{"id":9068,"date":"2019-11-07T20:11:13","date_gmt":"2019-11-08T04:11:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=9068"},"modified":"2019-11-07T20:13:23","modified_gmt":"2019-11-08T04:13:23","slug":"silver-rule-charles-murray-localism-lebanon-mariana-mazzucato-ubi-reits-i-made-a-mistake-corruption-peterson-iq-stefan-molyneux-aquavit-swedes-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2019\/11\/silver-rule-charles-murray-localism-lebanon-mariana-mazzucato-ubi-reits-i-made-a-mistake-corruption-peterson-iq-stefan-molyneux-aquavit-swedes-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver Rule, Charles Murray, Localism, LEBANON, Mariana Mazzucato, UBI, REITS, I MADE A MISTAKE, Corruption, Peterson, IQ, Stefan Molyneux, Aquavit, Swedes | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187109039798444032\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-9069\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/by-default-2019-11-07-at-7.34.07-PM.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"631\" height=\"452\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/by-default-2019-11-07-at-7.34.07-PM.jpg 631w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/by-default-2019-11-07-at-7.34.07-PM-300x215.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 631px) 100vw, 631px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I deposited my last business tie in the garbage can at the corner of 48th St and Park avenue in December 1993, only kept ones for funerals.<br \/>\nSince then wore no tie at 10 Downing, White House, etc. Below with 12 (former) heads of state-cum-tie guests of Nursultan Nazarbaev.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/a3YOMe4PnKE?rel=0\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/HPfRnVSF-38?rel=0\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;Complaints don&#8217;t deliver complaints, they mostly reveal your weakness.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1192438888922517506\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:49 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hint: The Golden Rule is NOT Lindy. See Isocrates&#8217; rule. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/fpingham\/status\/1192417188113764352?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/fpingham\/status\/1192417188113764352?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Phku3tSBjz&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/Phku3tSBjz <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1192417936172081158\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:26 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tonight&#8217;s Lecktshur at @LAUNYHQ, I present the problem of the Golden rule: intrusive, vs. Silver Rule. #Localism= Silver Rule, rejection of golden rule. #Lebanon Nobody should ever force you into something &#8220;because it is good for them&#8221;.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/gkIpz0ivOk\"> pic.twitter.com\/gkIpz0ivOk<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1192415706664591360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:17 AM &#8211; 7 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Mangan150 Big Food &#8211; the largest global food corporations &#8211; and what they make. They turn cheap sugar, seed oils, and refined grains into profit. A big impetus behind the vegan push.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/36OpQRzNFl\"> pic.twitter.com\/36OpQRzNFl<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Mangan150\/status\/1192191427087699968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:26 PM &#8211; 6 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@thegeforum Nassim Taleb says the hedge fund industry is the correct model for investment management&#8230; \u201cdont tell me what you recommend&#8230; tell me what you own\u201d. Hedge fund managers eat their own cooking! This from a man not accustomed to giving compliments!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/0XWhr32TiZ\"> pic.twitter.com\/0XWhr32TiZ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/thegeforum\/status\/1192144262428872704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:18 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When you say something you think are just saying something, but you are largely communicating *why* you had to say it. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1192080645209690113\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:05 AM &#8211; 6 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@joebrownheretic When a P\/L is involved, there is an incentive to make things as simple as possible. When a P\/L is not involved, the incentive is to make things as complicated as possible. &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stalingrad_poor\/status\/1191740023265091584 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/stalingrad_poor\/status\/1191740023265091584 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/joebrownheretic\/status\/1191871300651778048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 PM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@joebrownheretic When a P\/L is involved, there is an incentive to make things as simple as possible. When a P\/L is not involved, the incentive is to make things as complicated as possible. &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Stalingrad_Poor\/status\/1191740023265091584 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Stalingrad_Poor\/status\/1191740023265091584 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/joebrownheretic\/status\/1191871300651778048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 PM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@novak_ma Few months ago I read Fooled by Randomness by @nntaleb and deleted my stock watch app from phone. I checked my stocks just once since then. Feels good. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/novak_ma\/status\/1191767202656968704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:20 AM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BTW, Charles Murray @charlesmurray, just a little reminder that you are an impostor, a fake scholar, a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1162105686848880640 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1162105686848880640 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191743713741066241\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When as****les call you &#8220;arrogant&#8221;, you are on the right side of ethics. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/fadesingh\/status\/1191740272704573440 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/fadesingh\/status\/1191740272704573440 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191743301956833281\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:45 AM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Just found a mistake in my paper concerning the @spyrosmakrid M4 competition (as I had the wrong description): the testing metric is always thin tailed EVEN if the underlying variable is fat tailed.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/VOwRRgWDUZ\"> pic.twitter.com\/VOwRRgWDUZ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191726918862807040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:40 AM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The incoherent fellow (an ethnic Druze chieftain claiming to be socialist) is a specimen of someone who lives in the wrong century &amp; fails to understand #localism. Pple are more interested in electricity &amp; public services than geopolitical incantations. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/walidjoumblatt\/status\/1191665339945361410 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/walidjoumblatt\/status\/1191665339945361410 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191694448641617921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:31 AM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Decafquest On people who are afraid of cameras by @nntaleb: Relevant today more than ever.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/647tMUjhmo\"> pic.twitter.com\/647tMUjhmo<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Decafquest\/status\/1191681825233686529\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:41 AM &#8211; 5 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;We learn the most from fools &#8230; yet we pay them back with the worst ingratitude.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1191604916906872832\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:35 PM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Religious Fundamentalists (including atheist fundamentalists) aren\u2019t just usually morbidly stupid; they can be detected by the total absence of any sense of humor. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxabrahms\/status\/1191487729407873026 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/maxabrahms\/status\/1191487729407873026 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191531080844750849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 PM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Localism is the new &#8230; communism <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191497568511021057\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:28 PM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila. The informal title is \u201c Localism, Complexity, and busting the BS by IYIs \u201d Please let me know if you are joining. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/launyhq\/status\/1191453179629715456?s=21 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/launyhq\/status\/1191453179629715456?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191466787830931456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:26 PM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@LAUNYHQ Join @nntaleb at #LAUNYHQ 5:30-7pm Thursday evening Nov 7 for a pop-up seminar on Localism and its Application to Lebanon &#8211; space is limited, first come first serve, register here <a href=\"https:\/\/www.eventbrite.com\/e\/localism-and-its-application-to-lebanon-tickets-80078479889 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.eventbrite.com\/e\/localism-and-its-application-to-lebanon-tickets-80078479889 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/LAUNYHQ\/status\/1191453179629715456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:32 PM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Please indicate in this thread if you wish to come. Limited to people involved in the Lebanese situation. This is not about #Localism in general rather its application to Lebanon. (Swiss specialists welcome to join as CH is the model for multiethnic multireligious localism) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191152050471677953 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191152050471677953 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191370254573883394\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:02 AM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NEW VERSION Principia Politica #Localism <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191333902490710016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:38 AM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Naive universalism attracts IYIs and self-righteous psychopaths <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/yhazony\/status\/1191165326249070594 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/yhazony\/status\/1191165326249070594 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/98JaV4R7vH&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/98JaV4R7vH <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191320562532007936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:45 AM &#8211; 4 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, I will present #LOCALISM with respect to #Lebanon next Thursday at 5:30 in New York (before I leave NY for the Republic of Amioun). An application of PRINCIPIA POLITICA <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica <\/a>\u00a0 Venue to be confirmed #LebanonProtest <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191152050471677953\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:35 PM &#8211; 3 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@levelsio &#8220;For I have a single definition of success: you look in the mirror every evening, and wonder if you disappoint the person you were at 18, right before the age when people start getting corrupted by life. Let him or her be the only judge; not your reputation&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/levelsio\/status\/1191051733100744710\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:57 AM &#8211; 3 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I can understand someone defending Iran against Salafis\/Saudi Arabia. Never anyone -supporting Iran&#8217;s regime in the murders of Iraqi youths -supporting Iranian interference in the #Lebanonprotest, largely by youths FED UP w\/their exploitation for geopolitics. #Localism <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191034353725382656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:48 AM &#8211; 3 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1190426291515908098 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1190426291515908098 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1191003022752698372\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:43 AM &#8211; 3 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@financequant To all at RWRI 12, travel safely. It was a pleasure to work with you. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/financequant\/status\/1190800647886704642\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:19 PM &#8211; 2 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@trishankkarthik @nntaleb summarizing Wolfram\u2019s Principle of Computational Equivalence at #RWRI Any two systems that display non-trivial behavior are just as sophisticated as each other in terms of range of computation (not speed or memory) Deep implications for IQ<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/hK9RZizT1D\"> pic.twitter.com\/hK9RZizT1D<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1190376936012468228\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:15 PM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Skin in the Game @tarekmilleron American Airlines flight attendants stand up to Boeing CEO on 737 MAX <a href=\"https:\/\/reut.rs\/2qcPPz6 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/reut.rs\/2qcPPz6 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1190332110747381760\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:17 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Firsou Sh3aybiy\u00e9 at #RWRI ! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/firsou\/status\/1157585257073430529?s=21 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/firsou\/status\/1157585257073430529?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/l36yXHk69X&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/l36yXHk69X <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1190315094477099010\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:10 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Heinonmatti Hey, @VergilDen is here! Banking system moves from right to left in the network fig &#8211;&gt; vulnerability to targeted attacks. [Hope he talks about fighting later.] #RWRI<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/4Q1NvpvtLz\"> pic.twitter.com\/4Q1NvpvtLz<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Heinonmatti\/status\/1190292031152820224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:38 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LEBANON A bit of empiricism French and UK voters send their &#8220;heroes&#8221; Churchill and De Gaulle home after the war. Same with Bush the elder after the successful Persian Gulf war. War arguments &amp; &#8220;resistance&#8221; do not register during periods of peace. #LebanonProtests #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1190291661970116611\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:37 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Firsou \u201cIt\u2019s unnatural to prepare\u201d I agree 100%. Never prepared for a presentation while I was being told \u201cyou need to have notes\u201d. If you need 10 pages of notes why should anyone listen to you? #RWRI <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1190255826633678848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:14 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LEBANESE LIRA I hear that the Lira is trading at ~ 1675. No worries. A 10% deval. is nothing since the Lira commands much higher int rates than USD. [A holder of LIRA would still be profitable.] Even a 50% deval. would just cover the last few years of interest r differential. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1190248661827145731\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:46 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@RubenGao Don&#8217;t f*** with the tail!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/HGw2rBpriO\"> pic.twitter.com\/HGw2rBpriO<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RubenGao\/status\/1190247438654664705\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:41 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@arisroussinos Via Facebook, Oxi Day celebration by the Greek Orthodox community of Damascus, part of the Patriarchate of Antioch, among the last surviving Greeks of Syria<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BpvGRoIG2V\"> pic.twitter.com\/BpvGRoIG2V<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/arisroussinos\/status\/1190205018550308865\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:52 AM &#8211; 1 Nov 2019<\/p>\n<p>@birdxi1988 A great day at #RWRI @nntaleb mentioned the link between Kelly Criterion and entropy as well as why tail fitting is more an art than a science!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/4S1CD5ptxI\"> pic.twitter.com\/4S1CD5ptxI<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/birdxi1988\/status\/1190040230725922817\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:57 PM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Heinonmatti @nntaleb continues; you can rule out Gaussian distributions by observing one outlier, which would be ~impossible under the Gaussian, but much much more common under another distribution. Another way is to rule out based on physiological \/ biological bounds. #RWRI<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/UsZFsVHgQd\"> pic.twitter.com\/UsZFsVHgQd<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Heinonmatti\/status\/1190012212049526791\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:06 PM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12 An explanation for fat tails from feedback loops: &#8220;Abyssus abyssum invocat&#8221; \u05ea\u05b0\u05bc\u05d4\u05d5\u05b9\u05dd-\u05d0\u05b6\u05dc-\u05ea\u05b0\u05bc\u05d4\u05d5\u05b9\u05dd \u05e7\u05d5\u05b9\u05e8\u05b5\u05d0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189923791708807169\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:15 AM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1189905740825288705 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1189905740825288705 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189907361353404417\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:09 AM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1189906294725120000 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1189906294725120000 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189907279853871104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:09 AM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1189879515511754753 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1189879515511754753 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189893257653882880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;Try to be predictable to your friends and unpredictable to your enemies, rather than the opposite.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1189863363263766528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:15 AM &#8211; 31 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4\/n Problem of teleology: the French Gov. started explicitly an internet (Minital) and failed, what survived is the side effect of a military application. @MazzucatoM: Given the % of GDP by government, what % of innovation came from government? Didn&#8217;t gov displace private invt? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189589391955648512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:06 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3\/n @mazzucatoM claimed that by attending Princeton high school she attended a &#8220;state school&#8221;. Scale effect: it&#8217;s a school for the residents of the commune, equivalent in its functioning to a private school. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189588112076431365\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:01 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/n Govt bureaucrats are not boring &amp; lacking in innovative drive because they didn&#8217;t study strategy in business schools (i.e. because of their education) as claimed by @mazzucatoM, rather boring people tend to work for government. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189582338432196608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:38 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 1\/n Just listened on way to #RWRI the @econtalker podcast with @mazzucatoM about the government role in innovation &#8220;investor of first resort&#8221;. Will comment further after I read the book, but found many flaws in reasoning by Mazzucato: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189581938467713025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:36 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;Everything before the &#8220;but&#8221; is meant to be ignored by the speaker; and everything after the &#8220;but&#8221; should be ignored by the listener.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1189564051040473105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:25 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/gordo_68\/status\/1189549437821095936 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/gordo_68\/status\/1189549437821095936 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189559604289638404\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:08 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI entropy<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Hco7vTWOco\"> pic.twitter.com\/Hco7vTWOco<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189547349699375104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:19 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12 : Robert Frey \u2066@financequant\u2069 showing how the \u201cblind watchmaker\u201d (see book by BS vendor @richarddawkins) is improper characterization of evolution and complex systems: a watch half built is jot a watch.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/iW8rn5XuIm\"> pic.twitter.com\/iW8rn5XuIm<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189533034049163265\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:22 AM &#8211; 30 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;The cult of the youth (by the youth) results from an elementary logical fallacy. If 90% of successful innovations come from the young, less than 1\/1000 of innovations by youth work. Statistically, youth correlates w\/mediocrity, sloth, physical weakness, &amp; lack of creativity.&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1189334139784314883\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:12 PM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DrCirillo At #RWRI, @nntaleb, @financequant and @normonics are fighting over the best definition of entropy&#8230; I don&#8217;t see why, given that the best definition is mine : a pseudo-metric of distortion, whose interpretation varies with its generator. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DrCirillo\/status\/1189266949282422784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:45 PM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DrCirillo Live from #RWRI, @normonics speaking about networks.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5Y1jtmVaWq\"> pic.twitter.com\/5Y1jtmVaWq<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DrCirillo\/status\/1189252415591198720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:47 AM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@coordinatedsync #RWRI<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/wKmsJBVBjG\"> pic.twitter.com\/wKmsJBVBjG<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/coordinatedsync\/status\/1189192872446300160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:50 AM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The way political parties and militias self destruct. They can use weapons against ISIS and Israel, never against their own constituents. They are done. #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646__\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 #LebanonProtests<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/hXWWArIwCQ\"> pic.twitter.com\/hXWWArIwCQ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1189155876512452608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:23 AM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@aliciaparr Skin in the game also has an intrinsic moral appeal and aesthetic value: Real virtue isn\u2019t cheap. And it turns out skin in one\u2019s own game is a moral minimum; more admirable is skin in other people\u2019s games\u2014\u00adaltruism, or what he calls \u201csoul in the game\u201d <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/aliciaparr\/status\/1189153935170396160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:16 AM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@aliciaparr For Taleb, skin in the game is an expression of intellectual virtue. One isn\u2019t actually thinking well if one doesn\u2019t have some sense of accountability for the outcomes of one\u2019s judgments. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/aliciaparr\/status\/1189153615434399744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:14 AM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NonMeek \u201cTake all the risk you want but don\u2019t f**k with the tail.\u201d -@nntaleb That\u2019s one central idea from yesterday\u2019s #RWRI 12 starting session. BOOM <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1189146306352164864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:45 AM &#8211; 29 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@visualizevalue \u2014 @nntaleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/CJQRGHBkM9\"> pic.twitter.com\/CJQRGHBkM9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/visualizevalue\/status\/1188999529573605376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:02 PM &#8211; 28 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ramses XII Riad Salameh now blaming the messenger for revealing the Ponzi he orchestrated. He is implicitly using the currency as a threat. Instability is preferable to fake Ponzi stability. <a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/videos\/world\/2019\/10\/28\/beirut-lebanon-protests-riad-salame-becky-anderson-ctw-intl-ldn-vpx.cnn \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/videos\/world\/2019\/10\/28\/beirut-lebanon-protests-riad-salame-becky-anderson-ctw-intl-ldn-vpx.cnn <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188869527637020672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:25 AM &#8211; 28 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@StartSocieties Excited for @nntaleb&#8217;s next book. Politics framed as a complex adaptive system totally changes political priorities. Let&#8217;s focus less on top down solutions, and more on building political systems that enable antifragile problem solving. #localism <a href=\"https:\/\/buff.ly\/2MQMr5w \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/buff.ly\/2MQMr5w <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/StartSocieties\/status\/1188861997561106433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:56 AM &#8211; 28 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/aSrEOiRb5V\"> pic.twitter.com\/aSrEOiRb5V<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188818107273482244\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:01 AM &#8211; 28 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #RWRI 12<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/o0rMJZCTb9\"> pic.twitter.com\/o0rMJZCTb9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188792156401606656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:18 AM &#8211; 28 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Jaffer22915438 To all #RWRI folks, wish I could be with you for my 6th visit&#8230;if nothing else to ask questions born from my confusion. Have fun! @nntaleb @financequant @normonics @trishankkarthik @VergilDen @Jed_Trott and the rest of the gang. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1188774268856946688\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:07 AM &#8211; 28 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HabibSHaddad\/status\/1188513669388349440 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/HabibSHaddad\/status\/1188513669388349440 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188519392293871618\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:14 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/yaneerbaryam\/status\/1188496796110209029?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/yaneerbaryam\/status\/1188496796110209029?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188510671362838528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:40 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A kind of network, but not desirable (one dimensional), but beats standard statist hierarchies.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/XKhytgCC2i\"> pic.twitter.com\/XKhytgCC2i<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188491524595769346\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:23 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Beirut Madinati now writing IN LEBANESE! Congrats! #Localism #LebanonProtests <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BeirutMadinati\/status\/1188469504910774277 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/BeirutMadinati\/status\/1188469504910774277 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188473408876634113\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:11 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Same in Semitic languages: Heb \u05e2\u05d1\u05d5\u05d3\u05d4 = work, and \u05e2\u05d1\u05d3 3bd= to be a slave. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GreekEtymology\/status\/1188080169292046337 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GreekEtymology\/status\/1188080169292046337 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188460405783445510\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:20 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I block idiots. Sorry, nothing personal. It is just to clean up my feed for a dialogue with minimum sophistry. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188445571163578368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:21 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb coercion <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188440197471653888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:59 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Trying to explain complexity and spontaneous order, with the &#8220;leaderless&#8221; Lebanese protests which baffles intellectuals, journos, Arabists, &amp; other ignorant idiots looking for agency. #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0635 #Localism #LebaneseProtests <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Limportant_fr\/status\/1188364771504115712 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Limportant_fr\/status\/1188364771504115712 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188439839705878528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:58 AM &#8211; 27 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mr Ewan Birney @ewanbirney, sorry but you don&#8217;t understand the &#8220;quantitative trait&#8221; at all. @StuartJRitchie is, practically, analytically, a fraud who can fool someone who doesn&#8217;t know what correlation means. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/39797871\/Common_Misapplications_and_Misinterpretations_of_Correlation_in_Social_Science_ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/39797871\/Common_Misapplications_and_Misinterpretations_of_Correlation_in_Social_Science_ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ewanbirney\/status\/1187712684751511552 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ewanbirney\/status\/1187712684751511552 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188159150213214211\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:23 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@rationalwalk If UBI was referred to as a negative income tax, which it actually is, and if replaces rather than is additive to welfare, it would be a hugely popular idea across the political spectrum, except among the bureaucrats who\u2019d be out of a job. So they\u2019ll demagogue this to death. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/rationalwalk\/status\/1188155606378659841\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:09 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb THREAD on STATISM My problem w\/&#8221;socialists&#8221; is that they are statists &amp; intrusive, not pro-welfare. I am for a negative tax (minimum income)= to $$ spent on welfare, saving spending on bureaucrats. But they refuse because they want to DIRECT how ppple spend $ &amp; pay cronies. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188154265984028672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:03 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb CEMENT IN LEBANON. As in elsewhere, construction is a mafia business. Cement Imports are banned to benefit factories in Lebanon (that employ Syrian workers). Lebanese citizens pay TWICE the price for concrete. The margins are shared by the Kleptocrats. #Lebanon #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188140725881528320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:09 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u1f1c\u03bb\u03b5\u03b3\u03b5\u03bd \u03b4\u1f72 \u03b1\u1f50\u03c4\u03bf\u1fd6\u03c2 \u1f41 \u1f38\u03b7\u03c3\u03bf\u1fe6\u03c2 \u1f45\u03c4\u03b9 \u039f\u1f50\u03ba \u1f14\u03c3\u03c4\u03b9\u03bd \u03c0\u03c1\u03bf\u03c6\u03ae\u03c4\u03b7\u03c2 \u1f04\u03c4\u03b9\u03bc\u03bf\u03c2, \u03b5\u1f30 \u03bc\u1f74 \u1f10\u03bd \u03c4\u1fc7 \u03c0\u03b1\u03c4\u03c1\u03af\u03b4\u03b9 \u03b1\u1f50\u03c4\u03bf\u1fe6, \u03ba\u03b1\u1f76 \u1f10\u03bd \u03c4\u03bf\u1fd6\u03c2 \u03c3\u03c5\u03b3\u03b3\u03b5\u03bd\u03ad\u03c3\u03b9\u03bd \u03ba\u03b1\u1f76 \u1f10\u03bd \u03c4\u1fc7 \u03bf\u1f30\u03ba\u03af\u1fb3 \u03b1\u1f50\u03c4\u03bf\u1fe6. Mark, 6 Never never try anything beyond nudging. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Crimson28481571\/status\/1188138692034154498 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Crimson28481571\/status\/1188138692034154498 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188139278259441666\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:04 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We have so many capable people in the diaspora or ex-diaspora. Based on his track record, I propose @DrFadloKhuri as a member of the next cabinet. Or someone along such a profile. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AUB_Lebanon\/status\/1187702093374803968 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/AUB_Lebanon\/status\/1187702093374803968 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188101151436267520\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:32 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@PZalloua At the demonstrations today: \u201cLebanese Style\u201d<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/w3EnHkGKca\"> pic.twitter.com\/w3EnHkGKca<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/PZalloua\/status\/1188090087147528192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:48 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The point is that whatever is not worthless is psychology we already know from elsewhere. The issue: bad science is worse than no science. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/just_1_singh\/status\/1188082946772619264 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/just_1_singh\/status\/1188082946772619264 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188083362914811904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:22 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@encrier improvised signs for today\u2019s protest<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/V0uW0QgoMD\"> pic.twitter.com\/V0uW0QgoMD<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/encrier\/status\/1188067004240019456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:17 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb People who were previous ashamed of writing in Lebanese feel now empowered to do so! Even Nasrallah spoke in Lebanese. From chaos you get a new order. #ComplexSystems #Localism #BottomUp #Lebanon #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Marcellenassif\/status\/1188053343253479425 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Marcellenassif\/status\/1188053343253479425 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1188060128270045184\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:49 AM &#8211; 26 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Over time for the sake of efficiency &amp; owing to, say, preferential attachment, networks are pulled into the center, from unifom to power laws or maybe lognormal. The one of the left collapses. Centralized systems end up collapsing after pseudostability Explained in #TheBlackSwan <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187921129404555264\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:37 PM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Cernovich Who are the five wisest living people today, in any country in the world? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Cernovich\/status\/1187874985445969921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:34 PM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The problem with historical reporting is overestimation of agency: narratives require leaders so people are fooled by journos etc. about the exact process. Same overestimation of agency as the one in #fooledbyrandomness #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187847605524598784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:45 PM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb To the left, how both Nasrallah, his enemies, &amp; journalists think Lebanese Politics should work. To the right is how the protesters proved it works. Complex systems generatee spontaneous order. Progress lies in having NO leaders. #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0635 #Localism #LebaneseProtests<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BBSy7tY91V\"> pic.twitter.com\/BBSy7tY91V<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187829648681558017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:33 PM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The central aspect about the Lebanese riots is that there is no leader. #Localism <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185929047441842177 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185929047441842177 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187813458080862210\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:29 PM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually song in Lebanese #Localism <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenanmoussa\/status\/1187797354268844032 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenanmoussa\/status\/1187797354268844032 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187811037724196864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:19 PM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@normonics @nntaleb look at the traction kanye talking about localism is getting. first, the self and mind, then the family, then the community, gardens, agriculture, etc. bottom up. local first. meme is sticking. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1187798768822960129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:31 AM &#8211; 25 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntalebbot &#8220;What matters isn\u2019t what a person has or doesn\u2019t have; it is what he or she is afraid of losing.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1187511648975806465\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:30 PM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ronaldchagoury Sooooo well said &#8211; I&#8217;ve never been able to put my finger on it, and this is so spot on. The resentment class who rarely have skin in the game <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ronaldchagoury\/status\/1187410551661481984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:48 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Nobody seems to be getting what I am saying: The assets of the ETFs should be dropping, no? Easy\/tight money affects real estate, not just ETF. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187405617868214272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:28 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@VergilDen And then make changes to the educational system as NNT points out in Principia Politica <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1187393313894273024 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1187393313894273024 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/1187394229011668992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:43 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can someone explain to me why the REITS are still rallying? Rates are net, net higher. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/1187388458471440384 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/NorthmanTrader\/status\/1187388458471440384 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/8DcX4jkjJS&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/8DcX4jkjJS <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187393541632335872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:40 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Women in #Lebanon <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcellenassif\/status\/1187361618541326336 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcellenassif\/status\/1187361618541326336 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187382128419463168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:55 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NYUFRE Don&#8217;t miss @nntaleb tonight at 6:30 p.m. in the Pfizer Auditorium at the Bern Dibner Library (5 MetroTech Center, Brooklyn, NY). <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2Pe4cNO \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/bit.ly\/2Pe4cNO <\/a>\u00a0 #NYUTandonMade @nyutandon <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NYUFRE\/status\/1187015193294987267 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/NYUFRE\/status\/1187015193294987267 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NYUFRE\/status\/1187377329326186499\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:36 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@mcclay_roman This page from you is framed and on the wall of my little container home. <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/nFCEujPQeo\"> pic.twitter.com\/nFCEujPQeo<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mcclay_roman\/status\/1187376528075694080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:33 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I do not wish to be considered for any official position in #Lebanon, so PLEASE remove my name. I prefer to help in other ways. This is the 3rd request. #LebanonProtests<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/xVMUqiB47s\"> pic.twitter.com\/xVMUqiB47s<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187376591913005056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:33 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No, pple in Lebanon &amp; elsewhere aren&#8217;t complaining abt &#8220;inequality&#8221;. The &#8220;inequality&#8221; is a claimm by the resentment class: journalists, academics (Pikety) &amp; other losers. They want better conditions, governance, justice, accountability &amp; skin in the game. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187327363664809984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:17 AM &#8211; 24 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@paulportesi Missed this about a month ago. Very interesting data point. @nntaleb has mentioned how using ice for injuries has no scientific foundation if I remember correctly. Align to Nature. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/09\/25\/well\/move\/weights-muscles-cold-ice-bath-weightlifting-exercise-recovery.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/09\/25\/well\/move\/weights-muscles-cold-ice-bath-weightlifting-exercise-recovery.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/paulportesi\/status\/1187254462110289921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:28 PM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Joe @normonics will lecktshur at #RWRI about complexity and multiscale properties of &#8220;tings&#8221;. He has 54 minutes plus 11 Q&amp;A. Raphael, @financequant myself, &amp; others will heckle him (we can stand heckling). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1187068911986118661 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1187068911986118661 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187141694246010880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:00 PM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (cont) With Modi also no tie (twice). Only exception: the US Senate. They refused to let me testify without a tie, so I borrowed one.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/bycwHwwFsT\"> pic.twitter.com\/bycwHwwFsT<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187111566073847817\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:00 PM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I deposited my last business tie in the garbage can at the corner of 48th St and Park avenue in December 1993, only kept ones for funerals. Since then wore no tie at 10 Downing, White House, etc. Below with 12 (former) heads of state-cum-tie guests of Nursultan Nazarbaev.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QV2R1BKDs9\"> pic.twitter.com\/QV2R1BKDs9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187109039798444032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:50 PM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb These low-intellect Western Arabists trying to force their 1001 night identity on us don&#8217;t know that &#8220;merci&#8221; came to Lebanon via Turkish, Armenian, &amp; Farsi. The Edward Said &#8220;collonial&#8221; is Total BS: the French spend 2 decades on a military mandate.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/hT1JeZkR5n\"> pic.twitter.com\/hT1JeZkR5n<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187105486186795009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:36 PM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb What if the army went after the people? Not many options #lebanonprotest <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/danifromic\/status\/1187081376077619200 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/danifromic\/status\/1187081376077619200 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187090287014875136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:35 PM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A heuristic to pick out a fraudster in #Lebanon, helpful for the selection of new ministers: 1) Wears a tie (hence empty suit), &amp; 2) Speaks on TV in Classical Arabic (a dead Semitic language, similar to shouting in Medieval Latin in the UK Parliament). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187065866145456129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:58 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lindy: the latest format and a #Lindy text<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/algPBvUhdW\"> pic.twitter.com\/algPBvUhdW<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187063534254993410\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:49 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@shreyansh_jain1 That\u2019s a foolish statement. The fundamental problem of food supply is food wastage. So it\u2019s a supply chain mgt problem. It\u2019s the other way around here. Organic farming takes more space to patch the quantity of wasted food. You desperately need lessons from @nntaleb. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/shreyansh_jain1\/status\/1187043724263473152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:30 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb How the Lebanese State destroyed the economy [English subtitles, including the &#8220;Gabish&#8221;] <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BLebnene\/status\/1186693565872824321?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/BLebnene\/status\/1186693565872824321?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187042378785476609\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:25 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@PZalloua This is how revolutions are made: Lebanese style!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/aheiKcxIyb\"> pic.twitter.com\/aheiKcxIyb<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/PZalloua\/status\/1187040227128467462\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:16 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb To repeat: If my enemies knew me better, they would hate me even more. [Bed of Procrustes] <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187022311196680193\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:05 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Proud of my Archbishop! Vacuum is better than what we currently have.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/fuWaGwSBZw\"> pic.twitter.com\/fuWaGwSBZw<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187017527836233734\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NYUFRE Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering, Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb, will present \u201cThe Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails\u201d as part of the NYU FRE Lecture Series this Thursday at 6:30 p.m. in the Pfizer Auditorium. This event is open to the public. #NYUTandonMade <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NYUFRE\/status\/1187015193294987267\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:37 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 9- CORRECTION I MADE A MISTAKE Trusting Hariri&#8217;s claims of balanced budget. #Lebanon <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/557151507\/posts\/10157358489701508?sfns=mo \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/557151507\/posts\/10157358489701508?sfns=mo <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1187003380255875072\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:50 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ShipSystem In Norway being a village local means so much for any job even over more qualified person from next village. Have u ever lived in Norway because ur tweet is 100% true. Maybe norwegians socialist on some aspects but super localist on most aspects. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ShipSystem\/status\/1186991439353389056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:03 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BernieSanderistas are trying to promote a fake idea of &#8220;Nordic Socialism&#8221;. Nordics are 1)Yuugely localists (see #Antifragile on communes); they empowered local lang [Danish, Norwegian, Swedish] &amp; don&#8217;t call them &#8220;dialects of Nordic&#8221;. 2) Are NOT socialists [Soc. failed in 70s] <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186987465392971776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:47 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fuck, no. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186978108693463041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:10 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is Arabic. Write to me in Lebanese. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186977100370206720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:06 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bernie Sanders, stay out of this. You&#8217;re like a quack doctor who will kill the patient. The socialist (centralized statism) you are selling is what ruined Iraq, Syria, Egypt over the past 60 y. Lebn has little to do w\/&#8221;Arab&#8221; Spring. Pple are fed up w\/ kleptocracy\/statism\/Arabism <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SenSanders\/status\/1186762286507220994 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/SenSanders\/status\/1186762286507220994 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186975519100866560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:59 AM &#8211; 23 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TulsiGabbard .@HillaryClinton, your foreign policy was a disaster for our country and the world. It\u2019s time for you to acknowledge the damage you have caused and step down from your throne. <a href=\"http:\/\/tulsi.to\/hillarys-disaster \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/tulsi.to\/hillarys-disaster <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/h2fl7ox0Rv&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/h2fl7ox0Rv <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TulsiGabbard\/status\/1186763222193299457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:56 PM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb QUIZ DU JOUR Option traders might recognize some sort of butterfly<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ca7Y9ZtJxh\"> pic.twitter.com\/ca7Y9ZtJxh<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186755417122234371\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:25 PM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Extrachelle An excellent book deserves a good LaTex bookmark #SITG @nntaleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Hz9LxvkmA6\"> pic.twitter.com\/Hz9LxvkmA6<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Extrachelle\/status\/1186690724303196163\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:08 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can someone explain it to them? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Humanityfirster\/status\/1186678737862975488 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Humanityfirster\/status\/1186678737862975488 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186686027823493120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:49 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ducavendish &#8220;the larger the central state, the more patronage.&#8221; Fucking brilliant. Still, people just don&#8217;t get it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186633663506780162 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186633663506780162 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ducavendish\/status\/1186646872221466624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:13 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Rest in peace, David Freedman. You were the first BS buster in statistics, and trained me to it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1186642155110043649 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1186642155110043649 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186646148402044928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:11 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ektrit For anybody with knowledge of actual history like Taleb, #LOCALISM is how the world functioned until mid 19th century, with the implementation of nation-states in Europe. As perspective, the current global setting is just 200 years young out of 6000 years of documented history. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186634471887527937 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186634471887527937 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/1186643437032017920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:00 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You have a moral duty to write in the language of the population. The French parliament does not use Latin. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186643495911591941\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:00 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I refuse to use ARABIC, an elite COERCIVE language not spoken by the population. If you want me to write in anything, I use Levantine in the Lebanese version. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/no-lebanese-is-not-a-dialect-of-arabic-e95320c164c <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186642664961269761\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 8- WARNING I see that many Marxists\/Socialists, Arabists &amp; other intellectual fraudsters are trying to own the riots. The problem is that Socialist regimes worsen the problems (Nasser choked Egypt, Baath killed Syria\/Iraq, Algeria). All these are Statists. Solution is #LOCALISM <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186634471887527937\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:24 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 8- WARNING I see that many Marxists\/Socialists, Arabists &amp; other intellectual fraudsters are trying to own the riots. The problem is that Socialist regimes worsen the problems (Nasser choked Egypt, Baath killed Syria\/Iraq, Algeria). All these are Statists. Solution is #LOCALISM <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186634471887527937\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:24 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 7- SOLUTIONS It would be nice to but some kleptocrats in jail, particularly that funds are traceable. This will happen. But it is PATRONAGE that needs to go. Let me repeat, PATRONAGE! This can ONLY happen via decentralization as the larger the cental state, the more patronage. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186633663506780162\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:21 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 6- People are angry because: a-they share the debt burden w\/no benefits b-the Leb State messes up everything it touches, except security c-unlike Maluf, kleptocrats do not deliver The need for religious &#8220;harmony&#8221; allowed a multi-sect &#8220;elite&#8221; to milk the system to the bone. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186632810091683841\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:18 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 5- (Cont some clarity about #Lebanon) Corruption doesn&#8217;t necessarily kill economic activity (Brazil&#8217;s Paulo Maluf &#8220;steals but delivers&#8221;). Except that the way the Petit Segneurons operate is to use their franchise by imposing yuuuge red tape: No electicity, no garbage collection! <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186630480583634944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:08 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4- The patronage system got out of control: government contracts grabbed by cronies, in a scheme orchestrated by people in\/out of government, s.a. the Grand Segneura &amp; many less visible Petit Segneurons populating ministries. Kleptocracy is traceable&amp; illegal, not patronage! <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186628969858322432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:02 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3- Meanwhile the Gov is that of a federation, which is good (via healthy sectarianism) but government service is simply PATRONAGE, for each sect to get the max from the system. A healthier federation is to do it according to geography, via municipal power. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186626851491459073\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2- Luckily the Ponzi involves only 2 parties, Leb Gov (via Ramses XIII Salameh) &amp; the banks. Hence easy non-inflationary cancellations w\/clawbacks from those who made millions are possible. In the meanwhile Gov is taxing back the banks to cover secondary deficit, very smart move. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186625972235362310\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:50 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #LEBANON, in Summary 1- Leb government got involved in a Ponzi (facilitated by Ramses XIII, Riad Salameh) that sucks up all funds from the system. People have no incentive to put $ (say inheritance from a childless maternal aunt) in a business; get &gt;10% interest from the bank. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186624773436116993\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:46 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Same with #Lebanon driving rules: except for speed, chaos is beneficial. Speed limits are necessary because of nonlinearity. From #Antifragile<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/mIp166DxZQ\"> pic.twitter.com\/mIp166DxZQ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186619901622046720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:26 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Waiting in line is not always efficient as it can cause traffic jams. At RWRI we recommend that people overcome these arbitrarily &amp; unempirically derived English manners &amp; avoid waiting in line at the buffet lunch. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/imleslahdin\/status\/1186551994892206080 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/imleslahdin\/status\/1186551994892206080 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1186609228510846977\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:44 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@BLebnene On @reddit: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/lebanon\/comments\/dleyvl\/technocracy_wont_solve_our_problems_we_need_a\/?utm_medium=android_app&amp;utm_source=share \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.reddit.com\/r\/lebanon\/comments\/dleyvl\/technocracy_wont_solve_our_problems_we_need_a\/?utm_medium=android_app&amp;utm_source=share <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/BLebnene\/status\/1186583105009782784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:00 AM &#8211; 22 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ofer_rubin After they fail those imbeciles NEVER forget to say &#8220;this wasn&#8217;t real Socialist&#8221;, f**king utopia drug dealers. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ofer_rubin\/status\/1186239265476358144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:14 AM &#8211; 21 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No. Very naive topdownism. Every degree of complexity reduces odds of success by 1 order of magnitude @lebaneselingui1 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lebaneselingui1\/status\/1185972215382249476 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/lebaneselingui1\/status\/1185972215382249476 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185974625320275969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:42 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DarkoAlexandar Cu\u00e1nto de esto aplica tambi\u00e9n ac\u00e1 en #chile <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185928446062542848 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185928446062542848 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DarkoAlexandar\/status\/1185970182147248129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:25 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Riad Salam\u00e9, let me know when we can talk. We need to discuss the Ponzi you helped organize (and what the exact numbers are). There is no way citizens should inherit such a debt burden. Given that primary deficits are ~OK, you have some explanations to do.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Wr9NJhyAUj\"> pic.twitter.com\/Wr9NJhyAUj<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185958623610130433\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:39 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb KLEPTOCRACY: It is important to note that corruption is NOT necessarily in the government (often composed of transient ministers) but deep in the opaque administrations. Which is why decentralization makes things salient. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185939255761276929\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:22 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb People in #Lebanon are figuring out spontaneous crowdd order. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/hTNC0olXIw&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/hTNC0olXIw <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185929047441842177\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:41 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LOCALISM in LEBANON<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Bym65b0st4\"> pic.twitter.com\/Bym65b0st4<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185928446062542848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:39 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 7ada 3am ystghll 2sset l l\u00e9j2in! Hiyy\u00e9 l mshkl\u00e9 yall\u00e9 2abado 3layon! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/XXVlllV\/status\/1185898997564751873 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/XXVlllV\/status\/1185898997564751873 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185909263794872322\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:22 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Zzeghedrane Diaspora, this is our contribution to the uprising! Fund the people to keep going! Water, food, snacks, masks, whatever they need. $20 can give water to 60 protesters! Please share!! #LebDiasporaProtests #LebDiasporaFunds #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646__\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gofundme.com\/f\/1sdqrcksqo?utm_medium=social \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.gofundme.com\/f\/1sdqrcksqo?utm_medium=social <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Zzeghedrane\/status\/1185908609538019329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:20 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Question is whether &#8220;Baabda vaut bien une messe&#8221;. (Henry IV converted to Catholicism to become King of France. He didn&#8217;t have a Greek Orthodox mother.) Beyond the joke, under the LOCALISM program, the president is a mere clerc, as in Switz. Lower rank than mayor of Amioun. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Extrachelle\/status\/1185492162470916097 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Extrachelle\/status\/1185492162470916097 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185887554639466496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:56 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@semperfidem2004 Another excellent argument for #Brexit. Nothing at all &#8220;shows very easily&#8221; in the EU <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185513868921049088 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185513868921049088 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/semperfidem2004\/status\/1185859579198017537\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:05 AM &#8211; 20 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@AdibChristian Lebanese in Boston, Tomorrow, Sunday the 20th, starting at 4 PM in front of the Boston Public Library &#8211; Copley Square Protest with us! Bring your flags and signs! Spread the word to your Lebanese in Boston metro! #LebDiasporaProtests #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u062b\u0648\u0631 #\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646_\u064a\u0646\u062a\u0641\u0636 #\u064a\u0627_\u062b\u0648\u0627\u0631_\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0631\u0636<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QM9HoudTGx\"> pic.twitter.com\/QM9HoudTGx<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/AdibChristian\/status\/1185726903845576706\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:18 PM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Rioting Lebanese style <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nxbeeel\/status\/1185611015842607104 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nxbeeel\/status\/1185611015842607104 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185711489065324546\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:17 PM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@AdibChristian Petition to get the ball rolling on this with @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hachemyassin\/status\/1185707172476456960 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/hachemyassin\/status\/1185707172476456960 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/AdibChristian\/status\/1185711408895463424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:16 PM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@HachemYassin Admittedly this needs a lot of work on the ground. M people became accustomed to think they are entitled to things from the state, with the famous &#8220;wayniyye l dawle&#8221; cliche. dawle is there, but it is the problem,not the solution.sadly, protestors think the state shld provide jobs <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/HachemYassin\/status\/1185708946394353664\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:06 PM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) The current villains (Siniora, Berri, Basil) will, over time, look much more like villains, whether justified or not. Salam\u00e9 will, of course, be dragged through the mud. #Lebanon PS- I spend a week per month there but missed events because of #RWRI 12 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185692679419641861\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:02 PM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb RIOTING LESSON 101; When rioters win concessions from the governement, they ask for more. #Lebanon 1\/n <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185636166613245952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:17 PM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@dzviovich Concentration of wealth is an emergent property of a complex system such as the economy. <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2oVYyFs \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/bit.ly\/2oVYyFs <\/a>\u00a0 . It is also a property of rent seeking societies. The other emergent property, social mobility, will not show up. Picketty and friends seem to ignore this&#8230; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/dzviovich\/status\/1185536413024112640\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:41 AM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Only in Lebanon. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/melodielaggaffe\/status\/1185528761426599936 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/melodielaggaffe\/status\/1185528761426599936 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185535676546211841\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:38 AM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@jadabdala a phoenician mediterranean saturday &#8211; Lebanon &#8211; le ph\u00e9nix renait de ses cendres<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5zQ6yCQVMH\"> pic.twitter.com\/5zQ6yCQVMH<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/jadabdala\/status\/1185519556099526658\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:34 AM &#8211; 19 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TulsiGabbard Great! Thank you @HillaryClinton. You, the queen of warmongers, embodiment of corruption, and personification of the rot that has sickened the Democratic Party for so long, have finally come out from behind the curtain. From the day I announced my candidacy, there has been a &#8230; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TulsiGabbard\/status\/1185289626409406464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:20 PM &#8211; 18 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, a lecktshur open to the public next Thursday. But it will be mathematical, so non-quants please refrain. Based on my new book, Vol 1 of the TECHNICAL INCERTO. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/yhp3OdC62H&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/yhp3OdC62H <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1185189495559409664\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:42 AM &#8211; 18 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For those not used to Twitter language (or aphorisms), &#8220;it&#8217;s not&#8221; should be translated into academic discourse unburdened with space constraints as &#8220;not necessarily so&#8221;. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184862921098170371\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:05 AM &#8211; 17 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb One hitch: Donaldo&#8217;s letter is closer to that of the Sultan than to the response by the Cossacks. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184837388402642944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:23 AM &#8211; 17 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Donaldo&#8217;s letter to Erdogan will be remembered in international affairs as the 2019 version of the Cossaks letter to the Ottoman Sultan Mehmed IV.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/qzA4jLZgP5\"> pic.twitter.com\/qzA4jLZgP5<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184821897915183104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:22 AM &#8211; 17 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Infrastructure is commonly held to be a good thing. It&#8217;s not. It creates winner-take-all effects in communication. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1184692165345267712 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1184692165345267712 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184807240198426625\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:23 AM &#8211; 17 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Treating George W. Bush as an authority on peace and stability is similar to relying on a drunk driver (while drunk) as the expert on road safety. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/joshrogin\/status\/1184611576378265600 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/joshrogin\/status\/1184611576378265600 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184642093937057793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:27 PM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In 2008 I held that something as absurd as the pseudo-Nobel in economics would end self-destructing. No point fighting it: it would collapse under the weight &amp; monstrosity of the fraud. You can&#8217;t fool people forever. 2019 did the job. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184635458170560512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:01 PM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sanctions work with countries like Turkey &amp; China that depend on the West, not with Iran\/Syria after 40 years of autarchy. The mere threat made the currency collapse. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184628081862107138\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:31 PM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am impressed. The economic weapon is a much, much more effective one than the military one. We are no longer in 1936. Trump got it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaniFromIC\/status\/1184575524389163008 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DaniFromIC\/status\/1184575524389163008 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184581910208667648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:28 PM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@normonics All over the world, you see a common theme: Decentralization is a threat to the ruling classes. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CatalansForYes\/status\/1184558211988447232 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/CatalansForYes\/status\/1184558211988447232 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1184560136825782274\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:01 PM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The fastest way to become rich is to socialize with the poor; the fasted way to become poor is to socialize with the rich. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184476547362766849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:29 AM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Peterson is a charlatan. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/MZAntonius\/status\/1184320883285995521 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/MZAntonius\/status\/1184320883285995521 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184476101642465283\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:28 AM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@yaneerbaryam Antidepressants and other psych meds are personality change operations. Medicine\/psychiatry\/psychology are in a primitive state and do not understand context-individual complexity. Meds should be used only as a last resort. @MichaelSagnerMD @nntaleb See <a href=\"https:\/\/amazon.com\/Psychologys-Ghosts-Crisis-Profession-Back\/dp\/0300178689 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/amazon.com\/Psychologys-Ghosts-Crisis-Profession-Back\/dp\/0300178689 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/yaneerbaryam\/status\/1184442992775573504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:16 AM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Jaffer22915438 Well oh well&#8230; Tulsi the most searched candidate in 49\/50 states yesterday. Seems like #UnusualAmericans want to know more about her. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TulsiGabbard\/status\/1184324191119724544 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TulsiGabbard\/status\/1184324191119724544 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1184438396321746944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:58 AM &#8211; 16 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This guy is a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ascendantpower\/status\/1184105213675921410 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ascendantpower\/status\/1184105213675921410 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184233290288508934\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:23 PM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NonMeek This #Offshorecomic strip was done in collaboration with &amp; inspired by @sean_a_mcclure\u2018s <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@seanaaron100\/intelligence-complexity-and-the-failed-science-of-iq-4fb17ce3f12 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/@seanaaron100\/intelligence-complexity-and-the-failed-science-of-iq-4fb17ce3f12 <\/a>\u00a0 Thanks for your brilliant inputs, Sean! #IQ #circularity cc: @nntaleb @normonics @trishankkarthik<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Li0lnvP0eb&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/Li0lnvP0eb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1184166542394757120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:57 AM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Prof_BearB Nice piece. Brings to mind a point that I didn&#8217;t make in my book: if I (and @aaronclauset and @nntaleb + @DrCirillo) are right about the absence of decline and @tanishafazal is right about battle deaths, we&#8217;re actually *trying* to kill a lot *more* people today than we used to. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ProfPaulPoast\/status\/1184116033872891904 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ProfPaulPoast\/status\/1184116033872891904 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Prof_BearB\/status\/1184122633811398657\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:03 AM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ryanckulp everything by @nntaleb. each loop = 1% absorbed <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/eriktorenberg\/status\/1183792839299235840 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/eriktorenberg\/status\/1183792839299235840 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ryanckulp\/status\/1184107907001942016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:04 AM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb M7n vs Manyak\u00e9 as described by @Confusezeus You call a number, ask for Joseph: &#8211; &#8220;Jozef Khour\u00e9 hon?&#8221; &#8211; Wrong number. Call again, same thing. That&#8217;s &#8220;m7n&#8221;. Call 3rd time: Hi, I am Jozef Kour\u00e9. Did anyone call for me? That&#8217;s manyak\u00e9. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184092648229015553\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:04 AM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PHILOLOGY DU JOUR The most untranslatable word I know: &#8220;M7n&#8221; in Lebanese. Unlike other untranslatable expressions, you cannot even easily describe what it is. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184090223426310144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Be stubborn <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Seananocoistin\/status\/1184038568966144001 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Seananocoistin\/status\/1184038568966144001 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1184053670817738752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:29 AM &#8211; 15 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@sahouraxo A short little history of war propaganda: Vietnam 1964 &#8211; Gulf of Tonkin incident Gulf War 1990 &#8211; Incubator Babies Iraq War 2003 &#8211; Imaginary WMDs Libya 2011 &#8211; Nonexistent massacres in Benghazi #Syria 2019: Video from a Kentucky military show passed off as Syrian war footage <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/gizmodo\/status\/1183773245163687936 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/gizmodo\/status\/1183773245163687936 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/sahouraxo\/status\/1183906162984603648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:43 PM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Those with brains no balls become mathematicians, those with balls no brains join the mafia, those with no balls no brains become economists (unless they have mental issues, in which case they become psychologists). And those with brains and balls become ____? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183797453851631616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:31 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Those with brains no balls become mathematicians, those with balls no brains join the mafia, those with no balls no brains become economists. And those with brains and balls become ____? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183796584225619972\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:27 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Good news: &gt; 100,000 lawsuits. Engaging in systematic iatrogenics is becoming very unprofitable. After Monsanto, J&amp;J, now waiting for statins, seed oil, etc. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/johnson-johnsons-legal-challenges-mount-11571055242?shareToken=st588f2ec699f14312a493edf4bde4220b \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/johnson-johnsons-legal-challenges-mount-11571055242?shareToken=st588f2ec699f14312a493edf4bde4220b <\/a>\u00a0 via @WSJ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183796127574962176\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:26 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb THREAD on How the Nazis (&amp; predecessors) created a link with (some of) the Mediterranean populations, to manufacture a common &#8220;race&#8221; with former Barbarians and a continuum of civilization. Chapoutot, thanks to recommendation by @holland_tom<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/KEdcKrbFHb\"> pic.twitter.com\/KEdcKrbFHb<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183787453188100096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:51 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila, there don&#8217;t seem to be many other f(x).<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/G9u0CU21Ns\"> pic.twitter.com\/G9u0CU21Ns<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183743024884527107\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:55 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Math QUIZ du jour. (Please refrain from commenting outside the exact topic.)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/jsQuIsC7GS\"> pic.twitter.com\/jsQuIsC7GS<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183711808827351041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:51 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@newtgingrich Why is the left so afraid of Tulsi Gabbard? I don\u2019t understand the viciousness of the atatacks on her by the NY Times and others. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/newtgingrich\/status\/1183675168130043904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:25 AM &#8211; 14 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0397 \u03b5\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03b9\u03ba\u03ae \u03ba\u03b1\u03c4\u03b1\u03b3\u03c9\u03b3\u03ae \u03c4\u03c9\u03bd \u03a1\u03c9\u03bc\u03b9\u03ce\u03bd \u03c4\u03b7\u03c2 \u03a3\u03c5\u03c1\u03af\u03b1\u03c2 \u03c0\u03bf\u03c5 \u03c3\u03ae\u03bc\u03b5\u03c1\u03b1 \u03c3\u03c6\u03b1\u03b3\u03b9\u03ac\u03b6\u03bf\u03bd\u03c4\u03b1\u03b9 \u03b1\u03c0\u03cc \u03c4\u03bf\u03c5\u03c2 \u03bc\u03bf\u03c5\u03c3\u03bf\u03c5\u03bb\u03bc\u03ac\u03bd\u03bf\u03c5\u03c2 <a href=\"https:\/\/meaculpa.gr\/apopsis\/33837-i-elliniki-katagogi-ton-romion-tis-surias-pou-simera-sfagiazontai-apo-tous-mousoulmanous \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/meaculpa.gr\/apopsis\/33837-i-elliniki-katagogi-ton-romion-tis-surias-pou-simera-sfagiazontai-apo-tous-mousoulmanous <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183385633865289728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:14 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@jun78th Scale transformation is so important a concept &#8211; so much mismatch in scale between problem and solution often. When mismatch is minimal, life flows richly. I do hope you are able to (successfully) educate a new generation on scale transformation <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/jun78th\/status\/1183384784845836288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:11 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The cat is out of the bag. Antifragile is no longer in my control. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IvanBlecic\/status\/1183378277278388224 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/IvanBlecic\/status\/1183378277278388224 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183378718955311104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:47 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He got it! Hyperlinks are distracting. This is not. #Lindy! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidboxenhorn\/status\/1183260484121833472?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidboxenhorn\/status\/1183260484121833472?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183375818581524480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:35 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For COMMENTS<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/eTMMitpVsP\"> pic.twitter.com\/eTMMitpVsP<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183364061448359937\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:49 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In the PRINCIPIA I explain that people used to welcome individuals but reject groups qua groups (cf hospitality of Arab tribes for n&lt;5 pple, hostility otherwise). They still do but are confused about it. &#8220;Racism&#8221; is not scale-free. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/teddyjwhitman\/status\/1183362653022048256 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/teddyjwhitman\/status\/1183362653022048256 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183363345858076672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:46 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Eveentually, this<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/1FxmBnhTRg\"> pic.twitter.com\/1FxmBnhTRg<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183350538836021248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:55 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When you ask people what restaurant they *would* like, they answer: comfortable, not too noisy, with room &amp; no wait. Yet they wait in line to pak in tiny rooms with yuuge noise levels &amp; the mobility of the Tokyo subway car. Same for books. Make them dense. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/imleslahdin\/status\/1183336137391108096?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/imleslahdin\/status\/1183336137391108096?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183341549540777984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:19 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (cont)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/rbN8SyBFQq\"> pic.twitter.com\/rbN8SyBFQq<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183340057719123968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The inside: unfortunately one needs to break paragraphs manually<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/CHhlc5rXTR\"> pic.twitter.com\/CHhlc5rXTR<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183339992648769538\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb OK, smaller fonts in the margins. Note it is done in LaTeX @Firsou<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ilN7fNdb6u\"> pic.twitter.com\/ilN7fNdb6u<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183336012040298497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:57 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Incidentally the &#8220;Tufte style&#8221; is neither Lindy, nor esthetic, nor convenient to read. Density on the page never detracts people and even increases motivation. See #Antifragile <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1183330517216837632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:35 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@bogdanosk \u039f\u03b9 \u00ab\u03a1\u03bf\u03c5\u03bc\u00bb \u03c4\u03b7\u03c2 \u03a3\u03c5\u03c1\u03af\u03b1\u03c2 \u03ba\u03b1\u03b9 \u03c4\u03bf\u03c5 \u039b\u03b9\u03b2\u03ac\u03bd\u03bf\u03c5 \u03b1\u03bd\u03ae\u03ba\u03bf\u03c5\u03bd \u03c3\u03c4\u03bf (\u03b5\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03cc\u03c6\u03c9\u03bd\u03bf \u03c9\u03c2 \u03c4\u03bf 1897) \u0395\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03bf\u03c1\u03b8\u03cc\u03b4\u03bf\u03be\u03bf \u03a0\u03b1\u03c4\u03c1\u03b9\u03b1\u03c1\u03c7\u03b5\u03af\u03bf \u0391\u03bd\u03c4\u03b9\u03bf\u03c7\u03b5\u03af\u03b1\u03c2. \u0388\u03c7\u03bf\u03c5\u03bd \u03b5\u03bb\u03bb\u03b7\u03bd\u03b9\u03ba\u03ae \u03ba\u03bb\u03b7\u03c1\u03bf\u03bd\u03bf\u03bc\u03b9\u03ac \u03c0\u03bf\u03c5 \u03c7\u03c1\u03bf\u03bd\u03bf\u03bb\u03bf\u03b3\u03b5\u03af\u03c4\u03b1\u03b9 \u03b1\u03c0\u03cc \u03c4\u03b7\u03bd \u03af\u03b4\u03c1\u03c5\u03c3\u03b7 \u03c4\u03b7\u03c2 \u0391\u03bd\u03c4\u03b9\u03bf\u03c7\u03b5\u03af\u03b1\u03c2 \u03c4\u03bf 323 \u03c0\u03a7, \u03ba\u03b1\u03c4\u03b1\u03b3\u03cc\u03bc\u03b5\u03bd\u03bf\u03b9 \u03b1\u03c0\u03cc \u03b1\u03c1\u03c7\u03b1\u03af\u03bf\u03c5\u03c2 \u039c\u03b1\u03ba\u03b5\u03b4\u03cc\u03bd\u03b5\u03c2 \u03ba\u03b1\u03b9 \u03b2\u03c5\u03b6\u03b1\u03bd\u03c4\u03b9\u03bd\u03bf\u03cd\u03c2 \u03a1\u03c9\u03bc\u03b9\u03bf\u03cd\u03c2. <a href=\"https:\/\/meaculpa.gr\/apopsis\/33837-i-elliniki-katagogi-ton-romion-tis-surias-pou-simera-sfagiazontai-apo-tous-mousoulmanous \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/meaculpa.gr\/apopsis\/33837-i-elliniki-katagogi-ton-romion-tis-surias-pou-simera-sfagiazontai-apo-tous-mousoulmanous <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/bogdanosk\/status\/1183314015235260417\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:30 AM &#8211; 13 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;In any type of activity or business divorced from the direct filter of skin in the game, the great majority of people know the jargon, play the part, and are intimate with the cosmetic details, but are clueless about the subject.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Skin in the Game <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1182434941424017408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:17 PM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Skin in the Game, Brussels<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Ri9mkMwPm6\"> pic.twitter.com\/Ri9mkMwPm6<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1182348374810357761\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:33 AM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@noedelafuentemd @nntaleb @RyanHoliday #stillnessisthekey<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7featfQoJY\"> pic.twitter.com\/7featfQoJY<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/noedelafuentemd\/status\/1182313591426301952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:15 AM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Food can only be Lindy. And technology (Amazon) can reduce the distance between supplier and consumer.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/X1WO7RU4D0\"> pic.twitter.com\/X1WO7RU4D0<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1182311189054988289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:05 AM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/visithmml\/status\/1181721190714527747?s=21 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/visithmml\/status\/1181721190714527747?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1182264910794956800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:01 AM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Referees should have skin in the game. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/harrydcrane\/status\/1182262130566938624 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/harrydcrane\/status\/1182262130566938624 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1182264056167698432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:58 AM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@FedericoPistono It is a special kind of satisfaction to receive the Incerto pentalogy by @nntaleb, in glorious deluxe hardcover, bought with fuck-you-money I made starting my own businesses from scratch, taking risks.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/RkHIOVmSTu\"> pic.twitter.com\/RkHIOVmSTu<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/FedericoPistono\/status\/1182262520200998912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:52 AM &#8211; 10 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Here <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1182084287547547648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:03 PM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lindy My next book is in this format. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/erik_kwakkel\/status\/1181962553628483584 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/erik_kwakkel\/status\/1181962553628483584 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1182083053491015681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:58 PM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Mehdi_IR_DC My own reason for not liking psychology is that its point of departure is human arrogance. To understand human mind and to fix it! Religion on the other hand starts from the point of human humility, it has via negativa. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Mehdi_IR_DC\/status\/1182065792927567882\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:50 PM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Arch_Revival_ Before &amp; After Hungarians replace ugly modernist building with a new build in the Classical tradition. A beautiful city is a better city. Budapest<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/TPiRSli9o6\"> pic.twitter.com\/TPiRSli9o6<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Arch_Revival_\/status\/1182063049961824257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:39 PM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Debating&#8230; Molyneux? If someone offered you to debate an animal in the zoo, you will be equally offended. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181957460476776448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:39 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@satyakatla Have chanced upon a #DataScientist lecturing, who has no idea about probability and stating that distribution is drifting from the assumption, hence wrong prediction. What he doesn&#8217;t get is it is wrong distribution to start with. @nntaleb succinctly mentioned this here:<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/aSVtmEAFmv\"> pic.twitter.com\/aSVtmEAFmv<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/satyakatla\/status\/1181944020223832076\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Finaly for the identity Gov. Debt = Asset you need the asset to have the same value as if determined by the real market under selection pressures. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181887535854825472\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:02 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@walid970721 I just found this tweet by Ken Roth from 2018 that shows what a moron he is. Of course the majority of the refugees are going to be Sunni when they form the majority of the population. Claiming that it\u2019s proof of ethnic cleansing is idiotic. #Syria <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/kenroth\/status\/1013454626694234112 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/kenroth\/status\/1013454626694234112 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/walid970721\/status\/1181877208455028736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:20 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Plus or minus the usual typos.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/qGyuGLFpNQ\"> pic.twitter.com\/qGyuGLFpNQ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181860862124056576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:16 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Asking @sapinker to talk about &#8230; tail risk? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/phil_papa\/status\/1181854183487606784 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/phil_papa\/status\/1181854183487606784 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181857466239393792\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:02 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@briteless You will never get the f*** you money* by winning arguments. (Advice to a young adult who wants to become personally free, financially independent, and freely pursue his interests). &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AfrikaKesho\/status\/1181267585511370753 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/AfrikaKesho\/status\/1181267585511370753 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/briteless\/status\/1181834519227387904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:31 AM &#8211; 9 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Quiz du Jour, Romanian Mathematical Magazine. [Flight to Brussels]<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/AWKuYjJeHQ\"> pic.twitter.com\/AWKuYjJeHQ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181714665367330816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:35 PM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Incidentally there is something of interest here: group IQ != average member IQ. Complex systems are about interactions. Failure of mean field. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181712207576489984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:25 PM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@stephen_wolfram Even after 35+ years the simplest cellular automata are full of new things to discover&#8230; Noticed in a livestream yesterday: rule 73 has randomness in its left- or right-of-center column, but with 3:2 white:black <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wolframcloud.com\/obj\/s.wolfram\/Published\/Rule73.nb \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.wolframcloud.com\/obj\/s.wolfram\/Published\/Rule73.nb <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/sp4d4RWZ8g&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/sp4d4RWZ8g <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/stephen_wolfram\/status\/1181703254767554560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:49 PM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NEVER read anything written by journalists, just look at prices! Correct: &#8220;Stocks dropped less than a Mean Deviation because of very slight order imbalances caused by a tiny minority; a small number of unidentified motivated investors adjusting their holdings.&#8221; #MinorityRule<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Xz3TOQtlY8\"> pic.twitter.com\/Xz3TOQtlY8<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181622175599616000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:27 AM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FINAL. Thanks everyone for the help.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/vDI9g9e5TK\"> pic.twitter.com\/vDI9g9e5TK<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181547847029800962\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:32 AM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PHILOLOGY DU JOUR Shawarma is not from Turkish but (Eastern) Aramaic, as the Turkish itself (\u00e7evirme) originates from the Eastern Syriac Sha-warma, where there is a shift &#8220;b&#8221; to &#8220;w&#8221;. &#8220;Barma&#8221; means to rotate, just as in &#8220;gyro&#8221; and &#8220;rotisserie&#8221;. @turlevnon <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181532044565856256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:29 AM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb THIRD VERSION Large Kafkaian centralization units such as Whitehall, Brussels, etc. \u201cElite\u201d undergraduate education<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/jmakcYOcRg\"> pic.twitter.com\/jmakcYOcRg<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181527500654034944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:11 AM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tis is probabilistic, so the idea is that 3-7 out of 10 items will be gone. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181520514277429248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:43 AM &#8211; 8 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@financequant The trend to relentless centralization will collapse (after much suffering). This has happened in the small with many ex-socialist countries. Consider Sweden which restored a market economy and decentralized its social programs; e.g., school vouchers. <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2ARDBhq \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/2ARDBhq <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/financequant\/status\/1181326433744019456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:52 PM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Dark_Realist <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1164138535919718400?s=19 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1164138535919718400?s=19 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Dark_Realist\/status\/1181310532021866497\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:49 PM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2nd version<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/aUuCaAKOZS\"> pic.twitter.com\/aUuCaAKOZS<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181300245285756929\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:08 PM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FOR COMMENTS Friends, was asked to &#8220;predict&#8221; what would happen by the end of the decade. Used Lindy.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/xCqtBIPZ2T\"> pic.twitter.com\/xCqtBIPZ2T<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181298468633100289\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:01 PM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why under convexity you don&#8217;t need to be a &#8220;good&#8221; forecaster.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7ckH9FA0W6\"> pic.twitter.com\/7ckH9FA0W6<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181179804122525700\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:09 AM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Convexity is often missed in: + finance (gamma, model error) + evolutionary biology (mean-field) cc:@yaneerbaryam (Even those who support group selection s.a. Wilson accept the non-convexity math). + forecasting (verbalistic Tetlockism) + behavioral econ (failure of mean-field) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stevenstrogatz\/status\/1080800546813034499 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/stevenstrogatz\/status\/1080800546813034499 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1181176701335814144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:57 AM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;The market is like a large movie theater with a small door. And the best way to detect a sucker is to see if his focus is on the size of the theater rather than that of the door.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Skin in the Game <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1181164759443480576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:09 AM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@davidgraeber remember any Turkish invasion of Rojava will be a NATO invasion of Rojava. Any genocide they carry out will be NATO genocide <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2019\/feb\/01\/americas-kurdish-allies-syria-turkey-nato \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2019\/feb\/01\/americas-kurdish-allies-syria-turkey-nato <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/davidgraeber\/status\/1181146012305502208\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:55 AM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Kitsune808 Echos of Taleb multiplying&#8230; @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jtepper2\/status\/1180784381570486272 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jtepper2\/status\/1180784381570486272 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Kitsune808\/status\/1181115379143319552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:53 AM &#8211; 7 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ektrit There is study of Theology\/Church History by studying the Church Fathers and There is study of Theology\/Church History by understanding that Church Fathers were in the 0.1% of Educated Elite. So, all theological conflict was among the top 0.1%. Night and Day approach. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/1180986583752855552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:21 PM &#8211; 6 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DellAnnaLuca THE DYNAMICS OF THE ANTIFRAGILE (thread) Where does the ability of the antifragile to benefit from volatility come from? Can this ability be increased? What policies increase it, and which decrease it? 1\/N <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DellAnnaLuca\/status\/1180860829094334465\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:02 AM &#8211; 6 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@VergilDen When charlatans, BS artists, and imbeciles try to team up against @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/newcuiture\/status\/1180855329468424192 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/newcuiture\/status\/1180855329468424192 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/1180856829263392770\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM &#8211; 6 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Further, the identity in Debt = Money an entity called &#8220;we&#8221; owes to an entity called &#8220;ourselves&#8221; fails ergocity. #ergodicityeconomics @ole_b_peters <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1180836083149541376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:23 AM &#8211; 6 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;You know you have influence when people start noticing your absence more than the presence of others.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in The Bed of Procrustes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/198481981X\/ref=as_li_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=198481981X&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;tag=getwisertlb-20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/gp\/product\/198481981X\/ref=as_li_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=9325&amp;creativeASIN=198481981X&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;tag=getwisertlb-20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1180790891549773826\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:24 AM &#8211; 6 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@birdxi1988 At first glance,it seems that ergodicity transformation is same as log utility but with a fancy name. This just shows you why they are so different <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ole_b_peters\/status\/1180431542096666624 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ole_b_peters\/status\/1180431542096666624 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/birdxi1988\/status\/1180540155607867392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:48 AM &#8211; 5 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is the kind of BS you should not live with: coercion of identity by the state or some IYI. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LebAmUniv\/status\/1179690962756526081 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/LebAmUniv\/status\/1179690962756526081 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179696297315639296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:54 AM &#8211; 3 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes! Doing something that is boring, unnatural, and devoid of organic stimulus is not (necessarily) virtue. It is meant to train people to become good bureaucrats and other slaves. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1179505096335474691 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1179505096335474691 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179695775498027008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:52 AM &#8211; 3 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3\/ +Need for *adult supervision* (international) of Salameh &amp; others, no need to replace right away. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179431182091657219\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:21 AM &#8211; 2 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2\/ + Government cannot control the corruption, located is in the &#8220;deep&#8221; ministries. Changing minister is of no help. +Nonpolitical decentralization only solution. +Central state great at managing sectarian tensions &#8230;but incapable of dealing with economic life; it&#8217;s a burden <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179430881737560069\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:20 AM &#8211; 2 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LEBANESE FINANCIAL SITUATION, INTERVIEW Recorded for LBCI (Thu 9:30 PM). + There ~no primary deficit, so no risk of big collapse. Debt is circular Bank-State. + People are so scared that ANY reduction of uncertainty (via moratorium) would be yuugely beneficial <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179429879173005312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:16 AM &#8211; 2 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In real estate you make money buying the overpriced and selling when extraoverpriced. Avoid the \u201caffordable\u201d crap. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ibrahimwarde\/status\/1179397774162481152 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ibrahimwarde\/status\/1179397774162481152 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179400586862743553\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:19 AM &#8211; 2 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Any sucker who buys \u201cBullshit Claire\u201d\u2019s version of anything or argument about any topic is blocked for intellectual deficiency. Gabish? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/patrissimo\/status\/1179392526551322626 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/patrissimo\/status\/1179392526551322626 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179398311305994241\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:10 AM &#8211; 2 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 4 hours dinner conversation with @rorysutherland and Rohan @Silva in a Pakistani restaurant in London (2 bottles of wine, but no Negroni). You must buy two copies of Rory&#8217;s book, in case one is stolen, lost, damaged (by the rain), or self-destructs.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Xa5WFOGCNt\"> pic.twitter.com\/Xa5WFOGCNt<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179336181898711041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:03 AM &#8211; 2 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So conforming to his status of fake scholar, @charlesmurray promotes a thread by *Claire-the-hysterical basketcase* without any of them knowing what I actually said. Note: Anyone who ever cites Charles Murray on anything becomes a fake scholar. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/charlesmurray\/status\/1178784796891238400?s=21 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/charlesmurray\/status\/1178784796891238400?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1179070498849935360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:28 AM &#8211; 1 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@GultekinBurce Small Probability, High Impact Payoffs: The horizontal line can be the payoff over time, or cross-sectional over many simultaneous trials. Full article: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.edge.org\/conversation\/nassim_nicholas_taleb-understanding-is-a-poor-substitute-for-convexity-antifragility \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.edge.org\/conversation\/nassim_nicholas_taleb-understanding-is-a-poor-substitute-for-convexity-antifragility <\/a>\u00a0 by @nntaleb<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/F4o8X5IQ1M&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/F4o8X5IQ1M <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GultekinBurce\/status\/1178943822094622720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:04 AM &#8211; 1 Oct 2019<\/p>\n<p>@STrosterud Yes. Nothing like Taleb accusing the Swedes directly for their Nobel shenanigans Makes both my Norwegian, and Finnish side smile <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/P1ybneyIgF\"> pic.twitter.com\/P1ybneyIgF<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/STrosterud\/status\/1178741895767482368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:42 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@paulportesi And the evidence comes later. @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/moneywatch-cvs-pulls-zantac-similar-133851787.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/news.yahoo.com\/moneywatch-cvs-pulls-zantac-similar-133851787.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/paulportesi\/status\/1178674075356450817\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:12 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I meant they changed room to the largest one based on registrations. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178672030985535491\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:04 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Volante team. Volante is a publisher in Stockholm.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/2VpDfhrlBR\"> pic.twitter.com\/2VpDfhrlBR<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178671803234840576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:03 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tonight. They have to get the largest room. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/volanteforlag\/status\/1178218694234820609 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/volanteforlag\/status\/1178218694234820609 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178664929194213376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:36 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Tonight. They have to get the largest room. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VolanteForlag\/status\/1178218694234820609 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/VolanteForlag\/status\/1178218694234820609 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178664929194213376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:36 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@AntonioBlaGra While Taleb&#8217;s Real World Risk Institute #RWRI was not one of the organizations I reseached, I realize now that it certainly presents the three characteristics of the Internet Culture: open knowledge, decentralization, and reputation based in what you do. <a href=\"https:\/\/realworldrisk.com\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/realworldrisk.com\/ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/AntonioBlaGra\/status\/1178613093930287105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:10 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Except that the Nobel Prize of Literature has the remarkable ability to pick non #Lindy authors too embedded in their time: For France, Sully Prudhomme, Fr\u00e9deric Mistral,Roger Martin du Gard,Romain Rolland, Anatole France,&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thomasjbevan1\/status\/1178602114290982912 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thomasjbevan1\/status\/1178602114290982912 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178604065988763648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:34 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And desertions, and typhus, and the mud. And he kept losing horses throughout. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178588317631307776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:32 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Napoleon is a prime example of *winning almost all battles but losing the war*. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178584116893229058\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:15 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The single biggest hit was the Pyrrhic victory of Borodino (if we can call it a &#8220;victory&#8221;). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178580698401312769\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:01 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/chasewpatterson\/status\/1178563602497691648?s=21 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/chasewpatterson\/status\/1178563602497691648?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178566588288647168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:05 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Orthodox churches are even more beautiful! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/xxvlllv\/status\/1178336300325380103 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/xxvlllv\/status\/1178336300325380103 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178565800803864576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:02 AM &#8211; 30 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Napoleon was also the grandmaster of fake news, doctoring up his &#8220;bulletins&#8221;, misreporting his casualties and those of the enemies, even when he was the winner. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178563975052759040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:55 PM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb He simply lost 2\/3 of his troops to the Russians and the Cossacks. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178563061629800448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:51 PM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb MYTH DU JOUR Napoleon was not that great invincible general who was defeated by the Russian winter, nonmilitary circumstances. His Grande Arm\u00e9e had lost 2\/3 of its soldiers before the first frost. Also remember that he (twice) deserted his own army. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178561677794697216\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:46 PM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Never include in your company name &#8220;Forever&#8221;, &#8220;Long Term (Capital)&#8221;, or &#8220;Amaranth (Capital)&#8221; (flower that never dies). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LieraMarco\/status\/1178558793707245568 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/LieraMarco\/status\/1178558793707245568 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178559559646023681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:37 PM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Marcellenassif Ideal morning coffee mug<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/nvpNdVi3Kb\"> pic.twitter.com\/nvpNdVi3Kb<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Marcellenassif\/status\/1178383083323691008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:56 AM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In the case of @michaelshermer it was not that I block idiots; it was that I block charlatans, @Monsantobuster <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1178312535822479361 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1178312535822479361 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178314712649482242\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:24 AM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Looks like you got the idea backwards.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/iSNHZJuJSq\"> pic.twitter.com\/iSNHZJuJSq<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178314077359263744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@VolanteForlag Finally in Sweden: @nntaleb! Today we are looking forward to a great day in Gothenburg at #bokm\u00e4ssan. Miss that? Tomorrow he will lecture in Stockholm. Tickets here: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.medborgarskolan.se\/arrangemang-sok\/skin-in-the-game-forelasning-med-nassim-taleb-1176833\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.medborgarskolan.se\/arrangemang-sok\/skin-in-the-game-forelasning-med-nassim-taleb-1176833\/ <\/a>\u00a0 @bokmassanGbg @medborgarskolan<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/zVG2IrEEcZ&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/zVG2IrEEcZ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/VolanteForlag\/status\/1178218694234820609\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:03 AM &#8211; 29 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Aquavit is so strong the Swedes have to drink beer with it.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/jZaJyxieL3\"> pic.twitter.com\/jZaJyxieL3<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1178019814377476096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:53 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Giving a lecktschur on Stockholm Monday Sept 30 in the evening to introduce the Swedish edition of Skin in the Game. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.medborgarskolan.se\/arrangemang-sok\/skin-in-the-game-forelasning-med-nassim-taleb-1176833\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.medborgarskolan.se\/arrangemang-sok\/skin-in-the-game-forelasning-med-nassim-taleb-1176833\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Meanwhile aquavit. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bkzafar\/status\/1177942090082377729 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/bkzafar\/status\/1177942090082377729 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177994534803914752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:12 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@bkzafar Since no one would believe me otherwise. Got seated next to one of my favourite authors on the train from Stockholm. Welcome to Gothenburg @nntaleb :)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/NipSN268Mr\"> pic.twitter.com\/NipSN268Mr<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/bkzafar\/status\/1177942090082377729\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:44 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Explanations: 1- Lebanese banks are NOT lending to businesses, but to the government to service the debt&#8230; to the same banks. That&#8217;s what I called &#8220;circularity&#8221;. 2- Merchants now realize that an IOU from another merchant is safer than $ in the &#8220;bank&#8221;. Salameh needs to go. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177871870777004032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:05 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LEBANON&#8217;S FINANCIAL SITUATION, 3 + Traditional Lebanese politics along ethnoreligious lines are put on hold (now, money talks). Parties are deemed equally incompetent. Old system of *state employement as political patronage* goes out via attrition. + Real decentralization. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177868180414439424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:50 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LEBANON&#8217;S FINANCIAL SITUATION, 2 The system fixes itself + People realize that banks returns are not risk-free; Any income generating project than lend to the &#8220;circularity&#8221;. + Increase in governance from sudden transparent + Noninvestors take a haircut from past gains. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177864119246032902\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:34 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb LEBANON&#8217;S FINANCIAL SITUATION + The primary budget is about balanced; pressure is from debt servicing. + Higher rates drain the economy as real investment returns pale compared to bank deposits *in US $*, leading to a circularity Gov-Banks-Depositors. Let the system fix itself! <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177861866435031040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:25 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (Continuing the thread) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177850770252845058?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177850770252845058?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177855135399256066\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:58 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 16 That rationality is about ideas, &amp; beliefs (or religion) can be &#8220;irrational&#8221;. No. Rationality is about action. There is no axiomatic framework for rationality that includes beliefs. It is what you do. #SkinintheGame <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/how-to-be-rational-about-rationality-432e96dd4d1a \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/how-to-be-rational-about-rationality-432e96dd4d1a <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177850770252845058\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:41 AM &#8211; 28 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NupurJoshii I love how Nassim Taleb writes his books! There&#8217;s a summary to each section and each chapter.. There&#8217;s chapter notes . There&#8217;s a guide to the book. There&#8217;s hilarity and brilliance all at the same time. I mean. It&#8217;s wonderful ! <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NupurJoshii\/status\/1177838833691320320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:53 PM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Now first statement by Quilletebecile Young @toadmeisster: &#8220;IQ is a better predictor of socioeconomic status than parental socioeconomic status&#8221; is plain BS. IQ does not predict income\/wealth (close to R^2=0, with cheating they get &lt;.04). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177639590238269441\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:42 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And By the way, Quillettebecile Toby @toadmeister, we now have the same raw longitudinal data as the ones used by these studies. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177637565916176384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:34 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Quillettebecile Toby @toadmeister you can now go find ALLLLLL the &#8220;studies&#8221; you want, the effective R^2 IQ tests to economic condition is ~0. Keep trying you and your Neo-Eugenist friends. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177634478707085313\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:21 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb As an Orthodox, today was the second most important day for me (after my baptism). The highest ranking person in Orthodoxy, His Holiness Bartholomeos 1 Patriarch of Constantinople, gave me his blessing &amp; a small gift. It was on a plane out of Constantinopolis.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/qVAeY9jl5f\"> pic.twitter.com\/qVAeY9jl5f<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177630356327075841\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:05 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mr Young\u2019s own data shows an R^2 of .04 for IQ-Income. He is talking abt socioeconomic condition. Where is the 80% heritability? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177602323490705410\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:14 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Quillette people make up numbers. This does not show \u201c80% heritability\u201d. Toby Young is a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/toadmeister\/status\/1177583074202308610?s=21 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/toadmeister\/status\/1177583074202308610?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177601237770014720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:09 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@spyrosmakrid The \u201cState of the art in SS Fcing\u201d is a review paper for lay readers clarifying what we know, what we are not sure and what we don\u2019t know about the field plus what has been achieved lately The paper is part of the M4 Special Issue of the I. J. of Forecasting @robjhyndman @fotpetr<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/4XjFL2LF6t\"> pic.twitter.com\/4XjFL2LF6t<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1177553364789452802\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:59 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In fact IQ is 0% correlated to socioeconomic status, Mr Young @toadmeister Fraudster. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172597583174414336?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172597583174414336?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177551229125369856\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:51 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Plomin estimates IQ *testing* is 50% heritable, itself weakly correlated to performance. Plus testing is also 80% correlated to other tests. I estimated R^2 of 0% for socio-economic performance. @toadmeister is a quack reciting some Quillette invented mantra. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177549268372115457\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:43 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Lebanese (not Lebanese Armenian) manti (shish barak) is cooked in goat milk yoghurt with Med herbs (laban immo) and left to marinate for a bit. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177540614726062080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:08 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This idiot Toby Young by saying IQ is 80% heritable is not even representing the literature which (falsely) claims a maximum of 50% @toadmeister <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/toadmeister\/status\/1177351195503026176?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/toadmeister\/status\/1177351195503026176?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177535212999380992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:47 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb + sur les bords + pauvre con (h\/t @firsou), very different from petit con + fofolle + bancal + bon chic bon genre + pour ta gouverne + foir\u00e9 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177533789934956548\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:41 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Noticed that in Tatarstan &amp; Kazakhstan they stuff their manti with horse meat, and, mostly, horse fat; the yoghurt is made from mare&#8217;s milk. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177530191217942532\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:27 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Which confirms my theory that Quillette is managed by a collection of low-intellect, low-skilled BS vendors, using poorly warmed up pseudoscience to promote a eugenics agenda and, of course, incapable of hiding it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/toadmeister\/status\/1177351195503026176 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/toadmeister\/status\/1177351195503026176 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177522851533991936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:58 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Manti (Istanbul): the ancestor of ravioli. Except, of course, better.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/1NtTDfNpP9\"> pic.twitter.com\/1NtTDfNpP9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177516863414161409\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:34 AM &#8211; 27 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Democrats: If you are using information from the whistleblower, you MUST ask for Assange\u2019s exoneration. #Coherence <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177467701318443014\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:19 PM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TMFStoffel &#8220;Ayn Rand doesn&#8217;t get scaling&#8221; *THIS* more than anything else, is the thing that &#8212; once you see it &#8212; you can&#8217;t un-see. It&#8217;s not just Rand. It seems like scale is something that we *ALL* struggle with. But once we see it, it changes everything. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177267073409605634 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177267073409605634 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TMFStoffel\/status\/1177417998656823297\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:01 PM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;Primitive societies are largely free of cardiovascular disease, cancer, dental cavities, economic theories, lounge music, and other modern ailments.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Antifragile <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Antifragile-Things-That-Disorder-Incerto\/dp\/0812979680\/ref=as_li_ss_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;linkCode=ll1&amp;tag=getwisertlb-20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Antifragile-Things-That-Disorder-Incerto\/dp\/0812979680\/ref=as_li_ss_tl?ie=UTF8&amp;linkCode=ll1&amp;tag=getwisertlb-20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1177396087075811328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:34 PM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Ofer just answered the central point: we are not really talking about selfishness, but symmetry. So long as do you not transfer risks to others, you are honorable. You are even more honorable when you take the risks of others. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ofer_rubin\/status\/1177294276302127105?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ofer_rubin\/status\/1177294276302127105?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 5\/n <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177295713878839297\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:55 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (cont) + plouc + de souche + marche a cot\u00e9 de ses pompes + petit con (the &#8220;petit&#8221; is central) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177280977632223233\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:57 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This said there are a lot of words in French I know that have no (potent) equivalent in English which come to me in Fr: + vivotter + glander + minable + t\u00eate \u00e0 baffe <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177277015659089920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:41 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This does&#8217;nt make &#8220;selfishness&#8221; honorable. Nature has no junk: it recycles &amp; makes fertilizers out of animal &amp; human waste. Likewise society recycles somewhat selfish pursuits as fertilizer. So we should not be glorify selfishness, no more than we do w\/excreta. 4\/n <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177268837055643656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:08 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And Ayn Rand doesn&#8217;t get scaling. In that sense I prefer people to focus Mandeville who inspired Adam Smith&#8217;s &#8220;it&#8217;s not the benevolence of the butcher&#8230;&#8221; A good society is one that via scale transformation makes a virtuous collective out of somewhat selfish individuals. 3\/n <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177267073409605634\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:01 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb a hero who serves the collective (expected return is negative as 999\/1000 will fail) and there is no such thing as a &#8220;failed&#8221; entrepreneur; I subscribe to virtue ethics and Christian morality which makes some of her stances repugnant to me both as a Christian &amp; a Classic-ist. 2\/n <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177266183487270913\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:58 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I do share a lot of readers with Ayn Rand and there are some commonalities: 1) To do good, focus on your own business, 2) Bureaucrats are evil, etc. But there are yuuuge differences. I do not believe that individuals should be &#8220;selfish&#8221;, I do believe that the entrepreneur is 1\/n <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177265639058264065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:56 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Should be illegal! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/chemblette\/status\/1177260448347054086 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/chemblette\/status\/1177260448347054086 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177263081396813828\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:46 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@zmpng Breaking a 24h fast with squid ink paella. Does @nntaleb approve?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Ctj76IX7A5\"> pic.twitter.com\/Ctj76IX7A5<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/zmpng\/status\/1177254337942302720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:11 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The point is not about Trump but the system. I can easily understand why someone can hate Trump. But changing the rules under asymmetries effectively destroys the system. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177203561782042626\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:49 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My take: Collusion between two parties needs to emanate from an explicit transaction or a well defined offer, not something vague in a conversation. It should be subjected to the same standards as contractual obligations. Otherwise everything can be interpreted as collusion. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177200225301204992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Bottarga with ros\u00e9.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/rPgg3cuI8J\"> pic.twitter.com\/rPgg3cuI8J<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1177168382703144960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:29 AM &#8211; 26 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@MarkAmesExiled \u201cThe Houthis were only nominally Iran\u2019s surrogates, but they were also our quiet partners against al-Qaeda.\u201d Uncanny how often we try to wipe out Al Qaeda\u2019s enemies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theamericanconservative.com\/articles\/the-military-officials-who-knew-saudi-arabia-would-fail\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.theamericanconservative.com\/articles\/the-military-officials-who-knew-saudi-arabia-would-fail\/ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/MarkAmesExiled\/status\/1176973928809533441\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:37 PM &#8211; 25 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Is it me or is this Ukraine thingy a pathological delusion? Read the transcript. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/RealSaavedra\/status\/1176910531338199040 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/RealSaavedra\/status\/1176910531338199040 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176921581513318406\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:09 AM &#8211; 25 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Blunder duJour: Was telling someone on the phone in French &#8220;you gave me invaluable advice&#8221; (abt food, of course), came out as literal translation &#8220;un avis sans valeur&#8221; which means &#8220;an opinion of no value&#8221; &amp; realized after hanging up. Wonder if I will ever get more food tips. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176852593492004864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:34 AM &#8211; 25 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Khatchapouri, Med version<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/UcDxCp5WDC\"> pic.twitter.com\/UcDxCp5WDC<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176775976166076416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:30 AM &#8211; 25 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@rperezmarco &#8220;When the scientist points at research the imbecile examines the number of papers&#8221; (you can quote me for this one). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/HigherGeometer\/status\/1176404487272980482 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/HigherGeometer\/status\/1176404487272980482 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/rperezmarco\/status\/1176433728094134272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:50 AM &#8211; 24 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NonMeek Actions &gt; words. One of the best rules I know.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Z9if9Sy2BT\"> pic.twitter.com\/Z9if9Sy2BT<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1176378453911900161\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:10 PM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I deposited my last business tie in the garbage can at the corner of 48th St and Park avenue in December 1993, only kept ones for funerals. Since then wore no tie at 10 Downing, White House, etc. Below with 12 (former) heads of state-cum-tie guests of Nursultan Nazarbaev. \ufeff @TalebWisdom &#8220;Complaints don&#8217;t deliver complaints, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1761,421,1759,1758,1427,553,1599,1755,1708,1757,799,1760,1762,1756],"class_list":["post-9068","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-aquavit","tag-charles-murray","tag-corruption","tag-i-made-a-mistake","tag-iq","tag-lebanon","tag-localism","tag-mariana-mazzucato","tag-peterson","tag-reits","tag-silver-rule","tag-stefan-molyneux","tag-swedes","tag-ubi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9068","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9068"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9068\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9074,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9068\/revisions\/9074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9068"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9068"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9068"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}