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Ottomans, GMOs, Saudi Barbaria, Macron, Brazil | Twitter

@nntaleb RWRI 7 now open: Feb 5-9 2018 http://realworldrisk.com/   Listening to Robert Fry @financequant lecturing on chaotic systems. pic.twitter.com/xeaR9Oanj6 Permalink 8:52 AM – 15 Nov 2017

@dhavalpanchal Enterpreunership : Leprechaun’s – playful mischief over purpose. Don’t get imprisioned by ur biz plan. Inspired from #rwri session by @nntaleb. Errors & jumps to conclusions all mine. pic.twitter.com/YOjfJVlftj Permalink 7:06 AM – 15 Nov 2017

@silver_plasmon1 I read Antifragile by Taleb (@nntaleb) 4 times until now. First time I read as a text book to get wisdom to survive. Second time as a memorial statement for Fat Tony. Third time as Das Kapital of Marx with correct mathematics. Fourth time as ethics to know good way to die. Permalink 5:19 AM – 15 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Semitic Philology Du Jour: “I will return in a couple of days” in Lebanese means “I don’t think I can come back any time soon”. Bhal Yawmeyn != in 2 days.https://twitter.com/TribuneWorld/status/930499644504920064   Permalink 10:26 AM – 14 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Ok I need to mend with my Iberic friends: NOTHING is close to the Serrano, etc. Thanks Cesar at the RWRI seminar for the gift pic.twitter.com/4GvoAsdNBI Permalink 5:11 AM – 14 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Which explains why in Levantine left is Shmel from Phoenician/Aramaic not Yassar. Permalink 4:18 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Semitic Philology Du Jour: Yamina (right) in Heb/Aram same root as “Yemen” = South; Smola/Shmola(left) same as “Bledel Shem”= North; “Shami“ =Northerner Permalink 4:11 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@nntaleb PATERNITY TEST: These Leb Arabists fed on fabricated theories of migrations from Arabia are in shock, like someone who went through paternity test & realizes his father isn’t his father. Permalink 3:08 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@GreenRupertRead Why are NGOs sceptical of genome editing? http://embor.embopress.org/content/early/2017/10/30/embr.201744385   > Useful information… Do share! @nntaleb Permalink 2:03 AM – 13 Nov 2017

@MaxBlumenthal No, you effectively called for the network to be destroyed, then demanded the cast of @RedactedTonight quit and take up work for Teen Vogue, which is guest edited this month by Hillary Clinton. What a joke. https://twitter.com/jenafriedman/status/928986700684161025  https://twitter.com/jenafriedman/status/929106195381719040   Permalink 7:59 PM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb In fact people like me (Rum millet for Greek Orthodox) were saved by the Ottomans who unlike Arabs allowed Christians a Byzantine or other identity.https://twitter.com/luciansusanu/status/929859845716619264   Permalink 4:02 PM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb “Geographically, it’s part of the region”: Why do all Arab nationalists bullshit? Athens is MUCH closer than Riyadh. And there is a desert+mountain separating. Permalink 2:55 PM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb People you block feel compelled to read what you post. Permalink 9:52 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Some hope: Collapse of Saudi Barbaria, the most fragile place on the planet. With some compliments about yours truly. https://www.ft.com/content/b2e15d16-c62f-11e7-b2bb-322b2cb39656   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/uZYLxOPNYk”>  pic.twitter.com/uZYLxOPNYk Permalink 5:41 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Solution https://www.dropbox.com/s/4fw33s7ojjvfgmf/GordianNov12.tex?dl=0   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/WihxwsIM0H”>  pic.twitter.com/WihxwsIM0H Permalink 3:37 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@spartanwarriors Objects of precision and aesthetic appeal….a close-up of the Corinthian columns of the Temple of Bacchus, ca. 150 AD in the #Roman Heliopolis (Baalbek, Lebanon) – Photograph: Philip Maaskant pic.twitter.com/imw37brXaj Permalink 3:37 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@AlbertoAtreides What are the main applications of @nntaleb’s ideas to Law and Legal Theory in general? Note that he has explicitly shown us that he’s had influence from Contract Theory Scholastics like Olivi. Curious. It’s something to think upon. pic.twitter.com/2GPLFZwn9J Permalink 2:29 AM – 12 Nov 2017

@GreenRupertRead Brits! Please act on this: Crucial moment here for defending the @PrecPrinciple and stopping GMOs:https://twitter.com/gmfreeze/status/929353070454112256   Permalink 2:37 PM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Gigantic Squid Ink plate. pic.twitter.com/OSKjASCenm Permalink 11:35 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@SamiBarakat1916 Kamal salibi is full of shit and is a pan Arabist funded idiot. Science proves all those shit Arabist theories are wrong Permalink 9:42 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb And gene flow from the Arabian Peninsula is small.https://medium.com/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics/something-nordic-supremacists-will-not-like-44d99e8a4188   Permalink 3:58 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Being part of the Ottoman Empire (500 y) was being part of East Med (“Near East”) on top of 3000 y of Greco-Phoenician-Byzantine. Leb airline was “Trans Mediterranean Airlines”, successor “Middle East Airlines” when Arabs started having $$. Arabization is recent. Permalink 3:57 AM – 11 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Good News: The resentment of Saudi Barbaria in Lebanon, across all communities, is helping the country come back to the Eastern Mediterranean & its Phoenician/Greco-Roman heritage, away from the Middle East. Permalink 3:23 PM – 10 Nov 2017

@beachvetlbc How about freeing this study from a $42 paywall, #Monsanto, so we can share all the information& limitations u don’t want people to read ? Permalink 10:34 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@Learn_lebanese Matal tene чan l’farq bēỹn l’leğa l’lebnēniyé wel leğa l’чarabiyé. #lebaneseVsArabic pic.twitter.com/Qr0MX6GcAH Permalink 9:11 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 3) For those who don’t get it “good neighbor” here doesn’t refer to exchange of holiday gifts, only absence of “tit for tat” & tacit understanding of dynamics. Permalink 8:26 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb 2) these game theoretic situations of coordination w/speaking (Axelrod) are common in the animal kingdom. Permalink 8:16 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Leb Shiites & Israel seem to have unspoken non-agression “good-neighbor” pact unblemished for >11 y. No real territorial claims/sources of dispute. Don’t expect the Israelis to go to war for low-IQ-yet-Napoleonic Saudi w/no skin in the game. Gabish? Permalink 8:04 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The problem with such systems is that the longer you wait to fix it, the worse the collapse. Permalink 7:14 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Problem 4117 from Crux Mathematicorum #FigureThat #math #algebra pic.twitter.com/w1p6Lq4Dcp Permalink 7:12 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath A Followup on Lewis Carroll’s Pillow Problem #FigureThat #math #probability pic.twitter.com/pSbNOm7v3W Permalink 5:40 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@normonics Insulting anyone anonymously will surely only deepen your personal problemshttps://twitter.com/ektrit/status/928977937134694401   Permalink 5:34 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The minority rule caused @GadSaad’s article on the minority rule to be hidden from sight.https://twitter.com/GadSaad/status/928838052734173186   Permalink 4:46 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Added entries to the glossary pic.twitter.com/ez2YYDpip9 Permalink 4:19 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb And remember to NEVER humiliate a bedouin in public. pic.twitter.com/iwbHyEiZZB Permalink 3:31 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Saudi Arabia: with so much accumulated fragility, any reform, no matter if positive or negative, will accelerate collapse. Change is v. bad.https://twitter.com/davidboxenhorn/status/928900942354944000   Permalink 3:13 AM – 10 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Will Macron be hikacked and forced to resign? Unless he builds Wahabi centers, of course.https://twitter.com/afp/status/928724713416912896   Permalink 2:49 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Adding: monoculture (intellektshual) ( at the gym have nothing other than twitter to remember) Permalink 2:35 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Adding: scalability Permalink 2:33 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Adding: merchandizing of virtue. Permalink 2:27 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Last minute addition: The Glossary. Any comments? pic.twitter.com/cSmS7adKrt Permalink 1:49 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Practical Inevitability of Empty Spaces: a collection of tweets in a continued discussion on dart throwing https://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Probability/ProbabilityQuizDuJour2.shtml   Permalink 12:58 PM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Looking for first name and city of residence of TakingHayekSeriously @FriedrichHayek Permalink 11:26 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Publishers put quotes by hotshots on back of books. I hate it. Told them I would get GENUINE quotes from REAL users e.g. “Joe from Denver”. Collecting quotes from readers (and re-readers) of Incerto & drafts of SITG. Please add to this thread. pic.twitter.com/YNXMr9uDND Permalink 11:15 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Nor for us Meds: Bread, olive oil, tapenade/hummus, garlic/herbs, and wine.https://twitter.com/GKCdaily/status/928322305889046528   Permalink 10:57 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Robert Fisk: Hariri was hijacked by Saudi Arabia. #ClownPrinceofSaudiBarbariahttp://www.independent.co.uk/voices/lebanon-prime-minister-saad-hariri-resignation-not-all-seems-quits-resigns-surprise-saudi-arabia-a8045636.html   Permalink 9:46 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb #ClownPrinceofSaudiBarbaria Permalink 7:30 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb My characterization of the Clown Prince of Saudi Barbaria: a low-IQ brat. You can’t be both. Permalink 7:00 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Real mathematics is NOT about solving particular probability riddles. It is about the MOST general solution to a given problem.https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/928592386699202565   Permalink 6:35 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@abdota “Peace: Neither Ink nor Blood” — @nntaleb https://medium.com/incerto/peace-neither-ink-nor-blood-4657956c82ac#—405-628   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/Fy5ahrHyMs”>  pic.twitter.com/Fy5ahrHyMs Permalink 3:42 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb (revision) I wrote the 2 editions of Bed of Procrustes (Incerto, Vol. 3, a book of aphorisms) as tweets under the PROCRUSTEAN BED of 140 ch. limit. No aphorism should exceed ~140 ch. Permalink 2:41 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb I wrote the 2 editions of Bed of Procrustes (Incerto, Vol. 3, a book of aphorisms) as tweets under the 140 character limit. No aphorism should exceed ~140 ch. https://www.amazon.com/Bed-Procrustes-Philosophical-Practical-Aphorisms/dp/0812982401/ref=la_B000APVZ7W_1_5?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1482101294&sr=1-5   Permalink 2:28 AM – 9 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Q: What are you trying to do with Skin in the Game (& the Incerto)? A: Separating the fake from the true in anything: business, scholarship, academia, history, weightlifting, speeches, literature, war, mathematics of probability, politics, food… Permalink 1:50 PM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Resolved. Thanks all! Permalink 1:34 PM – 8 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath Practical Inevitability of Clustering. A collection of excerpts from a discussion that followed @nntaleb’s tweet https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/926038923276627968   https://www.cut-the-knot.org/m/Probability/ProbabilityQuizDuJour1.shtml   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/7EauvdZZyL”>  pic.twitter.com/7EauvdZZyL Permalink 10:55 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Correction. The “anti-corruption” crown prince RECENTLY bought a $500 million yacht. My problem isn’t so much the use of corruption to grab power. It’s the war mongering. The fellow is destroying Yemen. Permalink 10:33 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@Nigel_Farage #NeverForget pic.twitter.com/izfS3N5Wfb Permalink 9:31 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Technical friends: Which browser should I use for that? Thankshttps://twitter.com/DavorVirkes/status/924043928223051776   Permalink 5:43 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The “anti-corruption” crown prince owns a $500 million yacht. Did he buy it with his government salary? Who is being fooled? Who?https://twitter.com/amalsaad_lb/status/928218755309756416   Permalink 4:45 AM – 8 Nov 2017

@CutTheKnotMath You throw 16 darts uniformly randomly on 2D map with 16 squares. What is the probability of getting at least half the squares empty? pic.twitter.com/55AS8c3qrM Permalink 4:25 PM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb OK, OK, not as good. But OK. Permalink 1:50 PM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb T Shirt I got in Brazil x nao e f(x) ( x is not f(x) ) pic.twitter.com/uYWmJKGRPB Permalink 1:49 PM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Ok Ok almost as good. Permalink 7:25 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The Brazilian version of Jamon Iberico tastes even better. pic.twitter.com/6OaXWhEi9Z Permalink 6:58 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Antifragile in Brazil! pic.twitter.com/g1RsXgjYEh Permalink 4:50 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Is (war obsessed) Saudi Arabia socially, culturally, and intellectually one of the most BACKWARD nations on Planet Earth? Permalink 1:32 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Note that Monte Carlo methods for the problem converge very slowly. Combinatorial issues. Permalink 12:58 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb A country that “confiscates”… Not very comforting investors in an IPO. Anyone thinking of “investing” in Saudi Barbaria is an imbecile.https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/927663761594486784   Permalink 12:38 AM – 7 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Can someone explain why S. Barbaria w/GDP= 20K p capita (only oil), Yuge Youth unemployment, unskilled, Yuge deficit, is involved in wars? Permalink 3:38 PM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb No! No!https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/927672843504177152   Permalink 3:31 PM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Either media is stupid, or Saudi rulers are stupid, or both Lebanon did not formally declare war &no common borderhttps://nyti.ms/2hNK7wx   Permalink 1:10 PM – 6 Nov 2017

@snarwani Where is Saad Hariri, and why did his “resignation” as #Lebanon’s PM take even his own party by surprise? Some background: pic.twitter.com/I2AjIZpMx7 Permalink 11:32 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb The square differences. Nonlinearity: it flattens at 405.https://twitter.com/VergilDen/status/927595583195549696   Permalink 10:03 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Brazil pic.twitter.com/DVORB4hpsK Permalink 7:40 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Nudging fails in the only place where I thought it could work: medication routines.http://ja.ma/2j6kieB   Permalink 7:20 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@ggreenwald So much of the vicious, false, coordinated Dem/media attack on Donna Brazile was amazing, illuminating & horrifying. But this took the prizehttps://twitter.com/davidsirota/status/927028822456668160   Permalink 3:44 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb Errata: “with d independent trials” @erugli @CutTheKnotMath Permalink 2:41 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@nntaleb FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS; final solution to the problem https://www.dropbox.com/s/3zriao8cq5u135d/GordianNov5.tex?dl=0   ” target=”_blank”>http://pic.twitter.com/mbIIU2Nl6L”>  pic.twitter.com/mbIIU2Nl6L Permalink 2:35 AM – 6 Nov 2017

@mjd1735 Mohammed bin Salman fired him. So much for “sovereignty”.https://twitter.com/asadabukhalil/status/926895247430361091   Permalink 5:05 PM – 5 Nov 2017

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