This is a bit technical (for those into technical stuff and mathematical flaneuring). It proves why you can’t predict in any multivariate (not even complex) system. Even thin-tailed variables are unpredictable. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/Propagation.pdf PS: Actually we show how we lose predictability by adding dimensions, with a trade-off, so it can lead to precise policies and decisions […]
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