Nassim Nicholas Taleb
The author of the best-selling 2007 book “The Black Swan,” Nassim Nicholas Taleb said last June that the U.S.’s debt situation was worse than that of Greece. “The difference between Europe and the U.S. is the consciousness of the problem,” Taleb said in September. He warned the world’s predicament is more dire than in 2008. “And, we will pay a higher price,” he said in October. “We haven’t done anything constructive in three and a half years. Nobody wants to do anything drastic now.” Asked about these statements, Taleb wrote in an Jan. 12 email: “These are not predictions but statements of riskiness.”
via Apocalypse How? Dire 2012 Forecasts: Pessimistic Prognosticators – Bloomberg.
John, every time I read one of these forecast pieces, I remind myself of Taleb’s aphorism on how some Journalist are reverse-aphorists, and have to read all of them again, unless one is autistic or a nerd, or both.