In some domains, “evidence” comes too late. The good news is that we have a methodology to bust these claims and make the difference between *true* and *fake* evidence.
This shows why the Law of Large Numbers makes evidence slower under fat tails (In some domains, only *negative* evidence counts). And this is the method we are using in statistics to bust sloppy and fallacious (mechanistic) thinking by applying an inferential technique on a problem for which we know the answer.
Incidentally this is exactly what Pinker doesn’t get: scientific “evidence” is NOT journalistic fact checking. And this is why I consider that advocates of GMOs on grounds of “science” are dangerous.

Timeline Photos – Nassim Nicholas Taleb.

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