{"id":9013,"date":"2019-04-23T23:37:01","date_gmt":"2019-04-24T06:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=9013"},"modified":"2019-04-23T23:38:07","modified_gmt":"2019-04-24T06:38:07","slug":"tetlock-payoffs-urbanism-arbitrage-estonia-iq-localism-assange-psychology-christakis-belgrade-nate-silver-pinker-aoc-peterson-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2019\/04\/tetlock-payoffs-urbanism-arbitrage-estonia-iq-localism-assange-psychology-christakis-belgrade-nate-silver-pinker-aoc-peterson-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Tetlock, Payoffs, Urbanism, Arbitrage, Estonia, IQ, LOCALISM, Assange, Psychology, Christakis, Belgrade, Nate Silver, Pinker, @AOC , Peterson | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image is-resized\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118239730305363968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/20190416squid-ink-place-in-Beirut.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9015\" width=\"528\" height=\"569\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/20190416squid-ink-place-in-Beirut.jpg 720w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/20190416squid-ink-place-in-Beirut-278x300.jpg 278w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 528px) 100vw, 528px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">With the owners of the squid ink place in Beirut (one of whom was a classmate).<br><br>The best so far this season! <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/Phf0NRRn1K\">pic.twitter.com\/Phf0NRRn1K<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118239730305363968?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 16, 2019<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1112715864850128898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/20190401jed_trott.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-9017\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/20190401jed_trott.png 640w, https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/..\/media\/20190401jed_trott-300x169.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-twitter wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Although I will miss him and his brusque, affable manner I fully support <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@nntaleb<\/a>&#39;s choice to become a monk and I look forward to reading the fruit of his contemplation. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2BKHXiK3cU\">pic.twitter.com\/2BKHXiK3cU<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Jed &#39;Sixteen Tons&#39; Trott (@Jed_Trott) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1112715864850128898?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 1, 2019<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n@nntaleb 15 years ago, I went into psychology trying to figure out how humans misunderstand probability. All I figured out is how psychologists don\u2019t understand probability.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120728878727737344\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:39 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@Jaffer22915438 Our great ally&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marwa__osman\/status\/1120712087255252993 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/marwa__osman\/status\/1120712087255252993 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1120728500997115904\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:37 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb More precise &#038; accurate representation of the mistake; fixed typos.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Z2lqshFo3y\"> pic.twitter.com\/Z2lqshFo3y<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120704128626438145\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:01 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Cleaner @ptetlock&#8217;s (Phil the rat) mistake. [more precise] Science is hard Risk is hard.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Z3VYClErdD\"> pic.twitter.com\/Z3VYClErdD<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120703064825061376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:56 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Exact Distribution of different types of payoffs &#038; their conflation in the verbalistic psychology literature. [ref to my bone with @Ptetlock and the forecasting gurus who live on a salary (nonprofit)]<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7LH5Xz9VWi\"> pic.twitter.com\/7LH5Xz9VWi<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120683109681377280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;If you worry about your reputation you don&#8217;t deserve to have one.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb #reputation  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1120587068894216192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:15 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@mikeandallie 4\/4 understanding @nntaleb &#8216;s recent paper here is also critically important to understanding what can go wrong when you approximate financial markets with brownian motion: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117456873605742592 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117456873605742592 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mikeandallie\/status\/1120403625187205121\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:06 PM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Markers of aging: 1- You stop learning something new 2- You talk too much about aging 3- The things you forget aren&#8217;t the things you should be forgetting  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120399443310804992\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:50 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Why I call @Ptetlock a rat. He SIGNED on this paper then renegged &#038; stabbed me in the back WITHOUT even contacting me (to get forecasting contracts).<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/qxnjM8yKVT\"> pic.twitter.com\/qxnjM8yKVT<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120385305289400320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:54 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Can someone ask @michaelshermer to explain the equations he is commenting on? Twitter is not generous with BS vendors. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/michaelshermer\/status\/1120363967358963714 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/michaelshermer\/status\/1120363967358963714 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120367450531536897\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:43 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb I am Christian. I live 11 miles from Salafis. I have skin in the game. And I tell you in past 10y Shiites paid a horrible price. Same during Ottoman era.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120332110491996161\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Actually&#8230; Shiites! They paid the heaviest price. Salafis have been butchering them without much outcry. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cernovich\/status\/1120162013857161218 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/cernovich\/status\/1120162013857161218 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120318565364711424\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:28 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@normonics To @nntaleb\u2019s point: you can only learn from an academic how to be an academic   Instead of conveying embodied knowhow from a place of deep understanding, an academic will formulate answers to \u201cessay questions\u201d and \u201cexplain his reasoning\u201d in order to keep his GPA up <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hostageklller\/status\/1119367322379202562 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/hostageklller\/status\/1119367322379202562 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1120311722638757888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:01 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Typo: the integration is over any subset of A.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120308813154930688\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:50 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb At the center of my problem with Phil &#8220;the rat&#8221; Tetlock @Ptetlock is only a matter of&#8230;elementary calculus upon which EVERYTHING in his &#8220;forecasting&#8221; work is built. Elementary.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Dn67PIPOz4\"> pic.twitter.com\/Dn67PIPOz4<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120306070495342592\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:39 AM &#8211; 22 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebQuotes Decline starts with the replacement of dreams with memories and ends with the replacement of memories with other memories.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebQuotes\/status\/1120201248785833984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:42 PM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;When you define yourself as &#8220;localist&#8221;, nobody frames you in the &#8220;partisan&#8221; box; both the &#8220;left&#8221; &#038; the &#8220;right&#8221; take you for one of them.  The only people in favor of centralization are lobbyists, bureaucrats, &#038; DC parasites.  Yet the world is centralizing.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1120168154896973825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:31 PM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Where I show situations (very common in real life) where you NEED to be a poor forecaster to do well in life and business, and vice versa. [Long proofs]  (with Some comments on the &#8220;scholarship&#8221; of the dishonorable Phil &#8220;the rat&#8221; Tetlock @PTetlock)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/4Qhnclxlwt\"> pic.twitter.com\/4Qhnclxlwt<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1120095993452814336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:44 PM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@sustain05 &#8220;Many have the illusion that builders used Euclidean geometry. We are lucky they didn&#8217;t: Euclidean geometry only entered architecture in modern times &#8230;causing the ugly nonfractal structures we have today.&#8221; ~ Nassim Nicholas Taleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/zPSyBz6Fz7\"> pic.twitter.com\/zPSyBz6Fz7<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/sustain05\/status\/1120067698665361414\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:52 PM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@GOATProfessor Seeing Holy Week tweets about Jesus being persecuted by \u201cWhite patriarchy\u201d of the Roman Empire. That is false history and this piece from @nntaleb shows the problematic nature of that claim. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GOATProfessor\/status\/1120010776108867584\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:05 AM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;We are prone to epidemics of fallacies (scientism, universalism, academism, psychosociologism, stateworshipism), but not epidemics of wisdom, as nature  filters out those with bad immune system.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1119989451332235264\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:41 AM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Happy Palm Sunday for those who celebrate it today.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119937115863830530\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:13 AM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb We should have a plan to eliminate Google. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1119831495529594882 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/1119831495529594882 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119894462774349824\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:23 AM &#8211; 21 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@kpchand07 I would urge you to read about IQ as it is a discredited and pseudo-science technique. Many &#8220;studies&#8221; checking country level IQ&#8217;s use &#8220;proxy&#8221; tests to establish IQ. IQ itself is information-less.  @nntaleb has written in this area: <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/kpchand07\/status\/1119684080604368896\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:27 PM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb THE CARPENTER FALLACY In our Precautionary Paper we warn against using &#8220;experts&#8221; in biology to get tail risks of GMOs, even if they aren&#8217;t shills: just as a carpenter is not the one to use to compute probabilities of tail payoffs at a roulette table. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Benjami47068297\/status\/1119594805422624768 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Benjami47068297\/status\/1119594805422624768 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119596874963591169\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:41 AM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Our current system (urbanism) is incapable of learning from its mistakes. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.baconsrebellion.com\/wp\/antifragile-urbanism-skin-in-the-game-and-building-what-works\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.baconsrebellion.com\/wp\/antifragile-urbanism-skin-in-the-game-and-building-what-works\/ <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119595929554833408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb No! Rationality is more rigorous than shallow @R_Thaler BS <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/how-to-be-rational-about-rationality-432e96dd4d1a \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/how-to-be-rational-about-rationality-432e96dd4d1a <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119589907943624704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Bil L\u00e9bn\u00e9n\u00e9 (In Lebanese):  Iza sh\u00e9ra3t l fehm\u00e9n ana brba7                Iza sh\u00e9ra3t l finnas huww\u00e9 byerba7 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114185871841026049 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114185871841026049 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119563907230773248\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:30 AM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@bWestenra &#8220;There is no such thing as &#8216;rationality&#8217; of a belief, there is rationality of action.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb, via @rorysutherland  6\/12  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/bWestenra\/status\/1119534772831887360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:34 AM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@dianadarke #NotreDame #Architecture #Europe #Syria Acknowledging Europe&#8217;s debt to earlier cultures &#8211; via a recent interview with @TheNationalUAE <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thenational.ae\/arts-culture\/qalb-loze-inside-the-syrian-church-that-influenced-notre-dame-s-architecture-1.851385 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.thenational.ae\/arts-culture\/qalb-loze-inside-the-syrian-church-that-influenced-notre-dame-s-architecture-1.851385 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/dianadarke\/status\/1119531509566902272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:21 AM &#8211; 20 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Cc:@spyrosmakrid  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119202651357372418\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:34 AM &#8211; 19 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb #Lindy  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119192496398065665\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:54 AM &#8211; 19 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb This is more technically, a RE-conversion. At least, the way converts themselves present it. And ironically it may be the result of and reaction to Wahabisms. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/Middle-East\/Muslims-convert-to-Christianity-in-Syrian-town-once-besieged-by-ISIS-587021 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.jpost.com\/Middle-East\/Muslims-convert-to-Christianity-in-Syrian-town-once-besieged-by-ISIS-587021 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119058914560172033\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:03 PM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The problem of these Middleburry idiots is that by attacking and muzzling @CharlesMurray they made a hero out of a mountebank (and, as far as his report of my encounter with him, a bald-faced fabricator). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NAChristakis\/status\/1118995502408671234 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/NAChristakis\/status\/1118995502408671234 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1119038598085582853\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 PM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Obama, many of the destroyed Syrian churches and monuments PRECEDE Notre Dame. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/sahouraxo\/status\/1118945629517099009 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/sahouraxo\/status\/1118945629517099009 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118990613267898368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:32 PM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Arbitrage boundary<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/dsJGLqqxaE\"> pic.twitter.com\/dsJGLqqxaE<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118981294996754444\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@GregorySMcMurry According to the De Broglie\u2013Bohm theory  <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/De_Broglie%E2%80%93Bohm_theory \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/De_Broglie%E2%80%93Bohm_theory <\/a>&nbsp; Black Swan Man is correct. Any information that we could possibly obtain from the past wouldn&#8217;t help us because there are nonlocal hidden variables uniting our present &#038; the past into one totality <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1118861754015080449 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1118861754015080449 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GregorySMcMurry\/status\/1118976988096663558\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:37 PM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Better have these just OK, plus friends\/family, plus ability to sleep well, than be a hot shot, billionaire, or King. @VerginDen has is right. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/1118868537706205186 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/1118868537706205186 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118914175516987392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:28 AM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Estonia. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/graafik\/status\/1118832590432215041 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/graafik\/status\/1118832590432215041 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118872647964745728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:43 AM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@black_swan_man #blackswanman #theblackswanman @elonmusk #blackswanmobile #timetravel #flaneuring #AmorFati<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/bVNkdyV05s\"> pic.twitter.com\/bVNkdyV05s<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1118861754015080449\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:00 AM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@ThomasGrava La vraie diff\u00e9rence en politique n&#8217;est pas une gradation &#8220;droite&#8221; vs &#8220;gauche&#8221; mais plut\u00f4t &#8220;Grecque&#8221; vs &#8220;Romaine&#8221;. &#8220;Grecque&#8221; pr\u00e9f\u00e9rant la th\u00e9orie \u00e0 la pratique. &#8220;Romaine&#8221; pr\u00e9f\u00e9rant la pratique \u00e0 la th\u00e9orie.  (Th\u00e9orie de la &#8216;D\u00e9centralisation Fractale&#8217; @nntaleb)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/HL8VbFTiRE\"> pic.twitter.com\/HL8VbFTiRE<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ThomasGrava\/status\/1118831458758668288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:59 AM &#8211; 18 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Alas&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/tulsigabbard\/status\/1118503155581407232 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/tulsigabbard\/status\/1118503155581407232 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118532856362483712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:13 AM &#8211; 17 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Ship of Theseus. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/imleslahdin\/status\/1118349975606325248 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/imleslahdin\/status\/1118349975606325248 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118356745242411008\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:33 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb ENTROPY DU JOUR The information content of your tweet is a (very) nonlinear function of the probability a subject NOT being discussed, or the language used not being bland &#038; common. Same for conversation. Same for everything. Especially business.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/2dYRqWnbJk\"> pic.twitter.com\/2dYRqWnbJk<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118332795665960960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:58 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;The problem isn&#8217;t being on a salary. The problem is enjoying it.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb #money  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1118298532614680579\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:42 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 5 They don&#8217;t tell you that you are more likely + to learn a foreign language in a bar than in a classroom + to learn mathematics while trading than doing homework + that schoolteachers are a great model of what not to become when you grow up  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118272590416613376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:58 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb I am surprised it is taking so long before someone finds in Hugo&#8217;s novel Notre Dame de Paris (The Hunchback of ND) a sentence that vaguely predicts yesterday&#8217;s fire.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118262567003197446\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:19 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb With the owners of the squid ink place in Beirut (one of whom was a classmate).  The best so far this season!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Phf0NRRn1K\"> pic.twitter.com\/Phf0NRRn1K<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118239730305363968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:48 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb With the owners of the squid ink place in Beirut (one of whom was a classmate).  The best so far this season!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Phf0NRRn1K\"> pic.twitter.com\/Phf0NRRn1K<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118239730305363968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:48 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@FattestFatTony The pencil necks dont understand, @nntaleb is what the Jamaicans call a #Shotta&#8230;  Likkle man, nah test nah #Shotta&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1118226014113607681 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1118226014113607681 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/FattestFatTony\/status\/1118238590524379136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:43 PM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@StillmanMD Doctors aren&#8217;t just #fooledbyrandomness, they&#8217;re taken for a ride by lying #BigPharma! @normonics @nntaleb @trishankkarthik @FattestFatTony <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JAMAInternalMed\/status\/1118167592710103043 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/JAMAInternalMed\/status\/1118167592710103043 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/StillmanMD\/status\/1118221666256134144\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:36 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 4  That debt helps growth &#038; &#8220;innovation&#8221; (promoted by bankers) + Neither the Industrial Revolution (Brittain) nor the technological one (Silicon Valley) were financed by debt. + Debt is for wars, crony capitalism, bailing out friendly companies.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118206429805056000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:36 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@EthanHBellamy Love this from @nntaleb. I\u2019m the Chairman Mao of parenting.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/O5HeNnQVan\"> pic.twitter.com\/O5HeNnQVan<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/EthanHBellamy\/status\/1118167962651729920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:03 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb SCHOLARSHIPS FOR WOMEN &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;- Scholarships are available for women &#038; Syrian students (&#038; others from similar places) for the 11th program, RWRI-11, June 24-28 in NYC Please mail a (short) CV to the coordinator.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118154495345725441\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:09 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb In general, when people selfstyle themselves &#8220;entrepreneur&#8221;, &#8220;polymath&#8221;, or something of the sort, they&#8217;re not. Real entrepreneurs calls themselves &#8220;restaurant chain CEO&#8221;, &#8220;Ski equipment manufacturer&#8221;, &#8220;kidney imaging importer&#8221;&#8230;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118121535154335745\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:58 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Pedophrasty,  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Politics_and_Ethics_under_Uncertainty \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Politics_and_Ethics_under_Uncertainty <\/a>&nbsp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavidBCollum\/status\/1118117227285426176 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DavidBCollum\/status\/1118117227285426176 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1118118528228503552\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:46 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@tripoli187 So what are you trying to imply? That northern euros can lay claim to Mediterranean &#038; near eastern civilisations of ancient antiquity, when culturally &#038; racially they were not the same people &#038; played no role?  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/tripoli187\/status\/1118050011097395202\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:14 AM &#8211; 16 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@normonics &#8220;A paper should be written like a car manual not a f#*$in chapter in a romance novel&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1117863606920646658\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:53 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@NonMeek Learning about #IQ by turning @nntaleb teachings into cartoons. Simplifying to under 50 words without losing any content is hard. I hope I nailed it [IQ correlates, part 1 of x]. #science #psychology<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ZuubQI8YIX\"> pic.twitter.com\/ZuubQI8YIX<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NonMeek\/status\/1117860424924274688\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:41 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Never pathologize (bounded) failure. Pathologize the refusal to try.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117853007121661952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:11 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb This imbecile doesn\u2019t get that in real life one is not paid in frequency but in dollars. Fail frequently, stay convex. Learn to fail. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/michaelskolnik\/status\/1117788896321048577 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/michaelskolnik\/status\/1117788896321048577 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117852359441256448\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:09 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 2) Phil the Rat Tetlock @ptetlock would probability spread &#8220;criticism&#8221; by fortune tellers if he found any. Here is how fake the article is. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116317447307526148 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116317447307526148 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117827536304713730\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:30 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 1) Academia is suicidal. In order to discredit me &#8220;Phil the rat&#8221; @Ptetlock (&#8220;repeatedly stab a friend in the back Phil tetlock&#8221;) spreads a linkbait written by a phantom &#8220;mathematician&#8221;, which he didn&#8217;t read (he didn&#8217;t realize there is NO fat tails in the discussion).<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/jLLQi7FkH0\"> pic.twitter.com\/jLLQi7FkH0<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117827026285670407\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:28 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The point is that people who f***ck with you online don&#8217;t dare to do so offline.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117825561349509120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:22 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Why is it that people are surprised to NOT find an ogre when they run into me offline?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/9f6uTUXJ0d\"> pic.twitter.com\/9f6uTUXJ0d<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117823866984902658\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:15 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;Without skin in the game:  Smart drug dealers become pharmacopsychiatrists;  smart astrologists become economists;  smart serial killers write for the Wash Post;  smart bullshitters become &#8220;experimental&#8221; psychologists;  and smart bankrobbers become bankers.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1117822566096355328\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:10 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@holland_tom \u201c#Naples is the most mysterious city in Europe, the only city of the ancient world which didn\u2019t perish like Troy, Nineveh or Babylon. It\u2019s the only city in the world which didn\u2019t drown in the huge shipwreck of ancient civilization. Naples is a Pompei which was never buried.\u201d  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/1117797451157708800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:30 AM &#8211; 15 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@JamesMarsh79 This is what @nntaleb has been saying <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/humanprogress\/status\/1117600681219772416 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/humanprogress\/status\/1117600681219772416 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/JamesMarsh79\/status\/1117604054652391427\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:42 PM &#8211; 14 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Typos<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5KkDwNJPDS\"> pic.twitter.com\/5KkDwNJPDS<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117456873605742592\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:57 AM &#8211; 14 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb MATHEMATICAL FINANCE DU JOUR A robust method for tail option pricing.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5LqIcg6Lth\"> pic.twitter.com\/5LqIcg6Lth<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117441903258214403\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:58 AM &#8211; 14 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@n_santama Last week, we had the great luck of visiting Baalbek\/Heliopolis (Greek for &#8220;Sun City&#8221;), a city inhabited uninterruptedly for 8-9000 years! It is built in the Bekaa valley, between the (still snowy) spectacular Eastern &#038; Western Mountain ranges of Lebanon 1\/9&#8230; #Baalbek #Lebanon<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Bm4KiN90M2\"> pic.twitter.com\/Bm4KiN90M2<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/n_santama\/status\/1117157609050726402\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:08 PM &#8211; 13 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@MccluskyMark Super cool outcome of @nntaleb\u2019s #rwri is the fun connections it\u2019s led to, from complexity scientists like @normonics, rebel authors like @GuruAnaerobic, nocturnal philosophers like @trishankkarthik, market decoders like @mikeharrisNY and global oil magnates like @SeloSlav.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Cw8hsfvV9J\"> pic.twitter.com\/Cw8hsfvV9J<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/MccluskyMark\/status\/1117149750401351680\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:37 PM &#8211; 13 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb And in Lucky Luke (a French cartoon), Averell Dalton is the most stupid.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/zlzFUvpkj8\"> pic.twitter.com\/zlzFUvpkj8<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117099984686604288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:19 AM &#8211; 13 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@AhsanDeliri I was wondering why @nntaleb is under so much noisy baseless attacks. Then it hit me. He studies the root of all fields in life. Risk under uncertainty. His works touch on medicine, politics, economics, business, health, nutrition, entrepreneurship, information theory.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/AhsanDeliri\/status\/1117090061617471488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:39 AM &#8211; 13 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Typo<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/9wv47TkMGS\"> pic.twitter.com\/9wv47TkMGS<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117042364126773250\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:30 AM &#8211; 13 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb INVERSE QUIZ DU JOUR Is there a mistake of exposition? Or it is my derivation that is wrong.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/FmoTKLq7NI\"> pic.twitter.com\/FmoTKLq7NI<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1117040056269668352\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:21 AM &#8211; 13 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntalebbot &#8220;In poor countries, officials receive explicit bribes; in D.C. they get the sophisticated, implicit, unspoken promise to work for large corporations&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1116846074814246917\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:30 PM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@paulportesi Is it just me or is there an inordinate amount of noise directed at @nntaleb. It seems like record levels. Coming from every direction. He must be doing something right and striking a nerve. He&#8217;s agitating the enemy.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/paulportesi\/status\/1116843756265676800\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:21 PM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@inlukka Light green shows the natural boundaries of the union.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7Qpk3KwuVE\"> pic.twitter.com\/7Qpk3KwuVE<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/inlukka\/status\/1116775297230299136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:49 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@ozmudurvekili dear mr taleb the newly elected secular mayor of izmir wants to establish a mediterranean union pls rt &#038; show support <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/izmirbld\/status\/1115903326636445698 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/izmirbld\/status\/1115903326636445698 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ozmudurvekili\/status\/1116770312585207811\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:29 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@ggreenwald The only 2 times I can remember establishment liberals like @HillaryClinton and @SenSchumer uniting with and cheering Trump Admin is when (a) he bombed Syria and (b) they indicted Assange (Schumer also cheered moving embassy to Jerusalem). That says a lot about their values.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ggreenwald\/status\/1116739128803172353\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:25 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The Ancient Egyptians represented females as light skinned, males as dark. Simply, sun exposure. [Met in NY] In 19tn C. Damascus, women were never exposed to the sun, with shielded inner gardens. To &#8220;stay white and avoid aging&#8221; (&#8220;la tdalla bayda w ma tja33\u00e9d&#8221;)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/UDrBPgbXr8\"> pic.twitter.com\/UDrBPgbXr8<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116703924919197697\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:05 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 13) The National IQ\/Skills regression. This charlatan, the researcher @GarettJones wants us to believe in *race=intelligence* but is not intelligent enough to hide from us the data points. You can draw a line of any slope into this. (cc:@EconTalker)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/JuB9pl9wp1\"> pic.twitter.com\/JuB9pl9wp1<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116702508871761921\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:00 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@Brilliant_Ads True story<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/kkI1V2so4p\"> pic.twitter.com\/kkI1V2so4p<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Brilliant_Ads\/status\/1116686704637874176\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:57 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@NateAFischer For years I\u2019d seen @PeterRex do things that defied conventional wisdom but produced extraordinary results. In Antifragile @nntaleb helped me understand the rationale behind these actions. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/peterrex\/status\/1116399308750725121 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/peterrex\/status\/1116399308750725121 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NateAFischer\/status\/1116685396312842242\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:52 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 12) My latest details in the busting of &#8220;correlation&#8221; IQ-something. I noted that when I saw the graphs book by mountebank @CharlesMurray IQ is uninformative under nonlinearity.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/VbeyCPbyTG\"> pic.twitter.com\/VbeyCPbyTG<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116684622874775554\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:48 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb And if you need to refer to race, use the 3 ROBUST geographical designations: Caucasian (i.e. Western Eurasian), Subsaharan, East Asian, (not more than 4).  &#8220;White&#8221; is indicative of purity, not race.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116675772301881350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:13 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The first time we used &#8220;ergodic&#8221; in connection with the Precautionary Principle was in an unpublished paper with Aaron Brown in 2013. Before we knew of @ole_b_peters. But we didn&#8217;t formulate the math then. Earlier, presented in Fooled by Randomness. cc:@yaneerbaryam @normonics<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/cnBjxX8T04\"> pic.twitter.com\/cnBjxX8T04<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116671284283346949\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:55 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb By &#8220;Nordicist&#8221; I mean Northern European supremacists.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116667506893176833\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:40 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Don&#8217;t use &#8220;White Supremacist&#8221;. Use Nordicist. Please. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116665877259223041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:34 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 11) David Becker is the source of the study: quite alarming handwaving with clueless statistics. In later papers they use &#8220;proxies&#8221; to obtain IQ.  The author of the article is @JamesPsychol James Thompson, a nonacademic psychologic with SINISTER obsessions.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Nu9w5Kj0Zr\"> pic.twitter.com\/Nu9w5Kj0Zr<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116650258749116419\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:32 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb This is good news: people learning to take ergodicity into account for dynamics !!!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/MP5G4138Iv\"> pic.twitter.com\/MP5G4138Iv<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116645039415922693\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:11 AM &#8211; 12 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Re: Roger Scruton. Why I no longer do interviews with UK journalists. Nobody should. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-facts-are-true-the-news-is-fake-5bf98104cea2 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116510249832341504\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:16 PM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@Firsou This is the thinnest building in Beirut, Al-Ba3sa aka &#8220;The Grudge&#8221;. It&#8217;s two feet wide at minimum and was built by one brother who wanted to obstruct another&#8217;s view of the sea. Is there a place for building out of spite in the eternal way @normonics ?<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Ltgk5l0K9L\"> pic.twitter.com\/Ltgk5l0K9L<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1116480780463685633\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:18 PM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 10) One can raise IQ points by 2 STF just by training, so it can&#8217;t be genetic.  PS- I&#8217;ve been getting 1000s of such messages since I&#8217;ve posted the IQ piece by Nordist supremacist trolls. Incidentally, my &#8220;co-ethnics&#8221; score high on the test.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/o6VWleKybQ\"> pic.twitter.com\/o6VWleKybQ<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116421163675213829\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:22 PM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb LOCALISM One person to a life partner:\u201dI deal w\/ mundane matters: where to live, what to eat, where to educate the children, etc. You focus on centrally important ones: geopolitical relations, tensions w\/Russia, future of technology&#8230;\u201d  Let the State do the *important* things&#8230;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116404692844720128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:16 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@ddelruss People need to stop with IQ &#8211; NNT has already very publicly shown why it should not be used. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116342266195476481 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116342266195476481 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ddelruss\/status\/1116374756679389189\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:17 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 9)  I am gently asking @zerohedge to retract that piece. Now.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116344485351497729\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:17 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 6) Fail to get that growth is not driven by AVERAGE but by EXTREMES that depend on variance 7) Even if effect is as claimed, it is drowned into variance to make it usuable as immigration policy. 8) It is IMMORAL to emprison people in fake boxes!!! My PIECE <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116344146766200832\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:15 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 2) ALL of these studies fail to account for cultural aspects of testing. 3) Main researcher @GarettJones doesn&#8217;t know what NOISE means. 4) Similar previous &#8220;research&#8221; did same for Irish, Southern Slavs, etc. who have now caught w\/rest 5) A few data points can flip IQ\/Performance!  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116343264167321600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:12 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb WARNING: 1\/n @ZeroHedge published a post on &#8220;country IQ&#8221; meant to justify that some races are &#8220;genetically inferior&#8221;, hence bound to remain poor because of genetic defects. 1) The article was written by a charlatan, James Thompson using shoddy statistics (see my Medium piece) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116074860449619968 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116074860449619968 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116342266195476481\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:08 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@DineshDSouza Think of all the stuff we wouldn\u2019t know without Assange. He was our media when we had no media to speak of. And we still don\u2019t! Give the man a medal @wikileaks  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DineshDSouza\/status\/1116332104558817285\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:28 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb REAL WORLD RISK SCHOLARSHIPS &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;- Scholarships are available for women &#038; Syrian students (&#038; others from similar places) for the 11th program, RWRI-11, June 24-28 in NYC Please mail a (short) CV to the coordinator.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">http:\/\/www.realworldrisk.com <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116321974924525569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:47 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@derek_j_morris Confirmed it myself<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/R5lZKLzzcT\"> pic.twitter.com\/R5lZKLzzcT<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/derek_j_morris\/status\/1116320549557428227\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The interesting thing is that it took one single @Wolfram Mathematica command to prove *by theorem* that the 2000K article in @NautilusMag  is fraudulent and the author an impostor.  One single command. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115684446081040386 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115684446081040386 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116317447307526148\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:29 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb N7na zghar, w b3yun l a3ad\u00e9 kbar Hinn\u00e9 khashab 7awr, n7na lalkhashab minshar W7y\u00e9t Zamzam wTiiba w l nab\u00e9 l mkhtar Ma bnebn\u00e9 l deir illa min 7ajar 3akkar! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116093721597050880 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116093721597050880 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116295279483871232\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:01 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Today, they made Jullian Assange a martyr.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116294496109703168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:58 AM &#8211; 11 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Study something old but not visibly useful (classics), something modern and useful (accounting, coding), never something new and not visibly useful.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116180326680858624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:25 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@42cohen @nntaleb Exactly. I&#8217;ve repeatedly tutored students who were struggling and, simply by updating their &#8220;software&#8221; and creating real-world motivation, achieved psychometrically implausible results. Huge variance above 100 IQ renders it useless + dangerous.  <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 <\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\" <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/PwTMeShlfU\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/PwTMeShlfU&#8221;> <\/a>&nbsp;pic.twitter.com\/PwTMeShlfU<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/42cohen\/status\/1116161727345901568\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:11 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The problem with the IQ-race quacks like @StefanMolyneux is that their talking points are designed to deal w\/humanities schoolteachers. So a quack with the intellect of a guacamole dip like Molyneux who can&#8217;t tell a correlation from a fountain pen is a spokesman for &#8220;science&#8221;.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ZT5NIzRnkZ\"> pic.twitter.com\/ZT5NIzRnkZ<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116116074578288640\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:09 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Mediterranean cultures actually have tall shaming. &#8220;homo lungus raro sapiens&#8221;, &#8220;tawil habil&#8221;, &#8220;Troppo lungo non fu mai buono&#8221;, &#8220;Uomo lungo, testa corta&#8221; etc.  See Reich (2018) @Steve_Sailer  The closer to old settled societies, the more tall shaming. Reverse in roaming hunters <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Steve_Sailer\/status\/1116090455706333184 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Steve_Sailer\/status\/1116090455706333184 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116093721597050880\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:40 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The beauty of physics is that it can rigorously predict things nobody has seen before, before the emergence of any empirical evidence.  Compare to fraudulent fields like psychology that overfit from naive &#8220;empirical evidence&#8221; to predict nothing. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NSF\/status\/1115964620186030080 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/NSF\/status\/1115964620186030080 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116088494152142848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:20 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Bil Aram\u00e9 kif  \u05d5\u05dc\u05d9 \u05e2\u05de \u05e0\u05d2\u05d0\u05e8\u05e8\u05d1 \u05e0\u05db\u05ea\u05d1 \u05d1\u05dc\u05d7\u05e8\u05e4 \u05dc\u05d0\u05e8\u05d0\u05de\u05d0\u05d9 \u05e9\u05d5 \u05d1\u05d9\u05ea\u05dc\u05e2 \u05de\u05e0\u05e0\u05d0 \u05dc\u05e9\u05e2\u05dc\u05d0\u05d9?  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116066680868954114\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:53 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Jarrab\u00e9t \u00e9ktob Ll\u00e9bn\u00e9n\u00e9 bl 3arab\u00e9. Ma 3am tmsh\u00e9! Bl Latin\u00e9 a7san bktir. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116061453235228673 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116061453235228673 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116064091095932929\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:43 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb \u0647\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0621 \u0627\u0632\u0627 \u0643\u062a\u0628\u0646\u0627 \u0628\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0641 \u0647\u064a\u062f\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0645\u0634\u064a \u0627\u0645\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0645\u0634\u064a\u061f \u0643\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0646\u0643\u062a\u0648\u0628 \u0644\u00e9\u061f \u0648\u0644o\/ou?  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116061453235228673\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:32 PM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Finally!!! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/eastmedmonitor\/status\/1116031424967204865 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/eastmedmonitor\/status\/1116031424967204865 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1116037723855286272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:58 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@DrCirillo A little preview of the forthcoming paper on &#8220;violence&#8221; with @nntaleb.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5dGLRHAPiN\"> pic.twitter.com\/5dGLRHAPiN<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DrCirillo\/status\/1116033504205254656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:41 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Excited to get the book of @NAChristakis as I am trying to go deeper into the notion of fractal (multiscale) localism &#038; see what&#8217;s wrong w\/my thesis: It isn&#8217;t individuals vs societies but fractal gradations, each w\/specific dynamics, (contra the selfish gene philosophastering)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/gbTxHrOKpu\"> pic.twitter.com\/gbTxHrOKpu<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115984690673065988\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:27 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 2019 Things to do list! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/francispouliot_\/status\/1115968097121259521 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/francispouliot_\/status\/1115968097121259521 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115977022852014080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Medicine and Risk Transfer  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38762815\/Medicine_and_Risk_Transfer?source=swp_share \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38762815\/Medicine_and_Risk_Transfer?source=swp_share <\/a>&nbsp; via @academia  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115954663197687810\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:28 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;When you say something you think are just saying something, but you are largely communicating why you had to say it.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1115945058891644928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:50 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@LieraMarco L\u2019asimmetria nel trasferimento di rischi nella medicina.  \u201cMi stai prescrivendo le statine perch\u00e9 mi fa bene o perch\u00e9 vuoi evitare che i miei eredi ti facciano causa?\u201d E altri esempi.  Problema molto americano e (ancora) poco italiano. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115282291704594432 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115282291704594432 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/LieraMarco\/status\/1115944661363957762\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:48 AM &#8211; 10 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Squid ink<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/eD1X3qQMU6\"> pic.twitter.com\/eD1X3qQMU6<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115760732459675648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:37 PM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@normonics Both globalism AND nationalism are monolithic *absorbing* identities, smoothing over and homogenizing where there ought to be rich variety <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1115754308052705284\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:12 PM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Dear @NautilusMag you are in severe violation of journalistic ethics (and competence) in the piece &#8220;Nassim Taleb\u2019s Case Against Nate Silver Is Bad Math&#8221; . You should check with a non-phantom professional before publishing something as elementarily erroneous.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/oQej2yIG4D\"> pic.twitter.com\/oQej2yIG4D<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115684446081040386\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:34 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Dear @NautilusMag you are in severe violation of journalistic ethics (and competence) in the piece &#8220;Nassim Taleb\u2019s Case Against Nate Silver Is Bad Math&#8221; . You should check with a non-phantom professional before publishing something as elementarily erroneous.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/oQej2yIG4D\"> pic.twitter.com\/oQej2yIG4D<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115684446081040386\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:34 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@RandPaul A balanced federal budget isn\u2019t a pie-in-the-sky dream or empty rhetoric. Once again, I am introducing a concrete plan that is achievable. Learn more here:  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.paul.senate.gov\/news\/dr-rand%C2%A0paul-introduces-%E2%80%98pennies-plan%E2%80%99-balanced-budget \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.paul.senate.gov\/news\/dr-rand%C2%A0paul-introduces-%E2%80%98pennies-plan%E2%80%99-balanced-budget <\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\" <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/JiWyxb558b\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/JiWyxb558b&#8221;> <\/a>&nbsp;pic.twitter.com\/JiWyxb558b<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RandPaul\/status\/1115628039755399168\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:50 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@MilenaRodban My fellow Americans, the tax preparation industry and its powerful lobby are abominations that continue to wield undue influence over our lives. We must unite against it. <a href=\"https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/tech-policy\/2019\/04\/congress-is-about-to-ban-the-government-from-offering-free-online-tax-filing\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/tech-policy\/2019\/04\/congress-is-about-to-ban-the-government-from-offering-free-online-tax-filing\/ <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/MilenaRodban\/status\/1115615261187629063\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:59 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@KendraSirak I&#8217;m getting excited for our session #AncientDNAinServiceofArchaeology to be held at #SAA2019. Looking forward to seeing many of our colleagues from both archaeology and genetics on Friday (4\/12) from 1-5pm in 110 Galisteo (session 253) @JakobSedig<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/vQdbVgTj4U\"> pic.twitter.com\/vQdbVgTj4U<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/KendraSirak\/status\/1115607366676897794\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:28 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@thackerpd Province gave $720K to fired chief medical officer Eilish Cleary  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/new-brunswick\/eilish-cleary-health-settlement-1.4191543 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/new-brunswick\/eilish-cleary-health-settlement-1.4191543 <\/a>&nbsp; Radio-Canada took Health Department to court to make severance information public &#8220;When fired, Cleary was studying #glyphosate, a controversial herbicide used extensively in New Brunswick&#8221;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1115603266585485312\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:12 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@Monsantobuster Taleb&#8217;s is a peer-reviewed published paper. If it was &#8220;wrong&#8221;, why didn&#8217;t pseudomathematician Clayton (who has NO publications) write to journal?  It is shameful that academics spread this smear campaign by Nate Silver ag. Taleb Paper here:  <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1703.06351.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1703.06351.pdf <\/a>&nbsp; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1115602357289541633\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:08 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@ektrit I owe it to Taleb @nntaleb to understand that ethno-orthodoxy is basically Single God Paganism, you know, Christ helps only my people, not yours. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1115583251458985984 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1115583251458985984 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/1115584423909629952\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:57 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;Paganism is decentralized theology.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1115583251458985984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:52 AM &#8211; 9 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The asymmetry comes from the fact that someone very very incompetent will be incompetent at everything. Someone competent at something may be domain specific. That raises correlation IQ-performance between .12 and .4  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115431143673860102\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:48 PM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Did you read my paper, Mr Caroll to decide whether he knows anything about it?  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115319205191200768\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:23 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Rest in Peace, Tony, a year later. (Fellow trader Anthony Glickman, aka rabbi Ozer Glickman).  &#8220;Life is long gamma&#8221;, he said. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/markric41763223\/status\/1115302776307896321 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/markric41763223\/status\/1115302776307896321 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115308608286265345\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:41 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@spyrosmakrid Nassim&#8217;s originality and insights always surprises me even when he makes a simple comment for a medical paper. @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115282291704594432 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115282291704594432 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1115298951744430080\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:02 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Medicine and Risks, a comment invited  by @spyrosmakrid<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/VJRvfup5aS\"> pic.twitter.com\/VJRvfup5aS<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115282291704594432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:56 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Visibly, people are now getting my point. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/crimsonceo\/status\/1115238408690053122 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/crimsonceo\/status\/1115238408690053122 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115258508994387968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Humanities degrees are very valuable (w\/o ideological professors), provided it is complemented with real world apprenticeships (accounting, etc.) . It is degrees in psychology and social &#8220;science&#8221; full of theories that are not just worthless but work in reverse. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/greekhistorypod\/status\/1114966071746994178 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/greekhistorypod\/status\/1114966071746994178 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115233228426764288\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:41 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb IQ not even useful for clinical cases:\u2203 targeted tsts. A Serbian doctor who works w\/dementia\/Alzheimer reached out to say my IQ post was circulating in his circles (&#038; psychologists hate it): Doctors use dementia-specific cues; nothing to do with IQ. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/KourdaN\/status\/1115209819449974784 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/KourdaN\/status\/1115209819449974784 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115211121613578240\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb More general case, the proportion<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/K1rT6KBmpy\"> pic.twitter.com\/K1rT6KBmpy<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115209863397822464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:08 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb The point of adding dead people to your sample is to show the effect of the asymmetry: 1) it you hit someone on the head w\/a hammer, he will be bad at everything (hence correlation), 2) there is no reverse equivalent. So IQ effects come from borderline clinical people.  GAbish?  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115193783145123840\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:04 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@MacDBollinger Mr Taleb @nntaleb I must recommend you and your followers to watch Youtubechannel Swedish Investors excellent graphic summary of your books. Fantastik work!  @InvestorSwedish <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ZEesADB0Jk0&#038;list=PLI84Sf0aDgaw-Wy93jPAw4gcNxzNwpP9s&#038;index=3 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=ZEesADB0Jk0&#038;list=PLI84Sf0aDgaw-Wy93jPAw4gcNxzNwpP9s&#038;index=3 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/MacDBollinger\/status\/1115185479538835456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:31 AM &#8211; 8 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Cleaned up on the plane home between twitter arguments.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ROQpNofqyU\"> pic.twitter.com\/ROQpNofqyU<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115034113600303105\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:30 PM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Some analytics on the ride home from #LibertyCon19: IQ #RacePeddlersIgnorantofProbabilitySuchAsTheQuackPeterson don&#8217;t get the effect of the equivalent of adding dead people to your sample.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/vWIq5rCPQn\"> pic.twitter.com\/vWIq5rCPQn<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1115021175254659077\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:38 PM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb QUIZ If you include 20% dead people in IQ tests, what will the minimum correlation IQ\/performance be if the rest is random? #nonlinearity  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114977580053147648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:45 PM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Delta\u2019s olive oil is olive oil. Air France\u2019s is 65% seed oil. When you hire \u201cmanagers\u201d w\/o the filtering of SITG, they cut corners (Boeing, Air France, paper quality for publishers) and save pennies. But the manager improved \u201cprofitability\u201d. Like short tail options for a tick.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/zPtnR1gSJD\"> pic.twitter.com\/zPtnR1gSJD<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114972561765470210\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:25 PM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@mikeandallie 2\/2 This passage, from Taleb&#8217;s The Statistical Consequences of Fat Tales especially comes to mind.  I think 10 years ago I would have read and just moved on, now I&#8217;m finally starting to better understand the way of thinking this passage describes<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BMI1N3ROmG\"> pic.twitter.com\/BMI1N3ROmG<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mikeandallie\/status\/1114919935371882496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:56 AM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@mikeandallie 1\/2. I\u2019m rereading When Genius Failed &#8211; probably for the 30th time &#8211; because I like to understand decision making under stress.  As I read it this time I have a better understanding of how much I\u2019ve learned from @nntaleb in the last decade<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/uAsNhRpxt3\"> pic.twitter.com\/uAsNhRpxt3<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mikeandallie\/status\/1114919469829193728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:54 AM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb This is exactly what I presented at #LibertyCon19: Liberty applies to all scales. No entity (s.a. what this idiot is advocating) should ever impose a national identity on your group, regardless of whether you&#8217;re wrong abt your own history (&#038; we&#8217;re not). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/7ossain1\/status\/1114814847672377351 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/7ossain1\/status\/1114814847672377351 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114905024751112192\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:57 AM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Indeed modernity is stripping some people of their dignity. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/pravind_paul\/status\/1114771835508277250 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/pravind_paul\/status\/1114771835508277250 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114794198392291329\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:37 AM &#8211; 7 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Indeed, Steve Stuart-Williams is a charlatan. He knows it because he keeps posting unrigorous cherrypicked IQ propaganda. These techniques are NOT predictive.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7j70nPUiOQ\"> pic.twitter.com\/7j70nPUiOQ<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114658834365190151\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:39 PM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@NachoOliveras Indeed. The presenter mentioned round-up (gliphosate) and GMOs as an example of anti-science scaremongers in his punchline. Just remember @nntaleb heuristic for any shill conflating the two on a public platform, works as magic! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/NachoOliveras\/status\/1114170782979174401?s=19 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/NachoOliveras\/status\/1114170782979174401?s=19 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NachoOliveras\/status\/1114624859877904384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:24 PM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@vacimovic Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb &#038; Branko Milanovic @BrankoMilan &#8211; lecture and conversation in Belgrade. #LibertyCon19<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/CmHUR0KbAe\"> pic.twitter.com\/CmHUR0KbAe<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/vacimovic\/status\/1114609836468187136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:24 PM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@pietercleppe .@nntaleb at #LibertyCon19 Belgrade: In its well-known cartoon, The @NewYorker conflates economists and bureaucrats with real experts, pilots, who have &#8220;skin in the game&#8221;<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/dMAbl23rWK\"> pic.twitter.com\/dMAbl23rWK<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/pietercleppe\/status\/1114549861179908096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:26 AM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@d_pavlovic Belgrade: @nntaleb and @BrankoMilan discuss risk, skin in the game, and income inequality.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/cBhQlfI04q\"> pic.twitter.com\/cBhQlfI04q<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/d_pavlovic\/status\/1114549354076020736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:24 AM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb My cousin @GeorgeJNasr started a #Flaneuring hashtag. It should have strict rules: NOTHING TOURISTIC. A flaneur is the reverse tourist. See touristification in #Antifragile. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114298575394103296 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114298575394103296 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114520388325847041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:29 AM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Debating @BrankoMilan in about 1 \u00bd  hours <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/petitemilica\/status\/1113809022447247360 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/petitemilica\/status\/1113809022447247360 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114507054713122816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Tail Option Pricing Under Fat Tails &#8212; A deceivingly simple but yuuuuugely robust model. Where we show that the methods used to claim that &#8220;tail options are expensive&#8221; are highly unrigorous.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QMn3qdc7Tv\"> pic.twitter.com\/QMn3qdc7Tv<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114506305933328385\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:33 AM &#8211; 6 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Exactly. I have been debating Branko who holds DIAMETRICALLY opposed opinions because he is a scholar. Probability is technical and Silver is not a scholar. One does not debate BS vendors.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114322103627595776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:21 PM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntalebbot &#8220;In science you need to understand the world; in business you need others to misunderstand it.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntalebbot\/status\/1114309276351250443\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:30 PM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Belgrade is full of charm &#038; a great flaneuring city. Perfect size (`1m), some parts are renovated, others look like they have been forgotten by history, which makes them mysterious, real, and at times, gripping. Food is \u2153 Ottoman, People look 3\/8 Ottoman Marvelous<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/xzI3BXVpSx\"> pic.twitter.com\/xzI3BXVpSx<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114298575394103296\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:47 PM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Thread by Dhruv who is the other researcher who got the same result I did. Unlike Bullshit Nate, he doesn&#8217;t have 3 mil twitter followers. Jut ~ 50. His paper is on the thread. He is more polite than me with Bullshit Nate, but same result. @EconTalker <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DhruvMadeka\/status\/1114252281636098049 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DhruvMadeka\/status\/1114252281636098049 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114291123466510338\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:18 PM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb @BrankoMilan&#8217;s school windows have mesh and lattices.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114284881264218112\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:53 PM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Branko\u2019s elementary school in the background. I observed that it looked like a jail. He wasn\u2019t thrilled with my comment.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/CYxRgWUWo5\"> pic.twitter.com\/CYxRgWUWo5<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114219399219531776\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 10:33 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb \u0645\u0627 \u062c\u0627\u062f\u0644\u062a \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u063a\u0644\u0628\u062a\u0647, \u0648\u0645\u0627 \u062c\u0627\u062f\u0644\u062a \u062c\u0627\u0647\u0644\u064b\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u063a\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114185871841026049\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:19 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@lkcashin Watching Bayer stock tumble is a thing of beauty. Monsanto is a cancer upon the earth. Biodiversity suffers in every region Monsanto stretches its dirty tentacles and GMF&#8217;s are an environmental time-bomb in the making. @nntaleb #fuckmonsanto #goorganic #Cancer #gm  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/lkcashin\/status\/1114178392738410498\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:50 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Bullshit Nate, you can fool your audience, not professionals. <a href=\"https:\/\/towardsdatascience.com\/why-you-should-care-about-the-nate-silver-vs-nassim-taleb-twitter-war-a581dce1f5fc \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/towardsdatascience.com\/why-you-should-care-about-the-nate-silver-vs-nassim-taleb-twitter-war-a581dce1f5fc <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114160149512577025\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@spyrosmakrid The M4-Competition using 100,000 series, comparing 61 F\/cing methods was followed by the M4 F\/cing Conference in NYC where its findings were presented Now a special issue of IJF with 33 papers on all aspects of M4 from top academics and practitioners from big tech firms @fotpetr<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QcihLtbaq3\"> pic.twitter.com\/QcihLtbaq3<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1114159760595615747\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:36 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb J2b haplogroup epicenter is Serbia.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BeADCT4mN2\"> pic.twitter.com\/BeADCT4mN2<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114159326137147392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:34 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb How Silver thinks he can bullshit us.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/DJcAj9vKRL\"> pic.twitter.com\/DJcAj9vKRL<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1114158257914904576\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:30 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@Jaffer22915438 Ase, I have attended 4 RWRI and discovered that most of the people that go understand AF &#8220;up to a point&#8221;&#8230; And get lost in theory. Practical AF needs to be a topic&#8230; obviously associated with complexity and risk. other topics: AI, entrepreneurship; localism, etc.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1114144602783723520\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:35 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;Bureaucracy is a construction designed to maximize the distance between a decision-maker and the risks of the decision.&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1114128358554701825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:31 AM &#8211; 5 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@black_swan_man #blackswanman #theblackswanman #Mandelbrot #fractals #chaos<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/nSLnoWesJn\"> pic.twitter.com\/nSLnoWesJn<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1113864621037953024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:03 AM &#8211; 4 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 3  The &#8220;law of large numbers&#8221; almost never works for socioeconomic variables. See Chapters 6-8. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/THE_STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/THE_STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113833317852483585\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:58 AM &#8211; 4 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@GMWatch New Brunswick&#8217;s chief medical officer was working on a study on #glyphosate when she was suddenly put on leave and then fired. Dr. Cleary had already said that she and her staff concurred with the IARC finding that glyphosate was a probable carcinogen  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gmwatch.org\/en\/news\/archive\/2015\/16587-dr-eilish-cleary-is-fired-while-studying-glyphosate \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.gmwatch.org\/en\/news\/archive\/2015\/16587-dr-eilish-cleary-is-fired-while-studying-glyphosate <\/a>&nbsp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GMWatch\/status\/1113691587232579586 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/GMWatch\/status\/1113691587232579586 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GMWatch\/status\/1113815134424662016\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 7:46 AM &#8211; 4 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Adriatic squid ink (risotto)<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ynX3ltI0Lp\"> pic.twitter.com\/ynX3ltI0Lp<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113797656860610560\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM &#8211; 4 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb My lectshur will be on localism and convexity. My debate with Branko is on ergodic vs static equality. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113752043179728896\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:35 AM &#8211; 4 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb In Belgrade for flaneuring with my former ex-Ottoman (&#038; ex-Byzantine) compatriots @BrankoMilan and @PredragBrajovic, and to debate Branko at #LibertyCon19  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113751057862221825\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:31 AM &#8211; 4 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@NeilNRockville I just got through that section of Antifragile, and it blew my mind that he predicted it so closely,  then I looked back at it in retrospect and it was clear why it was so predictable&#8230;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NeilNRockville\/status\/1113603337847484416\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:45 PM &#8211; 3 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb LOCALISM:  Why tribal links are important for survival &#038; fail w\/abstract universalism: you&#8217;d rather love your child w\/intensity 1 &#038; save her from drowning > love 1000 strangers each w\/intensity .001 ALL Nonlinearities lead to convex effects #antifragility <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113591622040793088\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:58 PM &#8211; 3 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 2  Semitic &#038; Indo European languages appear to BOTH emerge from the same area in the Caucasus-Zagros-Anatolia, owing to proximity of agricultural vocabulary &#038; similar original pop. genetics. Current linguistic categories are unrigorous. @Safaitic  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113567111408959490\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:21 PM &#8211; 3 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 101 BS THINGS TAUGHT TO STUDENTS, 1  That correlation is a measure of relationship betw 2 variables.  It is very rarely so. Few understand how correlation requires 1) no subsampling, 2) strict linearity&#8230; and its interpretation is nonlinear: 90% correlation >>>  80%.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/9fCv0f6YXJ\"> pic.twitter.com\/9fCv0f6YXJ<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113566110367002624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:17 PM &#8211; 3 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@kiwiandroiddev This article calls to mind @nntaleb&#8217;s Antifragile: \u201cRedundancy is ambiguous because it seems like a waste if nothing unusual happens. Except that something unusual happens \u2013 usually.\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/boeing-aerospace\/a-lack-of-redundancies-on-737-max-system-has-baffled-even-those-who-worked-on-the-jet\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.seattletimes.com\/business\/boeing-aerospace\/a-lack-of-redundancies-on-737-max-system-has-baffled-even-those-who-worked-on-the-jet\/ <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/kiwiandroiddev\/status\/1113346533368356864\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:44 AM &#8211; 3 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Damn good.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QD0rF32l7z\"> pic.twitter.com\/QD0rF32l7z<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113139836351807490\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 11:03 AM &#8211; 2 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@holland_tom Huge thanks to @nntaleb for his kind words&#8230; #Dominion <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LaraHeimert\/status\/1113104190014984194 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/LaraHeimert\/status\/1113104190014984194 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/1113111833131483136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 9:11 AM &#8211; 2 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb And, BTW, the only enterprise that did fail more than &#8220;secular Arabism &#8221; under a centralized state over the past century is perhaps the attempt to make a collection of pigs sing the Latin version of Te Deum in a syncronized way in a Gothic Cathedral.  But not sure.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113038277802590209\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 4:19 AM &#8211; 2 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb OVERT CLUELESSNESS These croissants are bought for ~$.40 to $.80. The markup comes from the monopoly given to the concession.  @AOC is the logical empiricist&#8217;s nightmare. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AOC\/status\/1112739837822582784 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/AOC\/status\/1112739837822582784 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1113025173693911041\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 3:27 AM &#8211; 2 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb High time to make my decision public. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1112715864850128898 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1112715864850128898 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112742350667821057\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:43 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb There is no depth in Peterson. A modicum of insight wrapped in marketing BS, unrigorous psycholophastering (IQ, Big 5, 5 humors) masquerading as scholarship.  In short, a quack. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/amconmag\/status\/1112741408979353601 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/amconmag\/status\/1112741408979353601 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112742152688336896\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:42 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb Booked a table! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Toni_Bader93\/status\/1109188645955792897 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Toni_Bader93\/status\/1109188645955792897 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112731782208765953\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 8:01 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb These dumb fucks at @metmuseum were trying to illustrate their theories of &#8220;Middle East identity&#8221; showing a Hellenistic sarcophagus from Sidon with&#8230; Greek inscriptions on it.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112696716564881418\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 2\/ Since ~1100 BC Phoenicians (then &#8220;Lebanese&#8221;) have been the MOST MEDITERRANEAN of pples: look at food\/behavior\/looks. But since 1860 some low-Intellect Westerners (Arabists &#038; founders of AUB, etc.) have decided de-Mediterraneanize (initially de-Ottomanize) to satisfy &#8220;identity&#8221;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112695744601952256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:38 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@trishankkarthik Everyone should drop what they&#8217;re doing, and read this paper right now  Sometimes doctors have independently discovered special applications of this idea (e.g., ventilation machine), but it surprises me that they haven&#8217;t tried applying the same idea more generally (e.g., cancer) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112694075084472320 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112694075084472320 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1112695336185806848\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:36 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/tQimRV7n5M\"> pic.twitter.com\/tQimRV7n5M<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112694169829605376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:32 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb 1 \/2  That is the idea of statistical distribution of harm #Antifragility \/second order effects in Medicine.   <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1808.00065.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1808.00065.pdf <\/a>&nbsp; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1112528982807904256 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/trishankkarthik\/status\/1112528982807904256 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112694075084472320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:31 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb IDENTITY MONGERS &#8220;Art and Identity in the Ancient Middle East&#8221;  at @metmuseum: Edward Said-style identity mongers proceed to destroy the notion of cosmopolitan localism\/Mediterraneanism of the Phoenicians. It shows the horrors of non-localist Nationalism. 1\/n<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/AT4U1TW0zK\"> pic.twitter.com\/AT4U1TW0zK<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112690030135398400\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:15 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@VergilDen On this April 1st morning I\u2019m reminded of that time years ago when @nntaleb &#038; I were in Italy and we deadlifted, rented a Black Swan Lambo &#038; tore up Rome. Then we drove up the coast to meet Umberto Eco at his Villa. We perused  his antilibrary &#038; ate squid ink pasta. Good times.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/SRwykqA3Fb\"> pic.twitter.com\/SRwykqA3Fb<\/a>  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/VergilDen\/status\/1112642427192393729\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 2:06 AM &#8211; 1 Apr 2019<br><br> \n@Gore_Burnelli One of the habits I&#8217;ve acquired from reading @nntaleb&#8217;s books is to always be skeptical whenever an academic declares a working system to be &#8220;backwards&#8221;, &#8220;medieval&#8221;.  See for example Robert Sapolsky&#8217;s take on the American criminal justice system @ 23:18 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=61tChpN3lhY#t=23m18 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=61tChpN3lhY#t=23m18 <\/a>&nbsp;  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Gore_Burnelli\/status\/1112325518337232902\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 5:07 AM &#8211; 31 Mar 2019<br><br> \n@TalebWisdom &#8220;The virtuous worry about their integrity, lesser humans (say, academics) about their reputation.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1112269212087709696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 1:23 AM &#8211; 31 Mar 2019<br><br> \n@nntaleb To become a philosopher king, start with being a king, not being a philosopher.  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1112076802300755971\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Permalink<\/a> 12:39 PM &#8211; 30 Mar 2019<br><br>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>@nntaleb 15 years ago, I went into psychology trying to figure out how humans misunderstand probability. All I figured out is how psychologists don\u2019t understand probability. Permalink 9:39 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019 @Jaffer22915438 Our great ally&#8230; https:\/\/twitter.com\/marwa__osman\/status\/1120712087255252993 &nbsp; Permalink 9:37 AM &#8211; 23 Apr 2019 @nntaleb More precise &#038; accurate representation of the mistake; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,53],"tags":[1685,1710,358,1704,1703,1706,1427,1599,570,1709,1708,1014,1258,1577,1705],"class_list":["post-9013","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-contributors","category-twitter","tag-aoc","tag-arbitrage","tag-assange","tag-belgrade","tag-christakis","tag-estonia","tag-iq","tag-localism","tag-nate-silver","tag-payoffs","tag-peterson","tag-pinker","tag-psychology","tag-tetlock","tag-urbanism"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9013","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9013"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9013\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9020,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9013\/revisions\/9020"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9013"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9013"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9013"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}