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Weinstein, Thaler, Virtue Signaling, Ottomans, Catalunya, Playboy, Monsanto, Silver Rule – Twitter

@nntaleb On my way to Moscow for a lecture at Moscow State U. Tuesday Permalink 9:27 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb & rape apologist Permalink 8:47 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb There is enough to show that CNN BS vendor journalist Michael Weiss @michaeldweiss is misogynist & has pro-fascist pro-Alqaeda tendencies. Permalink 4:47 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb witchhunts Permalink 4:07 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Acceptable; silence for $$ only so if perpetrator will not harm others.   Permalink 3:01 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Le bouc émissaire   Permalink 2:47 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Using like @dandrezner a strawman to tag someone you don’t like “racist”,”sexist”, “somethingist” to trigger whichhunts is morally repellent Permalink 2:02 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Vile @dandrezner transformed my disaproval of encouraging further rape w/$$ for silence as “sexist”. What do to him?   Permalink 1:17 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Actors represents to us on the screen how other citizens are; but they are too fake to be like other citizens. No #skininthegame, all image Permalink 12:42 PM – 14 Oct 2017

@sicruzado That being said McGowan must admit it wasn’t correct to make a deal on her silence. She traded her integrity for “career”. Permalink 11:12 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@amyalkon Keeping silent as trade for money & fame ultimately means selling out others down to road to be victimized – ugliest self-interest. Permalink 8:15 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb By what logic is accepting payment to perpetuate the system NOT creating future victims? Selling one’s silence is non negociable ethically. Permalink 8:05 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb No, imbecile. It is payment to stay silent! Permalink 7:23 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Or, worse, blackmail. @schmittpaula Permalink 7:14 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Any financial transaction of the sort is just prostitution.   Permalink 6:51 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Paper will be on Archiv next Tue. Permalink 6:43 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@____AGM____ This paper destroys political science BS models.   Permalink 6:10 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@keithwalkiewicz “There exist a kind of people for whom life is some kind of project…” – @nntaleb #Antifragile Permalink 6:10 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Election Predictions as Martingales: An Arbitrage Approach, forthcoming in Quantitative Finance. Permalink 6:07 AM – 14 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A friendly probability question #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 12:04 PM – 13 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Flunked. This leaves no tail on dish, likely to be dyed pasta.   Permalink 1:21 PM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Stupid pple have political “scientist” friends. Blocking them keeps your feed clean of political scientists & other bullshitters. Gabish? Permalink 9:28 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Romans wd despise today’s scholars of Rome, as “tawkers”, nonrisktakers, e.g., a nondoer “expert” on Stoicism s.a.@mpigliucci #skininthegame Permalink 6:40 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Most of all, Romans gave actors a pariah rank in society, because they “faked” by profession. #skininthegame Permalink 6:34 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Romans believed in Lindy. They detested theory, wanted results. They never mistook technology for science. #LindyEffect   Permalink 6:31 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Shin and Waw, obvious. J2a haplogroup. Permalink 6:27 AM – 12 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Comment 1: A few idiots ranting here (now blocked) didn’t get that barbers, technologists & artisans are not included in my hobbyist list. Permalink 5:07 PM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Some pursuits such as 1) love, 2) science, and 3) politics are more genuine when carried out by hobbyists rather than professionals. Permalink 2:16 PM – 11 Oct 2017

@BlueSertorius I think you did not understand his books then. (Taleb on twitter)=(taleb on books)^2 and I fucking love it Permalink 11:19 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb WEINSTEIN Punish him for exploitation of women. But he seeking treatment for libido Not misuse of power/hypocrisy/virtue signaling! Permalink 7:26 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Το oνομα μου είναι *Νίκος* στα Ελληνικα   Permalink 6:27 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A problem of loaded dice   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 6:03 AM – 11 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Every few days, I find myself lamenting U. Eco’s absence. No living figure is that rich: fertile, erudite, playful, charming,& Mediterranean   Permalink 11:30 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Dakhil origin: Aramaic corrupted, not Arb (DKL) Permalink 10:20 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Not of word of Arabic in this Leb. sentence: Dakhil rabb (Fear Lord), Canaanite fann: Greek (pneuma) bi: Aramaic Ligha: Greek (logos)   Permalink 10:17 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@garyruskin Reporting on the World’s Most Controversial Farm Chemical, via @CivilEats @TheBostonWriter   @careygillam Permalink 5:47 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@nntaleb I confess I had someone specific in mind Loss aversion punishes Much harder to be asked “why is there is a statue?” than why there isn’t one   Permalink 3:43 AM – 10 Oct 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A second probability problem #FigureThat #math #probability Permalink 3:33 PM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Ana méṡé ma3ak. La nġayyer min Faddoul ṡwayy. Bass l”3″ aḣsan min el rusé.   Permalink 2:05 PM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Maltese works because it has minimal switches @turlevnon Permalink 1:30 PM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Na22e 7arf ma7al l ع (bil siryéné ܥ wbil aramé ע ) lallébnéné ljdid. ч amma 3 ? Permalink 10:19 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@JulianAssange Richard Thaler just won the Bank of Sweden Prize for economics (there is no Nobel prize for economics). Thaler is dangerous proponent of state totalitarianism who wants to eliminate unsurveilled human economic exchange. Sweden is the most cashless society.   Permalink 10:06 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Pick a letter as substitute for ع (equiv to ܥ in Syriac or ע in Aramaic) for Modern Lebanese. ч or 3 (note that ч is from the Cyrillic) Permalink 7:00 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@GreenRupertRead Delighted: my motion on extending the @PrecPrinciple to cover X-risks and research-funding into them just PASSED overwhelmingly at #gpconf Permalink 3:41 AM – 9 Oct 2017

@nntaleb The @EUDelegationTur doesn’t get that the Turks didn’t “come to” Mardin (small DNA flow). Turkish speaking simply means someone converted. Permalink 8:36 AM – 8 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Nietzsche’s Master-Slave morality in modern terms: Reputation is for slaves, Honor, Courage, & Integrity is for the Self-Owned. Permalink 1:54 PM – 7 Oct 2017

@nntaleb The main problem is vulnerability to reputational effects. Fragility. You can’t be a slave and avoid behaving like a slave.   Permalink 10:44 AM – 7 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Someone writing the article didn’t get scaling. Sweden is small. Size is a dominant characteristic.   Permalink 4:54 AM – 7 Oct 2017

@mikeadsit Roundup kills more than weeds. Beneficial soil bacteria face a weed-killing threat from above | Cornell Chronicle   Permalink 6:12 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Please, this is only for US residents who follow me on Twitter. Where did you get the last book you’ve read? Permalink 5:25 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb “Tings” I learned today: a- There is no money in glamor (W’s stake is 130 m pretax) b- You don’t have to be really rich to buy into politics Permalink 5:05 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb 3/3 The more people do “data” the less they understand its information. Permalink 3:22 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb In other words, don’t cross a river because it is 4 feet deep ON AVERAGE. Gabish? #Antifragile Permalink 3:21 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Harvey W. was a master at virtue signaling. Pseudo-left: they endorse causes to feel virtuous.   Permalink 3:09 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Another person who doesn’t understand convexity.   Permalink 2:56 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@izag2010 @izag2010 Firearm incidents have thin tailed propability Distributions, Terrorism, Fat tailed you Imbeciles! @nntaleb Permalink 2:54 PM – 6 Oct 2017

@GuruAnaerobic Mark Sissons is right – being obsessed with Keto misses the point. As @nntaleb wud say, it’s an insult to variation   Permalink 5:18 AM – 6 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Did someone answer this idiot?   Permalink 5:52 PM – 5 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Squid ink Permalink 10:25 AM – 5 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Counter to Arabists BS vendors, there was in 4th C. Roman province called “Phoenicia” & there were “Phoenicians”. Libanius (Autobiography) Permalink 8:04 AM – 4 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Yeah, yeah, yeah   Permalink 4:17 AM – 4 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Cirillo lektchuring my class on extreme value distributions Permalink 3:28 PM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb OK,OK, new title again Permalink 12:58 PM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK, So new subtitle Permalink 6:15 AM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Finally, @DrCirillo came to spend a couple of weeks in New York. We plan on finishing the book and publishing by February. Permalink 5:52 AM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb This economist gets it that *some* doctors do more harm than good. But doesn’t realize we shd be much better off w/o economists than with.   Permalink 5:30 AM – 3 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Una lezzione Calabrese, la lezzione “na vota u mese” (once a month) Permalink 7:31 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Friends, can Anyone answer:What are the proportions if haplogroups/ subclades in Catalunya? Permalink 6:42 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Real World Risk Seminar: No thought police, no pol correctness, nothing is off-limits. (Nov 13-17) @financequant   Permalink 5:29 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb What I learned today: Ottomans used the Western (AD) calendar (1899).   Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Lindy: Progress means change, but not too fast. Permalink 3:24 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Catalunya. Permalink 2:22 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Never argue w/ pple on twitter. Expose people’s arguments for others to see. More generally, you argue with the audience, not the person.   Permalink 12:21 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb A function in Mathematica to get the [a]-Mean (mean across all permutations); helps w/ Miurhead’s ineq & other uses of a generalized mean. Permalink 12:05 PM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Where is Orwell? Replaced by monoculture-promoting, reputation-minded, pseudoleftist wusses. Wusses.   Permalink 5:46 AM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb Where is Orwell? Replaced by monoculture-promoting, reputation-minded, pseudoleftist wusses. Wusses.   Permalink 5:46 AM – 1 Oct 2017

@PZalloua 2-Sunset over temples of Astarte (left) and Baal Amon (right). Cadiz Permalink 2:50 AM – 1 Oct 2017

@nntaleb This holds largely for EastMed and partly for WestMeds. Permalink 1:33 PM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Population Genetics du Jour: If Armenians/Georgians/Iranians(N)/Anatolians/Kurds look Mediterranean, it’s because Meds originate from there. Permalink 12:54 PM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb In academia, there is no difference between academia & the real world. In the real world, there is. (inspired by Yogi Berra)   Permalink 11:32 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Dear Dr T, Someone sent me an article in which you wrote [some insult] abt me” Translation: “I googled my name & found your mentioning me” Permalink 11:29 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Privatized” homeland security, if you want to see it that way.   Permalink 9:20 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb A new challenge. Initial from @erugli , @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 4:30 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The skin in the game (symmetry) Q is: Would you like your daughter to appear in Playboy? If so, then do the interview. Otherwise, shut up Permalink 3:15 AM – 30 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Partial list of interviewees… Two-faced “left” intellectuals using a vehicle demeaning to women for own self-promotion. Permalink 11:43 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@maircomm And a former colleague, a Hungarian: “The problem with Nassim Taleb is not that he’s an —hole. Nassim Taleb is an —hole. The problem with Nassim Taleb is that he is right.” Permalink 7:13 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Kunihiko Chikaya’s Inequality   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:08 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@nntaleb An “interview” in Playboy is the equivalent of putting a prayer room in the middle of a bordello, w/the excuse that it attracts worshippers. Permalink 5:14 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Genetic Literacy Project is a Monsanto mouthpiece meant to smear scientists who disagree. Should NEVER be relied upon. Gabish? Permalink 3:12 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Nice to wake up to such great news. Delenda Monsanto! Euro Parliament decide to bar Monsanto lobbyists   via @FT Permalink 2:47 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@DirkAntonvM If there is only one article you want to read this Fall, let it be this one. It explains so much of the turmoil around the world.   Permalink 2:41 AM – 29 Sep 2017

@AJA_Cortes People with muscular necks don’t get fucked with Permalink 3:53 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So, Mary Beard, with all this career bloviating in books you can’t tell the difference between DESCRIPTIVE & NORMATIVE? Permalink 2:48 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@SwaidanCeline Ohhhhh pleasseee: عُقْد: necklace. عِِقد: decade. عَقْد: contract. عَقَدَ: held. عَقَّدَ: complicated. عُقَدْ: knots.   Permalink 1:15 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mary Beard ou are hinting that I stand AGAINST equality? You keep proving you are intellectualy DISHONEST, insecure, and a BS artist. Permalink 1:06 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Replace “religion police” in this NYT Op-Ed about what happened to @AkyolinEnglish by “thought police” & notice there is NO difference.   Permalink 12:58 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb What “humble” brag? There is nothing humble about me and I do NOT hide it. Gabish? Permalink 12:37 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Was told it was the most impactful & most read interview on the planet. Many “serious” authors did it: Nabokov, Mailer, Moravia, Rand… Permalink 12:24 PM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Playboy. I can proudly say that the Playboy Interview is the first interview I ever declined, when I was invited in 2008. Permalink 11:50 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@sprenten Only about 5 people read this tweet and understand it was made to make you think and not to confirm a bias! Permalink 11:42 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tax plan: if passed, will it be retro-effective for 2017 (as was Reagan’s)? Permalink 10:05 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@DeadLiftCapital just as de Tocqueville described Permalink 6:45 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Not just Byzantine, though. The DNA of the Koura, shows some Krusader genes. Mountains nearby: Armenian genes (Mardaitis) @PZalloua Permalink 6:41 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb IYI: “He has mentioned quantum mechanics at least twice in the past 5 years in conversations that had nothing to do w/physics.” Chap 6 ,SITG   Permalink 6:33 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Those who have equal rights today are complaining much, much more than when they didn’t have them. Permalink 6:06 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The old technique is that if your target has thick skin/f*** you money, attack pple close to him.   Permalink 5:52 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Dear friends, Someone anonymous I’ve blocked are targeting gents I interract w/ & harrass them. I suggest blocking & reporting to twitter. Permalink 5:25 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Only 5000 years gap between Syria and Saudi Barbaria.   Permalink 4:13 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule   Permalink 4:07 AM – 28 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Here’s I put it up. Thank you   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:04 PM – 27 Sep 2017

@HenricsonJacob Thrilled to be joining @nntaleb and friends for Real World Risk workshop in November. #MakeRiskRealAgain Permalink 12:20 PM – 27 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A simple inequality with exponents in two variables   #FigureThat #math #algebra #inequality ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:51 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The Koura valley stayed off and on Byzantine for a while.   Permalink 7:22 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@nntaleb A footnote on associated accusations of “sectarianism” Permalink 6:22 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Final Devaluation of “Racism”: Arabs/Turks accuse Kurds of “racism” for wanting their own state Kurds accuse them of “racism” for opposing Permalink 5:41 AM – 27 Sep 2017

@JudicialWatch The FBI collaborated w/ the IRS in the IRS scandal. The IRS Commish should be removed from office. Learn more here:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 2:45 PM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Isocrates: Treat other states the way you’d like to by treated by them. Silver Rule is the foundation of modern society. Apply to states. Permalink 11:58 AM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1918: Woodrow Wilson’s doctrine of self determination. 2017: US/EU Position on Kurdistan driven by oil interests. Permalink 11:34 AM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The only way to undertand how something works is by figuring out how to break it.   Permalink 11:29 AM – 26 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Politico story does not report that Monsanto ghostwrote Helmut Greim paper on glyphostate.   Permalink 9:25 AM – 26 Sep 2017

Eric Weinstein, NYT, Education, Pippa Malgren, Palanga, Historians, Kurds, Monsanto | Twitter

@mikeandallie @nntaleb recommended this book 3 weeks ago. This chart in the beginning explains a puzzle I’ve wondered about in insurance for 15 years. Permalink 4:42 PM – 25 Sep 2017

@yaneerbaryam #AI: Using it and consequences for business risk & opportunity w/ @nntaleb @alex_pentland scholarships available:   Permalink 2:09 PM – 25 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Just a reminder that we’ve survived 13 centuries.   Permalink 8:10 AM – 25 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Byzantine hymns in Greek in Amioun yesterday. Permalink 6:13 AM – 25 Sep 2017

@FriedrichHayek Whatever you think of Taleb, he grabs on to core problems that others ignore or don’t see and shakes them like an attack dog on a leg.   Permalink 10:41 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@chelenki @nntaleb just about died laughing reading this review on #blackswan   Permalink 10:12 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am dumb when I don’t have skin in the game. Permalink 6:40 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@VanessaBeeley New York first responders connect to #AlQaeda, you know the group they think is behind 9/11. #World_gone_Mad @21WIRE @RenieriArts   Permalink 3:37 AM – 24 Sep 2017

@nntaleb And the Solid Eric Weinstein is misquoted in same NYT article. Anyone who cites the NYT has a pbm.   Permalink 3:00 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 2:49 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This GROSS misrepresentation by NYT is the reason I will not pre-release my book to them for reviews. They will have to buy it after publ.   Permalink 2:47 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb NYT misrepresents thesis as “biologically less capable of engineering.” NYT has pbms in reading comprehension!!!   Permalink 2:36 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Fact checking something for the book. Do royals have to take more risks during war? Permalink 1:42 PM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The picture in the thread is at Heathrow. U.K. raises tons of cash by marketing to label- conscious Gucci- wearing rich foreigners w/kids. Permalink 5:36 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb What I mean by “education” is the current institutional framework. It bears less & less resemblance to its historical antecedents. Permalink 5:24 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Education needs to KEEP proving itself. Permalink 4:43 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No. Education was, at some point great, fast becoming rent-seeking for a group of parasites IYIs who indoctrinate our youths. Permalink 4:41 AM – 23 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Observe the variability between individuals > variability in age (distrib of age). The same applies to mental sharpness.   Permalink 4:32 PM – 22 Sep 2017

@andrejpwalker Any Conservative who had put 40,000 (mostly) immigrant workers on the dole in one pen stroke would’ve been RUINED for it. #Uber @SadiqKhan Permalink 2:03 PM – 22 Sep 2017

@johnabarnes32 Editing a @nntaleb aphorism: don’t take someone’s book recommendation seriously unless he’s read it twice. Permalink 9:57 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Minority rule in action. One Polish, one Lithuanian, one Latvian, 3 neighboring countries, conversing in English. (With permission). Permalink 8:52 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that the book is finished (sort of), I can do probability for entertainment. Permalink 7:30 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@thackerpd .@dannyhakim story on #Monsanto & dicamba link to this video looking at #dicamba impacts across America   Permalink 7:01 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@DineshDSouza This reads like a parody but apparently isn’t–they’re even more crooked than we thought   Permalink 6:16 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “Dr” please show me a SINGLE paper by historians not misestimating violence. A single one will do. Tawkers… Permalink 4:39 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Curious #mahfact   Permalink 4:30 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Abandoned swimming pool. Permalink 4:23 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tourism: visiting abandoned Soviet structures in Lithuania. #Realworld tourism. Permalink 3:53 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Pippa Malgren @DrPippaM took a break from signing, so I signed a few of her books. Permalink 3:05 AM – 22 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This link between Marathon and “saving” Western Civilization is what I call overfitting. History is largely bullshitters.   Permalink 5:36 PM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1) The strategy of Monsanto-funded smear campaigners like Dietwald Claus is to wait for someone to attack someone then come in w/remarks. Permalink 12:01 PM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I know, calling “idiot” someone who is not an MD & reads archives for a living, yet has “Dr” in his twitter handle would hurrrrrrrrrrrrrt. Permalink 9:02 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another idiot who probably overfits without knowing it is a bad thing.   Permalink 8:33 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I actually mean historians are worse: they don’t understand what “overfitting” means & think by doing it they are “sophisticated”. Permalink 8:14 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Thalassa! After a long walk in the pine forest, the Baltic Sea. Permalink 6:06 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Pullman is a bullshit vendor, so you need to help him out a bit. Permalink 5:23 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb #Antifragile   Permalink 4:55 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb And if historians keep saying “no, we don’t overfit”, answer: well… yes you do overfit & don’t know it.   Permalink 3:19 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Can someone answer that idiot?   Permalink 2:43 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Palanga, Lithuania. About to start my lektchur. Permalink 12:59 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Typical overfitting by…historians. This was written before.   Permalink 12:38 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Why are you so dishonest as to validate my point abt historians? Answer THIS:   Permalink 12:27 AM – 21 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another ignorant-ignorant of their ignorance:@carolinepennock Permalink 11:52 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The remarkable ability of people of being so ignorant as to not understand the charges of ignorance levelled at them   Permalink 11:47 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Even better, wait 1 week minimum before answering nonimmediate mail. Best is 1 month.   Permalink 11:08 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Our synthesis of pbm w/historiography. Another one on misestimations on the way. @BenedictEvans is an idiot.   Permalink 11:01 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Benedict Evans @BenedictEvans is an imbecile who just throws words without knowing what he is talking about.   Permalink 10:58 PM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Give someone an inch, they will ask for a mile. Permalink 6:59 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb After the Kurds (eventually) get their state, you can imagine a breakup of Turkey.   Permalink 6:13 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When you want a fool to teach your children how to NOT think, Monbiot works well. Permalink 5:10 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@GuruAnaerobic I think this qualifies as one of @nntaleb’s “literalists”.   Permalink 5:02 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@byzantinepower Don’t claim to be “woke” if u haven’t got this book #Byzantium Permalink 4:57 AM – 20 Sep 2017

@nntaleb They also teach them to lie.   Permalink 4:10 PM – 19 Sep 2017

@francispouliot_ Thanks to @nntaleb and @EconTalker for inspiring this essay on emergent order and antifragility. Thanks Bitcoin ecosystem for making it real   Permalink 11:29 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is something common to modern “liberal” and Sunni-Salafi education: They teach students answers rather than how to ask questions. Permalink 9:13 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@garyruskin How #Monsanto Manufactured ‘Outrage’ at #Glyphosate Cancer Classification It Expected   by @careygillam @USRightToKnow Permalink 8:40 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Lecturing on catastrophic/tail risks in Bermuda. When in Rome… Permalink 4:37 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The problem of SJW, universalists, globalists, Islamists, neo-atheists, and modernists is that they take everything, every word) literally. Permalink 3:05 AM – 19 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The point is not that @peterdaou has the IQ of a cauliflower. It’s that the press is 1) a monoculture, 2) dying a slow but certain death.   Permalink 3:40 PM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Copy editors are English majors victims of thought police… One wanted to change “American-style Options” to “U.S.-style” as more PC. Permalink 10:58 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@martyrmade As @johnrobb points out, this cartoon is no analogy for political/financial/journalism experts because pilots have skin in the game @nntaleb Permalink 10:44 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Corrected. I tend to post on twitter without even rereading. Permalink 5:51 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Organization of the book. Permalink 5:41 AM – 18 Sep 2017

@sentantiq “When the government is at its most corrupt, the more laws [there are].” corruptissima re publica plurimae leges #Tacitus Permalink 4:14 PM – 17 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Classical misestimation and biases by historians: history is anecdotes + BS + hearsay+ occasional truths…   Permalink 5:31 AM – 17 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Fiction vs Nonfiction, go with fiction.   Permalink 5:21 AM – 17 Sep 2017

@turlevnon #syriac_calendar Permalink 10:35 PM – 16 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am adding this to Skin In the Game. Anyone knows a good translator of TEX into Word? Permalink 3:06 PM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The highest compliment. But I wonder which group I personally fall into.   Permalink 2:45 PM – 15 Sep 2017

@pauld1981 Symmetry you’re poor: they can corrupt u by giving you money -cheap you’re rich: they can corrupt u by not confiscating your money -cheaper Permalink 11:55 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that the book is done: Writing is 95% walking, 5% sitting. Mathematics is 95% sitting, 5% walking. Permalink 10:41 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@ThalesLives Ever since reading @nntaleb’s books and articles, my bullshit detector has been much improved. If you haven’t read his work yet, do so. Permalink 10:10 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friday Follow: @CutTheKnotMath for mathematical brainteasers. Like finding a parking spot in NY, never easy, never impossible #TwitterMath   Permalink 8:41 AM – 15 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Little by little, a file on the behavior of MSM w/r to Syria is being built.   Permalink 1:47 PM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friends, any translation of this (tarqtu’l khalqa tarran…)? Thanks Permalink 11:02 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@philipbstark 1/ Probs w #GMO crops not just farm practices & herbicides:   .@nntaleb .@bittman .@UCBerkeleyFood @michaelpollan Permalink 8:42 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@Biixi001 Can U believe!? NewYorker just outed @nntaleb – not just flaneuring/chasing lost wisdom&IYIs, also taking care of lost property in Paris Permalink 8:00 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life Permalink 7:41 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So Mr Makram Rabah, pls explain why your work should be read when: You (willfully) mislabel You fabricate facts You lie on your resumé Permalink 5:14 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This expression @ektrit you seem to attribute to Saint Morcos of Ephesus. True? Permalink 4:13 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Historians focus on the lurid and discount absence of evidence, with huge distortions in accounts. Permalink 3:43 AM – 14 Sep 2017

@DavidDuPouy Antifragile is BIG in Japan @nntaleb Permalink 5:12 PM – 13 Sep 2017

Rabah, Minority Rule, Tesla, Fake Squid Ink, Start a Business, Tracy Alloway, UK Thought Police, Sarsour, Monbiot | Twitter

@nntaleb Done! Changed subtitle again. Now copyediting & fight with copyeditors… Permalink 3:03 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rabah, it seems isn’t just fabricating w/events but faking his resumé. Are others in the chain s.a. @jobahout @BenteScheller also liars? Permalink 1:42 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rabah, he who lies once is unreliable. Looks like you also misrepresenting your position? Are you a “professor”?   Permalink 1:22 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb G., we know Mr Rabah is tot. unreliable, even lunatic. Make the house of cards collapse w/those using him as source.   Permalink 1:06 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Rabah,consider in replies that followers are v. intelligent &detect your unreliability in the chain of Syria news   Permalink 12:39 PM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb From SITG Permalink 11:39 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Another “policy” fellow, Joseph Bahout @jobahout (whom I’ve met) at, of all places @CarnegieEndow disseminating from same dubious source. Permalink 8:12 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb To show you how messed up our information flow on Syria, see this “policy” specialist @BenteScheller citing a liar. Permalink 7:47 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that I am done with Mr Makram Rabah (see thread above) beware that his posts and journalism are read as source on the Syrian situation. Permalink 7:03 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Now that I am done with Mr Makram Rabah (see thread above) beware that his posts and journalism are read as source on the Syrian situation. Permalink 7:03 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr Makram Rabah, pls explain why your journalism shd be read when: 1) You misdefine terms, mislabel & don’t care 2) You make up facts Permalink 6:37 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb To assess you need to compare # killed while on autopilot vs # killed w/o autopilot, not just look at one single lurid case.   Permalink 6:29 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah, my participation in the UAE literary festival was pro-bono. Why are you lying about $$? Why are you a Liar? Liar. Permalink 6:15 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah, why does your inability to define terms makes you LIE about “Gulf money”? Can you show evidence of $$? Why are you lying? Permalink 6:11 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Scary if true. Looks like it is true.   Permalink 5:22 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah are you aware that random labels do not constitute an explanation of why you misdefine very elementary terms? Permalink 4:31 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah you are throwing more random labels to explain the misuse of a label. Can you write down a simple expl., as in 6th grade? Permalink 4:24 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah you are not explaining why one shd heed someone like you or @iyad_elbaghdadi soooo ignorant to misdefine elementary terms. Permalink 4:16 AM – 13 Sep 2017

@nntaleb So Mr @makramrabah if you mislabel something so elementary, why should anyone read your other crap? Please explain. Permalink 1:49 PM – 12 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mr @makramrabah, racism is imparting skills to a race, not studying population migrations. Are all Syrian rebels as ignorant as you? Permalink 1:18 PM – 12 Sep 2017

@RogueRad Why I think doctors should read books by @nntaleb   cc @drjohnm Permalink 10:34 AM – 12 Sep 2017

@nntaleb If you reject unfounded blame, you must also reject unjustified praise. Permalink 8:53 AM – 12 Sep 2017

@RandPaul Where is the anti-war left demanding the wars end? Where is the constitional conservative right demanding Congress reclaim its war powers? Permalink 4:25 PM – 11 Sep 2017

@nntaleb On my way   Permalink 12:31 PM – 11 Sep 2017

@nntaleb My take Permalink 4:57 AM – 11 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Probability Brain Teaser du Jour. cc:@mikeandallie ,@LorenzoWVilla , @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 4:27 AM – 11 Sep 2017

@SameeraKhan While we mourn the lives lost 16 yrs ago today, we should also remind ourselves of this gem. Stop funding, arming, & glorifying terrorists. Permalink 2:39 AM – 11 Sep 2017

@ThomasSowell Quote from Black Rednecks & White Liberals:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 10:03 AM – 10 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When the beard is black, take the reasoning, ignore conclusions. When gray, take both reasoning & conclusions. When white, just conclusions. Permalink 8:18 AM – 10 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Someone in population genetics wd detect the J2 haplogroup, the “Med” gene. I suspect the J2a subclade, coatal (Greco-Phoenician-Roman Army) Permalink 5:11 AM – 10 Sep 2017

@nntaleb My kind of party. Mare Nostrum.   Permalink 7:32 PM – 9 Sep 2017

@HarryDCrane Full slate for this year’s Foundations of #Probability seminar starting Mon with @nntaleb — Central problems with probability Permalink 9:32 AM – 9 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Above & below shd explain why recent paper on 1200+ genes determining intelligence is utter BS cc:@charlesmurray   Permalink 6:02 AM – 9 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friends, added an Appendix to the minority rule. For comments. Is it easy to grasp? Permalink 5:31 AM – 9 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 6) You can do history but one needs to qualify conclusions & exclude some class of statements. Permalink 8:19 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 4) Historians have no clue about survivorship bias, so they mistake visible properties for properties. 5) Historians ignore asymmetries. Permalink 8:18 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Historians mistake an upper/lower bound for an absolute date. For instance “earliest settlement found” for earliest settlement” Permalink 7:53 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Practically all data prior to the first war are suspicious. Permalink 7:47 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb War data are pulled out of the hat. Historians are only reliable for (some) anecdotes. Or as we saw with Mary Beard, good at bu***tting.   Permalink 7:14 AM – 8 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This fraudster Julie Gunlock starts from the basis that anti-GMO is anti-science. Not just clueless but dangerous.   Permalink 6:39 PM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No, wuss! It’s unethical.They will do it to others Select a random few(5) who made false claims,make their lives miserable for 1y Never stop   Permalink 6:30 PM – 7 Sep 2017

@NoArtInPolitics Headline sounds like something @nntaleb might say   Permalink 4:29 PM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Clear evidence of (statistical) bias Can be attributed to 1) NYT doctors up the list, 2) NYT overweighs cappuccino & latte bookstores.   Permalink 11:11 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Mechanical skills matter less interpreted as Germans have no mechamical skills. In Fooled by Randomness: there is randomness -> itsallrandom Permalink 10:09 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb For a chief investment officer, Mark Yusko makes a 6-year old misinterpretation. Is this typical or an outlier?   Permalink 10:06 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@iMetaldog ex ancillary parts for proper engine functionality there are smaller # of moving part in EM v ICE tho not apple to apple comp to begin with! Permalink 9:30 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Expertise in roulette gambling requires much more probability than carpentry; Pop genetics require much more probability than biology! Permalink 7:22 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Announcement. For personal reasons, we had to move the Real World Risk 6 to November 13.   Permalink 6:52 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Have you visited a gas station “when power is down everywhere”?   Permalink 5:45 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Tesla is computer w/wheels,~5% of moving parts of BMW Mechanical expertise is archaic. I’ve rarely seen softw/hardware designed in Europe.   Permalink 5:14 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Show this to your journo friends (if any) to avoid @tracyalloway’s conflation of “criticism” & strawman deformation   Permalink 4:41 AM – 7 Sep 2017

@alacunha Have you tried this? Choquinhos com tinta. Baby sepia cooked in ink. Typical of algarve. You have to go there for the real deal Permalink 5:51 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This is real squid ink, tonight. Permalink 4:44 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Last thing we need to hear is French are Meds. They are Reverse-Meds. Only Meds in S. parts that spoke no French (Provencal, Nicois, etc.) Permalink 2:15 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is a discussion of taboos against mixing fish and cheese in Med. I am still confused.   Permalink 2:11 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb My kind of lecture.   Permalink 1:39 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No, no, no, no. Never, never any cheese on Med with fish products. You get deported from Sicily/Calabria (if you are lucky).   Permalink 1:27 PM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Those who believe clmate chnge is real Those who explain everything by CC Those for whom policies shdbe precautionary whether CC real or not Permalink 10:27 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1-Occupations in which one is more dependent on opinion of colleagues than end users or axiomatic base (math) end up rotting. (#SummarySITG) Permalink 7:12 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb 1-Occupations in which one is more dependent on opinion of colleagues than end users degrades. ex: journalism, bureaucr, (#SummarySITG) Permalink 7:06 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Zeus appreciated my sacrifices; is making my wish come true that MSM self-destructs. He invented @kurteichenwald to accelerate the process. Permalink 6:19 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@DemosKypros Istanbul pogroms against the Greeks – 6-7 September ’55 #Greece #Turkey #History   Permalink 6:03 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@HaroonChowdry We need clearer language to help distinguish. “Squid ink pasta” (i.e. squid ink in the pasta dough) vs. “pasta w/ squid ink sauce” Permalink 5:59 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Alert: This is fake squid ink (colored pasta). Real squid ink leaves stain marks on the dish.   Permalink 4:49 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Will @kurteichenwald’s climate change “math” also prove a Trump-Russian conspiracy as is; or does it need additional variables?   Permalink 4:18 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@nntaleb The whole point is that this is not “criticism”. Strawman is NOT criticism. Permalink 3:55 AM – 6 Sep 2017

@Wataizo This Eichenwald character better hope @nntaleb doesn’t get a hold of him   Permalink 1:12 PM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Certainly @tracyalloway needs a straightforward lesson on the difference between news and fake news.   Permalink 12:54 PM – 5 Sep 2017

@ArgaizR New paper @Cell_Metabolism. Beautiful example of anti-fragility. Volatility yields the best results! @nntaleb Permalink 11:12 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb How @tracyalloway rigs her vote   Permalink 7:52 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb There is more substance/rigor in every line of the INCERTO than what journo @tracyalloway has written all her life   Permalink 7:21 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb +Got rich FROM politics +Helped crony capitalism +… Permalink 6:46 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb +Gave Wall Street the largest bonus pool in history in 2010 +Fought Skin in the Game rules +Fueled Identity Politics +Fed the IYI class Permalink 6:44 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb +Helped AlQaeda/extinction of NE Christians +Tried to destroy federalism +Let IYI bureaucrats “nudge” citizens +Overall enemy of liberty   Permalink 6:30 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Which is why I am calling Ron Paul, “A Roman among Greeks”. (a Pun on dedication of TBS to Benoit Mandelbrot:”A Greek among Romans”) Permalink 5:53 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb For ergodicity and wealth, see this   Which is whatIwantedtotalktoyouabout Permalink 5:43 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb I am shuttling from Leb to NY for my Tuesday class. Today is my 1rst lecture on Fat Tails.   Permalink 5:01 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb “The Romans judged their political system by asking not whether it made sense but whether it worked.” The clear minded @holland_tom Permalink 4:27 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Some idiot (finance prof) was arguing “had Trump invested his inheritance in market…” No, investors != market!   Permalink 4:17 AM – 5 Sep 2017

@nntaleb No, do not join an NGO to save the world. Just take risks, start a business.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:32 AM – 4 Sep 2017

@nntaleb BS vendor @JeffDSachs tweeting to me a narrative betw. Houston flood & Texas climate policy. Economists have a severe difficulty with rigor. Permalink 5:52 AM – 4 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Connecting in an airport lounge in Morocco. Only way I get privacy on phone is speaking in Lebanese dialect. Nobody seems to understand it. Permalink 5:06 AM – 3 Sep 2017

@bjmdolal @nntaleb only person I can think of that this applies to.   Permalink 7:10 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb This guy gets it. The value of the lawsuit is in the information you can get out of it. As with the Monsanto papers.   Permalink 4:02 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Meanwhile my fight ag the UK thought police: I keep insulting them; they tried & tried & tried & failed to stop me,   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 3:58 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Nothing sad about it. Lawsuits are the ONLY defense mechanism for the individual against powerful groups. Thank you, American legal system!   Permalink 3:39 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb You need tail events for the revelation of elementary properties. Visibly only the store knew that people didn’t eat vegan.   Permalink 2:06 PM – 2 Sep 2017

@AD_WHITMAN Roll your big a** down to Venezuela for a year. Come back and tell me how the #VenezuelaDiet (starving due to socialism) worked out for you. Permalink 10:22 AM – 2 Sep 2017

@VergilDen “Not everything happens for a reason but everything that survives, survives for a reason” NNT Permalink 10:11 AM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Exccccccccellent question. Lindy being a noise filtering mechanism lowers every year the probability of spurious survival.   Permalink 8:52 AM – 2 Sep 2017

@nntaleb People were not getting that the (alleged) food costs savings by GMOs (at huge risks) were DWARFED by more efficient food distribution. Permalink 7:39 PM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Bezos got that distrib =up to 83% food costs. Focus on distr, not risky “tech” product. Organic cheaper, GMO dead.   Permalink 7:32 PM – 1 Sep 2017

@GuruAnaerobic “No BS Trader” @nntaleb vs IYI academic, BBC luvvie, “diversity”, imbecillo-bullshito-classico Permalink 8:04 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Friday Semitic Philology. RE @lsarsour: Sarsour means “pimp” in mod. Hebrew frm Aramaic סַרְסוּר (with a Samekh), Cricket with a Tsadeh. Permalink 7:16 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb When someone makes an announcement saying “I have a great relationship with my wife”, you know a divorce is getting close.   Permalink 6:50 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@nntaleb Sarsour means cockroach in Arabic. It is very, very unfair to cockroaches.   Permalink 5:22 AM – 1 Sep 2017

@normonics Classic @nntaleb Permalink 6:26 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb We think alike on this @rorysutherland Permalink 6:16 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I like to buy products made by egomaniac people. Or, at least people called arrogant. Permalink 6:11 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb 13 Coffee Shops Around Phoenicia That Will Charm You   via @BeirutCityGuide Permalink 4:58 PM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Some marketing/framing savvy pple figured out that the most effective way to build a fascist movement is to call it: antifascist. Permalink 1:08 AM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Problem w/academic parasites isn’t just disconnect from the real world; it’s their lack of awareness of it. #SkinInTheGame   Permalink 12:48 AM – 31 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Now if I called Monbiot an idiot, it is because of his promoting AlQaeda propaganda abt the Syrian war & fake stories abt Aleppo. Permalink 8:35 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb My idea is to WORRY about our actions on climate out of PRECAUTION, not systematically attribute events to it. @yaneerbaryam Permalink 6:31 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb From Silent Risk: the Lucretius problem. People don’t realize that systems deliver new maxima. Permalink 5:48 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Point is that idiots like @GeorgeMonbiot are attributing Houston floods to Climate Change, rather than bad understanding of tail probability Permalink 4:59 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Think tanks are natural lobbies w/a facade of “research” Their cover allows them to censor dissent from monoculture   Permalink 4:43 AM – 30 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Nero di seppia ( spaghetti con farro) Permalink 5:39 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Chapters frm nxt book If the author doesn’t surprise the reader w/something every few pages, books & authors die   Permalink 3:28 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb When people talk about 500 y floods or 100 year rain, they are klueless abt tail distribution. The empirical distribution is NOT empirical! Permalink 1:40 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb I have never read #Antifragile under olive trees. I will try next week.   Permalink 12:31 PM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Another benefit of Brexit seen 5 years ago in Antifragile   Permalink 11:35 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb No, and it is not a violation of the First Am. if I block people like you who tweet stupid things to me; private workspace != public. Permalink 6:54 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Freedom of Expression is a central UNCONDITIONAL symmetry: You are allowed speech if I am allowed speech Permalink 6:18 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Main MARKER for group to be fascist-shmascist-smthng_ist regardless of what they call themselves left/right/diagonal: Public Expression Permalink 5:51 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The very idea of freedom of expression is to allow someone to tell others things they do not like to hear. Permalink 5:24 AM – 29 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In other words, see the surviving population after n generations, here 21 & compare to common processes. Permalink 6:15 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Trying to dabble w/population genetics under fat tails! So far, some intuitions. Some work for us, @DrCirillo cc: @PZalloua Permalink 6:12 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Free speech is so robust intellectually that arguments to try to suspend it are inconsistent w/one another & the rest of the corpus.   Permalink 2:10 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb E bella la lingua italiana: “Chi troppo in alto sal cade sovente precipitevolissimevolmente” Permalink 12:51 PM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Letting someone w a razor is a sign of trust. Permalink 7:09 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Kalabrez’ lesson facima a barba curazol’ Permalink 7:07 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This problem came out of the statement (as generalization) that: P/E ratio of the market != weighted average P/E ratio of ind companies.   Permalink 5:43 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Journalist Interrogated, Fired For Story Linking CIA And Syria Weapons Flights | Zero Hedge   Permalink 5:23 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb “…nec alte cadere nec graviter potest” Publilius Permalink 5:20 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@nntaleb If you want to punish an enemy, help put him on a pedestal. He will hurt himself falling from it. Permalink 4:57 AM – 28 Aug 2017

@JohnJSSoriano .@nntaleb has explained this well. Can’t make projection of worst case based on previous worst event. Wouldn’t have worked for prev event!   Permalink 7:05 PM – 27 Aug 2017

@nntaleb   Permalink 2:37 PM – 27 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Added to The Logic of Risk Taking. People w skin in the game who take risks don’t like tail risk.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 7:35 AM – 27 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Explains that such probability-risk experiments assume the person will never take risks again.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:17 PM – 26 Aug 2017

@obradovits1 @nntaleb ‘s def of ergodicity is consistent with what I lrnt during my pstgrad stdies. However, @nntaleb provides a new way to thnk. abt it.   Permalink 11:31 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb This imbecile is digging deeper, using a …1928 def. Mr Ma cKenzie go back to doing what you do and let other people on twitter work. Permalink 11:11 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb The sign of a failed academic is referring to his “thesis” as contribution. Perhaps @ole_b_peters can answer you what is meant by ergodicity Permalink 10:22 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@ole_b_peters Spot-on. Meaningless experiments. Insurance benefits buyer and seller over time, not across the ensemble.   Permalink 9:58 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In which a Microsoft person bull***ts abt work he never read & concepts he knows nothing abt.   Permalink 9:52 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb Corrected mistakes. (Cutting through the BS in social science) Permalink 9:01 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb In other words: risk aversion is what is needed to make things ergodic.   Permalink 8:55 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb “Risk Aversion” is fictional nonsense to employ psychologists.   ” target=”_blank”>″> Permalink 8:54 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@nntaleb LOCALISM “At Fed level, libertarian; state, Republican; local, Democrat; family/friends, socialist.” @geoffreydgraham citing broth. Vincent. Permalink 8:06 AM – 26 Aug 2017

@mikeandallie A algebra / geometry project for kids inspired by @nntaleb and @CutTheKnotMath :   #math #mathchat cc: @KelseyAHE Permalink 6:21 AM – 26 Aug 2017

The Logic of Risk Taking | Medium

The Logic of Risk Taking

Consider the following thought experiment.

First case, one hundred persons go to a Casino, to gamble a certain set amount each and have complimentary gin and tonic –as shown in the cartoon in Figure x. Some may lose, some may win, and we can infer at the end of the day what the “edge” is, that is, calculate the returns simply by counting the money left with the people who return. We can thus figure out if the casino is properly pricing the odds. Now assume that gambler number 28 goes bust. Will gambler number 29 be affected? No.

Something Neither Antisemitic Nordic Supremacists Nor Arab Nationalists Will Like | Medium

Something Neither Antisemitic Nordic Supremacists Nor Arab Nationalists Will Like

Something Hitler Would Not Have Liked

Although White Supremacists like to be antisemitic, here is something Hitler would have hated: Ancient Greeks were genetically as close to Ancient Levantines as they were to the so called “Aryans”. It just happened that Ancient Greeks spoke an Indo-European language while Ancient Levantines spoke a Semitic one.