{"id":9137,"date":"2020-08-05T01:36:29","date_gmt":"2020-08-05T08:36:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=9137"},"modified":"2020-08-05T01:36:29","modified_gmt":"2020-08-05T08:36:29","slug":"manhattan-ioannidis-nuclear-sunstein-fraud-thaler-omar-sharif-tetlock-pinker-iq-playboy-book-publishing-hagia-sophia-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2020\/08\/manhattan-ioannidis-nuclear-sunstein-fraud-thaler-omar-sharif-tetlock-pinker-iq-playboy-book-publishing-hagia-sophia-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Manhattan, Ioannidis, NUCLEAR, Sunstein, FRAUD!!!!!, Thaler, Omar Sharif, Tetlock, Pinker, IQ, Playboy, BOOK PUBLISHING, Hagia Sophia | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/CyOsUbK8PiE?rel=0\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Published on Jul 27, 2020<br \/>\nNassim Nicholas Taleb talks about the pandemic with EconTalk host Russ Roberts. Topics discussed include how to handle the rest of this pandemic and the next one, the power of the mask, geronticide, and soul in the game.<br \/>\nFor transcript and links related to today&#8217;s episode: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.econtalk.org\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-the-pandemic\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.econtalk.org\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-the-pandemic\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-masks-masquerade-7de897b517b7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Masks Masquerade<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@nntaleb\/lebanon-from-ponzi-to-antifragility-c9867eb71998\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Lebanon: from Ponzi to Antifragility<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/gado-images-insights\/face-masks-may-be-necessary-and-sufficient-to-stop-covid-19-f4f5a295deb\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Face Masks May be Necessary and Sufficient to Stop Covid-19<\/a><br \/>\nAn entrepreneur\u2019s perspective on Nassim Taleb\u2019s conclusions about face masks<\/p>\n<p>Podcast Notes: <a href=\"https:\/\/podcastnotes.org\/econtalk\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-econtalk\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Pandemic, Power of Masks, Levels of Risk and More | Nassim Nicholas Taleb on EconTalk<\/a><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/91IOwS0gf3g?rel=0\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><br \/>\nHow you will go bust on a favorable bet. (Kelly\/Shannon\/Thorp)<br \/>\nPublished on Feb 18, 2020<br \/>\nWe explain the Kelly criterion and illustrate why &#8220;risk aversion&#8221; in Behavioral Finance is Micky Mouse(&#x2122;) Science.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/savsidorov.substack.com\/p\/tldr-nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-the\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">TLDR: Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Pandemic A summary of the July 27, 2020 episode of EconTalk.<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2007.16096.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">On Single Point Forecasts for Fat-Tailed Variables<\/a> (pdf)<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fireworks or ammunitions from the initial sparks. Stop the conspiracy theories, for Baal&#8217;s sake. No plane. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290688452338626562\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 16:38:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Manhattan is dead &amp; unflaneurable. Astoria Queens is more flaneurable: less pretentious &amp; has much better Greek food, 30% blue collar customers instead of constipated book executives &amp; philistines who read Harari. Even flaneuring can adapt well. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290657224294125570\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 14:33:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nikos Phililogos <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290654106055512077\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 14:21:32<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Scribe <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290653807278514178\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 14:20:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Arabic&#8221;? WTF? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290653590462369793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 14:19:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nobody noticed it is the Saint Petersburgh problem? Power law, if uncapped, with infinite mean. There is a Feller theorem about time to cross the origin following a Cauchy <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290647819364294657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:56:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Corrected <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290640933533487104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:29:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can easily copy one line, no? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290640603135520769\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:27:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Typo: m=250\/2 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290640534491602946\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:27:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And if you cheat (&#8220;verify&#8221;) by using Monte Carlo you get the same. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290639999306694656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:25:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My solution: 8.3 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290639440440950785\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:23:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not &#8220;Greek&#8221; olive oil. Lebanese olive oil from the Koura valley, so only \u00bd Greek. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290634430340636672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-04 13:03:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not quite, my friend. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290413982310948865\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 22:27:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ok, Ok, Quiz What is the expected longest run generated by a random 250 coin tosses. A run is defined as n heads or n tails. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290413193068777478\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 22:24:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually, no. People mistake length of runs for average of runs. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290368273511591936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 19:25:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks Zhuo. Visibly your hand one does not have long runs. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290362584101773325\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 19:03:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Using a Markov chain to estimate the expected number of runs. The number of runs of 7 must bet ~2 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290361545910824961\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 18:59:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why don&#8217;t you go give advice to someone else? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290290714127998976\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 14:17:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb III A wise decision is one that is sound both prospectively and retrospectively, in both foresight and hindsight. Our best definition of #Precaution <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290284440258781185\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 13:52:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290279251044782087\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 13:32:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Our debate with Ioannidis,II Plus why &#8220;forecasting&#8221; and &#8220;evidence based&#8221; are both unscientific and unwise under pandemics. Thanks to @pierrepinson @spyrosmakrid https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2007.16096.pdf <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290274320862740480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 13:12:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb HOW TO HANDLE A PANDEMIC Our debate with John Ioannidis. Plus why naive single point &#8220;forecasting&#8221; and &#8220;evidence based&#8221; methods are both unscientific and unwise under pandemics. Thanks to @pierrepinson @spyrosmakrid https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/2007.16096.pdf <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290274317671030784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 13:12:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You should detect by eyeballing. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290231063613071360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 10:20:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u05e4\u05d4 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290112708163956736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-03 02:30:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How many hours for $300? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290074832718061569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 23:59:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is not quite a PL. Zifplots are insufficient. You need EVT to prove it. Would love to replicate. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290029316282122246\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 20:58:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BM did not like this http:\/\/www.chialvo.net\/Curso\/UBACurso\/DIA3\/Papers\/SOC1.pdf <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290028005956505606\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 20:53:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The sandpile story is controversial &amp; supposedly Bak did not have a proof&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290013926944473088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 19:57:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Blocked the imbecile. He is just a photographer. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1290002835627626497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 19:13:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I have an inside story of Mandelbrot on Per Bak <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289995496199659521\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 18:44:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb SYSTEMIC RISK: non-diversifiable. You can in principle break-up into n reactors to get the needed risk diversification\/prevent Chernobyl from being too large. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289987620852789248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 18:13:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Systemic = 1 block. Nuclear is in a diff category (non subexponential) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289968673848008704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 16:57:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In Principia Politica, there is a rule: No institution without an expiration date. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289950491321888770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 15:45:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voshart you imbecile this is how you get coloring, by comparison. An confirmed by genetics: Lybians looked no different from other Mediterraneans. You are an imbecile. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289949826415652866\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 15:42:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He seems clueless about genetics. He is just a photographer using cultural notions. Many fail to get that Southern Mediterraneans are Western Eurasians (the Europe\/Africa distinction is not accurate). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289948939899166722\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 15:39:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voshart, are you a geneticist? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289948591507640320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 15:38:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Went away recently <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289918118681174019\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 13:36:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Aspetta mi, vengo subito prima che la lasagna si raffreddi <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289916889276116993\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 13:32:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I will make it very simple for you: I am picking what method I like not the one you like and you can go fuck off. Simple enough? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289915980253032448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 13:28:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Dove? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289913957084303360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 13:20:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am not saying NUCLEAR is not dangerous. It is in a different class of risk. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289897634874892288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 12:15:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am not saying it is not dangerous. Just a different class of risk. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289897507581882375\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 12:15:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NUCLEAR I NEVER said that nuclear energy was safe. I said that it does not fall under the Precautionary Principle as there is ~no systemic risk. Nuclear accidents are additive not multiplicative (unlike GMOs &amp; viruses). The risk (for small reactors) remains local not systemic. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289885448634957825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 11:27:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Then why education? Now shd I get pro or Business? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289737790716928000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 01:40:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi there Where did you get it from? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289734764107161607\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-02 01:28:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Learning to cook from fresh dough. Mystery: Why did Sicily discontinue growing sumac? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289669664302276608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 21:09:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why don&#8217;t you fuckoff and find yourself a hobby with &#8220;utility&#8221; before you lecture us? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289659329193422851\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 20:28:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My shoulder bans me from deadlifting&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289641156221874176\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 19:16:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! What&#8217;s best of the 4 options? Pro or Business? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289641029386121216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 19:15:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289640230828617728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 19:12:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can you do these rooms in business? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289638254854037504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 19:04:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Charlie can students spontaneously create rooms? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289565486909284354\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 14:15:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mistake. This is NOT the inquisition. There were trials and sentences were delivered by a (lay) court. This is more like the period of terror during the French Revolution. Soon education will be ONLY delivered by special apolitical institutions like coding camps. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289529066714849281\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:51:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We don&#8217;t care about costs. We need to be able to create breakout rooms. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289523582503018496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:29:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BS <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289521856471371777\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:22:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 80-100 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289521279456833536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:20:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I blame the NYT first. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289521004163653633\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:19:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Please do not involve geopolitics, China-US or some conspiracy in a software discussion. The question is precise Zoom for Business of for Education. Do not compare to other methods. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289520161427316736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:15:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is the Inquisition <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289518952683417601\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:10:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb But a university affiliation is becoming a liability. All downside, no upside. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289518328525074432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 11:08:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, for #RWRI 14, do you prefer Zoom for Business or Zoom for Education? Thanks <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289512587378343936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 10:45:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No comment for now. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289387537199296512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 02:28:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That&#8217;s another matter. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289386557036617728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 02:24:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fuck off <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289384892187344902\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 02:18:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Without verification&#8230; Anyone getting anywhere close to a US university is a moron. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289383983185186817\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-08-01 02:14:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ovadiah <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289264816494800897\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 18:21:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi Scott You are missing the CENTRAL point: 1) is fragile what does not like volatility everything concave is fragile And reverse: antifragile = convex between a and b. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289224864146968576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 15:42:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 5) METASTATIC BUREAUCRACIES If you want an illustration, here is one. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289213038814302209\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 14:55:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4) CREDENTIALIZATION And note how Tedros mentions Harvard to credentialize Sunstein, which wipes out his defects and ignorance of probability. https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrTedros\/status\/1288951939334574080?s=20 Repeat after me: Delenda WHO est. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289202030670540807\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 14:11:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nassim, he is a professor in a business school. Intellectual fraud is for them business as usual. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289199401324314628\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 14:01:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) The Collection of bureaucrats *who meet* for a living and failed to get the risks of the pandemic early on when WE warned, costs us TRILLIONS. Now what do they do? They ADD more bureaucrats like that fraud Sunstein. Institutions learn via bankruptcy. WHO must be DEFUNDED. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289196457212272641\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 13:49:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) Do not forget that @CassSunstein made it irrational to worry about the risks of the pandemic in February! WHO must be closed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289188549669949440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 13:17:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FRAUD!!!!! If there is a reason to shut down the WHO, here it is. Cass Sunstein is the poster child of pseudo-empiricism. He failed to get pandemics early on and missed on the difference between additive &amp; multiplicative risks. FRAUD! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289187887364182018\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 13:15:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No to the Bisri Dam project. It is economically a scam, and environmentally a DISASTER. Sign the Petition! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289182182951419911\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 12:52:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can return it to them and order here <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289169247134863360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 12:01:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can you return it and reorder from this? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289169143355277312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 12:00:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Where did you get yours? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289168776336797697\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 11:59:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Here <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289166646112931845\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 11:50:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, I was wondering. My SP02 is 98 when active, 94 when inactive and I thought there was a problem but realized there was none as the problem is the other way around. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289161908063363073\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 11:32:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi, Who did you buy it from? We stopped the Book Depository. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289161143475302400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 11:29:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Modernity starts with the state monopoly on violence, and ends with the state&#8217;s monopoly on fiscal irresponsibility. The Bed of Procrustes <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1289159792037044225\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-31 11:23:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Levantine ethics&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288972925882826754\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 23:01:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fucking moron what does my argument have anything to do with how conservatives behave? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288954381086449665\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 21:47:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb On citation rings <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288950430509289473\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 21:31:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, I am a staunch advocate of masks (even when it was unpopular). But anyone gloating on the web about the death of Herman Cain is: + shabby + unprincipled + sordid + despicable De mortuis nihil nisi bonum <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288925668466659328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 19:53:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Time to make this a nontechnical chapter in the new book, Vol2 of the Technical Incerto. How you will go bust on a favorable bet. Or why among other things @R_Thaler is a fraud. (Kelly\/Shannon\/Thorp) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288922101001400320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 19:39:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Interesting warning signs of Alzheimer: He stopped playing bridge ~15 years before he was diagnosed with Alzheimer. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288896382284300288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 17:56:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The point is that I show in my book evidence that economics is just a citation ring. &#8220;Prestige&#8221; is just a scam. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288891452328640512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 17:37:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The idea is: Get data. Derive kernel distribution at bandwidth 1 Get MI[1] Derive kernel dist at finer bandwidth Get M[2] You see convergence as gains are smaller and smaller except for \\infty <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288885864370757637\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 17:15:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, there is small effect, so long as you do not use points but distributions. You need perfect relationship = infinity. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288883829424480256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 17:07:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The difference between continuous (differential) entropy and discrete does not extend to MI. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288879504308473858\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 16:49:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is an imbecilic interpretation. Sorry I block for sophistry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288878427634905090\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 16:45:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Something everybody knows <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288869667461890054\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 16:10:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The idea is &#8220;is it more useful than temperature&#8221;? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288865277539758080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 15:53:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You&#8217;ll never grasp voting patterns &amp; political positions of millennials unless you recognize that a new graduate in about anything theoretical (Bachelor, Master even PhD) earns less than a slightly trained plumber, truck driver, or a carpenter. Reflect &amp; see why Univ. going bust. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288836951521595392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 14:00:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Many other approaches. Thanks, friends. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288832947991322626\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 13:44:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb True <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288816178207633408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 12:38:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He was Levantine. Greek Orthodox. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288811188990640130\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 12:18:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb One approach <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288809052802342912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 12:09:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This plus coffee helps you to wake up. [Reminder: non-math related cute comment = block] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288804838873194497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 11:53:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Genetics show the mummies were Levantine <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288792564536156162\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 11:04:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can detect disease not health <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288784617173143552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 10:32:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FACT DU JOUR Omar Sharif (born Michel Dimitri Shalhoub), an actor with brains: + Elite bridge player + Fluent &gt;5 languages + OK in Greek (like many Alexandrians) + Degree in mathematics + Did not socialize w\/actors (except. romance w\/actresses) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288784275140235269\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 10:31:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So far I haven&#8217;t called anyone a fraud who didn&#8217;t turn out to be a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288779087939543040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 10:10:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Many people, including some doctors, don&#8217;t seem to get what a filter means. https:\/\/twitter.com\/aashiq\/status\/1288643170058764289?s=21 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288658969356050435\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 02:13:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Did anyone think SPO2 as instant (5 seconds) filter for Covid-19? Isn&#8217;t there more signal than with temperature? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288637095427309580\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-30 00:46:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The debate with John Ioannidis On Single Point Forecasts for Fat-Tailed Variables, with @DrCirillo @yaneerbaryam Latest version <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288597308070928385\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 22:08:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I revise the book every time you read it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288590861949960199\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 21:42:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb ? no idea. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288570654745399299\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 20:22:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was looking for your address to mail you the book. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288547927217012737\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 18:52:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Pour commence, Argth la Arg tangente hyperbolic, la reciproque de la tanh n&#8217;est pas \u00bd Log&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288494998271426561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 15:22:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cet apres-midi. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288492515860127744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 15:12:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb ECONTALK with @EconTalker https:\/\/youtu.be\/CyOsUbK8PiE via @YouTube <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288491550977261571\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 15:08:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Imbecilic remark. What does democracy have to do with your own house? Democracy is about voter participation not letting people troll your private feed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288479913457197056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 14:22:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb https:\/\/twitter.com\/ndehouche\/status\/1288347895993753600 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288459223714664450\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 12:59:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You need to de-discretize your calcs. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288456591885426690\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 12:49:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb More &#8220;complicated&#8221; in statistical domains. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288451461643472897\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 12:29:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And &gt;2 m people visiting and commuting daily <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288445759524868096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 12:06:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For every person you block, you get 10 new followers. Why? Because the quality of your thread improves markedly; comments are worth reading. Protect your thread. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288273974607187971\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 00:43:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In cities, indeed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288271683514699776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 00:34:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0394\u03b9\u03cc\u03c1\u03b8\u03c9\u03c3\u03b7: \u03a8\u03ac\u03c7\u03bd\u03c9 \u03ad\u03bd\u03b1\u03bd \u0388\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03b1 \u03b4\u03ac\u03c3\u03ba\u03b1\u03bb\u03bf \u03c4\u03b7\u03c2 *\u03b5\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03b9\u03ba\u03ae\u03c2 \u03b3\u03bb\u03ce\u03c3\u03c3\u03b1\u03c2* \u03c3\u03c4\u03bf Zoom (Current level: Koin\u00e9) \u03a3\u03b1\u03c2 \u03b5\u03c5\u03c7\u03b1\u03c1\u03b9\u03c3\u03c4\u03ce \u03cc\u03bb\u03bf\u03c5\u03c2 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288266393075539973\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 00:13:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb DM please. Thanks <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288264197483241472\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-29 00:04:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Could be 2 separate problems. The old must not pass on charges&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288239988010897416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 22:28:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Great Summary <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288233812070215681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 22:04:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For a citation, I had to get a copy of @PTetlock&#8217;s (&#x1f401;&#8221;Phil the rat&#8221;) *Superforecasting* &amp; it is worse than I thought, from his work. [Co-author is a shill\/lobbyist paid by large corporations to play down their &#8220;risk&#8221;] It has major, major mistakes &amp; flaws. What to do? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288223055882453001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 21:21:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I peer review ALL my work one way or another. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288220577518559234\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 21:11:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Additive &amp; multiplicative Risks should never be compared to one another. Multiplicative =&gt; fat tails. We have limited the precautionary principle ONLY to multiplicative risks: + Pandemics (only 72 in history) + Genetic modifications spread in nature <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288219932749180930\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 21:09:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The way it works: readers read what a reliable friend recommends, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288210826789347334\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 20:32:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi there Can you return it back to them? Further instructions to follow. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288206738169135106\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 20:16:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My experience since &#8220;Skin in The Game&#8221; is to leave it to social media: genuine readers commenting for potential genuine readers. No more critics who filter &amp; decide what *lesser* readers should like or avoid. My books are not sent to the media &amp; &#8220;intellectuals&#8221;. F*** them. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288202235684552704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 19:58:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mush me2l\u00e9! Mshw\u00e9! W iza me2l\u00e9 bzeit zeitun msh mazolla (bi fakkru atyab bil mazolla) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288198818199228416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 19:45:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I block for sophistry. Sorry, nothing personal. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288193933969952772\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 19:25:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Shipping next week. But if in a rush, cancel and get this immediately. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288188189342146561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 19:02:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Plugged out (injury) so just low weights. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288182763544354816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 18:41:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb On it <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288181580901556224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 18:36:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Once in a while, the reverse helps. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288169158065246208\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 17:47:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How strong are both of you now? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288153646337859584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 16:45:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I tried 5 sets of 10, doing math btw sets. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288147688555515904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 16:21:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Takes a week to know the benefits <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288135713620398080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 15:34:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Separate day <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288135424230268928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 15:33:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Also 5 sets of 10 presses <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288134295203323905\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 15:28:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Did you try the 5 sets of 10 deadlifts? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288133240633663488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 15:24:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Necessary <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288117322381553665\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 14:21:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My problem with him. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288086474131410946\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 12:18:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This was promoted in my feed. These ideas that are supposed to help your life destroy it. If a book can be summarized it&#8217;s not a book; if you get something in 15 minutes it is not worth getting. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288080371310104584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 11:54:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! When did you order it? Where? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1288077860079575040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 11:44:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb of ours <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287946402056871939\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 03:02:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You don&#8217;t seem to get it. Not at all. The argument is about convexity. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287931008583688192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 02:00:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Haha Campaign started in March. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287927286327644166\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-28 01:46:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fucking imbecile, being &#8220;right&#8221; means agreeing with you? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287897917727166470\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 23:49:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You are clueless. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287895975625994241\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 23:41:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Attitude? What &#8220;attitude&#8221;? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287850144646549507\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 20:39:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Will restock up next week or but meanwhile try @zachobront&#8217;s link. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287846880567844864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 20:26:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK, \u00e9mtin? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287840154707800069\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 19:59:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Leish ma bte3zemn\u00e9 ana? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287838900120166401\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 19:54:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A reminder from PRINCIPIA POLITICA <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287827378417410049\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 19:09:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Your statement is MORONIC. As you get more information &amp; granularity you target your measures tfor costs and efficacy <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287819512306442242\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 18:37:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I wonder why the cancel culture does not go after the chain of retractions instead of innocent idiots like @sapinker <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287812030502776833\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 18:08:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;National IQ&#8221; is practically an academic fraud. But the fact it went for so long is quite shocking. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287810315124715520\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 18:01:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @ndehouche <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287808288277639170\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 17:53:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Squares <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287800269703655424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 17:21:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Reread our paper. Explained there. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287794495514386432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 16:58:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We have answered that with our degree of fattailedness of certain class of events &gt;&gt;&gt; all others, hence it is not frivilous and generalized worry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287792974038999043\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 16:52:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I block idiot. Nothing personal. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287760020747309061\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 14:41:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NOTHING to do with Regime switching. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287754706060812289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 14:20:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was it Amazon or Scribe? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287754449004498944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 14:19:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I blocked him. I block idiots. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287736992890064896\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 13:09:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It is not the same problem and this is not a highshool problem. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287730374932664322\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 12:43:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Assuming it is an error&#8230; Thanks! will investigate. I am always worried when no errors are revealed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287724671203446784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 12:21:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The distribution is Uniform below 1. Very very strange. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287723527848833024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 12:16:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The distribution is uniform below 1 ! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287723312978829313\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 12:15:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Great counterintuitive result in probability. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287722111952465922\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 12:10:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The article is for scientists not for politically driven imbeciles like you. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287571815393615872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 02:13:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287569963272806400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 02:06:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cancel and use our link. Ships immediately. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287569593297522689\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 02:04:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And it feels different: you pull from the nape of the neck <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287568658592669697\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 02:01:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287568221890138118\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:59:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u00c9. Koyn\u00e9 ba3ref shwayy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287558221725491204\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:19:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Here it is more, as it is 90% of the 10 max <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287557838299107328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:18:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Grazie. Rispondera domani. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287556225169633280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:11:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Also, for variery, tried 10 reps deadlift, 5 times today, and the same with presses yesterday. Feels great, like a sprint. Watched elevated hearbeat and saw it crash. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287555382009671683\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:08:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That&#8217;s the work equivalent of intermittent fasting. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287554621884338183\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:05:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No comparison. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287554232132886528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:03:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Much simpler to cut calories. I reach ketosis eating pasta when I do OMAD. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287553935234883591\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-27 01:02:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Haven&#8217;t practiced in 40 years! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287506315732975617\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:53:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Rispondera domani. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287505912001855494\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:51:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Babbler, not speaker. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287505430713970690\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:49:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0391\u03b3\u03b1\u03c0\u03b7\u03c4\u03bf\u03af \u03c6\u03af\u03bb\u03bf\u03b9 \u03ba\u03b1\u03b9 \u03c6\u03af\u03bb\u03b5\u03c2, \u03a8\u03ac\u03c7\u03bd\u03c9 \u03ad\u03bd\u03b1\u03bd \u0388\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03b1 \u03b4\u03ac\u03c3\u03ba\u03b1\u03bb\u03bf \u03c3\u03c4\u03bf Zoom <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287504259932717058\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:45:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Link? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287497898092048390\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:19:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He never understood convexity. But cities are Lindy by virtue of location. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287497336013422592\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:17:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Traders <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287496702560210944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 21:15:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cities when not monstrously large. Size is bad. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287490243390853123\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 20:49:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In French, same thing. &#8220;Valeurs propres&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287488947266957313\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 20:44:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb CITIES ARE FRAGILE Flaneured around NYC for a day. I spent 2\/3 of my life in the area. Saaaaaaaad. Idiots claiming cities &#8220;more efficient&#8221; don&#8217;t realize the concavity\/fragility to shocks. See #Antifragile: Rome went from 2.2M to few 100K &amp; took &gt;1500 years to come back. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287479531826274305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 20:06:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The conductor of the USJ (Jesuit Univ.) chorus in Beirut is a Lebanese woman (I assume Muslim from her name). https:\/\/twitter.com\/USJLiban\/status\/1287462673551175680 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287470427112189953\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 19:30:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The rarest (and most valuable) thing on this planet: a clear mind. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287432306639155200\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 16:59:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb After a lull, research is undergoing a back-migration to the land of grape leaves, thyme, and olive oil: the Republics of the Eastern Mediterranean. Thanks @polemitis for these ambitious projects; more to come. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287409353088270337\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 15:28:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb False negatives are a function of contageousness. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287406989048532992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 15:18:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287388161581240320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 14:03:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Another misunderstood convexity: frequent testing beats precision. A solution is STARING at us. &#8220;Evidence based&#8221; idiots can&#8217;t easily get it because, as with MASKS, they can&#8217;t understand cheap alternatives. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287357265704628224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 12:01:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cristo in Italiano e Francese (Montecristo, Monte Cristo) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287336211456167936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-26 10:37:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fi PDF? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287123224724111367\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 20:31:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My friend, not the squid ink sauce. Colored pasta. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287101252929835009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 19:03:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb COVID: A central ethical point: intergenerational liability. Like many central points, goes to the footnote. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287049515908947974\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 15:38:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I avoided mentioning Shiism because it is not clear to me. But for Alawis, it is. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287038524236193793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 14:54:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Imbecile White != Nordic <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1287035296228483072\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 14:41:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A gracious and very scientific debate with Ioannidis et al., @yaneerbaryam @DrCirillo We add: 1- How individual risks do not map to collective risks. 2- The False Dichotomy economy\/disease mitigation. For comments (submitting today) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286998167033188352\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 12:14:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) Some religions allow &#8220;Taqiyya&#8221;, i.e. concealing one&#8217;s creed or modifying it to the outside: Gnostic religions, Alevis, Alawis, Druze. Never Sunni Islam or Greek Orthodoxy. Religious history becomes muddled. Early East-Med Christians would rather die than deny their religion. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286990714556088322\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 11:44:32<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BS <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286989223170580480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 11:38:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No. DNA has not changed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286979341688209409\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 10:59:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was invited to debate him. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286830399587520515\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-25 01:07:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Taqiyya! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286796682714394632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 22:53:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Marranos were nonChristians who upon the inquisition faked Christianity to aboid persecution. Academic Marranos fake it to avoid being cancelled. Some SJW Marranos will secretly vote Trump. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286795085439471616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 22:47:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Wrong, it is linear <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286780062117826560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 21:47:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286755564840726530\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 20:10:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, it looks much more elegant in CDF <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286747227348766723\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 19:37:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We are debating Ioannidis, thanks to @pierrepinson and @spyrosmakrid Our final answer to him was just completed, to post soon. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286746695934652417\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 19:34:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not the same thing. I was looking for the density, not the CDF. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286745272232620035\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 19:29:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb They should cut the &#8220;arabic&#8221;, to TUnision, Algerian, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286744577492254720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 19:26:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286712746042626053\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 17:19:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, sums of Beta distributed B[1\/n,1], with a trick. for n=2, pi\/4, verifying the general formula. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286666669415440384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 14:16:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @PZalloua and I will join the U. (soon). We will force them to change the titles: The Prince in Italian, The Republic in Greek, all in the ORIGINAL language. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286664584275857409\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 14:08:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Right I misread X instead of X^n. It is one transformation before. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286663248717152258\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 14:03:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb CORRECTION: S^n-1 in numerator <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286658205767143425\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 13:43:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Application <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286658036816322560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 13:42:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286657272941285377\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 13:39:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lyom! Min j\u00e9y\u00e9? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286650833250246657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 13:13:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, imbeciles. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286645893933019137\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 12:54:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286645615540264960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 12:53:14<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb INEQUALITY DU JOUR This one is easy enough for morning coffee. Helps start the weekend. [Non-math commentators, please do not pollute the thread] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286636072764571648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 12:15:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb His wife is native Syrian speaking from Turkey. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286624415241863169\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 11:28:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Doesn&#8217;t look Lebanese at all. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286621097643958277\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-24 11:15:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It was never inside the article <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286429836756557831\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 22:35:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286428042257215488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 22:28:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I can put you there. Give me a picture. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286427731538870273\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 22:27:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A Dutcgg photographer clueless about population genetics. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286425949635055616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 22:20:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286425236708233216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 22:17:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He was Med that&#8217;s not Middle Eastern <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286424894817939456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 22:16:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Insufferable&#8230; with some&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286417676198391810\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 21:47:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Completamente <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286331446106509312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 16:04:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Which author? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286269016881979393\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 11:56:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And remember the PDF is Free https:\/\/researchers.one\/article\/2020-01-21\u2026 https:\/\/www.researchers.one\/article\/2020-01-21 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286113424351657984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 01:38:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Unwavering in friendship, unwavery in enmity. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1286112797030526981\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-23 01:36:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Struck a deal <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285970936404103168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 16:12:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That people who asked your type of question should NOT read the book. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285968149066780673\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 16:01:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I was irked at the framing by the NYT <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285966367255142401\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 15:54:08<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, Here is a link where you can order STATISTICAL CONSEQUENCES OF FAT TAILS for $33.95 + shipping Foreign copies (Europe\/Asia) should be under $49.95 with the reduced shipping [Next 2 weeks]. https:\/\/thescribestore.com\/products\/statistical-consequences-of-fat-tails-by-nassim-taleb And remember the PDF is Free https:\/\/www.researchers.one\/article\/2020-01-21 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285966118436376584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 15:53:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, the outcome &amp; her end &#8220;position&#8221; is not the question. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285964886246293505\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 15:48:15<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually worse: he was bad to OLD slaves. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285958553770000385\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 15:23:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Synchronous belief&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285942845547982848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 14:20:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I like &#8220;Mediterranean Studies&#8221; or Ancient World Studies since the pillars were Babylon + Egypt <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285938535514742787\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 14:03:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Excellent. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285936719876042754\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 13:56:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There is another one, but yours is EXACTLY what I was looking for. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285931549574205440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 13:35:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I saw a commentary on Deuteronomy. There is another one by Rashi but still deciphering. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285928713004122115\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 13:24:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, imbecile. She was bigottering IN THE article, even if she did not cancel him. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285927195685408770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 13:18:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4) Midrash Sefre. Rabbi Yossi HaGalili: \u05d0\u05e6\u05dc \u05e9\u05d5\u05e4\u05d8 \u05e9\u05dc\u05d0 \u05e0\u05de\u05e6\u05d0 \u05d1\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05d5? \u05d0\u05dc\u05d0 \u05e9\u05d5\u05e4\u05d8 \u05e9\u05d4\u05d5\u05d0 \u05db\u05e9\u05e8 (\u05d5\u05de\u05d5\u05d7\u05d6\u05e7) \u05d1\u05d0\u05d5\u05ea\u05df \u05d4\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05dd. \u05d4\u05d9\u05d4 \u05e7\u05e8\u05d5\u05d1 \u05d5\u05e0\u05ea\u05e8\u05d7\u05e7 &#8211; \u05db\u05e9\u05e8. [\u05d3\u05d1\u05e8 \u05d0\u05d7\u05e8, \u05d0\u05d9\u05df \u05dc\u05da \u05d0\u05dc\u05d0 \u05e9\u05d5\u05e4\u05d8 \u05e9\u05d1\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05da.] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285926281641693185\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 13:14:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u05d0\u05de\u05e8 \u05e8\u05d1\u05d9 \u05d9\u05d5\u05e1\u05d9 \u05d4\u05d2\u05dc\u05d9\u05dc\u05d9, \u05d5\u05db\u05d9 \u05ea\u05e2\u05dc\u05d4 \u05e2\u05dc \u05d3\u05e2\u05ea\u05da, \u05e9\u05d0\u05d3\u05dd \u05d4\u05d5\u05dc\u05da \u05d0\u05e6\u05dc \u05e9\u05d5\u05e4\u05d8 \u05e9\u05dc\u05d0 \u05e0\u05de\u05e6\u05d0 \u05d1\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05d5? \u05d0\u05dc\u05d0 \u05e9\u05d5\u05e4\u05d8 \u05e9\u05d4\u05d5\u05d0 \u05db\u05e9\u05e8 (\u05d5\u05de\u05d5\u05d7\u05d6\u05e7) \u05d1\u05d0\u05d5\u05ea\u05df \u05d4\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05dd. \u05d4\u05d9\u05d4 \u05e7\u05e8\u05d5\u05d1 \u05d5\u05e0\u05ea\u05e8\u05d7\u05e7 &#8211; \u05db\u05e9\u05e8. [\u05d3\u05d1\u05e8 \u05d0\u05d7\u05e8, \u05d0\u05d9\u05df \u05dc\u05da \u05d0\u05dc\u05d0 \u05e9\u05d5\u05e4\u05d8 \u05e9\u05d1\u05d9\u05de\u05d9\u05da.] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285924744110452737\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 13:08:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There is something YOU are not getting, aside from your defective anachronistic reasoning: the NYT DOES NOT publish stuff outside very very narrow parameters (I have 5 Op-Eds there). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285917834074300419\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 12:41:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Where? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285916839936131077\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 12:37:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks but when did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285910302316519427\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 12:11:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb They filter Op-Eds, do refuse mine systematically. I published 5 Op-Eds there in the past when the opinion was lined up to theirs. My point isn&#8217;t the opinion but the very idea of having to debate canceling a past figure. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285905907214438400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 11:53:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) The Wahabis destroyed ancient ruins in Saudi Arabia (including Islamic ones) to &#8220;prevent&#8221; idolatry. Soon we will be bulldozing ruins built by slaves (Great Pyramid\/Coliseum), then structures built by labor w\/o medical benefits, then those by nonvegetarian architects. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285901950916136960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 11:38:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (Yes I know the NYT ends up &#8220;opposed&#8221; to the idea of &#8220;cancelling Aristotle&#8221;, but the mere fact that they suggest the possibility &#8230;) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285898010933821443\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 11:22:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/ By retrospective bigotteering, they will end up canceling ALL their ancestors, 99.9% of the contents of libraries and any institution older than 5 years will eventually end up canceling itself. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285896626834493440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 11:17:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Exactly. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285894613526618112\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 11:09:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Any reference? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285894009714552838\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 11:06:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The NYT suggests cancelling Aristotle. This is retrospective bigotteering; it implies moral values DO NOT evolve. People need to be judged with respect to the morals OF THEIR OWN TIME. (But we can be harsh w\/Napoleon who reinstated slavery.) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285890603981721600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 10:53:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bingo, Nassim. Saudi\/Gulf people despise Levantines and Maghrebis, consider them &#8220;impure&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285886408029339648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 10:36:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK same ting <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285740877047111683\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 00:58:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Squid ink. A lot of squid ink. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285731984640221185\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-22 00:22:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Do you want to be blocked? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285725926400184322\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 23:58:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Disagree. CI says roughly you cannot build a function to project over n steps without n-1, and n-1 without n-2. Non analytic, no derivatives, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285719288444325894\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 23:32:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb TeXpad <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285712772349800450\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 23:06:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Alla yer7ama. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285689331571662852\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 21:33:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tell them Nice try. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285682704059641870\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 21:06:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RiadPonzi might manage to escape justice for a while, but&#8230; where is he going to go? Nice to see one&#8217;s villains in a cage, from which they can&#8217;t get out. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285673423969103872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 20:30:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Something tells me that the risk is dose-related, so fewer deaths in the summer, mistakenly attributed to the unavoidable mutation. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285666187410575361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 20:01:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No cream. Just foam from the beans. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285655703491940352\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 19:19:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The olive smell is intentional. This is the first probability book ever sold in Med grocery stores and luxury olive oil stores. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285647459046297603\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 18:46:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You have the knack of posting videos of me with 20 kg more. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285625866672902147\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 17:21:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Don&#8217;t worry if the Lebanese judiciary is frozen. The FT is on the job. This is today. Not a good day to be #RiadPonzi https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/d2d63b9b-9669-4ec0-93e9-ed97cbeb9261 via @financialtimes <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285619257909358592\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 16:54:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It is all starting now for Lebanese Central Bank Governor #RiadPonzi; we had to wait 10 m after I exposed him at USJ. He tried (&amp; failed) to smear me (but hurt some of my friends) Being #vindictive, I manifest my elation watching the predicted fall of a villain &amp; personal enemy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285616606526275595\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 16:44:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I don&#8217;t think so. Here is the PDF <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285606688503017472\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 16:04:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NY <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285605929438806016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 16:01:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Where? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285589924834574336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 14:58:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We have a note on country IQ to write. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285588746939793408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 14:53:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb THINGS I LEARNED IN 2020 @rorysutherland told me that working outside, in a garden or in a park doesn&#8217;t feel like work. So long as it is outside. Works! Trying it for stuff that is *work* &amp; requires colossal effort: s.a. reading emails from NJ, comments from referees, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285584665622065157\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 14:37:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We knew &#8220;nudge&#8221; (Thaler and Sunstein) relies on a buch of severe errors in probability. It is actually worse: vastly non-empirical claims. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285576351798431744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 14:04:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Must be Lebanese, Tiyan is Semitic (Tyan = bird in Lebanese, Tuyyoyo = Arab in Syriac) and not found in French. Plus look at the picture <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285559180666056715\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 12:56:07<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I block imbeciles. Sorry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285551969583747073\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 12:27:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The same people who worry about &#8220;costs&#8221; of mitigating the pandemic spend trillions on weaponry &#8220;for insurance&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285548915346018304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 12:15:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not segregated in the modern sense. Town vs country, educated vs uneducated. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285547361364844544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 12:09:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Same tools same coffee grind. Never forget cold water after every sip, the East-Med way. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285546511707897856\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 12:05:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @ndehouche can give you lists, St Augustine being the most known <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285537926860996608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 11:31:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How much $$do they charge? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285530794887385088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 11:03:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How much is Amz UK? Could be OK <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285529405960396800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 10:57:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Indeed the only podcasts I do is with @EconTalker as, over time, I learned refined economic reasoning from him &amp; developed arguments over a 13 y conversation. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285528432122695682\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 10:53:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Vivi in italia? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285380949736337409\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 01:07:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In 2 or 3 days there will be a link to ship to Europe at minimal additional cost. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285380423774765062\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 01:05:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285380194560290816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 01:04:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Grazie. Impari qualcosa ogni giorno. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285379687632580608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 01:02:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fuck, no. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285378409972015106\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:57:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Which is what I asked @Normonic, no? Or is it different when it is not a price, where you use the plural? In Fr it is &#8220;combien&#8221; for both <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285378110192594945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:56:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In a store how you say &#8220;how much&#8221;? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285376674176086016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:50:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When you ask for a price, you say &#8220;quanto&#8221; or &#8220;quanti&#8221;? Curious <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285372132965388288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:32:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You are debating someone I&#8217;ve blocked for serious defects in thinking. So keep that in mind when you get spurious arguments about what is or what is not &#8220;native&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285371299955650566\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:29:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You mean Central Med. Sicily = Central Med <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285369641163010049\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:22:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Quanto? 35? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285368585670492160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-21 00:18:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That&#8217;s the narrative used against Palestinians and used by the French to keep Algeria. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285346633761411072\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 22:51:32<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Imbecile <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285328369803038721\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 21:38:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We had 6x capacity, 2 y waiting list. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285324216263417857\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 21:22:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3indak nbid w Nero di Sepia. Shu baddo l wa7ad gheir shi? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285315418400399360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 20:47:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3inna RWRI <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285314564284985344\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 20:44:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mush kll l wa2t blebn\u00e9n: 3 shor bil sen\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285312547755823104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 20:36:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fuck, no. The Levant only 2. Different culture\/origins\/history. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285304411225497604\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 20:03:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb WTF do you mean &#8220;finally&#8221;? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285300935892271110\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 19:49:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If the thing is linear y1=a x, y2=b x, it is the integral of the absolute difference Abs[(b-a) x]. If same sign, =(b-a)(x2^2-x1^2)\/2, otherwise pick {x1,x2,x3} and use absolute. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285300188521869312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 19:46:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb False dichotomy: it is an error to ignore that the pandemic itself has economic costs and make a trade-off between health and economics. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285295120380829702\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 19:26:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK OK libya <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285281080199852033\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:31:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lybia and Tunisia had Arabic J1e coming in noncoastal areas because nomads could handle the conditions, similar to Arabis. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285280652930228225\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:29:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Most in the North did until the 1600s speak a version of it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285280234259062784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:27:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Baddna zoom @Decafquest <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285279855144247298\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:26:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Straw man? leb dialect is treated as a &#8220;lahja&#8221; and descendant of Dus7a <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285278397330001920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:20:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Easier to implement. Lebanese and Western Syrian. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285278129720786945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:19:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Konfirmed. Only Tunisia has Peninsular gene flow. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285277706167504897\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 18:17:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb heik 3am bi sir <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285269379060568065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 17:44:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Welcome! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285269246990266368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 17:44:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ktir burokratiyy\u00e9 honik. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285268727102087168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 17:41:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi Not recommended. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285268320606879745\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 17:40:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Some historical facts: Algerians (particularly in coastal cities) spoke Latin for CENTURIES before the French learned it &amp; bastardized it into what is now their language. Make the #SouthMed great again! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285267996328497153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 17:39:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Evidence: 1 min ago <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285254850729705473\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 16:46:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Crap. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285254511649529857\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 16:45:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There is no teleological &#8220;forward&#8221;. There is one condition: very small steps locally (with occasional large payoffs). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285244488953278468\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 16:05:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Interestingly Rimbaud worked for a Lebanese dealer C\u00e9sar Tiyyan <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285224958419927040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 14:48:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The difference betw Classical Arabic and Levantine is stark here. Proves one can reach yuuuuuuuuuge linguistic prowess in Lebanese. This poetry that is never taught in school, repressed by the Arabists &amp; the &#8220;left&#8221; that aims to destroys nonelite\/local languages. @Firsou 1\/n <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285224787116281857\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 14:47:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not the point: reverse engineering produces compounding errors under dimensionality. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285218136388665346\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 14:20:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ana tlmizak! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285212374249725954\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 13:58:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Below 70 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285205887725064194\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 13:32:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My explanation why those discussing genetics of intelligence don&#8217;t understand basic multivariate statistics. Also applies to the BS claims by @sapinker. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285198897623764992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 13:04:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Leish hal akl khara? Mshkl\u00e9t l balad 2yura mtlak. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285197685662920709\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 12:59:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ana mush mtl Twayn\u00e9 W 2asir, 3nd\u00e9 3il\u00e92at ma3 l kll w ma3 l mashri2iyy\u00e9&#8230; bass msh ma3 l Salafiyy\u00e9 wl 3urubiyy\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285195643166896128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 12:51:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb WARNING The Lebanese are citing some dark article by the Washington Post @LizSly If journalists knew anything about anything in business &amp; economics they wouldn&#8217;t be journalists. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285186168200601602\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 12:13:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ma be2ra illa bil mashr2\u00e9 (Levantine) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285178917373071361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:45:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Here is what he got confused with <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285178529307668481\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:43:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There is an &#8220;i&#8221; too many <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285177382396203014\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:39:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ana badd\u00e9 l\u00e9z\u00e9m l\u00e92\u00e9 j\u00e9m3a 3a zaw2\u00e9 bt\u00e93zmn\u00e9. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285176787534848005\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:36:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb WARNING The Lebanese are citing some dark article by the Washington Post @LizSly If journalists knew anything about anything in business &amp; economics they wouldn&#8217;t be journalists. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285175942512611328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:33:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fi byetrko, fi byeb2o, fi byejo! Ba3d ma @PZalloua 2arrar yb2a bi baladna bhal fatra lse3b\u00e9, mfakkar ana erja3, la intem\u00e9 la j\u00e9m3a bi Lebn\u00e9n la 2aww\u00e9 l ma3nawiyy\u00e9t (w 3all\u00e9m l tl\u00e9miz Data Science). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285174975226417153\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:29:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Salibi was a fraud, I block people who promote frauds. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285168229598597122\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:02:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285167795517509632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 11:00:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In old Arabic, Ajami \u0639\u062c\u0645\u064a meant Persian or foreigner, as there was an expression: &#8220;al 3rbu wal 3ajamu&#8221;. Seemingly same in Osmali. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285007094928809991\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 00:22:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It seems to me from what little Osmali I can make out, that Acemoglu is &#8220;son of the Persian&#8221;, Acemi+Oglu <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1285002073084440577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-20 00:02:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284988805800513545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 23:09:39<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes in text explain that the collective is AF at the expense of individual restaurants. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284988414467678210\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 23:08:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284987432321060865\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 23:04:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Never thought that. Restaurants have ALWAYS been fragile. The quality benefits from bankruptcies. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284987314347835398\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 23:03:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I live there 3 mo\/year &#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284985361689649152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 22:55:58<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2eltello <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284981498828009494\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 22:40:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Heik 2elello la 7sein mb\u00e9re7. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284978836950704130\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 22:30:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! When did you order? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284956604987772937\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 21:01:42<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @PZalloua is writing one. A real one <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284922626964705280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 18:46:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He knows Classical Arabic but his native language is Levantine, 75% of a language away from Arabic. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284922303839600640\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 18:45:24<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb nitpicking: claim not claims <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284901135455866880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 17:21:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb nitpicking: speack IN French <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284900995600920576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 17:20:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb GODEL DU JOUR Someone hearing me speak french, &#8211; Ah you speak French [in French] Me [in French]: Not at all I am faking it (&#8220;je fais semblant&#8221;) &#8211; Sorry I mistakenly thought you spoke Fr Me [in French]: Everyone makes mistakes. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284899627695845377\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 17:15:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Do you want to be blocked? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284898150034137088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 17:09:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes I blocked for sophistry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284896154531102724\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 17:01:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The claims that I blocked Saifedean Ammous based on private communication is a lie. I blocked him on the basis of dangerously crankish and conspiratorial public feed. I block all lunatics. Gabish? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284893635629191176\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 16:51:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Leish ya Bourashid ma btktob bil 7 mtlna la nefham bsr3a? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284840390089211911\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 13:19:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Free PDF <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284822534375067652\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 12:08:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 6 Footnotes. a) PLANNED OBSOLESCENCE The quality of hardcover books released now is so bad, as it publishers knew nobody would care about the book after 2 years. b) Few publishers are in for the 3rd wave: Penguin (UK), Knopf, etc. Why? It&#8217;s a small market! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284821815118962690\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 12:06:06<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 5 So, need to avoid &#8220;launches&#8221; to avoid the promiscuous 1st wave buyers. My books will not be launched\/distributed, just to avoid the buyer who *buys books* rather than someone who wants the specific topic. I started my own publishing for StConsFTails. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284818272827912192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:52:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 4 I am only interested in the 3rd wave (FBR, INCERTO-1, is ~20 y old); I am in a different business. I shd avoid the First Wave buyer, who doesn&#8217;t count long term. They rely on book reviewers (not time), e.g. that BSVendor @EasterbrookG for the NYT. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284817351351951361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:48:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 3 Most Publishers make $from the First Wave, with increasingly lower quality paper that degrades w\/time. Their staff isn&#8217;t even equipped for the 3rd Wave as no credits\/promotions beyond the first\/2nd year when the book is attributed to a specific editor <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284817350450192384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:48:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 2 Then they move on to the next book &amp; books go to low margin paperback &amp; eventually die. 2nd Wave: Few books survive, only if they have #Lindy attributes, &amp; or if some academic conversation props them up. Third Wave: One in 1,000 -10,000 makes it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284817349527375877\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:48:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BOOK PUBLISHING THREAD, 1 First Wave: Fashion buyers, the class of people who systematically buy NEW &#8220;idea books&#8221;. The entire book industry organized to sell to them. Books must be &#8220;in the conversation&#8221;. The hardcover sales is where the $$$are made. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284817348621467648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:48:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Imbecile, this is what I am saying. Tribes and national statism are not the same thing. See PRINCIPIA POLITICA <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284811737745817602\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:26:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284805451113103364\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:01:04<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The dark story of the &#8220;enlightenment&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284805228555128832\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 11:00:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hayda robust <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284804265349910528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 10:56:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Just ordered. Thanks. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284675535583535105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 02:24:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ktir 2awiyy\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284643116847423488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-19 00:16:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks Mansour! mt3addar it is, from Hydra AND, mysteriously, from an old Semitic tale about a donkey that grows heads when you cut one off. [Practically all Greek myth have a more ancient Aegyptian or Semitic counterpart] Te3dir \u062a\u0650\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0631 = antifragilty <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284591126620626945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 20:49:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb mt3addar! the right meaning. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284583725993545733\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 20:20:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How about \u0645\u062a\u0644\u062f\u0646 from \u062a\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0646, annealing? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284581085746257921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 20:09:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0645\u0634 \u0643\u0627\u0641\u064a <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284580490322817024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 20:07:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hayda robust <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284579186552844289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 20:01:59<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3am nt2arrab! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284578395616141312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:58:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u05dc\u05b8\u05b9\u05d0, \u05d9\u05e2\u05e0\u05d9 \u05ea\u05d7\u05e1\u05e1\u05e0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284576766414204930\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:52:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In Hebrew was Anti shabir \u05d0\u05e0\u05d8\u05d9 \u05e9\u05d1\u05d9\u05e8 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284576092968357888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:49:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb robust <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284575720669421568\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:48:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u064a\u0639\u0646\u064a \u0627\u0643\u0644 \u062f\u0639\u0643&#8230; \u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0633\u0646 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284575315705110530\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:46:36<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0645\u0646\u064a\u062d\u0627 \u0647\u064a\u062f\u0647 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284574993632894977\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:45:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0644\u0626 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284574743782469634\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:44:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0645\u062a\u062e\u0628\u0637 \u061f \u0643\u0644\u0645\u0647 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0647 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284574452995502082\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:43:10<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No no no <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284572083012481026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:33:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No no no \u0645\u0627\u0643\u0646= robust <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284572006839615490\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:33:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PHILOLOGY DISCUSSION Looking for a term close to Antifragile in Levantine (not necessarily Antifragile) for a translation of the article with @HsenAndil and @Zzeghedrane. It does not have to be literal <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284568419556364289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 19:19:12<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, you are right. This was not published&#8230; I didn&#8217;t recognize my words as I usually polish before putting in a book. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284557804397891584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 18:37:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I NEVER wrote this <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284537630374481922\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 17:16:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you want. If so, pls add + ergodicity + IQ + GMO(s) + Brier <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284536863420751872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 17:13:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Khazar theory is but, was some BS by a political journalist. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284535133392035840\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 17:06:55<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hold off might get something better <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284486263190552576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:52:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb But can&#8217;t get the distinct Koura smell. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284484320921518081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:45:01<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I speculate that, aside from the dimensionality problem, e-books cannot produce odors, so I guess no olive oil. https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1284470642180587521 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284483899360518147\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:43:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How much is shipping? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284482500115476482\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:37:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, of course, many historians are rigorous; which part of &#8220;usually&#8221; was not clear? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284481882336501769\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:35:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We changed supplier. New one delivers immediately. You can cancel and reorder. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284481506455498753\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:33:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Orders&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284480953272983552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:31:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284478174122958850\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 13:20:35<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, Aleppo: many look like him there. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284468258054328320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 12:41:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cannot resist. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284465864352440329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 12:31:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) This is a &#8220;mamluk nobleman from Aleppo&#8221;. Explain how one could be BOTH slave and nobleman except in a structure similar to Mafia made man. Historians are usually not very bright; their classifications are absurd &amp; they don&#8217;t have the guts or intellect to question them. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284464386736783361\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 12:25:48<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ingram the distributor is incompetent. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284461402695114758\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 12:13:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No fucking imbecile, this is IN COMPARISON to other populations. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284461084502634496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 12:12:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb HISTORICAL MUSING of the day: MAFIA &amp; MAMELUKS The Mameluks were military &#8220;slaves&#8221; (oft. Chris. born) who were paradoxically the ruling class. How? Same w\/MADE MEN in the Mafia. Once in you can&#8217;t get out. You are both owned by the mafia &amp; part owner. https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Mamluk <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284460620188917760\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 12:10:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Jaffer, block nitpickers. This has nothing to do with the gender of the predator. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284433464478044160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 10:22:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He is OK but no scholar. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284433219828551681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 10:21:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The biggest BS in discourse is claiming &#8220;people are self-interested and *rational*&#8221;. No. It is not so &#8220;rational&#8221; at the individual level; it is rational at the group level to wear mask under multiplicative risks because YOU are part of the multiplication. https:\/\/twitter.com\/benshapiro\/status\/1284190658060668928 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284432986453225472\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-18 10:21:02<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284266038020968459\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 23:17:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why don&#8217;t you fuck off? This is giving moral support to 000s of youth. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284217140510199808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 20:03:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fuck, no. I&#8217;ve never seen an economist do real world statistics right. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284216511222239232\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 20:00:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The precedent has begun. Detenuring is easy: close depts. Rent-seeking at the expense of middle class parents eventually has an end. Detenured professors in social science are unskilled labor outside citation rings. You can&#8217;t use an economist for gardening or moving furniture. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284212562255642624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 19:45:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Indicator function gives you Pi. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284210533370138625\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 19:37:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You represent the East Med. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284201094739111936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 18:59:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks! When did you order it? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284198673044443136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 18:49:57<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is heroic. 1) Zalloua stays in Lebanon to be honorable\/not a deserter. 2) Joins the univ. of the Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch (even better). 3) We are starting the EAST MED DATA SCIENCE CENTER. 4) Balamand is a 12 C Crusader outpost (Belmont), 6 km from Amioun. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284197250747564032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 18:44:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Siesta. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284175220560015360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 17:16:46<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Genetically, Meds are not made for the sun. 6000-3000 years is not enough. Their skin wrinkles. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284172498184134656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 17:05:56<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why do I despise nitpickers? Tautology in LOGIC is a statement that is true by necessity. Do you mind if I block you? Don&#8217;t be offended. It is simple discipline: I managed in my life and in my Twitter feed to get rid of nitpickers. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284170573170520064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 16:58:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fox News will some day discover that thing commonly known as tautology. https:\/\/fxn.ws\/30oLmI2 #FoxNews <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284158518384361478\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 16:10:23<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not always and not for everyone. Money cured my desire for luxuries. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284153073355685888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 15:48:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Siesta <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284146444371402752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 15:22:25<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Imbecile <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284139756239106051\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 14:55:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That fund? https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2020-04-08\/taleb-advised-universa-tail-risk-fund-returned-3-600-in-march <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284139520770924544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 14:54:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284121096602738688\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 13:41:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Vero <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284120101663526912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 13:37:44<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @tomsmith585 https:\/\/link.medium.com\/ZpadefF7b8 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284118932484435969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 13:33:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I know it&#8217;s comedy. Problem is many don&#8217;t <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284112943806906370\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 13:09:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Weyn l Brikka? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284111687679868928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 13:04:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was thinking the SAME! Absense of sense of humor is a marker of a total inability to get nuances, prominent among pseudolibertarians, maxbitcoiners, Salafis, Protestant zealots, NYTcopyeditors, CancelCulturistas &amp; others w\/seriously defective intellects. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284109535410520066\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 12:55:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Was thinking the SAME thing! Absense of humor is a sign of inability to get nuances, prominent among pseudolibertarians, Salafis, zealots, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284106795141734400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 12:44:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sorry but I block people who write nonsense. Nothing personal. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284105258164269057\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 12:38:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thanks to lax law enforcement in some U.S. cities these strategies might be actually used to promote mask use&#8211; a step up from social shaming. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284082970366812161\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 11:10:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Any function of it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1284077573841080320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 10:48:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why? This is both true and not racist at all since NonGaussian. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283940946816700416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-17 01:45:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And the highest title was &#8220;second teacher&#8221;, as nobody could reach the level of Aristotle. https:\/\/en.m.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Al-Farabi <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283891754526224384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 22:30:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There were tonnnnnnnnns of Greek speaking people in the Khalifate (my ancestors and all educated pple in the coastal Levant). But Arabic language thinkers worshiped Aristotle but relied on &#8220;the interpreter&#8221; who wrote in Arabic. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283891125242273792\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 22:27:52<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u062d\u0644\u0648\u0629 \u064a\u0631\u064a\u062a \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0644\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0627 \u0643\u062a\u0628\u062a \u0627\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0647\u0634\u0627\u0634 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283887205744861185\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 22:12:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Culinarily, America is now a Med colony. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283842099474030598\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 19:13:03<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Having a lot of Twitter followers&#8230; not necessarily <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283831910947586048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 18:32:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Israeli style&#8221;? You mean Lebanese. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283831193029550081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 18:29:43<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You said Arabic doesn&#8217;t work <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283830981259141120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 18:28:53<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb As usual, they went to Alexandria &#8230; then. Athens was a relic. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283812801321013249\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 17:16:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There is a yuuuuuuge Byzantine production repressed by Euro scholars because of Gibbons and the bad press of the enlightenment. Will find Mavroudi&#8217;s lecture. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283802144282476545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 16:34:17<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Reinvention; read reintroduction into the consciousness but since 3rd C BC Alexandria was the true Greek center. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283797981964230656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 16:17:45<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For 1800 years few Greeks discussed Athens. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283795940118339591\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 16:09:38<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Which is why Hagia Sophia hurts. Greek is Hellenistic, not Classical; Nordics who reinvented a &#8220;Greek identity&#8221; w\/Greek gods on coffeeshop takeout mugs never get it. Nor do Levantines brainwashed by Arab fascism. Athens is a German Disneyland-style reinvention in the early 19C. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283793430330724353\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 15:59:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb New York Suburbs. In normal times, this parking lot for commuters to NYC would be full. Sometimes all it takes is one single image to be hit with reality. I am still in disbelief. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283791808120729600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 15:53:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Maybe they use past record as prior <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283756634922201088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 13:33:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1267161610243710976?s=21 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283727456730517505\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 11:37:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mabruk. Weyn? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283723892050337792\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 11:23:20<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb COVID is an economic stress test: the fragile is being destroyed (universities, airlines); the robust will thrive. It&#8217;s mostly an intellectual stress test; destroying fake probability: non-EVT epidemiology, naive&#8221;evidence based&#8221;(Ioannidis), BS vendors (@PTetlock&#x1f401;, Sunstein)&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283715064046981121\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 10:48:16<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When Turkish was written with Arabic characters, they respected the sounds: &#8220;c&#8221; was &#8220;g&#8221;, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283706657252478986\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 10:14:51<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Palestinians from Galilee, particularly Christians, have the same genetics as Greeks and Southern Italians. Are Greeks &#8220;brown&#8221;? If so, is Aristotle &#8220;brown&#8221;? How did you get a theology degree being that stupid? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283572428946513922\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 01:21:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes they took over and it was more like made men in the mafia: you are now a property of the mafia while being part owner. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283567635985309699\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 01:02:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb It&#8217;s going to get better. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283567382959722497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-16 01:01:26<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Never Beirut. It was largely migration into, unlike Tyre. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283518036025188353\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 21:45:21<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually Med genetics! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283515561243283457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 21:35:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb With help from Scribe Media @TuckerMax @zachobront <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283512371818962945\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 21:22:50<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Liguria is Med as hell <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283511518353661954\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 21:19:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No child sacrifice is fake news. They just buried dead children together. Greeks have plenty of aged persons in statues. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283510454824902656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 21:15:13<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes and the Jesuits messed it up with casuistry and use of equivocation. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283499204090966017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 20:30:31<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Look at the wrinkles! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283497864245673986\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 20:25:11<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb ALL Roman soldiers were free men, no? Same with Arabs. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283497760663244800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 20:24:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Meds try to look older; more prestige&#8230;&#8221; True Trying to do a portrait for the French Incerto. Will look 24 years older and 24 lbs heavier. Why? this is not a diet\/life coaching book. https:\/\/twitter.com\/GregorySMcMuray\/status\/1283496199300026371?s=20 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283497286643982339\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 20:22:54<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb White lie. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283496056244797440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 20:18:00<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lying (outside of white lies) is a sin, except when some busybody asks you something personal that&#8217;s none of their business or not relevant to the discussion. You are then morally obligated to confuse them. When journos ask me for my DoB, I always give Mandelbrot&#8217;s, 1924. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283495222438133763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 20:14:41<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Soon <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283485391312519169\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 19:35:37<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283478514352652288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 19:08:18<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can approve it is a different distributor, in stock. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283478141797793794\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 19:06:49<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually it is in from another distributor. So you can wait for old order to be fulfilled or cancel and reorder, but for US only. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283477853758263296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 19:05:40<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Could it be Mori? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283476266088386566\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:59:22<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hi, when did you order? Thanks <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283475558165250048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:56:33<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I picked the MOST expensive paper I could find, full color. This is an artisanal book, where I wrote, typeset, formatted. Did the entire thing. Feels like #SoulInTheGame <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283475457648844800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:56:09<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually, the Naples version is a pun since &#8220;muori&#8221; is a town nearby. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283468392465301504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:28:05<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The French have a much more concise way to express it: &#8220;Voir Naples[Venise] et mourir&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283467062178963458\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:22:47<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The French have a much more concise way to express it: &#8220;Voir Naples[Venise] et mourir&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283467006398865408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:22:34<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Soon you will see more evidence with my notes on the text. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283464678828584960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 18:13:19<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Je lis Fr\u00e9d\u00e9ric Dard pour la langue. Pas d&#8217;acad\u00e9mie, pas de controle. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283446093234212864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 16:59:28<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb But those you can&#8217;t study for them <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283443077034770432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 16:47:29<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you must study for an exam, you will never really know the subject matter. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283428484044464129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 15:49:30<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Grant, you can get the class at TJ Max for $6 a pair! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283399783277834240\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 13:55:27<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;Qui m&#8217;ont \u00e9chapp\u00e9&#8221;, cher compatriote grecoph\u00e9nicien. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1283399555942354944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> Permalink<\/a> 2020-07-15 13:54:33<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Published on Jul 27, 2020 Nassim Nicholas Taleb talks about the pandemic with EconTalk host Russ Roberts. Topics discussed include how to handle the rest of this pandemic and the next one, the power of the mask, geronticide, and soul in the game. For transcript and links related to today&#8217;s episode: https:\/\/www.econtalk.org\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-on-the-pandemic\/ The Masks Masquerade [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1822,112,994,1620,1794,1427,1819,1820,1821,1014,1548,88,1335,1577,510],"class_list":["post-9137","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-contributors","tag-book-publishing","tag-econtalk","tag-fraud","tag-hagia-sophia","tag-ioannidis","tag-iq","tag-manhattan","tag-nuclear","tag-omar-sharif","tag-pinker","tag-playboy","tag-russ-roberts","tag-sunstein","tag-tetlock","tag-thaler"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9137","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9137"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9137\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9140,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9137\/revisions\/9140"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9137"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9137"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9137"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}