For comments: It takes time for things to break…

For comments:
It takes time for things to break, but they eventually break, & there should be no rush although our impulse is to think that they will collapse immediately after we become aware of the problem. Give things time… 3 to 8 years in today’s complex system. By definition the fragile cannot be selfsustaining as the probability of a collapse increases with time.

We had to wait 4 years for Fannie Mae to go bust (after detection of their fragility), but it did go bust; 5 years for Syria to blow up, but it did; bankers are losing power 5 years after the crisis. We thought in 2009 that the econ establishment would be discredited and… it is starting to happen about 5 years later. We thought in 2010 that the Greeks would be in the streets and here they are…

So what’s on the list (of the unsustainably fragile)? For me, Saudi Arabia, Elsevier/Wiley (academic publishing will be Uberized), the Fed’s monopoly, Monsanto, bureaucrats in Europe w/lifetime employment, Oligarchs, etc.Please be specific, avoid the vague and the general.

via For comments: It takes time for things… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

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