Monthly Archives: March 2017

Economists, Fake News, Turkish Lira, IQ, MY Planet, Kapish, Grandmothers, Neo-Stalinism, Umberto Eco’s Library | Twitter

@nntaleb Terms for the heinous s.a. “Nazi”,”racist”,”Hitler” get debased/corrupted over time,similar to the historical debasement of coins/currencies Permalink 12:35 PM – 13 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Added paragraph on how in Mediterranean news circulates through gatherings: mostly funerals.https://medium.com/incerto/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2#.k66ii4azv   Permalink 7:56 AM – 13 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I will from now on call economists “the wrongest profession”, w/attribution. @schmittpaula Permalink 7:44 AM – 13 Mar 2017

@nntaleb An illustration of how economists market the idea that if you do not believe in their unscientific BS, you are against “knowledge”.https://twitter.com/Aligarciaherrer/status/841091830427074560   Permalink 6:21 AM – 13 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Thing I learned today. From this sign: 1) Georgian script is written left to right. 2) Unlike Semitic scr it has explicit vowels. pic.twitter.com/Xj4z9oBjHE Permalink 1:57 PM – 12 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I just published “The Facts are True, the News is Fake”https://medium.com/p/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2   Permalink 10:48 AM – 12 Mar 2017

@nntaleb For your book to be read in 20y, make sure content is 1) important for people today, 2) was also important 20 y ago. #Lindy @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 8:53 AM – 12 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The continuous & severe secular devaluation of the Turkish lira (USD-TRL) maps one-to-one to the devaluation of the terms “nazi” & “fascist” Permalink 6:16 AM – 12 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Nothing.https://twitter.com/NinjaEconomics/status/840797531479015427   Permalink 5:57 AM – 12 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The argument is that they know they can be harmed by price fixing as they may lose a job/ not get one. @spencerrs34 Permalink 6:22 PM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 2) Those affected by a minimum wage are those who earn currently below it and risk losing a job. Markets are Markets. Permalink 3:52 PM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the Game: Let the unemployed & those earning below some threshold decide on minimum wage, not some virtue signaling bureaucrat. Permalink 3:46 PM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 8) One has to unlearn comparing probabilistic situations w/functions using “average” except under mean-field #Antifragile & @yaneerbaryam Permalink 11:56 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@mikeandallie A math exploration via an interesting integral posted by Nassim Taleb: https://mikesmathpage.wordpress.com/2017/03/11/a-math-exploration-via-an-interesting-integral-from-nassim-taleb/   #math #mathchat cc: @nntaleb Permalink 7:28 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Mr Josh Barro, @jbarro do you have any other expertise than selling BS? Permalink 7:10 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 7) I put “IQ” in “” as I don’t believe that measured IQ includes ability to tinker aggressively, real IQ for me. #GreenLumber #AntiFragile Permalink 7:04 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 6) A more technical discussion from scratchpad: Why the Tail is a different business, the more we go in the tails, the less the mean counts. pic.twitter.com/ufvpkJmEGL Permalink 6:43 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 5) In fact I simplified a bit. Popul. success depends on distribution of tails, Extr. Value Distribution. Discussed in book w/ @DrCirillo Permalink 6:28 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 4) This threshold phenomena is NECESSARY in the presence of winner-take-all in scientific & economic success (s. a. Pareto 80/20). Permalink 6:21 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 3) I wd fight w/baseball bat for @charlesmurray ‘s right of speech, but this central flaw was missed by his idiotic detractors. #middleburry Permalink 6:18 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 2) This in short explains why linking IQ to success for populations is total nonsense in the presence of nonlinearity. pic.twitter.com/sMeLFdWWlx Permalink 6:16 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 1) Assuming “IQ” helps success; the performance of a population would depend >>more on the variance than average. (convexity, #Antifragile) Permalink 6:09 AM – 11 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “First, do no harm” is Lindy-compatible (2500 y.o.) @normonics @GuruAnaerobic Permalink 3:20 PM – 10 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The libertarian version is to consider harm to the environment as harm against MY planet.http://www.theecologist.org/blogs_and_comments/commentators/2988742/apolloearth_a_wake_up_call_in_our_race_against_time.html   Permalink 9:00 AM – 10 Mar 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK.https://twitter.com/realistgrower/status/840027938162540544   Permalink 8:55 AM – 10 Mar 2017

@nntaleb For those into integration, a difficult integral.http://math.stackexchange.com/q/2180737/88078?stw=2   Permalink 7:45 AM – 10 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Electricians, barbers, gardeners, surgeons, tango dancers, are experts. Not economists. How do we know who’s expert?https://medium.com/incerto/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf#.bf46qtuzd   Permalink 5:53 AM – 10 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Who is still reading you, I may ask? @NoceraBV Permalink 6:37 PM – 9 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Pseudo-experts (pol “scientists”, econs, journos) are making our disrespect for charlatans look like disrespect for all expert. Stop them.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/839973967624458240   Permalink 6:31 PM – 9 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I will NEVER write for Foreign Affairs again. Imbeciles.https://twitter.com/ForeignAffairs/status/839966563209973761   Permalink 2:59 PM – 9 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Olive oil, etc. @startupdaemon Permalink 11:20 AM – 9 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Oddity du jour: Constantinople, unlike Rome (& Antioch, Alexandria,& Athens) doesn’t have a Mediterranean climate. Permalink 7:03 AM – 9 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The formal difference between press & propaganda is unconditional & indiscriminate detraction or unconditional & indiscriminate support. Permalink 5:40 AM – 9 Mar 2017

@NewAlbrecht Continuing parade of people seeking to correct @nntaleb’s spelling of capisce (Kapish) is fascinating. Permalink 1:45 PM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The rule is: Use “BUT” as a logical operator, not to seek protection from consequences of your opinion. Kapish? @learnfromerror Permalink 12:56 PM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Typical wussiness: “I do not support Trump, but…” “I support Obama, but…” “I don’t always agree w/this *egomaniac* Taleb, but…” Permalink 12:25 PM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 3) In Antifragile, I explain that if the condition is mild, IGNORE doctor (grandmother is to distract). If severe, go to doctor. @SawsaGa Permalink 6:36 AM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 2) In medicine & tech domains, there are grounds to ignore the grandmother. In what relates to human nature (psychology), Lindy. @SawsaGa Permalink 6:31 AM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 1) There is a bias: grandmothers’ iatrogenics are seen, not those of medicine. I will be making a tableau. @SawsaGa Permalink 6:30 AM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb So asking your grandmother beats these “scientists” any minute. Or Montaigne. Lindy explained in my link https://medium.com/incerto/an-expert-called-lindy-fdb30f146eaf#.h2ikeddwu  https://twitter.com/BrianNosek/status/838742797742190592   Permalink 5:39 AM – 6 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Nohttps://twitter.com/GTCost/status/838567117150535682   Permalink 6:12 PM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Anything people say before the “but” 1) doesn’t count, 2) is a sign of weakness & should be avoided in straightforward prose.https://twitter.com/PTetlock/status/838480429732806656   Permalink 12:12 PM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Pareto on the Intellectual Yet Idiots why they make bad rulers @Maximilian_H1 pic.twitter.com/GkzUxLj2u3 Permalink 8:32 AM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Added a comment explaining the Salafi danger to the Chapter on Asymmetries w Minorities https://medium.com/incerto/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15#.a0mrs2gq9   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/6YTPk6Omqk”>  pic.twitter.com/6YTPk6Omqk Permalink 8:03 AM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “Mis.” stand for “misattributed to”. What did you think it represented? @rsjanabasis Permalink 6:23 AM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb “I disapprove of what you say, but I will defend to death your RIGHT to say it”(mis.Voltaire) but if you use violence to repress MY right… Permalink 6:10 AM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Banko detected the common mistake by IYIs is to think that one cannot write original science in a nonacademic, literary format.https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/838264746222702592   Permalink 4:49 AM – 5 Mar 2017

@nntaleb The double imbecile Yglesias wants to repress @charlesmurray ‘s free speech w/violence then calls him Hitler. Double Imbecile. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/838099996461436930   Permalink 5:18 PM – 4 Mar 2017

@nntaleb They are looking at criminals… who were caught, no?https://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/838058140612493312   Permalink 9:09 AM – 4 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 2) These idiots from CNN didn’t get the point. pic.twitter.com/I1VTaTdK1Y Permalink 6:30 AM – 4 Mar 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Only The Rich Are Poisoned: The Preference of Others”https://medium.com/p/only-the-rich-are-poisoned-the-preference-of-others-c35ddf65cf68   Permalink 6:07 AM – 4 Mar 2017

@nntaleb There is no charm in becoming the establishment.https://twitter.com/TruthHawkLive/status/837945176605741057   Permalink 4:24 AM – 4 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Neo-Stalinism.https://twitter.com/charlesmurray/status/837675287445929984   Permalink 7:05 PM – 3 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Representation of the inequality @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/zDzvqiO9g5 Permalink 6:03 PM – 3 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Different angles: Proof that a picture is worth 1024 equations @CutTheKnotMath @Taitamco pic.twitter.com/UuUw1GAQZc Permalink 1:35 PM – 3 Mar 2017

@nntaleb My visit to Umberto Eco’s library. His library looked like a library, but he didn’t look like an author. https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52#.gy9xyrq0r   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/BqJaGP2DI5″>  pic.twitter.com/BqJaGP2DI5 Permalink 8:25 AM – 3 Mar 2017

Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons | Medium

Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons

Why? Simply the one who doesn’t look the part, conditional of having made a (sort of) successful career in his profession, had to have much to overcome in terms of perception. And if we are lucky enough to have people who do not look the part, it is thanks to the presence of some skin in the game, the contact with reality that filters out incompetence, as reality is blind to looks.

How economists should dress

Math, White Helmets, Election Forecasting, GW Bush, Kapish, John Gray, Kenneth Roth, Salafasism | Twitter

@nntaleb 3) Had anyone asked me if I met with a RUssian official, my answer would have been flatly “NO”. Permalink 3:37 PM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 2) He sat 3 seats down, partook of conversation but I didn’t focus on who he was. You only know when pple remind you of it (he just died) Permalink 3:22 PM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Meeting w/Russian Ambassadors w/o being aware: Just discovered I had dinner w/the late UN Russian amb in NY, Oct 24 w/o realizing. No plot. Permalink 3:20 PM – 2 Mar 2017

@mdvex This centralisation thing works wellhttps://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-finds-the-cause-of-its-aws-outage-a-typo-1488490506   Permalink 2:07 PM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Just added a chapter. For comments, thanks!https://medium.com/incerto/facta-non-verba-how-to-own-your-enemies-ea79a34c9c49#.rh7scb14m   Permalink 1:03 PM – 2 Mar 2017

@NECSI What is #fragility? via @nntaleb, who will teach our May program on Strategic Data Analytics w/ @yaneerbaryamhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UgS2feyXmWw   Permalink 12:56 PM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb It took me a while to realize you can’t convince economists; but we can work on the dismantlement of the DC economic machinery.https://twitter.com/robertwjordway/status/837366154771513348   Permalink 10:56 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb .@ottorosseforp @PZalloua To the contrary. Means STATISTICALLY “there is NO definition of Phoenician THAT matches tribes w/J1”. Kapish? Permalink 7:44 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Phenician expansion in Med, 1 mill BC did not export J1 gene, so there is evidence population was not Semitic. @ottorosseforp @PZalloua Permalink 6:36 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb J1 correlates with Semitic genes, does not equate with them. But absence indicates non-Semitic population @PZalloua Permalink 5:45 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb 1) Way to see our theory that Phoenicians, Assyrians & N Caananites were not Semites: J2, J2a (light Green) v/s J1 (dark Gr) @PZalloua pic.twitter.com/t9w3IYRByg Permalink 5:44 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb …and b****t is using a generic statement from some wisdom handbook that can apply indiscriminately to anything you don’t like.https://twitter.com/jcrowrva/status/837287115524288512   Permalink 5:06 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Are there other societies where the person on top is not a risk-taker? How about devoid of rituals? https://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52#.sw3giv10a   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/ejzH6u6wdA”>  pic.twitter.com/ejzH6u6wdA Permalink 4:32 AM – 2 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Skin in the game, almost finished pic.twitter.com/6sEm1JDeWg Permalink 6:13 PM – 1 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Mathematics and baldness.https://twitter.com/daniellerommel/status/837072594222227456   Permalink 3:29 PM – 1 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Fake news tricks: NYT distorts my words, making it look as if I (not them) made an association w/”shame”. @realDonaldTrump is right. pic.twitter.com/NlQc94Q4zC Permalink 7:20 AM – 1 Mar 2017

@nntaleb Adult Math olympiads @MoMath1 pic.twitter.com/Wymyi54AgV Permalink 6:41 PM – 28 Feb 2017

@nntaleb The clip summarizes my problem with scientism/GMO charlatanshttps://twitter.com/R3plicant1/status/836624440813223941   Permalink 10:43 AM – 28 Feb 2017

@nntaleb A quant/engineering approach. @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/hRPjkQXgq6 Permalink 7:11 AM – 28 Feb 2017

@nntaleb We should have special treatments/cures for neo-cons.https://twitter.com/Confusezeus/status/836584933552504832   Permalink 7:02 AM – 28 Feb 2017

@nntaleb The more you go into the tails, the less people & things should look like they way they should look likehttps://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52#.tyea44sb1   Permalink 6:37 AM – 28 Feb 2017

@nntaleb MSM = propaganda; Insult to 9/11 victims.They are wittingly/un promoting White Helmets in spite of evidence it is AlQaeda cover w/Saudi PR.https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/836060012220928001   Permalink 10:11 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Mini-Probability Mooc (6 min) Continuous Time Election Forecasting https://youtu.be/wA_3RwEIqzI   via @YouTube Permalink 10:00 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Levantine roots, Part 2 (plus some grammar) @PZalloua pic.twitter.com/8MlhoF1sU9 Permalink 9:02 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Levantine roots, Part 1. @PZalloua pic.twitter.com/IvkkvtO472 Permalink 9:01 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb For those into Orthodox lent, this is the Greek calendar. @ektrit @sustain05 @nanexllc pic.twitter.com/R3REBPaDFb Permalink 8:53 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb We also want answers from GW Bush on WMD. And the “victory”. And the “stabilization” of Iraq/Afghanistan. And the costs of the war (s).https://twitter.com/davewiner/status/836219418015301632   Permalink 6:49 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Nero was slandered w/he performed as “actor” which was the worst possible thing a Roman could do. @robby_red @fidempor @SnappyIsSoHappy Permalink 6:01 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Justinian had to get a special permission to marry Theodora because she was actress & daughter of actress @fidempor @SnappyIsSoHappy Permalink 5:49 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@CristiVlad25 @nntaleb I made an animated review of Fooled by Randomness. hope you like it :)https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rwy0LNAbPHs   Permalink 4:50 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Kapish is not from italian capisci but from the Kalabrez Kapish. Kapish? @BJ_Lancaster @bat8bat8 @SantiagoPombo Permalink 4:49 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Imbecile, a generalization is ALL not MOST or “usually”. Kapish?@SantiagoPombo Permalink 4:04 AM – 27 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Actors are usually not very bright people; they don’t know how to act like actors. Permalink 5:48 PM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Simple rule: When you see “conditional” in science, exclude all subsets that fail to meet the condition. @badral @DrHasanAlam @hayfarani Permalink 5:05 PM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Can’t believe doctors can be argumentative & fail to see the diff between conditional & unconditional probability @DrHasanAlam @hayfarani Permalink 4:50 PM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb A picture is worth a thousand integrals. @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/57RrjajhHi Permalink 2:30 PM – 26 Feb 2017

@talraviv Does Medium have a Mega-Recommend button? This by @nntaleb put words to a nagging feeling I’ve had since collegehttps://medium.com/incerto/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52?source=twitterShare-a56d3125abb5-1488141667   Permalink 12:42 PM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Thanks @CutTheKnotMath for training the clarity of mathematical thinking. It is like weightlifting for the mind. pic.twitter.com/6ZQBtJ3Twn Permalink 11:57 AM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb You want to send your kids to college so they come back intellectually stronger, not pre-bureaucrats. #Antifragilehttps://twitter.com/primalpoly/status/835870988696875010   Permalink 11:08 AM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Wittgenstein’s ruler (in Fooled by Randomness): Under some conditions the table will be measuring the ruler than the other way around.https://twitter.com/ArmandDAngour/status/835880838713786370   Permalink 9:13 AM – 26 Feb 2017

@nntaleb .@DrHasanAlam @colorfulfool he is clueless doesn’t get your question in particular or controlled variable in general Permalink 1:44 PM – 25 Feb 2017

@nntaleb You visibly aren’t grasping the point.Substance may correlate w/style, but CONDITIONAL on same record removes correl @DrHasanAlam @hayfarani Permalink 10:46 AM – 25 Feb 2017

@nntaleb You didn’t understand the text. Read again & look up “conditional” (everything else equ). Then think. Then tweet. @DrHasanAlam @hayfarani Permalink 10:32 AM – 25 Feb 2017

@nntaleb A Saturday without mathematics is like Mediterranean food without garlic. @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/8Rpl2EyHfN Permalink 9:33 AM – 25 Feb 2017

@nntaleb The paper on responses in biology, volatility in feeding. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/medicine.pdf  https://twitter.com/MilenaRodban/status/835496327899398144   Permalink 7:33 AM – 25 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Given their track record, I would recommend hiring academic economists and do the OPPOSITE of what they advise. For they aren’t even random.https://twitter.com/nytimesbusiness/status/835225349378215936   Permalink 1:28 PM – 24 Feb 2017

@nntaleb I just published “Surgeons Should NotLook Like Surgeons”https://medium.com/p/surgeons-should-notlook-like-surgeons-23b0e2cf6d52   Permalink 6:52 AM – 24 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Interesting discussion around the speculation of link between lifespan hearbeats/breathing and Jensen’s inequality. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10154633815058375   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/TOq0rNdfji”>  pic.twitter.com/TOq0rNdfji Permalink 5:01 AM – 24 Feb 2017

@nntaleb From: 1986 New Declassified CIA Memo Presents Blueprint for Syrian Regime Collapse https://www.libertarianinstitute.org/2017/02/cia-memo-scenarios-of-syrian-regime-collapse/   via @libertarianinst Permalink 3:43 AM – 24 Feb 2017

@nntaleb I made a deal with John Gray where I would stop writing nontechnical books and just promote his as they read as if I wrote them myself.https://twitter.com/kpo1978/status/834911263901745152   Permalink 4:24 PM – 23 Feb 2017

@nntaleb We can visualize the solution obtained via calculus (optimization). @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com/DABxf8JaJP Permalink 3:49 PM – 23 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Me neitherhttps://twitter.com/TheRealNeilS/status/834805903924854784   Permalink 8:54 AM – 23 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Mr @ianbremmer please take students and visa-immigrants (former students whi stayed) from sample and show us results. Permalink 8:29 AM – 23 Feb 2017

@normonics The Minority Rule. cc @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/mariawirth1/status/834718262369853440   Permalink 6:36 AM – 23 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Friends, thanks for the votes. Here is the passage from Skin In the Game. Business Plans shd not look like Business Plans pic.twitter.com/c105qZNbOY Permalink 6:29 AM – 23 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Statistical BS: compare cohort to cohort. “Muslims” in US (Iranians & Leb Shiites, Indo-Pakistanis) don’t compare to Sunni Muslims outside.https://twitter.com/ianbremmer/status/834756931705266176   Permalink 5:48 AM – 23 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Precisely: as self-righteous imbeciles like Tatchell spreads fake numbers they become consensus @PeterTatchell @lecaester @GreenRupertRead Permalink 5:44 AM – 23 Feb 2017

@john_f_hamer “The problem of knowledge is that there are many more books on birds written by ornithologists than books on birds written by birds.”—Taleb pic.twitter.com/amj3lzhW0u Permalink 3:24 PM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Facts: 1) The press is free. 2) Media is acting as propaganda. Now explain analogies to Hitler/Fascism that don’t lead to reverse. #Idiots Permalink 1:44 PM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb For those into stochastic volatility, a result (maybe for book with @DrCirillo) pic.twitter.com/cwl50EpBy6 Permalink 8:10 AM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Fucking idiot, you mean the nonviolent AlQaeda? @PeterTatchell @Darius1296 @GreenRupertRead Permalink 7:52 AM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Nobody represents more the intellectual fraud faking *doing good* as Kenneth Roth. Good news: Frauds get eventually terminally busted.https://twitter.com/KenRoth/status/833755019971293187   Permalink 6:38 AM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb The good news is that the 2nd order effect is the strongest summary, locally convex or concave 97% of info. @normonics @YanKan_ Permalink 6:35 AM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb A deeper view of Antifragility:primacy of n-th order effects, all these (Asymmetry, convexity) are from nonlinearity=2nd+ deriv. @YanKan_ Permalink 6:29 AM – 22 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Libs can’t get #Antifragile as they think in 1st order. Exmpls: to themmin wage income; comfort health; variation stability; Permalink 6:00 AM – 22 Feb 2017

@sanjayk_13 @rhianna @nntaleb It’s not hyperbole, the trader most likely to blow up with a spectacular loss in the real world will win Permalink 4:58 PM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Also EPA colluded with Monsanto to cover up cancer datahttps://twitter.com/garyruskin/status/834151562008096768   Permalink 1:58 PM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Schools have “trading” competitions. W/o enough risk/skin in the game, incentive is to shoot for Probability not Exp. The WORST trader wins. Permalink 1:10 PM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb UN Ambassador Samantha Something & Obama’s State Dept conveyed and acted on fake news.https://twitter.com/gjoene/status/834094781655576576   Permalink 10:42 AM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Will give 2 lectures May 4 (& 5) in the NECSI program.https://twitter.com/yaneerbaryam/status/834014527880585216   Permalink 6:46 AM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb I can kapish uproar ag. one suggesting pedophilia. But where is the reaction ag. salafascist preachers who condone it? TwoFaced PseudoLibs! Permalink 6:32 AM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Worse: they defend, cover up for, even embrace Salafasism.https://twitter.com/Nigel_Farage/status/834035993955155968   Permalink 5:49 AM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb To teach someone a real skill, teach him how to take risk & fail. He will never learn this in school. No nonrisktaker can ever teach it. v 2 Permalink 5:43 AM – 21 Feb 2017

@nntaleb If you want to teach someone a real skill, teach him how to fail. He will never learn it in school. Permalink 6:45 PM – 20 Feb 2017

@nntaleb My friend Peter @PeterJTanous managed to cross James Bond with a Catholic priest. A thriller. https://www.amazon.com/gp/customer-reviews/RVQYOQ0ZLNAT8/ref=cm_cr_dp_d_rvw_ttl?ie=UTF8&ASIN=1504035119   Permalink 6:28 AM – 20 Feb 2017

@nntaleb Mildly mistranslated: Greeks should be “Hellenes”, Hellenistic diaspora.https://twitter.com/ccavafy/status/833487269621268482   Permalink 5:08 AM – 20 Feb 2017