Monthly Archives: August 2015

Lindy Effect, GMOs, Shills, Solar Energy, Pope Francis |Twitter @nntaleb

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NNT has been VERY busy on Twitter lately. This is just a sampling from the last few days. Usually but not always, I select Tweets that include links to additional information.

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/631789212686094336

https://twitter.com/benhayesnyc/status/631547333973516288

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/631475970847940608

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/631469357667893248

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/631226823326633984

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630857997359648769

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630767097023471616

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630758660751421440

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630748570228908032

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630380237533151232

ANSWER: Every loss of crop raises total ruin 100 fold. Halving crops raises total ruin by 100 quintillion 10^20 (assuming independence).

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 13, 2015
@nntaleb you will like this onion article on GMOs http://t.co/1m2TtHFTqG

— Ben Hayes (@benhayesnyc) August 12, 2015
Relgious heuristics have played in role in intergenerational risk management http://t.co/FFY7OTbe8c @Streitapfel

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 12, 2015
The pope is reciting a version of our Precautionary Pple: Pope Francis Joins Battle Against Transgenic Crops http://t.co/Z9LsDsZdog

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 12, 2015
Additional aphorisms added to INCERTO https://t.co/NNpAtYK9N5

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 11, 2015
Deep down,thrilled to see political established annihilated by Trump whom I can’t stand. Prefer stupiddemocracy to fakedemocracy @ianbremmer

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 10, 2015
The value of solar energy is in the optionality: raw material is free AND doesn’t change in price, with no of negative optionality (waste).

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 10, 2015
A new scholarly article on the fake “consensus” on GMOs and the travesty of science by corporate interests. (Gated) http://t.co/PqEDT5U3dr

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 10, 2015
We are witnessing the prostitution of science: Like Monsanto, Coca-Cola Funds Shills to Distort Science. http://t.co/U5bMx7mwRF

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 10, 2015
Wrong to evaluate a statistical concept (unconditional life expectancy) from (conditional) exceptions. #LindyEffect https://t.co/cUQvM72ANx

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 9, 2015

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Sorry to distract you with this [removable] post. But watch the smear campaign against me in response to the PP paper by Monsanto and incompetent Ketchum copywriter:

It did not hit them that I AM a cancer survivor, and changed “despise those who boast” to despise cancer survivors”. Also look at the fake student evaluations…

https://www.facebook.com/sciencebabe?fref=ts

Here is the offensive propaganda they removed it. As a cancer survivor all I can see this is…. bothersome.
bsrCancerSurvivors

via: Facebook

GMO Propagandists, Scotland GMOs, Aramaic-Syriac, Salafi Fundamentalism, Ralph Nader | Twitter @nntaleb

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https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630362989477109760

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/630442122466971648

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/629753648411754496

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/629964277802270720

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/629762524842446849

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/627857324439392256

How to engage Monsanto shills, version 2. pic.twitter.com/iHaffAKHst

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 9, 2015

Scotland invoking the Precautionary Principle for GMOs. Our paper arxiv.org/abs/1410…. theguardian.com/env…

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 9, 2015

Finally, after summer school, can communicate in the language of Christ (Aramaic-Syriac). Now back to probability. pic.twitter.com/yB1TATsA0l

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 7, 2015

The end of Salafi Fundamentalism is in sight. Saudi Arabia may go broke before the US oil industry buckles telegraph.co.uk/fin…

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 8, 2015

Only in America can a loner (@RalphNader alumni) on shoe-string budget bring down the titans of the State of Texas. nytimes.com/2015/08…

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 7, 2015

Mao of the INCERTO unedited draft dl.dropboxuserconten… pic.twitter.com/D81x6DAVYu

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) August 2, 2015

NO WORSHIP WITHOUT SACRIFICE (Skin in the Game)

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NO WORSHIP WITHOUT SACRIFICE (Skin in the Game)
This is a picture of a church altar in Maaloula (St Sergius/Mar Sarkis) I saw a few decades ago, with a striking feature: it has a drain for blood. This altar came from a reconverted pagan temple used by early Christians. Pre Nicea (4th C) Christians recycled altars. Altar in Arabic/Aramaic is still Mazba7 from “DB7=ritual slaying by cutting the guttural vein”. And Korban is still used for sacrament (the Semitic word for sacrifice).

Well, in the Mediterranean pagan world, no worship without sacrifice. The gods did not accept cheap talk. This also applied to the Temple of Jerusalem.

Somehow Christianity removed the idea of such sacrifice under the notion that the Christ sacrificed himself for others; but there is still a simulacrum with wine representing blood, at the close of the ceremony flushed in the piscina (the drain).

So in a Judeo-Christian place of worship, the focal point, where the priest stands, symbolizes Skin in the Game. The notion of belief without tangible proof is not existent in history.

Hebrews 9:22 ” And almost all things are by the law purged with blood; and without shedding of blood is no remission.” (et omnia paene in sanguine mundantur secundum legem et sine sanguinis fusione non fit remissio)

(Credit Elisabeth Thoburn)