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Monthly Archives: January 2013

Nassim Taleb – CNBC 1/28/13

“If you cannot use randomness and disorder and variability and volatility as fuel, you won’t make it in the long run.” Nassim Taleb on Icahn/Ackman: ‘They’re Only Human’Monday, 28 January 2013 10:08 AM ETNassim Taleb, author of “Antifragile” and “The Black Swan,” shares his outlook for the U.S. economy, investment strategies and his thoughts on […]

NOTE FOR BOOK VI of ANTIFRAGILE – HOW TO SEEK FRACTAL IMMORTALITY

NOTE FOR BOOK VI of ANTIFRAGILE – HOW TO SEEK FRACTAL IMMORTALITY I find it insulting to nature that a single individual would seek immortality (a follow up to Jean-Louis Rheault’s posts here and my statements of revulsion at Kurzweil’s “singularity”). Immortality is not only unethical; it is even unnecessary. My genes can be immortal; […]

Friends, the final revision of my rebuttal of the idea that *small probabilities are expensive…

Friends, the final revision of my rebuttal of the idea that *small probabilities are expensive* (Ilmanen’s paper) is about to be submitted to FAJ (where his paper was published). I link it to the general error, a methological blindess to fat tails, I now call “Pinker empiricism”. http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/Ilmanen.pdf Comments on the first part is welcome […]

Taleb On “Skin In The Game” And His Disdain For Public Intellectuals | Zero Hedge

I have the ReasonTV interview earlier on the blog. But in case you were wondering what Zero Hedge thought of it… Nassim Taleb sits down for a quite extensive interview based around his new book Anti-Fragile. Whether the Black Swan best-seller is philosopher or trader is up to you but the discussion is worth the […]

The Lebanese Method | The Majalla Magazine

Taleb argues that we are built to be fooled by theories. He says, “Theories come and go, experience stays.” Fat Tony trusts experience and, in one anecdote, becomes rich in 1991 when he bets against the experts who believe the price of oil will rise with the first Gulf War. The theory is that a […]