{"id":8897,"date":"2018-10-23T23:07:24","date_gmt":"2018-10-24T06:07:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/?p=8897"},"modified":"2018-10-23T23:08:12","modified_gmt":"2018-10-24T06:08:12","slug":"monsanto-mckinsey-shihabi-saudi-barbaria-pedophrasty-haley-frum-gmos-twitter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/2018\/10\/monsanto-mckinsey-shihabi-saudi-barbaria-pedophrasty-haley-frum-gmos-twitter\/","title":{"rendered":"Monsanto, McKinsey, Shihabi, Saudi Barbaria, Pedophrasty, Haley, Frum, GMOs | Twitter"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Yesterday I received the @Wolfram Award (for computational mathematics). It\u2019s not an award. It\u2019s an accreditation: a statement by the smartest person I know about (@stephen_Wolfram) certifying: \u201cAs far as I can see, for computational probability, N N Taleb is not an idiot\u201d.<\/p><\/div>\n

@ngriffin360 Life is.. #longgamma #antifragile @nntaleb pic.twitter.com\/rhErBRtxQ3<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:14 AM – 23 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Ya LebTwitter Shu bit7\u00e9bbo nsamm\u00e9 l lgha taba3na? @oldlevantine @Extrachelle @HsenAndil @PZalloua @961Aleh @lebaneselingui1 @BLebnene @turlevnon Permalink<\/a> 6:50 PM – 22 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@RobertKennedyJr Momentous news on #Monsanto appeal! https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2018\/oct\/22\/monsanto-cancer-roundup-weedkiller-judge-denies-appeal <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:25 PM – 22 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Real World Risk #9. 55 pple. Lunch break. pic.twitter.com\/2GhOaMdNJn<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:18 AM – 22 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@yhazony What I learned from this: There’s a morality that attends the study and dissemination of ideas. A professionalism, if you like. You don’t shoot your mouth off when you don’t know what you are talking about. You don’t write essays and give speeches about books you haven’t read. \/4 Permalink<\/a> 5:28 PM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Lebanese Language books in process. https:\/\/twitter.com\/BLebnene\/status\/1054102008360247298 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:24 PM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Many people make the mistake of engaging shills with arguments. Never take at face value what a paid shill like that despicable @aliShihabi says. Gabish? Permalink<\/a> 12:40 PM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@GuruAnaerobic A big reason why normal pple like @nntaleb is that he calls out the experts & ivory tower intelligentsia. The sort of people who call the normal person ‘populist’, ‘pseudoscientific’,etc. NNT turns the tables (with proof, maths & superior thought). He PROVES they r pseudo-experts https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/1054017843136749574 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:53 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For the record, Mr @aliShihabi, Saudi Gov. lobbyist, fully aware of my vocal criticism, has tried to infiltrate a restaurant dinner party I was giving, supposedly to “talk to me”. I never talk to shills. I cannot be bribed by shills. I am uncompromising: I despise shills. Permalink<\/a> 9:42 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@Ashu_2017 As expected, Saudi govt was keeping a close tab on critics. Impossible not to marvel at the courage of @nntaleb for his frequent attacks on the Saudi state. #Khashoggi https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2018\/10\/20\/us\/politics\/saudi-image-campaign-twitter.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:45 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@Joyce_Karam Oh, McKinsey is \u201chorrified\u201d that its 9 page report to #Saudi naming dissidents was used to go after dissidents: https:\/\/twitter.com\/McKinsey\/status\/1053838356826808320 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:48 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@aClassicLiberal Sweden has higher wealth inequality than the US, @nntaleb explains it in “Inequality and Skin in the Game”: “Any form of control of the wealth process\u2013typically instigated by bureaucrats \u2013tended to lock people with privileges in their state of entitlement” http:\/\/bit.ly\/2Jd2reY <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:43 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Most people who complain about inequality are those rich, but narcissistic and envious of the strata above them: “I Joseph S, am smart, but why is he richer?” Chapter in Skin in the Game: https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/inequality-and-skin-in-the-game-d8f00bc0cb46 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:33 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is typical @JosephEStiglitz probability-blind BS: inequality in the US measured STATICALLY is higher than Eu. Completely misses on the DYNAMICS, and on the mismeasurement of inequality under Fat Tails. See #SkinintheGame https:\/\/twitter.com\/sciam\/status\/1053000745459638277 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:38 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@SituationO In the memory of massacre of Aishiyeh(Maronite town in #Lebanon )that took place Between 19th to 21st of October 1976 More than 70 Christians(7 under the age of 16) were killed & one was burned alive by PLO Fatah &Saika. The village was depopulated & used as PLO base of operation Permalink<\/a> 6:33 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In other words, @McKinsey effectively DID help Saudi Arabia track dissidents. Despicable. pic.twitter.com\/aAdJ6v5nsQ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:04 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My 2015 accusation: Since Sep 11 we encouraged an “ally” to groom Salafi terrorists and spread intolerance while fighting terrorism in the wrong place. https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/the-saudi-wahhabis-are-the-real-foe-islamic-terrorists-salafi-violence\/ <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:59 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Saudi Bigoteering: Christians banned from areas\/highways; identifying dress code for Saudis; tortures journos; ethnic cleanses Syria; beheads atheists\/apostates\/critics\/LBGT; treats women\/Asian workers like cattle …then send Twitter agents to mark critics as “racist”. @jack Permalink<\/a> 5:39 AM – 21 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@gcfr20 A probability problem for recreation (cc @nntaleb, @CutTheKnotMath, @_eylem_99) pic.twitter.com\/b5RCR5Fh4j<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:54 PM – 20 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This Saudi shill is transforming the abominable crime by Saudi Barbaria into a U.S. domestic affair. Despicable man. https:\/\/twitter.com\/alishihabi\/status\/1053688547667046400 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:04 AM – 20 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This Saudi shill is transforming the abominable crime by Saudi Barbaria into a U.S. domestic affair. Despicable man. https:\/\/twitter.com\/aliShihabi\/status\/1053688547667046400 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:04 AM – 20 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb One possible route for the solution. pic.twitter.com\/E6ncDPDyPY<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:28 AM – 20 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@AshokaHolla #UnitedStates with an economy of $20Tr financially need not pander to a rogue nation for a meagre annual $32 billion bilateral trade. @ianbremmer @nntaleb https:\/\/twitter.com\/AshokaHolla\/status\/1053611434708553728 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:40 AM – 20 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Saturday Morning Math Exercise: in remembrance of our friend @CutTheKnotMath pic.twitter.com\/WGwbZQju6g<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:36 AM – 20 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb After 17 days of denial, the Saudis accept their role in the death of the journalist, saying “it was just an argument that got physical”. After 17 years, the Saudis will accept their role in 9\/11, saying “it was just a flying lesson that went wrong”. https:\/\/twitter.com\/FoxNews\/status\/1053482545797578752 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:17 PM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Saudi affair can lead to a (positive) minority rule effect: an intransigeant minority boycotting Saudi Barbaria & shaming those who do can rule. Anyone remotely associated with Saudi Barbaria will be punished. Hope to see the minority rule at work! https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/the-most-intolerant-wins-the-dictatorship-of-the-small-minority-3f1f83ce4e15 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:14 PM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In “Skin in the Game”, I state that there is no group that violates morality rules and symmetry (fundamental ethics) as much as the neocons. Permalink<\/a> 5:30 PM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Mr Krugman @paulkrugman has been effectively wrong on everything (markets, bitcoin, technology, trade, GDP, FX, elections, history…): the real world is not something he has ever managed to grasp. So, predictably, he now supports the neocons (Iraq, Lybia, Syria, etc.) https:\/\/twitter.com\/paulkrugman\/status\/1053274998742441985 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:21 PM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb How did you know? Please don’t tell anyone. Permalink<\/a> 5:15 PM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Details: pic.twitter.com\/jM80A8bUaY<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:14 PM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Yesterday I received the @Wolfram Award (for computational mathematics). It\u2019s not an award. It\u2019s an accreditation: a statement by the smartest person I know about (@stephen_Wolfram) certifying: \u201cAs far as I can see, for computational probability, N N Taleb is not an idiot\u201d. pic.twitter.com\/IcM3gMw14G<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:08 AM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@GenEngNetwork In order to save #glyphosate, the Monsanto corp has undertaken an effort to destroy the UN cancer agency IARC, by any means possible. Here is the part one of an investigation from Le Monde. St\u00e9phane Horel, St\u00e9phane Foucart #monsantopapers #glyphosate https:\/\/www.ehn.org\/monsanto-glyphosate-cancer-smear-campaign-2509710888.html <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:03 AM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I don’t understand the symbolism of the rooftop yet but I will be there anyway. https:\/\/twitter.com\/spyrosmakrid\/status\/1053220609331748864 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:23 AM – 19 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@black_swan_man #theblackswanman #blackswanman #Nietzsche #Halloween pic.twitter.com\/7fh1FIdqZZ<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:42 PM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@SwedeWhite Watching @nntaleb tinker with probability w\/ @WolframResearch Mathematica at #WolframTechConference\u2014so cool pic.twitter.com\/0rbxrDOo8m<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 1:05 PM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb At any rate I will start my lecture with: Delenda Saudi Barbaria pic.twitter.com\/JvAICZU9Ok<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:39 PM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@DavidVStewart As I reflect on Roman history and the work of @nntaleb , I realize that what made the great generals great was not some special knowledge of strategy, but the ability to exploit opportunities, optionality, and keep asymmetry in their favor. Permalink<\/a> 11:46 AM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In about one hour I am slated to lecture on \u201chow to tinker with probability using Mathematica.\u201d Should I use the platform to discuss Saudi Barbaria instead? What should I talk about? Permalink<\/a> 11:46 AM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb EMPIRICAL RIGOR Will all due respect to @NickKristof, BS vendor @jk_rowling, Kashoggi was a defender of HIS OWN free speech, not that of others. K supported the beheading of Nimr, the Shiite cleric who dared to speak up. Disclosure: I met Khashoggi in Riyadh in 2011. pic.twitter.com\/LYTM8vrnk4<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:40 AM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Whenever Saudi Barbaria has a problem, they spend more money on spin and propaganda. https:\/\/twitter.com\/Saudi_Source\/status\/1051666466540531712 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:44 AM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb “A single journalist is a tragedy; ten thousand Yemenis is a statistic”. Joseph Stalin, 1949 Permalink<\/a> 4:16 AM – 18 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Now we are making progress. If I entered the Saudi consulate and beat up one of the prediabetic sheikhs, would the NY police intervene? So if they can call the police on me( by (\u201cauthorizing\u201d), not the reverse, there is an asymmetry. Permalink<\/a> 2:01 PM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb So, in other words, if the Saudis had guillotines in their consulates to streamline future processes, it\u2019s no problem? Permalink<\/a> 1:49 PM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Say I showed up at the Saudi Consulate in New York to get a visa to vacation in one of their fabulous resorts, & they hacked me to pieces. Assume there is no evidence I am a US. citiizen. Would the New York police need to ask Saudi Barbaria for permission to investigate? Permalink<\/a> 1:35 PM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Stop the shills! https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/videos\/2018-10-17\/ex-amb-indyk-says-u-s-must-keep-saudis-on-positive-agenda-video <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:13 PM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb On my way to the conference! @WolframResearch https:\/\/twitter.com\/WolframResearch\/status\/1052629643302490112 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 12:07 PM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There will be an inexpensive paperback version later in 2019-2020. The vol 1 of the Technical Incerto sh be out in 2-3 months (color, hardback, my own design), subsidized. Permalink<\/a> 10:20 AM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb This is the hardcover (much more expensive than the paperback), coming out in March 2019. Permalink<\/a> 9:19 AM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Last version of the next Box Set. Aesthetics count. Which is why I write in LaTeX. pic.twitter.com\/skCXDpOaMA<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:42 AM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb My problem with Saudi Barbaria is not domestic. They can have the regime they want. It is that the country is dangerous to the rest of the world: + support for terrorism\/911, + spread of Wahabi doctrine, + ethnic cleansing in Syria, + propaganda, infl over U.S. policy etc. https:\/\/twitter.com\/tsneaux\/status\/1052560904049623040 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:30 AM – 17 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Upregulation, overcompensation. #Antifragile https:\/\/twitter.com\/aopsnews\/status\/1052310223082393601 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:01 PM – 16 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb CASCADES Saudi Barbaria will give us an illustration of a standard cascade: Barbaria can retaliate against a single company or a country (as they tried w\/Canada); but cannot do so against the rest of the world. Cascades are the standard readjustment for complex systems. Permalink<\/a> 2:16 PM – 16 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb I will give lecktchur by video sometimes during the program. https:\/\/twitter.com\/yaneerbaryam\/status\/1050019558067716098 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:46 PM – 16 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@AmLyceum Penn Station, a tragedy in four parts: pic.twitter.com\/EXySqHCvd0<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 10:13 AM – 16 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb King Kong on Broadway? I have to improvise! pic.twitter.com\/TxWDcDZWuC<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:46 AM – 16 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Philosophy of Probability: How we can link the speed of convergence of the law of large numbers to the problem of induction. https:\/\/arxiv.org\/pdf\/1802.05495.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 cc: @HarryDCrane @paulboghossian ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/VxNhOqY7eA”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/VxNhOqY7eA Permalink<\/a> 4:54 AM – 16 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Donaldo, please call the king of Saudi Barbaria again for his second version of the story. https:\/\/twitter.com\/realdonaldtrump\/status\/1051814214212485120?s=21 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:20 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@alwyn_lau Re-reading @nntaleb’s “Anti-Fragile”. Now I know why I have an innate suspicion towards: a) fit-bits\/activity trackers b) after-school tuition which fill up a child’s week c) packaged vacations d) KPIs’ e) systematic theology pic.twitter.com\/IJ1PHqQdbo<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:10 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In other words (Fat Tony\u2019s), don\u2019t cross a river that\u2019s on average 4 feet deep. https:\/\/twitter.com\/necsi\/status\/1051883954603782145 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:29 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In other words (Fat Tony\u2019s), don\u2019t cross a river that\u2019s on average 4 feet deep. https:\/\/twitter.com\/NECSI\/status\/1051883954603782145 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 3:29 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Well, @Paul_Salem: A shameless shill for the UAE (hence Saudi Barbaria). Foreign affairs people start with an idealistic views of the world; they try to become scholars. Then life happens and they realize they are unskilled labor; so they get corrupted to the bone. https:\/\/twitter.com\/MiddleEastInst\/status\/1051933221288595463 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:46 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb In other words, Saudi Barbaria is saying: “We didn’t mean to kill him; we just tortured him to death” Permalink<\/a> 1:58 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@James_McGinniss Love @nntaleb on CC (1:22:00): \u201cthere\u2019s a high probability the [IPCC models] are full of crap and there\u2019s also a probability their opponents are… but the more uncertainty there is in a system the less you want to pollute, bc you don\u2019t know what\u2019s going on\u201d. Limit our downside https:\/\/twitter.com\/naval\/status\/1051578799098195969 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:55 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb To say it in the language of the Saudi Barbaria: \u0639\u0630\u0631 \u0627\u0642\u0628\u062d \u0645\u0646 \u0630\u0646\u0628 (An excuse that is more hideous than the crime) https:\/\/twitter.com\/WSJ\/status\/1051928133249712128 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 1:52 PM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@NECSI The more nonlinearity in the response, the less informational the average. Within the day, you do not need to consume the same amount water every minute, but at the scale of the day, you want maximal evenness. @nntaleb @NECSI #Complexity Permalink<\/a> 10:14 AM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@__anoop @nntaleb says ‘anyone who is capable of writing a business plan, you dont want to invest with them’ – and this is the reason why I like Taleb. He’s an honorable man. Why? He said it to a VC (@naval) on stage at a blockchain conf. That takes guts and more than that conviction Permalink<\/a> 9:26 AM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Unless they are fables or fable-like (Borges, Calvino), short stories are hard to remember. Permalink<\/a> 6:40 AM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@adolfont “Anything that smacks of competition destroys knowledge.” Nassim Nicholas Taleb http:\/\/bit.ly\/2pV8b46 <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/ZUipjh3KPf”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/ZUipjh3KPf Permalink<\/a> 5:47 AM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Make sure the Secretary of State has a well-functioning Apple Watch. https:\/\/twitter.com\/realDonaldTrump\/status\/1051814214212485120 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:42 AM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Short stories are mostly read by people who want to write short stories. Permalink<\/a> 4:10 AM – 15 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 3- Now if the Clown Prince of Saudi Barbaria makes a deal w\/Iran to retaliate against the West, guess what would happen: Iranians will just take their oil, via a Shiite insurrection. Reason: oil reserves are in the Shiite section & indigenous are treated like sub-dhimmis. Permalink<\/a> 5:54 PM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@schmittpaula “The most consequential and destructive 9\/11 truther conspiracy was that Saddam was behind 9\/11”. https:\/\/twitter.com\/adamjohnsonNYC\/status\/1051508445701173249 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:38 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Rischiare Grosso (Introduction to Skin in the Game in Italian) https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=sOcQojM9VPM&feature=youtu.be <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:17 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The Palestinian “leadership” has never missed an opportunity to harm their own. Practically never. https:\/\/twitter.com\/KhaledAbuToameh\/status\/1051455437319606275 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:22 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb …and said journalist is a Muslim Brotherhood activist, in favor of the ethnic cleansing of Syria, the Yemen war, & other Jihadisms. His falling out w\/the Clown Prince of Saudi Barbaria (a.k.a MBS) is infighting similar to the Castellammarese War betw. mafia families. Gabish? Permalink<\/a> 7:12 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A Yuuuge agency problem in journalism: they care abt journalists far more than other pple. + Saudi Barbaria does Sept 11, blows up & ethnically cleanses Syria, Salafizes countries, wrecks Yemen. Nobody cares. + Saudi Barbaria suspected of killing one journalist, total deluge. Permalink<\/a> 5:50 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Genetically and culturally fake category. Chromoidentities. pic.twitter.com\/SoLmuCxRwo<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:17 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@Sugarsteroni What We Learned from Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Naval Ravikant https:\/\/buff.ly\/2pSWc7a <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/BBd6uqIX5B”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/BBd6uqIX5B Permalink<\/a> 5:15 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@jnaanarthi @naval Here’s audio extract with noise removed https:\/\/soundcloud.com\/user-515868246\/nassim-nicholas-taleb-and-naval-ravikant-chat <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 2:01 AM – 14 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@notiveri Da Ges\u00f9 a Donald Trump, perch\u00e9 non si pu\u00f2 vivere senza rischiare: Nei momenti storici di crisi emerge na necessit\u00e0 di rischiare. Per andare oltre le regole consolidate, che del resto non valgono pi\u00f9 nulla. L\u2019elogio del rischio di Nassim Nicholas Taleb https:\/\/www.linkiesta.it\/it\/article\/2018\/10\/14\/da-gesu-a-donald-trump-perche-non-si-puo-vivere-senza-rischiare\/39737\/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/nepyQ0VLcY”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/nepyQ0VLcY Permalink<\/a> 9:04 PM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@Sri_Rad15 Was there. Those Golden words “F-bayes” https:\/\/twitter.com\/Sri_Rad15\/status\/1033410957861683201 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:49 PM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Most plausible explanation is that they wanted to take him to Saudi Barbaria. Permalink<\/a> 4:35 PM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For those who don’t get it: 1- My comment in new book: You can ONLY use Bayesian updating under reliable priors and reliably CONVERGING probabilities. 2- Efron’s outstanding summary. pic.twitter.com\/KK8UQ74hKM<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 3:02 PM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The approach to the murder of the journo by Saudi Barbaria (if details are true) illustrates the conflation the sophisticated w\/what looks sophisticated. The most sophisticated approach wd have been to use a cheap hitman on a motorcycle. Saudis acted like academic economists. Permalink<\/a> 12:13 PM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Recall my Twitter fight with Rothkopf. Thank you Twitter; we can now expose frauds very early. https:\/\/twitter.com\/aaschapiro\/status\/1050599529563615232 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:10 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Probability… not Pinker’s thing. https:\/\/twitter.com\/sapinker\/status\/1047946091637948417 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:15 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Saudi Barbarian shills. One thing is certain: they’re not good at it. https:\/\/twitter.com\/LinaArabii\/status\/1026416994827075585 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:53 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There is a yuuuugely sublte point about the minority rule that @Naval got: If it’s stable, it comes from the minority rule. Why? Simply majority rules produce fluctuations with slight variations of majority. https:\/\/twitter.com\/dawnmnewton\/status\/1050448770666717184 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:21 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@CasciottaGian Caro @nntaleb Come vedi l’impegno nella lettura ce lo metto . Grazie a @ilSaggiatoreEd @lucaformenton Ottimo Cupellaro sin dalle prime pagine. Non era facile. #skininthegame #rischiaregrosso pic.twitter.com\/XplbiA48kD<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 9:16 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@JeanMessiha La haine de soi du gauchiste ob\u00e9it a une r\u00e8gle immuable: plus la cause lui est \u00e9trang\u00e8re plus il se mobilisera et vice-versa. Il soutiendra donc Rohingyas, Ou\u00efgours, Yazidis…mais JAMAIS de Chr\u00e9tiens, ni d\u2019Orient ni d\u2019ailleurs. Horreur, ils font trop penser aux Cathos fran\u00e7ais ! Permalink<\/a> 8:14 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb (Blocking works well: I used to get 15-20 “cute” remarks for the Math quizzes, now I just get 2 or 3). You reduce 95% of the noise just by blocking .1% of the followers. Permalink<\/a> 6:57 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The long route, unlike @laptopman4 pic.twitter.com\/Qhi7jlI47l<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:44 AM – 13 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Hint pic.twitter.com\/S15lBVNjL2<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:37 PM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2 out of 3 so far seem very close. https:\/\/twitter.com\/nntaleb\/status\/934225604228116480 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 10:11 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Meetings are metastatic. Permalink<\/a> 9:19 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@NonMeek @nntaleb Here\u2019s a handy comic strip for your next encounter with prominent mathematical finance professors. [ https:\/\/www.academia.edu\/37221402\/THE_STATISTICAL_CONSEQUENCES_OF_FAT_TAILS_TECHNICAL_INCERTO_COLLECTION_ <\/a>\u00a0] ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/zCNrhGFpcU”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/zCNrhGFpcU Permalink<\/a> 9:15 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A simple riddle, courtesy the Romanian Mathematical Magazine. pic.twitter.com\/Ba47RfEUE2<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 8:18 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@black_swan_man https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2016\/12\/15\/business\/dealbook\/stock-surge-presents-risks-for-the-trump-administration.html <\/a>\u00a0 #blackswanman #theblackswanman @realDonaldTrump @POTUS ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/8w3ZhyxkXB”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/8w3ZhyxkXB Permalink<\/a> 8:14 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb A reliable predictor of future insuccess: if someone writes long (and frequent) emails. Permalink<\/a> 6:30 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Honorable people punish. https:\/\/twitter.com\/getfactual\/status\/873205174696890369 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:36 AM – 12 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There was no fire during the firechat. https:\/\/twitter.com\/AdamPWeiss\/status\/1050452941474131969 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:30 PM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@drjasonfung 3 cases of type 2 diabetes reversal with fasting – http:\/\/casereports.bmj.com\/content\/2018\/bcr-2017-221854.full <\/a>\u00a0 @nntaleb would appreciate how this fits with Via Negativa, and also why these paradigm shifts don’t come out of academia Permalink<\/a> 12:47 PM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Annahar an Arabist and Arabophiliastic paper published a blank issue today. I don\u2019t know if it was intentional, but there was suddenly more substance in it than usual. https:\/\/twitter.com\/decafquest\/status\/1050415681446010880 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:03 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@ShipSystem Most who never lived in Belgium misses to understand the Belgian mentality that they are hyper localists. Even the Flemish dont want to be part of the NL and Walloon dont want to be French & they all dont care for central gov\/nation. They are localists. ping @nntaleb @ektrit Permalink<\/a> 6:36 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@EamonnK Went to the dentist yesterday. Had to get X-Rays taken. First time (after reading ‘Antifragile’) I ever thought wow! These x rays are good for me!! #Antifragile #Antifragility @nntaleb @Antifragilista7 pic.twitter.com\/qqyrgrqym9<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:27 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Chi non risica non rosica. Permalink<\/a> 6:27 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Se il titolo sembra diverso da quello degli Stati Uniti, \u00e8 perch\u00e9 lo volevo. “Rischiare grosso” \u00e8 meglio in italiano in quanto insiste sul rischio. @ilSaggiatoreEd Post scriptum : Vuoi che faccia un breve Youtube in italiano? https:\/\/twitter.com\/hugowiz\/status\/1050350614612455424 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 6:25 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@WeAreLebanon Foggy sky over #DhourChoueir By @amal_h86 #WeAreLebanon pic.twitter.com\/p5Fk5loZGC<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:20 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@ilSaggiatoreEd \u00abA una minoranza intransigente (di un certo tipo) che si metta in gioco […] baster\u00e0 raggiungere diciamo il tre o quattro per cento della popolazione totale per costringere quest\u2019ultima a adeguarsi alle sue preferenze.\u00bb #RischiareGrosso Da oggi http:\/\/ow.ly\/vrly30m2NBQ <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/lETXsxaLon”> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/lETXsxaLon Permalink<\/a> 3:00 AM – 11 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Plane ride to LA. Took the engineering route, not the mathematician’s. pic.twitter.com\/1HwyUutwcA<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:48 PM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb TEchnical Black Swan Problem pic.twitter.com\/GmcEV30DFn<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 12:23 PM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb There’s a *statistical* near-certainty that Nate Silver doesn’t understand probability. Actually, there is a certainty. cc:@EllieAsksWhy https:\/\/twitter.com\/NateSilver538\/status\/1047882643528974336 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:07 AM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@ericozkan1 Color? And how about the gilded frame? Sam (Harris) does not get the gilded frame…I’ve only used that for Newton. pic.twitter.com\/mk6hDKVzfi<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 7:02 AM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@black_swan_man #blackswanman #theblackswanman #popper #theblackswan #falsification #problemofinduction pic.twitter.com\/k88DHkdkFH<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 6:46 AM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Some have severe problems of reading comprehension (witness logically-challenged journo @TheStalwart). Labeling people is not “thinking” in labels: thinking is a thought process, labeling is the shortcut result of a thought process. Think. Gabish? https:\/\/twitter.com\/MalthusJohn\/status\/1049995096807145472 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 5:56 AM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb MATH PROBLEM DU JOUR (EASY): pic.twitter.com\/GVz3araMFc<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 2:27 AM – 10 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@trishankkarthik You may remember this brave guy from a few months ago After reading @nntaleb, he used deadlifts to recover from lung surgery despite scary warnings to the contrary from his doctors If he can do it, so can you Now get out there and start lifting https:\/\/twitter.com\/maalaukong\/status\/1049897517515718656 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:06 PM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@stan_yurin This clueless text generator have won the econ nobel, enough said. https:\/\/twitter.com\/stan_yurin\/status\/986610320457256960 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:16 PM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@producerdrummer “Friends, remember that: Unless you build a habit of making money on your own, standalone, you will find yourself, at some point, depending on the whims of someone else who will run your life. When it’s too late.” @nntaleb Permalink<\/a> 5:47 PM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Squid ink And tripes pic.twitter.com\/j8kDBoVXpb<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 5:01 PM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@DanielLMcAdams Here is the “chaos” predicted by this young “genius” if Assad re-takes Syria from jihadists: Christians celebrating the Feast of the Assumption of the Blessed Virgin Mary last month for the first time in the restored cathedral – blown up by this think-tanker’s “freedom fighters”! pic.twitter.com\/LqjG6bP9Ew<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:22 PM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb For those confused, this is what pedophrasty means. https:\/\/medium.com\/incerto\/pedophrasty-bigoteering-and-other-modern-scams-c84bd70a29e8 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 11:02 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@BrianTHeligman 13. Special thanks to @normonics and @nntaleb for their excellent climate letter that really helped to clarify my framing of all this. http:\/\/www.fooledbyrandomness.com\/climateletter.pdf <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 9:13 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The idiotic @thestalwart: 1) Does not distinguish between THINKING IN labels and EXPRESSING IN labels (say in condensing a tweet). 2) Retweets “behind your back” with pic not so I don’t see it. Learn defects from journos. https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheStalwart\/status\/1049681886761639936 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:46 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb The replacement of psychopathic pedophrastic low-IQ maximally neocon ambassador by someone who can potentially be a neocon is excellent news. https:\/\/twitter.com\/DanielLMcAdams\/status\/1049678995476877312 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:22 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb You are also told the same in post-revolutionary America. Just avoid MSM. https:\/\/twitter.com\/Mehdi_IR_DC\/status\/1049679843900710912 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 8:17 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Christmas came early. https:\/\/twitter.com\/zerohedge\/status\/1049671372962783234 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 7:55 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Sorry, but I block idiots. There is something about extreme stupidity that makes it unethical in its harm the public. Please do not take it personally. Nothing personal, but I just block idiots. Permalink<\/a> 5:09 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 2) Why are journos such as @davidfrum sooooooooooooo clueless about rent seeking? pic.twitter.com\/bxhWV0ptcz<\/a> Permalink<\/a> 4:56 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb 1) It is a shame that journos don’t get that money made thanks to office is defrauding the taxpayer. https:\/\/twitter.com\/davidfrum\/status\/1049627625046626304 <\/a>\u00a0 Permalink<\/a> 4:55 AM – 9 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@GMOFreeUSA Gerber has begun to make non-GMO claims on some of their products, without independent verification. That’s not good enough. BOYCOTT GERBER until they remove GMOs and get Non-GMO Project Verified. SIGN THE PETITION: http:\/\/tinyurl.com\/jd997ka <\/a>\u00a0 READ: http:\/\/www.gmwatch.org\/news\/latest-news\/16297-do-gm-soybean-plants-accumulate-formaldehyde <\/a>\u00a0 ” target=”_blank”>http:\/\/pic.twitter.com\/o1QMTs4kb1″> <\/a>\u00a0pic.twitter.com\/o1QMTs4kb1 Permalink<\/a> 6:07 PM – 8 Oct 2018<\/p>\n

@nntaleb Do I strike you as someone who would set foot in Harvard Square? Permalink<\/a> 4:48 PM – 8 Oct 2018<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

@ngriffin360 Life is.. #longgamma #antifragile @nntaleb pic.twitter.com\/rhErBRtxQ3 Permalink 9:14 AM – 23 Oct 2018 @nntaleb Ya LebTwitter Shu bit7\u00e9bbo nsamm\u00e9 l lgha taba3na? @oldlevantine @Extrachelle @HsenAndil @PZalloua @961Aleh @lebaneselingui1 @BLebnene @turlevnon Permalink 6:50 PM – 22 Oct 2018 @RobertKennedyJr Momentous news on #Monsanto appeal! https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/2018\/oct\/22\/monsanto-cancer-roundup-weedkiller-judge-denies-appeal \u00a0 Permalink 5:25 PM – 22 Oct 2018 @nntaleb Real […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[1658,791,1657,1655,823,1629,1213,1656],"class_list":["post-8897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-twitter","tag-frum","tag-gmos","tag-haley","tag-mckinsey","tag-monsanto","tag-pedophrasty","tag-saudi-barbaria","tag-shihabi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8897"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8897\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8902,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8897\/revisions\/8902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.blackswanreport.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}