Tag Archives: minority rule

Saudi Barbarian, Syriac-Aramaic, Gawker, Minority Rule, RIP Mohammed Ali, Amioun, Omidyar, Peter Thiel | Twitter

@nntaleb In a Saudi Barbarian air lounge (no food as they would poison me): C prince to discuss killing minorities in Syria.pic.twitter.com/f39LmMAJ6Z Permalink 5:36 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Press has conflict of interest w/public. NYT eulogy Gawker’s General Counsel when it is a Scum job in Scum company.http://nyti.ms/1UuDzvS   Permalink 5:15 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@Tubbyturkey Wrote in big letters on my office wall: “Statistics: failure to reject null hypothesis” @nntaleb #asymmetry #RWRI Permalink 3:32 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb People who get married many times do so because they like the transaction more than the state (& don’t understand their own preferences). Permalink 1:09 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb I realize that people who get married often do so because they like the transaction more than the state. Permalink 12:40 PM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Is this reaaaaaaaaally true?https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/742415639982313472   Permalink 11:12 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@burtkanez I was pro-GMO ’til I read the precautionary principle by @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/715862574059937793   Permalink 9:39 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Petition for Syriac-Aramaic on Google Translate https://www.change.org/p/google-syriac-in-google-translate?recruiter=556330952&utm_source=share_petition&utm_medium=whatsapp  \ Permalink 6:58 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Other words like zbl (garbage) also in Greek σκύβαλα Permalink 5:44 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Some Syriac words like “zinnar” also exist in Greek, ζώνη, unclear which way influence went. Permalink 5:42 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb When we look at the letter “zayin” it is even more striking how much more Aramaic our language is.pic.twitter.com/O65Js0fGEi Permalink 5:40 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@nntaleb More evidence that Levantine has Aramaic roots: 2500 words in our vocabulary.pic.twitter.com/yaIIiFAetb Permalink 4:50 AM – 13 Jun 2016

@JohnCleese Do please read Taleb and Tetlock on people’s forecasting abilities. You might become a little less sure of yourselfhttps://twitter.com/ConorFurlong/status/741970306424811520   Permalink 1:28 PM – 12 Jun 2016

@mimisheraton Followers please also follow me at http://thedailybeast.com   where I am now a columnist. Search “Kale” then “Why I Am Not A Locavore” Permalink 11:05 AM – 12 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Randomness does not look random: how to not be fooled by historical “trends” @DrCirillopic.twitter.com/KZgsN7wKkU Permalink 5:15 AM – 12 Jun 2016

@ashokatluri Intense, exhilarating and a very rewarding 5-day session on risk management by @nntaleb, R Douady and @financequant http://realworldrisk.com   Permalink 4:50 PM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb The central information abt people: what is the worse thing they’ve done in their lives. #RWRI Extreme Value Theory Permalink 3:49 PM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Dopo @sothisispietro @ashokatluri No more squid ink!pic.twitter.com/P79HxgBP1C Permalink 11:19 AM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Squid ink with @sothisispietro and @ashokatluri recovering from week long seminar.pic.twitter.com/yyT7sNcJJL Permalink 11:00 AM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Tighten the band to 7<= f <= Sqrt(51)? @CutTheKnotMathpic.twitter.com/FOvqHtf3eq Permalink 8:13 AM – 11 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Anyone who associates Gawker with freedom of expression is a fraud.https://twitter.com/WIRED/status/741433548708687873   Permalink 5:57 PM – 10 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Trying to translate Procrustes into Levantinepic.twitter.com/ZmOesEz9IL Permalink 7:24 AM – 10 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Decentralization is the nightmare of lobbyists.https://twitter.com/scruton_quotes/status/741261080261988352   Permalink 6:34 AM – 10 Jun 2016

@cfshoo “Weak men act to satisfy their needs, stronger men their duties.” @nntaleb Permalink 3:59 AM – 10 Jun 2016

@Frank_S_David “If I had to relive my life I’d be even more stubborn & uncompromising.”- @nntaleb, via @farnamstreethttps://www.farnamstreetblog.com/2016/06/nassim-talebs-life-advice/   Permalink 3:44 PM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Day 4 RWRI. Raphael showing funds that blew up in the 2008 crisis had the highest Sharpe ratio. Most brilliant!pic.twitter.com/xJQJ72XRNY Permalink 1:22 PM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb “I will retake every inch”, translated from Classical Arabic into English, means “Let’s talk and settle”.https://twitter.com/lrozen/status/740953136077111296   Permalink 10:10 AM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Colquhoun is the one who incited web-social media mob in the Tim Hunt affair. A despicable man.https://twitter.com/raphaels7/status/740827882243674112   Permalink 4:05 AM – 9 Jun 2016

@nntaleb RWRI Day 3 Robert Frey @financequant explaining cellular automata with high praise for @stephen_wolframpic.twitter.com/jNALz5hwWD Permalink 12:56 PM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb RWRI day 3 Aaron classifying tail models and time dependence.pic.twitter.com/BRbSRl9g8I Permalink 12:31 PM – 8 Jun 2016

@DrCirillo According to @sapinker, @nntaleb and I have not read his “The Better Angels of Our Nature”. Unfortunately we did, and that’s the problem. Permalink 9:58 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Our next seminar is the advanced quant one, Aug 15-19, Stony Brook http://realworldrisk.com/advanced_mini-certificate_in_risk   The present one (reg) is full >60 pple Permalink 8:31 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb “You don’t build a house based on a weather report”, Robert Frey @financequant Third day of http://Realworldrisk.com  pic.twitter.com/l58jQHHuSe Permalink 8:26 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@nntaleb How Pinker treats data.pic.twitter.com/cRcL8xy0fw Permalink 4:37 AM – 8 Jun 2016

@ninarosenwald A #Turkish professor was just suspended. His heinous crime? Tweeting critically about the conquest of Constantinople http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/8213/turkish-professor-suspended-over-tweet   Permalink 4:33 AM – 7 Jun 2016

@dottorpax Ci trovate anche il mio articolo con @nntaleb sul rischio di guerre e conflitti armati.https://twitter.com/signmagazine/status/720661746730594304   Permalink 9:36 AM – 7 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Hirshberg’s beneficial ignorance theory is … sociobullshit, @BentFlyvbjerg shows http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X15301030  pic.twitter.com/1ZTN5zFWTG Permalink 3:24 AM – 7 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Intellectuals & talking-class (journos) are posing as representatives of the public. But they represent what the public doesn’t want to be. Permalink 7:14 AM – 5 Jun 2016

@SandroDemaio #WorldEnvironmentDay ’16. Fires in #California #Floods in Paris Drought in Malawi Storms in Sydney #WED2016 #auspolpic.twitter.com/frZUcjmNG2 Permalink 2:12 AM – 5 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Minority rule: the world is a better place because of very few intolerant people. http://fooledbyrandomness.com/minority.pdf  https://twitter.com/EDarier/status/739400089945407488   Permalink 3:16 AM – 5 Jun 2016

@nntaleb RIP Mohammed Ali. A great man, not because of boxing, but because he walked the walk when he talked the talk. Respect. Permalink 1:57 PM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb By policy, block anyone who commits sophistry. And, typically, block or mute their friends. Life gets much better.https://twitter.com/JodiKoberinski/status/739190994378346497   Permalink 1:35 PM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb N N Taleb’s AUB Commencement Address 2016 (Excerpts) https://youtu.be/Q_yUUNfEwok   via @YouTube Permalink 12:56 PM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Where we find out journos are NOT representative of the public. Only 7% of interpret 1st amend incorrectly #Gawkerhttps://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/738832115823968256   Permalink 11:41 AM – 4 Jun 2016

@nntaleb For comments: translation of our work on violence. No, violence didn’t drop.@DrCirillo https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/violence-nobel.pdf  pic.twitter.com/vAxovRVEgC Permalink 5:58 AM – 4 Jun 2016

@GuruAnaerobic The hidden rationality of Homeopathy – reduction of harm. My piece in the Daily Mail.http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-3619719/Could-homeopathy-HELP-NHS-stopping-people-minor-ailments-seeking-unnecessary-medical-treatment.html   Permalink 2:49 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb The point is to test people’s understanding of Freedom of Expression. @StingMccoy Permalink 1:45 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Does the First Amendment (freedom of speech) cover Gawker posting spy camera sexual scenes of you against your will? Permalink 1:37 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@EHSANI22 Erdogan hands down worst strategic player in Syrian crisis. Failed to remove Assad. Helped the Kurds dream big. Permalink 1:03 PM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb I read the book. I have trouble with his definition of “belief” without revelation of preferences.https://twitter.com/samuelegreen/status/738707654944555009   Permalink 11:50 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Two pages setting Quantitative historiography applied to Violence presented to the Nobel Foundation @DrCirillopic.twitter.com/8Id0xuVCGq Permalink 9:38 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Casualty of Gawker’s support by journos: idiots conflating 1st amndmnt for arguments & publishing revenge sex sceneshttps://twitter.com/jbsil/status/738719636712198144   Permalink 6:23 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Deficiency in logic: Complain that Peter Thiel is bullying legal systm as he is richer than Gawker. But Gawker is richer than its victims! Permalink 5:29 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Indeed, Atheism is a sect of Protestantism. (For one to be an atheist, religious “belief” has to be epistemic.) @holland_tom Permalink 4:45 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@holland_tom If Hinduism is a single religion, consistency requires Judaism, Xianity & Islam be categorised as sects of a single religion – Stietencron Permalink 4:19 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Removed some typos @DrCirillopic.twitter.com/cVX898hKB4 Permalink 4:16 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Finishing paper for the Nobel Foundation debunking Pinker’ theory of drop in violence, w/@DrCirillopic.twitter.com/0oLFcWQW4t Permalink 3:59 AM – 3 Jun 2016

@enzolamberti Heuristic a la @nntaleb:if uncertain where common people’re heading,ask commentators for directions then go oppositehttp://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21699914-democratic-challenger-thinks-he-still-has-shot-nomination-hes?cid1=cust/ednew/n/bl/n/2016062n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/EU/n   Permalink 2:49 PM – 2 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Antifragility & Medicine, finally a clean first draft for @markomanka ‘s Springer Handbook https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/medicine.pdf  pic.twitter.com/7sv0VX6e5F Permalink 2:00 PM – 2 Jun 2016

@nntaleb 2nd ed paperback coming soon with 50% more aphorismshttps://twitter.com/JamPetrich/status/738430022030139392   Permalink 12:37 PM – 2 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Medical Article almost done, https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/medicine.pdf   Looking for Non-Medieval necessary a priori truths in Medicine!pic.twitter.com/HQ1rJPRWJV Permalink 2:32 PM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Which explains why p-values don’t work at all for risk management.https://twitter.com/alxpr1c3/status/738064147439583232   Permalink 1:22 PM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Typical journos combine low IQ, low practical sense, low erudition, buzzword driven grasp,& a high sense of entitlement. An explosive combo! Permalink 12:31 AM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Added: Gawker bullies citizens, strong citizens bully Gawker. Asymmetry meets asymmetry! https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10153873892038375  pic.twitter.com/YDkJFTcRNC Permalink 12:04 AM – 1 Jun 2016

@nntaleb Explain.https://twitter.com/brasswax/status/737771935942246401   Permalink 5:27 PM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Intuitive presentation of Girsanov’s Theorem in Dynamic Hedging @DrCirillopic.twitter.com/j46O2H7Wcv Permalink 5:00 PM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb CITIZENS vs JOURNALISTS & CITIZENS vs GAWKER. Citizens usually end up winning. https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10153873892038375   Permalink 9:50 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Finally found the Peshitta in bilingual Syriac-Arabic much easier to read : ” Breshit bro Aloho”.pic.twitter.com/GMoLvQuH9b Permalink 7:21 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Gawker or why Journos cannot escape having Skin in the Game.pic.twitter.com/GrZZ6ZiW7t Permalink 5:43 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb Many “irrational” behavior comes from unsophisticated academics. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/pseudobiases.pdf   @george_cooper__ @rorysutherland @jasonacollins Permalink 12:12 AM – 31 May 2016

@nntaleb If 1 knows Arabic & Sharia &argue FROM it they hide/can’t say Islamophobe. 6 ancestors were Jurists @pootsie121165 @Noahpinion @holland_tom Permalink 11:48 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Photius! He had the largest library.https://twitter.com/aarondwarwick/status/737396629863419904   Permalink 11:19 PM – 30 May 2016

@sankrant Insightful comment by @nntaleb applicable to the “sophisticated, liberal, urban English Class” in India. @sankrantpic.twitter.com/fXh7UfFccx Permalink 1:44 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Since my debunking of BSvendor Noah @noahpinion (still going) pple leave me alone, so I am now defending my friends.https://twitter.com/ArnauGM/status/737380239995744256   Permalink 1:32 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb (desert port) Permalink 1:25 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Just as Alexandria was a Greek port while rest was Egyptian, Damascus was an Arab port even during Omayad while rest was Byzantine-Aramaic. Permalink 1:24 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, false accusations (such as ag @holland_tom) are criminal under Islamic law. You are not a lawyer. @MoAnsarpic.twitter.com/rymiJB2rv4 Permalink 12:39 PM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb La scienza cresce mostrando ciò che è sbagliato, non dichiarando ciò che è giusto [scienza Popperiana] @ThManfredi @dottorpax Permalink 10:06 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Almost complete documents on Antifragility in Medicine. For comments https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/medicine.pdf  pic.twitter.com/vOKwO3gDMP Permalink 9:57 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Want to keep your intelligence intact through life? Simply do not utter intellectually & logically offensive tweets.https://twitter.com/DarrenSpicoli/status/737321842440953858   Permalink 9:41 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, lying is mu7arram by Sharia. So why are you lying about Mr Holland? @holland_tom @MoAnsarpic.twitter.com/VgSKVeDqjL Permalink 5:21 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, I doubt you know Arabic (given your reputation as a charlatan). Just in case حبل الكذب قصير @holland_tom @MoAnsar Permalink 3:15 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Excellent! Political studies, or pol philosophy! Problem is people use “science” for scientism & BS regressions.https://twitter.com/BenKlass/status/737216962724384768   Permalink 2:43 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb The “science” in pol science, like the “democratic” in “Democratic Pple’s Rep of Korea”, is used to hide the scam.https://twitter.com/SLdeLange/status/737199516328296448   Permalink 1:36 AM – 30 May 2016

@kcfaul Long tail risks. Seems safe today (gmo for example) until the problem is uncovered in the future @nntalebhttps://twitter.com/nytimes/status/737173895514607616   Permalink 12:11 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb In Byzantium the Orthodox Patriach was often a man of deeds, not necessarily cleric. And didn’t wear ties.https://twitter.com/KremlinRussia_E/status/736629519403102209   Permalink 1:00 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb 2) Mr Hanretty your formation as a charlatan consists in bullshitting abt things you are clueless about. I am a scientist. @chrishanretty Permalink 12:58 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb 1) Mr Hanretty, are you suggesting that one should bullshit like astrologers abt opaque things in order to bust astrologers? @chrishanretty Permalink 12:57 AM – 30 May 2016

@nntaleb Mr Ansar, why are you disseminating lies about Tom Holland to your followers?Does your status allow special exemption? @holland_tom @MoAnsar Permalink 11:43 PM – 29 May 2016

@nntaleb Congratulating my cousin Rene Shammas for his election as a member of the municipality of Amiounpic.twitter.com/YBf4ozWKed Permalink 1:27 PM – 29 May 2016

@nntaleb Problem moved away from Gawker (bus now risky): journos’ *sense of entitlement* to harm citizens, promotion of fallacies abt 1st amendment. Permalink 8:35 AM – 29 May 2016

@nntaleb How many of these “600 economists” saw the risks that caused the 2008 crisis? Economists are clueless. Kapish?https://twitter.com/George_Osborne/status/736827489008406528   Permalink 7:58 AM – 29 May 2016

@InjuredThales @czwalsh @nntaleb I guarantee that 99.9% of those defending Gawker now would be outraged if they released a Michelle and Barack sex tape. Permalink 4:37 PM – 28 May 2016

@WalterWhiteBC @nntaleb Mr.Taleb thanks for standing up to lunatics confusing free speech w/ porno voyerism anarchy and personal asymmetric destruction Permalink 2:29 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Even for public figures, there is information and there is porno voyeurism. Spy cameras in bathrooms of public figs?https://twitter.com/czwalsh/status/736671628331978754   Permalink 2:35 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Ben, societies have been shown to have had over history a clear idea of what is moral or not. @bhorowitz @kaimac @lkoturner @MichialFarmer Permalink 2:32 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Theil help make the voyeuristic business model very costly. It’s the “mahket” for risk. @John_Hempton @amoselberg @Gawker Permalink 2:27 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb The nub: journos being low IQ, impractical & logically deficient, think judges are also stupid & low IQ. They’re nothttps://twitter.com/diomavro/status/736666106291703809   Permalink 2:23 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Journos like Gawker exploiting freedom of speech by equating it to videos of your sex life on web. #Logicalfallacyhttps://twitter.com/leonletto/status/736656830651322369   Permalink 1:50 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Fucking moron, Gawker has ruined the lives of college students! @gammatrader09 Permalink 1:26 PM – 28 May 2016

@kluslim This is a serious issue. All your snap stories could be used by your “friends” as “journalism”https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/736651610198179840   Permalink 1:17 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb If Gawker wins higher court appeal then NECESSARILY anyone can post your PRIVATE activity videos ag. your will. It is Citizens vs “Journos”. Permalink 1:13 PM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb What will kill Gawker & #pseudo1stamendment fake journalism isn’t HulkHog but 21 y.o ruined w/o “newsworthy” justif.pic.twitter.com/7sMWMZlPMm Permalink 12:49 PM – 28 May 2016

@abhi2point0 “A journalist defending Gawker is like a certified public accountant defending Enron.” Wordhttps://twitter.com/munilass/status/735989191453081603   Permalink 10:41 AM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb I see no difference betw spending 20 years of researching the tomb of Aristotle & the 10th C. morbid worship of ecclesiastical relics. Permalink 7:46 AM – 28 May 2016

@balajis “Gawker manufactured a story that accused someone of rapeapparently for clicks and giggles” http://www.huffingtonpost.com/larry-womack/james-franco-gawker_b_7816032.html  pic.twitter.com/2Gl2MKfPVL Permalink 11:18 PM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Aristotle’s tomb may be good for local hotels, but conflating fetishism and contribution to knowledge is v. offensive to the philosopher. Permalink 5:00 AM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb Commencement Address at the American University in Beirut http://fooledbyrandomness.com/AUBCommencement.pdf   Permalink 12:13 AM – 28 May 2016

@nntaleb If Omidyar wants to fight for freedom of sp, back reals journos fighting power, not scum Gawker prying on 21 y.o.!!!https://twitter.com/business/status/736358883636174848   Permalink 11:47 PM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Bankrupting immoral journalists is good for journalism.https://twitter.com/lkoturner/status/736203748096118784   Permalink 7:42 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb I find it a very honorable use of one’s money to bankrupt sites like Gawker. Thank you Peter Theil.https://twitter.com/lkoturner/status/736203748096118784   Permalink 7:40 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb It appears that the Thiel vs Gawker is about skin in the game for journos. Sorry journos, but you won’t escape SITGhttps://twitter.com/_ravisun/status/736193591798685699   Permalink 7:02 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Compendaria res improbitas: Shortcuts lead to vice, long road to virtue. The Artisan’s life https://www.facebook.com/nntaleb/posts/10153860152453375  pic.twitter.com/6yJO40wtb3 Permalink 6:54 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb My experience: journos label as “thin skinned” those who make them accountable/responsible for their actions.https://twitter.com/Cimmerian999/status/736179882305179648   Permalink 6:42 AM – 27 May 2016

@MichialFarmer @lkoturner @nntaleb Do you think posting sex tapes of private citizens qualifies as “good journalism,” then? Permalink 3:16 AM – 27 May 2016

@nntaleb Enlightnment heroes, when framed sanctiness of “freedom of expression”,did not have Gawker & Engligh Tabloidism in mind. Delenda Gawker Permalink 1:45 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb As @RyanHoliday shows,defending Gawker that drives 21 yo to contemplate suicide in the name of 1rst amnd is criminalpic.twitter.com/hOIe1NlAFQ Permalink 1:38 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb 2) The purpose of the freedom of speech/1st amendment is not to favor sellers of voyeurism/gawkerism. Voyeurism hijacks freedom of speech. Permalink 1:14 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb 1)Don’t believe the “Gawker goes after the poweful” scam. They punish the weak. Voyeurism is not journalism. Kapish?pic.twitter.com/hSfoNTuOqF Permalink 1:11 PM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb Squid in and Lebanese rose in Beirut. Pasta >> risotopic.twitter.com/fAQ2PNLEus Permalink 10:28 AM – 26 May 2016

@jc8136 @oiwoods You should rather be appalled that only a rich guy can afford such a case! @nntaleb @POLITICOMag Permalink 4:43 AM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb Gawer has destroyed lives of college students by posting videos ag their will. &they bullied them using their power. @oiwoods @POLITICOMag Permalink 4:33 AM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb 2/ In other words, voyeurism should not be the province of the press. Permalink 4:26 AM – 26 May 2016

@nntaleb Calling Gawker a “digital publisher” is equivalent to calling the mafia a “social club” or manure a”natural perfume”https://twitter.com/POLITICOMag/status/735664105453916160   Permalink 4:05 AM – 26 May 2016

Syria, Minority Rule, An Ounce of Algebra, The Null Hypothesis | Twitter

@nntaleb Mr Lakens, please kindly show where my equations were “discovered” in that paper and explain the claim of “re-invented” p-value. @lakens Permalink 2:19 AM – 26 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Is it me or a Kafkaesque absurdity? Europe allows Saudi Barbaria to teach/promote Salafi hatred in cities while locally”fighting” terrorism. Permalink 3:59 PM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Heuristic: if you have a difficult equation to solve, ask a physicist or an engineer, never a real mathematician. @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 2:36 PM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Real world math NEEDS to be robust to assumptions. Our message in RWRI http://www.realworldrisk.com   @dsquareddigest @Tayeste88 Permalink 2:19 PM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb “An ounce of algebra is worth a ton of verbal argument” is from Haldane, a biologist with brains. @Tayeste88 Permalink 2:14 PM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb An ounce of algebra is worth a ton of verbal argument. Mathematics is not sufficient but necessary to remove the BS. @Tayeste88 Permalink 2:01 PM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb No longer capable of reading “scientific” text w/discourse/graphs. Either math (w/comments), or humanities, nothing in between.#barbell Permalink 12:43 PM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb OK, here is the metadistribution of “power of test” for specific p. @ceptional pic.twitter.com/lZMvyObXrT Permalink 8:52 AM – 25 Mar 2016

@TalebBot The ancient Mediterranean : before monotheism, people changed and exchanged rites and gods as we do with ethnic food. Permalink 7:20 AM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Ystrdy in front of St Patrick’s Cathedral in NY Salafi fellow blasted Salafi prayers. Blast Byzantine vespers in Riyadh & you’d be beheaded. Permalink 7:09 AM – 25 Mar 2016

@nntaleb FINAL Version: Dense paper on p-values without the verbose cluelessness of soc science http://fooledbyrandomness.com/pvalues.pdf   video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qrfSh07rT0   Permalink 5:57 AM – 25 Mar 2016

@KS1729 @nntaleb very nice. Two improbably elegant ones by Ramanujan. Thought you might appreciate. pic.twitter.com/sdKhBSva1u Permalink 3:48 PM – 24 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Actually for 0< p < 1/2 pi ! Even better Permalink 3:41 PM – 24 Mar 2016

@nntaleb Come on, appreciate the beauty ! @nils_petter87 Permalink 2:01 PM – 24 Mar 2016

@nntaleb 2) Spent the night trying the most possibly elegant mathematical expression for metadist of p-values. Exciting! pic.twitter.com/mfidYvNjCx Permalink 1:39 PM – 24 Mar 2016

@TalebBot Life is about execution rather than purpose. Permalink 1:20 PM – 24 Mar 2016

@nntaleb P-Value: Woke up at night: the “null hypothesis” is a set of measure 0 ! New version http://fooledbyrandomness.com/pvalues.pdf   Video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qrfSh07rT0   Permalink 5:16 AM – 24 Mar 2016

@nntaleb A fun fun book to read for those who like an intellectual James Bond. http://www.amazon.com/Secret-Fatima-Peter-J-Tanous/dp/1504035119/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1458820088&sr=1-1&keywords=peter+tanous+fatima   https://twitter.com/PeterJTanous/status/710233158449496066   Permalink 4:48 AM – 24 Mar 2016

One Bank, The Clinton System, Erudition, Minority Rule, SITG | Facebook

My Bank of England Seminar will be webcast.

Date: Thursday 18 February 2016Time: 4.15-6pmVenue: Moorgate Auditorium, 20…


Hillary Monsanto-Malmaison and husband (sort of) Bill Clinton represent the reverse skin of the game, that is the worst of the worst of unethical politics. It consists in the use of public office to subsequently get legally rich. Gaming the system is legal but not ethical.

You don’t become a Jesuit priest because it is good on your CV, and because those who leave the orders get great positions in the lay sector. Likewise a political position is not a stepping stone for enrichment.

Interestingly, electors worldwide are getting the point (with the reverse TonyBlairing of UK politics). But not the journos and people who work within the system.


  • The Clinton System
  • The Clinton System
  • The Clinton System

Additional reason I am more impressed by erudition than what is commonly called “intelligence” or skills, or something of the sort. To have erudition requires *not* reading the newspapers.

This is a *via negativa* statement.


It hit me from the origin of the term halal that morality has minority dynamics. Added to the minority rule.


Nassim Nicholas Taleb's photo.

We don’t know what we are tawking about when we tawk about risk.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's photo.


Humphrey Bogard and his friend infiltrated a Nazi cell in New York, impersonating two Nazi engineers. They had to bluff their way by answering questions when they really didn’t know anything about the subject matter.

It can also work as a hoax: just give a speech that says nothing but looks technical.

Fortune Cookie Science, SITG, Richard Dawkins, 2016, Squid Ink, Minority Rule

FORTUNE-COOKIE SCIENCE (Facebook), definition: an understanding of science, probability & rationality obtained via slogans of the type found in Chinese restaurants’ fortune cookies, particularly easy to spread on the web.

The other night at a party. (Facebook)
“How do your books differ from those of [X]?”.
Me: “I don’t know I don’t often read contemporary authors, and odds are I will never read “X”.
She: “But you are writing books for an audience, no? You are responsible to tell the audience how you compare to others.”
Me: “Do you have a boyfriend?”
She: “Yes, he is here.”
Me: “Did you ask him how he compares in bed to other men at the party or is it something you found out by yourself?”




Thanks for the symposium on risks. (Facebook)  The article came out in the WSJ. But I wasn’t aware of company: almost fainted.

Anyway wrote only 2 Op-Eds in 2015: NYT and WSJ. The rule is to stay below 3.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Real Financial Risks of 2016


Last email from 2015. (Facebook)  Our paper debunking Pinker’s thesis was accepted by a stat journal Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Applications.

Science Wins! In the months that it took us to publish this our paper was under the scrutiny of professional probabilists and statisticians who deal with Extreme Events, whose comments we collected and incorporated while Pinker and his goons were active in the press, on blogs and social media spreading stawman-clueless commentary.

Happy Science. Happy 2016!

PS- More generally I have to describe the “Pinker fallacy” under fat tails. His claim is sort of, to put it in statistical or scientific terms: “Violence has dropped by .00001 standard deviations. Let us explain WHY.”
PPS- Confirms my idea that, in science, a single comment by a mathematician can outweigh those by a billion BS vendors.

Our paper is here: