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Monthly Archives: March 2017

Economists, Fake News, Turkish Lira, IQ, MY Planet, Kapish, Grandmothers, Neo-Stalinism, Umberto Eco’s Library | Twitter

@nntaleb Terms for the heinous s.a. “Nazi”,”racist”,”Hitler” get debased/corrupted over time,similar to the historical debasement of coins/currencies Permalink 12:35 PM – 13 Mar 2017 @nntaleb Added paragraph on how in Mediterranean news circulates through gatherings: mostly funerals.   Permalink 7:56 AM – 13 Mar 2017 @nntaleb I will from now on call economists “the wrongest […]

Continuous Time Election Forecasting | Youtube

Published on Feb 27, 2017 Uses a continuous time process to price an election; we end up with an option-stule pricing. The martigale approach optimizes the Brier score. The corresponding paper is here: How to Predict an Election (pdf)

Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons | Medium

Surgeons Should Not Look Like Surgeons Why? Simply the one who doesn’t look the part, conditional of having made a (sort of) successful career in his profession, had to have much to overcome in terms of perception. And if we are lucky enough to have people who do not look the part, it is thanks […]

Strategic Data Analysis – May 1-5 2017 Washington DC | Event

Featured Presenters: Yaneer Bar-Yam, President and Professor, New England Complex Systems Institute Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Real World Risk Institute, author of The Black Swan and Antifragile

Math, White Helmets, Election Forecasting, GW Bush, Kapish, John Gray, Kenneth Roth, Salafasism | Twitter

@nntaleb 3) Had anyone asked me if I met with a RUssian official, my answer would have been flatly “NO”. Permalink 3:37 PM – 2 Mar 2017 @nntaleb 2) He sat 3 seats down, partook of conversation but I didn’t focus on who he was. You only know when pple remind you of it (he […]