Category Archives: Twitter

Popperian Science, Mimi Sheraton, Academic Freedom, Trump

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https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/627104147456679936

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/627069773059260416

1,000 Foods To Eat Before You Die: A Food Lover’s Life List (Paperback)

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/627068479183716352

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/626385993562763264

The death of Popperian Science. Culprits: Media and Science Journos. pic.twitter.com/b9G5BZXE02

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 31, 2015
Discussing longevity (#lindyeffect) w/@mimisheraton food critic for 65 y. Review of her book. amazon.com/review/R… pic.twitter.com/jdhEnnBnsa

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 31, 2015
1,000 Foods To Eat Before You Die: A Food Lover’s Life List (Paperback)

Was asked to define academic freedom: 1) “F*** you money”, 2) have most of your friends outside academia, 3) work in cafés. Allways been so.

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 31, 2015
This is the tragedy. That the only non-fake politician is a lunatic. twitter.com/NKondrat…

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 29, 2015

The Mathiness of Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Certainly, mathematics is a powerful tool for gaining insight into the natural world, but Taleb’s “Precautionary Principle” is no Principia Mathematica. It would be overly generous to call it a mathematical argument; “The Precautionary Principle” would be more accurately described as mathiness1. Rather than set out a rigorous argument, it uses things that feel like mathematics – graphs, equations, and technical definitions – to provide a veneer of rigor to an ideological agenda. Critically, it lacks the precision of language and the careful attention to assumptions that lie at the foundation of mathematical reasoning.

Source: The Mathiness of Nassim Nicholas Taleb

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/625403098622730240

Hacker News discussion.

Can the GMO shills send us another mathematician to “debunk” PP? The only 2 flaws Merberg found were HIS mistakes. https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/response.pdf …

Third Wives, Trump, Dark Act, Traders,

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https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/626094320928493568

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/625347825522577410

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/625339397442039808

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/624983948335161344

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/624887531805519872

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/624518619188338688

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/624296213710512128

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/624246308459581441

An excellent estmator of net worth is the difference in age between a man and his third wife.

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 28, 2015

Those who didn’t see the possibility of Trump leading with big margin are now predicting that he will go away. 2nd order failure #blackswan

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 26, 2015

Advocates of the Dark Act banning GMO labeling are using paternalistic arguments that can be used to prevent release of *any* information.

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 26, 2015

Successful traders have their mind on losses; the poor ones focus on profits. (ignore the”contrarian”designation) twitter.com/trengrif…

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 25, 2015

Skin in the game forces redistribution as the wealthy will need to remain exposed to downside risk. twitter.com/BrankoMi…

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 25, 2015

To repeat, 1) there is NO study of systemic (tail) risks of GMOs, 2) our Prec Princpl is “nonnaive”, pro-risktaking. arxiv.org/abs/1410….

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 24, 2015

If you share the Hayekian-Popperian aversion to “largescale utopian social engineering” but accept GMOs and don’t see the contradiction …

— NassimNicholasTaleb (@nntaleb) July 23, 2015

The Precautionary Principle applied to Climate problems in the presence of model error

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https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/622764064977104896

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/622752410486874112

The Precautionary Principle applied to Climate problems in the presence of model error. pic.twitter.com/WpLqvzqHpr
And this is the mathematical backup of why more skepticism should increase precaution, not other way around https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/50282823/mathbehindpp.pdf

As technology increases, misunderstanding of ruin by a very small number of people is sufficient to guarantee ruin

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https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/622407350482305024

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/622375840144302080

https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/622127777064595456

As technology increases, misunderstanding of ruin by a very small number of people is sufficient to guarantee ruin Greece: Neither those who made the decision to borrow nor those who made the decision to lend had skin in the game. “Other people’ money”.
Friday probability quiz. X has 2 children. One of them is a girl. What is the probability of the other one being a girl?