{"id":9050,"date":"2019-09-23T23:31:23","date_gmt":"2019-09-24T06:31:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=9050"},"modified":"2019-09-23T23:34:13","modified_gmt":"2019-09-24T06:34:13","slug":"evolutionary-biologists-ayn-rand-dawkins-quilettebeciles-nate-silver-mosquitos-bolton-pinker-nudgeboy-pencilwits-brasil-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2019\/09\/evolutionary-biologists-ayn-rand-dawkins-quilettebeciles-nate-silver-mosquitos-bolton-pinker-nudgeboy-pencilwits-brasil-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Evolutionary Biologists, Ayn Rand, Dawkins, Quilettebeciles, Nate Silver, Mosquitos, Bolton, Pinker, Nudgeboy, Pencilwits, Brasil | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<br \/>\n<div id=\"attachment_9051\" style=\"width: 710px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170140433441275904\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-9051\" class=\"wp-image-9051\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebCousins-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"525\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebCousins.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebCousins-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/talebCousins-768x576.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-9051\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Brazilian cousins Rubens Taleb, Rogerio Taleb, &amp; namesake Nassim Taleb came to the conference.<\/p><\/div><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/quoteinvestigator.com\/2019\/09\/17\/absence\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Absence of Evidence Is Not Evidence of Absence<\/a> (Hattip Dave Lull)<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb We had DNA evidence that the ancient Egyptian ruling class came from the North. Socks-with-scandals places them somewhere around what is now Central Germany. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/rabihalameddine\/status\/1176247307341164544 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/rabihalameddine\/status\/1176247307341164544 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176253760009625601\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:55 PM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3) People have no problem getting Nietzsche, Le Bon, &amp; other&#8217;s point that crowds composed of sane individuals can go crazy. It is harder to get the reverse: that some groups of unfit individuals can be fitter than others with better individuals. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176242567983202304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:10 PM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2) These simple comments by the 2 fellows destroy +5 decades of evolutionary psychology\/biology, etc. I mean really shatter current methods.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Q6Opzp6XFF\"> pic.twitter.com\/Q6Opzp6XFF<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176237496004435968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:50 PM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Please do not respond to my claim that &#8220;(most) evolutionary biologists are dumb&#8221; by calling me an egomaniac\/some other pathology or &#8220;he says everybody but me is dumb&#8221;. Rather, try to grasp the below thread w\/discussions by @yaneerbaryam etc. You will then see the gravity. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176190670433857536 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176190670433857536 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176236473059827713\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:46 PM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Actually this is a chapter in #SkinintheGame<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/reC9hrJ8VD\"> pic.twitter.com\/reC9hrJ8VD<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176194536940421124\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:00 AM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Do not mess with him. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Extrachelle\/status\/1175888089367162880 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Extrachelle\/status\/1175888089367162880 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176187748451065856\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:33 AM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I would tell him that he should feel lucky. Compare these to the worst possible nightmare: an association with Ayn Rand. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1176107964656234497 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1176107964656234497 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176182729337163776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:13 AM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@MuserMarco His argument is basicallly that because of nonlinear effects the macro (group) cannot be explained by the micro (individual). A group is not just a bunch of individuals. Or in other words, the whole is more than the sum of its parts. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/MuserMarco\/status\/1176152554167767040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:13 AM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Caro Bret, This explanatorizing is mired in 1960s Mickey-Mouse verbalisms devised by British (possibly drunk) naive statisticomaniacs. Because of scaling, arguments for the survival of individual(s)\u2260survival of groups. So you need to explain groups qua groups. @yaneerbaryam <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176146954037993473\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:51 AM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cheese Galettes with halloumi &amp; kashkaval made by Syrians from Raqqa (Beirut highway).<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/HrwRVoEW0r\"> pic.twitter.com\/HrwRVoEW0r<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1176102369949601793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:53 AM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ProBucks_ &#8220;naive interventionism&#8221; proving detrimental in yet another complex system with long lasting unintended effects. @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheEconomist\/status\/1175636181515718656 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheEconomist\/status\/1175636181515718656 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ProBucks_\/status\/1176007411792039936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:36 PM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The art and science of drinking with Russians.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/GIF8al4S8K\"> pic.twitter.com\/GIF8al4S8K<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175834439030640640\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:09 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Vitello tonnato with squid ink. #OnlyinMoscow<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/EWz9zI60Sf\"> pic.twitter.com\/EWz9zI60Sf<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175789992632836097\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:12 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@GeorgeJNasr #Pedophrasty: Argument involving #Children to prop up a rationalization, &amp; make opponents look like assholes. Nobody has the heart to question the authenticity or source of the #news. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/pedophrasty-bigoteering-and-other-modern-scams-c84bd70a29e8 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/pedophrasty-bigoteering-and-other-modern-scams-c84bd70a29e8 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/rioKeFcY7B&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/rioKeFcY7B <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GeorgeJNasr\/status\/1175784874457862150\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:52 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why is it wrong to be a &#8220;group selectionist&#8221;, @BretWeinstein ? You do not have to defend yourself ag. the BS vendor @sapinker. The 2 journalists Pinker &amp; Dawkins have been barking\/bullshitting w\/o showing flaws in Nowak, Wilson et al. #Multiscale &amp; aggregation. @yaneerbaryam <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BretWeinstein\/status\/1175592010662567936 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/BretWeinstein\/status\/1175592010662567936 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175743493676896257\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:07 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Khatchapuri<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/AUAA39pjc4\"> pic.twitter.com\/AUAA39pjc4<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175727592453943296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:04 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There are three types of large corporations: those about to go bankrupt, those that are bankrupt and hide it, those that are bankrupt and don\u2019t know it. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175669049990275072\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:11 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Pedophrasty is spreading <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mayurshetty01\/status\/1175624855837925376 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/mayurshetty01\/status\/1175624855837925376 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175666174165737473\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:00 AM &#8211; 22 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb \u0432\u043e\u0434\u043a\u0430<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Q85lklqq8Y\"> pic.twitter.com\/Q85lklqq8Y<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175508775597481989\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:35 PM &#8211; 21 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The great John Gray explains that Christianity is, basically, secular humanism. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/1174383075419197441 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/1174383075419197441 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175443459307638784\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:15 AM &#8211; 21 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Dawkins, as exected, another fake scholar. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/gheathwhyte\/status\/1175081067943997440 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/gheathwhyte\/status\/1175081067943997440 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175421347649900545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:47 AM &#8211; 21 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@RickyDelFuego Next phase begins when the kids start reading @nntaleb and realize the reason no one listens to the &#8220;educated&#8221; is because someone who collected $100,000 in debt to get a PhD in &#8220;empathy as communication&#8221; or whatever isn&#8217;t worth listening to. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nicgaston\/status\/1175302556324651009 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nicgaston\/status\/1175302556324651009 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RickyDelFuego\/status\/1175413045343899648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:14 AM &#8211; 21 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@spyrosmakrid <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1170627288947470336 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1170627288947470336 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1166321418432339969 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1166321418432339969 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1175367140767145984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:12 AM &#8211; 21 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@PaulSkallas \u201dIf your private life conflicts with your intellectual opinion, it cancels your intellectual ideas, not your private life.\u201d <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/PaulSkallas\/status\/1175211377071448065\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:53 PM &#8211; 20 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb And &#8220;psychologist&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1175190661538226177 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1175190661538226177 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175194726435368960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:47 PM &#8211; 20 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@GuillermoBurr The results are so aberrant and childish that they remind me of Dr Malcolm in the movie Jurasic Park. When he is informed that all dinosaurs are female and that they cannot breed, he answers: life will find a way (sic) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GuillermoBurr\/status\/1175194456909406208\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:46 PM &#8211; 20 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Vasilis48814362 When I finished black swan, I felt good, but also in panic because I could not believe for once someone was right on pretty much everything. The smear articles online only worsened this panic. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175185309073625093 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1175185309073625093 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Vasilis48814362\/status\/1175189749511983104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:27 PM &#8211; 20 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@holland_tom One is a work of Protestant theology. And one is by me! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/staylorish\/status\/1175053970613706753?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/staylorish\/status\/1175053970613706753?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/1175054455999516672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:29 AM &#8211; 20 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntalebbot &#8220;it is only when you don\u2019t care about your reputation that you tend to have a good one.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1174752563188645890\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:30 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The most convincing evidence that the psychology of happiness is total BS is to meet \u201chappiness\u201d \u201cexpert\u201d psychologists in person. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/alexandersquats\/status\/1174719753283178496 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/alexandersquats\/status\/1174719753283178496 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1174722818694471680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:31 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@normonics looks like I&#8217;ve been using &#8220;moron&#8221; where I should have been using &#8220;imbecile&#8221; Nassim gets it right again <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1174694930771587074\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:41 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@RobRastapop Of all writings I love only that which is written in blood. Nietzsche Not everything that happens, happens for a reason. But everything that survives, survives for a reason. @nntaleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/M4l1VIZitz\"> pic.twitter.com\/M4l1VIZitz<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RobRastapop\/status\/1174670551031267329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:04 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@fpingham Fractal localism means skin in the game and personal accountability @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/999927177259892738 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/999927177259892738 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/fpingham\/status\/1174663646284275712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@AssalehAmer The Bed of Procrustes, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/king4judge\/status\/1174507514358095873 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/king4judge\/status\/1174507514358095873 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/AssalehAmer\/status\/1174663127062855681\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:34 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A #Lindy drink. So is its (mild) hangover. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1174662948813279233\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:34 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@john_f_hamer \u201cJust as dyed hair makes old men less attractive, it is what you do to hide your weaknesses that makes them repugnant.\u201d\u2014Nassim Nicholas Taleb, The Bed of Procrustes (2016) @nntaleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/0bJDJ3rLtS\"> pic.twitter.com\/0bJDJ3rLtS<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/john_f_hamer\/status\/1174642395335598081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:12 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@themintmag &#8220;Every time I have questioned these methods I have been abruptly countered with: \u201cthey have the Nobel\u201d, which I have found impossible to argue with.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb Hence the need for the #NotTheNobel. Econ is not a science. Vote for a fresh thinker today! <a href=\"https:\/\/lght.ly\/g1dmja9 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/lght.ly\/g1dmja9 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/uhvtHJoUoO&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/uhvtHJoUoO <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/themintmag\/status\/1174631925765615616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:30 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;What they call philosophy I call literature; what they call literature I call journalism; what they call journalism I call gossip; and what they call gossip I call (generously) voyeurism.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in The Bed of Procrustes <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1174612402521948160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:13 AM &#8211; 19 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@sean_a_mcclure Many lack the scientific literacy needed to understand the IQ debate. I wrote this conceptual article to help those ill-equipped to form an educated opinion on a massively important topic. <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/2m0JtAM \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/bit.ly\/2m0JtAM <\/a>\u00a0 @nntaleb @normonics @trishankkarthik #science #psychology<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/hFJQlrqgxS&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/hFJQlrqgxS <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/sean_a_mcclure\/status\/1174446998814113793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:15 PM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/0sfzemUBsL\"> pic.twitter.com\/0sfzemUBsL<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1174388995809271808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:25 AM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nabilshadman @nntaleb said &#8220;Learning is rooted in repetition and convexity, meaning that the reading of a single text twice is more profitable than reading two different texts once.&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nabilshadman\/status\/1174382771231428608\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:00 AM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@birdxi1988 Jus realize this is extremely important. Not only in psychology but also in finance. This debunked various kinds of CAPM related regression. Eg, Fama\u2013MacBeth regression(for risk premium). Same situation as here: return(fat tail) is regressed over beta(thin). E(R^2) is zero! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1174231033514008576 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1174231033514008576 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/birdxi1988\/status\/1174372136590413825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:18 AM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Celebrating the Negroni&#8217;s 100th anniversary. (in Brescia). But I was told it tastes the same in Milan, and maybe almost the same elsewhere.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/GIf8rimtNf\"> pic.twitter.com\/GIf8rimtNf<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1174350748815151109\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:53 AM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@willianadamczyk \u201cModernity starts with the state monopoly on violence, and ends with the state\u2019s monopoly on fiscal irresponsability\u201d. @nntaleb , 2012 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/willianadamczyk\/status\/1174337961728663553\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:02 AM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@kudra_1 \u201cPedophrasty,\u201d coined by @nntaleb: Using children to \u201cprop up a rationalization and make the opponent look like an asshole, as people are defenseless and suspend all skepticism in front of suffering children.\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenniferm_q\/status\/1174308373526929408 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jenniferm_q\/status\/1174308373526929408 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/kudra_1\/status\/1174321131127394304\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:55 AM &#8211; 18 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@JYuter I&#8217;m old enough to remember when people called for civility when someone died (and that&#8217;s assuming it&#8217;s true) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jeremymbarr\/status\/1174098732905881601 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jeremymbarr\/status\/1174098732905881601 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/JYuter\/status\/1174100398371758080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:18 PM &#8211; 17 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@garyruskin U.S. Right to Know investigates big food and agrichemical companies. We expose what they want to hide. We stand up for our right to know what\u2019s in our food. Please contribute today: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/usrtk \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.patreon.com\/usrtk <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/garyruskin\/status\/1173994490396196864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:17 AM &#8211; 17 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@venksaiyan Something @nntaleb has been saying for long. Theory often follows Invention. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidlayden\/status\/1173712393312059393 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidlayden\/status\/1173712393312059393 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/venksaiyan\/status\/1173875565310300160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:25 AM &#8211; 17 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@sjourdan This new edition of #incerto is beautiful. @nntaleb rocks.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/wTaZ16iHZh\"> pic.twitter.com\/wTaZ16iHZh<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/sjourdan\/status\/1173829229416517633\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:21 PM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@exergiovanni I thought religion was irrational. Thanks to professor @nntaleb I changed my mind diametrically. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/exergiovanni\/status\/1173767910289895424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:17 PM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is not an &#8220;error&#8221;: this is genetics. Higher dimensions are really unpredictable.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/1CqvZokuiz\"> pic.twitter.com\/1CqvZokuiz<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173724610224898049\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:25 PM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;I am never bothered by normal people; it is the bull***tter in the intellectual profession who bothers me.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Skin in the Game <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1173711499308752898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:33 PM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb People are brainwashed to not realize that so many &#8220;noble&#8221; pursuits (academia, service, anything where one is paid with &#8220;honors&#8221;) are zero-sum. And wealth pursuits, outside of rent seeking, aren&#8217;t zero-sum. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1173561683870179328 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1173561683870179328 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173683576103165957\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:42 PM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntalebbot &#8220;The fool generalizes the particular; the nerd particularizes the general; some do both; and the wise does neither&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1173665406655041539\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:30 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Joey Automata: you need the Quilettebeciles to keep posting complaints about you, not the reverse. Keep irritating them, don&#8217;t reply TO them. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1173195884236087296 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1173195884236087296 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173641632203399168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:55 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There are other errors&#8230; the person who put the cheat sheet together is not familiar with probability. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173616999651565569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:17 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The &#8220;thinking like Nate Silver&#8221; part is a red flag. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KirkDBorne\/status\/1173511271544586240 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/KirkDBorne\/status\/1173511271544586240 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173616015940423682\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:13 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Vegan is Halal, not the opposite. Much more asymmetric that you think. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/naniiyer\/status\/1173567520860704769 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/naniiyer\/status\/1173567520860704769 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173594947771129858\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:50 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@sustain05 <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Np6mErhFuW\"> pic.twitter.com\/Np6mErhFuW<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/sustain05\/status\/1173585449887109120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:12 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@_benoux_ For those who still don&#8217;t get it. Let&#8217;s use an another example: @nntaleb published an excellent book, &#8220;SKIN IN THE GAME&#8221;. A figurative title consolidates a background in probability &amp; statistics. He didn&#8217;t name it &#8220;Enlightened Reason &amp; Science of Risks in Humanism&#8221; (Pinker-like). <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/_benoux_\/status\/1173576344007041024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;My experience is that money and transactions purify relations; ideas and abstract matters like &#8220;recognition&#8221; and &#8220;credit&#8221; warp them, creating an atmosphere of perpetual rivalry.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Antifragile <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1173561683870179328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:38 AM &#8211; 16 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb SAUDI FIELDS It&#8217;s not just Yemen. People forget there is an oppressed Shiite minority near the Aramco HQ (dispossessed of the oil fields, located in their ancestral area &amp; treated like sub-sub-citizens); they get periodically beheaded by the Saudi government. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173415187535323143\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:55 PM &#8211; 15 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb SAUDI FIELDS It&#8217;s not just Yemen. People forget there is an oppressed Shiite minority near the Aramco HQ (dispossessed of the oil fields, located in their ancestral area &amp; treated like sub-sub-citizens); they get periodically beheaded by the Saudi government. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173415187535323143\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:55 PM &#8211; 15 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is the only compliment that counts, not that I actually agree with the designation \u201cash*\u201d as a proxy for uncompromizing. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/squidbidness\/status\/1173310545748848641 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/squidbidness\/status\/1173310545748848641 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173311230024527877\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:02 PM &#8211; 15 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Friends, we need 3 more applicants for women scholarships for RWRI 12 in New York Oct 24. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1173272745939017728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:29 AM &#8211; 15 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@BLebnene L fasel l 20 min kteb Le Petit Prince bil Libnene bil 7arfen l 3arabe wil Letiine! Tarjamit @HsenAndil \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u064420 \u0645\u0646 \u0643\u062a\u0627\u0628 Le Petit Prince \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0641\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0627\u062a\u064a\u0646\u064a! <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/bel-lebneene\/l-fasel-l-20-l-miir-zzghiir-f58995d8d080 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/bel-lebneene\/l-fasel-l-20-l-miir-zzghiir-f58995d8d080 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/BLebnene\/status\/1173254545914388480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:17 AM &#8211; 15 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@zkortbawy \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a&#8221;\u062e\u064e\u0644\u0651\u064a\u0643 \u0647\u064e\u0648\u0646 Khallik Hawn&#8221; = &#8220;\u0625\u0628\u0642\u0649 \u0647\u0646\u0627 Ibka Houna&#8221; \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0628\u064a #\u0628\u062a\u062d\u0643\u064a_\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a_\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0628_\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0627\u0646\u064a @BLebnene <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/zkortbawy\/status\/1173163018173243392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:13 AM &#8211; 15 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sample <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=CLQ0ryLOWik&amp;feature=share \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=CLQ0ryLOWik&amp;feature=share <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172990566398930944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:48 PM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Northern Lebanese, from Zgharta. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/manwithahammer\/status\/1172969296189894661 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/manwithahammer\/status\/1172969296189894661 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172974015348129793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:42 PM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DrMichaelBonner For flexibility and clarity: Greek; For precision: a tie between Latin and Arabic; For sound: a tie between Syriac and Persian; For rhythm: Arabic; For intricacy: Sanskrit; For interesting texts: Greek, Aramaic, Syriac, and Armenian. For sheer mental exertion: Hieroglyphic! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Bfklin\/status\/1172964937741869057 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Bfklin\/status\/1172964937741869057 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DrMichaelBonner\/status\/1172966603165769728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:13 PM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This guy is good. And he knows his stuff. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrMichaelBonner\/status\/1172845055289245696 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrMichaelBonner\/status\/1172845055289245696 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172948941593354240\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:03 PM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Of course, Bill Gates doesn&#8217;t get that neomania works with software with reversible errors, not with complex systems. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/PaulSkallas\/status\/1172904846787301377?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/PaulSkallas\/status\/1172904846787301377?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172907395439312899\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:18 AM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Jaffer22915438 FWIW: Tulsi Gabbard had more traffic to her website during the Dem debate than any day since the last debate. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1172895313662828545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:30 AM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@wrathofgnon We know that modern grains are far less nutritious than ancient grains. Turns out even our great-grand parents ate vegetables that were many times as nutritious as what we are eating today. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mangan150\/status\/1172843628898578433 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/mangan150\/status\/1172843628898578433 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/1172894130646597632\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:25 AM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Of course, the Genetically Modified Mosquito project has gone wrong, with, really, &#8220;unforeseen outcomes&#8221;. When will IYIs learn that we don&#8217;t understand complex systems enough to play with them? Or when will we learn that science is not scientism?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/YOAZcvKKav\"> pic.twitter.com\/YOAZcvKKav<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172864041016090624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:25 AM &#8211; 14 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A reminder that neuroscience, psychology, etc. are NOT reliable, not citable, not useable for anything other than tenure &amp; academic rent seeking. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/health\/archive\/2019\/09\/free-will-bereitschaftspotential\/597736\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/health\/archive\/2019\/09\/free-will-bereitschaftspotential\/597736\/ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172604962846707712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:16 PM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/myKY0meoT6\"> pic.twitter.com\/myKY0meoT6<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172597583174414336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:47 PM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PROBABILITY DU JOUR R^2 is expected to be 0 but in small samples it shows much higher value, here .98. Small is anything &lt;10^8. (cont)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/3EDMSvpbEB\"> pic.twitter.com\/3EDMSvpbEB<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172596606669135872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:43 PM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@black_swan_man <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2019-09-12\/-negative-rates-is-insanity-says-universa-s-spitznagel-video?srnd=styt \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2019-09-12\/-negative-rates-is-insanity-says-universa-s-spitznagel-video?srnd=styt <\/a>\u00a0 Part 2 of 2 #blackswanman #theblackswanman @RayDalio @ErikSchatzker @BloombergTV #bonds #tailrisk #riskparity #riskparody<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ouHZcC9T7x&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/ouHZcC9T7x <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1172596206796791808\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:41 PM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Didn&#8217;t we put this, @normonics, in our Precautionary Principle paper? Where did it go?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/aQ1zF0Peki\"> pic.twitter.com\/aQ1zF0Peki<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172575747527106561\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:20 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can&#8217;t industrialize, commoditize, &amp; scale knowledge without destroying it at is core. Scholarship is fundamentally an artisanal-style pursuit. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172573972304670720\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:13 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Contrepoints Face au terrorisme, les #neoconservateurs pensent pouvoir utiliser l\u2019h\u00e9g\u00e9monie politique, militaire et diplomatique pour fa\u00e7onner un monde \u00e0 leur convenance. Pour @nntaleb, ils font trois erreurs constantes que @FredericMasCP nous explique. #Bolton #Trump <a href=\"https:\/\/www.contrepoints.org\/2019\/09\/12\/353340-donald-trump-limoge-john-bolton-un-revers-pour-les-neoconservateurs \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.contrepoints.org\/2019\/09\/12\/353340-donald-trump-limoge-john-bolton-un-revers-pour-les-neoconservateurs <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Contrepoints\/status\/1172572151922253825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:06 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb From experience, I haven&#8217;t seen erudites inside academia (few exceptions). By erudition, I mean solid knowledge (ancient languages, history, mathematics, literature-but-not-literary-theories) &amp; naturally exclude knowledge of crap &amp; theories written since 1924 in social &#8220;science&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/T_Libo\/status\/1172555372982390785 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/T_Libo\/status\/1172555372982390785 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172559948011790336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:17 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The association \u201cjuzur lubnan\u201d is doing great environmental work; but it is named using loan words from Arabic. Should be renamed \u201cShlush Lebn\u00e9n\u201d. #Localism #StandAgainstArabImperialism <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172536542449086465\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:44 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Neomania in #Antifragile <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/berensjoshua\/status\/1172531835454152705 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/berensjoshua\/status\/1172531835454152705 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172532741742714881\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:29 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The &#8220;naturalistic fallacy&#8221; is not a fallacy outside the moral domain. Gabish? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172502565558333440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:29 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am scared of living in a society that doesn&#8217;t find it obvious that things perfected by nature over millions of years are scientifically speaking, safer than things made by some &#8220;scientists&#8221; in a lab. [Corrected] Statistically, the &#8220;large n&#8221; of nature makes it &gt; scientific. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmanuelDerman\/status\/1139279122516054018 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/EmanuelDerman\/status\/1139279122516054018 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172495876717273088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:02 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No bureaucrats in peace discussions without some adult supervision. PRINCIPIA POLITICA <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Principia_Politica <\/a>\u00a0 #Blackswanman <a href=\"http:\/\/blackswanman.com\/#lg=1&amp;slide=41 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/blackswanman.com\/#lg=1&amp;slide=41 <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/G6Y4xi1QCQ&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/G6Y4xi1QCQ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172483134937608192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:12 AM &#8211; 13 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NEgotiation. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172268036860104706\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:57 PM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This was predictive: Black Swan Man tells Trump to have NO bureaucrat involved in ANY peace negociation. No bureaucrat in anything other than record keeping\/clerical stuff. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1165991391995940864 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1165991391995940864 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172244208679366656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:22 PM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@black_swan_man <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2019-09-12\/-negative-rates-is-insanity-says-universa-s-spitznagel-video?srnd=styt \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2019-09-12\/-negative-rates-is-insanity-says-universa-s-spitznagel-video?srnd=styt <\/a>\u00a0 Part 1 of 2 #blackswanman #theblackswanman @RayDalio @ErikSchatzker @BloombergTV #bonds #tailrisk #riskparity #riskparody<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/eEFAjGMaoT&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/eEFAjGMaoT <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1172236417612877835\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:51 PM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TheBobber Plant-based burgers may be &#8220;safe&#8221; but they are loaded with crap that Your Grandmother would not recognize and you would be wise (and healthier) to heed the advice of @nntaleb and avoid them. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GastroHistory\/status\/1172214307636932608 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GastroHistory\/status\/1172214307636932608 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TheBobber\/status\/1172218085572349952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:39 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@normonics The only honest scientific approach to a system as large and complex as the &#8220;climate&#8221; is one of acknowledging uncertainty, and proceeding with precaution <a href=\"https:\/\/fooledbyrandomness.com\/climateletter.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/fooledbyrandomness.com\/climateletter.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1172136265711575040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@normonics The incessant interventionism of @BillGates and his ilk is enabled by the pathological certainty generated by scientism <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/argumentwinner\/status\/1171979948342546432 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/argumentwinner\/status\/1171979948342546432 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1172133291585093634\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:02 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@city_affairs &#8220;The intellectual yet idiot is subscribed to the New Yorker&#8221; @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanielleRyanJ\/status\/1172109337738862592 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanielleRyanJ\/status\/1172109337738862592 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/city_affairs\/status\/1172132878844604416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:00 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@oskarth @nntaleb Squid ink in Venesia<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/93o0fEx5Ae\"> pic.twitter.com\/93o0fEx5Ae<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/oskarth\/status\/1172131210526679040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:53 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 3rd is the Charm. This continues Cirillo &amp; Taleb (2016, 2019), Clauset (2018) showing Pinker @sapinker statement on decline of wars is total BS. @BillGates shd read the scientific literature before peddling Pinker&#8217;s flawed journalistic book. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/1171960638882467845 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/1171960638882467845 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172119245389553665\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:06 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Good news: Jon Entine and the Genetics Literary Project are designed to intimidate and smear GMO skeptics. They kept spread articles on yours truly. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1172111865616490496 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1172111865616490496 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1172117863265701894\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:00 AM &#8211; 12 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@financequant Got a big laugh in my class this afternoon. &#8220;In most sciences if reality and the model don&#8217;t match, then the model is deemed wrong. In economics that&#8217;s taken as evidence that there is something wrong with reality.&#8221; Thing is, I wasn&#8217;t trying to be funny. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/financequant\/status\/1171942740273369089\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:24 PM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Excellent news. 40 years of sanctions&#8230; Enough unnecessary tensions. Had bureaucrats been involved, the 30 year war would have lasted 300 years. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JenniferJJacobs\/status\/1171812365576409088 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/JenniferJJacobs\/status\/1171812365576409088 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171889997504569346\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Il faudrait le traduire en francais. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171884272715800577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:32 PM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb France is listening to the idea that IQ is largely a fraud. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LePoint\/status\/1171826033294741505 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/LePoint\/status\/1171826033294741505 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171876255114911744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:00 PM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A French essayist watched me during a twitter fight.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/SAFf1rdMeO\"> pic.twitter.com\/SAFf1rdMeO<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171749166810374144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:35 AM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In Brazil met a fellow who plants trees for paper; claimed the 000s trees he planted yuuugely help the environment. STATIC ANALYSIS: when you buy a book they cut a tree. DYNAMIC ANALYSIS: when you buy a book, they plant a tree for 5-15 years. Use paper! Similar to ergodicity. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171739789760049152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:58 AM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Since @davidgraeber is a target of Quilletbeciles, here is some information about their intellectual standards. <a href=\"https:\/\/threadreaderapp.com\/thread\/1171507313045209088.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/threadreaderapp.com\/thread\/1171507313045209088.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171734388805181445\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:37 AM &#8211; 11 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I celebrate a certain class of events (Bolton&#8217;s demise, Pinker&#8217;s new BS) by drinking \u0421\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 \u0448\u0430\u043c\u043f\u0430\u043d\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435, the only think left from the Soviet Union that still makes sense. Or rather, by taking a few celebratory sips then switching to vodka, arak, pastis. <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sovetskoye_Shampanskoye \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Sovetskoye_Shampanskoye <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/tututpouet\/status\/1171511489871536132 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/tututpouet\/status\/1171511489871536132 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171569430213603329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:41 PM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In one word, you get Steven Pinker @sapinker and the Mickey Mouse version of Western thought. Never read anything about the enlightenment by anyone (1) insufficiently trained in Greek\/Latin, (2) not familiar w\/medieval thought, (3) not familiar with theology (comes with (2)) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/_benoux_\/status\/1171520517586636802 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/_benoux_\/status\/1171520517586636802 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171523133485895689\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:37 PM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Another reminder that @charlesmurray is a fake scholar, without even going into his Bell Curve. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1162105686848880640 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1162105686848880640 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171517614163521536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:15 PM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb There goes my diet! Forgot about this plan to have champaign on the day Bolton is out. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Bardiaexe\/status\/1171490805283901440?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Bardiaexe\/status\/1171490805283901440?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171494839545761793\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:45 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb That&#8217;s the NYT. Trump not looking for regime change in Iran.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/8HwaHJsI7d\"> pic.twitter.com\/8HwaHJsI7d<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171486849350529025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:13 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Thank you. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realdonaldtrump\/status\/1171452881729228802 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/realdonaldtrump\/status\/1171452881729228802 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171457692361035780\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:17 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NonMeek Transitivity of correlation abused. An #Offshorecomic strip idea sparked by @nntaleb #correlation #IQ #transitivity #SocialSciences For more visit <a href=\"https:\/\/buff.ly\/2FtBAIE \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/buff.ly\/2FtBAIE <\/a>\u00a0 Buy my here <a href=\"https:\/\/buff.ly\/2NQzbjY \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/buff.ly\/2NQzbjY <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/OjwHIxzsup&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/OjwHIxzsup <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1171457083520110594\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:15 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb IQ does not PREDICT career success. Now that I have the data, found the R^2 close to 0.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/NmZiaK22xN\"> pic.twitter.com\/NmZiaK22xN<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171413901969375233\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:23 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb THE CURSE OF DIMENSIONALITY: Better presented in a Log Log Plot. 15-25 dimensions exceed the computational capacity of the planet. DNA has 000s dimensions.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/UpK4TW1Dkm\"> pic.twitter.com\/UpK4TW1Dkm<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171411440386891776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@satyakatla What contrasts Taleb frm information theorists (ITs), IMHO, is that he does math mystical, finds physical significance, which I don&#8217;t see amongst my wireless (who does mechanically) and IT folks. I&#8217;ve had learned more math just by following Taleb than any coursework I had taken. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/satyakatla\/status\/1171403615510175744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Rates do not reflect probability but expectation: &#8220;recessions&#8221; can take many values. This is BS. Will add to the paper on the flaws in binarizing forecasts (cc:@spyrosmakrid ) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LizAnnSonders\/status\/1171392223595905024 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/LizAnnSonders\/status\/1171392223595905024 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171397787038208001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:19 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb THE CURSE OF DIMENSIONALITY: it always shows up. Here I illustrate it with norms. Curse of dimensionality is what I used to show how 1) polygenic scores are a monstrous fraud, 2) GMO analyses don&#8217;t work, etc.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/DAR8M4bTFv\"> pic.twitter.com\/DAR8M4bTFv<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171396996214775809\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:16 AM &#8211; 10 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@QuintusCurtius Great thread. See @nntaleb rip into this historically-inaccurate, agenda-driven depiction of St. Augustine, who was of either Punic (i.e., Phoenician) or Berber ancestry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1166786776259878912 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1166786776259878912 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/QuintusCurtius\/status\/1171107746168672262\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:06 AM &#8211; 9 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 22 years of fighting for that simple point, everyone understands except social scientists, GMO shills, and ignorant risk peddlers . 22 years: How many fraudsters such as nudgeboy @r_thaler or Phil-the-rat Tetlock @PTetlock should we go through before we get that point? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171057988695744512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:49 AM &#8211; 9 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb From 1997 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JerryCap\/status\/1171051074775654401 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/JerryCap\/status\/1171051074775654401 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171052773565181952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:28 AM &#8211; 9 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Voila The volume increases from 4\/3 to 2^3<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/kY2A3MoFkI\"> pic.twitter.com\/kY2A3MoFkI<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1171025306934812673\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:39 AM &#8211; 9 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Added the tutorial on norms to the book (Chapter 3) to show what happens with higher moments of distributions.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/yvxQaalInx\"> pic.twitter.com\/yvxQaalInx<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170852692475953152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:13 PM &#8211; 8 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb David Blaine just tore a deck of cards in half \u2014a real deck.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/JL97MMuiY3\"> pic.twitter.com\/JL97MMuiY3<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170819344214974465\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:00 PM &#8211; 8 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A lot of pencilwits didn\u2019t get that it does not mean people always do things for money; it just means that those who are doing somthing \u201cnot for the money\u201d don\u2019t go out of their way to inform you of that fact. Blocked a bunch. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170816614884921344\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:50 PM &#8211; 8 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When someone says \u201cI am not doing it for the money\u201d he (she) is doing it only for the money. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170742156023275521\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:54 AM &#8211; 8 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@QustnEverything Over 10 years since the last recession\u2014this is a reason to be cautious; not complacent. From @nntaleb \u201cThe Black Swan\u201d<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Kr86v3xZJC\"> pic.twitter.com\/Kr86v3xZJC<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/QustnEverything\/status\/1170736220365832192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:30 AM &#8211; 8 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The most humiliating moment: had (a long) dinner afterwards with the 3 cousins who spoke no English. Tried babbling in Portuguese, with help from a few Negronis, two caipirinhas &amp;, of course, wine. At the end one of them complimented me: \u201chow come you speak Spanish?\u201d <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170618811785142273\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:44 AM &#8211; 8 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Because \u03bc\u03b5\u03c1\u03ac\u03ba\u03b9 I see as &#8220;soul in the game&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GreekEtymology\/status\/1170467531955609605?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GreekEtymology\/status\/1170467531955609605?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170469745331769344\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:51 PM &#8211; 7 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PHILOLOGY DU JOUR Question: Is there a connection between the Greek \u03bc\u03b5\u03c1\u03ac\u03ba\u03b9 , the Lebanese mara2, (meaning enjoying some activity for its own sake, not the Arabic \u0645\u0631\u0642 meaning chicken broth), and the Turkish Merakl\u0131? If so, where is the root coming from? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170423638245425152\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:48 PM &#8211; 7 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@EmersonSpartz It\u2019s pure laziness to think procrastination is caused by laziness. \u201cProcrastination is the soul rebelling against entrapment.\u201d -@nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/EmersonSpartz\/status\/1170384124235919360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:11 AM &#8211; 7 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Dunya guzeli <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ahmadzada_ulkar\/status\/1170239184029782017 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ahmadzada_ulkar\/status\/1170239184029782017 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170338799450296322\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:11 AM &#8211; 7 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Brazilian cousins Rubens Taleb, Rogerio Taleb, &amp; namesake Nassim Taleb came to the conference.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/VgwkbXBZ9v\"> pic.twitter.com\/VgwkbXBZ9v<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1170140433441275904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:03 PM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@apas .@nntaleb-like vignette.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/LOtKNASgk6\"> pic.twitter.com\/LOtKNASgk6<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/apas\/status\/1170079097629921282\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:59 PM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NavariniLorenzo Italian ambassador to Austria, Sergio Barbanti, is citing @nntaleb&#8217;s Black Swan for opening a seminar on diplomat Nigra in Vienna! I guess that the lindy effect is, slowly, working<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7yUTE0zfQJ\"> pic.twitter.com\/7yUTE0zfQJ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NavariniLorenzo\/status\/1170034829376794625\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:03 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DrGeneCallahan Over-optimizations: Sterilized kitchens Avoidance of all possible allergens with kids Weight machines that isolate a muscle Work schedules with no slack Economies with no downturns @nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DrGeneCallahan\/status\/1170012441436205056\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:34 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In all fairness from the 70s to the late 90s, NY was not good-but-crap, rather crap-but-great. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169990754653102081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:08 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@thackerpd 1 5 Switching gears: Brief lecture on how #Monsanto tracks and works to counter reporters such as @sfoucart @stephanehorel @tristanwaleckx @gaellombart Document shows #Monsanto strategy w\/ help from PR firm @PublicisGroupe to counter #MonsantoPapers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.documentcloud.org\/documents\/6382792-Monsanto-Response-to-LeMonde.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.documentcloud.org\/documents\/6382792-Monsanto-Response-to-LeMonde.html <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/TJzO8ddpT3&#8243;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/TJzO8ddpT3 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1169941589227163648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:53 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In the &#8220;CRAP BUT GOOD&#8221; category, there is an expression about Paolo Maluf: &#8220;Maluf steals but delivers&#8221; as he kept being reelected in spite of accusations of corruption. Electors preferred a good thief who happens to be a doer to an honest idiot IYI. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JacopoBambino\/status\/1169927189128777728?s=20 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/JacopoBambino\/status\/1169927189128777728?s=20 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169932855515983872\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:18 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Keep trying, blind idiots. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/techreview\/status\/1169921428969480192 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/techreview\/status\/1169921428969480192 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169931355905544194\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:12 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Don&#8217;t judge a city by bureaucratic criteria like traffic jams, cleanliness, safety, etc., but by something deeper in the soul of the place. Jobim:\u201cMorar em Nova Iorque \u00e9 bom, mas \u00e9 uma merda; morar no Rio \u00e9 uma merda, mas \u00e9 bom.&#8221; (&#8220;NY is good, but crap. Rio is crap but good&#8221;) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169926561509851136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:53 AM &#8211; 6 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A lot of (tasty) meat in the Republica Federativa do Brasil.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/eDBlIoLfg3\"> pic.twitter.com\/eDBlIoLfg3<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169785259178647552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:31 PM &#8211; 5 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Churrasco Brasileiro<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/jhwLDIMiWv\"> pic.twitter.com\/jhwLDIMiWv<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169647160192688129\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:23 AM &#8211; 5 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Correction: Sao Paolo is pronounced like the French \u201csaon\u201d. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169603143606427650\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:28 AM &#8211; 5 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sao Paulo Don\u2019t be fooled by the orthography. \u201cSao\u201d is pronounced \u201csan\u201d, Joao like the French \u201cjean\u201d, can\u00e7ao like the French \u201ccanson\u201d.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/iC48aBofAr\"> pic.twitter.com\/iC48aBofAr<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169600272009764864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:16 AM &#8211; 5 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Sidley Austin did nothing \u201cillegal\u201d. But smearing, targeting, mobbing, and lying are UNETHICAL practices. Unacceptable! Boycott\/Blacklist Sidley Austin. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1169556720089214976 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1169556720089214976 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169558633253888000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:31 AM &#8211; 5 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@adrianaleboss @BLebnene<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/H5mLTHRH6i\"> pic.twitter.com\/H5mLTHRH6i<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/adrianaleboss\/status\/1169482501041131521\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:28 PM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@JoshHochschild This price is back. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1156891266220773377 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1156891266220773377 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/JoshHochschild\/status\/1169442606851547138\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:50 PM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Mangan150 Why is Vegetable Oil in EVERYTHING? | The History and Corruption Behind Processed Oils <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/OGLwGOvvWeg \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/youtu.be\/OGLwGOvvWeg <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Mangan150\/status\/1169404216797872128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:17 PM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you have been employed by someone (Trump, Hillary, or Joey The Knife) as a personal assistant, it is yuugely unethical for you to ever divulge what you saw or heard in that capacity. (Except, of course, if you are subpoenaed, witnessed murder, were asked to commit a crime&#8230;) <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169374462774587393\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:19 PM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ishirubi It&#8217;s September now. Usually, habitually I still buy notebooks and pens for myself. This year it&#8217;s different. Grabbed the book for a second round, reading preface, chills chills chills. Looks like I forgot a lot since January. Here we go! #rereadincerto #FooledbyRandomness<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/6sGwFyqXZE\"> pic.twitter.com\/6sGwFyqXZE<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ishirubi\/status\/1169339274183024640\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:59 PM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Prof_BearB Following in the footsteps of Cirillo and Taleb (2016) and Clauset (2018), I hasten to note :-) Thank you, and thanks for the shout-out! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrCirillo\/status\/1169333423380541443 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrCirillo\/status\/1169333423380541443 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Prof_BearB\/status\/1169334188614438912\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:39 PM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If these finance \u201cacademics\u201d could predict they would not be academics. The only thing they know is how to become academics. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/financialtimes\/status\/1169227337449312257 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/financialtimes\/status\/1169227337449312257 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169245999635804160\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:49 AM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BjRG2tVnuO\"> pic.twitter.com\/BjRG2tVnuO<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169187021874749440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:54 AM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you lose money, it can be bad luck. It you blow up, it is certainly incompetence. #FooledbyRandomness <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169183236511150081\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:39 AM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Exactly. If you lose money, it can be bad luck. If you blow up, it is never bad luck. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mightykaos41\/status\/1169061510339014656 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/mightykaos41\/status\/1169061510339014656 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1169181306233720832\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:32 AM &#8211; 4 Sep 2019<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; Absence of Evidence Is Not Evidence of Absence (Hattip Dave Lull) @nntaleb We had DNA evidence that the ancient Egyptian ruling class came from the North. Socks-with-scandals places them somewhere around what is now Central Germany. https:\/\/twitter.com\/rabihalameddine\/status\/1176247307341164544 \u00a0 Permalink 2:55 PM &#8211; 23 Sep 2019 @nntaleb 3) People have no problem getting Nietzsche, Le [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[986,1748,1751,756,1745,1747,570,1749,1750,1014,1746],"class_list":["post-9050","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-ayn-rand","tag-bolton","tag-brasil","tag-dawkins","tag-evolutionary-biologists","tag-mosquitos","tag-nate-silver","tag-nudgeboy","tag-pencilwits","tag-pinker","tag-quilettebeciles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9050"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9050\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9057,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9050\/revisions\/9057"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9050"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}