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Qatar/Saudi Barbaria, Iain McGilchrist, @Expedia, Peace, #NYT, Hammurabi’s Code, Policy Goons

@nntaleb 12 months @Jmanos195Manos Permalink 12:54 PM – 8 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Waited 12 m for this: Amsterdam has, for the nondietaryfatphobic, the best steak in the world (Holstein). Permalink 12:34 PM – 8 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Evidence @djrothkopf boss of Foreign Policy is for sale. Shameful that our foreign policy is manipulated by Jihadis.   Permalink 10:15 AM – 8 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You can start filtering out Mainstream Media by blocking any article w/”populist” or “populism” in it, citing someone from a think tank. Permalink 9:43 AM – 8 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Rich people aren’t necessarily incorruptible; but they can be much, much more expensive to bribe. Permalink 3:36 PM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb This reveals much. Names named: the way to go. Includes Rothkopf How Saudi Arabia captured Washington   via @voxdotcom Permalink 3:29 PM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb How many believe this independent BS? Fraudster @emile_hokayem secretly paid by Bahrain for “independent” promotion   Permalink 2:09 PM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb 1/Western Syria’s population [C on the map] act, look, & eat like Mediterraneans/Southern Europeans, includes Sunnis   Permalink 9:54 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Now this explains bombardment of pro-Jihadi articles by this goon: @emile_hokayem who works there!!! Shame! Shame!   Permalink 9:37 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Back office people don’t know that there is a difference between front and back office. Everyone else does.   Permalink 7:12 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb They tried to hide it! Never trust thinktanks. British thinktank received £25m from Bahraini royals, docs reveal   Permalink 6:48 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Physicists take something complicated & make it simpler. Psychologists take something very complicated & make it even more complicated. Permalink 5:39 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Recent rebellion/Trump: Front office pple (most of us) don’t want to be controlled by *back office* clercs. Kapish?   Permalink 5:15 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@CDcaritas @leverageisgreat @nntaleb   Permalink 12:45 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Think tanks financed by Qatar/Saudi Barbaria want people to believe this crap. Many do!   Permalink 12:33 AM – 7 Dec 2016

@RiskMinds RiskMinds Live starts in 1 hr! It’s not too late to register to watch @nntaleb and others live from #RISKMINDS:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 11:10 PM – 6 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Transforming an unbounded into a bounded martingale (by Ito’s lemma), thanks to airline delays. Permalink 4:28 AM – 6 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Can someone explain to this fellow that forall their flaws dentists know their stuff >> than policymakers/Krugmans?   Permalink 5:03 PM – 5 Dec 2016

@jgmarcel () “experienced” & “professional” politicians are just as desirable as professional lovers, that is, prostitutes. — Nassim Taleb (@nntaleb) Permalink 4:00 PM – 5 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Almost…   Permalink 1:26 PM – 5 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Debunkkng conspiracy Assad-ISIS   Permalink 12:56 PM – 5 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The episodic John Gray appreciation dinner w/ @BryanAppleyard @rorysutherland & McGilchrist at Gray’s favorite rest Permalink 12:54 PM – 5 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Another squid ink risotto. Pasta is better. Permalink 6:02 AM – 5 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Squid ink risotto Permalink 5:44 AM – 4 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The point of paying is to guarantee a room: no optionality. There is an asymmetry: if the client cancels he pays… not them! @Expedia Permalink 5:03 PM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Beware @Expedia. Prepaid a suite in London, very late arrival &… the hotel sends me to another part of town, tiny room w/o refund. Permalink 4:51 PM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb People discovered the NYT was effectively fiction; trash fiction sells the most!   Permalink 5:45 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Dear @stevenstrogatz , an accolade coming from a mathematician is worth >10^3 compliments by other mortals. Permalink 5:36 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@dellajoNYC @borzou @jackshafer He attacked you because you are a propagandist for Al Qaeda, the folks who gave us 9/11, and therefore human skum. FYI. Permalink 5:34 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Number of casualties is not *statistical* data/estimates? Explains Brexit: Brussels IYIs shd limit activities to driving Uber c (carefully).   Permalink 5:13 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The day flight to London. Permalink 4:46 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Exactly: “People are better neighbors than roommates” @JohnGaltPattaya Permalink 4:43 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Utopism: make pple hold hands & sing mawkish songs Realism: structures to allow interactions w/o harm:#skininthegame   Permalink 4:20 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Mr @borzou-fabricator, did you realize you called Trump a tyrant when he has never held office. Did they have basic IQ screening at the FT? Permalink 4:11 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Philology du Jour: a word (the obvious) that has survived 4000 years in Semitic languages. “N***” in Akkadian… Permalink 1:25 AM – 3 Dec 2016

@alxpr1c3 @nntaleb a #vianegativa approach would then be – the aim of “peace” is to avoid lethal conflicts? Permalink 11:35 PM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The aim of “peace” is to make people interract while hating one another the way the French hate Germans/English, not to sing campfire songs.   Permalink 11:24 PM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb You can spot a (low IQ) crypto-Jihadi such as @sahdihamid at his geopolitization of conflict ag. Islamists.   Permalink 5:01 PM – 2 Dec 2016

@cdipaola62 @nntaleb @SteveRattner teaching birds 2 fly. Citizens don’t need complex formulas to detect BS of IYI’s who use first order math to scare. Permalink 4:58 PM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Elementary 2nd order accounting: Employees in US happen to *pay* taxes; or spend money => others who pay taxes.   Permalink 12:56 PM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb If, against experience, you still read the #NYT, remember it was the conveyor of the most destructive fake news: Iraq. @nyinvesting @han0z Permalink 12:04 PM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb #SkinintheGame shows how, in absence of saints, we’d rather pick the rich (contact w/reality), to those who *want* to get rich. @Scaramucci Permalink 10:56 AM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The other argument is that those who *need* a salary are vulnerable to lobbying /revolving door bribery.   Permalink 10:33 AM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Yes, Gibbon has mistakes. So does Thucydides! On top of his skeptical charm, he led me to find holes in his acct. My favorite prose style! Permalink 8:06 AM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Does this make the “news” part of Holywood?   Permalink 6:41 AM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb The disproof of a fabrication is not as visible as the fabrication. Why U.S. ‘News’ Media Shouldn’t Be Trusted   Permalink 4:05 AM – 2 Dec 2016

@nntaleb When I stood next to H’s code felt knowing it in Akkadian & reciting it w/original sounds. Code abt #skininthegame requires authenticity. Permalink 7:16 PM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Conspiracy theory Assad=ISIS is a great IQ test: it proves incapacity to make up something remotely plausible.   Permalink 6:46 PM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Finally got to read Hammurabi in the original Semitic rythm (thanks to the method of Albert Naccache)   Permalink 5:58 PM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb People are starting to understand the difference between “denocracy” and governance @normonics @bill_easterly Permalink 10:29 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Only Gibbon: Twenty-two acknowledged concubines, and a library of sixty-two thousand volumes, attested the variety.. Permalink 8:38 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb When people ask me “what should I read”, I used to avoid responding. Now, here is something necessary in anyone’s ed Permalink 8:16 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Effectively there was *inverse* ethnic cleansing after Qaeda left Aleppo.   Permalink 7:16 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb COMPLEX SYSTEMS: Problem of Oslo is top-down (diplomatic) solution for bottom-up problem. @yaneerbaryam Permalink 6:46 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@internetactu Le plus intolérant l’emporte toujours : la dictature de la plus petite minorité par @nntaleb   Permalink 5:33 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Gingrich doesn’t want IYIs in government.   Permalink 5:01 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb Gingrich doesn’t want IYIs in government.   Permalink 5:01 AM – 1 Dec 2016

@nntaleb A visit to the NYU Philosophy department (logic) wd confirm that butchering, whether for 8 or 15 y, = butcher. Kapish? @ianbremmer Permalink 2:55 PM – 30 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Yet Barak Hussain Obama is not called “the butcher of Washington”.   Permalink 11:48 AM – 30 Nov 2016

@DrCirillo If you missed it, my recent not-too-technical paper on armed conflicts and their tail risk, joint with @nntaleb.   Permalink 10:07 AM – 30 Nov 2016

@nntaleb People in political “science” & policy wonks such must attend so they know why we think they are clueless.   Permalink 7:42 AM – 30 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Friends, anyone knows of a transcription of the Accadian of Hammurabi’s Law into Hebrew or another Semitic script? Permalink 7:40 AM – 30 Nov 2016

@nntaleb De Finetti was a smart cookie. How to forecast elections. Permalink 4:55 AM – 30 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The tragedy of our time is the monoculture of ideas: all people are forced to believe the *same* bullshit. Permalink 6:42 AM – 29 Nov 2016

@MaxAbrahms It’s funny when media outlets interview multiple fellows from the same think tank for intellectual diversity. Permalink 4:22 AM – 29 Nov 2016

@nntaleb #IDreamOfAWorld where “science” promoters understand the difference between science and scientism.   Permalink 8:03 AM – 28 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Probability & Medicine: Presenting 2 papers at U Penn S Med at 12 noon P-value   Antifragility   Permalink 8:01 AM – 28 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Voila! “Small is beautiful” in the moralists! Vauvenargues: “men are not born to love large things”. #LindyEffect Permalink 3:10 AM – 28 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The only fiction I read in 2016 was reports on the Syrian “moderate” rebels.   Permalink 6:32 PM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Ready! Permalink 5:06 PM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Mr Borzou Daragahi, it is much, much more difficult to bullshit a statistician than your followers. Kapish? @borzou Permalink 1:24 PM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb These “journos” fabricate numbers, yet are employed by FT & LA times.   Permalink 1:13 PM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Final version of our paper on “drop” in violence w/@DrCirillo (published by Nobel Foundation, forth 2017)   Permalink 11:29 AM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Skin in the game,Trump, Theology and the experience machine: Nothing is real unless there is risk.   Permalink 9:11 AM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb More evidence IYIs collect my books without reading them.   Permalink 9:08 AM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Unlike with other disciplines, protecting Philosophy from attack against Philosophy is unphilosophical.   Permalink 6:14 AM – 27 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Greeks would be horrified at claim that some nerd at Harvard can teach you to be a man.   @bardiasoroudi @NoahRFeldman Permalink 3:29 PM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb .@bardiasoroudi @NoahRFeldman Violating law of logic: if some professors help doesn’t mean school is monopoly for humanities. Pitiful arg, Permalink 2:08 PM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Exactly:Harvard-Soviet illusion is identity school=knowledge;school=humanities (Lecturing birds how to fly chapter)   Permalink 12:54 PM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Found “less is more” (ag bigdata) in ancients #LindyEffect “Nimium allercando veritas amittilur” Publ Syr Excess details[words] hide truth Permalink 12:29 PM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Actually I showed in #Antifragile the biggest intellectual productions came from country priests (s.a.Bayes) @alexgiannotti @GhassanDahhan Permalink 11:50 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Nerds do NOT understand #skininthegame. “Life is not about winning an argument [with a nerd like you] but about winning.” @NoahRFeldman Permalink 11:38 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb If you knew more latin & logic you’d realize that equating academia to authority IS ad hominem. @jtepper2 @NoahRFeldman @ChinchewPalsu Permalink 11:21 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Words that describe unerudite IYIs like you who think Harvard doesn’t provide ZERO intellectual credibility @NoahRFeldman @ChinchewPalsu Permalink 11:13 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Elnlightenment: Diderot Voltaire Rousseau Hume d’Allembert were NOT academics. Sorbonne was for idiots. @OriginalRamsFan @NoahRFeldman Permalink 11:09 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Fucking idiot it takes half a century (Lindy) to know about influence. @NoahRFeldman @ChinchewPalsu Permalink 11:05 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Leibniz was trained as a legal scholar. He learned math in his mid 20s and (co) invented Calculus @GhassanDahhan Permalink 11:03 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Influential thinkers were scholars but NOT in academia: Darwin Marx Einstein (relativity) Freud Mandelbrot.. @ChinchewPalsu @NoahRFeldman Permalink 10:45 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb You forgot the “subsequently”…”from commercial activity”. An idiot playing strawman with me?@BorisMarkovich Permalink 10:04 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@AssalehAmer “You are not getting the point that in risk we don’t give a fuck what people in “medical sciences” do, math prevails. kapish?” – @nntaleb   Permalink 5:16 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb My talk Monday at U Penn School of Med   Lancet study on statins was ‘fundamentally flawed’   Permalink 4:41 AM – 26 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Is McFarland a neocon or close to neocons or likely to mutate into a neocon? [Please corrigere my Latin] Permalink 3:03 PM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb IYI profs want you to believe one cannot read books without them; just like Taxi groups resist uber. Read classics. @ja_furman @NoahRFeldman Permalink 2:02 PM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb People who get good grades in “prestigious” nonSTEM majors are just signaling high ability to bullshit. @JamesMarsh79 Permalink 9:40 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Nothing was funding since the fund went to 0. Counterparties synchronized the liquidations. @MarcoCraveiro @mattyglesias Permalink 8:31 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb LTCM was NOT a TAXPAYER bailout, but a Fed-coordinated liquidation w/counterparts & banks. Kapish? @MarcoCraveiro @mattyglesias Permalink 7:39 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Corollary: when a paper that engages in propaganda (W Post) accuses others of propaganda, is it propaganda?   Permalink 7:37 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb IYIs don’t get that: HedgeFund-ers have big #skininthegame, little hidden risk Less monoculture No taxpayer bailout   Permalink 6:09 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb #LindyEffect: 2y of INCERTO Fooled by Randomness (blue) is 16 y.o., TBS ~10. 99.9% of bestsellers don’t survive 2y. Permalink 5:19 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Political “scientists” & Policy goons s a @dandrezner shd attend these courses so they know why we call them idiots.   Permalink 4:17 AM – 25 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The meta question: is the news that Russia is spreading fake news fake news. Permalink 5:28 PM – 24 Nov 2016

@nntaleb I avoid reading nonmath recent books. But if I do, best heuristic: avoid books on the NYT list of “Notable Books”   Permalink 12:15 PM – 24 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Please note that @Charles_Lister is paid to fabricate numbers. Liar.   Permalink 8:27 AM – 24 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Ian, you should man up: stop whining, and cease to play arbiter of “adulthood”. Will feel better. @ianbremmer Permalink 7:31 AM – 24 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Happy Thanksgiving everyone! My 36th: I came to America to embrace the system & pledged to defend it. Will keep defending it. With Gratitude Permalink 7:15 AM – 24 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The plot thinckens. 2000 war casualties inflate over time to 30-40,000. Imbecile journos.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 6:36 AM – 24 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Say something important, genuinely important. Hard for journos.   Permalink 5:37 AM – 24 Nov 2016

@jbmacluckie Le mec (@nntaleb) m’a tellement influencé que j’ai deux références à lui encrées sur moi : Permalink 11:09 PM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Is it me or is the Beaujolais Nouveau 2016 very very good? Permalink 3:11 PM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Trying to solve a difficult integral (one of those again). For those & only those into integration.   Permalink 12:35 PM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Huffington Post, please explain *propaganda*. If you can. Thank you.@HuffPostGreece @HuffingtonPost Permalink 11:32 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb No Huffington Post. Permalink 8:45 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Reason I don’t want Huffington Post to publish my work is the revelation that it “covertly” helped Hillary.Unethical   Permalink 7:55 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Well… it does!   Permalink 7:34 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Syriac version Malalas <= “eloquent” Permalink 7:10 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Levantine du Jour: The Great John Malalas had Aramaic name: Malal = orator. (New dictionary) Permalink 7:04 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb The ugliest of humans looks better than the prettiest cockroach; the worst of businessmen looks more real than any professional politician. Permalink 6:54 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb They don’t know what “religion” means. Salafi isn’t a race. It isn’t a “religion”. It is a criminal organization.   Permalink 6:38 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Media idiots don’t realize that Alt-Right people are far, far more moderate than the “moderate” Salafi Islamists they are protecting! Shame. Permalink 5:37 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb World finally discovering that “experienced” &”professional” politicians are just as desirable as professional lovers, that is, prostitutes. Permalink 5:17 AM – 23 Nov 2016

@nntaleb Huff Post trying to make me look as if I wrote FOR them. I don’t write for them! Ο Διανοούμενος Πλην Όμως Ηλίθιος   Permalink 5:09 AM – 23 Nov 2016

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