Monthly Archives: November 2010

Warm thanks all for the help; the TIME questions were excellent. I was also interviewed by one of the very few journalists NONjournalists Michael Elliott, a former scholar & a true erudite. Now I may try the Beaujolais Nouveau 2010 as NO Lebanese wine in sight.

Warm thanks all for the help; the TIME questions were excellent. I was also interviewed by one of the very few journalists NONjournalists Michael Elliott, a former scholar & a true erudite.
Now I may try the Beaujolais Nouveau 2010 as NO Lebanese wine in sight.

I need HELP! TIME magazine is subjecting me (via the publisher) to 10 questions by (their) readers and all I got are the usual clueless stuff, not the quality questions I got on this page. Please help http://10questions.time.com/2010/11/22/ask-nassim-taleb/comment-page-2/#comments

I need HELP! TIME magazine is subjecting me (via the publisher) to 10 questions by (their) readers and all I got are the usual clueless stuff, not the quality questions I got on this page.
Please help

http://10questions.time.com/2010/11/22/ask-nassim-taleb/comment-page-2/#comments
http://10questions.time.com/2010/11/22/ask-nassim-taleb/comment-page-2/#comments

10questions.time.com

Ask Nassim Taleb – 10 Questions – TIME.com

Shared by JohnH

Up to 21 questions so far. HatTip to Dave Null.

Nassim Taleb

David Levenson / Getty Images

The former trader gained international acclaim with his best-selling books Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in the Markets and in Life and The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. His writings examine uncertainty and errors in human knowledge and explain how to deal with unpredictability. Taleb is currently a professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute. His latest book The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms goes on sale Nov. 30. Submit your questions for Nassim Taleb below, then read the interview in an upcoming issue of TIME magazine.

Amateur prophets add to the future, pros remove from it.http://www.economist.com/node/17509373?story_id=17509373&CFID=149238396&CFTOKEN=89583226

Amateur prophets add to the future, pros remove from it.

http://www.economist.com/node/17509373?story_id=17509373&CFID=149238396&CFTOKEN=89583226


Nassim Taleb looks at what will break, and what won’t
www.economist.com
Paradoxically, one can make long-term predictions on the basis of the prevalence of forecasting errors. A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen “black swan” events, will eventually break into piece