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Neocons, Saudi Barbaria, IYIs, Localism, David Reich, Holy Week | Twitter


via @trishankkarthik

@nntaleb The mental defects of the neo-cons, from Skin In The Game Permalink 7:34 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@sayed_ridha Patriarchates of Antioch and all the East for the Greek Orthodox, Syrian Orthodox and Greek-Melkite Catholic condemn aggression on Syria. Permalink 7:21 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Some background: among other things, IYI @DAaronovitch was a stauch advocate of the Iraq war (&WMDs). This imbecile is still making pronoucements instead of working as an Uber driver in the London suburbs. Permalink 6:52 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can tell low-intellect NEOCONS: remarks out of a script, randomly selected from “99 negative things to say” In #SkinInTheGame: if neocon babblers can’t think in dynamics (only 1st order thought), it’s bc they are rejects selected to be unimaginative, & incompetent at doing.   Permalink 6:31 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Last night the regime of Saudi Barbaria struck Syria, using its three most faithful agents. Permalink 5:31 AM – 14 Apr 2018

@rory_yeomans This is Britain. This is the new McCarthyite reality. Permalink 3:21 PM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb My 2016 comment on the Syrian war. NOTHING has changed.   Permalink 11:51 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You cannot be both soldier and judge. Permalink 7:48 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A serious problem in the way IYIs (Intellectuals Yet Idiots) frame Syria. They talk about Assad w/o comparing his to the rebels -or as if the rebels were Mother Theresa. They also fail to think in dynamics (what happens after?). #Idiots Permalink 5:48 AM – 13 Apr 2018

@nntaleb When you define yourself as “localist”, nobody frames you in the “partisan” box; both the “left” & the “right” take you for one of them. The only people in favor of centralization are lobbyists, bureaucrats, & DC parasites. Yet the world is centralizing. Permalink 3:17 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@wikileaks POLL: Should the United States military be used to conduct a bombing campaign against the state of Syria? Please retweet for the widest possible poll. Permalink 2:04 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@karthikshaz @RandPaul one of the few sensible rational people left in Washington   @nntaleb @MaxAbrahms Permalink 1:40 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Historians are victims of framing. Malta, Sicily, & Lampedusa, Med islands, are part of “Europe” not “Africa” because…they are Christian. Had they stayed w/Arabs a bit longer, they would now be “African”. Had Tunisia/Algeria stayed Christian, “North Africa” wd be “South Med”. Permalink 1:19 PM – 12 Apr 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Before taking a break, Problem 1 from the APMO 2000:   #FigureThat #math #algebra ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:11 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@jeitoapp Reports from a friend of mine who attended today’s @nntaleb tawk Permalink 8:54 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It is lacking in critical thinking to think that *studying* philosophy will improve your critical thinking.   Permalink 8:47 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@financequant Science is built on falsification, not proof. When you lose that insight, the humility of the genuine skeptic is replaced by the arrogance of scientism. Permalink 7:35 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@MikeTek “If you want to help the world, start a business…we need more risk takers.” @nntaleb dropping the mic (and a few f-bombs) in NYC this morning. Much better than coffee. Permalink 7:07 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@trishankkarthik Popcorn time! Permalink 4:35 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@nntaleb I have never seen a clown publish a book, Mr @KarlreMarks.   Permalink 4:06 AM – 12 Apr 2018

@Cernovich Which country has sponsored the most terrorist attacks on American soil? Permalink 4:54 PM – 11 Apr 2018

@artofmanliness New Podcast: Skin in the Game, with @nntaleb   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:54 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@TMFStoffel A Practical Approach to a Political Divide: This is a brilliant OpEd in the New York Times about the practicality of localism — combinging the efforts of @StrongTowns and it’s anointed patron saint, @nntaleb   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 9:41 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb But the nickname for Vladimir Vladimirovich is “Volodya”.   Permalink 7:53 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@RandPaul Promising war by tweet, insults not only the Constitution but every soldier who puts their life on the line. Permalink 6:52 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@WRatHsChilD_ish Permalink 5:06 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@dpinsen You just signed an omnibus bill that authorized military spending that’s more than double what Russia and China spend on their militaries combined.   Permalink 4:42 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Antifragile. The press overused its weapon against Trump. Aphorism: “ A weapon is something you only use once. Or, preferably, never”   Permalink 3:57 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb In other words, The SouthMed is an extension of Western Eurasia. The naming of continents is arbitrary “Africa” meant Tunisia in Latin. From the magisteria Reich (2018) Permalink 2:52 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Such a narrative/framing would collapse if it were reframed as “First Southern Mediterranean Emperor”. People are suckers for labels.   Permalink 2:33 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Bruno Tertrais is a propagandist. Why is that junk published in L’Orient Le Jour?   via @LorientLeJour Permalink 2:18 AM – 11 Apr 2018

@BruceGodfrey Enjoying @nntaleb in Incerto: “Skin in the Game.” Book is serious but feels like an indulgent vice. You get both Rav Safra at prayer and Taleb’s barber. Makes me want to visit Phoenicia and drink Ksara with the neo-Canaanites. Permalink 7:28 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Prostitutes!   Permalink 2:54 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@iraqschristians Yes, we are asking fellow Americans to please ask @POTUS @VP to not attack Syria. Attacking Syria only emboldens terrorists who aim to destroy Christianity in Syria. These terrorists have crucified Syrian Christians, kidnapped nuns & bishops, & raped Christian women & girls. Permalink 12:46 PM – 10 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Here is the graph of Maximum/Sum showing the imprint of an infinite mean. Permalink 9:56 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@DanielLMcAdams Hey @realDonaldTrump — have a look at this instead of listening to your idiotic neocons. It’s all fake!   Permalink 8:06 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@normonics @nntaleb did you watch this? proposes SITG for all pundits calling for war at the end. Permalink 5:49 AM – 10 Apr 2018

@deadly_onion Most people are focused on “winning” some contrived competition among their peers. Freedom is making the competition irrelevant. @nntaleb (resurfaced by @readwiseio) Permalink 9:37 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb The mechanism, in the U.S., @realDonaldTrump, is still that a person is innocent until proven guilty. It’s a degradation of Western Civilization when the machinery of justice is discharged through the media, the BBC, & “think tanks” funded by Saudi Barbaria. Remember Iraq & WMD   Permalink 6:10 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Or use Max to Sum plot for p^th moment cc: @DrCirillo Permalink 5:43 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb An overview in the right direction (anti-abstract universalism, without naming it), though very polite (soft on BS vendors Pinker & Brooks) @yhazony   Permalink 3:33 AM – 9 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You know something has an infinite mean (or variance) from Monte Carlo simulations when different runs give different results, no matter how large the generated sample.   Permalink 8:50 PM – 8 Apr 2018

@oldlevantine @nntaleb shouldn’t apologize for speaking Phoenician during @GadSaad ‘s chat with the author of Incerto   Permalink 10:26 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@Sophiam1973 The bystander effect – the more people the less moral. Paradoxical cos morality is allegedly designed to make society work. Maybe @nntaleb is right – morality doesn’t scale well. Permalink 3:42 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You want to get your enemies to call you “arrogant”. I’ve never called someone I disrespect “arrogant”, even if they were; I’d say “ignorant” or “fool” or “psychologist”.   Permalink 1:54 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb And in Arabic, the “Arabian Sea” was called the Green Sea. Compatible with: Black=North Green=East White=West Red=South Permalink 1:49 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Philology du jour, chromonaming: In Turkish, the Med is Akdeniz (Ottoman: Bahr-i-Sefid) (WHITE Sea), BLACK & RED Seas are Kara Deniz& Kızıl Deniz. Old Arabic name was “Ba7r El Abyad”( White sea), then “ba7r erRum” now “Mutawassit”). How did the color designations come abt? Permalink 1:36 AM – 8 Apr 2018

@nntaleb ERRATUM (Skin in the Game) Copyeditors can change the meaning of your text “to make it better”, and in a way that escapes your notice. Permalink 11:00 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@MaxAbrahms Students of international relations are taught that even adversaries can generally be understood as essentially rational actors. Not so for #Assad, though.   Permalink 5:06 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Happy Resurrection! Permalink 12:05 PM – 7 Apr 2018

@john_f_hamer @nntaleb : The single best review of Skin In the Game (2018) to come out thus far:   Permalink 7:26 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Roman temple (another) 3.9 miles from Amioun on Google Maps. (3ayn 3ikrin) Permalink 7:19 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb It would be interesting to look at this in connection with the volume paradox.   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:54 AM – 7 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Orthodoxy is alive in Phoenicia. Greek Orthodox Good Friday: I had to stand outside as all churches in Amioun were full, with crowds outside. Permalink 1:28 PM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Everyone likes the “he is an a*****le”   Permalink 6:54 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb On the way back, discovered a narrow road behind my house; never knew it existed. Permalink 6:33 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Motley Fool Interview: Nassim Nicholas Taleb @themotleyfool #stocks   Permalink 6:27 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb From Reich’s book: there are advantages to being of short height in an agricultural society, & tall in a hunting one. Permalink 4:19 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb So that height privilege needs more testing to see if it applies to Northern Eurasia, not the Mediterranean. Permalink 3:33 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Strange: N. W-Eurasians have genes that makes them taller, S. W-Eurasians (Meds) that make them shorter. And negative sayings about height by Meds: “Homo longus rare sapiens” “Tawil habil” “En un corps grand bien rarement, Sagesse prend son ébergement” “Uomo lungo, testa corta”   Permalink 3:31 AM – 6 Apr 2018

@nntaleb You can tell a field is BS when different methods give different solutions. In real science, you get the SAME result NO MATTER what method is used. Observe probability pbms by Maestro Bogomolny @CutTheKnotMath: numerous solutions -some drawing on separate branches of math.   Permalink 2:06 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 2) So according to Arabists, HL Gates is “racist” for being interested in ancestry. Permalink 1:25 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb 1) Low-IQ-Arabists trying to smear as “racist” minorities who don’t identify w/Arabism Clueless: +Not being an Arab doesn’t mean superior or inferior +Arabists started the narrative of descent from Arab tribes + African-Americans interested in their roots are now…racist? Permalink 1:07 PM – 5 Apr 2018

@johndurant This should be good: @tylercowen requests questions he should ask @nntaleb   Permalink 10:58 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Vegan kebbe made with herbs for Orthodox holy week. Permalink 10:14 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Life is much, much easier when you treat all humans as flawed and imperfect, but flawed in quite different ways. Permalink 9:01 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Ixsir (sorry I had wine) Permalink 7:02 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Izair Winery in Northern Canaan, 14.1 miles from Amioun on Google Maps. Permalink 6:51 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@yvessmith Economists’ Dubious Relationship with Trade Policy: Comparative Advantage is a System that Works for the Wealthy   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 2:51 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Mr Greaves, I systematically block people who use labels not reasoning, false analogies and exhibit defects in thinking and empirical representation –in other words babbling idiots — even if they do not interact with me. Gabish? Permalink 12:47 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Correction: it wasn’t Vox but Aeon magazine. Note 1: “France” is a nation with 17 languages because it was the territory of the king, not Phoenicia because they were city-states. Note 2: Phoenician writings have been destroyed; historians don’t get SAMPLING BIAS. #Klueless Permalink 12:33 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb A lot of idiots-Arabists are citing a Vox article saying “Phoenicians didn’t exist” because… they weren’t organized as a nation 1-They had a clear genetic differentiation (@PZalloua) on PCA (+language) 2-Argument cancels every “nation” that didn’t share a common ruler   Permalink 12:09 AM – 5 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Whatever you say about Trump, nonbureaucrats & people who spent time w/skininthegame like to *close* deals. Bureaucrats let situations rot for decades. Decades. Decades. Next: *close* deal with Iran, please.   Permalink 11:52 PM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Antifragile, nonlinearity of iatrogenics   Permalink 2:24 PM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb David Reich’s book: buy two copies, just in case you lose one.   Permalink 12:09 AM – 4 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Holy week in Greek Orthodox Phoenicia: vegan food, arak, and rose wine. Permalink 10:57 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@nntaleb OK, OK, there is a second lecktchur in NY.   Permalink 9:30 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@nntaleb If Fat Tony got on some diet (say w/beeds & Brus sprouts/miso soup, thatkindofstuff), & became the “Formerly Fat Tony” (or Formerly Horizontally Challenged Tony), would he lose his charm, persona, etc.? In other words would the thin, “Formerly Fat Tony” still be “Fat Tony”? Permalink 9:05 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid M4 Competition:   ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 12:40 AM – 3 Apr 2018

@SylviaNetwork “Nunca digas ‘No’ dos veces si lo dices en serio” y otros aforismos de @nntaleb:   Permalink 5:54 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@spyrosmakrid The major finding is: ”The forecasting accuracy of ML forecasting methods is lower than the worst of statistical ones while the accuracy of more than half the ML methods is lower than a random walk”. M4 Competition:   will solve the accuracy issue. Permalink 5:11 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@REXvsDeji The yardstick for measuring rationality is survival, not intellectual constructs that are only relevant to…..intellectuals. So mocking lay people for using crude heuristics to navigate the world is just signalling. Remember the segment he posted online. Permalink 4:52 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@Cholagio It would be a biggest understatement to say that I was excited to meet @nntaleb Meeting people that have inspired you is tricky, as you never know who they turn out to be. Permalink 4:45 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Interventionistas Outraged Over Trump’s Syria Withdrawal: “We Took The Oil. We’ve Got To Keep The Oil” | Zero Hedge   Permalink 12:13 AM – 2 Apr 2018

@phl43 En France on appelle ça des fonctionnaires.   Permalink 2:01 PM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Like Orthodox Chanting Permalink 9:55 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb With 4 Armenians. Permalink 9:31 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Khachapuri in Tbilisi Permalink 9:25 AM – 1 Apr 2018

@nntaleb Georgia was part of Antioch, then Moscow. And happy Palm Sunday! Permalink 10:25 PM – 31 Mar 2018

@alexandersquats .@nntaleb   Permalink 4:47 PM – 31 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Actually, not Zoroastrian. Must be Nestorian or ancient Pagan. Permalink 2:46 PM – 30 Mar 2018

@mikeandallie After a day of running the kids all over the place, a glass of wine and @nntaleb book recommendation Permalink 2:07 PM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Ashoura rites come from the same ancient Christian source. Same with some aspects of ancient Soufism, & some Zoroastrianism.   Permalink 8:23 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Tbilisi: Signs in Georgian and English; people speak Georgian and Russian. Permalink 7:26 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@JYuter “If you give an opinion, and someone follows it, you are morally obligated to be, yourself, exposed to its consequences.” – @nntaleb Skin in the Game There’s some aspect of this in Torah regarding halakhic decision making Permalink 6:27 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb First book review by an academic (a political scientist no less) who did not get offended.   Permalink 3:31 AM – 30 Mar 2018

@nntaleb I mean you can detect who feels rich based on how much they talk about money. Permalink 10:58 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@nntaleb The definition of wealth is thought to be relative, proportional to neighbors, or one’s aims, etc. No: Is wealthy he or she who doesn’t talk about money. Permalink 10:42 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@CutTheKnotMath Taking Turns to Toss a Die   #FigureThat #math #probability ” target=”_blank”>”> Permalink 8:03 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@nntaleb Chartwell Speakers, can you IMMEDIATELY remove me as a speaker from your page? This is despicable, putting people’s bio as if you represented them. I am not a lecture bureau commodity. @Chartwell_Ideas Permalink 7:23 AM – 29 Mar 2018

@navydish Jobs on consulting. Is this what @nntaleb’s skin in the game is about? “Coming in and making recommendations but not owning the implementation results in a fraction of the value and opportunity to learn and get better. You do get a broad cut at companies but it is very thin.” Permalink 2:44 AM – 29 Mar 2018

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