The idea of multiple counterfactuals…

The idea of multiple counterfactuals:When you imagine future outcomes, you change one variable not many together. If you did, you’d have surprises.
To arrive at the edge of the world’s knowledge, seek out the most complex and sophisticated minds, put them in a room together, and have them ask each other the questions they are asking themselves.

via The idea of multiple counterfactuals: When you… – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

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