Shared by JohnH
Nice Find! HatTip to Dave Lull.
Before that, he’s writing his next one-man show, Why There is No Hope, a ‘cutting-edge’ satirical production based on philosopher and finance mathematician Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Black Swan th…
Shared by JohnH
Nice Find! HatTip to Dave Lull.
Before that, he’s writing his next one-man show, Why There is No Hope, a ‘cutting-edge’ satirical production based on philosopher and finance mathematician Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s Black Swan th…
The Future Has Thicker Tails than the Past: Model Error as Branching Counterfactuals
Nassim Nicholas Taleb NYU-Poly
May 23, 2011
Abstract:
Ex ante predicted outcomes should be interpreted as counterfactuals (potential histories), …
Formal Map of Antifragility (technical)
I was thinking of counterfeit currencies, which a trained eye can immediately recognize; most products (food, clothes, objects, banking, news) made by corporations are counterfeit.
Friends I need help. There are two sets of figures representing Antifragility (1-3, 4-6). Which set should I pick? Which one is easier to understand?Thanks in advance.http://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/figures.pdfhttp://www.fooledbyrandomness.com/figure…