{"id":9006,"date":"2019-03-30T23:51:52","date_gmt":"2019-03-31T06:51:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=9006"},"modified":"2019-03-30T23:51:52","modified_gmt":"2019-03-31T06:51:52","slug":"entropy-monsanto-mutual-information-european-localism-correlation-leaving-ny-iq-pinker-dunning-k-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/entropy-monsanto-mutual-information-european-localism-correlation-leaving-ny-iq-pinker-dunning-k-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Entropy, Monsanto, Mutual Information, &#8220;European&#8221;, Localism, Correlation, Leaving NY, IQ, Pinker, DUNNING-K  | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/p76bQlnVuBM?rel=0\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">FINALLY PUBLISHED<br \/>How much data do you need? An operational, pre-asymptotic metric for f&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/FkS96MZjAv\">https:\/\/t.co\/FkS96MZjAv<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111362836893261824?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 28, 2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>@paulportesi Seriously I f****** love waking up to this. Entropy methods better than correlation in nonlinearities. F****** brilliant. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111966227503689728 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111966227503689728 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/paulportesi\/status\/1111975055582355456\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM &#8211; 30 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PROBABILITY DU JOUR Just to show the vast superiority of Entropy methods such as Mutual Information over correlation, and to show how correlation breaks down under nonlinearity, consider high Mutual information but &#8220;zero correlation&#8221; in the case of a straddle:<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/U6VLXFohkF\"> pic.twitter.com\/U6VLXFohkF<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111966227503689728\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:19 AM &#8211; 30 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@vonkronstadt <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/728562580583796737 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/728562580583796737 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/vonkronstadt\/status\/1111750422748950528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:02 PM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Gordon48814362 &#8220;Wittgenstein argues, among other things, that superficial grammatical similarities in the forms of both religious and factual statements mislead us into believing that they are fundamentally identical states of &#8220;belief.&#8221;&#8221; This is @nntaleb &#8216;s point, protestants got it mixed up <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Gordon48814362\/status\/1111740359372091393\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:22 PM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@CaseyBHead Americans lost confidence in political parties, public schools, courts, organized labor, banks, big business, media and other institutions because they didn&#8217;t change with society. We need to create robust, decentralized, voluntary institutions. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111606150900912128 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111606150900912128 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CaseyBHead\/status\/1111711924687900672\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:29 PM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@black_swan_man #blackswanman #theblackswanman @mises @WarrenBuffett #Greenspan @jaegerlecoultre #MarxBrothers #Moonraker<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/KTUE9ktc0l\"> pic.twitter.com\/KTUE9ktc0l<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1111694733863211009\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:20 AM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@thackerpd Roundup Trial: Monsanto Used Fake Data to Win Over Regulators <a href=\"https:\/\/www.courthousenews.com\/roundup-trial-monsanto-used-fake-data-to-win-over-regulators\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.courthousenews.com\/roundup-trial-monsanto-used-fake-data-to-win-over-regulators\/ <\/a>\u00a0 #Monsanto planted an employee at a lab to fake data Planned an attack on @IARCWHO Exploited ties at the @EPA<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/FTFSGQXQUq&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/FTFSGQXQUq <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/thackerpd\/status\/1111609904324845569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:43 AM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Institutions tend to work at their beginning. So does centralization. Then rotting starts. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111606150900912128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:28 AM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TalebWisdom &#8220;A good book gets better at the second reading. A great book at the third. Any book not worth rereading isn&#8217;t worth reading.&#8221; &#8211; Nassim Nicholas Taleb <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TalebWisdom\/status\/1111547029086453760\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:33 AM &#8211; 29 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is the free copy of the paper <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1802.05495.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1802.05495.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111377690131492865\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:21 PM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FINALLY PUBLISHED How much data do you need? An operational, pre-asymptotic metric for f&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0169207018301535 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0169207018301535 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111362836893261824\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:22 PM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FINALLY PUBLISHED How much data do you need? An operational, pre-asymptotic metric for f&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0169207018301535 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0169207018301535 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111362836893261824\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:22 PM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Question about convention in @WolframResearch&#8217;s Mathematica with the dot product vs multiplication. What is standard for X .Transpose [Y] vs X Y ? @SwedeWhite<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5kUX71o2CS\"> pic.twitter.com\/5kUX71o2CS<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111322361117200387\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:41 AM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 100% of Survival is reliability. &#8212; CNN is committing suicide. Even its partisans, those who cheer its slant on the news, will rapidly scorn it. #Lindy <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111311486922555392\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:58 AM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@fpingham Fractal localism @nntaleb @normonics ? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/1111152928725753857 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/wrathofgnon\/status\/1111152928725753857 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/fpingham\/status\/1111265374463508481\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:54 AM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb No Monsanto shill &amp; people who engage in vile smear campaigns against scientists skeptical of GMOs\/Glyphosate should remain unaccountable. Gabish? @EconTalker <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1110960948527927297 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1110960948527927297 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111229016223166466\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:30 AM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The 5 volume Incerto&#8230; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/dp\/198481981X\/ref=cm_sw_r_tw_dp_U_x_6OcNCbWCC13TJ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/dp\/198481981X\/ref=cm_sw_r_tw_dp_U_x_6OcNCbWCC13TJ <\/a>\u00a0 via @amazon <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111220627258687488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:56 AM &#8211; 28 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Antonio Spadaro, friend for 8 years, squid ink Grand Maestro.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ZPsglOkP34\"> pic.twitter.com\/ZPsglOkP34<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111060238206189568\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:19 PM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Antonio Spadaro of New Rochelle (and Sicily) , (very) proud of his squid ink risotto!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QBhJBSecPB\"> pic.twitter.com\/QBhJBSecPB<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111054879810863104\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:58 PM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The next contagion of costly virtue signaling. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-03-26\/hedge-fund-returns-300-million-saudi-investments-over-khashoggi-killing \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-03-26\/hedge-fund-returns-300-million-saudi-investments-over-khashoggi-killing <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110952756028694528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:12 AM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb To be precise, Hagia Sophia\u2019s &#8220;original&#8221; state is, technically, a church (actually, a Cathedral). <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ragipsoylu\/status\/1110840663183183872 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ragipsoylu\/status\/1110840663183183872 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110917889144557569\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:53 AM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ggreenwald The entire purpose of this 8,000-wrod @NewYorker profile was to depict me as being mentally unwell &#8211; psychologically damaged and full of rage and resentment &#8211; as the explanation for why I refused to stop questioning the undeniable truth of collusion <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/magazine\/2018\/09\/03\/glenn-greenwald-the-bane-of-their-resistance \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/magazine\/2018\/09\/03\/glenn-greenwald-the-bane-of-their-resistance <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ggreenwald\/status\/1110917515461492736\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:52 AM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@PZalloua It is here!!! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/phoenicianinst\/status\/1110914446065651713 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/phoenicianinst\/status\/1110914446065651713 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/PZalloua\/status\/1110915282787282944\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:43 AM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@mythoughtfood Proof that science is an \u00fcber slow process. &#8221; For centuries, scholars have argued over his account because there was no archaeological evidence that such ships ever existed. &#8221; Now the ship exists. Classic case of absence of evidence confused with evidence of absence @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jamie_Woodward_\/status\/1107254598169968640 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jamie_Woodward_\/status\/1107254598169968640 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mythoughtfood\/status\/1110874428978667520\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:01 AM &#8211; 27 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@CTBnutrition @nntaleb thank you for standing up to these crooks and inspiring others to do so as well.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/vCchT69n8W\"> pic.twitter.com\/vCchT69n8W<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CTBnutrition\/status\/1110711045281087488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:12 PM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@davidsarac Curiosity which leads to tinkering brings forward emergence &amp; transformation. Creativity which obsesses about novelty results in social degeneration Curiosity is underrated in current day and age, while creativity is severely overrated.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/k5qjWwoOln\"> pic.twitter.com\/k5qjWwoOln<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/davidsarac\/status\/1110587615021957120\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:01 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A Byzantine health station in North Lebanon. Two of my ancestors come from there. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/XNaheereX\/status\/1110567881866207232 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/XNaheereX\/status\/1110567881866207232 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110568975992324096\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:47 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @felhagehistoire <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110568666167271429\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:46 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A Historian showing the link between the French revolution &amp; lack of skin in the game on the part of aristocrats, who owe their initial status to the fact that they need to take risk w\/their lives for others. There is something annoying in status without risk and #skininthegame<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/2X9ATrD6sl\"> pic.twitter.com\/2X9ATrD6sl<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110567805886304256\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:42 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mutual information sheds light on why low correlations are meaningless. Things are now clearer and clearer.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/3ioccAWOIJ\"> pic.twitter.com\/3ioccAWOIJ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110552284730003463\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:41 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@GreenFuzz24 Answer to global problems and uncertainty is the total opposite: fractal localism. See: @nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/GreenFuzz24\/status\/1110552204983894017\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:40 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BEAUTIFUL DISCOVERY Unlike correlation, Mutual Information (cross entropy) is additive. On that, later. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110509239947198464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:50 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Cernovich He was the head of the CIA. That\u2019s what I take away most from the Russian collusion hoax. The power they have over human lives. How many people did Brennan have tortured based on his intel? These are evil people. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/entertainment\/ex-cia-director-john-brennan-admits-he-may-have-had-bad-information-regarding-president-trump-and-russia \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/entertainment\/ex-cia-director-john-brennan-admits-he-may-have-had-bad-information-regarding-president-trump-and-russia <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Cernovich\/status\/1110497476610392064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:03 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ektrit <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/halaljew\/status\/1110226314202677248?s=19 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/halaljew\/status\/1110226314202677248?s=19 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/1110456720063688704\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:21 AM &#8211; 26 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Confused by Correlation? <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/p76bQlnVuBM \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/youtu.be\/p76bQlnVuBM <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110279033890267136\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:35 PM &#8211; 25 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Paul Krugman @paulkrugman remains the best argument for the suspension of the &#8220;The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/greta\/status\/1110126131557085185 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/greta\/status\/1110126131557085185 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110187589573767169\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:32 AM &#8211; 25 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ektrit Current concept of &#8220;European&#8221; was conceived in the 19th century meaning &#8220;Not Muslim&#8221;, or &#8220;Not Turk&#8221;, that is why Europe is being handled as a separate &#8220;continent&#8221;, while not being an actual continent. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110132957359099907 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110132957359099907 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ektrit\/status\/1110159438672027648\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:40 AM &#8211; 25 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Stephennie Mulder @stephenniem is another one who falls for the trap of Northern European Supremacism &amp; Med denigration under cover of &#8220;diversity&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/east-med-project-history-philology-and-genetics\/the-insidious-racism-of-mary-beard-et-al-8b6b768b4575 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110144349776592899\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:40 AM &#8211; 25 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My entire book Fooled by Randomness was that the modern interpretation of &#8220;Intelligence&#8221; (as reflected in IQ tests\/school grades) seems to favor those prone to be *fooled by false patterns* over those who can intellectually grasp the notion of randomness\/absence of information. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/jeitoapp\/status\/1110128220265836545 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/jeitoapp\/status\/1110128220265836545 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110137675607101440\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:13 AM &#8211; 25 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8220;European&#8221; is a modern term, not a genetic term. &#8220;Western Eurasian&#8221; is the genetic zone, which largely contradicts her point. Why are ideological historians so ignorant? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenniem\/status\/1109795282806542336 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/stephenniem\/status\/1109795282806542336 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1110132957359099907\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:54 AM &#8211; 25 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not #Lindy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/lukeharding1968\/status\/936577757676494854 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/lukeharding1968\/status\/936577757676494854 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109974522223124480\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:25 PM &#8211; 24 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@ggreenwald Turning on Mueller and impugning his integrity and competence is the inevitable outcome &#8211; it&#8217;s the only play the Trump\/Russia devotees have &#8211; and here&#8217;s the start: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/cenkuygur\/status\/1109934811236306944 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/cenkuygur\/status\/1109934811236306944 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/ggreenwald\/status\/1109964982601555973\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:47 PM &#8211; 24 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@lebanonpics Lebanon Houses <a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/TZGqhovFkJ\"> pic.twitter.com\/TZGqhovFkJ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/lebanonpics\/status\/1109895417033043968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:11 PM &#8211; 24 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb When people get rich, they start follow the constructed preferences by the marketing industry, get hoodwinked into complicated lives&#8230; then, if they are lucky, give up. <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/only-the-rich-are-poisoned-the-preference-of-others-c35ddf65cf68 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/only-the-rich-are-poisoned-the-preference-of-others-c35ddf65cf68 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109824399803322368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:28 AM &#8211; 24 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If you explicitly understand what you *really* like, you have a yuuuge advantage in life. \u03b3\u03bd\u1ff6\u03b8\u03b9 \u03c3\u03b5\u03b1\u03c5\u03c4\u03cc\u03bd <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109822918358429696\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:22 AM &#8211; 24 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb People don&#8217;t know their preferences: they think they like large houses, but prefer to huddle in small spaces over large empty silent rooms. Never ask pple what they &#8220;like&#8221;, watch what they do. #Skininthegame <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/a-growing-problem-in-real-estate-too-many-too-big-houses-11553181782?shareToken=st3ef00990e5c44084b72a3fc0bc599e11 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/a-growing-problem-in-real-estate-too-many-too-big-houses-11553181782?shareToken=st3ef00990e5c44084b72a3fc0bc599e11 <\/a>\u00a0 via @WSJ <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109821188732305408\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:16 AM &#8211; 24 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TheBigYogurt &#8211; &#8220;any person psychopathologizing another, particularly when there is political divergence.&#8221; &#8211; Serial nitpickers &#8211; Lobbyists &#8211; Pple who answer &#8220;stick to your discipline&#8221; instead of counterargument &#8211; Someone abusing language w\/&#8221;racist&#8221;, &#8220;nazi&#8221;, etc. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TheBigYogurt\/status\/1109623698431111169\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:11 PM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TheBigYogurt &#8211; people who don&#8217;t get that tweets and aphorisms don&#8217;t need hedging &#8211; people with cute remarks on math problems &#8211; people who give unsolicited advice &#8211; people who make logical mistakes &#8211; people who represent Monsanto\/Saudi Barbaria <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TheBigYogurt\/status\/1109623392595050496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:10 PM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TheBigYogurt &#8211; Charlatans and socialists offer positive, non via negativa &#8220;solutions&#8221; &#8211; people (mostly verbalistic psychologists) w\/whom [@nntaleb] DO[es] NOT want to have an exchange because you DO[es] NOT learn\/advance from bullshit. &#8211; sophistry <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TheBigYogurt\/status\/1109623087924948993\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:08 PM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@TheBigYogurt Without further ado, a list of blockable offenses according to @nntaleb (who once blocked me, forcing me to create a new account (don&#8217;t block me bro)) Source: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%40nntaleb%20block&amp;src=typd&amp;lang=en \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/search?q=%40nntaleb%20block&amp;src=typd&amp;lang=en <\/a>\u00a0 &#8211; idiots &#8211; people who discuss @nntaleb&#8217;s tone &#8211; anyone who mentions dunning-kruger in his feed <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/TheBigYogurt\/status\/1109622662765125633\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:07 PM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@JordiLlatzer You NEVER are able to change just one square on a Rubik cube. That\u2019s how complex systems work. That is how life works. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/JordiLlatzer\/status\/1109522668271874048\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:29 AM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LouisLebbos\/status\/1018912920221241354 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/LouisLebbos\/status\/1018912920221241354 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109502825992732677\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:11 AM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For Power law, it is &#8230; worse. 2 Quadrants will have a negative correlation!<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/H8JTcEjNIz\"> pic.twitter.com\/H8JTcEjNIz<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109500453656641536\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:01 AM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Jaffer22915438 I will never stay silent about our government&#8217;s and MSM&#8217;s lust for war and will call out every pinhead jackass who lie to bring death &amp; destruction abroad. if you have a few minutes, read Taibbi&#8217;s latest: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rollingstone.com\/politics\/politics-features\/iraq-war-media-fail-matt-taibbi-812230\/amp\/?__twitter_impression=true \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.rollingstone.com\/politics\/politics-features\/iraq-war-media-fail-matt-taibbi-812230\/amp\/?__twitter_impression=true <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Jaffer22915438\/status\/1109417276774797313\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:31 AM &#8211; 23 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@NathanH48069967 As @nntaleb maintains: we need localism. &#8220;. . . you can&#8217;t fool the neighborhood. . .&#8221; &#8220;. . built a massive . . structure that . . James Howard Kunstler would later liken to a \u201cDarth Vader building\u201d. .\u201d Southern Poverty Law Center <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/news-desk\/the-reckoning-of-morris-dees-and-the-southern-poverty-law-center \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/news-desk\/the-reckoning-of-morris-dees-and-the-southern-poverty-law-center <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/NathanH48069967\/status\/1109118783787024384\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:44 AM &#8211; 22 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb An illustration of my point that &#8220;Psychology is a self-referential publishing ring&#8221;. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EPoe187\/status\/1109074623407288320 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/EPoe187\/status\/1109074623407288320 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109093660900102146\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:05 AM &#8211; 22 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Please explain &#8220;correlation&#8221;. Now. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109086716223258624\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:37 AM &#8211; 22 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The first casualy of the metric is the &#8220;Sortino ratio&#8221; used in finance.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/S8fOTTwW0R\"> pic.twitter.com\/S8fOTTwW0R<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109082729830854656\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:21 AM &#8211; 22 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Psychologists like @EPoe187 are *genuinely* convinced that theirs is a science, and that their measurements are like those in physics. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EPoe187\/status\/1108706958507458560 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/EPoe187\/status\/1108706958507458560 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1109056465145352194\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:37 AM &#8211; 22 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Mike @mikeharrisNY explains it better than anyone else. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikeharrisNY\/status\/1108837935699382277 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/mikeharrisNY\/status\/1108837935699382277 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108847602924249093\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:47 PM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb From those wondering who is the Dan from Prague, he is the one who gave me the most effective blurb ever written on the back of a book.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/qtXtYWuEYG\"> pic.twitter.com\/qtXtYWuEYG<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108846777879486464\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:44 PM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I got the intuition in 1 D, from variance.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/rAavGRIhdT\"> pic.twitter.com\/rAavGRIhdT<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108845428412420098\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:38 PM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@mikeharrisNY The way I see it: due to intricate properties of corr function, sub-sample corr cannot be inferred from sample corr when those sub-samples are not random but refer to specific ranges. Applies to IQ-income corr. Applies to finance and has fooled portfolio managers. Major discovery <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mikeharrisNY\/status\/1108837935699382277\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:08 PM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Finally found Dan from Prague. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/maircomm\/status\/1108811863431749632 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/maircomm\/status\/1108811863431749632 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108812620407164929\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:28 PM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@garyruskin Fired Quebec scientist blew the whistle on #pesticide lobby influence. Via @NatObserver @ottawacarl <a href=\"http:\/\/bit.ly\/2FhU6F8 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">http:\/\/bit.ly\/2FhU6F8 <\/a>\u00a0 &#8220;the union said he was trying to alert his superiors about attempts by industry to suppress publicly-funded science on the health effects of pesticides.&#8221; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/garyruskin\/status\/1108780529686437889\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:20 AM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This is a Monte Carlo code for replication to prove I am not hallucinating<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/G8L0JRYi4R\"> pic.twitter.com\/G8L0JRYi4R<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108746993856364545\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:07 AM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Look here: I break up a quadrant into 4 subquadrants. Correlation keeps getting lower. Reason: correlation is convex.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/GgskQcsyna\"> pic.twitter.com\/GgskQcsyna<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108742267316121600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:48 AM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Typos<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7VpTPlGpXe\"> pic.twitter.com\/7VpTPlGpXe<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108732773571923969\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:11 AM &#8211; 21 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@355BC326BC The Greek Orthodox Cathedral of Saint George, the Mother-Cathedral of the Orthodox community in the city of Beirut, Lebanon.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/athsZg0YDR\"> pic.twitter.com\/athsZg0YDR<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/355BC326BC\/status\/1108585312148557824\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:25 PM &#8211; 20 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Correlation is Weird: all non random subsamples will yield a correlation below the total one.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ZBplIjnmuX\"> pic.twitter.com\/ZBplIjnmuX<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108541435140366336\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:30 PM &#8211; 20 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@rorysutherland Cheap talk versus skin in the game! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CravenPartners\/status\/1108459626373279744 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/CravenPartners\/status\/1108459626373279744 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/rorysutherland\/status\/1108461712175448064\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:14 PM &#8211; 20 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb @SClarkeWriter <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108387075756191744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:17 AM &#8211; 20 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Cyprus = Lebanon without the egos. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/the_levantist\/status\/1108077355594104832 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/the_levantist\/status\/1108077355594104832 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108145593723944960\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:17 PM &#8211; 19 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Monsanto spent $$$ insulting science by transforming it into propaganda, smearing scientists &amp; pple like yours truly who were skeptical of their risk management. Bayer had the brilliant idea of buying Monsanto. From here on, the process is unstoppable! <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/garyruskin\/status\/1108134186236272640 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/garyruskin\/status\/1108134186236272640 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108140902709522432\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:59 PM &#8211; 19 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb #Mars2019<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ShEvg2YtTP\"> pic.twitter.com\/ShEvg2YtTP<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1108059632918884353\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:36 AM &#8211; 19 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb &#8221; Y\u00e9m7\u00e9 \u00e9smo w Zkro&#8221; is an ancient Mediterranean practice \u05d9\u05b4\u05de\u05b7\u05bc\u05d7 \u05e9\u05b0\u05c1\u05de\u05d5\u05b9 \u05d5\u05b0\u05d6\u05b4\u05db\u05b0\u05e8\u05d5\u05b9 The equivalent is &#8220;damnatio memoriae&#8221; for the Romans. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/thehill\/status\/1107970750454091776 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/thehill\/status\/1107970750454091776 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107980601808740353\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:22 AM &#8211; 19 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb My review of Stephen Clarke&#8217;s book on the French Revolution. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/s?k=Stephen+Clarke+%28author%29&amp;ref=cm_cr_srp_d_pdt_bl_sr \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/s?k=Stephen+Clarke+%28author%29&amp;ref=cm_cr_srp_d_pdt_bl_sr <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/5zKA0m3ZFd&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/5zKA0m3ZFd <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107803307127377920\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:37 PM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb So correlation, even under nonlinearities, has a strict narrow meaning. When correlation is 80% it will be insignificant in 2 quadrants (.02), and .57 in others. Even something taken for granted s.a. correlation is hard.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/wJ3XhrWljN\"> pic.twitter.com\/wJ3XhrWljN<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107802529759289349\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:34 PM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb You can see through the BS by having a single plot &#8220;IQ&#8221; vs &#8220;Age at death&#8221; with a VERY large sample (general population) without control schmontrol and all the discussions. THEN do you do analytics. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107657662273994752\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:59 AM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Analytic Solution is Done. We can see Correlation is sub and superadditive pending on Quadrant. And what happens with different Quadrant Correlations.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/dWhGt24LKU\"> pic.twitter.com\/dWhGt24LKU<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107656793386151936\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:55 AM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb GRECO-SEMITIC PHILOLOGY DU JOUR Where I discover that the common Levantine name&#8221;Fares&#8221; or &#8220;Phares&#8221; does not mean &#8220;horserider&#8221; but comes from \u03a6\u03b1\u03c1\u03ad\u03c2, the Syrian-Greek transliteration of the Hebrew &#8220;Perez&#8221; or &#8220;Peretz&#8221; \u05e4\u05e8\u05e5 son of Judah. @WalidPhares<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/QmjgleMQkD\"> pic.twitter.com\/QmjgleMQkD<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107643246992187393\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:01 AM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Scott Adams blocked a bunch of people (including me) over the remark. It is hard for laymen to be told: &#8220;Sutor, ne ultra crepidam&#8221; <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1100446659379638272 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1100446659379638272 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107632294544576512\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:18 AM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Can Mr @JoshuaGrubbsPhD, PhD show us the error terms of his graph? Just an honest plot with all the data points will suffice. Thank you. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoshuaGrubbsPhD\/status\/1107079163146657792 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/JoshuaGrubbsPhD\/status\/1107079163146657792 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107623253751717888\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 AM &#8211; 18 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@financequant I don&#8217;t always know how to succeed, but I know how to survive&#8211;and I sure as hell am not ready to give up. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/financequant\/status\/1107377454119862272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:25 PM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/38433249\/Multiscale_Localism_Political_Clarity_under_Complexity <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107338323444547589\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:50 AM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In my manifesto I discuss a SCALE TRANSFORMATION: A group of assholes pursuing asshole interests under the rule of law produces a virtuous society; A group of moralizing utopianists trying to make society virtuous produce &#8230;hell. Adding complexity to Mandeville\/Smith. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107335955248267266\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:40 AM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb For those into envy politics who plan on taxing the rich as sitting duck, remember the properties of power laws: between \u00bd &amp; 2% of taxpayers paid up to 50% of state taxes. At the margin, the departure of 5-10 people can bankrupt a state! IYIs think in statics not dynamics.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/NPvJbxPXvI\"> pic.twitter.com\/NPvJbxPXvI<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107321349024948224\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:42 AM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am not fully leaving NY yet, just using it as a &#8220;secondary&#8221; residence for now (I spent less than 4-5 months there anyway). Just to make sure these socialist lunatics don&#8217;t surprise me with some expropriation. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107318376668545032\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:30 AM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Received the incredibly well made book by \u2066@drjasonfung\u2069 and \u2066@drjamesdinic\u2069. They use the potent designation \u201cnonfood items\u201d. I wonder how many nutritional studies would still hold their conclusions if we removed \u201cnonfoods\u201d from the tests. Science is hard.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/toI9UiRPyT\"> pic.twitter.com\/toI9UiRPyT<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107315914301718529\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:21 AM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Monsantobuster GMO arguments by shills. cc:@nntaleb<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/t50VmSP1mz\"> pic.twitter.com\/t50VmSP1mz<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Monsantobuster\/status\/1107276710305824768\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:45 AM &#8211; 17 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb NY will soon learn that only way you can enforce socialism is by closing borders and keeping people trapped inside (Cuba, Soviet bloc). People vote with their feet: a mechanism by which organic systems enforce selection. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107079644778516481\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:42 PM &#8211; 16 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I just got a thingy in Atlanta to move away from these suicidal lunatics in NY. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-03-16\/class-warfare-tax-absentee-nyc-property-owners-met-strong-opposition \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/news\/2019-03-16\/class-warfare-tax-absentee-nyc-property-owners-met-strong-opposition <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107048777834209280\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:39 PM &#8211; 16 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The word &#8220;Wine&#8221; &lt;- vinum &lt;- \u03bf\u03af\u03bd\u03bf\u03c2 (-&gt;vin, vino, etc.) comes from the Phoenician \u05d9\u05d9\u05df (Yayn). Affaire closed. #Lindy. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107045699034722305\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:27 PM &#8211; 16 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BEWARE THE &#8220;JUST SO&#8221; It was always assumed that civilization began with agriculture. Gobekli Tepe, though, was built 500 years before its people built their first farms. <a href=\"https:\/\/allthatsinteresting.com\/gobekli-tepe?utm_source=pubexchange_twitter&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_campaign=pubx_ancient_origins \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/allthatsinteresting.com\/gobekli-tepe?utm_source=pubexchange_twitter&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_campaign=pubx_ancient_origins <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1107012546639380485\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:15 PM &#8211; 16 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Clearer: Shows the quadrant-dependent nature of correlation (and its su-additivity) EVEN in the absence of nonlinearities.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/kW2EMj4spn\"> pic.twitter.com\/kW2EMj4spn<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106963418823774209\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:00 AM &#8211; 16 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@mrraoofi After so many years using the word &#8220;IQ&#8221; instead of &#8220;intelligence&#8221; or &#8220;cleverness&#8221;, many people have difficulty understanding the point @nntaleb makes about the swindle which is IQ. You say: IQ, they hear: intelligence or mental capacity,&#8230;. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/mrraoofi\/status\/1106829783277674496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:09 AM &#8211; 16 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A simple Monte Carlo showing how correlation is NOT ADDITIVE; sums of quadrant correlations do nto match the aggregate. Analytical solution done but needs trimming. @apgox<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Yea2IHssvZ\"> pic.twitter.com\/Yea2IHssvZ<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106735203928682496\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:53 PM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FOOLED BY CORRELATION: even when rho=0, we see positive correlation in the double negative quadrants. Without even adding nonlinearities. Statistics is hard.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/qcRQNvZb8Z\"> pic.twitter.com\/qcRQNvZb8Z<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106670614402818059\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:36 PM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb FOr the nth time, it is not that IQ does not measure social skills\/wisdom, etc. It DOES NOT MEASURE MENTAL CAPACITY. Gabish? <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/JM_Irishitaly\/status\/1106634471808397316 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/JM_Irishitaly\/status\/1106634471808397316 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106635068821381121\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:15 PM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb More background info <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106634490057760768\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:13 PM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Same story for income. Above average income there is NO correlation. A &#8220;low IQ&#8221; person as likely to get a higher income.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/SlMgwgWuoc\"> pic.twitter.com\/SlMgwgWuoc<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106631178768080898\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:00 PM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The IQ situation even worse. Found that here is no correlation IQ- income\/wealth at highers levels EVEN FOR LOW IQ. Hence the math used for &#8220;g&#8221; fails. Psycholophasters do not seem to know what correlations mean under nonlinearity. And, BTW @jordanbPeterson is a quack.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BCN3Z1JMYt\"> pic.twitter.com\/BCN3Z1JMYt<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106630261842894849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:56 AM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@hugowiz \u00abThey are also prone to mistake the ensemble for the linear aggregation of its components\u2014that is, they think that our understanding of single individuals allows us to understand crowds and markets &#8230;\u00bb Skin in the game @nntaleb @AllenLaneBooks #IYI #Intellectuals<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/Dkk8RWALM1\"> pic.twitter.com\/Dkk8RWALM1<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/hugowiz\/status\/1106575530797731840\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:19 AM &#8211; 15 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@IlhanMN The Saudi royal family has literally helped fund Al Qaeda. This is the debate no one wants to have but needs to be had. Saudi accountability is long overdue. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/06\/24\/world\/middleeast\/24saudi.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/06\/24\/world\/middleeast\/24saudi.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/mehdirhasan\/status\/1105903411579572227 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/mehdirhasan\/status\/1105903411579572227 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/IlhanMN\/status\/1106271194444115968\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:09 PM &#8211; 14 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@RandPaul Jailed Saudi female activists have been subjected to torture, beatings, electric shocks, and sexual abuse. Don\u2019t sell arms to barbarians! <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/global-opinions\/saudi-female-activists-finally-get-a-day-in-court-they-deserve-freedom\/2019\/03\/13\/0bcf1990-45a5-11e9-90f0-0ccfeec87a61_story.html \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/opinions\/global-opinions\/saudi-female-activists-finally-get-a-day-in-court-they-deserve-freedom\/2019\/03\/13\/0bcf1990-45a5-11e9-90f0-0ccfeec87a61_story.html <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RandPaul\/status\/1106259752781271042\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:24 AM &#8211; 14 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Joe @normonics means NO to corporatocracy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1106224344995381249 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/normonics\/status\/1106224344995381249 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106233803117379585\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:41 AM &#8211; 14 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb If there is someone spreading statistical illiteracy &amp; naive empiricism, it is @sapinker. Statistics is hard. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/sapinker\/status\/1106171241499508744 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/sapinker\/status\/1106171241499508744 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1106190139766816769\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:47 AM &#8211; 14 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Universa meeting in Miami.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/642WWbYEfK\"> pic.twitter.com\/642WWbYEfK<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105971237552115712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:17 PM &#8211; 13 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Why &#8220;good&#8221; forecasters go bust and how the literature in psych on decision theory is at least 2000 years behind<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/7aj0hrqBT9\"> pic.twitter.com\/7aj0hrqBT9<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105802865166245889\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:08 AM &#8211; 13 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Yes, when said wage is low. Ironically you are freest at low income; much much more than when in the middle class. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/dkhozem\/status\/1105612154097594368 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/dkhozem\/status\/1105612154097594368 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105622493014966272\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:11 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Final typos removed<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/06QAO55PLK\"> pic.twitter.com\/06QAO55PLK<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105598428795621376\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:36 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The Formal proof<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/FPTPhHaHN3\"> pic.twitter.com\/FPTPhHaHN3<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105590295910064128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 3:04 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Applying it to the Lognormal<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/UsrYpcF8NX\"> pic.twitter.com\/UsrYpcF8NX<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105584041972170753\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 2:39 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Fus7a is largely a fabricated language used by poets to impress poets. @Safaitic is by far the most insightful linguist I&#8217;ve ever encountered. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Safaitic\/status\/1105570076932087808 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Safaitic\/status\/1105570076932087808 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105570950693691398\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:47 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb DUNNING-K From now on, I block anyone mentioning Dunning-Kruger in my feed. 1) It doesn&#8217;t really exist (bad science by psycholophasters), 2) it doesn&#8217;t really apply in most cases where mentioned. Gabish? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105546340472446983\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:09 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Hint: as volatility rises, because the distribution is bounded to the left, the probability of exceeding any level goes to 0, with the mass a Dirac at 0. The point is that all the expectation is owed to a single low probability tail event.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/0y0M1bhFDK\"> pic.twitter.com\/0y0M1bhFDK<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105544118955139073\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:00 PM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A bureaucrat is judged by other bureaucrats. That&#8217;s the root of the problem. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105540805568184320\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:47 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@tedcruz First time I\u2019ve ever retweeted @ewarren But she\u2019s right\u2014Big Tech has way too much power to silence Free Speech. They shouldn\u2019t be censoring Warren, or anybody else. A serious threat to our democracy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ewarren\/status\/1105256905058979841 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/ewarren\/status\/1105256905058979841 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/tedcruz\/status\/1105523954087849984\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:40 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In the past, scholars who were not financially independent were directly funded by Maecenas \u2014rich patrons. Today they are funded by bureaucrats. #Skininthegame <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105517016360894470\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:12 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb PROBABILITY QUIZ du jour<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/kM1CkZnNzz\"> pic.twitter.com\/kM1CkZnNzz<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105493028750479360\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:37 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In #Antifragile: Making pilots rely on automation&#8230;<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/iYfy7o316r\"> pic.twitter.com\/iYfy7o316r<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105481200897007616\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:50 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@Firsou He gets it. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1105468569800839169 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1105468569800839169 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/Firsou\/status\/1105470355072843777\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 7:07 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Looks like in spite of all of the arguments, psychologists s.a. @NickWolfinger and his BS vending econ friends @ATabarrok et al. do not know what correlation means, how it works under nonlinarities, etc. They are not even at par to understand the insults. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/paulportesi\/status\/1105300436540522496 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/paulportesi\/status\/1105300436540522496 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105454298736087040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:03 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Indeed someone in the Administration is heeding the practical suggestions associated with #Skininthegame. Trump&#8217;s Budget:<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/bctISMWwK2\"> pic.twitter.com\/bctISMWwK2<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105443611653611520\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:21 AM &#8211; 12 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb The passage in #Antifragile<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/WFD1lNVmje\"> pic.twitter.com\/WFD1lNVmje<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105182973874393099\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 12:05 PM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@holland_tom &#8220;A God who didn\u2019t really suffer on the cross would be like magician who performed an illusion&#8221; &#8211; @nntaleb on the implications of the docetist Christ having no skin in the game. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrMichaelBonner\/status\/1105154307568095233 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DrMichaelBonner\/status\/1105154307568095233 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/holland_tom\/status\/1105172798962585600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 11:25 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I meant The LAW OF MEDIUM NUMBERS <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105161646123765763\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:40 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I should have named the article: THE LAWS OF MIDDLE NUMBERS Since it shows how the law of large numbers works before the limit. <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1802.05495.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1802.05495.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105160361584590849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:35 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@DrMichaelBonner If anyone want to read my review of #SkinintheGame, it&#8217;s here: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/36659057\/Aphorisms_from_Antique_Lands \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/36659057\/Aphorisms_from_Antique_Lands <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/DrMichaelBonner\/status\/1105154307568095233\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 10:11 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb In #Antifragile, you need strong evidence to override nature&#8217;s reaction. Nobody could back up why we ice injuries. Nobody, <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1105109687538802688 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/Jed_Trott\/status\/1105109687538802688 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1105142188558745602\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 9:23 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@RustedOak The President&#8217;s budget was released today. Page 2 mentions colleges having #SkinInTheGame and student loan Risk Sharing just like @purduemitch has preached for years, @nntaleb for decades. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/budget-fy2020.pdf \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/budget-fy2020.pdf <\/a>\u00a0<a href=\" &lt;a href=\"> &#8221; target=&#8221;_blank&#8221;&gt;http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/dy4oceNceX&#8221;&gt; <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/dy4oceNceX <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/RustedOak\/status\/1105133928703295488\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 8:50 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@CantHardyWait Here @nntaleb captures why he doesn\u2019t have an assistant. \u201cYou want maximum free time, not maximum activity\u201d<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/GW3wNwmg5w\"> pic.twitter.com\/GW3wNwmg5w<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/CantHardyWait\/status\/1105084899986419712\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:35 AM &#8211; 11 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Lawla l3arab\u00e9 baddo ymsh\u00e9 k\u00e9n alla3 min zam\u00e9n. W-halla2 ma3 social media ma 3ad fi maj\u00e9l la2anno lss7f 3am tmut. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104882204361084928\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:10 PM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This money belongs to the taxpayers. Public office is not an investment strategy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/epsilontheory\/status\/1104847045087641600 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/epsilontheory\/status\/1104847045087641600 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104881131822956544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:06 PM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb This money belongs to the taxpayers. Public office is not an investment strategy. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/EpsilonTheory\/status\/1104847045087641600 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/EpsilonTheory\/status\/1104847045087641600 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104881131822956544\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:06 PM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb A bit a background about my twitter fights, as lying on a hammock becomes excruciatingly boring after 4-6 min.<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/urd3mhHRaM\"> pic.twitter.com\/urd3mhHRaM<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104742552706736128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:55 AM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@black_swan_man #blackswanman #theblackswanman @WarrenBuffett #buffettman #marginofsafety #tailrisk #lifejacket<a href=\"http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/C95mRn4Cvu\"> pic.twitter.com\/C95mRn4Cvu<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/black_swan_man\/status\/1104731986214690816\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 6:13 AM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Using an unreliable measure s.a. IQ on grounds that that\u2019s \u201cwhat best we got\u201d and \u201cscience\u201d proceeds that way\u201d (it doesn\u2019t) is accepting self labelled \u201cbullshit\u201d as scientific statements. And this Bullshit is a technical term in philosophy: the disrespect for Truth. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104727197078704128\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:54 AM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb Not my point. My point is that IQ doesn&#8217;t even measure that part of intelligence it is supposed to measure. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104698961149988868\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:02 AM &#8211; 10 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb 2tana3t. Khalas! Case closed. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/encrier\/status\/1104389426233384962 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/encrier\/status\/1104389426233384962 <\/a>\u00a0 Baddna nmsh\u00e9 ma3 l w\u00e92e3 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104554672021520385\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:28 PM &#8211; 9 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb BTW this is the latest version on IQ <a href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/iq-is-largely-a-pseudoscientific-swindle-f131c101ba39 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104552044038422528\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:18 PM &#8211; 9 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@PaulSkallas <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DIsaac8\/status\/979874998289547264?s=19 \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/DIsaac8\/status\/979874998289547264?s=19 <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/PaulSkallas\/status\/1104547591507841024\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 5:00 PM &#8211; 9 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb I am waiting for the dust to settle on the IQ and &#8220;g&#8221; thingy to address something called the Big Five and the &#8220;factor analysis&#8221;. It does make astrology look like an academic discipline. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104546760389730309\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:57 PM &#8211; 9 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@nntaleb (cont) Philosophia ancilla theologiae <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1104534324249018368\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 4:07 PM &#8211; 9 Mar 2019<\/p>\n<p>@seyyedreza Ezekiel\u2019s Tomb is located between Najaf and Karbala, Shia Islam\u2019s holiest sites. Not only did Jews and Muslims worship side by side; their practices influenced each other. Scholars argue that Jewish practices at the tomb are based on Shia ziyara rituals. <a href=\"https:\/\/ajammc.com\/2019\/03\/03\/ezekiels-tomb-jewish-iraq-muslim\/ \" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/ajammc.com\/2019\/03\/03\/ezekiels-tomb-jewish-iraq-muslim\/ <\/a>\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/seyyedreza\/status\/1104488339057664001\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Permalink<\/a> 1:05 PM &#8211; 9 Mar 2019<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FINALLY PUBLISHEDHow much data do you need? An operational, pre-asymptotic metric for f&#8230; https:\/\/t.co\/FkS96MZjAv &mdash; Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 28, 2019 @paulportesi Seriously I f****** love waking up to this. Entropy methods better than correlation in nonlinearities. F****** brilliant. https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1111966227503689728 \u00a0 Permalink 5:54 AM &#8211; 30 Mar 2019 @nntaleb PROBABILITY DU JOUR Just to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1700,1362,1702,910,1427,1701,1599,823,1699,1014],"class_list":["post-9006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-european","tag-correlation","tag-dunning-k","tag-entropy","tag-iq","tag-leaving-ny","tag-localism","tag-monsanto","tag-mutual-information","tag-pinker"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9006","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9006"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9006\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9008,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9006\/revisions\/9008"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}