nntaleb: How to become TOTALLY indestructible http://TwitPWR.com/Gyj/ (in Added Essay to 2nd Ed TBS http://TwitPWR.com/Gyl/)
Category Archives: Pdf
nntaleb: Chap from the nw essay on ROBUSTNESS & FRAGILITY (2nd Ed of TH BLCK SWN in US/UK, sprt bk in Eu/Asia) http://TwitPWR.com/GmF/ [Fixed]
nntaleb: Chap from the nw essay on ROBUSTNESS & FRAGILITY (2nd Ed of TH BLCK SWN in US/UK, sprt bk in Eu/Asia) http://TwitPWR.com/GmF/ pdf download [Fixed]
Loved this- really, so many of our mistakes seem to lead simply from the poor choice of words.
Pg.320:
For consider the opposite: differences without a distinction. They can be brutally misleading. People use the same term, measuring, for measuring a table using a ruler, and for measuring risk—when the second is a forecast, or something of the sort. And the word measuringconveys an illusion of knowledge that can be severely distorting: we will see that we are psychologically very vulnerable to terms used and how things are framed. So if we used measuringfor the table, and forecastingfor risk, we would have fewer turkeys blowing up from Black Swans.
For those of us who have been following NNT’s Tweets, this will sound familiar.
So I am currently torn between (a) my desire to spend time mulling my ideas in European cafés and in the tranquility of my study, or looking for someone who can have a conversation while walking slowly in a nice urban setting, and (b) the feeling of obligation to engage in activism to ro- bustify society, by talking to uninteresting people and being immersed in the cacophony of the unaesthetic journalistic and media world, going to Washington to watch phonies in suits walking around the streets, having to defend my ideas while making an effort to be smooth and hide my dis- respect.
nntaleb: The return of Fat Tony (comments welcome)
[I’m going to ‘sticky’ this to the top of the blog for a couple of weeks to make sure everyone stopping by sees it. The links are to draft chapters of NNT’s major update to The Black Swan. He’s asked for comments, please consider posting your comments here.]
nntaleb: The return of Fat Tony http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTony1.pdf (comments welcome)
nntaleb: Fat Tony out-argues Socrates the Athenian, an argumentative man www.fooledbyrandomness.com/FatTony2.pdf (comnts welcome…but not abt typos)
Nassim N. Taleb – Bio
Shared by JohnH
Want to book NNT for a talk? Here’s his listing at his agent’s page.
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Nassim N. TalebBestselling Author of The Black Swan, Trader, Philosopher, Expert on Risk and Uncertainty, and Flâneur
probability and uncertainty. Nassim Nicholas Taleb has devoted his life to immersing himself in problems of luck, randomness, human error, probability, and the philosophy of knowledge. He transformed his interests into three successful careers—as a man of letters, a businessman-trader-risk manager, and a university professor. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute and Principal of Universa Investments LP. His books, Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan have been published in 31 languages with more than 3 million copies in print. The Black Swan idea is currently inspiring research papers in philosophy, statistics, psychology, economics, medical research, epidemiology, political science, and engineering.
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nntaleb: One added section to The Black Swan http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/asperger.pdf
Shared by JohnH
“I am adding close to 100 pages to The Black Swan (much deeper[*] philosophical material) for the paperback version (May 2010).”
HatTip to Dave Lull
nntaleb: One added section to The Black Swan http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/asperger.pdf

