil aramé ע ) lallébnéné ljdid. ч amma 3 ? Permalink 10:19 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@JulianAssange Richard Thaler just won the Bank of Sweden Prize for economics (there is no Nobel prize for economics). Thaler is dangerous proponent of state totalitarianism who wants to eliminate unsurveilled human economic exchange. Sweden is the most cashless society.   Permalink 10:06 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Pick a letter as substitute for ع (equiv to ܥ in Syriac or ע in Aramaic) for Modern Lebanese. ч or 3 (note that ч is from the Cyrillic) Permalink 7:00 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@GreenRupertRead Delighted: my motion on extending the @PrecPrinciple to cover X-risks and research-funding into them just PASSED overwhelmingly at #gpconf Permalink 3:41 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb The @EUDelegationTur doesn’t get that the Turks didn’t “come to” Mardin (small DNA flow). Turkish speaking simply means someone converted. Permalink 8:36 AM – 8 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Nietzsche’s Master-Slave morality in modern terms: Reputation is for slaves, Honor, Courage, & Integrity is for the Self-Owned. Permalink 1:54 PM – 7 Oct 2017

@nntaleb The main problem is vulnerability to reputational effects. Fragility. You can’t be a slave and avoid behaving like a slave.   Permalink 10:44 AM – 7 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Someone writing the article didn’t get scaling. Sweden is small. Size is a dominant characteristic.   Permalink 4:54 AM – 7 Oct 2017

@mikeadsit Roundup kills more than weeds. Beneficial soil bacteria face a weed-killing threat from above | Cornell Chronicle   Permalink 6:12 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Please, this is only for US residents who follow me on Twitter. Where did you get the last book you’ve read? Permalink 5:25 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb “Tings” I learned today: a- There is no money in glamor (W’s stake is 130 m pretax) b- You don’t have to be really rich to buy into politics Permalink 5:05 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb 3/3 The more people do “data” the less they understand its information. Permalink 3:22 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb In other words, don’t cross a river because it is 4 feet deep ON AVERAGE. Gabish? #Antifragile Permalink 3:21 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Harvey W. was a master at virtue signaling. Pseudo-left: they endorse causes to feel virtuous.   Permalink 3:09 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Another person who doesn’t understand convexity.   Permalink 2:56 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@izag2010 @izag2010 Firearm incidents have thin tailed propability Distributions, Terrorism, Fat tailed you Imbeciles! @nntaleb Permalink 2:54 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@GuruAnaerobic Mark Sissons is right – being obsessed with Keto misses the point. As @nntaleb wud say, it’s an insult to variation   Permalink 5:18 AM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Did someone answer this idiot?   Permalink 5:52 PM – 5 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink Permalink 10:25 AM – 5 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Counter to Arabists BS vendors, there was in 4th C. Roman province called “Phoenicia” & there were “Phoenicians”. Libanius (Autobiography) Permalink 8:04 AM – 4 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Yeah, yeah, yeah   Permalink 4:17 AM – 4 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Cirillo lektchuring my class on extreme value distributions Permalink 3:28 PM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb OK,OK, new title again Permalink 12:58 PM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK, So new subtitle Permalink 6:15 AM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Finally, @DrCirillo came to spend a couple of weeks in New York. We plan on finishing the book and publishing by February. Permalink 5:52 AM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb This economist gets it that *some* doctors do more harm than good. But doesn’t realize we shd be much better off w/o economists than with.   Permalink 5:30 AM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Una lezzione Calabrese, la lezzione “na vota u mese” (once a month) Permalink 7:31 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Friends, can Anyone answer:What are the proportions if haplogroups/ subclades in Catalunya? Permalink 6:42 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Real World Risk Seminar: No thought police, no pol correctness, nothing is off-limits. (Nov 13-17) @financequant   Permalink 5:29 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb What I learned today: Ottomans used the Western (AD) calendar (1899).   Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Lindy: Progress means change, but not too fast. Permalink 3:24 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Catalunya. Permalink 2:22 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Never argue w/ pple on twitter. Expose people’s arguments for others to see. More generally, you argue with the audience, not the person.   Permalink 12:21 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb A function in Mathematica to get the [a]-Mean (mean across all permutations); helps w/ Miurhead’s ineq & other uses of a generalized mean. Permalink 12:05 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Where is Orwell? Replaced by monoculture-promoting, reputation-minded, pseudoleftist wusses. Wusses.   Permalink 5:46 AM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Where is Orwell? Replaced by monoculture-promoting, reputation-minded, pseudoleftist wusses. Wusses.   Permalink 5:46 AM – 1 Oct 2017

@PZalloua 2-Sunset over temples of Astarte (left) and Baal Amon (right). Cadiz Permalink 2:50 AM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb This holds largely for EastMed and partly for WestMeds. Permalink 1:33 PM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Population Genetics du Jour: If Armenians/Georgians/Iranians(N)/Anatolians/Kurds look Mediterranean, it’s because Meds originate from there. Permalink 12:54 PM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb In academia, there is no difference between academia & the real world. In the real world, there is. (inspired by Yogi Berra)   Permalink 11:32 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Dear Dr T, Someone sent me an article in which you wrote [some insult] abt me” Translation: “I googled my name & found your mentioning me” Permalink 11:29 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Privatized” homeland security, if you want to see it that way.   Permalink 9:20 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb A new challenge. Initial from @erugli , @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 4:30 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The skin in the game (symmetry) Q is: Would you like your daughter to appear in Playboy? If so, then do the interview. Otherwise, shut up Permalink 3:15 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Partial list of interviewees… Two-faced “left” intellectuals using a vehicle demeaning to women for own self-promotion. Permalink 11:43 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@maircomm And a former colleague, a Hungarian: “The problem with Nassim Taleb is not that he’s an —hole. Nassim Taleb is an —hole. The problem with Nassim Taleb is that he is right.” Permalink 7:13 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Kunihiko Chikaya’s Inequality   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:08 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@nntaleb An “interview” in Playboy is the equivalent of putting a prayer room in the middle of a bordello, w/the excuse that it attracts worshippers. Permalink 5:14 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Genetic Literacy Project is a Monsanto mouthpiece meant to smear scientists who disagree. Should NEVER be relied upon. Gabish? Permalink 3:12 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Nice to wake up to such great news. Delenda Monsanto! Euro Parliament decide to bar Monsanto lobbyists   via @FT Permalink 2:47 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@DirkAntonvM If there is only one article you want to read this Fall, let it be this one. It explains so much of the turmoil around the world.   Permalink 2:41 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@AJA_Cortes People with muscular necks don’t get fucked with Permalink 3:53 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So, Mary Beard, with all this career bloviating in books you can’t tell the difference between DESCRIPTIVE & NORMATIVE? Permalink 2:48 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@SwaidanCeline Ohhhhh pleasseee: عُقْد: necklace. عِِقد: decade. عَقْد: contract. عَقَدَ: held. عَقَّدَ: complicated. عُقَدْ: knots.   Permalink 1:15 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mary Beard ou are hinting that I stand AGAINST equality? You keep proving you are intellectualy DISHONEST, insecure, and a BS artist. Permalink 1:06 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Replace “religion police” in this NYT Op-Ed about what happened to @AkyolinEnglish by “thought police” & notice there is NO difference.   Permalink 12:58 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb What “humble” brag? There is nothing humble about me and I do NOT hide it. Gabish? Permalink 12:37 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Was told it was the most impactful & most read interview on the planet. Many “serious” authors did it: Nabokov, Mailer, Moravia, Rand… Permalink 12:24 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Playboy. I can proudly say that the Playboy Interview is the first interview I ever declined, when I was invited in 2008. Permalink 11:50 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@sprenten Only about 5 people read this tweet and understand it was made to make you think and not to confirm a bias! Permalink 11:42 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tax plan: if passed, will it be retro-effective for 2017 (as was Reagan’s)? Permalink 10:05 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@DeadLiftCapital just as de Tocqueville described Permalink 6:45 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Not just Byzantine, though. The DNA of the Koura, shows some Krusader genes. Mountains nearby: Armenian genes (Mardaitis) @PZalloua Permalink 6:41 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb IYI: “He has mentioned quantum mechanics at least twice in the past 5 years in conversations that had nothing to do w/physics.” Chap 6 ,SITG   Permalink 6:33 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Those who have equal rights today are complaining much, much more than when they didn’t have them. Permalink 6:06 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The old technique is that if your target has thick skin/f*** you money, attack pple close to him.   Permalink 5:52 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Dear friends, Someone anonymous I’ve blocked are targeting gents I interract w/ & harrass them. I suggest blocking & reporting to twitter. Permalink 5:25 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Only 5000 years gap between Syria and Saudi Barbaria.   Permalink 4:13 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule   Permalink 4:07 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Here’s I put it up. Thank you   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:04 PM – 27 Sep 2017

@HenricsonJacob Thrilled to be joining @nntaleb and friends for Real World Risk workshop in November. #MakeRiskRealAgain Permalink 12:20 PM – 27 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A simple inequality with exponents in two variables   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:51 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The Koura valley stayed off and on Byzantine for a while.   Permalink 7:22 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@nntaleb A footnote on associated accusations of “sectarianism” Permalink 6:22 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Final Devaluation of “Racism”: Arabs/Turks accuse Kurds of “racism” for wanting their own state Kurds accuse them of “racism” for opposing Permalink 5:41 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@JudicialWatch The FBI collaborated w/ the IRS in the IRS scandal. The IRS Commish should be removed from office. Learn more here:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 2:45 PM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Isocrates: Treat other states the way you’d like to by treated by them. Silver Rule is the foundation of modern society. Apply to states. Permalink 11:58 AM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1918: Woodrow Wilson’s doctrine of self determination. 2017: US/EU Position on Kurdistan driven by oil interests. Permalink 11:34 AM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The only way to undertand how something works is by figuring out how to break it.   Permalink 11:29 AM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Politico story does not report that Monsanto ghostwrote Helmut Greim paper on glyphostate.   Permalink 9:25 AM – 26 Sep 2017

Eric Weinstein, NYT, Education, Pippa Malgren, Palanga, Historians, Kurds, Monsanto | Twitter

@mikeandallie @nntaleb recommended this book 3 weeks ago. This chart in the beginning explains a puzzle I’ve wondered about in insurance for 15 years. Permalink 4:42 PM – 25 Sep 2017

@yaneerbaryam #AI: Using it and consequences for business risk & opportunity w/ @nntaleb @alex_pentland scholarships available:   Permalink 2:09 PM – 25 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Just a reminder that we’ve survived 13 centuries.   Permalink 8:10 AM – 25 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Byzantine hymns in Greek in Amioun yesterday. Permalink 6:13 AM – 25 Sep 2017

@FriedrichHayek Whatever you think of Taleb, he grabs on to core problems that others ignore or don’t see and shakes them like an attack dog on a leg.   Permalink 10:41 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@chelenki @nntaleb just about died laughing reading this review on #blackswan   Permalink 10:12 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am dumb when I don’t have skin in the game. Permalink 6:40 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@VanessaBeeley New York first responders connect to #AlQaeda, you know the group they think is behind 9/11. #World_gone_Mad @21WIRE @RenieriArts   Permalink 3:37 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@nntaleb And the Solid Eric Weinstein is misquoted in same NYT article. Anyone who cites the NYT has a pbm.   Permalink 3:00 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 2:49 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This GROSS misrepresentation by NYT is the reason I will not pre-release my book to them for reviews. They will have to buy it after publ.   Permalink 2:47 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb NYT misrepresents thesis as “biologically less capable of engineering.” NYT has pbms in reading comprehension!!!   Permalink 2:36 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Fact checking something for the book. Do royals have to take more risks during war? Permalink 1:42 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The picture in the thread is at Heathrow. U.K. raises tons of cash by marketing to label- conscious Gucci- wearing rich foreigners w/kids. Permalink 5:36 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb What I mean by “education” is the current institutional framework. It bears less & less resemblance to its historical antecedents. Permalink 5:24 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Education needs to KEEP proving itself. Permalink 4:43 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No. Education was, at some point great, fast becoming rent-seeking for a group of parasites IYIs who indoctrinate our youths. Permalink 4:41 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Observe the variability between individuals > variability in age (distrib of age). The same applies to mental sharpness.   Permalink 4:32 PM – 22 Sep 2017

@andrejpwalker Any Conservative who had put 40,000 (mostly) immigrant workers on the dole in one pen stroke would’ve been RUINED for it. #Uber @SadiqKhan Permalink 2:03 PM – 22 Sep 2017

@johnabarnes32 Editing a @nntaleb aphorism: don’t take someone’s book recommendation seriously unless he’s read it twice. Permalink 9:57 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule in action. One Polish, one Lithuanian, one Latvian, 3 neighboring countries, conversing in English. (With permission). Permalink 8:52 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that the book is finished (sort of), I can do probability for entertainment. Permalink 7:30 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@thackerpd .@dannyhakim story on #Monsanto & dicamba link to this video looking at #dicamba impacts across America   Permalink 7:01 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@DineshDSouza This reads like a parody but apparently isn’t–they’re even more crooked than we thought   Permalink 6:16 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Dr” please show me a SINGLE paper by historians not misestimating violence. A single one will do. Tawkers… Permalink 4:39 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Curious #mahfact   Permalink 4:30 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Abandoned swimming pool. Permalink 4:23 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tourism: visiting abandoned Soviet structures in Lithuania. #Realworld tourism. Permalink 3:53 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Pippa Malgren @DrPippaM took a break from signing, so I signed a few of her books. Permalink 3:05 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This link between Marathon and “saving” Western Civilization is what I call overfitting. History is largely bullshitters.   Permalink 5:36 PM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1) The strategy of Monsanto-funded smear campaigners like Dietwald Claus is to wait for someone to attack someone then come in w/remarks. Permalink 12:01 PM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I know, calling “idiot” someone who is not an MD & reads archives for a living, yet has “Dr” in his twitter handle would hurrrrrrrrrrrrrt. Permalink 9:02 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another idiot who probably overfits without knowing it is a bad thing.   Permalink 8:33 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I actually mean historians are worse: they don’t understand what “overfitting” means & think by doing it they are “sophisticated”. Permalink 8:14 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Thalassa! After a long walk in the pine forest, the Baltic Sea. Permalink 6:06 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Pullman is a bullshit vendor, so you need to help him out a bit. Permalink 5:23 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb #Antifragile   Permalink 4:55 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb And if historians keep saying “no, we don’t overfit”, answer: well… yes you do overfit & don’t know it.   Permalink 3:19 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Can someone answer that idiot?   Permalink 2:43 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Palanga, Lithuania. About to start my lektchur. Permalink 12:59 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Typical overfitting by…historians. This was written before.   Permalink 12:38 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Why are you so dishonest as to validate my point abt historians? Answer THIS:   Permalink 12:27 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another ignorant-ignorant of their ignorance:@carolinepennock Permalink 11:52 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The remarkable ability of people of being so ignorant as to not understand the charges of ignorance levelled at them   Permalink 11:47 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Even better, wait 1 week minimum before answering nonimmediate mail. Best is 1 month.   Permalink 11:08 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Our synthesis of pbm w/historiography. Another one on misestimations on the way. @BenedictEvans is an idiot.   Permalink 11:01 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Benedict Evans @BenedictEvans is an imbecile who just throws words without knowing what he is talking about.   Permalink 10:58 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Give someone an inch, they will ask for a mile. Permalink 6:59 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb After the Kurds (eventually) get their state, you can imagine a breakup of Turkey.   Permalink 6:13 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When you want a fool to teach your children how to NOT think, Monbiot works well. Permalink 5:10 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@GuruAnaerobic I think this qualifies as one of @nntaleb’s “literalists”.   Permalink 5:02 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@byzantinepower Don’t claim to be “woke” if u haven’t got this book #Byzantium Permalink 4:57 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb They also teach them to lie.   Permalink 4:10 PM – 19 Sep 2017

@francispouliot_ Thanks to @nntaleb and @EconTalker for inspiring this essay on emergent order and antifragility. Thanks Bitcoin ecosystem for making it real   Permalink 11:29 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is something common to modern “liberal” and Sunni-Salafi education: They teach students answers rather than how to ask questions. Permalink 9:13 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@garyruskin How #Monsanto Manufactured ‘Outrage’ at #Glyphosate Cancer Classification It Expected   by @careygillam @USRightToKnow Permalink 8:40 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Lecturing on catastrophic/tail risks in Bermuda. When in Rome… Permalink 4:37 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The problem of SJW, universalists, globalists, Islamists, neo-atheists, and modernists is that they take everything, every word) literally. Permalink 3:05 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The point is not that @peterdaou has the IQ of a cauliflower. It’s that the press is 1) a monoculture, 2) dying a slow but certain death.   Permalink 3:40 PM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Copy editors are English majors victims of thought police… One wanted to change “American-style Options” to “U.S.-style” as more PC. Permalink 10:58 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@martyrmade As @johnrobb points out, this cartoon is no analogy for political/financial/journalism experts because pilots have skin in the game @nntaleb Permalink 10:44 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Corrected. I tend to post on twitter without even rereading. Permalink 5:51 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Organization of the book. Permalink 5:41 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@sentantiq “When the government is at its most corrupt, the more laws [there are].” corruptissima re publica plurimae leges #Tacitus Permalink 4:14 PM – 17 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Classical misestimation and biases by historians: history is anecdotes + BS + hearsay+ occasional truths…   Permalink 5:31 AM – 17 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Fiction vs Nonfiction, go with fiction.   Permalink 5:21 AM – 17 Sep 2017

@turlevnon #syriac_calendar Permalink 10:35 PM – 16 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am adding this to Skin In the Game. Anyone knows a good translator of TEX into Word? Permalink 3:06 PM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The highest compliment. But I wonder which group I personally fall into.   Permalink 2:45 PM – 15 Sep 2017

@pauld1981 Symmetry you’re poor: they can corrupt u by giving you money -cheap you’re rich: they can corrupt u by not confiscating your money -cheaper Permalink 11:55 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that the book is done: Writing is 95% walking, 5% sitting. Mathematics is 95% sitting, 5% walking. Permalink 10:41 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@ThalesLives Ever since reading @nntaleb’s books and articles, my bullshit detector has been much improved. If you haven’t read his work yet, do so. Permalink 10:10 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friday Follow: @CutTheKnotMath for mathematical brainteasers. Like finding a parking spot in NY, never easy, never impossible #TwitterMath   Permalink 8:41 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Little by little, a file on the behavior of MSM w/r to Syria is being built.   Permalink 1:47 PM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friends, any translation of this (tarqtu’l khalqa tarran…)? Thanks Permalink 11:02 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@philipbstark 1/ Probs w #GMO crops not just farm practices & herbicides:   .@nntaleb .@bittman .@UCBerkeleyFood @michaelpollan Permalink 8:42 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@Biixi001 Can U believe!? NewYorker just outed @nntaleb – not just flaneuring/chasing lost wisdom&IYIs, also taking care of lost property in Paris Permalink 8:00 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life Permalink 7:41 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Makram Rabah, pls explain why your work should be read when: You (willfully) mislabel You fabricate facts You lie on your resumé Permalink 5:14 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This expression @ektrit you seem to attribute to Saint Morcos of Ephesus. True? Permalink 4:13 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Historians focus on the lurid and discount absence of evidence, with huge distortions in accounts. Permalink 3:43 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@DavidDuPouy Antifragile is BIG in Japan @nntaleb Permalink 5:12 PM – 13 Sep 2017