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Tag Archives: EBOLA

EBOLA: A simplified model extracting the effect of uncertainty

EBOLA: A simplified model extracting the effect of uncertainty, & why should ignore the “empiricism of the idiot”. https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B8nhAlfIk3QIdlJNSXo1dkMzOVU/view?pli=1 Ebola.pdf – Google Drive via EBOLA: A simplified model extracting the effect… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

EBOLA. You need to focus on growth rate, not number of victims

EBOLA. You need to focus on growth rate, not number of victims –in other words the 2nd order, not first order effect, the nonlinearity. — [Added: Something that doubles every 24 days multiplies by 37,000 every year. The doubing period is 15-20 days in Libera. So the idea proposed by Yaneer Bar Yam is to […]