Category Archives: Pdf

nntaleb: Chap from the nw essay on ROBUSTNESS & FRAGILITY (2nd Ed of TH BLCK SWN in US/UK, sprt bk in Eu/Asia) http://TwitPWR.com/GmF/ [Fixed]

nntaleb: Chap from the nw essay on ROBUSTNESS & FRAGILITY (2nd Ed of TH BLCK SWN in US/UK, sprt bk in Eu/Asia) http://TwitPWR.com/GmF/ pdf download [Fixed]


Loved this- really, so many of our mistakes seem to lead simply from the poor choice of words.
Pg.320:

For consider the opposite: differences without a distinction. They can be brutally misleading. People use the same term, measuring, for measuring a table using a ruler, and for measuring risk—when the second is a forecast, or something of the sort. And the word measuringconveys an illusion of knowledge that can be severely distorting: we will see that we are psychologically very vulnerable to terms used and how things are framed. So if we used measuringfor the table, and forecastingfor risk, we would have fewer turkeys blowing up from Black Swans.

For those of us who have been following NNT’s Tweets, this will sound familiar.

So I am currently torn between (a) my desire to spend time mulling my ideas in European cafés and in the tranquility of my study, or looking for someone who can have a conversation while walking slowly in a nice urban setting, and (b) the feeling of obligation to engage in activism to ro- bustify society, by talking to uninteresting people and being immersed in the cacophony of the unaesthetic journalistic and media world, going to Washington to watch phonies in suits walking around the streets, having to defend my ideas while making an effort to be smooth and hide my dis- respect.

nntaleb: The return of Fat Tony (comments welcome)

[I’m going to ‘sticky’ this to the top of the blog for a couple of weeks to make sure everyone stopping by sees it. The links are to draft chapters of NNT’s major update to The Black Swan. He’s asked for comments, please consider posting your comments here.]

nntaleb: The return of Fat Tony http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTony1.pdf (comments welcome)

nntaleb: Fat Tony out-argues Socrates the Athenian, an argumentative man www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTony2.pdf (comnts welcome…but not abt typos)

Nassim N. Taleb – Bio

Shared by JohnH

Want to book NNT for a talk? Here’s his listing at his agent’s page.

Nassim N. Taleb


Bestselling Author of The Black Swan, Trader, Philosopher, Expert on Risk and Uncertainty, and Flâneur

The world’s foremost thinker on
probability and uncertainty.


Highlights

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He transformed his interests into three successful careers—as a man of letters, a businessman-trader-risk manager, and a university professor.

Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa Investments LP.

His books, Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages with more than 3 million copies in print. The Black Swan idea is currently inspiring research papers in philosophy, statistics, psychology, economics, medical research, epidemiology, political science, and engineering.

  • Taleb specializes in uncertainty and errors in human knowledge, teaching us how to deal with unpredictability.
  • He is one of the few people who can both walk the walk and talk the talk. He both predicted the economic crisis and made a personal fortune out of it.
  • He specializes in making a living out of human’s misunderstanding of uncertainty.
  • A polymath, he taught in fields so far apart as the psychology of uncertainty and human error, and the mathematics of finance.