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The idea of multiple counterfactuals…

The idea of multiple counterfactuals:When you imagine future outcomes, you change one variable not many together. If you did, you’d have surprises.
http://edge.org/conversation/on-kahneman#25630
ON KAHNEMAN | Edge.org
To arrive at the edge of the world’s knowledge, seek out the most complex and sophisticated minds, put them in a room together, and have them ask each other the questions they are asking themselves.

via The idea of multiple counterfactuals: When you… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

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