{"id":9145,"date":"2020-09-12T01:47:59","date_gmt":"2020-09-12T08:47:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=9145"},"modified":"2020-09-12T01:48:22","modified_gmt":"2020-09-12T08:48:22","slug":"saudi-arabia-iq-u-s-academia-david-graeber-true-wealth-harari-nate-silverballouxfrancois-rwri-14-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2020\/09\/saudi-arabia-iq-u-s-academia-david-graeber-true-wealth-harari-nate-silverballouxfrancois-rwri-14-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Saudi Arabia, IQ, U.S. Academia, David Graeber, TRUE WEALTH, Harari, Nate Silver,@BallouxFrancois, #RWRI 14 | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n<div class=\"vlp-link-container vlp-layout-basic wp-block-visual-link-preview-link\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lepoint.fr\/postillon\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-ou-comment-vivre-heureux-dans-un-monde-imprevisible-30-08-2020-2389551_3961.php?Echobox=1598775925#xtor=CS1-32-%5BEchobox%5D\" class=\"vlp-link\" title=\"Nassim Nicholas Taleb ou\u00a0comment vivre heureux dans un monde impr\u00e9visible\" rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\"><\/a><div class=\"vlp-layout-zone-side\"><div class=\"vlp-block-2 vlp-link-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.lepoint.fr\/images\/2020\/08\/30\/20650679lpw-20657139-article-jpg_7311359_540x282.jpg\" style=\"max-width: 150px; max-height: 150px\" \/><\/div><\/div><div class=\"vlp-layout-zone-main\"><div class=\"vlp-block-0 vlp-link-title\">Nassim Nicholas Taleb ou\u00a0comment vivre heureux dans un monde impr\u00e9visible<\/div><div class=\"vlp-block-1 vlp-link-summary\">Nassim Nicholas Taleb, \u00e9crivain, statisticien et essayiste, professeur d\u2019ing\u00e9nierie du risque \u00e0 l\u2019universit\u00e9\u00a0de New York.<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/fooledbyrandomness.com\/LePoint2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Taleb, le penseur qui va changer votre vie<\/a> (pdf)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/d-UKAjeXqPU\"?rel=0\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We discuss 1) the errors in ignoring scaling for pandemics, why a doctor&#8217;s micro-expertise doesn&#8217;t transfer to collective risks, 2) how evidence based medicine is closer to anecdote based medicine owing to silent risks, 3) the risks of morbidity must be accounted for 4) how the dangers of vaccines do not scale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>@nntaleb What&#8217;s the betting market for Saudi Arabia before Nov 1? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304539770253647872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 21:58:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Beirut Airport. 100% go through PCR testing before entering, on top of the need to produce a 72h test. I believe that overactive testing (even if high error rate) + masks + constraining superspreaders effectively allow you to keep functioning. Cheaper than lockdowns. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304507550788915201\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 19:50:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Among other defects, &#8220;science oriented&#8221; quacks don&#8217;t get the arrow of time. For instance, this crank Ivor Cummins @FatEmperor doesn&#8217;t realize the difference between flying today (knowing what we know today) &amp; flying June 7 (knowing what we knew then). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304506169172656128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 19:44:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Among other defects, &#8220;science oriented&#8221; quacks don&#8217;t get the arrow of time. For instance, this crank Ivor Cummins @FatEmperor doesn&#8217;t realize the difference between flying today (knowing what we know today) &amp; flying June 7 (knowing what we knew than). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304505409517105153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 19:41:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fuck, no. This is fake credentials to het benefits. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304474871280349185\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 17:40:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb En route to the Phoenician coast. I am told that this may prevent jet lag. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304433200928784388\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 14:54:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/ Yes, nitpickers &amp; other idiots, such a filter will fail to select people who got recently infected. But the point is not abt individuals, but the system. All you need is the growth rate to collapse. Fewer pple infected \u279c fewer pple infected \u279c Fewer <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304357382626082816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 09:53:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb CHROMOCLASSIFICATION is absurd, infused with political motivations &amp; exploited by groups leeching on the historical suffering of a certain group. Instead use &#8220;historically disfavored groups&#8221;. Americans from Indian origin have the highest income, shd be excluded. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304355236665012224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 09:44:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb On a transatlantic flight: every passenger &amp; crew member must be COVID negative (w\/72h test validity). Overactive testing is the solution. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304353578807631873\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 09:38:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ahla!!!! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304220563225935873\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-11 00:49:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ahla! Min w\u00e9n hiyy\u00e9? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304166707867652096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-10 21:15:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This also confirms. But I initially got 1\/48 analytically <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1304061526567989248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-10 14:17:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 1\/42 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303789634208620546\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-09 20:17:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Excellent! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303748367550423041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-09 17:33:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Something like an amuse-gueule <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303718554060099589\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-09 15:34:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The first Livias were Swedish and\/or Swiss <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303675478188929024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-09 12:43:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Qual \u00e8 il tuo personaggio preferito in &#8220;Commissario Montalbano&#8221;? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303421691763322881\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 19:55:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I like it that John Clesse likes my books. But I like it much much better that he both likes my books and hates Pinker&#8217;s. https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/09\/03\/books\/review\/john-cleese-by-the-book-interview.html <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303406809353523200\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 18:56:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Doesn&#8217;t mean infinite mean deviation. Only that the 2nd moment is undefined. Can explain next #RWRI <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303406157793501189\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 18:53:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How many people on the *true* left disagree with this? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303308311232684032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 12:24:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb All #Ponzi schemers enter a phase of denial. #RiadPonzi <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303307930935201792\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 12:23:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Too much diversity among doctors. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303304045344493569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 12:07:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Another interesting thing: Tower of Babel is migdal Babel in Heb. Same as &#8220;Majdl l 3a2oura&#8221; or \u0645\u062c\u062f\u0644 \u0639\u0646\u062c\u0631 @Marcellenassif @HsenAndil <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303301814402658305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 11:59:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 13 \u00bd years after The Black Swan someone formally investigated my statement about the tail difference between SCALABLE (authors) and NONSCALABLE (dentist, prostitute) occupations. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303296171839033346\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-08 11:36:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Swimming distance. Me too. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303041732465119232\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 18:45:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PHILOLOGICAL CONFUSION DU JOUR: TOWER (\u03c0\u03cd\u03c1\u03b3\u03bf\u03c2) A Is the Homeric Greek \u03c0\u03cd\u03c1\u03b3\u03bf\u03c2 origin for \u0628\u0631\u062c burj, (itself perhaps from Urartian) via Syriac \u0726\u0718\u072a\u0713\u0733\u0718\u0723 or \u0712\u0718\u072a\u0713\u0710 or is there a common root? [BrgiBorges, Borgia] B What is the connection to a) appearance b) divination [See below] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303040427625455618\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 18:40:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Are you in Cyprus now? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303031419560693761\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 18:04:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Block trolls. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303009963481214977\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 16:39:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb CLueless <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1303006314549915649\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 16:24:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Summary thread. A forecast MUST account for its own error. Since small probabilities are convex, uncertainty raises them. Nate Silver &amp; Phil the Rat&#x1f401; @PTetlock didn&#8217;t get that ALL methods end up converging to the same price (Tetlock&#x1f401; never understood the Brier Score). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302991849695645696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 15:27:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb L tarjam\u00e9 taba3 Google <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302989241681616896\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 15:16:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, do we have data on COVID infection rates for flight attendants &amp; others from exposures in airplanes? Thanks. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302928570768125952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-07 11:15:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We have plenty, in Greek and Latin. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302700536177795073\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 20:09:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fucking imbecile, populations are not defined by nations. Imbecile. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302695660815364097\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 19:50:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Jaydeh hiyy\u00e9 modernista te3rib! Mni7a bleghghetna! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302688985148514304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 19:23:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lebnen: Men l Ponzi lal Te3dir (Antifragility) by @BLebnene <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302688444821446657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 19:21:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Much of the problems of modernity is taking religion literally and science metaphorically, rather than the reverse. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302664701994823680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 17:47:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;We&#8221; changes over time intergenerationally. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302663770754383874\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 17:43:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) thread <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302645509828599809\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 16:31:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A Phoenician revival in Sicily when AUB trained-inspired Orientalistidiots-Arabista-mononculturistic fascists &amp; halfrained thinktank losers are trying to repress it in #Lebanon as a &#8220;sectarian&#8221; thing. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302645342320689153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 16:30:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb RWRI slides <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302607157721018369\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 13:58:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you are going for squid ink, Beirut is better. If you are going for Data Science, another story. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302601343392153600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 13:35:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Block idiots <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302601150403837952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 13:34:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Try the $49.95 worldwide guaranteed price at the Scribe store @zachobront https:\/\/thescribestore.com\/collections\/frontpage\/products\/statistical-consequences-of-fat-tails-by-nassim-taleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302586676821331969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 12:37:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Squid ink in Cyprus is indeed one of the best. But Beirut&#8217;s squid ink is better. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302585883602964485\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 12:34:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bent&#8217;s reply. Never engage in a large scale project without looking at his work on overruns. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302584575609262080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 12:28:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Today&#8217;s tools used by IQ mongers such as the mountebank @charlesmurray (of the bell curve) have the same statistical validity as Le Bon&#8217;s cranium theories. And academics swallowed it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302584209152892929\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 12:27:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In a lectshur presenting AF <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302582998332837894\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 12:22:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb God created IQ psychologists and economists such as @GarettJones so we can teach classes on their mistakes &amp; teach how to not be fooled by data. #RWRI PS- National IQ is a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302577103850876928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 11:59:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You must make lemonade out of every lemon. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302573441799925762\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-06 11:44:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2ri 3an Wittgenstein&#8217;s Private Language Argument katabo Saul Kripke. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302372307499921408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 22:25:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I want to help! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302365313422569474\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 21:57:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not with a good risk management system <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302343924053348359\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 20:32:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, the first is the right one. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302343187298758657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 20:29:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not quite true: It had to be a synonym in Classical Arabic at the time of Mutanabbi, as shown in his famous poem against the then ruler of Egypt. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302342692882571266\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 20:27:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Farayya. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302341599683379200\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 20:23:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, does Jan 11-22 work for #RWRI 15? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302322022723260417\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 19:05:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Harry has an exemption. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302304784863633408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 17:57:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Also it was in jest. Paganism does not have a definition. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302301355944611841\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 17:43:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks Bent!!! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302294311820832771\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 17:15:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not yet <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302283364804763652\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:32:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb South Italy is East Med: same culture same people <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302282735919288321\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:29:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you don&#8217;t like truth, fuck off. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302280542487040002\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:20:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Do you realize that Spanish will soon be banned? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302279470963986439\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:16:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I admire his Gadness but he lives in the wrong place. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302279147088211969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:15:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why I bailed out of U.S. academia. Anyone who is still in it by choice is a moron &amp; those trapped there for lack of other options are total losers. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302278962522005509\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:14:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb New York bagels are better. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302276988619698176\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 16:06:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Went fast (unless there is a typo) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302258549364531203\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 14:53:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Saturday morning relaxation in memory of @CutTheKnotMath <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302255596037648385\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 14:41:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3)#Lebanon #LebanonProtests #Bisridam <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302243209083486210\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 13:52:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bent @BentFlyvbjerg, can you show us a simple graph of cost overruns for dam projects? You will be helping debunk the @Gebran_Bassil &#8220;helping the poor&#8221; narrative. Ignoring other tail risks&#8230; (Bent is THE world&#8217;s foremost specialist on megaprojects cost) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302240656925110272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 13:42:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Exactly. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302235471137902593\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 13:21:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The World Bank fragilista IYIs do not have a good track record in understanding the cost-benefit tradeoffs of such projects. The Besri Dam represents a yuuuuge irreversible environmental blight w\/no tangible benefit, mis-marketed &amp; misrepresented as &#8220;helping the poor&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302220931339890689\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-05 12:23:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You bet <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1302012916649144325\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 22:37:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb High variance != fat tails. Tails risks are no different from what they were before. Perception is a bit higher . <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301983404834029570\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 20:40:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You are a vile, despicable person, @Frances_Coppola. David Graeber&#8217;s body is still warm &amp; he is defenseless. Despicable. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301952870498160643\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 18:38:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Blocked the idiot. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301902457853878280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 15:18:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb COVID Risk Conversation with @yaneerbaryam. At the end I explain to Yaneer that my background is much nicer; he should add books or, better, hang cooking instruments behind him to make it more jovial. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301891714731442177\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 14:35:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Alternative, if the typo is 1<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301884766992633857\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 14:08:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301873371752411136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 13:22:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The entire point of Antifragile is that we do not make decisions based on probability but a combination that ALWAYS includes payoffs. In that sense proba &lt;&lt;&lt; time expectation [ergodic] So tried to Lindify by reversing the damage done by frauds, usually psychologists (Tetlocks). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301853844511633416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 12:05:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Morning workout. Please avoid special functions. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301838321862225921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 11:03:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not necessary, implied for I not for II <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301825521978929152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 10:12:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Covid Risk Conversation: Yaneer Bar-Yam and Nassim Nicholas Taleb https:\/\/youtu.be\/d-UKAjeXqPU via @YouTube <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301693499595804672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 01:28:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 8 \u00bd years after #Antifragile. Not bad. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301674462740389890\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-04 00:12:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb La methode Salafi a cause des deites semites! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301633279775342593\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 21:28:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tshrin msh October! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301632638680281092\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 21:26:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb F\u00e9t\u00e97? W\u00e9yn? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301610311854809089\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 19:57:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sleep well! I manage now between 7 \u00bd and 9 \u00bd <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301580075394109440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 17:57:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bataille Royale bil jazal. \u0628\u0633 \u0634\u0648\u064a \u0647\u062f\u0651\u0648\u0627 \u064a\u0627 \u0634\u0628\u0627\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u0631\u0648\u062a\u0648\u0643\u0648\u0644 ! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301576723725721600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 17:44:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0627\u0646\u0627 \u0643\u0645\u0627\u0646 \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u0645\u0628\u0633\u0637 \u0628\u0647\u064a\u062f\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0641 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301576251086340096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 17:42:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb David Graeber He was a real intellectual; very real: not one fake cell in his brain, not one fake bone in his body. He thought independently. He was monstrouly original. He had intellectual courage. The world seems much much smaller today than before Sep 2. David, RIP <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301570705671237632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 17:20:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3esh miyy\u00e9 w sntein! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301546841792806912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 15:45:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Wrong also about many other things&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301535236577255425\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 14:59:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How much does it sell for? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301535097447907329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 14:58:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Maybe &#8220;promoted&#8221; would fix? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301482588033384451\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 11:30:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi, maybe some day but too hard to put together. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301480813435985920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 11:23:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bear @Prof_BearB is a diplomatic &amp; polite fellow saying what I have been saying in my own way (that is, less politely): that @sapinker is, scientifically speaking, a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301468347196940289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-03 10:33:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The red is&#8230; bottarga? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301271464570691589\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 21:31:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Did you @STEPHENPUNWASI intentionally reverse the meaning of the tweets by @ndehouche ? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301259582501728257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 20:43:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Minute 9 he explains how it was modeled after Law School of Beirut https:\/\/www.bbc.co.uk\/sounds\/play\/b044j7pd @HsenAndil <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301247541154123778\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 19:56:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The part Jewish&#8230; it was not too differentiated at the time. Anyway I read somewhere that the Talmud was an imitation of the Beirut disputatio method (given that the Jews wanted no Roman law, yet wanted to emulate). Will find source &amp; revert. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301245761863155714\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 19:49:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Harari was created so that psycholophasters like @sapinker seem intelligent. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301206721667325952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 17:13:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why Severus Alexander? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301204766547210242\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 17:06:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually this picture in Lebanon is close (a winery in the Batroun district). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301200091957669889\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 16:47:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, the preparation requires it! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301197697664323585\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 16:38:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb They would use a technology, medical treatment, squid ink recipe, or scientific result conceived by someone considered morally repugnant. But they will &#8220;cancel&#8221; an actor\/politician\/mediaperson\/ standard academic. Let it sink in that some pple are both superfluous &amp; v. dependent <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301188131656536065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 16:00:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0647\u064a\u062f\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u0646\u0651\u0627\u0635 \u0643\u0645\u0651\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301148817857937408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 13:23:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Squares. Don&#8217;t work with infinite kurtosis. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301140511298924544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 12:50:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Preparation for my trip next week, my own &#8220;return to the Med&#8221;. https:\/\/twitter.com\/Return2Med\/status\/1301112992575008768 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1301136819573133315\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-02 12:36:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300908767152832512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 21:29:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Isaac Levy, RIP <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300901935160217601\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 21:02:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Clearly, @dvoshart is a fraud, beyond his lack of scholarship &amp; technical knowledge. I leave it to Maghrebi people to debunk his representation of their heritage &amp; his exploitation of African people to make a political point. Despicable. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300874984273870852\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 19:15:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Somewhat messy; may have a mistake. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300873789316702215\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 19:10:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A bit messy but here <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300873482566283266\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 19:09:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb C&#8217;est pas le sujet du livre. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300840549923127298\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 16:58:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Where was that? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300840410877702144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 16:58:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ils ont massacr\u00e9 le titre <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300838089548537856\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 16:49:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300809066797768709\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 14:53:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Imbecile, it means it is vulnerable to the smallest disruption. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300806096454651904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 14:41:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The pandemic is not &#8220;unprecedented&#8221;. What is unprecedented is: FRAGILITY + PANDEMIC Our economic system has never been more fragile, more stretched, more vulnerable to small disruptions. @octonion <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300805042711212032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 14:37:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Staged or real? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300793133228331010\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 13:50:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For those of us locked-in because of the rain. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300787340550590468\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-09-01 13:27:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mine were GrecoPhoenicians <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300536175615238144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 20:49:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Some job openings. A Greek-Orthodox Lebanese can&#8217;t be 1) president, 2) prime minister, 3) speaker of parliament, 4) governor of the central bank, 5) head of the military. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300523911931719680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 20:00:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fat Tony: &#8220;Hating Trump and voting for Biden aren&#8217;t the same ting&#8221; * * Ting means &#8220;thing&#8221; in dialectal Fat Tonyism. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300521826720927744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 19:52:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Distinction without a difference. BS. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300520151197065218\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 19:45:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BTW for people listening to this ignorant photoshoot Voshart, this is a period representation. Here my pics from the original at the Met. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300519544990162945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 19:43:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voshart, nobody cares about your opinion on matters of scholarship. Maybe about food, photos, etc. But not anything related to scholarships\/AI\/statistical inference\/rigor. I do not care to win an argument against you. Just letting pple know you are a fraud. Enjoy taking photos. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300514338562867202\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 19:22:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Time to revisit (for entertainment) the Nate Silver Ignorance of Probability given that &#8220;Kolanovic Says Trump Re-Election Odds Soaring, Prompting Nate Silver To Melt Down On Twitter | Zero Hedge&#8221; https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/markets\/kolanovic-says-trump-re-election-odds-are-soaring-prompting-nate-silver-meltdown-twitter More papers on how to predict elections under uncertainty <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300512424467091457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 19:14:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Often make mistakes in that direction. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300510648900751360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 19:07:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb TRADERS LORE: life is about the increment. When one takes a hit, suffers a personal\/collective setback, must not look back. Losers look back. Look ONLY ahead &amp;, when back in the saddle, you&#8217;ll get encouraged, even thrilled by the slope\/improvement (1st derivative). Stock vs Flow. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300489514440417280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 17:43:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Warning abt the Roman Emperor pictures. @dvoshart is a photographer; clueless about AI, conditional updating, genetics, etc. In other words, pretty much a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300486134427004928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 17:30:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @dvoshart is a fraud. KNows nothing about AI or conditional updating. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300485784701751296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 17:29:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, but for other reasons than &#8220;rights&#8221;. Because there are more effective alternatives. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300478430249656326\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 16:59:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (Pseudo)libertarian minds have the intellectual nuances &amp; logical refinement of somewhere betw. the unicellular amoeba &amp; invertebrate sea slugs. And of course no notion of scaling of collective risks\/dynamics &amp; iatrogenics. In short: what I usually refer to as &#8220;idiots&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300478039072083969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 16:58:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Oui mais c&#8217;est la r\u00e9action apr\u00e8s! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300474619690917891\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 16:44:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Any idea how many centimeters? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300449497907068930\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 15:04:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#x1f64f; for your safety. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300448882233610241\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 15:02:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Il m&#8217;a r\u00e9pondu qu&#8217;il n&#8217;y avait pas de RV. Alors qu&#8217;il m&#8217;avait envoy\u00e9 l&#8217;adresse. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300448251859152898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 14:59:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Il n&#8217;a meme pas annul\u00e9. Je me pointe chez lui, on me repond qu&#8217;il est au Maroc. Meme pas d&#8217;excuse. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300443229737885698\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 14:40:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 8 pages au total. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300427969161199616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 13:39:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb L&#8217;article int\u00e9gral (mais il ne faut pas dire au Point que je partage&#8230;) https:\/\/fooledbyrandomness.com\/LePoint2020.pdf https:\/\/twitter.com\/LePoint\/status\/1299987146217058305 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300427502960205824\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 13:37:32<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Elle etait presente. Il m&#8217;a pos\u00e9 un lapin une fois a Paris. L&#8217;ann\u00e9e suivante je le vois a Saint Paul de Vence avec Arielle. Il essaye de me parler, je lui demande de ne pas me deranger. Une ann\u00e9e apres les employ\u00e9s de l&#8217;hotel en parlent encore. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300418420949823490\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 13:01:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Or the &#8220;g&#8221; where they talk about &#8220;manifold&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300403772976517121\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 12:03:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb J&#8217;ai eu une histoire avec BHL. Tres amusante. Apres mon caf\u00e9. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300399872097615872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-31 11:47:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Great Solution! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300091238603988992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-30 15:21:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb La photo n&#8217;est pas tr\u00e8s &#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1300024050014728192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-30 10:54:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The main problem with statistics is statisticians. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299750876102488065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-29 16:48:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The ArcSin law (Feller) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299744553394634756\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-29 16:23:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Morning therapy [ROMANIAN MATHEMATICAL MAGAZINE] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299673917389504512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-29 11:43:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BS. Less than 3% but the reverse is true: Arabians with a Levantine origin. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299667348203409408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-29 11:16:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb American Universities are going to be totally controlled by Robestpierristas (by the minority rule). I mean, totally, as there is no visible countermechanism. Sorry for the innocent funders of their endowments. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299498933367066624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-29 00:07:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Wait a week or so. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299495897848573952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 23:55:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) Kamal Salibi was literally a fiction writer (as patently shown in his theory of the origin of Moses). THe Marib dam population is another fiction. Any scholar citing him for anything historical is effectively a fraud. cc:@PZalloua We are debunking that crap with min effort <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299495690364694529\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 23:54:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is TOTAL BS 95% population is local. The Maronites RELIGION came from near Apamea, the POPULATION is local. Sunnis is Lebanon have ~NO Peninsular origin. And the Druze are loca, and, if anything Anatolians. If there is a &#8220;foreign origin&#8221;, it is Anatolian for ALL &gt;3000 y ago. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299468854100406278\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 22:08:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Are you Erythrean? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299462885559721985\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 21:44:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Twitter conversations can help develop an idea. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299461622411530246\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 21:39:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You forget @normonics and an unnamed person (as yet) in government. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299358217336741890\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 14:48:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Je vais m&#8217;y mettre alors. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299302758835720192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 11:08:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I know Hebrew <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299138544963854337\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:15:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Please explain. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299138455591682049\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:15:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Gulf despises &#8220;Shamis&#8221; (Levantines) and they consider us pretenders &amp; a highly impure race, so their form of antisemitism is directed towards Levantines. Jews don&#8217;t bother them as much. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299138288633118720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:14:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes the thing is about lithurgy, not culture. Ezra told me how he wrote in Judeo-Arabic, his father&#8217;s script. I could speak to him for 24 hours without noticing. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299137359213142016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:10:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Zilkha. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299135937239306240\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:05:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sephardic is not Mizrahi, as you well know! I remember Ezra Zilha insisting obsessively that he was not Separdic. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299135582547914752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:03:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes here it is. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299135130506866688\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-28 00:02:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That&#8217;s not at all what he is saying. To the contrary. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299117401582309381\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 22:51:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Meds not just Mizrahis. Also Alexandrians. They had duty free shops in NY and Paris, no? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299111667142406145\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 22:28:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Almost right. The Farhis were political advisors&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299103159026098178\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 21:55:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not reliable in a train station with transit <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299102461500817410\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 21:52:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) The idea of the Brier Score is that you need to be *precise* hence minimize the error rate. Under maximal uncertaity it becomes betting at \u00bd. Same with entropy. This is our response to Silver&#8217;s agent: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299076144935907331\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 20:07:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299072734853582853\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 19:54:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In other words your forecast reflects the uncertainty built in because it raises low probabilities (below \u00bd) and lower high prob so you converge to \u00bd under maximal uncertainty. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299069626815524865\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 19:41:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4th paper abt my problem w\/Nate Silver &amp; that idiot @PTetlock over election forecasting. It&#8217;s (perhaps) refining my methodology &amp; that of @DhruvMadeka Basically: Predictions must have #skininthegame hence MUST be subjected to arbitrage boundaries. https:\/\/www.tandfonline.com\/doi\/abs\/10.1080\/14697688.2020.1757136?journalCode=rquf20 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299069089353170944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 19:39:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/ Google Translate iza bit na22\u00e9 shubit2ul ma fi ytrjem w l 3alam hon bidi3o shwayy. Baddak t\u00e9khedon w tjibon shwayy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299066240011513859\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 19:28:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tweet deleted! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299065353260146691\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 19:24:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is an excellent intuition. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299046492536221696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 18:09:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I block idiots. Sorry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299041117401481219\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 17:48:32<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can condition mobility on that. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299037075560443907\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 17:32:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Looks like the END. (If true, &amp; you do not need that good a rate of false negative). Our circle saw the Covid problem when all these &#8220;expert&#8221; idiots where blind, failed to see the dynamics. Now we see the resolution when they are stuck in the past. Testing was the solution. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299036592049356802\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 17:30:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nothing racist. Damascus Jews are a distinct cutural group with merchant habits because they were traditionally excluded from the military. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299034555953930241\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 17:22:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The end of the tunnel. So life can resume. (If this is true). And, I am certain, more such tests are on the way. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299030250169524225\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 17:05:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Only 20-30 million people speak Koranic Arabic and none as a native language. Out of 1.5 bil. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299027554200948738\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 16:54:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Look: Islam &amp; Judaism kept the original language. Christianity did until Vatican 2 (or 1). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299023305043783681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 16:37:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Could be someone from Tyre as an author. They wrote in Greek. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299007769593421826\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 15:36:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0634\u064a \u062d\u0645\u0635\u064a \u0639\u0645 \u0628\u0631\u062f\u0644\u0648\u0646 \u064a\u0627\u0647\u0627 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299004067830693889\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 15:21:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Huww\u00e9 7ms\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1299003496583360517\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 15:19:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @HsenAndil <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298945804388966401\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 11:29:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb ANCIENT PHILOLOGY DU JOUR: SIDONIANS There is an antology of jokes (Philogelos) compiled in the Hellenistic period. The butt of jokes are Sidonians who represent foolishness (something not attested elsewhere). Some of the jokes are remarkably modern. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298943370740379648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 11:20:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb ? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298812494601949184\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 02:40:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I meant a cut of the profits <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298809622074200064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 02:28:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Aleppo was on the silk road. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298806273102749696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 02:15:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A Syrian joke: Put three persons from Aleppo in the same room; they will create a commodities market. Put three people from Damascus &amp; they will form a political party. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298805267367366657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 02:11:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I was only employed for 7 \u00bd years in total, but in 1987 as a trader we had a cut and the job instability of entrepreneurs. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298804614310039552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 02:08:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;We don&#8217;t do Jobs&#8221; In 1989, a bunch of young Aleppo Jews arrived in NY, the last to leave Syria. A friend of mine went to greet them &amp; offer help in securing employment: &#8220;We don&#8217;t do jobs&#8221; They started selling shoes in Harlem &amp; the Bronx. 30 y later they all have yuuge mansions. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298795058209095681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 01:30:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Which joke? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298783879726280705\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-27 00:46:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Welcome! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298768467726827521\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 23:45:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The skew decreased for those using Black Scholes. But most traders used their own intuitive pricing in the pits. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298740467400691712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 21:53:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not really. There was a skew before for OTM. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298732011092312065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 21:20:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi John (if I may) It is explained much much better here https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2007.16096.pdf Ciao, N <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298721481514393604\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 20:38:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb En corse? @diankarlu <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298703655252746243\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 19:27:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Must be a station for travelers pple out of town <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298683435930746881\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 18:07:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Possible but more likely bad birth records <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298678055913783296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 17:45:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Your harmless insult would have more value if you showed your identity (#Skininthegame). As such it is solely an expression of being a loser. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298675513788108801\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 17:35:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Posting the errata for STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS. The PDF will update next week. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298674708255248384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 17:32:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can disagree without pathologizing him for being Jewish. The Thawra has NOTHING to gain from it. NOTHING. Grow up. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298673391722008576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 17:27:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It is usually the real losers who play naked cowardly bigotry against a defenseless super-minority (Jewish). If you had any self respect, you would be showing your name. Try to be useful to the Thawra, grow up. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298672873469607936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 17:25:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In #SkinintheGame I was shocked to see Italians eating at MacDonalds in the Milan train station: it&#8217;s abt lowering the variance, trading quality for certainty &amp; reliability. It&#8217;s the same reason you hire employees: for their predictability\/reliable mediocrity, never for quality. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298667028023316485\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 17:02:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Has ALSO been tested by time. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298637201211875328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 15:03:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In Principia Politica: https:\/\/twitter.com\/RudyHavenstein\/status\/1298635007540506625 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298636626936168448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 15:01:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is BULLSHIT. The term antisemite means targeting Jews specifically. You should be ashamed as it is a huge embarassment for the Thawra. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298589307259715585\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-26 11:53:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes but I like to be free. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298393921836507141\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 22:56:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I was approached for the board. I don&#8217;t do boards. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298390955121348609\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 22:45:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Antisemitism is bad for Lebanon. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298390577944436736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 22:43:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Maybe I should attend the class. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298365233107525641\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 21:02:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb WILL YOU DELETE YOUR TWEET? OR I CAN GET TRY TO GET YOU BLOCKED ON TWITTER FOR HATE SPEECH\/ ANTISEMITISM. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298343595200651265\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 19:36:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Make a list of quacks and put him on it. It&#8217;s easy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298335914486386689\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 19:06:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Another signal. They add up. Wear a mask. https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2020-08-25\/this-starbucks-in-south-korea-became-a-beacon-for-mask-wearing?sref=M5yhqEtt via @business <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298319593606393856\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 18:01:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 1 year! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298315434882719745\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 17:44:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why the fuck does his background have anything to do with anything? This is SHAMEFUL. Delete your tweet. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298314380510191619\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 17:40:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Waiting for the findings by @stan_yurin and the Shill Buster for the amusement. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298288506721075202\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 15:57:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, still the first. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298279801514536960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 15:23:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb SILENT RISK, Vol 2 of the Technical Incerto Once you get the title right, the book writes itself. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298270130493779970\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 14:44:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes otherwise you would have no MDs <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298252432825360384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 13:34:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You are both right. A weak argument becomes a fallacy when used out of context. As with that FrancoOxford idiot &amp; @BallouxFrancois <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298246699731898368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 13:11:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;I am a professorrr at Oxford HENCE I understand RISK Hence I decide who does and doesn&#8217;t understand RISK&#8221;. Straight character out of #Antifragile, @JBerestycki is like one of those nuns lecturing street prostitutes on sexual positions &amp; how to scam clients. #ExpertProblem #IYI <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298232779214331905\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 12:16:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/ And of course I do not mandate lockdowns. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298065333689954305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 01:11:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fucking idiot, read Hayek. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298063355136155654\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-25 01:03:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is shoddy journalism: the authors insists that Falwell was a Trump supporter. If someone who violates a moral rule loves watching Mickey House, Mickey Mouse now has a partial agency of the moral violation. [Journos violate this rule on both sides, as with Epstein.] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298032211439030272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 22:59:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks Gary for helping him. Chap 3 is nontechnical <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298006668643622917\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 21:18:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There is no &#8220;real world risk&#8221;. It is risk. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1298002175982002177\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 21:00:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Or risk. This fucking idiot Julien Berestycki can make NO statement about risk. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297997336950575105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 20:40:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Equal weighted and rebalanced? Or rebalanced once? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297968122444550144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 18:44:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, pu\u00f2 sorgere con me. Mangio sempre trippa e la do agli ospiti. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297967842365775875\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 18:43:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Block. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297956004697722880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 17:56:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So long as it is comprehensive, no. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297953439213924358\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 17:46:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297953029208051712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 17:44:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! Can you show us the clusters? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297951788100968449\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 17:39:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A summary of my IQ piece. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297945486184386561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 17:14:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Download the PDF and print it <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297933916226166796\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 16:28:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Explain what you mean. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297899106950668293\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 14:10:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, Here is a link where you can order STAT CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS for $33.95 + shipping Foreign copies (Europe\/Asia) should be under $49.95 with the reduced shipping. https:\/\/thescribestore.com\/products\/statistical-consequences-of-fat-tails-by-nassim-taleb\u2026 And remember the PDF is Free! https:\/\/researchers.one\/article\/2020-01-21\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297897004178247680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 14:02:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Baalbeck = Heliopolos, so very credible. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297894182498045953\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 13:51:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sorry but I block idiots. Nothing personal. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297880873979777024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 12:58:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is not a &#8220;wall of shame&#8221; made by anyone I know. This is a Wall of Fame promoted by the anti-mask-virus-is-a-hoax industry, with a message to support their tweets. Gabish? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297880746456166403\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 12:57:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You are not getting what fat tails mean here. It is the spread in the environment\/disruption cascades <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297876873612009474\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 12:42:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb What the fuck do you mean by cannot invoke any credible mechanism? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297875606256922624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 12:37:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Neither Ioannidis nor Levitt (nor even clueless Balloux) are directly involved but there is a group of active astroturfers for the mask-denying-virus-is-a-hoax agenda. As w\/Monsanto, could be traced to PR firm. Suspicion: someone w\/investments in airlines\/hospitality funding. https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1297845933758177283 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297873711043948545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 12:29:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If your prior is thin tails your posterior becomes fat tails after one single observation <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297852249583083521\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 11:04:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I will start a dialogue as follows (frm your site you seem trustworthy) We&#8217;re not saying this is worse than anything. Pls read our debate w\/Ioannidis(a gntlman). Please comment honestly; I will not be upset if unlike Belloux you point at *precise* flaws. https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2007.16096.pdf <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297712546309382145\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 01:49:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mr Househ, I can engage you outside this conversation if you wish. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297705868281217025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 01:22:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why didn&#8217;t you come to the last day of RWRI? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297705072772755457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 01:19:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @gabrielpeyre <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297704484542578691\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 01:17:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Beware statements like &#8220;it does not depend on the law of the entries&#8221;. Convergence is super-slow, only works at infinity. I show example in Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails, but with Fat tails (free PDF). https:\/\/twitter.com\/gabrielpeyre\/status\/1297398160214589441 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297703460960374788\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 01:13:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Here is the hall of &#8220;experts&#8221;: 3-4 down out of 12 (includ. civilized debate w\/Ioannidis), but others would be scraping the bottom of the pot. These &#8220;experts&#8221; are being used for backup by the politicized no-mask-virus-is-a-hoax mob (see from @BallouxFrancois&#8217;s feed). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297686417666187264\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-24 00:05:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My friend, stamp tax in the UK made houses rich owing to CFDs (Contracts for differences). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297677991225577474\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 23:31:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mni7a <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297645279768911872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 21:21:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not related. Shammas is from an old pagan practice (Shams) means acolyte for both Christians and Mizrahi Jews <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297644177350701056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 21:17:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When someone declares &#8220;I will not devote more time to this&#8221;, it is a guarantee he will spend more time on it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297643837465264133\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 21:16:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I mean garbiyo <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297642394964373504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 21:10:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Plural? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297642132082249733\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 21:09:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, indeed. But I wonder why in Syriac North is Gharbiyo. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297641051822469125\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 21:05:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes my interest is in EXONAMES given by the conquerrors as a geographic position w\/reference to them. Sham is an exoname (relates to someone south of you). Maghreb is one. Anatolia is one. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297637592255660032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:51:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK, OK, I made a mistake: there are some Dimashqi, but much much fewer than Shami. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297636456190672897\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:46:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I meant in the vernaculars <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297635100558057475\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:41:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes that&#8217;s what I was looking for. @QifaNabki <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297633916673765376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:36:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No. Mikdash vs Mshkan. Easy for us to get (maskan). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297633565522513921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:35:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Relax, MSM. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297633030450937856\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:33:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I was wondering when the name stopped and when it resumed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297632715437748224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:32:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was that name given during Nahda? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297626571235299328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:07:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Elia Capitolina. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297626280343502854\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:06:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Or the Syriac, I don&#8217;t know if \u0715\u0730\u072a\u0721\u0723\u0718\u0729\u0733\u071d\u0710 was used before Nahda. @Marcellenassif <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297625187769344001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 20:02:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb After Nahda. cc:@QifaNabki <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297622389682057217\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 19:51:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb SEMITIC PHILOLOGY DU JOUR The name Dimashq \u062f\u0645\u0634\u0642 was almost never used in Ar. for 1200 y before Orientalists, but exoname &#8220;AlSham&#8221; \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0627\u0645 (&#8220;the North&#8221;). For Ottomans &#8220;\u015eam Sanca\u011f\u0131&#8221; Hint: There are family names &#8220;Shami&#8221;, no &#8220;Dimashqi&#8221;. Same for Jerusalem: \u0627\u0648\u0631\u0634\u0644\u064a\u0645 was \u0627\u0644\u0642\u062f\u0633.(=&gt;Qudsi) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297621674414739464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 19:48:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was in 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297586202523111425\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 17:27:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lessons from the errors of @BallouxFrancois 1- RISKS: for 1 indiv. is the real of medicine\/biology. Risk for a collective is statistical modeling. For &gt;10^6, Extreme Value Theory. 2- ACTION: For indiv it is abt health. For collective, it is all about connectivity. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297581234101657602\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 17:07:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That was March 11 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297569956163452928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 16:22:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In Berytus restaurants, Mazaher <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297568189849706496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 16:15:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes he does not know how to calculate risk. Not at all. He conflates individual and aggregate. I saw numerous errors before yesterday. Totally clueless. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297564151947112448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 15:59:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Please stop; please stop!&#8221;&#8230; &#8220;Prof&#8221; @BallouxFrancois doesn&#8217;t yet know what he is getting into. This is just the prologue. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297558815450312707\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 15:38:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4\/ Please be careful about the &#8220;Sweden argument&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297553839139303424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 15:18:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3\/ FALSE DICHOTOMIES: Economy vs virus. Most bus failures come from risk aversion. Nonlinearity: hosp capacity gets overhelmed. We are progressively learning abt the disease: BUY TIME, w\/treatments improving, perhaps vaccine. Most effective: masks+superspreaders for now <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297546368068857857\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 14:48:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297544156722733056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 14:40:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Balloux has NO idea how to calculate risk, but not my point here: he give fodder to a crowd of crackpots. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297541312246415361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 14:28:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/MYTHS BY CRANKS a- &#8220;Masks are not effective&#8221; (using &#8220;sounds scientific&#8221; biology argument) b- Measures carry economic costs: no, it&#8217;s the VIRUS that&#8217;s costly [See debate w\/Ioannidis]. c- &#8220;Death numbers are low&#8221; w\/o realizing it is BECAUSE of measures. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297540528142266370\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 14:25:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, there is a mob of &#8220;COVID is not serious&#8221; (even hoax) politicized attack dogs w\/no notion of science nor interest in it who tag to the very few play-the-system risk-clueless academics like @BallouxFrancois carrying THE msg that fits them. Any other compromised academic? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297535058786615299\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 14:03:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Marsa= port en Phenicien <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297529262866608129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 13:40:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Try Amioun outdoor caf\u00e9s. I work there all the time. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297522654052782080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 13:14:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I fail to understand why all your cartoons make me morose and serious when I joke 99.999999% of the time. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297522028891779072\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 13:12:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @Marcellenassif <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297521468503359488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 13:09:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb L&#8217;accento siciliano \u00e8 vicino all&#8217;arabo: p diventa b, o diventa u, c diventa g-q <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297520146064576516\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 13:04:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cavendish, Wolfram. You need independence. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297519331056717829\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 13:01:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Barli sicilianu? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297518349690208256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 12:57:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 10 &#8211; 12 episodi, per imparare il siciliano <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297517938304520192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 12:55:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297516075895201792\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 12:48:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Il commissario Montalbano beve il caff\u00e8 del mattino <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297515862761656322\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 12:47:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Now a ref for the genre (don&#8217;t quite agree w\/Raoult rather w\/his style) Raoult: &#8220;He is a kind of Nassim Taleb of infectious disease. He is brilliant, doesn\u2019t feign false humility, &amp; claims rather persuasively that he&#8217;s indifferent to many of his critics.&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297511373652598786\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 12:29:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Same. It is never fun unless it is all together. Noticed t you were also MD. We had 2 of them. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297502914223669248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 11:56:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No but same thing for prof <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297345394981179392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 01:30:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Very illustrative of power laws: at #RWRI we observed an 80\/20 rule: we were ~ 100 &amp; 20 people contributed to &gt;80% of the discussions. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297325777730572293\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-23 00:12:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297296198899044352\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 22:14:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That &#8220;wouldn&#8217;t happen&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297278566766436357\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 21:04:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Balloux, if there was a flaw in the paper Mr Curtis would have made a PRECISE point, as I did with you, not some vague comment about the presentation. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297261957788110852\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 19:58:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Dave Curtis, imbecile, 1- Stat\/math journals do not have impact factors comparable to medicine (there are 100 times more bullshitting doctors like you than statisticians). IJF is among the top. 2- Explain why I should care about what epidemiologists think? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297257952290758657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 19:42:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So why the fuck are you imparting statements I did not make? And opinions I DO NOT HAVE? OF COURSE known situation warrants a lower level of precaution (less uncertainty) and more targeted mitigation, no lockdowns. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297251493201031168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 19:17:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fucking idiot it is not about precaution but this idiot Francois ignorant about basic risk comparisons. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297250218124152832\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 19:12:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) Many misunderstood. If I block you it does not mean I am upset, only that I don&#8217;t like noise on my TL. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297211332421394433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 16:37:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This it turned out is part of a bunch of shills from the Monsanto days against our GMO paper. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297211107690655745\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 16:36:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You don&#8217;t know Wittgenstein&#8217;s ruler. Can&#8217;t read as I&#8217;ve blocked that troll. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297186128261533696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 14:57:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Needless to say my solution is the least elegant here! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297181807021105152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 14:40:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297180714027417600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 14:35:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Post #RWRI relaxation. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297173145200349184\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 14:05:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He is not blocked. You&#8217;re the idiot. Ha. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297165329169358848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 13:34:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb To figure out if someone is an idiot, call him an idiot and check if he gets upset. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297163095341699072\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 13:25:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The take home is everything is convex from 0 up to a point. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297160188563161088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 13:14:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Risk is not his job, obviously. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297157307458097153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 13:02:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb May get concave somewhere, not here &amp; depends how you scale. Log[yield]= \\alpha Log[size] so yield =size^\\alpha here &gt;1 hence convex at least within range, up till the Taylor limit. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1297156925214404609\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 13:01:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0633\u0644\u0627\u0645\u062a\u0643! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296988358175072258\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 01:51:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Impressive! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296974443768614912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-22 00:56:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Compare to last year&#8217;s numbers&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296950047767232512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 23:19:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Your interlocutor was blocked for trolling. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296949804707328002\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 23:18:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 5) And I DO NOT advocate lockdowns (except &#8220;in extremis&#8221;), rather controlling superspreaders, hyperactive testing, border control &amp; forcing face masks. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296947393318068224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 23:08:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I see Boldrin on my thread whom I blocked for charlatanism. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296945008008925186\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 22:59:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4) When I call pple idiots, they have earned it, BSF (&#8220;BS-Frankie @BallouxFrancois). For every location, relative changes in Covid fatalities proved &gt; 100 time higher than relative \u0394 road deaths. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296941212662980608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 22:44:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) Even without fat tails &#8220;BS-Frankie&#8221; @BallouxFrancois is failing elemtary statistics (Sat 101): comparing 2 variables with different variances (one very low, other very very high). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296931693417435137\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 22:06:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) The other thing this marshmallowbrained &#8220;Prof&#8221; @BallouxFrancois doesn&#8217;t get is that the #of people who died from COVID accounts for mitigation &amp; risk control measures. It&#8217;s like saying: we don&#8217;t need security checks since planes aren&#8217;t crashing. https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2007.16096.pdf <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296928399756333057\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 21:53:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It is remarkable that you have idiots like this &#8220;Prof&#8221; @BallouxFrancois who conflate additive risks with multiplicative ones (fat tailed), a mistake your grandmother wouldn&#8217;t make. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296921867870248960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 21:27:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Education w\/low tolerance for boring things. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296921398309519363\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 21:25:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes &lt; 1\/4 could be an inequality. Being conservative with a square law. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296914496427044867\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 20:58:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BEIRUT EXPLOSION at #RWRI: all abt CONCENTRATION &amp; CONVEXITY It has nothing to do with politics, nothing to do with anything except concentration\/scaling &amp; 1\/n rule of harm: If the Chernobyl plant was \u00bd the size, damage would be ~1\/4. See #Antifragile #Lebanon <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296912845691592704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 20:51:32<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I keep repeating in the INCERTO: take stressors in the middle, be paranoid in the TAILS. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296911501031288834\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 20:46:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3 times distilled. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296890924572856320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 19:24:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It is actually finite mean because boundedness. But remote. ANd LLN is slow. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296819697040658433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 14:41:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If data can be explained by BOTH fat tails &amp; thin tails, then it must be fat tailed. This is the Masquerade Problem: there is a hierarchy of distributions. Note: Every Power law can be explained ex post by a sum of Poissons. But a Poisson cannot be explained by a PL. #RWRI <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296814729051201536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 14:21:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Non car si on leve 400 livres la pression arterielle va a 30\/15 donc on est SUR qu&#8217;il n&#8217;y pas de rupture possible. Comme un test de stress. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296790231195230209\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 12:44:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Where is Musar? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296600243300114434\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-21 00:09:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Wine. We want to see. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296582487737540610\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 22:58:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 135&#8230; but watch out! the weights are loose. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296582094320218117\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 22:57:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb To sleep well: hedge all your tail exposures. #RWRI + hide nothing from your enemies + pay all your taxes, show the IRS all your income mother of all tail risks) + be uncancellable + back up all your data + have some gold (and\/or BTC) but not too much &#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296551618872258560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 20:56:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How high ? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296547545850810381\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 20:39:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Indeed. Most asymptomatic people have &#8220;something wrong&#8221; in their MRI. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296485359338106880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 16:32:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It means that one may have centrist opinions on balance, but not be systematically in the center for EVERY issue. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296479156679696384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 16:08:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I fixed my own by lifting weight progressively <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296458250674724865\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 14:45:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can you go bullshit elsewhere, please? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296404089438457858\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 11:09:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You sleep better when you have tail risk hedges. #RWRI <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296401917871116288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 11:01:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb and to thank @rperezmarco and @joe_shipman ! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296265789968986112\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 02:00:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Forgot to thank you. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296265587744739332\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 01:59:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I also run mine with water. Cleans the filter. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1296261437573206017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-20 01:43:04<\/p>\n\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Taleb, le penseur qui va changer votre vie (pdf)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1831,1827,1829,1741,1427,570,867,1830,1828],"class_list":["post-9145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-contributors","tag-rwri-14","tag-ballouxfrancois","tag-david-graeber","tag-harari","tag-iq","tag-nate-silver","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-true-wealth","tag-u-s-academia"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9145","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9145"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9145\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9152,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9145\/revisions\/9152"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9145"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9145"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9145"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}